Inputs For Valuation Current Inputs (As A Naïve Estimate, You Can Use BV of Debt + BV of Equity)

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INPUTS FOR VALUATION


Current Inputs
Enter the current revenues of the firm =
Enter current capital invested in the firm =
Enter the current depreciation =
Enter the current capital expenditures for the firm =
Enter the change in Working Capital in last year =
Enter the value of current debt outstanding =
Enter the number of shares outstanding =

$12,406
$20,000
{ As a nave estimate, you can use BV of debt + BV of Equity)
$233
$298
$115
$1,500.00

High Growth Period

Your Inputs

Enter the growth rate in revenues for the next 5 years =

25.00%

What will all operating expenses be as a % of revenues in the fifth year?

70.00% (Operating expenses include depreciation: This is equal to (1-Pre-tax Operating Margin))

How much debt do you plan to use in financing investments?


Enter the growth rate in capital expenditures & depreciation
Enter working capital as a percent of revenues
Enter the tax rate that you have on corporate income
What beta do you want to use to calculate cost of equity =

0%
25.00%
7.50%
36.00%
1.25

Enter the current long term bond rate =

6.50%

Enter the market risk premium you want to use =

5.50%

Enter your cost of borrowing money =

8.50%

Stable Period
Enter the growth rate in revenues =
Enter operating expenses as a % of revenues in stable period =
Enter capital expenditures as a percent of depreciation in this period

6.00%
75.00%
200.00% See capital expenditure worksheet (capex.xls) for details.

How much debt do you plan to use in financing investments?

5.00%

Enter interest rate of debt in stable period =

7.50%

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What beta do you want to use in the stable period =

1.10
ESTIMATED CASHFLOWS

Base
Growth in Revenue
Growth in Deprec'n
Revenues

10

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

21.20%

17.40%

13.60%

9.80%

6.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

21.20%

17.40%

13.60%

9.80%

6.00%

$12,406

$15,508

$19,384

$24,230

$30,288

$37,860

$45,886

$53,871

$61,197

$67,194

$71,226

% of Revenues

70.00%

70.00%

70.00%

70.00%

70.00%

70.00%

71.00%

72.00%

73.00%

74.00%

75.00%

Operating Expenses

- $ Operating Expenses

$8,684

$10,855

$13,569

$16,961

$21,202

$26,502

$32,579

$38,787

$44,674

$49,724

$53,420

EBIT

$3,722

$4,652

$5,815

$7,269

$9,086

$11,358

$13,307

$15,084

$16,523

$17,471

$17,807

Tax Rate

36.00%

36.00%

36.00%

36.00%

36.00%

36.00%

36.00%

36.00%

36.00%

36.00%

36.00%

EBIT (1-t)

$2,382

$2,977

$3,722

$4,652

$5,815

$7,269

$8,517

$9,654

$10,575

$11,181

$11,396

+ Depreciation

$233

$291

$364

$455

$569

$711

$862

$1,012

$1,149

$1,262

$1,338

- Capital Expenditures

$298

$373

$466

$582

$728

$909

$1,263

$1,616

$1,969

$2,322

$2,675

- Change in WC

$115

$233

$291

$363

$454

$568

$602

$599

$549

$450

$302

$2,202

$2,664

$3,329

$4,162

$5,202

$6,503

$7,514

$8,451

$9,206

$9,671

$9,756

= FCFF

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Terminal Value (in '05)

$167,813
COSTS OF EQUITY AND CAPITAL
1

Cost of Equity
Proportion of Equity

10

13.38%

13.38%

13.38%

13.38%

13.38%

13.21%

13.05%

12.88%

12.72%

12.55%

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

99.00%

98.00%

97.00%

96.00%

95.00%

After-tax Cost of Debt

5.44%

5.44%

5.44%

5.44%

5.44%

5.31%

5.18%

5.06%

4.93%

4.80%

Proportion of Debt

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

13.38%

13.38%

13.38%

13.38%

13.38%

13.13%

12.89%

12.65%

12.40%

12.16%

113.38%

128.54%

145.73%

165.22%

187.32%

211.92%

239.23%

269.48%

302.91%

339.75%

Present Value

$2,349

$2,590

$2,856

$3,149

$3,472

$3,546

$3,532

$3,416

$3,193

$52,265

Value of Firm

$80,367

Cost of Capital
Cumulative WACC

FIRM VALUATION

- Value of Debt
Value of Equity
Value of Equity per Share

$$80,367
$53.58

1995
Value of Firm by year
$ Value of Debt

1996

$80,367
$-

1997

$88,453
$-

$96,954
$-

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

$105,760

$114,703

$123,542

$132,250

$140,844

$149,448

$158,314

$1,235

$2,645

$4,225

$5,978

$7,916

$-

$-

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EVA Valuation

EBIT (1-t)
- WACC (CI)
EVA
Terminal EVA
PV
PV of EVA
+ Capital Invested
+ PV of Chg Capital in Yr 10
= Firm Value

Base
$2,382

Cumulated WACC

$2,977
$2,675
$302

$3,722
$2,717
$1,005

$4,652
$2,769
$1,883

$5,815
$2,835
$2,980

$267

$782

$1,292

$1,804

$60,463
$20,000
$(96) This reconciles the assumptions on stable growth, ROC and Capital Invested

$80,367

WACC
ROC
Capital Invested
Calculation of Capital Invested
Initial
+ Net Cap Ex
+ Chg in WC
Ending

$20,000

$20,000

13.38%
14.89%
$20,000

13.38%
18.32%
$20,314

13.38%
22.47%
$20,706

13.38%
27.44%
$21,197

$20,000
$81
$233
$20,314

$20,314
$102
$291
$20,706

$20,706
$127
$363
$21,197

$21,197
$159
$454
$21,810

113.38%

128.54%

145.73%

165.22%

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EVA Valuation

5
$7,269
$2,917
$4,352

6
$8,517
$2,964
$5,552

7
$9,654
$3,039
$6,615

8
$10,575
$3,134
$7,441

9
$11,181
$3,244
$7,938

$2,323

$2,620

$2,765

$2,761

$2,620

10
$11,396
$3,364
$8,032
$138,838
$43,229

13.38%
33.33%
$21,810

13.13%
37.72%
$22,576

12.89%
40.94%
$23,579

12.65%
42.67%
$24,782

12.40%
42.76%
$26,151

12.16%
41.20%
$27,661

$21,810
$198
$568
$22,576

$22,576
$401
$602
$23,579

$23,579
$604
$599
$24,782

$24,782
$820
$549
$26,151

$26,151
$1,060
$450
$27,661

$27,661
$1,338
$302
$29,301

187.32%

211.92%

239.23%

269.48%

302.91%

339.75%

and Capital Invested

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EVA Valuation

Terminal Year
$12,080
$3,524
$8,556

12.16%
41.69%
$28,975 (Adjusted to reflect terminal ROC)

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