Liquidation Based Valuation
Liquidation Based Valuation
Valuation
Ms. Retchie Jasper Dangeros-Lorenzo, CPA, MBA
• Liquidation Value
• Situations to consider Liquidation
OUTLINE
Value
• Types of Liquidation
• Calculating Liquidation Value
LIQUIDATION BASED VALUATION
For most companies, the value generated by assets working together and by
human capital applied to managing those assets makes estimated going-
concern value greater than liquidation value.
However, if there will be circumstances that occur which doubts the going-
concern ability of a business, using going-concern value may not be
appropriate anymore as the future cash flows will not be realizable anymore.
For example, for the case of hotel closes, the assets it owns like beds, chairs,
furniture, and kitchen equipment can be sold as part of a package or separately.
These assets are priced based on the value it can fetch if buyers buy these
assets separately. If these assets will be sold separately, there is no guarantee
that they can generate future cash flows anymore as it once did when it was used
in the hotel.
Liquidation value is the base price of the floor price for any firm valuation
exercise.
1) BUSINESS FAILUES
Business failure is the most common reason why businesses close or liquidate.
Early symptoms of business failure are low or negative returns. Companies which
consistently report operating losses will eventually impact and reduce firm value.
If the firm only earns return at a rate lower than its cost of capital, this might
signal business failure. When left unresolved, this may lead to insolvency or even
bankruptcy.
SITUATIONS TO CONSIDER LIQUIDATION VALUE
1) BUSINESS FAILUES
Insolvency happens when a company cannot pay liabilities as they come due.
Insolvent firms have asset balance which is still greater than liabilities but is
having liquidity problems as a result of depleted cash. Bankruptcy is the most
serious type of business failure as this happens when liabilities become greater
than asset balance. As a result, shareholders' equity becomes negative balance.
This signifies that the firm cannot settle all its liabilities unless the assets can be
sold at a higher price than its book value (which is not often the case).
SITUATIONS TO CONSIDER LIQUIDATION VALUE
1) BUSINESS FAILUES
1) BUSINESS FAILUES
The external factors that would attribute to business failure may the form of, but
not limited to the following:
• severe economic down-turn
• dynamic consumer preferences
• material adverse governmental action or regulation
• occurrence of natural disasters or calamities
• occurence of pandemic or general health hazards
SITUATIONS TO CONSIDER LIQUIDATION VALUE
1) BUSINESS FAILUES
Liquidation value can be used for businesses which are closing, are closed, are in
bankruptcy, are in industries that are irreversible trouble, or going concern firms
that isn't putting its assets to good use and may be better off closing down and
selling the assets. For distressed companies, the liquidation value conveys
relevant information as it typically the lower bound of the valuation range.
SITUATIONS TO CONSIDER LIQUIDATION VALUE
Most companies only have finite number of years to operate as state in their
Articles of Incorporation. This is also similar in the case of projects like joint
ventures with finite life. Once the date arrives and life is not extended, due
process takes place to end the life of the corporation and start the liquidation
process. Non-extension of corporate life may stem from collective decision of
shareholders to stop the operation and realize value from liquidating the company
instead. If corporate end of life is already certain, it is more appropriate to
compute terminal value using liquidation value.
SITUATIONS TO CONSIDER LIQUIDATION VALUE
In some industries like mining and oil, availability of scarce resources significantly
influences firm value. Oftentimes, there are also industries that are highly
regulated by the government. Government regulation often requires that
companies seek approval from the government prior to commencement of
operations. Once the contract with the government expires or scarce resource
become fully depleted and no new site is prepared to support operation, this
might signal potential liquidation and valuation should be based on liquidation
value.
GENERAL PRINCIPLES ON LIQUIDATION VALUE
However, if the company can be readily liquidated any time, market price per
share should never be below book value per share if all reported assets in the
balance sheet is accurate.
TYPES OF LIQUIDATION
Determining the type of liquidation that will occur is important because it will
affect the costs connected with liquidation of the property, including commissins
for those facilitating the liquidation (lawyers, accountants, auditors) and taxes at
the end of the transaction. These necessary expenses affect the final value of the
business.
TYPES OF LIQUIDATION
Assets are sold strategically over an orderly period to attract and generate the
most money for the assets is known as an orderly liquidation.
This liquidation process will expose assets for sale on the open market, with a
reasonable time allowed to find a purchaser, both buyer and seller having
knowledge of the uses and purposes to which the asset is adapted and for which
it is capable of being used, the seller being compelled to sell and the buyer being
willing, but not compelled, to buy.
TYPES OF LIQUIDATION
Liquidation process, at which the asset or assets are sold as quickly as possible,
such as at an auction. This is known as forced liquidation.
The liquidation value considers the present value of the sums that can be
obtained through the disposal (i.e. sale) of the assets of the firm in the most
appropriate way, net of the sums set aside for the closure costs, repayment of the
debts and settlement of all liabilities, and net of the tax charges related to the
transaction and the costs of the process of liquidation itself,
CALCULATING LIQUIDATION VALUE
Liquidation value can further computed on a per share basis by dividing total
liquidation value by outstanding ordinary shares. Liquidation value per share
should be considered together with other quantities (e.g. current share price,
going concern DCF) and qualitative metrics to justify business decisions to be
made.
CALCULATING LIQUIDATION VALUE
Calculation for liquidation value at closure date is somewhat like the book value
calculation, except the value assumes a forced or orderly liquidation of assets
instead of book value. Book value should not be used as liquidation value.
Liquidation value can be obtained based on the potential sales price of the assets
being sold instead of relying on the costs recorded in the books. Liquidation value
is far more realistic as compared to the book value method. Even if these assets
generate lower than expected return in the present business, liquidation value
should be based on the potential earning capacity of the individual asset when
sold to the buying party instead of the original capital invested in the assets.
CALCULATING LIQUIDATION VALUE
In practice, the liabilities of the business are deducted from the liquidation value
of the assets at closure to determine the liquidation value of the business. The
overall value of a business that uses this method should be lower than going-
concern value.
CALCULATING LIQUIDATION VALUE
Pavement Company reported below balances based on its accounting books records. Pavement Company has 250,000
outstanding shares.
PAVEMENT COMPANY
December 31, 2019
(in ‘000 Philippine Pesos) Pavement Company is undergoing financial
problems and management would like to
ASSETS
assess liquidation value as part of their
Cash 100,000
strategy formulation. If assets will be
Accounts Receivable (A/R) – Net 800,000
Inventories 3,500,000 sold/realized, they will only realize amount
Prepaid Expenses 100,000 based on table.
Property, Plant, and Equipment – Net 4,500,000
Total Assets 9,000,000
LIABILITIES
Notes Payable 1,200,000
Other Liabilities 800,000
Total Liabilities 2,000,000
Asset Valued At:
Cash 100%
Golda company, which is a company specifically created for a joint venture agreement
to extract gold, will ends its corporate life in 3 years. Net Cash Flow expected during the
years it still operate is at Php 3,000,000 per year. At the end of its life, Golda estimates
to incur Php 10,000,000 for closure and rehabilitation costs for its mining site and other
costs related to the liquidation process. Cost of capital is set at 10%. Remaining assets
by end of the corporate life will be bought by another company Php 30,000,000 and
remaining debt of Php 4,000,000 will be fully paid off by then. If the valuation happens
now, compute for the value of Golda Company.
Since Gold Company will terminate its life after 3 years, it is more appropriate to use
liquidation value as terminal value input to the DCF model. For the three years prior to
the closure, Golda Company will continue to generate positive Net Cash Flow and this
will form part of its value.
ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLE 2
PV of Net Cash Flow (Year 1) = Php 3,000,000 x 0.9091 = Php 2,727, 273
PV of Net Cash Flow (Year 2) = Php 3,000,000 x 0.8264 = Php 2,479,339
PV of Net Cash Flow (Year 3) = Php 3,000,000 x 0.7513 = Php 2,253,944
Since corporate life ends by Year 3, terminal value will be based on the liquidation value
of Year 3
Cash flows during the remaining operating life and liquidation value by end of Year 3
should be combined to arrive at the value of Golda Company now
Droid Company's balance sheet revealed total assets of Php 3 million, total liabilities of
Php 1 million, and 100,000 shares of outstanding ordinary shares. Upon checking with
potential buyers, the assets of Droid can be sold for Php 1.8 million if sold today.
Additional Php 300,000 will also be incurred to cover liquidation expenses. How much is
the liquidation value of Droid Company per share?
To compute for the liquidation value in this example, we need to consider how much the
company will receive from the assets if it will sell today. This money will also be used to
pay for the remaining liabilities and liquidation expenses.
ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLE 3
Liquidation Value refers to the value of a company if it were dissolved and its assets
sold individually. Liquidation value represents the net amount that can be gathered if the
business is shut down and its assets are sold piecemeal. Liquidation value is
considered as the minimum or floor value for any firm valuation exercise. Liquidation
value is the most conservative valuation approach among all as it considers the
realizable value of the asset if it is sold now based on current condiations.
SUMMARY
Liquidation value is appropriate in the cases of business failures, end of life of the
business of project and depletion of scarce resources.
The liquidation value considers the present value of the sums that can be obtained
through the disposal (i.e. sale) of the assets of the firm in the most appropriate way, net
of the sums aside from the closure costs, repayment of the debts and settlement of all
liabilities, and net of the tax charges related to the transaction and the costs of the
process of liquidation itself.
SUMMARY
For better appreciation of shareholders, liquidation value can be divided by the number
of outstanding ordinary shares to arrive at the liquidation value per share. Liquidation
value per share should typically always below market price per share in times of
profitable operations. If liquidation value per share exceeds market price, this might
signal significant downturn for the business
REFERENCE
Valuation Concepts and Methodologies by Lascano, Baron, and Cachero (2021 edition)