2022 Level I Key Facts and Formulas Sheet
2022 Level I Key Facts and Formulas Sheet
Stated annual rate does not consider the effect of compounding. Standard deviation: square root of variance.
Effective annual rate considers compounding
Coefficient of variation: measures the risk per unit of return;
stated annual rate m 𝑠
With periodic compounding, EAR = (1 + ) −1 lower value is better. CV = ̅
m 𝑋
With continuous compounding, EAR = estated annual rate − 1 ▪ Downside Deviation: A measure of the risk of being below a
Future value: value to which an investment will grow after one or given target.
more compounding periods. FV = PV (1 + I/Y)N
Present value: current value of some future cash flow.
n
PV = FV / (1 + I/Y)N (X i − B)2
STarget = √ ∑
Annuity: series of equal cash flows at regular intervals. n−1
for all Xi ≤B
▪ Ordinary annuity: cash flows occur at the end of time periods.
▪ Annuity due: cash flows occur at the start of time periods.
PMT ▪ Leptokurtic distribution: Fatter tails than a normal distribution
Perpetuity: annuity with never ending cash flows. PV = and an excess kurtosis > 0.
I/Y
Net present value (NPV): present value of a project’s cash inflows ▪ Platykurtic distribution: Thinner tails than a normal distribution
minus the present value of its cash outflows. and an excess kurtosis < 0.
CF1 CF2 CF3 ▪ Mesokurtic distribution: identical to a normal distribution and
NPV = CF0 + [(1+r)1] + [(1+r)2] + [(1+ ] has an excess kurtosis = 0.
r)3
Internal rate of return (IRR): discount rate that makes the NPV Sharpe ratio: measures excess return per unit of risk; higher value
equal to zero. is better. 𝑆𝑝 =
𝑅̅𝑝 − 𝑅̅𝐹
CF1 CF2 CF3 𝑠𝑝
CF0 = [(1+IRR)1] + [(1+IRR)2] + [(1+IRR)3]
Odds for an event = P (E) / [1 – P (E)]
Holding period return: total return for holding an investment Odds against an event = [1 – P (E)] / P(E)
P1 −P0 +I1
over a given time period. HPR =
P0
Money weighted rate of return: the IRR of a project. Multiplication rule: used to determine the joint probability of two
events. P (AB) = P (A│B) P (B)
Time weighted rate of return: compound growth rate at which $1 Addition rule: used to determine the probability that at least one
invested in a portfolio grows over a given measurement period. of the events will occur. P (A or B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(AB)
Arithmetic mean: sum of all the observations divided by the total Total probability rule: used to calculate the unconditional
∑N probability of an event, given conditional probabilities.
i=1 Xi
number of observations. µ = P(A) = P(A|B1)P(B1) + P(A|B2)P(B2) + ... + P(A|Bn)P(Bn)
N
▪ Mode: Most frequently occurring value in a distribution.
▪ Median: Midpoint of a data set that has been sorted into Covariance: measure of how two variables move together.
ascending or descending order. Cov (X,Y) = E[X - E(X)] [Y - E(Y)]
Geometric mean: used to calculate compound growth rate. Correlation: standardized measure of the linear relationship
R G = [(1 + R1) (1 + R2) … … . (1 + Rn)]1/n − 1 between two variables; covariance divided by product of two
standard deviations.
Weighted mean: different observations are given different Corr (X,Y) = Cov (X,Y) / σ (X) σ (Y)
weights as per their proportional influence on the mean. ̅
Xw =
∑ni=1 wi X i Expected value of a random variable: probability-weighted
average of the possible outcomes of the random variable.
Harmonic mean: used to find average purchase price for equal E(X) = X1P(X1) + X2P(X2) + ... + XnP(Xn)
1
periodic investments. XH = n / ∑ni=1 ( )
Xi
Expected returns and the variance of a 2-asset portfolio
E (RP) = w1 E (R1) + w2 E (R2)
Position of a percentile in a data set: Ly = (n+1) y /100
σ2 (RP) = w12σ12 (R1) + w22σ22 (R2) + 2w1w2 ρ (R1, R2) σ (R1) σ (R2)
Range = maximum value – minimum value
Bayes’ formula: used to update the probability of an event based
P(I|E)
Mean absolute deviation (MAD): average of the absolute values on new information. P(E|I) = × P(E)
P(I)
̅|]/n
of deviations from the mean. MAD = [∑ni=1|Xi − X
Normal distribution: completely described by mean (µ) and Test statistic calculated from sample data and is compared to a
variance (σ2). Has a skewness of 0 and a kurtosis of 3. critical value to decide whether or not we can reject the null
Confidence intervals for a normal distribution are: hypothesis.
▪ 90% of all observations are in the interval x ± 1.65s. ̅ −μ0
X
▪ 95% of all observations are in the interval x ± 1.96s. z − statistic =
σ/√n
▪ 99% of all observations are in the interval x ± 2.58s. t − statistic =
̅ −μ0
X
s/√n
(X− µ)
Computing Z-scores (std normal distribution): Z =
σ Type I error: reject a true null hypothesis.
Type II error: fail to reject a false null hypothesis.
Safety first ratio: used to measure shortfall risk; higher number is
E(RP )−RT
preferred. SFratio = Level of significance (α) = (1 – level of confidence) = P(Type I
σP
error)
Continuously compounded rate of return= Power of a test = 1 – P(Type II error)
rt,t+1 = ln(St+1/St) = ln(1 + Rt,t+1)
Types of test statistics
One population mean: use t-statistic or z-statistic
Value at risk (VaR): Minimum value of losses expected over a
Two population mean: use t-statistic
specified time period.
One population variance: use Chi-square statistic
Two-population variance: use F-statistic
Sampling error: difference between a sample statistic and the
corresponding population parameter.
Regression equation: Y_i=b_0+b_1 X_i+ε_i
Sampling error of the mean = x̅ − μ
Simple linear regression model assumptions:
1. Linearity: The relationship between the dependent variable, Y,
Central limit theorem: if we draw a sample from a population
and the independent variable, X, is linear.
with mean µ and variance σ2, the sampling distribution of the
2. Homoskedasticity: The varian ce of the regression residuals is
sample mean:
the same for all observations.
▪ will be normally distributed.
3. Independence: The observations, pairs of Ys and Xs, are
▪ will have a mean of µ.
independent of one another. This implies the regression
▪ will have a variance of σ2/n.
residuals are uncorrelated across observations.
4. Normality: The regression residuals are normally distributed.
Standard error of the sample mean: standard deviation of the
distribution of the sample means.
σ Slope coefficient:
▪ if population variance is known, σX̅ = 𝐍 ̅ ̅
√n
s ̂ 𝟏 = 𝐂𝐨𝐯𝐚𝐢𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐘𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐗 = ∑𝐢=𝟏(𝐘
𝐛 𝐢 − 𝐘)(𝐗 𝐢 − 𝐗)
▪ if population variance is unknown, sX̅ = 𝐕𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐗 ∑𝐍 (𝐗 ̅)𝟐
𝐢=𝟏 𝐢− 𝐗
√n
Coefficient of determination:
Explained variation Regression sum of squares (RSS)
Confidence intervals: range of values, within which the actual R2 = =
value of the parameter will lie with a given probability. Total variation Sum of squares total (SST)
▪ if population variance is known, CI = X ̅ ± zα/2 σ
√n
s
▪ if population variance is unknown, CI = ̅ X ± t α/2
√n
Unemployment types: Real exchange rate = nominal exchange rate x (base currency CPI
Frictional: caused by the time lag necessary to match employees / price currency CPI).
seeking work with employers seeking their skills.
Long-term: People who have been out of work for a long time Forward rate = spot rate (1 + interest rate Price currency) / (1 +
(more than three to four months in many countries) but are still interest rate Base currency)
looking for a job.
Indexes used to measure inflation: Exchange rate regimes
Laspeyres: uses base year consumption basket. Formal dollarization: country uses the currency of another
Paasche: uses current year consumption basket. currency.
Fisher: geometric mean of Laspeyres and Paasche. Monetary union: several countries use a common currency.
Currency board system: an explicit commitment to exchange
Economic indicators: leading, coincident, lagging. domestic currency for a specified foreign currency at a fixed
exchange rate.
𝐌𝐨𝐧𝐞𝐲 𝐦𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐢𝐩𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐫 =
1 Fixed parity: a country pegs its currency within margins of ± 1% vs.
reserve requirement
another currency or basket of currencies.
Target zone: similar to a fixed parity but with wider bands (± 2%).
Fisher effect: R Nominal = R Real + E[I]
Crawling peg: allows for periodical adjustments in pegged
exchange rate.
Expansionary or contractionary monetary policy
Crawling bands: width of bands used in fixed peg is increased over
Neutral interest rate = real trend rate of economic growth +
time to make the gradual transition from fixed parity to a floating
inflation target
rate.
If policy rate > neutral interest rate → contractionary monetary
Managed float: monetary authority attempts to influence the
policy.
exchange rate but does not set any specific target.
If policy rate < neutral interest rate → expansionary monetary
Independently float: exchange rate is entirely market driven.
policy.
1
𝐅𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐦𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐢𝐩𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐫 = Financial Statement Analysis
1−MPC(1−tax rate)
Cash conversion cycle = days of inventory on hand + days of sales Conversion from LIFO to FIFO
outstanding – number of days of payables FIFO inventory = LIFO inventory + LIFO reserve
FIFO COGS = LIFO COGS – (ending LIFO reserve – beginning LIFO
reserve)
Capitalizing v/s expensing an asset Deferred tax liabilities are created when income tax expense is
As compared to expensing, capitalizing an asset results in higher greater than income tax payable. If DTL is not expected to reverse,
total assets, higher equity, lower income variability, higher CFO, treat it as equity.
lower CFI, lower debt/equity.
Under the effective interest rate method, interest expense = book
Depreciation methods: value of the bond liability at the beginning of the period x market
Straight line depreciation expense = depreciable cost / estimated rate of interest at issuance. The interest expense includes
useful life amortization of any discount or premium at issuance.
DDB depreciation expense = 2 x straight-line rate x beginning book
value Pension plans
Units of production depreciation expense per unit = depreciable Defined contribution plan: cash payment made into the plan is
cost / useful life in units recognized as pension expense on the income statement.
Financial reporting of leases from a lessee’s (entity using the Defined benefits plan: companies must report the difference
asset) perspective: between the defined benefit pension obligations and the pension
Under IFRS: Single accounting model for both finance and assets as an asset or liability on the balance sheet.
operating leases for lessees.
▪ Recognize a lease liability and corresponding right-of-use asset Corporate Issuers
on the balance sheet, both equal to the present value of lease
payments. Corporate governance refers to the system of controls and
▪ The liability is subsequently reduced using the effective interest procedures by which individual companies are managed.
method
▪ The right-of-use asset is amortized, often on a straight-line basis A board of directors is the central pillar of corporate governance.
over the lease term. It is elected by shareholders to act in their interests. A board can
▪ Interest and amortization expenses are shown separately on the have several committees that are responsible for specific functions.
income statement.
For example, audit committee, governance committee,
▪ The principal repayment component is reported as cash outflow
remuneration committee, nomination committee, risk committee,
under financing activities. The interest expense can be reported
under either operating or financing activities. investment committee.
Under US GAAP: Two accounting models for lessees: one for ESG Investment Description
finance leases and another for operating leases. Style
The finance lease accounting model is the same as the lease
accounting model for IFRS. Negative Excluding certain sectors or companies or
The operating lease accounting model is different: screening practices from a fund or portfolio based on
▪ Recognize a lease liability and corresponding right-of-use asset specific ESG criteria.
on the balance sheet, both equal to the present value of lease Positive Including certain sectors, companies, or practices
payments. screening in a fund or portfolio based on specific ESG
▪ The liability is subsequently reduced using the effective interest criteria.
method
▪ But the amortization of the right-of-use asset is the lease ESG integration Refers to the practice of including material ESG
payment less the interest expense. factors in the investment process.
▪ Interest expense and amortization expense are shown together Thematic This strategy picks investments based on a theme
as a single operating expense on the income statement. investing or single factor, such as energy efficiency or
▪ The entire lease payment is reported as cash outflow under climate change.
operating activities.
Financial reporting of leases from a lessor’s perspective. Engagement/ This strategy involves achieving targeted social or
Finance lease lessors (IFRS and US GAAP) active ownership environmental objectives along with measurable
▪ Recognize a lease receivable asset equal to the present value of financial returns by using shareholder power to
future lease payments and de-recognize the leased asset, influence corporate behavior.
simultaneously recognizing any difference as a gain or loss. Impact investing Investments made with the intention to generate
▪ The lease receivable is subsequently reduced by each lease positive, measurable social and environmental
payment using the effective interest method. impact alongside a financial return.
▪ Interest income is reported on the income statement, typically
as revenue.
▪ The entire cash receipt is reported under operating activities on Capital allocation is the process that companies use for decision-
the statement of cash flows. making on capital investments i.e., investments with a life of a year
Operating lease lessors (IFRS and US GAAP) or more. Basic principles of capital allocation are:
▪ The balance sheet is not affected: the lessor continues to 1. Decisions are based on cash flows.
recognize the underlying asset and depreciate it. 2. Cash flows are not accounting net income or operating income.
▪ Lease revenue is recognized on a straight-line basis on the
3. Cash flows are based on opportunity cost
income statement.
4. Cash flows are analyzed on an after-tax basis
▪ The entire cash receipt is reported under operating activities on
the statement of cash flows. 5. Timing of cash flows is vital
6. Financial costs are ignored
A security market index serves as a benchmark that investors can Free cash flow to equity models: value is estimated as the
use to track, measure and compare performance. Index returns can present value of expected future free cash flow to equity.
be calculated using two methods: FCFE = CFO – FCInv + net borrowing
∞ FCFEt
Price return = (index end value – index start value)/ index start V0 = ∑.t=1 ∗ ((1+r)t )
value
Total return = (index end value – index start value + income earned Gordon growth model: assumes that dividends will grow
over the holding period)/ index start value indefinitely at a constant growth rate.
D1
V0 =
Different weighting methods used in index construction r−g
Price weighting: weights are the arithmetic averages of the prices
of constituent securities. Multi-stage dividend discount model: used for companies with
Sum of Stock Prices high growth rate over an initial few number of periods followed by
Price weighted index =
No.of stocks in index adjusted for splits a constant growth rate of dividends forever.
Equal weighted index: weights are the arithmetic averages of the n D0 (1+gs )t Vn
V0 = ∑.t=1 + (1+r)
returns of constituent securities. (1+r)t n
Dn+1
Market capitalization weighted index: weight of each security is Vn =
r−g
determined by dividing its market capitalization with total market
capitalization.
Multiples based on fundamentals: tell us what a multiple should
Fundamental weighing: weights are based on fundamental
be based on some valuation models.
parameters such as earnings, book value, cash flow, revenue, and D1
dividend payout ratio
dividends. Forward P/E = P0 /E1 =
E1
=
r−g r−g
Multiples based on comparables: compares the stock’s price
Forms of market efficiency
multiple to a benchmark value based on an index or with a peer
Weak form: prices reflect only past market data.
group. Commonly used price multiples are P/E, P/CF, P/S, P/BV.
Semi-strong form: prices reflect past market data + public
information.
Enterprise value = market value of debt +market value of equity –
Strong form: prices reflect past market data + public information +
cash and short-term investments.
private information.
incorporated in another country. Full price or dirty price = flat price + accrued interest
▪ Eurobonds are issued internationally, outside the jurisdiction of t
Accrued interest = ∗ PMT
any single country and are denoted in currency other than that T
of the countries in which they trade.
▪ Global bonds are issued in the Eurobond market and at least one Matrix pricing: method used to value illiquid bonds by using prices
domestic market simultaneously. and yields on comparable securities.
Cash flows of fixed-income securities Stated Annual Rate: The formula for conversion based on
Bullet structure: pays coupon periodically and entire payment of periodicity is
principal occurs at maturity. APR m m APR n n
Fully amortized bond: regular payments include both interest and (1 + ) = (1 + )
m n
principal; outstanding principal amount is reduced to zero by the
Yield measures:
maturity date.
Street convention yield: assumes payments are made on scheduled
Partially amortizing bond: regular payments include both interest
dates, neglecting weekends and holidays for simplicity.
and principal; balloon payment is required at maturity to repay the
True yield: is the yield-to-maturity calculated using an actual
remaining principal as a lump sum.
calendar. Here we consider weekends and holidays.
Sinking fund agreements: issuer is required to retire a portion of
Current yield is the annual coupon payment divided by the flat
the bond issue at specified times during the bond’s life.
price.
Floating rate notes (FRN): coupon is set based on some reference
Simple yield: adjusts the current yield by using straight-line
rate plus a spread.
amortization of the discount or premium.
Yield to call: assumes bond will be called.
Contingency provisions
Yield to worst: lower of YTM and YTC.
Callable bond: gives the issuer the right to redeem the bond prior
Money market yields: are quoted on a discount rate or add-on rate
to maturity at a specified call price; call provision lowers price.
basis.
Putable bond: gives the bondholder the right to sell bonds back to
Bond equivalent yield: is an add-on rate based on a 365-day year.
the issuer prior to maturity at a specified put price; put provision
increases price.
Convertible bond: gives the bondholder the right to convert the Price of a money market instrument quoted on a discount basis
bond into common shares of the issuing company; increases price. days to maturity
PV = FV x (1- x DR)
year
Prepayment risk has two components: Credit risk has two components:
Contraction risk: faster prepayments. Risk of default: probability that the borrower will default.
Extension risk: slower prepayments. Loss severity: if the borrower does default, how severe is the loss.
Expected loss = default probability x loss severity given default
Types of ABS
Agency RMBS: backed by conforming home mortgages. Notching refers to the practice of adjusting an issue credit rating
Non-agency RMBS: backed by nonconforming home mortgages. upward or downward from the issuer credit rating, to reflect the
CMO: backed by RMBS, has multiple tranches. seniority or other provisions in that specific issue.
CMBS: backed by commercial mortgages.
Auto loan ABS: backed by auto loans. Four Cs of traditional credit analysis: capacity, collateral,
Credit card ABS: backed by credit card receivables. covenants, and character.
CDO: backed by a diversified pool of one or more debt obligations.
Derivatives
Covered bonds have lower credit risks and offer lower yields than
otherwise similar ABS. They differ from ABS because of their: dual Exchange-traded derivatives: standardized, highly regulated,
recourse nature, balance sheet impact, dynamic cover pool, and transparent and free of default.
redemption regimes in the event of sponsor default. Over-the-counter derivatives: customized, flexible, less regulated
than exchange-traded derivatives, but are not free of default risk.
Changes in interest rate affects the realized rate of return for any
bond investor in two ways: Forward commitment: obligation to buy or sell an asset or make a
Market price risk: bond price decreases when the interest rate payment in the future.
goes up. Contingent claim: has a future payoff only if some future event
Coupon reinvestment risk: value of reinvested coupons increases takes place.
when the interest rate goes up.
For short term horizon, market price risk dominates. For long term Types of derivatives: forward contracts, future contracts, options,
horizon, coupon reinvestment risk dominates. swaps, credit derivatives.
Macaulay duration: Time horizon at which market price risk Call option payoff, profit at expiration
exactly offsets coupon reinvestment risk. Also interpreted as the ▪ Call buyer payoff: cT = Max(0, ST – X)
weighted average of the time to receipt of coupon interest and ▪ Call seller payoff: –cT = –Max(0, ST – X)
principal payments. ▪ Call buyer profit: Max(0, ST – X) – c0
▪ Call seller profit: Π = –Max(0, ST – X) + c0
Duration gap = Macaulay duration – Investment horizon
Put option payoff, profit at expiration
Modified duration: linear estimate of the percentage price change
▪ Put buyer payoff: pT = Max(0, X – ST)
in a bond for a 100 basis points change in its yield-to-maturity.
▪ Put seller payoff: –pT = –Max(0, X – ST)
Modified duration = macaulay duration / (1 + r) ▪ Put buyer profit: Π = Max(0, X – ST) – p0
(PV− ) − (PV+ )
Approximate modified duration =
2 ∗ ∆ yield ∗ PV0
▪ Put seller profit: Π = –Max(0, X – ST) + p0
Effective duration: linear estimate of the percentage change in a
bond’s price that would result from a 100 basis points change in Arbitrage-free pricing: a derivative must be priced such that no
the benchmark yield curve. Used for bonds with embedded options. arbitrage opportunities exist, and there can only be one price for
(PV− ) − (PV+ ) the derivative that earns the risk-free return.
Effective duration =
2∗∆curve∗PV0 asset + derivative = risk-free asset
Key rate duration is a measure of the price sensitivity of a bond to Price v/s Value
a change in the spot rate for a specific maturity. The price of a forward or futures contract is the forward price that
is specified in the contract.
The lowest price for a put option is given by: Real estate
Includes private as well as public investments and equity as well as
X
p0 > = max (0, (1+r)T -𝑆0 ) debt investments.
The part of minimum-variance frontier above the global minimum- portfolio excess returns Rp −Rf
variance portfolio is called the efficient frontier. Sharpe ratio = =
portfolio total risk σp
Drawing a line tangent from the risk free asset to the efficient (Rp −Rf )σm
M2 = − (R m − R f )
frontier will give the capital allocation line (CAL). σp
Rp −Rf
The point where this line intersects the efficient frontier is called Treynor measure =
Portfolio risk premium
=
beta risk (systematic risk) βp
the optimal risky portfolio.
The optimal investor portfolio is the point at which the investor’s Jenson′ s alpha = Actual portfolio return − SML expected return =
indifference curve is tangential to the CAL line. R p − [R f + β(R m − R f )]
Investment policy statement (IPS)
Investment objectives
▪ Return objectives
▪ Risk tolerance
Investment constraints (LLTTU)
▪ Liquidity requirements
▪ Legal and regulatory
▪ Time horizon
▪ Tax
▪ Unique circumstances