The Business Cycle
The Business Cycle
The Business Cycle
" A business cycle refers to periods of expansion and contraction. A peak is the high
point following a period of economic expansion. A trough is the low point following a
period of economic decline.
The recurring and fluctuating levels of economic activity that an economy experiences
over a long period of time.
According to Arthur F. Burns and Wesley C. Mitchell..
• Business cycles are a type of fluctuation found in the aggregate economic activity of nations
that organize their work mainly in business enterprises.
A cycle consists of:
Expansions.
General recessions.
Contractions
And revivals which merge into the expansion phase of the next cycle.
According to Joseph Business
Cycle has 4 steps.....
• Expansion: Increase in production and prices, low interests rates.
• Crisis: Stock exchanges crash and multiple bankruptcies of firms occur.
• Recession: Drops in prices and in output high interests rates.
• Recovery/Revival: Stocks recover because of the fall in prices and incomes.
Boom
• The business outlook is extremely optimistic.
• The important features of prosperity are:
• a high level of output ,trade, employment and income,
• a high level of effective demand and high marginal efficiency of capital,
• a large expansion of bank credit, and
• a rising trend in prices, profits and interest rates.
Peak
A peak is the highest point of a business cycle and is followed by a contraction and
eventual trough. Peaks are called after the fact once economic indicators have
confirmed that contraction has set in and isn't simply noise.
Characterized by
Phase during which the downward trend in the economy slows down and eventually
stops
Economic activities once again register an upward movement
Period of severe strain on the economy
Economy registers a continuous and rapid upward trend in output, employment, etc.
It enters the phase of recovery
Recovery
• The rising price of an asset
• Increased economic activity during a business cycle, resulting in growth in the gross domestic
product.
• Collection of all or a portion of a debt previously considered uncollectible.
• Valuable materials remaining after processing.
• Proceeds from the sale of an asset that represent depreciation that has already been taken.
Expansion
Increase in;
Output
Employment
Investment
Aggregate demand
Bank credits
Wholesale & Retail prices
Per capita output
Standard of living
Recovery and expansion
In the recovery phase the growth rate may still remain below the steady growth rate.
When it exceeds this rate, the economy enters the phase of expansion And prosperity