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Some More Problems Module 4 With Answer

The document presents 4 problems involving probability distributions and calculations. Problem 1 involves probabilities related to spinning a wheel with numbers 1 to 50. Problem 2 examines mistakes made typing documents modeled by Poisson and normal distributions. Problem 3 analyzes times to complete crosswords using normal distributions. Problem 4 looks at customer service call times modeled by a normal distribution. Calculations are shown finding probabilities, means, variances, and distributions for random variables defined in each problem.

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Bhavya Singh
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79 views15 pages

Some More Problems Module 4 With Answer

The document presents 4 problems involving probability distributions and calculations. Problem 1 involves probabilities related to spinning a wheel with numbers 1 to 50. Problem 2 examines mistakes made typing documents modeled by Poisson and normal distributions. Problem 3 analyzes times to complete crosswords using normal distributions. Problem 4 looks at customer service call times modeled by a normal distribution. Calculations are shown finding probabilities, means, variances, and distributions for random variables defined in each problem.

Uploaded by

Bhavya Singh
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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1. At a school fete fundraiser, an unbiased spinning wheel has numbers 1 to 50 inclusive.

a) Find the probability of getting a multiple of 7 in one spin of the wheel.


b) If the wheel is spin 500 times during the day, what is the likelihood of getting a multiple
of 7 more than 15% of the time?
c) Suppose 20 people play each time the wheel is spin. When a multiple of 7 comes up, $5
is paid to players, but when it does not the players must pay $1.
i) How much would the wheel be expected to make or lose for the school if it was spin
500 times?
ii) Find the probability that the school will lose money if the wheel is spin 500 times
during the day.
2. When typing a document, trainee typists make on average 2.5 mistakes per page. The
mistakes on any one page are made independently of any other page. Suppose X represents
the number of mistakes made on one page, and Y represents the number of mistakes made
in a 52-page document.
a) State the distributions of X and Y . You may assume that the sum of n independent
Poisson random variables, each with mean m, is itself a Poisson random variable with
mean mn.
b) Rana is a trainee typist. Find the probability that Rana will make:
(i) more than 2 mistakes on a randomly chosen page
(ii) more than 104 mistakes in a 52-page document.
c) Now assume that X and Y can be approximated by normal random variables with the
same means and variances as found above. Use the normal approximations to estimate
the probabilities in b.
3. Adam does the crossword in the local newspaper every day. The time taken by Adam, X
minutes, to complete the crossword is modelled by the normal distribution N(22, 5.2 ).
(a) Given that, on a randomly chosen day, the probability that he completes the crossword in
less than a minutes is equal to 0.8, find the value of a.
(b) Find the probability that the total time taken for him to complete five randomly chosen
crosswords exceeds 120 minutes.

Beatrice also does the crossword in the local newspaper every day. The time taken by Beatrice,
Y minutes, to complete the crossword is modelled by the normal distribution N(40, 62 ).
(c) Find the probability that, on a randomly chosen day, the time taken by Beatrice to
complete the crossword is more than twice the time taken by Adam to complete the
crossword. Assume that these two times are independent.
4. Employees answer the telephone in a customer relations department. The time taken for an
employee to deal with a customer is a random variable which can be modelled by a normal
distribution with mean 150 seconds and standard deviation 45 seconds.
a) Find the probability that the time taken for a randomly chosen customer to be dealt with
by an employee is greater than 180 seconds.
b) Find the probability that the time taken by an employee to deal with a queue of three
customers is less than nine minutes. At the start of the day, one employee, Amanda, has
a queue of four customers. A second employee, Brian, has a queue of three customers.
You may assume they work independently.
c) Find the probability that Amanda’s queue will be dealt with before Brian’s queue.
: X i N ( 80,10 ) ,i=1,2∧Y i N ( 55,5 ) ,i=1,2,3

T=Xi-Yj
Mean(T)=2*80-3*55-5=-10
Variance (T) = 2(10)^2+3(5)^2=200+75=275
T~N(-10,275)
P(T>0)= 1-pnorm(5,-5,275)
[1] 0.2732
X~B(7,0.3)
P(X=3)=0.2268945

3p^2(1-p)=0.441 , solve p=0.7


m^2-4m-2=0
s.d = sqrt(4.449)

pnorm(4,3,3)-pnorm(0,3,3)
[1] 0.4719034
> dbinom(2,4,0.4719034)
[1] 0.3726355
Ans 4:
R~N(4.2,0.15)
T~N(5.6,0.17)
X=R1+..+R7-T1-T2-..-T5
Mean(X)=7(4.2)-5(5.6)=1.4
Variance of X= 7(0.15)^2+5(0.17)^2=0.302

1-pnorm(0,1.4,sqrt(0.302))
= 0.995
Xbar~N(8,root(0.2))
pnorm(8,8,sqrt(0.2))-pnorm(7,8,sqrt(0.2))
[1] 0.4873263

Sum~N(1000,sqrt(728))
P(Sum>1000)=0.5
M=2X-3Y, E(X)=3=V(X) , E(Y)=1=V(Y)
Mean(M)=2(3)-3(1)=3, V(M)=4(3)+9(1)=21
Not follow poisson
S=X+Y, E(S)=4, V(S)=4
P(S=0)=e^-4

Variance(W)=520
P(W>0)=0.0242

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