AFM习题带练讲义(一)
AFM习题带练讲义(一)
AFM习题带练讲义(一)
Profitability
• Revenues from the different types of store and online sales have all increased this year, despite a drop in
store numbers. The increase may be largely due to the government-induced pre-election boom in
consumer expenditure, which appears unlikely to be sustained.
• Because the split of profits is not given, it is impossible to tell what has been the biggest contributor to
increased profit. Profit as well as revenue details for different types of store would be helpful, also profit
details for major product lines.
• Improvements in return on capital employed derive from increases in profit margins and asset turnover.
• The improvements in gross margins may be due to increased pressure being put on suppliers, in which
case they may not be sustainable because of government pressure.
• The increased sales per store employee figures certainly reflects a fall in staff numbers, improving
operating profit, although it could also be due to staff being better utilised or increased sales of higher
value items in larger stores.
• If staff numbers continue to be cut, however, this could result in poorer service to customers, leading
ultimately to decreased sales, so again it is questionable how much further High K Co can go.
• The asset turnover shows an improvement which partly reflects the increase in sales.
• There have been only limited movements in the portfolio of the larger stores last year. The fall in non-
current assets suggests an older, more depreciated, asset base. If there is no significant investment, this
will mean a continued fall in capital employed and improved asset turnover.
• However, in order to maintain their appeal to customers, older stores will need to be refurbished and
there is no information about refurbishment plans. Information about recent impairments in asset
values would also be helpful, as these may indicate future trading problems and issues with realising
values of assets sold.
2017 Sep/Dec Q3 (a)
Liquidity
• The current ratio has improved.
• But the higher cash balances have been partly reflected by higher current liabilities.
• The increase in current liabilities may be due to a deliberate policy of taking more credit
from suppliers, which the government may take measures to prevent. Being forced to pay
suppliers sooner will reduce cash available for short-term opportunities.
Gearing
• The gearing level in 2016 is below the 2014 level, but it would have fallen further.
• A fall in debt not been partly matched by a fall in High K Co’s share price.
• It seems surprising that High K Co’s debt levels fell during 2016 at a time of lower interest
rates. Possibly lenders were (rightly) sceptical about whether the cut in central bank lending
rate would be sustained and limited their fixed rate lending.
• Interest cover improved in 2016 and will improve further if High K Co makes use of revolving
credit facilities.
• However, when High K Co’s loans come up for renewal, terms available may not be as
favourable as those High K Co has currently.
2017 Sep/Dec Q3 (a)
Investors
• The increase in after-tax profits in 2015 and 2016 has not been matched by an increase in
share price, which has continued to fall.
• The price/earnings ratio has been falling from an admittedly artificially high level, and the
current level seems low despite earnings and dividends being higher.
• The stock market does not appear convinced by High K Co’s current strategy.
• Return to shareholders in 2016 has continued to rise, but this has been caused by a
significant % increase in dividend and hence increase in dividend yield.
• The continued fall in share price after the year end suggests that investors are sceptical 怀
疑 about whether this increase can be maintained
2017 Sep/Dec Q3 (a)
Revenue analysis
• Town centre stores
✓ High K Co has continued to close town centre stores, but closures have slowed recently and
revenue increased in 2016. This suggests High K Co may have selected wisely in choosing which
stores to keep open, although Dely Co believes there is no future for this type of store.
✓ Arguably though, town centre stores appeal to some customers who cannot easily get to out-of-
town stores. Town centre stores may also be convenient collection points for customers using
online click and collect facilities.
• Convenience stores
✓ High K Co has invested heavily in these since 2003. The figures in 2014 suggest it may have over-
extended itself or possibly suffered from competitive pressures and saturation of the market. The
2016 results show an improvement despite closures of what may have been the worst-
performing stores. The figures suggest Dely Co’s decision to close its convenience stores may be
premature, possibly offering High K Co the opportunity to take over some of its outlets.
✓ Maintaining its convenience store presence would also seem to be in line with High K Co’s
commitment to be responsive to customer needs.
✓ Profitability figures would be particularly helpful here, to assess the impact of rental
commitments under leases
2017 Sep/Dec Q3 (a)
• Out-of-town stores
✓ Although the revenue per store for out-of-town stores has shown limited
improvement in 2016, this is less than might have been expected.
✓ The recent consumer boom would have been expected to benefit the out-of-town
stores particularly, because expenditure on the larger items which they sell is more
likely to be discretionary expenditure by consumers which will vary with the
business cycle.
✓ Where Dely Co sites its new out-of-town stores will also be a major issue for High K
Co, as it may find some of its best-performing stores face more competition.
✓ High K Co again may need to consider significant refurbishment expenditure to
improve the look of these stores and customer experience in them.
• Online sales
✓ Online sales have shown steady growth over the last few years, but it is difficult to
say how impressive High K Co’s performance is.
✓ Comparisons with competitors would be particularly important here, looking at
how results have changed over the years compared with the level of investment
made.
✓ It is also impossible to tell from the figures how much increases in online sales
have been at the expense of store sales.
2017 Sep/Dec Q3 (a)
Conclusion
• If High K Co’s share price is to improve, investors need it to make some sort
of definite decision about strategy the way its competitors have since its last
year end.
• What the chief executive has been saying about flexibility and keeping a
varied portfolio has not convinced investors.
• If High K Co is to maintain its competitive position, it may well have no choice
but to make a significant further investment in online operations.
• Possibly as well it could review where its competitor is closing convenience
stores, as it may be able to open, with limited investment, new stores in
locations with potential.
• However, it also must decide what to do about the large out-of-town stores,
as their performance is already stagnating and they are about to face
enhanced competition.
• High K Co will also need to determine its dividend policy, with maybe a level
of dividend which is considered the minimum acceptable to shareholders
allowed for in planning cash outflows.
经典考题(二)
Financial restructuring
A. Financial restructuring scheme是否合理
B. Financial restructuring 前后的财报SOPF/SOPL/财务指标有什么变化
A. Evaluate a financial reconstruction scheme (精选必做题)
Notes:
(1) If the company was liquidated all of the assets could be
sold for their book values except for inventory. Following a
review it discovered that $220k of the inventory is obsolete
but the remainder could be sold for book value. In addition
$90k of the receivables is irrecoverable.
(2) To be successful a scheme of reconstruction would need
to raise $195k of cash to invest in new manufacturing
processes.
(3) Given the risk attached to the company any providers of
new equity capital will require a return of at least 18%.
(4) The current interest rates are 8% on the bank loan and 6%
on the overdraft. The bank loan is secured.
A. Evaluate a financial reconstruction scheme (精选必做题)
Require:
(a) Determine how much each of the original investors is
likely to get in the event of a liquidation.
(b) Following the reconstruction calculate the expected EPS,
and the return on equity to the venture capital company,
and advise as the whether the venture capital company is
likely to invest in BOJR computers.
(c) From the post-reconstruction EPS calculation above
calculate the effective return that the bank is likely to
receive on the capital converted into equity.
(d) Determine whether the existing ordinary shareholders,
and the bank, are likely to accept the scheme.
A. Evaluate a financial reconstruction scheme (精选必做题)
(a) Liquidation
Assuming that there are no liquidator’s fees, in the event of liquidation the distribution will be as follows:
Assets to distribute $000
Per SOFP 1,755
Less inventory write off (220)
Less receivables write off (90)
Net 1,445
Distribution:
Secured Bank Loan (1,200)
245
Unsecured
Payables 205
Overdraft 200
(405)
Note: (160)
(1) Unsecured creditors will only receive 245/405 =60% of the amount owing.
(2) Ordinary shareholders will receive nothing.
A. Evaluate a financial reconstruction scheme (精选必做题)
• Bank
✓ If the company is liquidated, the bank is likely to recover the full
amount of the secured loan but will only recover 60% of the
overdraft.
✓ Following the reconstruction the bank will only get a return of
10% on the capital converted into equity but will continue to
receive interest on the remaining loan and overdraft at the
existing rate.
✓ Given that 1/3 of the secured loan is converted into equity, and
the forecast return on this is only 2% more that the current loan
interest, this is unlikely to be acceptable to the bank.
经典考题(二)
Financial restructuring
A. Financial restructuring scheme是否合理
B. Financial restructuring 前后的财报SOPF/SOPL/财务指标有什么变化
历年真题:Flufftort (2015 Sep/Dec Q3) - reconstruction
题号 考点 分值 难度
(a) SOFP after Share repurchase 4 marks ꙭ
SPL after Refinancing 4 marks
SOFP after Refinancing 4 marks
(b) Acceptance of refinancing scheme by 13marks
financial provider + assumptions
历年真题 Flufftort (2015 Sep/Dec Q3) - Reconstruction
历年真题 Flufftort (2015 Sep/Dec Q3) - Reconstruction
Flufftort (2015 Sep/Dec Q3) - Reconstruction
Flufftort (2015 Sep/Dec Q3) - Reconstruction
Flufftort (2015 Sep/Dec Q3) - Reconstruction
Flufftort (2015 Sep/Dec Q3) - Reconstruction
Flufftort (2015 Sep/Dec Q3) - Reconstruction
Flufftort (2015 Sep/Dec Q3) - Reconstruction
历年真题 Flufftort (2015 Sep/Dec Q3) - Reconstruction
(a) (i) Prepare a projected statement of financial position as at 30 June 2016, on the
assumption that Gupte VC exercises its rights and Gupte VC’s shares are
repurchased and cancelled by Flufftort Co. (4 marks)
(ii) Prepare a projected statement of financial position as at 30 June 2016 on the
assumption that the proposed refinancing and investment take place. (4 marks)
(iii) Prepare projected statements of profit or loss for the years ended 30 June
2017 and 30 June 2018 on the basis that the profit forecasts are correct. (4 marks)
(b) Evaluate whether the suggested refinancing scheme is likely to be agreed by
all finance providers. State clearly any assumptions which you make. (13 marks)
(b) Evaluate whether the suggested refinancing scheme is likely to be agreed by
all finance providers. State clearly any assumptions which you make. (13 marks)
(b) Evaluate whether the suggested refinancing scheme is likely to be agreed by all
finance providers. State clearly any assumptions which you make. (13 marks)
(b) Evaluate whether the suggested refinancing scheme is likely to be agreed by
all finance providers. State clearly any assumptions which you make. (13 marks)
(b) Evaluate whether the suggested refinancing scheme is likely to be agreed by
all finance providers. State clearly any assumptions which you make. (13 marks)
经典考题(三)
Business re-organisation
Thank You
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CH13
Hedging foreign exchange risk
Chapter13 Mind map
Currency options
Currency swaps
CH13 Hedging foreign exchange risk(历年真题)
主要考点 考试频率 考题分布 分值
Boullain 2020 Mar Q2(b) 1
Okan 2019 Sep/Dec Q1 (b) 1
Nutourne 2018 Dec Q2 (b) +7
1. Forward contract 7 Washi 2018 Sep Q1 (c)(i) 1
Lirio 2016 Jun Q1(b)(ii) 1+1
CMC 2014 Jun Q1(a) 1+1
Kenduri 2013 Jun Q3(a) 1+1
Example. UK Co. trade with foreign Co. from US , will receive US$.
Step 1 Determine use 低 rate / 高 rate ? (US$/£) 1.2200 – 1.2400
Spot ($ /£)
US$ £
Example. UK Co. trade with foreign Co. from US , will receive US$.
Step 1 Determine use 低 rate / 高 rate ? (US$/£) 1.2200 – 1.2400 必胜口诀一
Required:
Establish the net indebtedness that would require external hedging.
2 Bilateral and multilateral netting and matching agreements
What is Netting?
• Netting is a mechanism whereby mutual indebtedness between group members
or between group members and other parties can be reduced.
Advantage
• The advantages of such an arrangement is that the number of currency
transactions can be minimised, saving transaction costs and focusing the
transaction risk onto a smaller set of transactions that can be more effectively
hedged.
• It may also be the case, if exchange controls are in place limiting currency flows
across borders, that balances can be offset, minimising overall exposure.
• Where group transactions occur with other companies the benefit of netting is
that the exposure is limited to the net amount reducing hedging costs and
counterparty risk.
历年真题
2.3 Netting and matching (历年真题) 2010 Jun Q5 Mezza (b) +8
Disadvantages
• some jurisdictions do not allow netting arrangements, and there may be
taxation and other cross border issues to resolve.
• There will be costs in establishing the netting agreement and where third
parties are involved this may lead to re-invoicing or, in some cases, re-
contracting.
必胜口诀二
3 Derivatives to hedge forex risk 企业:低买高卖外币
Buy low, sell high
3.1 Forward contracts (FRA) 拜拜了,say hi ^-^
Marcus is based in France has recently imported raw materials from the Required:
USA and has been invoiced for US$240,000, payable in three months’ time. Show how the company
In addition, it has also exported finished goods to Japan and Australia. can hedge its exposure to
The Japanese customer has been invoiced for US$69,000, payable in three foreign exchange risk
months' time, and the Australian customer has been invoiced for A$295, using:
000, payable in four months' time. (a) forward contracts
(b) money market
Current spot and forward rates are as follows:
US$.../1 Euro hedges
Spot: 0.9830 - 0.9850 and for each transaction,
3 months forward: 0.9520 - 0.9545 determine which is the
Euro.../1 A$ best hedging technique.
Spot: 1.8890 - 1.8920
4 months forward: 1.9510 - 1.9540
Current money market rates (pa) are as follows:
US$: 10.0% - 12.0%
A$: 14.0% - 16.0%
Euro: 11.5% - 13.0%
3.1 Forward Answer
Forward contracts
Current spot and forward rates are as follows:
US$.../1 Euro
3 months forward: 0.9520 - 0.9545
Euro.../1 A$
4 months forward: 1.9510 - 1.9540
1. US$ Exposure
Net payment of US$171,000 Buy US$171,000 3 moneys forward at a cost of US$0.9520/Euro
(240k-69k) in 3 months US$171,000 / 0.9520 = €179,622 payable in 3 months’ time.
2. AU$ Exposure
Net receipt of AU$295,000 Sell A$295,000 4 moneys forward at a cost of €1.9510/A$
in 4 months A$295,000*€1.9510/ A$=€575,545 receivable in 4 months’ time
Money market hedge
Hedge
Exporter Importer
Export goods - Receive foreign currency Import goods - Pay foreign currency
本国:英国,本国货币为英镑 £ 本国:英国,本国货币为英镑 £
交易:出口货物,未来收外币 交易:进口货物,未来付外币
如,3个月后收美元$ 如,3个月后付美元$
担心:未来外币贬值,本币升值 担心:未来外币升值,本币贬值
如,担心3个月后美元贬值,英镑升值; 如,担心3个月后美元升值,英镑贬值;
则3个月后将收到的美元$换成英镑£, 则3个月后支付美元$货款时,将英镑£换成美元$,
所得到的英镑£变少 需支付的英镑£变多
目标:现在就锁定,未来能收到的本币 目标:现在就锁定,未来需支付的本币
如,今天就锁定,3个月后换美元$能得到的英镑£数 如,今天就锁定,3个月后换美元$所支付的英镑£数
额 额
Money market hedge – Exporter
Exchange
UK (本国-英镑) US (外国-美元)
Rate $/£
Marcus is based in France has recently imported raw materials from the Required:
USA and has been invoiced for US$240,000, payable in three months’ time. Show how the company
In addition, it has also exported finished goods to Japan and Australia. can hedge its exposure to
The Japanese customer has been invoiced for US$69,000, payable in three foreign exchange risk
months' time, and the Australian customer has been invoiced for A$295, using:
000, payable in four months' time. (a) forward contracts
(b) money market
Current spot and forward rates are as follows:
US$.../1 Euro hedges
Spot: 0.9830 - 0.9850 and for each transaction,
3 months forward: 0.9520 - 0.9545 determine which is the
Euro.../1 A$ best hedging technique.
Spot: 1.8890 - 1.8920
4 months forward: 1.9510 - 1.9540
Current money market rates (pa) are as follows:
US$: 10.0% - 12.0%
A$: 14.0% - 16.0%
Euro: 11.5% - 13.0%
历年真题
3 Derivatives to hedge forex risk 2018 Mar Q4 Adverane 2
3.2 Money market hedge < receipt >
Summary
FRA Money Market Hedge
US$ Payment €179,622 €175,230
AU$ Receipt €575,545 €549,319
• Currency future are contracts that fix the exchange rate for a set
amount of currency over a specified period of time (交易双方所签订
的一个在未来的某一日期根据协议价格交割标准数量外汇的合约).
• Buying the futures means receiving the contract currency
• Selling the futures means supplying the contract currency
How future works
• Background: in 3 months’ time the company is expected to
received US$(外币)/ pay US$ (外币)
3 months’ later
Now Received US$(外币)/ pay US$ (外币)
3. If exchange rate in spot market move against you,
1. Set up a future contract in 3 months time receive compensation profit.
2. Deposit a margin (保证 4. If exchange rate in spot market moved in favor of you,
金) in 3 months time pay out losses.
5. Net effect = fixed outcome (future rate)
3 Derivatives to hedge forex risk
3.3 Currency Futures
Future
Value of
price Contract size Tick size
one tick
quotation
US$/£ £62,500 £0.0001 $6.25
US$/€ €200,000 €0.0001 $20.00
US$/CHF CHF125,000 CHF0.0001 $12.50
US$/JPY Yen12.5 million JPY0.000001 $12.50
必胜口诀一
Ticks
• i.e. a future contract is £125,000 (future contract 以 base
currency 标价).
• A tick is the smallest movement in the exchange rate, i.e. $/£ , 以
万分之一为单位 0.0001£.
• every unit of movement in future will give a company
• £125,000 x 0.0001£ = $12.5 profit or loss (tick 以counter
currency 体现), called tick size / value of 1 tick (最小波动价位).
• Example. 0.0030 movement in exchange rate is:
30 ticks * $12.5 = $375
3.3 Currency Futures
必胜口诀二 “三三法则”
Future
时间轴 Now Settlement date
contract
maturity date
Step 1 : Set up the hedge by addressing Step 3: Calculate the impact of hedge
3 key questions • Calculate profit or loss in the futures market
• Buy or sell futures? by closing out the futures contracts
看CC, buy CC货币, buy future Now: sell future @ open rate 0.7300
sell CC 货币, sell future 4 month: buy future @ close rate 0.7328
• No. of contracts? loss (0.0028)
amount to hedge/contract size • Calculate the value of the transaction using the
尽量 under hedge + 剩下用FRA或spot
FRA or spot rate on the transaction date.
• Which expiry date ?
nearest maturity date after settlement date Spot 0.7337
超过交易日离的最近的 Overall impact 0.7309
Step 2: Contact the exchange. Pay the
initial margin
(保证金,考试不考虑)
3.3 Currency Futures
Example — 收外币/ close future price 已知/ complete hedge
It is 4 May and the treasurer of a Swiss company has identified a net receipt of US$2 million
on 10 June. These dollars will need to be converted into Swiss Francs (CHF).
The treasurer has decided to use Swiss Francs - US dollar futures contracts to hedge with
the following details:
• New York Board of Trade (NYBOT) options and futures exchange.
• Contract size $200,000.
• Prices given in Swiss francs per US dollar (i.e. $1=...)
• Tick size CHF20 per contract.
Expiry date Futures price
June 1.2200
Sep 1.2510
The spot rate on 4 May is 1.2160 CHF/$1.
Required:
Calculate the financial position using the relevant futures hedge, assuming that on 10
June the spot rate is 1.2750 CHF/$1;future rate is 1.2760 CHF/$1.
3.3 Currency Futures
必胜口诀二 “三三法则”
Future
时间轴 Now Settlement date
contract
maturity date
Step 1 : Set up the hedge by addressing Step 3: Calculate the impact of hedge
3 key questions • Calculate profit or loss in the futures market by closing out the
• Buy or sell futures? futures contracts
CC is $, receipt $ convert to CHF 4 May: sell future $ @ open rate 1.2200
Sell $, buy CHF, sell $ future 10 June: buy future $ @ close rate 1.2760
• No. of contracts? loss (0.0560)0.0560 x $0.2m x 10 = (112,000) loss
amount to hedge/contract size • Calculate the value of the transaction using the FRA or spot rate on
= $2m / $200,000
the transaction date.
= 10 contracts
• Which expiry date ? Spot 1.2750 1.2750 x $2m = 2550,000
nearest maturity date after settlement date Overall impact 1.2190 CHF2438,000
(transaction) date
June contract @ 1.2200 effective rate 1.2190 ≠ future rate 1.2200, Because close at 10 June, not 30
Step 2: Contact the exchange. Pay the June ,date not perfect hedge
initial margin
(保证金,考试不考虑)
3.3 Currency Futures
Basis
• Basis is the difference between the spot price and 0.7343
futures prices. In exam, assume basis reduce from Unexpired Basis
its opening value to zero in liner manner. Basis 0.0043 0.0043*(5-4)/5 =
0.0009
Basis = spot rate – future rate Basis =0
• Basis on the expiry date on the future contract is
0.7300
always 0.
Choose of future contract date
Now 4 5
• Choose the nearest maturity after the settlement
(transaction) date.
3.3 Currency Futures
Example. Euro Co. is expecting to receive $10m in 4 months, it wants to
translate into Euro.
Spot rate now (Euro/$) 0.7343 – 0.7355
Futures market $500,000 contract, price quoted as Euro/$
5 month expiry Euro/ $ 0.7300
Spot rate in 4 months (Euro/$) 0.7337-0.7366
Required: What is future rate in 4 months’ time, assume the basis
reduce to zero on liner manner. 方法二
(1) Receive $ and convert to Euro — sell $, buy Euro
(2) Contract CC is $ — sell $ future, buy Euro
0.7343
0.7343 — 0.7355
Futures market information:
$500,000 contracts, prices quoted as €/$1
CC is $, so sell $
2 month expiry 0.7335 future
5 month expiry 0.7300 Nearest maturity after
Required: transaction date is
5 month
Estimate the likely financial result of the hedge, assuming that the
spot rate in 4 months is expected to be 0.7337-0.7366 €/$1, and
that basis reduces to zero in a linear manner.
(1) Show the detail calculation of hedge by future Use 3 steps procedure
(2) Assess the overall impact of the future hedge Use lock in rate
3.3 Currency Futures
必胜口诀二 “三三法则”
Future
时间轴 Now Settlement date
contract
maturity date
Step 1 : Set up the hedge by addressing 3 Step 3: Calculate the impact of hedge
key questions • Calculate profit or loss in the futures market
• Buy or sell futures? by closing out the futures contracts
看CC, buy CC货币, buy CC future Now: sell future @ open rate 0.7300
sell CC 货币, sell CC future 4 month: buy future @ close rate 0.7328
CC is $, sell $ future loss (0.0028)
• No. of contracts? • Calculate the value of the transaction using the
amount to hedge/contract size
spot rate on the transaction date.
尽量 under hedge + 剩下用FRA
No. of contract = $10m/ $500,000 =20 contract Spot 0.7337
• Which expiry date ? Overall impact 0.7309
nearest maturity date after transaction date超 0.7300 – (0.7337 – unexpired basis 0.0009) + 0.7337 = 0.7309
过交易日离的最近的
Expiry in 5 months Step 3: Calculate the impact of hedge use “lock-in”
Step 2: Contact the exchange. Pay the effective rate 必胜口诀
initial margin 三 future rate @ 0.7300
Opening
(保证金,考试不考虑) + unexpired basis @ 0.0009
0.7309
3.3 Currency Futures
Advantage Disadvantage
Liquidity Imperfect hedge
Low credit risk Margin deposit requirement
Can be closed off before Basis risk
maturity
Legally binding contract
历年真题
3.3 Currency Futures 2015 Jun Q4 Daikon (b) 3+7
• Margin
✓ Initial margin: when a future position is opened, the clearing
house requires that an initial margin be placed on deposit in a
margin account to act as a security against possible default.
✓ Maintenance margin: each client of the of future contract
should keep a minimum amount of deposit in their margin
account.
✓ Marking to market: at the end of each day, the Clearing house
calculates the daily profit or loss on the futures position. The
daily profit or loss is added or subtracted to the margin account
balance.
✓ Margin call: if the amount in the margin account to fall below
the maintenance margin, a margin call is made to the
investor ,requiring the investor to deposit extra funds to top-up
the margin account, call the margin variation.
✓ An inability to pay the variation margin causes default and
contract is closed.
3.4 Currency options
• Currency option
Currency option are contracts giving the holder the right but
not the obligation,
• to buy a fixed amount of currency at a fixed rate, for an
upfront fee (premium) — call option.
• sell a fixed amount of currency at a fixed rate, for an
upfront fee (premium) — put option.
• Over the counter options: currency option purchased
directly from merchant bank at fixed rate (European
option).
• Exchange traded options: currency option exchange at
market such as Philadelphia stock exchange.
PHLX US$/£ per £ option £31,250 (cents per £1)
Strike Calls Puts
price Apr May June Apr May June
1.9500 2.20 2.75 3.10 0.65 1.20 1.60
1.9750 0.88 1.45 1.85 1.70 2.40 2.85
2.0000 0.25 0.70 1.05 3.65 4.10 4.50
3.4 Currency options 必胜口诀一 “四四法则”
Option
时间轴 Now Transaction maturity
data date
Step 1 : Set up hedge by addressing 4 key questions Step 3: Decide exercise or lapse by compare
• Buy call / put option? option price and spot rate
看CC, buy CC货币, buy call option
sell CC 货币, buy put option put option, sell @ exercise price $1.50/£
• No. of contracts? buy @ spot price $1.48/£
Amount to hedge / contract size, or Gain $0.20/£
(Amount to hedge*/ exercise price) / contract size
向下取整数 (Under hedge) 其余敞口用spot 或FRA
Gain in the option market, so exercise!
• Which expiry date ?
nearest maturity date after transaction date
超过交易日离的最近的 Step 4: calculate the net cash flows
• Which exercise price? (i.e CC is £) (1) Premium cost (X)
Buy $, sell £, premium is cost, so 减 (卖的少) 1.50 - premium (2) Gain/loss on exercise option X/0
Sell $, buy £, premium is cost, so 加(买花的多) 1.50 + premium
Step 2: Contact the exchange. Pay the upfront premium (3) Under hedge exchange @ spot/ FRA X
(手续费会产生cost) XX
手续费通常以cents标价,要先换算成$,£,etc.
Premium cost
= Premium * contract size * contract No.
3.4 Currency options
Example — 付外币
Pongo plc is a UK-based import-export company. It has an invoice,
which it is due to pay on 30 June, in respect of $350,000.
The company wishes to hedge its exposure to risk using traded
options. The current $/£ spot rate is 1.5190 —1.5230.
On LIFFE, contract size is £25,000.
Exercise price ($/£) June contracts
Calls Puts
1.45 8.95 10.20
1.50 6.80 12.40
Option premium are given in cents per £.
Assume that it is now the 31 March.
Spot rate is: $1.4810 - $1.4850 to £1 on June.
Required:
Calculate the cash flows in respect of the payment
3 Currency options – 付外币
Characteristics
• In a forex swap, the parties agree to swap equivalent
amounts of currency for a period and then re-swap them at
the end of the period at an agreed swap rate. The swap rate
and amount of currency is agreed between the parties in
advance. Thus it is called a 'fixed rate/fixed rate’ swap.
• The main objectives of a forex swap are:
- To hedge against forex risk, possibly for a longer period than
is possible on the forward market.
- Access to capital markets, in which it may be impossible to
borrow directly.
• Forex swaps are especially useful dealing with countries
that have exchange controls and/or volatile exchange rates.
3.5 Forex swaps
A plc require an Initial investment of 100m pesos and is will be sold for
200m pesos in one year’s time.
The currency spot rate is 20 pesos/£, and the government has offered a
forex swap at 20 pesos/ £.
A plc cannot borrow pesos directly and there is no forward market
available.
The estimated spot rate in one year is 40 pesos/ £.
Required:
Determined whether A plc should do nothing or hedge its exposure
using the forex swap.
With swap Yr 0 Yr1
(1) Buy 100m pesos @ pesos20/£ (£5m)
(2) Swap 100m pesos @ pesos 20/£ £5m
(3) Sell 100m pesos @ pesos 40/ £ £2.5m
(£5m) £7.5m
Without swap
(1) Buy 100m pesos @ pesos 20/ £ (£5m)
(2) Sell 200m pesos @ pesos 40/ £ £5m
(£5m) £5m
CH13 Hedging foreign exchange risk(精选必作题)
Ch14 Hedging interest rate risk
Chapter14 Mind map
考点 考试频率 近5年考题分布 分值
考点 考试频率 近5年考题分布 分值
• Two rates are usually quoted, the higher one for borrowing
and the lower one for investing.
i.e. 2-5 FRA at 5.00% - 4.70%
1 Forward rate agreements (FRAs)
• If borrowing money, a firm would buy an FRA, so a call option over FRAs
would be used.
• If investing money, a firm would sell an FRA, so a put option over FRAs
would be used.
• Decision rule:
Options on futures
• Traded options are options to buy or sell futures.
• call option: right to buy the futures contract.
• put option: right to sell the futures contract.
Choose call or put ? 必胜口诀
Cash market Deposits Loan
Futures market Buy futures contracts Sell futures contracts
Options market Buy calls Buy puts
Choose exercise prices and premium costs ? 必胜口诀
• Borrow:100- exercise price + premium (选最低值,最便宜)
• Invest: 100-exercise price – premium (选最高值,赚的多)
4. Options on interest rate futures
计算步骤: 必胜口诀
Step 1: Set up the hedge by addressing 4 key questions
• Do we need call or putoptions?
• How many contracts?
• Which expiry date should be chosen?
• Which strike price/exercise price should be used?
Step 2: Contact the exchange. Pay the upfront premium. Then wait
until the transaction/settlement date.
Step 3: On the transaction date, compare the option price with the
prevailing market interest rate to determine 'whether the option
should be exerclsed of allowed to lapse.
Step 4: Calculate the net cash flows —beware that if the number of
contracts needed rounding, there will be some borrowing or deposit
at the prevailing market interest rate even if the option is exercised.
4. Options on interest rate futures
Example 5. Co A needs to borrow $5m for 6 months, starting in 4 months’ time on 1st August. The
current LIBOR rate is 3.50% but there is a risk that interest rates will change over the next few
months by up to 0.5% either way, so the company's treasurer is considering hedging the interest
payments using futures contracts or options. Chesterfield Co can borrow at 25 basis points
above the LIBOR rate.
Current futures/options information:
Futures ($500,000, 3 month contracts)
June 96.40 September 96.10 December 95.86
Options on futures (premia quoted as an annual percentages)
Exercise price Calls Puts
June Sept Dec June Sept Dec
96.40 0.155 0.260 0.320 0.305 0.360 0.445
Required:
• Estimate the likely financial position if Chesterfield Co hedges the interest rate risk using:
(a) futures contracts. (b) options over futures contracts.
• Recommend which method the company should use in this case.
4. Options on interest rate futures
4. Options on interest rate futures
5. Collars 领子期权
必胜口诀
Loan interest Deposit interest
Buy put options - sets max cost Buy calls option - set min receipts
Sell call options - limits min cost Sell put options - limits max receipts
5. Collars 领子期权
5. Collars 领子期权
Example 6. A company wishes to borrow $10m on the 1st of March for three months
The company can borrow at LIBOR + a fixed margin of 2%. LIBOR is currently 8%.
It is keen to hedge using options, to prevent an increase in LIBOR rate causing the
borrowing rate to rise above the existing level. However, having made initial
enquiries, it has been discouraged by the cost of the option premium.
A member of its treasury team has suggested the use of a collar to reduce the premium
cost of the purchased option.
Market deta: Interest rate options
Calls Puts
Exercise price March June March June
92.00 0.80 0.77 0.20 0.22
93.00 0.15 0.12 0.60 0.70
Required:
Calculate the effective interest rate the company will pay using a collar if:
(a) LIBOR rises to 9.5% and futures prices move to 90.20.
(b) LIBOR falls to 4.5% and futures prices move to 96.10.
5. Collars 领子期权
6. Interest rate swaps
Required:
Calculate the effective swap rate for each company -
assum savings are split equally.
6. Interest rate swaps
Thank You
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