M.B.A.

(302)- Decision Science

(2019 Pattern) (Semester – III)

Time: 2.00 Hours Marks- 50

Instructions:
1. All Questions are Compulsory.
2. Each Questions has an internal options
3. Your answer should be specific and to the point.

Q.1 Answer any 5 out of 8 (2 marks each)

1) What is the role of quantitative techniques in decision making.

2) What are Assignment Models?.
3) What is the Hungarian method that is used In assignment problems.
4) Explain the term “Transportation model”
5) What are constraints in transportation problem.
6) How is Linear Programming used in Transportation problem ?
7) State the purpose of Markov chains ?
8) State the difference between Pure & Mixed Strategy .

Q.2 Answer any 2 out of 3 (5 marks each)

1. Discuss the Concept, 2 × 2 zero sum game.

2. Describe Decision tree concept for decision making .
3. Explain the importance of CPM ?

Q.3 Answer 3 (a) or 3 (b) (10 marks)

Q.3 A) A manufacture of sewing machines is faced with the problem of selecting one of the two
models for manufacturing .The profit depends on the market acceptability of the model which at
present is uncertain but it has been broadly classified into four categories : excellent,good,fair and
poor.
The profits or losses ( losses are indicated by negative sign) expected by the management from the
different levels of market acceptability of the models are as follows:

Market acceptability Profit (Rs.)for the model for the indicated market acceptability
Deluxe Janta
Excellent 60,000 78,000
Good 28,000 30,000
Fair 18,000 8,000
Poor 8,000 -12,000
Use the data above , which product should company select from the standpoint of maximin (gain)
criterion?
or
Q.3 B) Elomatic (India ) Private Limited has only one typist at their head office. Since the
typing work varies in length depending upon the number of pages to be typed and the
number of copies ,the typing rate is randomly distributed approximating poisson
distribution with mean service rate of 8 per hour.The workload for the typist varies during
hours of working time with an average of 5 letters per hour. If the cost of typing is valued at
Rs 12 per hour , determine –
 a) percentage time the typist is busy.
b)average number of letters lying with the typist at any time.
c)average time a letter lies with the typist.
d)probability of six letters with the typist at any time.
e)average cost of typing letters per day.

Q.4 Answer 4 (a) or 4 (b) (10 marks)

Q 4 (a) Solve the following transportation problem as to have total cost minimum.

Origin Destinations
1 2 3 Available units
I 16 19 22 14
II 22 13 19 16
III 14 28 8 12
Required Units 10 15 17

or
Q 4 (b). Plan to achieve the minimum processing cost which job should process on which machine ?
Production unit has four jobs A , B , C ,D which can be manufactured on each of the four machines P ,Q, R &
S . The processing cost of each job for each machine is given in the table below :

Jobs Machines
P Q R S
A 31 25 33 29
B 25 24 23 21
C 19 21 23 24
D 38 36 34 40

Q.5 Answer 5 (a) or 5 (b) (10 marks)

Q5 (a) Develop a LP Model to determine the quantity of each product to be manufactured to maximize profit ?

Company manufactures two products A and B . Both the product pass through two machines M1 & M2.
The time required to process each unit of product A & B on each machine and available capacity of each
machine is given below :

Product Machine
M1 M2
Processing time in hrs. Processing time in hrs.
A 6 2
B 4 4
 Available Capacity (hrs) 3600 2000
Each unit of Product gives a profit of Rs.25 and each unit of product B gives a profit of Rs.20

or

b) Develop the project network .Calculate project duration and determine critical path for the following data:

Activity 1-2 2-3 2-4 2-5 3-7 4-5 4-7 5-6 6-7
Duration 3 4 4 5 4 2 2 3 2
( in days)

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