TutorialSheet 2
TutorialSheet 2
Q.1. Consider the type of clothes dryer (gas or electric) purchased by each of five
different customers at a certain store. Assume that one person is purchasing only one
dryer.
a. If the probability that at most one of these customers purchases an electric
dryer is 0.428, then what is the probability that at least two customers
purchase an electric dryer?
b. If P (all five- purchase gas) = 0.116 and P (all five- purchase electric) = 0.005,
what is the probability that at least one of each type is purchased?
Homeowner’s
Auto N L M H
L 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.03
M 0.07 0.10 0.20 0.10
H 0.02 0.03 0.15 0.15
Q.4. A certain system can experience three different types of defects. Let
𝐴𝑖(𝑖 = 1, 2, 3) denote the event that the system has a defect of type i. Suppose
that
𝑃(𝐴1)= 0.12, 𝑃(𝐴2) = 0.07, 𝑃(𝐴3) = 0.05
𝑃(𝐴1 ∪ 𝐴2) = 0.13, 𝑃(𝐴1 ∪ 𝐴3) = 0.14
𝑃(𝐴2 ∪ 𝐴3) = 0.10 , 𝑃(𝐴1 ∩ 𝐴2 ∩ 𝐴3) = 0.01
a. What is the probability that the system does not have a type 1 defect?
b. What is the probability that the system has both type 1 and type 2 defects?
c. What is the probability that the system has both type 1 and type 2 defects but
not a type 3 defect?
d. What is the probability that the system has at most two of these defects?
Q.5. Reconsider the system defect situation described in the above question.
a. Given that the system has a type 1 defect, what is the probability that it has a
type 2 defect?
b. Given that the system has a type 1 defect, what is the probability that it has
all three types of defects?
c. Given that the system has at least one type of defect, what is the probability
that it has exactly one type of defect?
d. Given that the system has both of the first two types of defects, what is the
probability that it does not have the third type of defect?
Q.6. At a certain gas station, 40% of the customers use regular gas (A1), 35% use plus
gas (A2), and 25% use premium (A3). Of those customers using regular gas, only
30% fill their tanks (event B). Of those customers using plus, 60% fill their tanks,
whereas of those using premium, 50% fill their tanks. consider the following
additional information on credit card usage:
70% of all regular fill-up customers use a credit card.
50% of all regular non-fill-up customers use a credit card.
60% of all plus fill-up customers use a credit card.
50% of all plus non-fill-up customers use a credit card.
50% of all premium fill-up customers use a credit card.
40% of all premium non-fill-up customers use a credit card.
Compute the probability of each of the following events for the next customer to
arrive (Hint: tree diagram).
a. {plus and fill-up and credit card}
b. {premium and non-fill-up and credit card}
c. {premium and credit card}
d. {fill-up and credit card}
e. {credit card}
f. If the next customer uses a credit card, what is the probability that the
premium was requested?
Q.7. Let 𝐴, 𝐵, 𝐶 be events such that 𝑃(𝐴) > 𝑃(𝐵) and 𝑃(𝐶|𝐴) > 𝑃(𝐶|𝐵).
Prove that 𝑃(𝐴|𝐶) > 𝑃(𝐵|𝐶).
Q.8. Suppose that five good and two defective fuses have been mixed up. To find the
defective ones, we test them one by one, at random and without replacement. What is
the probability that we find both of the defective fuses in exactly three tests?
Q.9. An urn contains 10 white and 12 red chips. Two chips are drawn at random (one
by one) and without looking at their colors, are discarded.
a. What is the probability that a third chip drawn is red?
b. If the third chip is drawn randomly and observed to be red, what is the
probability that both of the discarded chips were white?
Q.10. Professor Stan der Deviation can take one of two routes on his way home from
work. On the first route, there are four railroad crossings. The probability that he
will be stopped by a train at any particular one of the crossings is 0.1, and train
operate independently at the four crossings. The other route is longer but there
are only two crossings, independent of one another, with the same stoppage
probability for each as on the first route. On a particular day, Professor Deviation
has a meeting scheduled at home for a certain time. Whichever route he takes;
he calculates that he will be late if he is stopped by trains at atleast half the
crossings encountered.
a. Which route should he take to minimize the probability of being late to the
meeting?
b. If he tosses a fair coin to decide on a route and he is late, what is the
probability that he took the four-crossing route?