Tutorial 7
Tutorial 7
Tutorial 7
(a) What is the probability that a glass sheet is thicker than 3.2 mm? 0.0477
(b) What is the probability that a glass sheet is thinner than 2.7 mm? 6.2 x 10^-3
(c) What is the value of c for which there is a 99% probability that a glass sheet has a thickness
within the interval [3 − c, 3 + c]? c = 0.3084 Not Chebyshev
(d) What is the probability that three glass sheets placed one on top of another have a total
thickness greater than 9.5 mm? 8.072 x 10^-3
(e) What is the probability that seven glass sheets have an average thickness less than 3.1 mm?
0.9862
5. The weights of bags lled by a machine are normally distributed with a standard deviation of 0.05
kg and a mean that can be set by the operator. At what level should the mean be set if it is required
that only 1% of the bags weigh less than 10 kg? 10.1165
6. An investment in company A has an expected return of $30,000 with a standard deviation of $4000.
What is the probability that the return will be at least $25,000 if it has a normal distribution?
0.1056
1
7. Suppose that X ∼ N (3.2, 6.5), Y ∼ N (−2.1, 3.5) and Z ∼ N (12, 7.5) are independent random
variables. Find the probability that 0.6767
(a) X + Y ≥ 0 0.636 (b) X + Y − 2Z ≤ −20 (c) 3X + 5Y ≥ 1 0.4375
(d) 4X − 4Y + 2Z ≤ 25 (e) |X + 6Y + Z| ≥ 2 (f) |2X − Y − 6| ≤ 1
0.0713 0.8689 0.1315
8. Let X1 , . . . , X15 be independent identically distributed N (4.5, 0.88) random variables, with an aver-
age X .
9. A piece of wire is cut and the length of the wire has a normal distribution with a mean 7.2 m and
a standard deviation 0.11 m. If the piece of wire is then cut exactly in half, what are the mean and
the standard deviation of the lengths of the two pieces? mean = 3.6
STD = 0.055
10. Suppose that a fair coin is tossed n times. Estimate the probability that the proportion of heads
obtained lies between 0.49 and 0.51 for n = 100, 200, 500, 1000 and 2000. P(489.5 <= X <= 510.5) = 0.4933
P(48.5 <= X <= 51.5) = 0.2358
11. Suppose that a fair die is rolled 1000 times. P(97.5 <= X <= 102.5) = 0.276
P(244.5 <= X <= 255.5) = 0.3772
(a) Estimate the probability that the number of 6s is between 150 and 180.0.8071
(b) What is the smallest value of n for which there is a probability of at least 99% of obtaining
at least 50 6s in n rolls of a fair die? n = 402
12. The number of cracks in a ceramic tile has a Poisson distribution with parameter λ = 2.4.
(a) How would you approximate the distribution of the total number of cracks in 500 ceramic
tiles? N(1200,1200) because mean = Var in poisson distribution
(b) Estimate the probability that there are more than 1250 cracks in 500 ceramic tiles.
0.0744
13. A multiple-choice test consists of a series of questions, each with four possible answers.
(a) If there are 60 questions, estimate the probability that a student who guesses blindly at each
question will get at least 30 questions right.7.693 x 10^-6
(b) How many questions are needed in order to be 99% condent that a student who guesses
blindly at each question scores no more than 35% on the test? 92
14. The lifetimes of batteries are independent with an exponential distribution with a mean of 84 days.
Consider a random selection of 350 batteries. What is the probability that at least 55 of the batteries
have lifetimes between 60 and 100 days?
Probability that 1 battery have a lifetime between 100 and 60 is 0.1854
P(n >= 55) = 0.923