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7 Dividend Policy
This Section Includes : Dividend Decision and Valuation of Firm
Walters Model Gordon Model MM model Residual Model Divident Discount Model Lintner Model
Types of Dividends and Dividend Policies Factors Affecting Dividend Policies Stability of Divident Share Buyback
INTRODUCTION : The term dividend refers to that part of profits of a company which is distributed by the company among its shareholders. It is the reward of the shareholders for investments made by them in the shares of the company. The investors are interested in earning the maximum return on their investments and to maximize their wealth. A company, on the other hand, needs to provide funds to finance its long-term growth. If a company pays out as dividend most of what it earns, then for business requirements and further expansion it will have to depend upon outside resources such as issue of debt or new shares. Dividend policy of a firm, thus affects both the long-term financing and the wealth of shareholders. As a result, the firms decision to pay dividends must be reached in such a manner so as to equitably apportion the distributed profits and retained earnings. Since dividend is a right of shareholders to participate in the profits and surplus of the company for their investment in the share capital of the company, they should receive fair amount of the profits. The company should, therefore, distribute a reasonable amount as dividends (which should include a normal rate of interest plus a return for the risks assumed) to its members and retain the rest for its growth and survival. DIVIDEND DECISION AND VALUATION OF FIRM : The value of the firm can be maximized if the shareholders wealth is maximized. There are conflicting views regarding the impact of dividend decision on the valuation of the firm. According to one school of thought dividend decision does not affect the share-holders wealth and hence the valuation of the firm. On the other hand, according to the other school of thought, dividend decision materially affects the shareholders wealth and also the valuation of the firm. We have discussed below the views of the two schools of thought under two groups: a. The Relevance Concept of Dividend or the Theory of Relevance. b.The Irrelevance Concept of Dividend or the Theory of Irrelevance
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P=
D+
r ( E D) K K
Where, P = Market price per share D = Dividend per share E = Earnings per share r = Internal rate of return (Actual capitalization rate) K = Cost capital (External capitalization rate) It may be noted that Walters formula has the same effect as the continuing dividend growth formula. It seeks to measure the effect of dividends on common stock value by comparing actual and normal capitalization rates. Another feature of Waters formula is that it provides an added or reduced Weight to the retained earnings portion of the capitalization earnings formula. The factors r and k are placed in front of retained earnings to change its weighted value under different situations as discussed below: 290
Fianancial Management & international finance
1. Growth Firms In growth firms internal rate of return is greater than the normal rate(r > k). Therefore, r/k factor will greater than 1. Such firms must reinvest retained earnings since existing alternative investments offer a lower return than the firm is able to secure. Each rupee of retained earnings will have a higher weighting in Waters formula than a comparable rupee of dividends. Thus, large the firm retains, higher the value of the firm. Optimum dividend payout radio for such a firm will be zero. 2. Normal Firm Normal firms comprise those firms whose internal rate of return is equal to normal capitalization (r=k). These firms earn on their investments rate of return equal to market rate of return. For such firms dividend policy will have no effect on the market value per share in the Walters model. Accordingly, retained earnings will have the same weighted value as dividends. In this case the market value per share is affected by the payout ratio. 3. Declining Firms Firms which earn on their investments less than the minimum rare required by investments are designated as declining firms. The management of such firms would like to distribute its earnings to the stockholders so that they may either spend it or invest elsewhere to earn higher return than earned by the declining firms. Under such a situation each rupee of retained earnings will receive lower weight than dividends and market value of the firm will tend to be maximum when it does not retain earnings at all. 4. Evaluation of the Walters Model Professor Walter has endeavoured to show in an erudite manner the effects of dividend policy on value of equity shares under different situations of a firm. However, the basic premises on which edifice of the theory is laid down are unrealistic and therefore, conclusions drawn from the Walters model are hardly true for real life situations. Thus, for instance assume that a firm finances its investment opportunities only by means of internal sources and no external financing is resorted to for this purpose. Under such a situation, either the value of the firms investment or dividend or both will be sub-optimum. In its attempt to maximize the value of the firm, the management should go on making investments so long as return of investment is equal to the cost of capital. This is the optimum level of investment, the remaining amount should be raised from external sources. On the contrary, Walter argues that value of the firm is maximized by retaining all the profits because magnitude of investments financed by retained earnings may be less than the optimum level of investment. Further, Professor Walter has assumed that r remains constant under all the situations. As a matter of fact, r tends to decrease in correspondence with increase in level of investments. This is why it is suggested that the management should make investments upto optimal level where r = k.
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D+
P
Ra (E D ) Rc Rc
Where P = Market price per share D = Dividend per share R a = Internal rate of return on investment Rc = Cost of capital i.e.,10%or 0.10 E = Earnings per share i.e., Rs. 8 Now, we can calculate the market price per share based on different IRRS and dividend payout rations. (i) Market price per share when Ra = 15% When dividend payout ratio is 50% Dividend paid = 8 50/100 = Rs. 4
P=
(b)
4+
When dividend payout ratio is 75% Dividend paid = Rs. 875/100 = Rs. 6
P=
(c)
6+
P=
8+
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(II)
Market price per share when Ra = 10% (a) When dividend payout ratio is 50% i.e., Rs. 4
P=
(b)
4+
0.10 (8 4) 0.10 = Rs. 80 0.10 0.10 (8 6) 0.10 = Rs. 80 0.10 0.10 (8 8) 0.10 = Rs. 80 0.10
P=
(c)
6+
P=
8+
(III) Market price per share when Ra = 5% (a) When dividend payout ratio is 50% i.e., Rs. 4
P=
4+
0.05 (8 4) 0.10 = Rs. 60 0.10 0.05 (8 6) 0.10 = Rs. 70 0.10 0.05 (8 8) 0.10 = Rs. 80 0.10
P=
6+
P=
8+
GORDONS MODEL : Myron Gordon has also developed a model on the lines of Prof. Walter suggesting that dividends are relevant and the dividend decision of the firm affects its value. His basic valuation model is based on the following assumptions: 1. The firm is an all equity firm. 2. No external financing is available or used. Retained earnings represent the only source of financing investment programmes. 3. The rate of return on the firms investment r, is constant.
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P =
D1 D2 Dt + + (1 + K ) (1 + K ) 2 (1 + K ) t
Dt (1 + K ) t
t =1
P =
E (1 b ) Ke br
D Ke g
or, P =
Where, P = E = b = ke = br = g = D =
Price of shares Earnings per share Retention Ratio Cost of equity capital growth rate in r, i.e., rate of return on investment of an all-equity firm Dividend per share
The implications of Gordons basic valuation model may be summarized as below: 1. When the rate of return of firms investment is greater than the required rate of return, i.e. when r > k, the price per share increases as the dividend payout ratio decreases. Thus, growth firm should distribute smaller dividends and should retain maximum earnings. 2. When the rate of return is equal to the required rate of return, i.e, when r = k, the price per share remains unchanged and is not affected by dividend policy. Thus, for a normal firm there is no optimum dividend payout.
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3. When the rate of return is less than the required rate of return, i.e., when r<k, the price per share increases as the dividend payout ratio increases. Thus, the shareholders of declining firm stand to gain if the firm distributes its earnings. For such firms, the optimum pay out would be 100%. MODIGLIANI-MILLERS MODEL (M-MS MODEL) : Modigliani-Millers (M-Ms) thoughts for irrelevance of dividends are most comprehensive and logical. According to them, dividend policy does not affect the value of a firm and is therefore, of no consequence. It is the earning potentiality and investment policy of the firm rather than its pattern of distribution of earnings that affects value of the firm. Basic Assumptions of M-M Approach (1) There exists perfect capital market where all investors are rational. Information is available to all at no cost; there are no transaction costs and floatation costs. There is no such investor as could alone influence market value of shares. (2) There does not exist taxes. Alternatively, there is no tax differential between income on dividend and capital gains. (3) Firm has uncertainty as to future investments and profits of the firm. Thus, investors are able to predict future prices and dividend with certainty. This assumption is dropped by M-M later. M-Ms irrelevance approach is based on arbitrage argument. Arbitrage is the process of entering into such transactions simultaneously as exactly balance or completely offset each other. The two transactions in the present case are payment of dividends and garnering funds to exploit investment opportunities. Suppose, for example, a firm decides to invest in a project it has alternatives: (1) Pay out dividends and raise an equal amount of funds from the market; (2) Retain its entire earnings to finance the investment programme. The arbitrage process is involved where a firm decides to pay dividends and raise funds from outside. When a firm pays its earnings as dividends, it will have to approach market for procuring funds to meet a given investment programme. Acquisition of additional capital will dilute the firms share capital which will result in drop in share values. Thus, what the stockholders gain in cash dividends they lose in decreased share values. The market price before and after payment of dividend would be identical and hence the stockholders would be indifferent between dividend and retention of earnings. This suggests that dividend decision is irrelevant. M-Ms argument of irrelevance of dividend remains unchanged whether external funds are obtained by means of share capital or borrowings. This is for the fact that investors are indifferent between debt and equity with respect to leverage and cost of debt is the same as the real cost of equity. Finally, even under conditions of uncertainty, divided decision will be of no relevance because of operation of arbitrage. Market value of share of the two firms would be the same if they
Fianancial Management & international finance
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Po =
D1 + P1 Equation (1) (1 + K )
Existing price of a share Cost of capital Dividend to be received at the year end Market value of a share at the year end
Where, P0 = k = D1 = P1 =
If there is no additional financing from external sources, value of the firm (V) will be number of share (n) multiplied by the price of each share (Po). Symbolically:
V = nPo =
n ( D 1 + P 1) Equation ( 2 ) (1 + K )
If the firm issues m number of share to raise funds at the end of year 1 so as to finance investment and at price P1, value of the firm at time o will be:
nPo =
Thus, the total of the firm as per equation (3) is equation to the capitalized value of the dividends to be received during the period, plus the value of the number of share outstanding at the end of the period, less the value of the newly issued shares. A firm can finance its investment programme either by ploughing back of its earnings or by issue of new share or by both. Thus, total amount of new share that the firm will issue to finance its investment will be: mP 1 = = l1 (X1 - nD1)
11 X 1 + nD1 Equation(4)
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Where, mP 1 11 X1 = = = Total amount of funds raised by issue of new share to finance investment projects. Total amount of investment during first period Total amount of net profit during first period
If equation (4) substituted into equation (3), we find the following equation:
nPo =
( n + m ) P1 L1 + X 1 Equation 5 1+ K
On comparison of equation (5) with equation (3) we find that there is no difference between the two valuation equations although equation (5) has expressed the value of firm without dividends. This led M-M to conclude that dividend policy has no role to play in influencing share value of a firm. Criticism of MM Approach MM hypothesis has been criticised on account of various unrealistic assumptions as given below. 1. Perfect capital market does not exist in reality. 2. Information about the company is not available to all the persons. 3. The firms have to incur flotation costs while issuing securities. 4. Taxes do exit and there is normally different tax treatment for dividends and capital gain. 5. The firms do not follow a rigid investment policy. 6. The investors have to pay brokerage, fees etc., while doing any transaction. 7. Shareholders may prefer current income as compared to further gains. Illustration. Agile Ltd. belongs to a risk class of which the appropriate capitalisation rate is 10%. It currently has 1,00,000 shares selling at Rs. 100 each. The firm is contemplating declaration of a dividend of Rs.6 per share at the end of the current fiscal year which has just begun. Answer the following questions based on Modigliani and Miller Model and assumption of no taxes: (i) What will be the price of the shares at the end of the year if a diviend is not declared? (ii) What will be the price if dividend is declared? (iii) Assuming that the firm pays dividend, has net income of Rs. 10 lakh and new investments of Rs. 20 lakhs during the period, how many new shares must be issued? Modigliani and Miller - Dividend Irrelevancy Model
Po =
P1 + D1 1 + Ke
297
P + D1 1 1+ Ke
P1 + 0 100 = 1 + 0.10
P1 100 = 1.10
P + D1 P0 = 1 1+ K e P1 + 6 100 = 1 + 0.10
P +6 100 = 1 1.10
100 1.10 = P 1 + 6 110 = P1 + 6 P1 = 110 - 6 P1 = Rs. 104
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(ii) Calculation of No. of Shares to be issued Particulars Net Income Less : Dividends paid Retained earnings New investments Amount to be raised by issue of new shres Market pice per share New shares to be issued (A)/(B) (A) (B) (C) Dividend declared 10,00,000 6,00,000 4,00,000 20,00,000 16,00,000 Rs. 104 15,385 10,00,000 20,00,000 10,00,000 Rs. 110 9,091 Dividend not declared 10,00,000
N =
Where, n=
N =
I (E nD1 ) P1
Number of Shares outstanding at the beginning of the period i.e., 1,00,000 shares
Change in the number of Shares outstanding during the period (to be ascertained) I = Total investment required for capital budget i.e., Rs. 20,00,000 E = Earning of the firm during the period after payment of dividend. If dividend declared =10,00,000 - 6,00,000 = Rs.4,00,000 If no dividend declared = 10,00,000 Now we can calculate the number of new shares to be issued: (I)If dividend declared:
N =
= 15385 Shares
N =
299
Therefore, whether dividends are paid or not, value of the firm remains the same as per M.M. approach. RESIDUAL MODEL : If a firm wishes to avoid issue of shares, then it will have to rely on internally generated funds to finance new positive NPV projects. Dividends can only be paid out of what is left over. This leftover is called a residual and such a dividend policy is cllaed residual dividend approach. When we treat dividend policy as strictly a financing decision, the payment of cash dividends is a passive residual. The amount of dividend payount will fluctuate from period to period in keeping with fluctuations in the number of acceptable investment opportunities available to the firm. If these oportunities abound, the percentage of dividend payout is likely to be zero. On the other hand if the firm is unable to find pofitable investment opportunities, dividend payout will be 100%. With a residual dividend policy, the firms objective is to meet its investment needs and mostly to maintain its desired debt equity ratio before paying dividends. To illustrate imagine that a firm has Rs. 1000 in earnings and a debt equity ratio of 0.5. Thus the firm has 0.5 of debt for every 1.5 of the total value. The firms capital structure is 1/3 of debt and 2/3 of equity. The first stpe in implementing a residual dividend policy is to deermine the amount of funds that can be generated without selling new equity. If the firm reinvests the entire Rs. 1000 and pays no dividend, then equity will increase by Rs. 1000. To keep the debt equity ratio constant, the firm must borrow Rs. 500. The second stpe is to decide whether or not the dividend will be paid. If funds needed are less than the funds generated then a dividend will be paid. The amount of dividend will be the residual after meeting investment needs. Suppose we require Rs. 900 for a project. Then 1/3 will be contributed by debt (i.e. Rs. 300) and the balance by equity/retained earnings. Thus the firm would borrow Rs. 300 and fund Rs. 600 from the retained earnings. The residual i.e. Rs. 1000 Rs. 600 = Rs. 400 would be distributed as dividend. More clarity can be had from the data givne below :
300
DIVIDEND DISCOUNT MODEL : The dividend disocunt model is a more conservative variation of discounted cash flows, that says a share of stock is worth the present value of its future dividends, rather than its earnings. This model was popularized by John Burr Williams in The Theory of Investment Value. ... a stock is worth the present value of all the dividends ever to be paid upon it, no more, no less... Present earnings, outlook, financial condition, and capitalization should bear upon the price of a stock only as they assist buyers and sellers in estimating future dividends. The dividend discount model can be applied effectively only when a company is already distributing a significant amount of earnings as dividends. But in theory it applies to all cases, since even retained earnings should eventually turn into dividends. Thats because once a company reaches its mature stage it wont need to reinvest in its growth, so management can begin distributing cash to the shareholders. As Williams puts it. If earnings not paid out in dividends are all successfully reinvested... then these earnings should produce dividends later; if not, then they are money lost... In short, a stock is worth only what you can get out of it. The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is a widely accepted stock valuation tool found in most introdutory finance and invesment taxtbooks. The model calculates the present value of the future dividends that a company is expected to apply to its shareholders. It is particularly useful because it allows investors to determine an absolute or intrinsic value of a particular comapny that is not influenced by current stock market conditions. The DDM is also useful because the measurement of future dividends (as opposied to earnings for example) facilitates an apples-to-apples comparison of companies across different industries by focusing on the actual cash investors can expect to receive. There are three alternative dividend discount models used to determine the intrinsic value of a share of stock a. the constant (or no-growth) dividend model; b. the constant growth dividend model; and c. the two-stage (or two-phase) dividend growth model.
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This method is useful for analyzing preferred shares where the dividend is fixed. However, the constant dividend model is limited in that it does not allow for future growth in the dividend payments for growth industries. As a result the constant growth dividend model may be more useful in examining a firm. Constant dividend growth : P=D1 /(ke-g) where : P = intrinsic value D1 = expected dividend ke = appropriate discont factor for the investment g = constant dividend growth rate
The constand dividend growth model is useful for mature industries, where the dividend growth is likely to be steady. Most mature blue chip stocks may be analyzed quickly with the constant dividend growth model. This model has its limitations when considering a firm which is in its growth phase and will move into a mature phase at some time the future. A two stage growth dividend model may be utilized in such situations. This model allows for adjustment to the assumptions of timing and magnitude of the growth of the firm. For initial dividend growth & then steady growth :
P=
D 0 (1 + g1 )t D 0 (1 + g 2 + t ke g2 t =1 (1 + K e )
n
where :
P = instrinsic value = PV of dividends + PV of price D 0 = expected dividend ke = appropriate discount factor for the investment g1 = initial dividend growth rate g2 = steady dividend growth rate
LINTNER MODEL : John Lintner surveyed dividend behavior of several corporate and showed that a. Firms set long run target payout ratios. b. Managers are concerned more about change in the dividend than the absolute level c. Dividends tend to follow earnings, but dividends follow a smoother path than earnings d. Dividends are sticky in nature because managers have a reluctance to effect dividend changes that may have to be reversed.
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Lintner expressed corporate dividend behavior in the form of a following model : D t= cr EPSt + (1-c)Dt1 D t = DPS for year t c = Adjustment rate or Speed or Adjustment r = Target Payout Rate EPS 1 = EPS for year t D t1 = DPS for year t1 The Lintner model shows that the current dividend depends partly on curent earnings and partly on previous years dividend. Likewise the dividend for the previous year depends on the earnings of that year and the dividend for the year preceding that year, so on and so forth. Thus as per the Lintner Model, dividends can be described in terms of a weighted average of past earnings. Dividend Dates What is a Declaration, Record, Ex-Dividend & Payment dates? Decleration date : The date on which board of directors declare dividend is called a declaration date. Record date : Record date, is that date when the company closes its stock transfer books and makes up a list of the shareholders for payment of dividends. Ex-dividend date : It is that date notified by the stock exchange, as a date which will entail a buyer of shares, the dividend, if bought before the ex-dividend date. This date sets up the convention of declaring that the right to the dividend remains with the stock until x days prior to the Record date. Thus whoever buys share on or beyond the ex-dividend date are not entitled to dividend. Payment date : The date on which the company mails the cheques to the recorded holders. Example : Let us say, settlement of stocks follows T+3, which means that, when you buy a stock, it takes three days from the transaction date (T) for the change to be entered into the comanys record books. As mentioned, if you are not in the companys record books on the date of record, you wont receive the dividend payment. To ensure that you are in the record books, you need to buy stock at least three days before the date of record, which also happens to be the day before the ex-dividend date.
Ex-Dividend Date Monday 5th Tuesday 6th Date of Record Friday 9th
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However, it must be remembered that regular dividends can be maintained only by companies of long standing and stable earnings. A company should establish the regular dividend at a lower rate as compared to the average earnings of the company. 2. Stable Dividend Policy The term stability of dividends means consistency or lack of variability in the stream of dividend payments. In more precise terms, it means payment of certain minimum amount of dividend regularly. A stable dividend policy may be established in any of the following three forms. (a) Constant dividend per share: Some companies follow a policy of paying fixed dividend per share irrespective of the level of earnings year after year. Such firms, usually, create a Reserve for Dividend Equalisation to enable them to pay the fixed dividend even in the year when the earnings are not sufficient or when there are losses. A policy of constant dividend per share is most suitable to concerns whose earnings are expected to remain stable over a number of years. Figure given below shows the behavior of dividend in such policy.
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DPS
Time Years
(b) Constant pay out ratio: Constant pay-out ratio means payment of a fixed percentage of net earnings as dividends every year. The amount of dividend in such a policy fluctuates in direct proportion to the earnings of the company. The policy of constant pay-out is preferred by the firms because it is related to their ability to pay dividends. Figure given below shows the behavior of dividends when such a policy is followed.
DPS
Time Years
(c) Stable rupee dividend plus extra dividend: Some companies follow a policy of paying constant low dividend per share plus an extra dividend in the years of high profits. Such a policy is most suitable to the firm having fluctuating earnings from year to year.
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1. Cash Dividends Cash dividend is, by far, the most important form of dividend. In cash dividends stock holders receive cheques for the amounts due to them. Cash generated by business earnings is used to pay cash dividends. Sometimes the firm may issue additional stock to use proceeds so derived to pay cash dividends or approach bank for the purpose. Generally, stockholders have strong preference for cash dividends. 2. Stock Dividends Stock dividends rank next to cash dividends in respect of their popularity. In this form of dividends, the firm issues additional shares of its own stock to the stockholders in proportion to the number of shares held in lieu of cash dividends. The payment of stock dividends neither affects cash and earnings position of the firm nor is ownership of stockholders changed. Indeed there will be transfer of the amount of dividend from surplus account to the capital stock account which tantamount to capitalization of retained earnings. The net effect of this would be an increase in number of shares of the current stockholders. But there will be no change in their equity. With payment of stock dividends the stockholders have simply more shares of stock to represent the same interest as it was before issuing stock dividends. Thus, there will be merely an adjustment in the firms capital structure in terms of both book value and market price of the common stock. 3. Stock Splits
Closely related to a stock dividend is a stock split. From a purely economic point of view a stock split is nothing but a gaint stock dividend. A stock split is a change in the number of outstanding shares of stock achieved through a proportional reduction of increase in the par value of the stock. The management employs this device to make a major adjustment in the market price of the firms stock and consequently in its earnings and dividends per share. In stock split only the par value and number of outstanding shares are affected. The amounts in the common stock, premium and retained earnings remain unchanged. This is exhibited in the table. It may be noted from the table that although number of shares was doubled, capital account of the firm did not change because of proportional reduction in par value of the stock. EFFECT OF A 2-FOR-1 STOCK SPLIT ON A FIRMS EQUITY Before the Stock Split Common Stock (Re. 1 par, 40,000 shares) 0.50 par, 8,00,000 Premium Retained earnings 4,00,000 3,00,000 40,00,000 47,00,000 After the Stock Split 4,00,000 3,00,000 40,00,000 47,00,000
Except in accounting treatment, the stock dividend and stock split are very similar. Stock split is recorded as a doubling of the number of the shares outstanding and having of the par value per share. For a stock dividend, however, the account increases by the par value of
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A company has the following networth: Capital Stock: Common Shares, Rs. 10 par, 2,00,000 Retained earnings After a 2-for-1 split, this would appear as follows: Capital Stock: Common Shares, Rs. 5 par, 4,00,000 Retained earnings
After a 100 per cent stock dividend the networth would show as follows (using par value as a basis for the transfer): 40,00,000 25,00,000 65,00,000 Owing to differences in accounting procedure the balance sheet will differ in each case, the net effect is the same. A. Reasons for stock splits A number of reasons may be offered for splitting of the firms common stock. These are: i) Broader Marketability of the stock The basic reason of stock split is to provide broader and more stable market for the stock. It is agreed that when stock prices of a company tend to rise sharply due to economic prosperity of the company and its improved profitability and it is believed that the price of the sock has moved out of the price range of any investors narrowing the market of stock, the management may, in a bid to promote wider distribution of shares, resort to stock split. Stock split will result in lowering price of stock and the stocks will be within easy reach of common investors. ii) Need for Garnering External Resources A company contemplating to garner funds from the market may use stock split to prepare ground for new issues. In times of rising stock prices, market price of shares of profitable and prosperous companies rises beyond the reach of a large number of investors. In view of limited saleability of shares, companies may experience a great problem in acquiring desired Capital Stock: Common Shares, Rs. 10 par, 4,00,000 Retained earnings
308
amount of capital. Thus, to increase the marketability of new issues, stock split is very often used. iii) Merger or Acquisition of Companies A firm contemplating merger or acquisition through exchange of stock will often split its stock to make the transactions more attractive to stockholders of the firm it is taking over. Suppose, for example, Globe Company offers to acquire assets of Alfred Company through an exchange of stock. The management of Globe Company decides that an exchange ratio of 1 to 10 (1 share of Globe Company for 10 shares of Alfred Company) would be fair to stockholders of both companies. However, 1:10 exchange ratio may not appeal to stockholders of Alfred company and the offer may be rejected. In such a situation stock split may be employed to make the offer attractive. Thus, the management of Globe Company by splitting 1 share in 5 shares, may put the exchange ratio at 1:2 which may be readily accepted by stockholders of Alfred Company. B. Reverse Split Sometimes, a company may think of reducing the number of shares so as to enhance its share price. This can be accomplished by means of reverse split which means reduction in number of outstanding shares. To illustrate, assume a company has 4,00,000 outstanding shares of Re. 1 share. If the management declares 1-for-2 reverse split, the company will have 2,00,000 shares of Rs. 2 per share. Under this arrangement stockholders receive fewer shares with higher par value. The basic purpose of reverse split is to increase the market value of each share. Companies experiencing financial trouble usually find their share prices declining in the market. Such companies follows the policy of reverse split so as to check further price decline and raise it. The announcement of a reverse split is an indication that the company is in financial jeopardy. Reverse stock splits are not as common as stock split ups. Stock splits must be approved by a majority in number, representing three-fourths in value of members of the firm and approved by a Court of Law. The firm is required to give notice of this alternation to the Registrar of Joint Stock Companies within 30 days of doing so (Section 391, Indian Companies Act, 1956). 4. Scrip Dividend Scrip dividend means payment of dividend in scrip of promissory notes. Sometimes company needs cash generated by business earnings to meet business requirements because of temporary shortage of cash. In such cases the company may issue scrip or notes promising to pay dividend at a future date. The scrip usually bears a definite date of maturity or sometimes maturity date is not stipulated and its payment is left to the discretion of the Board of Directors. Scrips may be interest-bearing or non-interest bearing. Such dividends are relatively scarce. The issue of scrip dividends is justified in the following circumstances: 1. When a company has plentitude of earnings to distribute dividends but cash position is temporarily meager because bulk of the sale proceeds which are tied in receivable
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2. 3.
4. Such a
5. Bond Dividend As in scrip dividends, dividends are not paid immediately in bond dividends. Instead the company promises to pay dividends at a future date and to that effect bonds are issued to stock holders in place of cash. The purpose of both the bond and scrip dividends is alike, i.e., postponement of dividend payments. Difference between the two is in respect of the date of payment and their effect is the same. Both result in lessening of surplus and addition to the liability of the firm. The only difference between bond and scrip dividends is that the former carries longer maturity than the latter. Thus, while issue of bond dividend increases longterm obligation of the company, current liability of the company would rise as a consequence of the issuance of the scrip-dividends. In bond dividends stockholders have stronger claim against the company as compared to dividends. Bond used to pay dividends carry interest. This means that the company assumes fixed obligation of interest payments annually and principal amount of bond at maturity date. It should be remembered that the company is assuming this obligation in return for nothing except credit for declaring dividends. How far the company will be able to satisfy this obligation in future, is also difficult to predict at the time of issue of bonds. The management should, therefore, balance cost of issuing bond dividends against benefits resulting from them before deciding about distribution of dividends in the form of bonds. Bond dividends are not popular in India. 6. Property Dividends In property dividend the company pays dividends in the form of assets other than cash. Generally, asses which are superfluous for the company are distributed as dividends to the stockholders. Sometimes the company may use its products to pay dividends. Securities of the subsidiary companies owned by the company may also take the form of property dividends. This kind of dividend payment is not in vogue in India. FACTORS AFFECTING DIVIDEND POLICY : There is a controversy amongst financial analysts regarding impact of dividends on market price of a companys shares. Some argue that dividends do not have any impact on such
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price while others hold a different opinion. However, preponderance of evidence suggests that dividend policies do have a significant effect on the value of the firms equity shares in the stock exchange. Having accepted this premise, it will now be appropriate to consider those factors which affect the dividend policy of a firm. The factors affecting the dividend policy are both external as well as internal. External factors Following are the external factors which affect the dividend policy of a firm: 1. General state of economy - The general state of economy affects to a great extent the managements decision to retain or distribute earnings of the firm. In case of uncertain economic and business conditions, the management may like to retain the whole or a part of the firms earnings to build up reserves to absorb shocks in the future. Similarly in periods of depression, the management may also withhold-dividends payment to retain a large part of its earnings to preserve the firms liquidity position. In periods of prosperity the management may not be liberal in dividend payments though the earning power of a company warrants it because of availability of larger profitable investment opportunities. Similarly in periods of inflation, the management may withhold dividend payments in order to retain larger proportion of the earnings for replacement of worn-out assets. 2. Legal restrictions - A firm may also be legally restricted from declaring and paying dividends. For example, in India, the companies Act, 1956 has put several restrictions regarding payments and declaration of dividends. Some of these restrictions are as follows: (i) Dividends can only be paid out of (a) the current profits of the company, (b) the past accumulated profits or (c) money provided by the Central or State Governments for the payment of dividends in pursuance of the guarantee given by the Government. Payment of dividend out of capital is illegal. A company is not entitled to pay dividends unless (a) it has provided for present as well as all arrears of depreciation, (b) a certain percentage of net profits of that year as prescribed by the Central Government not exceeding 10%, has been transferred to the reserves of the company. Past accumulated profits can be used for declaration of dividends only as per the rules framed by the Central Government in this behalf.
(ii)
(iii)
Similarly, the Indian Income Tax Act also lays down certain restrictions on payment of dividends. The management has to take into consideration all the legal restrictions before taking the dividend decision otherwise it may be declared as ultra vires.
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3.
opportunities and an outside group is seeking to gain control over the company. However, where the management is strongly in control of the company either because of substantial shareholdings or because of the shares being widely held, the firm can afford to have a high dividend pay out ratio. 4. Liquidity position - The payment of dividends results in cash outflow from the firm. A firm may have adequate earnings but it may not have sufficient cash to pay dividends. It is, therefore, important for the management to take into account the cash position and the overall liquidity position of the firm before and after payment of dividends while taking the dividend decision. A firm may not, therefore, be in a position to pay dividends in cash or at a higher rate because of insufficient cash resources. Such a problem is generally faced by growing firms which need constant funds for financing their expansion activities. STABILITY OF DIVIDEND : Another important diemention of a dividend policy is the stability of dividends i.e. how stable, regular or steady should the dividend stream be, over time? It is generally said that the shareholders favour stable dividends and those dividends, which have prospects of steady upward growth. If a firm develops such a pattern of paying stable and steady dividends, then the investors/shareholders may be willing to pay a higher price for the shares. So while designing a dividend policy for the firm, it is also to be considered as to whether the firm will have a consistency in dividend payments or the dividends will fluctuate from one year to another. In the long run, every firm will like to have a consistent dividend policy, yet fluctuations from one year to another may be unfavourable. Rationale for stability or dividend Most of the firms follow stable dividends or gradually increasing dividends due to following reasons a. Many investors consider dividends as a part of regular income to meet their expenses. Hence, they prefer a predictable pattern of dividends rather than fluctuating pattern. A fall in the dividend inocme may lead to sale of some shares. On the other hand when the dividend income increases, an investor may invest some of the proceeds as reinvestment in shares. Both the cases involve transaction cost and inconvenience for investor. Hence, they prefer regular dividends. b. The dividend policy of firms conveys a lot to the investors. Increasing dividends means better prospects of the company. On the contrary, decreasing dividends suggest bad earnings expectations. In addition, stable dividends are sings of stable earnings of the company. On the other hand, varying dividends lead to uncertainty in the mind of shareholders. c. Certain investors mainly institutional, consider the stability of dividends as an important criterion before they decide on the investment in that particular firm. SHARE BUYBACK (REPURCHASE) : When companies have sufficient liquid assets they resort to share buy back or share repurchase, wherein they cancel or retire a part of its outstanding shares by purchasing from the market or directly from the shareholders. This is particularly relevant when the shares are available
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Clientele effect Investors have diverse preferences. Some want more dividend income; others want more capital gains; still others want a balanced mix of dividend income and capital gains. Over a period of time, investors naturally migrate to firms which have a dividend policy that matches their preferences. The concentration of investors in comapanies with dividend policies that are matched to their preferences is called the clientele effect. The existence of a clientele effect implies that (a) firms get investors they deserve and (b) it will be difficult for a firm to change and established dividend policy. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS: Illustration 1 A company has following capital: 7% Preference Shares of Rs.100 each Ordinary Shares of Rs.10 each 6,00,000 16,00,000 22,00,000 The following information are available relating to its financial year ending 31-12-84: i) Profit, after taxation @ 40%, Rs.5,42,000 ii) Ordinary dividend paid 20%. iii) Depreciation Rs.1,20,000 iv) Market price of Ordinary Shares Rs.40 v) Capital Commitment Rs.2,40,000. You are required to calculate the following: a) The dividend yield on the Ordinary Shares. b) The cover for the preference and Ordinary dividends. c) The earnings yield, d) The price-Earning ratio, e) The Net Cash Flow, f) The reason for the comparison of net cash flow with capital commitment. Solution : a) Dividend yield on ordinary shares (or) dividend yield ratio = (DPS / market price) x 100 = (10 x 20% / 40) x 100 = 5% [Market price = Capitalized value of dividend]
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f) Since the cash flow position shows the firms ability to meet the capital expenditure / capital commitment. Illustration 2 ABC Ltd. has a capital of Rs.10 lakhs in equity shares of Rs.100 each. The shares currently quoted at par. The company proposes declaration of a dividend of Rs.10 per share at the end of the current financial year. The capitalisation rate for the risk class to which the company belongs is 12%. What will be the market price of the share at the end of the year, if i) ii) iii) A dividend is not declared? A dividend is declared? Assuming that the company pays the dividend and has net profits of Rs.5,00,000 and makes new investments of Rs.10 lakhs during the period, how many new shares must be issued? Use the M.M. model.
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i. Market price of share ( P1) if dividend not declared Given D1 = 0 We know, P0 = (D1+P1)/ (1+Ke) P1 = 112 ii. P1 if dividend declared D1 = Rs10 P0 = (D1+P1) / (1+ Ke ) P1 = Rs.102 iii. No of shares to be issued: Dn = (I E + n D1 )/ P1 = (1000000 500000 + 100000) / 102 = 5882 shares Illustration 3 A textile company belongs to a risk-class for which the appropriate PE ratio is 10. It currently has 50,000 outstanding shares selling at Rs.100 each. The firm is contemplating the declaration of Rs.8 dividend at the end of the current fiscal year which has just started. Given the assumption of MM, answer the following questions. i) ii) What will be the price of the share at the end of the year: (a) if a dividend is not declared, (b) if its is declared? Assuming that the firm pays the dividend and has a net income of Rs.5,00,000 and makes new investments of Rs.10,00,000 during the period, how many new shares must be issued? What would be the current value of the firm: (a) if a dividend is declared, (b) if a dividend is not declared? 317
iii)
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Illustration 4 (i) From the following information supplied to you, ascertain whether the firms D/P ratio is optimal according to Walter. The firm was started a year ago with an equity capital of Rs. 20 lakh. Earnings of the firm Dividend paid P/E ratio Rs. 2,00,000.00 1,50,000.00 12.50
Number of shares outstanding, 20,000 @ Rs.100 each. The firm is expected to maintain its current rate of earnings on investment. ii) What should be the P/E ratio at which the dividend payout ratio will have no effect on the value of the share? iii) Will your decision change if the P/E ratio is 8, instead of 12.5? Solution : i. Ke = (EPS / market price) = 1 /(12.5) = 8 % r = (200000 / 2000000) x 100 = 10 % Payout ratio = (150000/200000) x 100 = 75% It is the growth firm (r > Ke), as per WALTERs model the optimum payout ratio is Zero. So in the given case pay out ratio is not optimum. Proof: a). Market price at 75% payout ratio EPS = Rs10 DPS =Rs7.5 r = 10 % & Ke = 8%
Market Price =
DPS +
r (EPS DPS) Ke Ke
Market Price =
b).
7.5+
Market Price =
DPS +
Market Price =
DPS +
r (EPS Ke Ke
At 100% payout.
Market Price =
Illustration 5
DPS +
r (EPS Ke Ke
Excellence Ltd registered earnings of Rs. 800,000 for the year ended 31st March. They finance all investments from out of retained earnings. The opportunities for investments are many. If such opportunities are not availed their earnings will stay perpetually at Rs. 800,000. Following figures are relevant. Policy A B C Retention (%) 0 25 40 Growth (%) 0 5 7 Cost of equity on all investments. 14 15 16
The returns to shareholders are expected to rise if the earnings are retained because of the risk attached to new investments. As for the current year, dividend payments will be made with or without retained earnings. What according to you, should be retained ? 320
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D0 (1 + g) K0 - g
Evaluation of different dividend policies: Policy A Retention ratio Payout ratio g Dividend (D0) D1 Ke Value of firm [(D 1)/ (Ke-g)] (Add) dividend Cum dividend Value of firm 0% 100% 0% 800000 800000 14 % 5714286 800000 6514286 Policy B 25 % 75% 5% 600000 630000 15% 6300000 630000 6930000 Policy C 40% 60% 7% 480000 513600 16% 5706667 513600 6220267
From the above policies, policy B gives more value to the share holders. Hence it is advisable to adopt the policy B.
Illustration 6 X Ltd. has 1000 shares of Rs 10 each raised at a premium of Rs. 15 per share. The companys retained earnings are Rs. 552500. The Companys stock sells for Rs. 20 per share. a. If a 10% stock dividend is declared how may new shares would be issued? b. What would be the market price after the stock dividend? c. How would the equity account change?
d. If a 25% stock dividend is declared what changes will take place? e. f. If the company instead declares a 5:1 stock split, how many shares will be outstanding? What would be the new part value? What would be the new market price? If the company declares a 1:4 reverse split, how many shares will be outstanding? What would be the new par value? What would be the new market price?
g. If the company declares a dividend of Rs. 2 per share and the stock goes ex dividend tomorrow, what will be the price at which it will sell?
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d)
3)
e)
f)
g)
Illustration 7 Following is the capital structure of Progressive Co. Ltd. as on 31st March, 2003. Rs. Equity Share Capital (1,00,000 shares of Rs. 10 each) 10,00,000 Share premium 15,00,000 Reserves & Surpluses 5,00,000 Net worth 30,00,000
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On 1st April, 2001, the company made a bonus issue of two shares for every five held. The market price at the time of bonus issue was Rs. 40 per share. X holds 100 shares of the Progressive Co. Ltd. purchased on 1st April, 1997 a market price of Rs. 30. He sold these shares on 31st March, 2003 at Rs. 50 per share. The income tax rate for X is 20% and capital gain tax is 15% for him. If the company pays a regular dividend of 10% on par before transferring earnings to reserves and surpluses, state whether X was able to earn his required rate of return of 10% on his investment? (The PV at 10% 1st year 0.91; 2nd year 0.83; 3rd year 0.75; 4th year 0.68; 5th year 0.62 and 6th year 0.56). Solution : Appraisal of Investment decision: [NPV method ] 1) Initial Investment (out flow): 100 shares @ 30 each = 3000 2) Present value recurring cash inflows Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 Dividend 100 100 100 140 140 140 Tax 20 20 20 28 28 28 Net cash inflow 80 80 80 112 112 112 Pv factor @ 10% 0.91 0.83 0.75 0.68 0.62 0.56 Present value 72.80 66.40 60.00 76.16 69.44 62.72 386.00 3) Present value of terminal cash inflow: Sale proceeds 140shares@ 50 each = 7000 (-) capital gain tax 4000@ 15% = 600 6400 Its present value = 6400 x 0.56 = 3584 4) NET PRESENT VALUE: Present value of cash inflow (386+3584) (-) outflow Net present value
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