BF3201 Lecture 4 Cost of Common Preferred Equity Handout
BF3201 Lecture 4 Cost of Common Preferred Equity Handout
Lecture 4
Cost of Common Equity
And Preferred Stock
V =
t =1
(1 + k )t
⚫ The discount rate is risk-adjusted WACC
⚫ If capital consists of Debt, Common Equity, Preferred Stock:
• WACC = wdkd( 1-T) + weke + wpfkpf
• The lower the discount rate, the higher Firm Value
⚫ Thus, managers need to understand:
• The Cost of Debt
• The Cost of Common Equity
• The cost of Preferred Stock
• The optimal D/E
Dr. Siri Chutikamoltham
2
Lecture Objectives
◼ Understand the cost of
⚫Common Equity
⚫Preferred Stock
◼ Understand features of common and preferred stocks
◼ Understand factors that affect required return on stocks
◼ Understand methods to estimate cost of equity
◼ Issues and limitations in estimating cost of equity in
the real world
0 1 2 n
k ...
Value CF1 CF2 CFn
ks = kd + RP
Note: RP is the risk premium over own corporate bond yield, not the same as
Market Risk Premium in CAPM (RPM )
Source: George Kester et.al.,” Capital Budgeting Practice in the Asai-Pacific Region
= D1 D2 D3 D
P + + +. . .+
0
(1 + k ) (1 + k ) (1 + k )
s
1
s
2
s
3
(1 + k )
s
0 = D1 D2
P + +
(1 + k ) (1 + k )
s
1
s
2
PV2
P = D0 (1 + g) = D1
ks − g ks − g
0
D1
P 0 = requires k s > g.
ks − g
◼ If ks< g, get negative stock price, which is nonsense.
◼ We can’t use model unless (1) g < ks and (2) g is
expected to be constant forever.
◼ g is the long-term growth rate, realistically it cannot
be > ks because if a business tries to achieve hyper
growth rate for years, the risk must rise so the
required return must also rise
Dr. Siri Chutikamoltham
14
Ex. D0 was $2.00 and g is a constant 6%.
Find the expected dividends for the next
3 years, and their PVs, ggiven ks = 13%.
0 g=6% 1 2 3 4
D0 (1+ g) D1
P0 = =
ks − g ks − g
$2.12 $2.12
= = = $30.29.
0.13 - 0.06 0.07
Dr. Siri Chutikamoltham
16
What is the stock’s intrinsic value one year
^
from now, or P1?
◼ D1 will have been paid, so expected dividends are
D2, D3, D4 and so on. Thus,
D2
P̂1 =
ks − g
$2.2472
= = $32.10.
0.07
D1
Dividend yield = =
P0
^
P1 - P0
CG Yield = =
P0
0 k =13% 1 2 3
s
^ PMT $2.00
P0 = = = $15.38
k 0.13
Dr. Siri Chutikamoltham
20
What are the expected Dividend, Capital gains
and Total yields if you hold the stock for one
year?
Dividend yield =
CG Yield =
Total Yield =
• Dividend yield =
• Total Yield =
0 k =13% 1 2 3 4
s
Dividend yield =
CG Yield =
Total Yield =
0 1 2 3 4
ks=13%
...
g = 0% g = 0% g = 0% g = 6%...
2.00 2.00 2.00 2.12
1.7699
1.5663
1.3861
20.9895 P = 2.12 = 30.2857
3
25.7118 0.07
Dr. Siri Chutikamoltham
28
What are the expected dividend capital
gains and total yields for the first year?
Dividend Yield =
Total Yield =
^ D1
P0 =
ki − g
SML of CAPM
ks = kRF + RPM x beta
Ex. Treasury bond yield =3.5%, Market Risk Premium =
7%, beta of the stock = 1.5
ks = 3.5 % + 7 % x 1.5 = 14%
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ks = kd + RP
= 10+4 = 14%
◼ This RP CAPM RPM.
◼ Historically, for most stocks, RP~5-7%, with 6%
used most often
◼ Produces only a ballpark estimate of ks
◼ More suitable for SMEs that are private companies
Dr. Siri Chutikamoltham
55
If the results vary with different methods,
what’s a reasonable final estimate of ks ?
1. Use the result from the method you have the most confidence in
2. If all have equal confidence, use the average
Example:
Method Estimate
CAPM 14.2%
DCF 13.8%
kd + RP 14.0%
Average 14.0%
$5
kˆ ps = = 0.10 = 10.0%.
$50
kps = Dps/Vps
Dr. Siri Chutikamoltham
64
Plan Ahead
◼Read Ch.7
◼Individual assignment: Problem Set Cost of
Equity
◼Due before next class