Cambridge International AS & A Level

CANDIDATE
NAME

CENTRE CANDIDATE
NUMBER NUMBER
*2692649115*

MATHEMATICS 9709/53
Paper 5 Probability & Statistics 1 October/November 2020

1 hour 15 minutes

You must answer on the question paper.

You will need: List of formulae (MF19)

INSTRUCTIONS
³ Answer all questions.
³ Use a black or dark blue pen. You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or graphs.
³ Write your name, centre number and candidate number in the boxes at the top of the page.
³ Write your answer to each question in the space provided.
³ Do not use an erasable pen or correction fluid.
³ Do not write on any bar codes.
³ If additional space is needed, you should use the lined page at the end of this booklet; the question
number or numbers must be clearly shown.
³ You should use a calculator where appropriate.
³ You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for unsupported answers from a
calculator.
³ Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in
degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.

INFORMATION
³ The total mark for this paper is 50.
³ The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in brackets [ ].

This document has 12 pages. Blank pages are indicated.

JC20 11_9709_53/RP
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1 The times taken to swim 100 metres by members of a large swimming club have a normal distribution
with mean 62 seconds and standard deviation 5 seconds.

(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen member of the club takes between 56 and 66 seconds
to swim 100 metres. [3]

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(b) 13% of the members of the club take more than t minutes to swim 100 metres. Find the value
of t. [3]

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2 An ordinary fair die is thrown until a 6 is obtained.

(a) Find the probability that obtaining a 6 takes more than 8 throws. [2]

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Two ordinary fair dice are thrown together until a pair of 6s is obtained. The number of throws taken
is denoted by the random variable X .

(b) Find the expected value of X . [1]

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(c) Find the probability that obtaining a pair of 6s takes either 10 or 11 throws. [2]

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3 A committee of 6 people is to be chosen from 9 women and 5 men.

(a) Find the number of ways in which the 6 people can be chosen if there must be more women than
men on the committee. [3]

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The 9 women and 5 men include a sister and brother.

(b) Find the number of ways in which the committee can be chosen if the sister and brother cannot
both be on the committee. [3]

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4 The 13 00 train from Jahor to Keman runs every day. The probability that the train arrives late in
Keman is 0.35.

(a) For a random sample of 7 days, find the probability that the train arrives late on fewer than 3 days.
[3]

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A random sample of 142 days is taken.

(b) Use an approximation to find the probability that the train arrives late on more than 40 days. [5]

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5 The 8 letters in the word RESERVED are arranged in a random order.

(a) Find the probability that the arrangement has V as the first letter and E as the last letter. [3]

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(b) Find the probability that the arrangement has both Rs together given that all three Es are together.
[4]

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6 Three coins A, B and C are each thrown once.

³ Coins A and B are each biased so that the probability of obtaining a head is 23 .
³ Coin C is biased so that the probability of obtaining a head is 54 .

(a) Show that the probability of obtaining exactly 2 heads and 1 tail is 94 . [3]

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The random variable X is the number of heads obtained when the three coins are thrown.

(b) Draw up the probability distribution table for X . [3]

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(c) Given that E X
= 32

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, find Var X
. [2]

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7 A particular piece of music was played by 91 pianists and for each pianist, the number of incorrect
notes was recorded. The results are summarised in the table.

Number of incorrect notes 1−5 6 − 10 11 − 20 21 − 40 41 − 70

Frequency 10 5 26 32 18

(a) Draw a histogram to represent this information. [5]

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(b) State which class interval contains the lower quartile and which class interval contains the upper
quartile.

Hence find the greatest possible value of the interquartile range. [2]

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(c) Calculate an estimate for the mean number of incorrect notes. [3]

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Additional Page

If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s)
must be clearly shown.

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Permission to reproduce items where third-party owned material protected by copyright is included has been sought and cleared where possible. Every
reasonable effort has been made by the publisher (UCLES) to trace copyright holders, but if any items requiring clearance have unwittingly been included, the
publisher will be pleased to make amends at the earliest possible opportunity.

To avoid the issue of disclosure of answer-related information to candidates, all copyright acknowledgements are reproduced online in the Cambridge
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at www.cambridgeinternational.org after the live examination series.

Cambridge Assessment International Education is part of the Cambridge Assessment Group. Cambridge Assessment is the brand name of the University of
Cambridge Local Examinations Syndicate (UCLES), which itself is a department of the University of Cambridge.

© UCLES 2020 9709/53/O/N/20