Technical Finance Interview Prep - Course Manual
Technical Finance Interview Prep - Course Manual
Technical Finance
Interview Prep
v WWW.WALLSTREETPREP.COM
Wall Street Prep Training Manual
Accounting
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Welcome to financial
accounting!
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This course is
different from most
accounting courses…
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We’re not going to do
a lot of lecture…
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We’re going to learn
almost entirely
through exercises…
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Because we have a
very important goal...
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To keep you
conscious
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So let’s go!
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Let’s quickly start
with some basics…
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Accounting
Assets Liabilities
(what we own) (third parties funding our assets)
Examples
Examples
Debt
Cash
Money we owe vendors
Money owed to us
Inventory
Machines
Land Equity
(internal sources funding our
Intellectual Property assets)
Examples
Stock issuance
Profits
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Exercise A
Let’s open a
lemonade stand
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Accounting
Opening balance
• It’s December 31, 2018 and you decide to open a lemonade stand.
• You incorporate and make yourself the sole owners (all the stock certificates are in
your name).
• Your open up a business checking account into which you put $100,000 of your own
money and borrow $50,000 from the bank.
• The bank agrees to lend you the $50,000 at a 10% annual interest rate. You won’t
have to pay back the loan for 5 years.
• Since you own 100% of the company, you arbitrarily set the company’s number of
shares outstanding at 10,000.
• Of the $150,000, you spend $20,000 on lemons, sugar and cups (inventories).
$20,000 is enough to make 100,000 cups ($0.20 per cup).
• You also purchase a lemon squeezer and a lemonade stand (property, plant and
equipment) for $30,000 (you estimate a useful life of PP&E of 3 years).
• You report under US GAAP
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
“bottom line”
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Accounting
Selling, general & administrative (SG&A) (15,000) Paid employee salary in cash
EBITDA 65,000 Arguably the most widely used profit metric
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
• This is the “direct method” for calculating cash during the period –
simply take cash receipts, less disbursements.
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
Working capital
• The $20,000 increase in A/R on the B/S
needs to be treated as a reduction to net
income because net income captures
$100,000 in revenues and we just want
the $80,000 in cash here.
• The $20,000 reduction in inventories on
the B/S needs to be treated as an
increase to net income because net
income captured a $20,000 COGS
expense that was non-cash
• These two items illustrate a broad rule:
Increases in assets are reflected in the
cash flow statement as outflows, while
decreases in assets are reflected in the
CFS as inflows…. more on this shortly
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Accounting
Capital expenditures 0
Other investments 0
Cash for investing 0
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Accounting
Income Statement
For the year ending 12/31/2019
Revenues 100,000
Cost of goods sold (COGS) (20,000)
Selling, general & administrative (SG&A) (15,000)
Depreciation & amortization (D&A) (10,000)
Interest expense (5,000)
Pretax profit (EBT) 50,000
Taxes (20,000)
Net Income 30,000
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Accounting
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Accounting
EBITDA things
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Accounting
Financial reporting
• Calculate Apple’s EBITDA for 2018
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Accounting
Discussion:
• Why does EBITDA matter so much?
• Is it more important than net income or
cash flows?
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Exercise B
Let’s take it up a
notch
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Accounting
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Accounting
Before we continue…
• As you may have already noticed, every single transaction can be
viewed as having two sides:
Examples of transactions
Buying a plant Buying inventory Issuing stock
Paying an invoice
with cash on credit To raise cash
Source of Cash The creation of an Cash Additional equity
funds (asset goes down) accounts payable (asset goes down) investors are the
(a liability goes up) source of funds
(“credit”)
(equity goes up)
Before we continue…
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Accounting
Inventory
• You bought $30,000 in inventories to replenish supply ($20,000 cash,
$10,000 on supplier credit)
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
Prepaid expenses
• You paid $10,000 in utilities for 2019 and an additional $2,500 as
prepayment for Q1 2020
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Accounting
Accrued expenses
• Your employee has earned a $4,000 year end bonus, which you have yet
to pay
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Accounting
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Accounting
Investment income
• In the middle of the year you used $100,000 of your cash to invest in
treasuries and other marketable securities with an annualized return of
2%
Financial statement impact
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Accounting
Borrowing
• You borrowed an extra $200,000 from the bank (no new interest
recorded in current year)
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Accounting
Common dividends
• You paid yourself a $10,000 dividend
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Accounting
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Accounting
Income Statement
For the year ending 12/31/2019
BEFORE AFTER
Revenues 100,000 102,000
Cost of goods sold (COGS) (20,000) (20,400)
Gross profit 80,000 81,600
% Gross profit margin 80% 80%
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Accounting
Leave this empty for now. The cash flow statement will
make calculating this easier
You sold some gift cards but didn’t earn the revenue
from those sales yet. When that happens, this liability
converts to revenue.
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Accounting
Balance Sheet
The cash flow statement will make calculating this easier
Assets 12/31/2018 12/31/2019
Cash 100,000 ??? 20,000 of revenue is still owed to you by customers
Marketable securities 100,000
Accounts Receivable (AR) 0 20,000 Replenished inventories, less additional $400 used for gift cards
Equity
Common Equity 100,000 100,000
Retained Earnings 0 13,160
Prior period RE + net income, less dividends
Total Equity 100,000 113,160
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
Balance Sheet
Date: 12/31/2018 12/31/2019
Link the ending cash balance
ASSETS derived in the cash flow statement
Cash 100,000 168,060 to complete the 2019 year-end
Marketable securities 0 100,000 balance sheet
Accounts receivable (A/R) 0 20,000
Inventories 20,000 29,600
Prepaid expenses 0 2,500
Property, plant and equipment 30,000 60,000
Total Assets 150,000 380,160
LIABILITIES
Accounts Payable (AP) 0 10,000
Accrued expenses 0 4,000
Deferred revenue 0 3,000
Debt 50,000 250,000
Total Liabilities 50,000 267,000
EQUITY
Common Equity 100,000 100,000
Retained Earnings 0 13,160
Total Equity 100,000 113,160
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Exercise C
We’re going to go
ahead and
take it up
another notch
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
Preferred stock
• You raised an additional $100,000 from preferred shareholders at the
beginning of the year. In exchange you will pay a 10% annual preferred
dividend.
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Accounting
Inventory write-down
• During the year, $3,000 worth of lemons spoiled. In accordance with
GAAP, you will record this as an operating expense (because it is not
significant, you embed within cost of goods sold). However, since you
believe it is a one-time event, you will calculate a separate “non-GAAP”
presentation of gross profit, EBITDA and EBIT that ignores this
expense.
Financial statement impact
Income statement Cash flow Balance sheet
statement
• Inventory write-down is an operating expense on A noncash • Retained
the income statement addback on earnings
• In practice, it might be embedded inside cost of cash from (Debit)
sales or identified as a separate operating line item operations • Inventory
• Often it is ignored by analysts when calculating (Credit)
EBITDA due to its infrequent nature
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
• Since the amount of tax you actually pay is based on how the tax authorities (the IRS in
the US, for example) calculate expenses, the IRS’s higher-than-GAAP tax depreciation
expense means lower actual 2019 tax (by the amount of $5,000 x 40% = $2,000) than
what GAAP shows on the tax expense line.
• Note this is only a temporary phenomena in year 1. By year 3, book depreciation will be
higher than tax.
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Accounting
• However, GAAP reconciles this by creating a deferred tax liability in the amount of the
difference – in this case $2,000 created in 2019
• The DTL reflects that you paid less in actual taxes than what the GAAP tax expense shows
• It is a “deferred” liability because this tax will eventually be paid (in our case, by year 3)
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Accounting
Like write-downs, gains on sale (and losses on sale) are either identified separately
or embedded within a larger expense category. Gains and losses are generally
treated as non-recurring items and ignored when calculating EBITDA.
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
Leave this empty for now. The cash flow statement will
make calculating this easier
During the year, you bought a trademark and sold it. Like with
inventory, a separate schedule (next page will help to show
everything)A separate schedule
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Accounting
We’re at a point of
complexity where it will be
much easier to determine
end of year balances for
inventories and intangible
assets via separate
schedules below the
balance sheet.
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Accounting
All the remaining items in the cash flow statement can be derived from the balance sheet
and income statement – no need to directly hardcode anything else
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Exercise D
Let’s make a
deal
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
Acquisition accounting
• At year-end, you acquired a hot dog stand business for $80,000 in cash with the following
fair value of assets and liabilities: $10,000 in accounts receivable, $50,000 in PP&E,
$5,000 in accounts payable.
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
Accounts receivable,
PP&E and accounts
payable are now
increased. We already
have a schedule for
PP&E that we just need
to adjust, while we
create schedules for
A/R and A/P.
Since you paid way more than the
fair value of the assets (net of
liabilities) you acquired, the excess
of the purchase price over the fair
value of these net assets is reflected
as goodwill
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Exercise E
Let’s talk debt, baby
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Accounting
Capital Structure
• Pick up from Exercise C except now imagine that on December 31 of 2018 (the day
you started your business) you actually borrowed 5 tranches of debt:
◽ 10,000 - Revolving Credit Facility L+400, 1% floor, paid at year end
◽ 10,000 – Term Loan, 5 Years L+450, 1% floor, paid at year end with 2,000
principal amortization (required paydown) in each year, also paid at year end
◽ 20,000 – 7 Year Note 8% Coupon, paid at year end
◽ 10,000 – 8 Year Note 10% Coupon, paid-in-kind (PIK)
◽ Assume Libor is 1.5%
• In addition, you had to pay financing fees in cash upfront of 2% of the principal for
each tranche except for the revolver1
• Update the Income Statement (including EPS), Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
Statement
1 Revolver commitment fees (fees on undrawn amounts are capitalized as an asset rather). We will ignore these fees here.
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Accounting
1 Since this increases interest expense but is non-cash, it is added back as a non cash expense in cash from operations
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Accounting
Financing fees
• When a company borrows money, either through a term loan or a bond, it
usually incurs third party financing fees (called debt issuance costs) to
bankers, lawyers and anyone else involved in arranging the financing
• Accounting rules were changed in 2015, calling for deducting these fees
directly against the carrying amount of the debt liability as you see below for
Sealed Air Corp:
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Accounting
Financing fees
• Over the term of borrowing, these fees will be amortized, and that
amortization will be classified within interest expense on the income
statement
• Like PIK interest, since this increases interest expense but is non-cash,
it is added back as a non cash expense in cash from operations
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Exercise F
(Advanced)
Noncontrolling
interests
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Accounting
Noncontrolling interests
• Picking up from Exercise D, except now imagine that on December 31 of 2018 (the
day you started your business) you also acquired a digital marketing firm with the
following details:
◽ You acquire 80% of the target for $300k; Remaining 20% with now
“noncontrolling interests”
◽ You finance with $100k in cash and a $200k, 5-year note at 10% cash interest
At the acquisition date the target had the During 2019, the target generated the following:
following fair value of assets and liabilities
$25,000 in accounts receivable Revenue of $90,000
$20,000 in intangible assets COGS of $8,000
$12,000 in accounts payable. SG&A of $30,000
No other expenses
40% tax rate
Update the Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement
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Accounting
There’s a lot to do so we do it in a
separate schedule below and then we’ll
link back up to the balance sheet. Also
remember that this happened on
12/31/2018 so the consolidation of these
assets and liabilities should already be
reflected on the opening balance sheet.
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
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Accounting
The deal created goodwill on the opening B/S. Recall you also have the
hot dog stand goodwill generated during the year so the 12/31/2019
will be greater than the 12/31/2018 goodwill
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Accounting
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Wall Street Prep Training Manual
Valuation
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Valuation
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Valuation
Introduction to valuation
• Valuation is … the process of determining the “right” value of a
business.
• Valuation is NOT … an exact science;
Several approaches are used.
• Valuation is … influenced by the
objectives of those doing the
valuation.
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Valuation
• When the client is the buyer: What is the best (usually lowest) price we can negotiate?
• When the client is the seller: What’s the best (usually highest) price we can negotiate?
• When the client is a company going public: What’s the right pricing for our IPO?
• Should we buy, sell or hold positions in • How do we enhance the value of our
a given security? company?
• Will this investment yield the desired • How will operating, financial, and investment
return? decisions affect the company’s value?
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Valuation
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Valuation
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Valuation
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Valuation
Balance Sheet
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Valuation
Balance Sheet
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Valuation
• No … our lemonade stand’s value is not a function of what the balance sheet tells
us.
• In fact, businesses are usually worth more than their “book” values because real
value is a function of future expectations, not historical carrying values
• The other major exception is when doing a “liquidation analysis” for a troubled
company.
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Valuation
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Valuation
Comparable Comparable
Discounted Cash Flow
Company Transactions Other
Analysis
Analysis Analysis
Value a company by Value a company by Value a company by Leveraged buyout (LBO) analysis:
finding similar looking at the amount looking at the future A specific type of valuation approach that
companies that are buyers have paid for cash flows it can looks at the value of a company to new
public and have acquiring similar generate and discount acquirers under a highly leveraged
readily observable companies in the them to the present to scenario with specific return requirements.
market prices. recent past. arrive at a present value We’ll talk about this approach later, but it’s
of your business. basically a hybrid of DCF and comps
valuation.
Because these approaches arrive at a Liquidation analysis: Value a company
company’s value by looking at the value of under a worst case liquidation scenario.
similar companies, these approaches fall under Because the DCF arrives
at a company value by
the umbrella of “relative valuation.”
looking at the company’s
specific cash flow
While the DCF and comps are the most
forecasts and risks, the
common valuation approaches, there are
DCF approach is a type
often other, specific valuation approaches
of “intrinsic valuation”,
that are included in analyses when it
as opposed to “relative
makes sense to do so. For our purposes,
valuation.”
we’ll spend less time on them because they
don’t tend to come up nearly as much in
interviews.
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Wall Street Prep Training Manual
DCF
v
DCF
• We can express this formulaically as (we denote the discount rate as r):
• So, let’s say you’re promised $1,000 next year and decide you’re willing to pay $800.
We can express this (and solve for r) as:
• If I make the same proposition but instead of only promising $1,000 next year, let’s say
I promise $1,000 for the next 5 years. The math gets only slightly more complicated:
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DCF
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DCF
▸ Forecast and discount the operating cash flows. That gets you enterprise value. Then,
when you have a present value, just add any non-operating assets such as cash, and
subtract any financing related liabilities such as debt. That will get you equity value.
▸ Forecast and discount the cash flows that remain available to equity shareholders after
cash flows to all non-equity claims (i.e. debt) have been removed. That gets you equity
value. Add back net debt and you will get enterprise value.
• Both should theoretically lead to the same enterprise value and equity value at the end (though in
practice it’s actually pretty hard to get them to exactly equal).
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DCF
• Step 1 is to forecast the cash flows a company generates from its core operations after accounting for all
operating expenses and investments. These cash flows are called “unlevered free cash flows.”
• You can’t keep forecasting cash flows forever. At some point, you must make some high level assumptions
about cash flows beyond the final explicit forecast year by estimating a lump-sum value of the business
past its explicit forecast period.
3. Discounting the cash flows to the present at the weighted average cost of capital
• The discount rate that reflects the riskiness of the UFCFs is called the weighted average cost of capital
(WACC). Because unlevered free cash flows represent all operating cash flows, these cash flows “belong”
to both the company’s lenders and owners.
• As such, the risks of both providers of capital need to be accounted for using appropriate capital structure
weights (hence the term “weighted average” cost of capital). Once discounted, the present value of all
UFCFs is the enterprise value.
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DCF
• The ultimate goal of the DCF is to get at what belongs to the equity owners (equity value).
• Therefore, if a company has any non-operating assets such as cash or has some investments just
sitting on the balance sheet, we must add them to the present value of UFCFs.
• For example, if we calculate that the present value of Apple’s unlevered free cash flows is $700
billion, but then we discover that Apple also has $200 billion in cash just sitting around, we should
add this cash.
• Similarly, if a company has any loan obligations (or any other non-equity claims against the
business), we need to subtract this from the present value.
• What’s left over belongs to the equity owners. In our example, if Apple had $50 billion in debt
obligations at the valuation date, the equity value would be calculated as:
$700 billion (enterprise value) + $200 billion (non-operating assets) – $50 billion (debt) = $850 billion
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DCF
• The equity value tells us what the total value to owners is.
• But what is the value of each share?
• In order to calculate this, we divide the equity value by the
company’s diluted shares outstanding.
• For public companies, the equity value per share that the DCF spits
out can now be compared to the market share price.
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DCF
Unlevered FCF = EBIT x (1- tax rate) + D&A + NWC – Capital expenditures
• EBIT: Earnings before interest and taxes. This represents a company’s GAAP-based operating profit.
• Tax rate: The tax rate the company is expected to face. When forecasting taxes, we usually use a
company’s historical effective tax rate.
• Change in NWC: Annual changes in net working capital. Increases in NWC are cash outflows while
decreases are cash inflows.
• Capital expenditures: Represents cash investments the company must make in order to sustain the
forecast growth of the business. If you don’t factor in the cost of required reinvestment into the business,
you will overstate the value of the company by giving it credit for EBIT growth without accounting for the
investments required to achieve it.
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DCF
Two-stage DCF
• To figure out the value of a business today, theoretically you have to find the
present value of ALL future unlevered free cash flows.
• Finance professionals usually only explicitly forecast unlevered free cash flows
for 5-10 years and then make a very simplified assumption about the value of all
unlevered free cash flows thereafter, called the terminal value (TV). TV is the
value the company will generate from all future unlevered FCFs after the explicit
forecast period (stage 1).
• Breaking up the value of a company into two stages is the prevailing practice and
is called a 2-stage DCF
• Formula for a 2-stage DCF with a 5 year explicit forecast period:
UFCF1 UFCF2 UFCF3 UFCF4 UFCF5 𝑇𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒
Enterprise value = + + + + +
(1+wacc)1 (1+wacc)2 (1+wacc)3 (1+wacc)4 (1+wacc)5 (1+wacc)5
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DCF
Terminal value
• The growth in perpetuity approach requires that we make an explicit assumption for a perpetual annual
growth % of UFCFs after the last year of stage 1 at a constant WACC (denoted as ‘r’ in the formula below).
• The big problem with the perpetuity approach above is that it forces finance professionals to explicitly
guess the perpetual growth rate of a company. In practice, it’s usually a range between 3-5% because it’s
in-line with macroeconomic growth expectations and anything higher is considered unjustifiable. A way
around having to guess a company’s long-term growth rate is to guess the EBITDA multiple the company
will be valued at the last year of the Stage 1 forecast. A common way to do this is to look at the current
enterprise value (EV) /EBITDA multiple the company is trading at (or the average EV/EBITDA multiple of
the company’s peer group) and assume the company will be valued at that same multiple in the future. For
example, if Apple is currently valued at 9.0x its last twelve months (LTM) EBITDA, assume that in 2022 it
will be valued at 9.0x its 2022 EBITDA.
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DCF
138
DCF
Refers to
changes in
‘net working
capital’
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DCF
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DCF
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DCF
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DCF
• The DCF values a company by calculating the PV of those UFCFs. Another way to think of this is an
attempt to figure out what an investor today might be willing to pay for those uncertain UFCFs.
• To do that, you’d need to figure out what kind of return the investors want. And to do that, you
would need to quantify the riskiness of those UFCFs somehow. That’s because an investor’s
return requirements fundamentally depend on how they perceive the risks of those future UFCFs.
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DCF
Cost of equity
Cost of Tax shield Risk free rate +β x equity risk premium
debt
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DCF
WACC
Debt weight Market value of a company’s debt. Can be approximated by using a company’s book value of debt.
The equity weight Market value of a company’s equity (either market cap or comps derived equity value)
Cost of debt The yield on a company’s debt. Cost of debt ≠ nominal interest rate (i.e. coupon rate)
Tax rate The tax rate the company expects to face going forward
Cost of equity Cost of equity = Risk free rate + β x equity risk premium
Cost of equity
Risk free rate Yield on a default-free government bond. The current yield on a U.S. 10-year bond is the preferred
RFR for U.S. companies. Front page of WSJ, financial data sites all show up to date yields
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DCF
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DCF
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DCF
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DCF
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DCF
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DCF
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DCF
2. The WACC
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DCF
In summary …
Divided by diluted
shares outstanding
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DCF
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DCF
Perpetuity approach
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DCF
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DCF
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DCF
Net income
Plus: Depreciation and amortization
Less: Increases in working capital assets
Plus: Increases in working capital liabilities
Less: Capital expenditures Exit multiple approach
For levered DCF, use equity multiples such as P/B
Plus: Debt Issuance, net of repayments or P/E
Less: Preferred dividends 𝑇𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒𝑡 = 𝐵𝑜𝑜𝑘 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒𝑡 𝑥𝑃/𝐵 𝑚𝑢𝑙𝑡𝑖𝑝𝑙𝑒
Equals: Levered free cash flows
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DCF
DCF Advantages
• Theoretically, the most sound method of valuation.
• Less influenced by temperamental market conditions or non-economic
factors.
• Can value components of business or synergies separately from the business.
DCF Disadvantages
• Present values obtained are sensitive to assumptions and methodology.
• Terminal value represents a significant portion of value and is highly
sensitive to valuation assumptions.
• Need realistic projected financial statements over at least one business cycle
(5 to 10 years) or until cash flows are “normalized.”
• Sales growth rate, margin, investment in working capital, capital
expenditures and terminal value assumptions along with discount rate
assumptions are key to the valuation.
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Wall Street Prep Training Manual
Extra: WACC
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Extra: WACC
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Extra: WACC
• Most of the time you can use the book value of debt from the
company’s latest balance sheet as an approximation for market value
of debt.
• That’s because unlike equity, the market value of debt usually doesn’t
deviate too far from the book value.
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Extra: WACC
Cost of debt
• Compared to calculating the cost of equity, the cost of debt is easier because loans and bonds have
explicit interest rates. For example, a company might borrow $1 million at a 5.0% fixed interest
rate paid annually for 10 years.
• The main wrinkle in calculating the cost of debt is that it’s not simply the nominal interest rate.
That’s because the nominal rate is historical and may be different than the rate the company would
pay if it borrowed currently (remember that the WACC is applied to future UFCFs so should reflect
current anticipation for future borrowing and equity costs).
• So how do you estimate the cost of debt? You have to estimate the yield on existing debt. Yield
doesn’t just look at the nominal rate, but factors in the bond price to tell you what the likely coupon
rate would be if the company borrowed today. It is the internal rate of return of a bond.
• On the next slide you can see a Bloomberg bond page for a 5.7% IBM bond, issued in 2007. Rates
plummeted since the 2007 issuance so the yield on this bond is 1.322% in 2017. That’s much closer
to what IBM would likely have to pay if it borrowed now (IBM and a few other companies are
borrowing at historically low costs of debt). The 1.322% is thus the cost of debt to use.
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Extra: WACC
1There areseveral types of yield. The type of yield Bloomberg quotes in its main bond description page is a yield-to-maturity
measure called “bond equivalent yield”. Technically, another measure called the “effective annual yield” provides a slightly
more accurate measure but the difference is immaterial.
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Extra: WACC
Cost of debt
• Companies that do not have public debt but have a credit rating
◽ Use the default spread associated with that credit rating and add to
the risk-free rate to estimate the cost of debt.
◽ Credit agencies such as Moody’s and S&P provide yield spreads over
U.S. treasuries by credit rating.
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Extra: WACC
Cost of equity
• Multiple competing models exist for estimating cost of equity: Fama-
French, Arbitrary pricing theory (APT) and the Capital Asset Pricing
Model (CAPM).
• The CAPM, despite suffering from some flaws and being widely
criticized in academia, remains the most widely used equity pricing
model in practice.
• Below is the formula for calculating the cost of equity:
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Cost of equity
• β (“beta”): β measures a company’s sensitivity to systematic (market) risk. A company with a beta of 1 would
expect to see future returns in-line with the overall stock market returns. A company with a beta of 2 would expect
to see returns rise or fall twice as fast as the market. In other words, if the S&P were to drop by 5%, a company with
a beta of 2 would expect to see a 10% drop in its stock price because of its high sensitivity to market fluctuations.
◽ The higher the beta, the higher the cost of equity because the increased risk investors take (via higher
sensitivity to market fluctuations) should be compensated via a higher return.
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Raw beta: Colgate’s (CL) “raw” beta is 0.447 based on its last 5 years share price
Calculating β returns compared to the S&P 500. If you assume that relationship holds going
forward, every time the S&P 500 goes up by 1%, you’d expect Colgate to go up by
0.5%. That suggests Colgate is relatively insensitive to market changes.
• There are several sources
for getting a company’s
β including Bloomberg,
MSCI and S&P.
• All of these services
calculate beta based on
the company’s historical
share price sensitivity to
the S&P 500, usually by
regressing the returns of
both over a 60 month
period.
Raw vs adjusted beta: Many argue the raw betas are bad predictors of future beta (poor correlation)
because company specific issues uncorrelated to the market clouds the relationship. “Adjusted” beta is an
attempt to make the beta a better predictor so finance professionals generally prefer adjusted beta, but
neither one is great.
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Extra: Industry
Beta
v
Extra: Industry Beta
Calculating industry β
• In the last slide we alluded to the problem that betas suffer from poor correlations making them
bad predictors. This is only half of the problem. The other issue is that only public companies have
observable betas. The solution to both is using the betas of comparable companies to estimate beta
for the company being analyzed. This is called the industry beta approach.
• The industry β approach looks at β of several public companies that are comparable to the
company being analyzed and applies this peer-group derived beta to the target company. The
benefits are:
• Fortunately, we can remove this distorting effect by unlevering the betas of the peer group and
then relevering the unlevered beta at the target company’s leverage ratio.
• We do this as follows…
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Extra: Industry Beta
Calculating industry β
1. Unlever raw betas from peer group: Get raw beta for each company in the peer group, and unlever using the debt-
to-equity ratio and tax rate specific to each company using the following formula:
Company βLevered
Company β Unlevered =
1+ 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡
(1−tax rate)
2. Calculate the median of all the unlevered betas: Once all the peer group betas have been unlevered, calculate the
median unlevered beta:
3. Relever the industry beta using the target company’s specific debt-to-equity ratio and tax rate using the following
formula:
𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡
Target company βLevered = Industry βUnlevered x 1+ (1−tax rate)
𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
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Extra: Industry Beta
Calculating industry β
• Here’s an example of what an industry beta calculation might look
like for Apple.
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Relative Valuation
v
Relative Valuation
Relative valuation
• While the DCF looks at the intrinsic cash flow-generating potential of a business to
determine its value, a seemingly simpler and more market driven approach is
available: looking at how similar companies are valued.
• This approach is called relative valuation, an umbrella term describing two valuation
approaches:
◽ Trading comparables
▸ Valuing a firm by looking at the stock market value of similar companies.
◽ Transaction comparables
▸ Valuing a firm by looking at prices acquirers have recently paid for similar
companies,
• While the DCF requires explicit assumptions about the future, relative valuation – or
“comps” – has the advantage of requiring no explicit assumptions about a company’s
future prospects, and is based on “reality” – observable prices for similar companies in
the market.
• Of course, relative valuation has no shortage of disadvantages, and we’ll get to those
shortly.
Deep dive: Relative vs Intrinsic Valuation in Investment Banking
https://www.wallstreetprep.com/knowledge/really-trust-dcf-model-made-investment-bankers/
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Relative Valuation
• But companies are trickier to value than houses because finding truly comparable companies is difficult.
• Even if you find comparable businesses operationally, you need to standardize for various factors, most
notably size differences.
• That’s why we don’t compare absolute values but rather multiples, with some of the most popular being:
The denominators in these multiples are what’s used to standardize the absolute enterprise value or equity value to make comparisons
easier. These denominators are usually calculated on an LTM (“last twelve months”) and forward (1-year or 2-year out) basis
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Relative Valuation
1. For each multiple, apply the calculated mean or median to the target company’s
corresponding operating metrics to arrive at a value.
• Example 1: Multiply the derived average LTM PE ratio by company’s LTM EPS to
arrive at equity value per share.
Median
For larger peer groups, calculating relevant peer group statistic using median is
preferable to mean calculations because it limits distortions from outliers.
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Relative Valuation
Company Colgate
Share price $30.00
Shares outstanding 30 million
Revenue $1,000
EBITDA $200
Net income $75
Net debt $200
Company Colgate
Share price $30.00
Shares outstanding 30 million
Revenue $1,000
EBITDA $200
Net income $75
Net debt $200
EV/Sales EV/EBITDA P/E
Peer group mean 1.38x 6.58x 16.40x
◽ Those who believe that markets efficiently price stocks and implicitly reflect
fundamental assumptions about industry trends, business risk, market
growth, will argue that comps are a more reliable method of valuation.
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Relative Valuation
• Liquidity
◽ Thinly traded, small capitalization or poorly followed stocks may not reflect fundamental value.
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Relative Valuation
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Relative Valuation
1 While EV/EBITDA and EV/EBIT multiples are the most common multiples where the synergy adjustment is made, any
multiple where the denominator benefits from synergies could be adjusted
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Relative Valuation
2. Calculate multiples.
Median
For larger peer groups, calculating relevant peer group statistic using median
is preferable to mean calculations because it limits distortions from outliers.
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Relative Valuation
Exercise
Comparable Transaction Analysis Exercise
Company Eli Lilly
Share price $50.00
Shares outstanding 1.0b
LTM Revenue $20b
LTM EBITDA $6.5b
LTM Net income $5.0b
Net debt $1.0b
Comparable transactions
Offer Premium TV / TV / Offer price
Target Acquirer value ($b) Paid Revenue EBITDA / EPS
Roche Genentech $47 19.0% 2.00 8.00 16.00
Wyeth Pfizer $68 18.0% 3.00 12.00 20.00
Schering-Plough Merck $41 23.0% 1.50 11.00 16.00
Genzyme Sanofi $20 23.0% 2.50 13.00 18.00
Mean 20.8% 2.25 11.00 17.50
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Relative Valuation
Exercise
Comparable Transaction Analysis Exercise
Company Eli Lilly
Share price $50.00
Shares outstanding 1.0b
LTM Revenue $20b
LTM EBITDA $6.5b
LTM Net income $5.0b
Net debt $1.0b
Comparable transactions
Offer Premium TV / TV / Offer price
Target Acquirer value ($b) Paid Revenue EBITDA / EPS
Roche Genentech $47 19.0% 2.00 8.00 16.00
Wyeth Pfizer $68 18.0% 3.00 12.00 20.00
Schering-Plough Merck $41 23.0% 1.50 11.00 16.00
Genzyme Sanofi $20 23.0% 2.50 13.00 18.00
Mean 20.8% 2.25 11.00 17.50
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Relative Valuation
M&A
v
M&A
M&A questions
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M&A
Introduction to M&A
• Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) is an umbrella term that refers to the
combination of two businesses.
Buyer Seller
• Accelerate time to market • Opportunity to
with new products and cash out or to
channels share in the risk
• Remove competition, achieve and reward of a
cost savings (buying a newly-formed
competitor is called horizontal business.
integration)
• Achieve supply chain
efficiencies (buying a supplier
or customer is called vertical
integration)
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M&A
Players in M&A
• There are several stakeholders in the M&A process
Buyer
Seller
• Management
• Management
• Board
• Board
• Shareholders
• Shareholders
Investment
Accountants Investment bankers Accountants
bankers
M&A Lawyers (deal advisors) M&A Lawyers
(deal advisors)
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M&A
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M&A
Accretion / Dilution
• An important M&A analysis is called accretion/dilution analysis.
◽ Accretive deal: Pro forma (combined) EPS > Acquirer EPS
◽ Dilutive deal: Pro forma EPS < standalone EPS
◽ Break-even: Pro forma EPS = standalone EPS
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M&A
Accretion / Dilution
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M&A
Deal consideration
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M&A
1. Calculate pro forma net income (PFNI): Acquirer + target net income.
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M&A
Acquirer Acquirer
Target Target
Pro forma Pro-forma
Share price at announcement $25 $60
Share price at announcement $25 $60
P/E Ratio 10.0x 12.0x
P/E ratio
EPS Next year $2.50 $5.00 10.0x 12.0x
Shares outstanding 4,000.0 1,000.0
EPS next year $2.50 $5.00
Net income next year
Shares outstanding 4,000.0 1,000.0
Acquirer shares issued
Net income next year
Offer value (offer price per share x target shares outstanding)
Exchange ratio (acquirer shares issued / target shares outstanding)
Acquirer shares issued
Accretion/Dilution ($ per share)
Offer value (offer price
Accretion/Dilution (%) x target shares outstanding)
Exchange ratio (acquirer shares issued / target shares outstanding)
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M&A
Acquirer
Acquirer Target
Target Calculating acquirer
Pro-forma Pro forma
Share price at announcement $25 $60 shares issued
Share price at announcement $25 $60
P/E Ratio 10.0x 12.0x Acquirer shares trade at
P/E ratio
EPS Next year 10.0x
$2.50 12.0x
$5.00 $25, while target shares
Shares
EPS nextoutstanding
year 4,000.0
$2.50 1,000.0
$5.00 $2.34 trade at $60. Since no
Net income next year premium is being offered
Shares outstanding 4,000.0 1,000.0 6,400.0 to target shareholders
Net income
Acquirer next issued
shares year 10,000.0 5,000.0 15,000.0 (unlikely in the real
Offer value (offer price per share x target shares outstanding) world), target
Exchange ratio (acquirer shares issued / target shares outstanding) shareholders will accept
Acquirer shares issued 2,400.0
2.4 acquirer shares in
Offer value (offer price x target
Accretion/Dilution ($ per share) shares outstanding) $60,000.0 exchange for each target
Accretion/Dilution (%) share. Thus, acquirer
Exchange ratio (acquirer shares issued / target shares outstanding) 2.40x
must issue 2,400 shares
to purchase 1,000 target
Accretion / Dilution ($ per share) -$0.16 shares.
Accretion / Dilution (%) -6.3%
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M&A
Accretion/dilution
• Acquirer expects EPS of $1 next year, with a share price of $5 (PE = 5.0x).
• Target also expects EPS of $1 next year, but with a share price of $10 (PE =
10.0x).
• In a 100% stock deal, Acquirer must issue 2 shares to acquire one target share.
• This deal will be dilutive because 1 Acquirer share equates to owning $1 of
Acquirer net income, but Acquirer must issue 2 shares in order to acquire $1 of
Target's net income.
• As a result, the incremental benefit of Target net income will not be sufficient to
offset the share dilution required to make the deal happen.
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M&A
2. Whole > Sum of the parts: The value of a business can be greater FMV
than simply the sum of the individual assets when organized in a write up
$15
certain way.
3. Overpayment: Buyers can get swept up in a bidding process, TBV
over-estimate synergies, etc. $45
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M&A
Cash 100.0
PP&E 300.0
Goodwill 50.0
Debt 50.0
Equity 400.0
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M&A
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M&A
Other adjustments
• Let’s get back to the simple accretion/dilution example: Recall that
we just lumped the acquirer and target net incomes together.
• However, in reality there are several (sometimes very significant)
adjustments to net income that will be used in determining
accretion/dilution:
◽ Acquisition financing
◽ Fees
◽ Accounting changes
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M&A
Acquisition financing
• In our simple example, we assumed 100% stock deal. In the case of a 100% cash (or
mixed) deal, recall that excess cash reserves must be used, or the acquirer must take
on new debt to finance the acquisition.
• This new borrowing impacts the income statement in the form of incremental interest
expense (or forgone interest income), reducing the combined pro forma net income
and EPS.
• In fact, the major adjustment to EPS in a cash deal is often the incremental interest
expense arising from additional debt issued to finance the deal.
Fees
• Deal fees (IB, legal, and accounting fees): Need to be expensed as
incurred on the income statement, reducing PFNI and PF EPS.
• Financing fees: When a company borrows debt to finance an
acquisition, the fees related to this borrowing are treated differently
from deal fees.
• Unlike deal fees, financing fees are not expensed . Instead, they are 1
1Effective 2016, FASB has changed to accounting for financing fees so that instead of being capitalized as an asset and then amortized, they are
instead treated as a contra-debt item. The income statement impact is still the same (amortization is recognized over the term of the borrowing)
but it is classified within interest expense. To read more about this change at https://www.wallstreetprep.com/knowledge/debt-accounting-
treatment-financing-fees/
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M&A
Accounting adjustments
• Incremental D&A, asset write-ups, write-downs: Since target assets
like PP&E and intangible assets are written-up to fair market value in a
deal, going forward, the acquirer will record higher D&A on those
written-up assets will be recorded, thereby reducing PFNI and PF EPS.
• Goodwill: Goodwill created in an acquisition does not impact the IS.
There are 2 exceptions:
◽ Impairment: Acquirer’s have to annually “impairment test” their
past acquisitions. If a deal done in the past is determined to be a dud
in hindsight, the acquirer must reduce the goodwill asset and
correspondingly recognizes an “impairment” expense on the income
statement.
◽ Private companies: Private companies may elect to amortize their
goodwill over 15 years.
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Extra: M&A
Accounting
v
Extra: M&A Accounting
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Extra: M&A Accounting
1 Inan asset sale, goodwill is tax deductible and amortized over 15 years, along with other intangible assets that fall under IRC section 197. Goodwill is not deductible in
stock sales.
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• To account for the higher future actual taxes (vs. GAAP taxes), a DTL is recognized on
the acquisition date in the amount of the total future differences.
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1 year 2 years
On acquisition date post-deal post-deal
Cash
PP&E +100.0
Equity
1 year 2 years
On acquisition date post-deal post-deal
DTL created in M&A stock sale = (FV book basis – tax basis) x tax rate
400 400
300 300
Basis
200 200
150
100
0 0
0 1 2
Years
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Extra: M&A Accounting
Cash 100.0
PP&E 300.0
Goodwill 50.0
Total assets 450.0
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Extra: M&A Accounting
Observe that the creation of the DTL led to a lower FMV of equity, which in turn led
to higher goodwill than had a DTL not been recorded.
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Extra: M&A Accounting
1Although the acquirer can’t use the NOLs, the target can use its own NOLs to offset the target’s gain on sale
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Extra: M&A Accounting
1 Long term tax exempt rate is updated monthly and can be can be found at: https://apps.irs.gov/app/picklist/list/federalRates.html
2 Tax reform enacted in 2017 now also caps the amount of NOLs that can be used to 80% of taxable income, which has the impact of pushing NOL related benefits
out into the future. Offsetting this change is a new rule that lifts 20 year NOL carryforward period and enables companies to carryforward NOLs indefinitely.
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Extra: M&A Accounting
Summary
Deal structure Stock Sale Asset Sale or 338(h)(10)
Existing NOLs usable by acquirer? YES but limited under IRC 382 NO2
Remember! These guidelines make several critical assumptions about tax bases and the nature of DTAs and DTLs –
consult with tax professional when appropriate
1 Calculated as (FV book basis – tax basis) x tax rate. DTL reverses over time; goodwill higher due to new DTL
2 Although acquirer can’t use NOLs, the target can use to offset gain on sale
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Wall Street Prep Training Manual
LBO
v
LBO
LBO questions
240
LBO
LBO Jargon
• Financial sponsors = Private equity investors = Financial (vs. strategic) buyers
• Leveraged buyouts = PE-backed deals = Sponsor-backed deals
241
LBO
1 1
𝐹𝑉 𝑁 $400,000 5
𝐼𝑅𝑅 = −1= − 1 = 32%
𝑃𝑉 $100,000
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LBO
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LBO
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LBO
Exit assumptions
Source of funds
EV/EBITDA
Debt 11.5 EBITDA 3.50
Existing cash on B/S 7.7 Enterprise value
Equity Debt 0.0
Total sources of funds Cash 0.0
Equity value
Equity IRR
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LBO
• As debt is paid down and the value of the business grows, sponsors earn large returns.
◽ Getting in cheap: Finding businesses that for whatever reason are being undervalued (low
multiple).
◽ SuccessfulLevering with a lot of cheap debt (cheap debt means low interest rates).
◽ Operating improvements: This usually means reducing costs (massive layoffs are often
associated with exit: Exiting within 5-7 years at a high valuation (high EV/EBITDA multiple).
◽ Alternatively, sponsors can monetize without a complete exit by giving themselves dividends
financed via newly borrowed debt (dividend recap).
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LBO
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LBO
◽ Large fixed debt payments leave little wiggle room for volatile businesses.
◽ This is usually where sponsors can find waste and thus achieve cost savings.
◽ The short termism of public investors can pressure otherwise strong management teams to
optimize for short term earnings instead of a longer time horizon.
◽ Low growth companies that still generate healthy cash flows usually feel more pressure as a
public company than as a private one.
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LBO
▸ Expenses lead to lower taxes during the LBO years. The lower tax bill due to a high
interest expense is one of the appealing characteristics of an LBO.
▸ Rather than spending your money on tax, you spend it on debt service which, as we
saw in the simple house-with-mortgage example, increases your equity over time.
▸ Tax reform enacted in 2017 in the United States places limits on the amount of interest
expense that can be deducted for tax purposes, so the tax advantage has been
somewhat restricted.
◽ Bonus depreciation
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LBO
Capital structure
• What % of a company’s value can funded by debt?
• The amount of debt that can be raised depends on:
1. Size/stability of cash flows
2. Preference for defensive, less-cyclical firms
3. Reputation of sponsor and lending environment
• Not all debt is the same
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LBO
LBO debt
• Leveraged loans: Revolver & term loans A/B/C/D
• Bonds: High-yield (“speculative-grade” or “junk”) bonds
• Mezzanine finance
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LBO
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LBO
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LBO
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LBO
Pension
Other
funds
30%(1)
28%
Mutual
Insurance
funds
companies
13%
29%
hedge funds
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LBO
Covenants
• As part of a loan, lenders will impose restrictions on borrowers
(covenants).
• Financial covenants
◽ Borrower must be in compliance with certain key ratios.
▸ Debt/EBITDA < 6x
▸ EBITDA/Interest > 3x
• Other covenants
◽ Spend limits beyond pre-specified carve-outs (“basket”),
borrower pledge to include lender in any subsequent grant of a
security interest (negative pledge), and forced call in the event of
a downgrade.
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LBO
Covenants
• Maintenance covenants
◽ Required compliance with covenants every quarter, no matter
what
• Incurrence covenants
◽ Required compliance with covenants only when taking a
specified action (issuing new debt, dividends, making an
acquisition)
• Senior debt traditionally include restrictive maintenance covenants,
whereas bonds only include incurrence covenants
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LBO
Covenants
• Increasingly, leveraged loans are “covenant-lite” and include only
incurrence covenants, amounting to 60% of new loan issuances in 1H
2014.
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LBO
Mezzanine
• Financing that sits between debt and equity.
• Hedge funds and mezzanine funds are the primary
investors, often tailoring the investment to
meet the specific needs of the deal.
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LBO
Loans
• $1.5b TLC @ L + 300 w/1% LIBOR floor, covenant-lite, 5yr
• $2.0b asset-backed revolver ($750 drawn initially), 5yr
• $4.0b TLB @ L+375 w/1% LIBOR floor, covenant-lite, 6.5yr
High yield bonds
• $2b 1st lien bonds, 7yr
• $1.25b 2nd lien bonds, 8yr
Microsoft loan: $2b sub. note at 7.25% (~50% PIK), 10yr
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