Lecture 8

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Game Theory

Lecture 8

Leong Kaiwen

Assistant Professor in Economics


Nanyang Technological University

2021

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Votes-Candidate Model

Many NE, not all ”at the center” (candidates)


Entry can lead to a more distant candidate winning

This is not an equilibrium, why?


Anyone near the center can stand up & run and win.
Lesson: If the candidates are too far apart we are going to see some
center entry which is going to win.

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Votes-Candidate Model

In equilibrium, just how far apart can the candidate be?

Claim: If candidates (2 of then) are not outside 1/6 & 5/6, it will be
an equilibrium.

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Votes-Candidate Model
Both candidates are vulnerable to someone entering at the center.
Someone will enter at the center if they think they can win.
1
L& R candidates will get slightly more than of the votes. So center
3
candidates will not win.

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Votes-Candidate Model

1
Lesson: If the 2 candidates are too extreme (in this example < & >
6
5
), someone will enter.
6
Lesson: Guess and check effective

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Location Model
Two towns: East (E) and West (W). Each town can hold 100,000
people.
Two types of people (players): Tall (T) and Short (S), 100,000 of each
type of people.
Strategy: People will choose where they live (E or W).

Interpretation: People like to live


in mixed towns. But if the town
is not evenly mixed, they prefer
to be in the majority.
Rules:
Simultaneous choice
If there is no room, then ran-
domize to ration.

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Location Model

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Location Model

After 2 or 3 repeated plays, row 1-7 choose E & 8-14 choose W. We


ended up with segregation.
What is the equilibria in this game? (guess and check)

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Location Model

After 2 or 3 repeated plays, row 1-7 choose E & 8-14 choose W. We


ended up with segregation.
What is the equilibria in this game? (guess and check)
Guess
Two segregated NE: (T in E, S in W) and (S in E, T in W)
1
Integrated NE: ( of each in both towns)
2

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Location Model

Check
If all the short people are in E and all the tall people are in W, what’s a
deviation?
No one can deviate profitably, what we have are NE.
1
Another equilibrium: ( of each in both towns).
2
What is wrong about this equilibrium?

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Location Model

Check
If all the short people are in E and all the tall people are in W, what’s a
deviation?
No one can deviate profitably, what we have are NE.
1
Another equilibrium: ( of each in both towns).
2
What is wrong about this equilibrium?
It is a ”weak” equilibrium because there is no strict incentive to deviate,
there is no strict incentive not to deviate as well.
At the integrated equilibrium, I am exactly indifference about where I
live, both towns look the same to me.
Whereas at the segregated equilibria, I strictly prefer to go to the town
in which I am the majority.

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Location Model

Why is the integrated equilibrium not stable?


At the integrated equilibria, if we move away from it a little bit, let’s say
one town has 5% more short people and the other town has 5% more
tall people, then we are in trouble. All the short people will prefer the
town with more short people and all the tall people are going to prefer
the town with more tall people. We are back in segregation again.
Conversely, for segregated equilibria, they are very stable. If we start
close to 100% short people in East ans close to 100% tall in West, and
we move some people in W to E and play the game, those I moved
from W to E will go back to W and we will have the same segregated
equilibria.

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Location Model

Summary
Two segregated NE: (T in E, S in W) and (S in E, T in W). Integrated
1
NE: ( of each in both towns)
2
Segregated equilibria: ”stable” and you strictly prefer not to deviate.
Integrated equilibria: ”not stable” and ”weak equilibria”
1 1
Key: There are 2 strict equilibria and if we got beyond the vs mix
2 2
slightly one way, we will end up all the way with a segregated equilibrium.
1 1
This game has a tipping point. you can push people from the vs
2 2
equilibrium in each town, people will keep coming back. But if you
1
push them too far beyond , they will go off to the other equilibrium
2
(segregated). This was found by Schelling who won the Nobel prize for
this.

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Location Model

Notice: This is not a prisoners dilemma.


There is actually another equilibrium.
1 1
Suppose everyone chooses E. the players will be in E and in W.
2 2
Check for deviations
If everyone is choosing E and allowing the randomisation device to place
you, then you have no incentive to deviate.
Lesson:
The seemingly irrelevant details can matter
Having society randomize for you, ended up better than ”active” choice.

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Location Model

More Lessons
”Sociology” , seeing segregation ⇏ preference for segregation
”Policy”, randomisation, bussing
Randomization: government and individual randomisation.

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Randomized Mixed Strategy

It is a randomisation over pure strategies. the strategies we have dealt


with in course up to now are pure strategies.
We are going to expand the actual available choices to include all
randomisation over pure strategies.
Example (Rock, paper, scissors)
Player 2
R S P
R (0,0) (1,-1) (-1,1)
Player 1
S (-1,1) (0,0) (1,-1)
P (1,-1) (-1,1) (0,0)
Claim: No NE in pure strategies, pure strategy={R,P,S}
R is BR to S, S is BR to P, P is BR to R. Any attempt to look for BR
that are BR to each other will lead to cycle. So no pure strategy NE.

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Randomized Mixed Strategy

1 1 1
Claim: NE: each player ( , , )
3 3 3
1 1 1 1 1 1
Expected payoff R vs ( , , )= (0)+ (1)+ (-1)=0
3 3 3 3 3 3
1 1 1 1 1 1
Expected payoff S vs ( , , )= (-1)+ (0)+ (1)=0
3 3 3 3 3 3
1 1 1 1 1 1
Expected payoff P vs ( , , )= (1)+ (-1)+ (0)=0
3 3 3 3 3 3
All expected payoffs are 0.

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Randomized Mixed Strategy

1 1 1 1 1 1
Expected payoff of ( , , ) vs ( , , )
3 3 3 3 3 3
1 1 1 1
= [Expected payoff of R vs ( , , )]
3 3 3 3
1 1 1 1
+ [Expected payoff of S vs ( , , )]
3 3 3 3
1 1 1 1
+ [Expected payoff of P vs ( , , )]
3 3 3 3
=0
1 1 1
I will get the same payoff if I played ( , , ) or any pure strategy
3 3 3
1 1 1 1 1 1
against ( , , ). Hence, ( , , ) is a best response weakly against
3 3 3 3 3 3
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
( , , ). So [( , , ),( , , )] is a NE.
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

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