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Chapter 3: Some special distributions Lê Huy

Question 1 7/10 pts

Suppose that a person is waiting for an email. He knows that the email will arrive at a time uniformly
between 9:00 p.m and 10:00 pm. He checks his email box at 9:20 pm and after each 50 minutes. Find
the probability that the email has arrived less than 16 minutes before his checking. 

Answer: 0.3667

Question 2 20/20 pts 1

CNNBC recently reported that the mean annual cost of auto insurance is 985 dollars. Assume the
standard deviation is 211 dollars. You take a simple random sample of 64 auto insurance policies.

Find the probability that a sample of size n = 64 is randomly selected with a mean less than 973
dollars.

Answer: 0.3246 .

Question 3 7.5/10 pts 0-1

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Consider the joint probability mass function for the type of customer service X (0 = telephonic hotline, 1
= Email) and of satisfaction score Y (1 = unsatisfied, 2 = satisfied, 3 = very satisfied):
X\Y 1 2 3
0 0.43 0 0.21
1 0.06 c 0.12

1. Find the constant c.

Answer:  0.18

2. If a customer chooses to use the telephonic hotline service, what is the probability that this person is
NOT unsatisfied?

Answer: 0.1344

3. Find the average and the standard deviation of the satisfaction score.

The average: 1.84

4. Among 10 customers who used the customer services, find the probability that 4 of them chose the
telephonic hotline service.

Answer: 0.0767

Question 4 8.5/10 pts 0-1

The life span of a specific fan is an Exponential random variable with the mean of 15 years.

1. If the manufacturer only warrants the products for the first 2 years, what percentage of the products
need warranty?

Answer: 0.1248

2. Among the products that do not require a warranty, what percentage of the products have a lifespan
less than 15 years?

Answer: 57.9650 (%)

Question 5 10/10 pts 1

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The systolic blood pressure of adults in the USA is nearly normally distributed with a mean of 117
millimeters of mercury (mmHg) and standard deviation of 25. Someone qualifies as having Stage 2 high
blood pressure if their systolic blood pressure is 160 or higher.

1. What is the probability that an adult in the USA has stage 2 high blood pressure? 
Answer: 0.0427

2. What is the systolic blood pressure that cuts off the top 2.5% of adults in the USA?

Answer: 165.9991 (mmHg)

3. In a group of 19 adults, find the probability that their average systolic blood pressure is between 123
and 171.7?

Answer: 0.1477

Question 6 10/10 pts 1

In analyzing hits by bombs in a past war, a city was subdivided into 461 regions, each with an area of
0.5-km². A total of 354 bombs hit the combined area of 461 regions. The Poisson distribution applies
because we are dealing with the occurrences of an event (bomb hits) over some interval (a region with
area of 0.5-km²).

1. Find the mean number of hits per region:

 Answer: 0.7679

2. Find the standard deviation of hits per region:

Answer: 0.8763

3. If a region is randomly selected, find the probability that it was hit exactly twice.

Answer: 0.1368

4. Based on the probability found above, how many of the 461 regions are expected to be hit exactly
twice?

Answer: 63

5. If a region is randomly selected, find the probability that it was hit at most twice.

Answer: 0.9571

Question 7 13.33/20 pts 0-1

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Assume that each package of a company contains 4 products and the number of defective products in
one package has the following distribution:

X 0 1 2 3 4
P 0.01 0.09 0.29 0.4 0.21

1. Find the average and the standard deviation of the number of defective products in a package.  

Answer: E(X) = 2.71

Answer: σ(X) = 0.9261

Answer: 0.1224

Question 8 7.78/10 pts 0-1

A company producing cereals offers a toy in every 9 cereal package in celebration of their 50th
anniversary. A father immediately buys 30 packages.

1. What is the probability of finding 3 toys in the 30 packages?

Answer: 0.2316

2. What is the probability of finding no toy at all?

Answer: 0.0292

3. What are the mean and standard deviation of number of toys in the 30 packages?

Mean: 3.3333

Standard deviation: 0.0574

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