Banks and Fintech
Banks and Fintech
Banks and Fintech
on Platform
Economies
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Banks and Fintech
on Platform
Economies
Contextual and Conscious Banking
PAOLO SIRONI
This edition first published 2022
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Forewords xv
Disclaimer xxxi
Introduction 1
PART ONE
Foundations of Platform Theory
CHAPTER 1
Platform Essentials on Outcome Economies 15
1.1 Introduction 16
1.2 Platforms and ecosystems 17
1.3 Innovating from output to outcome economies 22
1.4 Linear and non-linear thinking 24
1.5 Platform types 25
1.6 About platforms and innovation theory 27
1.7 Shifting the perception of value 29
1.8 Banks and fintech on outcome economies 31
1.9 Conclusions 33
Takeaways for banks and fintech 34
vii
viii Contents
CHAPTER 2
The Trust Advantage 35
2.1 Introduction 35
2.2 Elements of platform creation 37
2.2.1 The platform challenge 38
2.2.2 The chicken-or-egg dilemma 39
2.3 Transparency generates trust 42
2.3.1 It’s marketing, stupid! or not? 42
2.3.2 Trust in the middle kingdom 43
2.4 The trust advantage for banks and fintech 44
2.5 Conclusions 47
Takeaways for banks and fintech 48
CHAPTER 3
Open Innovation and Data 49
3.1 Introduction 49
3.2 Closed and open innovation 51
3.2.1 Attributes of closed and open innovation 52
3.2.2 Open innovation in platform economies 53
3.3 The strategic role of complementors 55
3.4 The monetisation perspective 56
3.5 The monetisation of APIs 58
3.5.1 Free use 59
3.5.2 API consumers pay 59
3.5.3 API consumers get paid 60
3.5.4 Indirect monetisation 60
3.6 The monetisation of user engagement 61
3.6.1 Imposing transaction fees 61
3.6.2 Asking for access fees 61
3.6.3 Tiering enhanced access fees 61
3.6.4 Delivering enhanced curation 62
3.7 The API economy for banks and fintech 62
3.8 Conclusions 65
Takeaways for banks and fintech 66
Contents ix
CHAPTER 4
Platform Governance Founded on Transparency 67
4.1 Introduction 67
4.2 Power comes with responsibility 68
4.3 Platform monopoly between competition
and regulation 71
4.3.1 Intensified regulation 71
4.3.2 Better governance to fight monopoly powers 73
4.4 Negative externalities threaten platform resilience 74
4.5 Governance of openness and curation 76
4.6 The transparency governing principle 78
4.6.1 Transparency about platform management 78
4.6.2 Transparency about platform orchestration 79
4.7 Transparency for banks and fintech 80
4.8 Conclusions 82
Takeaways for banks and fintech 83
PART TWO
Reinventing Financial Services
CHAPTER 5
The Existential Shift of Bank Business Models 89
5.1 Introduction 89
5.2 The new normal of central banks 91
5.2.1 Lehman Brothers’ default 91
5.2.2 The annihilation of central banks’
systemic put 92
5.2.3 Banks’ Catch-22 95
5.2.4 From product-centricity to human-centricity 98
5.3 About the tension between information
and communication 99
5.4 The banking reinvention quadrant 101
5.4.1 The map and the compass 101
5.4.2 The information and communication
quotients 103
x Contents
PART THREE
Leading Platform Strategies
CHAPTER 8
Contextual Banking 147
CHAPTER 9
Foundations of Financial Market Transparency 175
CHAPTER 10
Conscious Banking 189
Bibliography 219
Index 227
Forewords
The pandemic saw a massive decline in branch activity over a very short period.
While many hope for branch activity to come back, changes in behaviour in mobile
usage and online tend to remain permanent––so that hope is unfounded. For many
banks, however, their distribution platform is their branch network: it is their access
identity; it is the way they are embedded in the community; it is where their branding
sits; it is how they measure customer excellence, experience, and engagement. The
bigger issue for branch economics is acquisition of customers at a digital scale that
is being demonstrated by the more successful neo-banks, buy-now-pay-later opera-
tors, and wallets around the world. As more and more day-to-day banking market
share is taken by digital equivalents of a bank account, the role of branches for all
but certain exceptional use cases becomes largely unsustainable. Right-sizing branch
networks will be forced upon publicly listed banks. Banks reliant on branches will
have nowhere to go. It is not that bank branches will disappear, but that banks that
rely on branches will. Without a robust digital acquisition model, customer inflow
and product applications through a branch will slow to a trickle that is not enough to
sustain the future bank. If you have a product or service that still requires a signature
in 2025, you are going to be struggling for any cross-sell and up-sell. You simply will
not be able to survive as a bank with revenue from the branch alone. No way. Friction
will be the biggest killer of bank revenue in the next 10 years. The lowest friction
experiences will win the highest network adoption rates. We can already demonstrate
that in China, India, Bangladesh, Kenya, and elsewhere.
In 2020, the mobile payments networks of Alipay and Tencent WeChat Pay deliv-
ered almost twice the total number of payments to merchants of the entire global
plastic card market, that includes credit cards, debit cards, gift cards, . . . as reminded
in Turrin [1]. These changes are all illustrative of banking becoming embedded in
our world through non-bank networks, where many of those network operators are
xv
xvi Forewords
starting to offer financial services in context. The big shift is this: in the world of bank-
ing from the 1400s to 1995, every bank transaction or product was issued through
a bank-owned and bank-operated channel––a branch, call centre, broker, or ATM
network. Today, non-bank channels dominate day-to-day banking access and trans-
actional activity. Within a decade, non-bank channels will dominate revenue also.
As payments have evolved, the tendency is to move away from both the closed, propri-
etary nature of bank-owned and bank-operated payment networks and from complex,
slow systems toward instant or near real-time payments. The reality is that networks
like PayPal, WeChat Pay, and Alipay have demonstrated much greater utility within
their networks than bank-to-bank transactions or cash for day-to-day payments capa-
bility. And it is not just for payments. The boom in Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) credit
access is again evidence of embedded banking experiences. Instead of treating credit
as a product, such as a credit card, that you need to apply for separately before you
engage in purchasing activity, BNPL allows you to not worry about credit options
until you are engaged in the purchase process. By streamlining credit access in this
way, the utility of credit becomes much more powerful and meaningful. It makes
the use cases for a plastic credit card that you need to apply for in advance, much
harder to sell in a real-time world. The reason cheques and cash use are in decline,
and the reason more people use Alipay and WeChat Pay in China today, is because we
increasingly use technology in day-to-day interactions. We are clearly going to use
devices with a bias toward frictionless and open payment architectures that have com-
parable utility. The future of payments is unavoidably experience-rich, friction-
and artifact-poor.
Examining savings, credit, and lending, and other aspects of finance, will demon-
strate the same trend. Online and mobile experience design is leading us toward rapid
utility and fulfillment. The fastest, most seamless credit experience is not an applica-
tion for a credit product on your phone or laptop while you are in a store, but simply
a provisioning of credit based on a preferred or enabled relationship. The product
(credit card, overdraft, personal loan, line of credit, etc.) structure disappears to sim-
ply enable you to get access to the utility of extra cash when you need it the most.
Context is the new experience battlefield because it brings the utility of banking to you
when and where you need it, instead of relying on the customer asking to be approved.
This is the key switch that is being made––Bank 4.0 experiences will be an attack
on the entire onboarding and application process banks have designed today.
Designing experiences in the Bank 4.0 age means that the previous product and chan-
nel structures offer almost zero benefit in this new world. In fact, they may bias you
toward experiences with unnecessary friction and limit you in terms of scale.
This begs the question: if products have to make way for contextual experiences,
what does a bank org chart look like? Where do all the products and channels go?
Forewords xvii
When I am asked by bankers who they should hire for what is coming next, I always
begin with, “Stop hiring bankers!”. The qualitative research I have carried out has
come up with just a few of the jobs that will be considered critical in revenue and
capability growth in financial services over the next five years or so: data scientist,
machine learning specialist, experience designer / storyteller, behavioural psycholo-
gist, blockchain integrator, compliance and risk programmer, community advocate,
and identity broker. I refuse to add robot psychologist, emoji translator, and customer
experience Ninja to this list. However, I might be tempted to add an AI ethicist, for
example. Some roles I have left out that are critical for future development already
exist in numerous banks, but they will become increasingly important in building
a bank platform that is competitive. They include business analysts, venture capital
teams for investing in FinTech, those that manage and grow technology partnerships,
hackathon, or incubator labs––basically the ability to rapidly grow the bank’s tech-
nology capability without building it internally. The real challenge, of course, is that
if you are a tech graduate coming out of a university looking for a job today, would
you be looking to work for a startup, a tech major like Facebook, Apple, or Google, or
would you be wanting to join a bank? Recruiting these skills will surely be a challenge
for financial services organisations culturally.
An organisation chart in today’s modern bank is not all that different from an
organisation chart you might have seen 30 or 40 years ago, but there have been new
competencies and capabilities inserted into the structure. What is most noticeable
about an organisation chart of a bank in the future is that the bank functions as a
“platform”––it can surface the underlying utility and capability of the bank. In a Bank
4.0 organisation, it is not the omni-channel capability that is the key, it is complete
channel agnosticism, engagement, and revenue-pragmatic focus. The modern bank-
ing organisation is focused on customer delivery, whether retail, SME, corporate or
otherwise. As such, the organisation becomes much more mission-focused when it
comes to revenue delivery. When you look at the likes of Ant Financial and oth-
ers attacking this space, they have business units around core competencies, but not
organisation charts focused on products. Their organisation chart is unconventional,
focused on KPIs that measure active users, daily engagement, cumulative actions,
such as borrowing over the lifetime of the customer, and year-on-year growth. Their
collective business unit growth is designed to speed up the reach of their network as
it grows [2]. This leads us to think of the new Bank 4.0 organisation structure not as
a chart showing strategic business units, but as core competencies across the organ-
isation that can share missions, customer goals, and so forth in a matrix form that a
typical bank today would encounter huge challenges to accomplish. In terms of com-
petencies, we see that “banking” per se just becomes one of the competencies of the
bank, and in equal terms Delivery, Business Operations and Technology Operations
are just as critical.
xviii Forewords
While we might see today that AI and something like Amazon Alexa or the
latest mobile app would sit under the purview of the Information Technology or Dig-
ital team, in this new world delivery capability becomes a customer experience and
engagement platform that is far-reaching––essentially the new driver of revenue, rela-
tionship, and reach. In this new model, technology operations become the underlying
platform capabilities that are needed to surface utility and experiences in real time.
Instead of traditional operations, we have technology and business operational com-
petencies, as both are just as critical, but require very different skill sets and division
of labour.
A few new areas emerge that you would not find on the organisation chart today,
namely, Research and Development, Partner Management and Operations, Data
Modelling, Experience Design, and, of course, Artificial Intelligence. Many of these
functions are counter-intuitive for the banks that have iterated from the Bank 1.0
world––their immune systems of internal core systems, legacy process, compliance,
and entrenched product teams are extremely likely to push back against these new
competencies. If these competencies are not built, however, the ability to deliver
revenue in a real-time, tech-first world will be tough.
NOTE
BANKING AS AN AFTERTHOUGHT1
Richard Turrin, bestselling author of Cashless: China’s Digital
Currency Revolution
When you go to your bank’s website, odds are it is to check your balances or
perhaps pay a few bills. Whether you did so on your computer or cell phone, I will
wager that while there you ignored the bank’s latest advertisements touting their latest
credit card or favourable rates. Like most users by now, you are comfortably numb
to the bank’s latest offers.
This experience is repeated billions of times globally every day. The utility of
a bank’s website is narrowly defined by immediate needs and how quickly one can
accomplish these tasks. Banks enable this situation because your money is captive
on their portal. You must use their system to access it. The reason, beyond legacy
systems and ingrained behaviours, is that banks think of their portals as destinations
with limited functionality. They are designed to do only two things: provide you with
digital services and push products at you in the hope of making a sale. You go to their
site or app not because you want to, but because you have to. There is no alternative.
Until, that is, digital currency comes to town.
The system I described exists in the West today (at least in the banks most of us
use); it also existed in China before the launch of payment giants like WeChat and
Alipay in 2014. In the West, money is immobile, it belongs to you, but the means of
transfer belongs to the bank. In practical terms, if your bank falls short of your needs,
it is more than likely that you need to physically go to the bank, pay a fee for issuing a
cheque to close your account, and march off to another bank. In China, instant digital
payments through WeChat and Alipay broke that old system, and that country’s new
digital currency will further weaken the banks’ control of how clients manage their
money. It is a defining moment in banking services. Above all, it empowers the indi-
vidual. Digital currencies will allow users almost complete freedom to move money
wherever and whenever they want.
Now compare any bank’s website experience with a full platform tech service like
Amazon. You go to Amazon not just to buy a book, but to read the candid reviews
from other customers on millions of products, check out a few movies, see what is up
with the latest music, and, if you are hungry, see what is available at the supermarket.
Amazon is a platform that started with selling books but went on to offer products
and services that encompass virtually any lifestyle.
xx Forewords
What makes Amazon so special? It is a platform that aims to fulfill many of life’s
needs in one spot. It is the exact opposite of your bank’s website, which offers one
and only one siloed service. Platforms, whether built around social connections or
e-commerce (the two most common core offerings), try to capture our time by provid-
ing us with as many diversions and as much utility as possible. We use them willingly
because we get more out of them, and they harken us back because they satisfy our
needs.
The banking experience in China, is, as you would expect, radically different. I no
longer bank on either the bank’s app or online; there is simply no need. My money is
all accessed through WeChat Pay or Alipay platforms, which are aptly named “super-
apps” because of the number of services they perform. It is a remarkable experience
that frees access to my savings and pushes banking to where it belongs, as the enabler
of me doing something, instead of being the focus. It is a massive transformation in
how we use banks and one that changes how users perceive banks as a necessity and
money’s place in our lives. “Seamless” is the best description. Money and technology
coming together to form a seamless integration of using your money so you can live
your life. Never a thought of how the money will move, where it will go, and the
underlying mechanics. It simply all combines to help get stuff done. This is business
as usual in China. Research shows that 93% of consumers with a bank account in
China also use one or more of the digital payment companies. In practical terms, it
means that banks have been driven off centre stage by the superapps. It is so disrup-
tive that it is no wonder banks in the West find it culturally challenging to adopt even
the most basic of open banking techniques, like building open APIs, for fear that it
will lead down a similar path of disenfranchisement.
Most of us do not wake up in the morning and say, “I want to visit my bank
to see what’s up.” Instead, we use it to buy a house or send money. The bank is a
means to an end, usually a vaguely unpleasant diversion required for us to get to
our goal. Now imagine that the bank is no longer a necessary stop on the path to
achieving a goal. Car sales showrooms’ in-house financing programmes realised this
years ago with sign-now and drive away programmes, which sought to reduce the
effort of getting a car loan. The sellers realized that checking rates and going to the
bank to sign the documents were likely to kill a sale, so they did an end-run around
the process to keep customers onsite. Car companies took much of the auto financing
business away from banks, so why banks remain blind to their own expendability is
a mystery to me. There have certainly been plenty of digital disrupters overturning
Forewords xxi
other industries, like Uber, Airbnb, or Square. And it is not like the banks can not hire
and nurture digital talent. It simply comes down to vision (or the lack thereof).
Imagine a world where your money is available on a mobile-based digital pay-
ment platform that addresses all of your life activities. Secure and convenient because
it uses facial recognition to unlock payment, accepted nationally and used to pay bills
large and small, all from a single platform. This is not just buying a coffee using
Apple or Google Pay, but a payment system that cuts across all of your life, including
your internet presence, your local shops, rent, mortgage, insurance, investments, and
personal cash transfers. Press a button on your phone, click buy, facial recognition
confirms, and done. You never go to the bank, never go to your bank’s website or
app, meanwhile, you know that your money is secure. This dream was made real by
the digital payment platforms, which turned China “cashless” and is a model for the
West’s development of platforms that can make banking an afterthought.
NOTE
I asked a room full of bankers recently what they thought when they heard the
word “platform.” The most frequent responses were “online banking,” “mobile bank-
ing,” and “lending.” One guy said, “Shoes.” Very funny, Mr. Saturday Night Fever.
Interestingly, no one said, “Amazon.” While the term “platform” is widely used in
the industry as a technology construct, there is another (non-footwear) use of the
word––as a business model. And platform business models are taking over banking.
WHAT IS A PLATFORM?
Despite the recent spate of books on the topic, the platform business model is hardly
new. Platform Strategy defines a platform as a “Plug-and-play business model
that allows multiple providers and consumers to connect, interact, and create and
exchange value.”
Mark Bonchek and Sangeet Paul Choudary describe three things a company must
do to be a platform [4]. First, be a magnet. A platform must attract the right providers
(those with the most desirable products and services) and the right consumers (those
who the providers want to do business with). Second, act as a matchmaker. A platform
requires a mechanism for matching consumers to the right providers, and for enabling
providers to reach the right consumers who come to the platform. Third, provide
a toolkit. The toolkit is what enables providers to easily plug into (and out of) the
platform, and to integrate with consumers.
There are (at least) four types of digital platforms taking over the banking
world:
■ Megabank API toolkits. BBVA, Capital One, Citibank, Deutsche Bank, HSBC,
and Wells Fargo all have some form of developer hub, portal, or exchange that
enables third-party apps to access, integrate, and/or extract data about the bank’s
customer base. While a “toolkit” is a critical component of a platform strategy,
the megabanks’ efforts are too narrowly focused on the technology side of the
coin to qualify as a true platform. The mindset still seems to be “if enabling
third-parties to interact, integrate, and engage our client base enables us to sell
more of what we already sell, we’re all for it.”
■ Marketplace platforms. In their earliest incarnations, marketplace lenders like
Prosper and Lending Club could not really be considered platforms because they
lacked the toolkit for integration. That is changing. As lending marketplaces
hit speed bumps in their evolution, some have turned to a platform strategy.
xxiv Forewords
Kabbage, for example, re-branded itself as Kabbage Platform, the small busi-
ness lending marketplace that offers financial institutions processing capabilities
and access to non-traditional data sources for underwriting. The firm’s toolkit
includes integrating data from a variety of sources including Ebay, Etsy, Amazon,
and PayPal.
■ Analytics platforms. Analytics platforms are emerging on two fronts: (1) use-
case specific platforms like NICE X-Sight, which it describes as a “cloud-based
Financial Crime Risk Management Platform-as-a-Service,” enabling financial
institutions to manage and use data from multiple sources, and (2) generic plat-
forms like those from Trellance whose CU Analytics Platform is “a collaborative
ecosystem that will create communities of users, data scientists, and application
developers.”
■ Core integration platforms. There is an emerging set of players in the fintech
vendor space that might be thought of as “core integration platforms.” These
providers enable financial institutions to better integrate ancillary systems with
their cores.
A few thoughts on this platformifisation of banking. First, open does not mean
platform. A firm cannot pursue a platform strategy and not be “open” but it can
be “open” and not pursue a platform strategy. Simply providing a facility to share
data does not make a company a platform. Second, platforms will change the way
banks acquire and deploy technology. While much of the attention is on platforms
like Amazon where consumers are buyers, many of the examples of platformifisation
listed here are those with banks as buyers. Platforms will change traditional software
sales approaches, making vendor performance management a critical IT skill. Third,
there’s a downside to platformifisation. Over-personalisation and unintended con-
sequences of data sharing are two risks of platformifisation. In a report entitled “Five
Fears About Mass Predictive Personalisation in an Age of Surveillance Capitalism,”
Karen Yeung wrote: “Personalisation practices foster and exacerbate the asymmetry
of power between profilers and those to whom personalised services are provided,
thereby increasing the opportunities for the former to exploit the latter” [5].
Forewords xxv
Banking as-a-Service (BaaS) is the natural, logical, and even inevitable evolu-
tion of Open Banking. BaaS brings the emphasis of financial services back to the
service––by unequivocally putting the customer at the heart of the proposition and
enabling banking services to be digitally assembled around them and for them, in
whichever customer journey they are in, wherever they choose. Banking will go to
meet the customer where they are!
While some may see this as a threat, the more progressive understand the rele-
vance, scale, and growth opportunities to be captured by focusing on the customer in
their journey, contextual or conscious. Let us not forget that the industry has already
reached an inflection point in which the market capitalisation of the top payment firms
now eclipses that of the biggest banking names. The market continues to shift, and
the hockey puck is moving to BaaS.
The winners will be the institutions that take a customer-obsessed approach to
optimising and facilitating consumption of their services, seamlessly and securely.
For this, banks must balance two things. First, that their services are designed to
maximise value to the customer journey and their desired outcomes, and, second,
that they can act with agility to meet the customers where they are and when the
banking services are needed.
It can be easy, but it would also be wrong, to consider Banking as-a-Service
as simply embedding a service into a (normally) consumer proposition; the abun-
dance of opportunity is even greater in the realm of corporate and institutional
banking. Embracing “X-as-a-Service” would allow new value creation, such as offer-
ing services including Treasury-as-a-Service, Cash Management-as-a-Service or For-
eign Exchange-as-a-Service to extend reach and relevance, while empowering a vast
raft of smaller banks, neo, digital, challengers, and so on, through the provision of
economies of scale.
Joining the BaaS revolution is not just about having the correct tech stack. It
requires a genuinely collaborative and open mindset, and a skill set that transcends
product and technology, but can span the vectors of engineering, growth hacking,
customer-centricity, new monetisation models, and ultimately the new role of orches-
tration. Without focusing singularly on the outcome of driving consumption at the
optimum position in the user journey, some banks may miss the myriad opportuni-
ties that this market shift will bring about. However, from our vantage point, we are
greatly encouraged to see that the journey toward BaaS has already begun . . .
xxvi Forewords
We live in the age of data. We are surrounded by zettabytes of it with every click
and every scroll. Almost every aspect of our daily experience is shaped by it, in what
we call the experience economy. With so many businesses all vying for a limited pool
of time, attention, and money, the winners are those who can orchestrate memorable
moments for their customers and create connections that matter.
The Italian movie, Cinema Paradiso, directed by Giuseppe Tornatore, illustrated that
point in quite a heartwarming way. The movie recalled the childhood memories of
a film director in the movie house Cinema Paradiso in Giancaldo, Sicily, and his
friendship with the projectionist. With the passage of time, and perhaps the irony of it
all, the movie theatre was demolished to make way for a parking lot. But the memories
lived on in a film reel left by his friend as he went on to become a successful director.
As we reflect upon how our own lived experiences and things that have played
pivotal roles in our lives, especially in the past two years, what do we remember? And
how has the global crisis accelerated not only business model transformation but also
shaped our perception on what we need and what matters?
Much like how the entertainment industry is reshaping the movie-going culture,
beyond just selling an admission ticket to the theatre, what is the banking industry’s
Cinema Paradiso moment – to go beyond selling a banking product?
Nothing illustrated the power of data and technology more vividly than the
COVID-19 pandemic. Many of us have adopted to new ways of working and
learning collaboratively––on a large scale and around the world. Businesses have
created new ways to serve their customers, from curb-side pickup to digital banking
tools and more widespread use of technology in call centres.
Beyond accelerating transformation for survival reasons, the crisis has also illus-
trated the power of out-of-the-box thinking and the need for collaboration with other
players. Instead of “one-size-fits-all,” businesses are increasingly recognising the
need to provide more personalised experiences, powered by an ecosystem of part-
ners. With the help of advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence, financial
Forewords xxvii
institutions now have the ability to get a true 360-degree view of consumer finances,
which will allow them not only to gleam valuable insights on the overall financial
well-being with the collated data, but provide actionable guidance toward a sustain-
able future path.
And there is so much more that can be done, across all customer touchpoints and
during the entire lifetime of the customer, beyond onboarding and life events, with a
holistic experience that truly aligns with the customers’ values and needs.
A re-imagined future of financial services, powered not by transactions, but
by emotional connections toward outcomes, is not unattainable. While the dawn of
the Internet and the smartphone era has driven much of the last wave of innovation,
artificial intelligence and big data will enable the next. As we rebuild from the crisis,
we must ensure that we do so responsibly, and with equity and humanity in the centre
of it all.
Our collective future – and our shared prosperity – depend on it.
xxviii Forewords
Watching Paolo give the opening address at the 2021 Open Banking World
Congress was a bittersweet experience. As he shared a fascinating preview of the
insights in Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies: Contextual and Conscious
Banking, I couldn’t help thinking that he might be an essential act to follow.
Digitisation and open banking are disrupting the global financial services indus-
try. The world where banks could expect to push products onto captive customers
is fast disappearing, to be replaced by open ecosystems and dramatically improved
customer experiences. New players and partnerships are emerging, while the shadow
of bigtech looms . . .
How should banks, fintech, regulators, and other stakeholders react? Different
countries and organisations are following different open banking and open finance
models. European regulation is often contrasted with the market-led approach favored
by the US––but some of the most interesting (and under-reported) innovation is com-
ing from China.
This is the book I’ve been waiting for since first becoming aware of Paolo’s
ground-breaking work internationally, and also in China where most of the fintech
revolution is taking place. Paolo has the happy knack of being able to take the fun-
damental drivers of change and weave them together into a practical framework for
future strategies. While many of us are still getting to grips with how platform models
can be applied in the financial services sector, the concepts of Contextual Bank-
ing and Conscious Banking offer a much richer picture of embedded banking and
platformisation.
As an observer of the global open banking and open finance movement, it is easy
to get caught up in the excitement of the latest launch or partnership. Paolo puts the
day-to-day noise in a wider context, helping us understand where all this is taking
us. I have watched Paolo’s presentation more than once––this is a book that will be
worth reading and re-reading.
If Jamie Dimon is indeed “scared shitless” about the fintech threat, he might want
to turn to Paolo for a little guidance.
Exciting times!
Trim Size: 152mm x 229mm
k Sironi756972 flast01.tex V1 - 10/08/2021 6:29am Page xxix
P aolo Sironi is the global research leader in banking and financial markets at IBM,
the Institute for Business Value. He is one of the most respected fintech voices
worldwide, providing business expertise and strategic thinking to a network of exec-
utives among financial institutions, start-ups, and regulators. He is a former quantita-
tive risk manager and start-up entrepreneur. Paolo’s literature explores the biological
underpinnings of financial markets, and how technology and business innovation can
bolster the global economy’s immune system in today’s volatile times. Visit Paolo’s
website thePSironi.com for more information.
k k
xxix
k
Disclaimer
T his work features the thoughts, vision, and opinions of the author but are the
author’s alone; these do not represent the practice nor the views of his current
or previous employers, nor the beliefs of his present and past colleagues.
xxxi
Introduction
T oday it is very clear. Digital platforms are eating the world, affecting con-
sumer behaviour and transforming corporate strategies through a substantial
change in stakeholder value across entire industries. The removal of frictions
inside active ecosystems allows platforms to create unforeseen value-generating
interactions among participants. Traditional firms usually trade in the products
that deliver certain results and focus on the quantification of outputs like discrete
sales figures or quantities. Instead, platforms place the distribution of products
on the periphery of corporate strategy, and focus on the generation of outcomes
through hyper-personalised client journeys. To succeed in platform economies,
firms must overcome the complexities of monetising while trading in the results
themselves on open ecosystems. Placing the final users to the front and centre of
business action is necessary but might not be enough. In particular, the emergence of
outcome economies exposes financial institutions to the weakness of consolidated
revenue-generating mechanisms. Traditionally, banking performance was driven
by interest rate margins and fee-based models, centred on product distribution
channels. This business architecture is no longer able to stand the test of time, and
is facing an accelerated shift towards new economic, social, and digital normals.
Interest rate margins and product fees are evaporating, and the value chain, based on
the intermediation of financial products, is losing its grip. To generate sustainable
business value on outcome economies, banks and fintech need a new strategic anchor
that centres on a novel understanding of the “biological” relationship between
clients, financial markets, and technology. This discovery encourages both them and
the regulators to undertake a substantial redefinition of the business roles, economic
perspectives, and social purposes that are revealed in this book.
The advent of “outcome economies” is a tsunami for the traditional business
culture. Business and technology leaders are asked to join in a mindset change to
conquer outcome economies. Sustainable business performance is no longer based
on linear relationships between manufacturers, distributors, and consumers. Instead,
the main economic levers lie in the ability of new business models to engage users
and complementors continuously through digital technology. Innovators are required
to think in a non-linear manner through a novel understanding of users’ needs. They
are asked to master artificial intelligence and big data analytics to win users’ trust,
based on the transparent contextualisation of frictionless experiences, at convenient
prices. Essentially, products and services become more granular (e.g., micro-services
delivering personalised insights about Facebook users and their network of friends),
1
2 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
How can these problems be addressed and resolved? This book answers all these
questions, and provides practical building blocks, an innovative mindset, and key
strategic perspectives to succeed in fintech innovation on platform economies across
banking and non-banking ecosystems. Financial institutions are already updating the
traditional business models that were conceived inside output economies and are
striving to generate more business value in order to remain relevant in a transpar-
ent world, composed of outcome economies. Strategic investments in trusted data
architectures and artificial intelligence (AI) are a necessary step to dismantle out-
dated data silos across business units and increase the amount of information shared
on open banking platforms. Also, core communication capabilities, both digital and
human, have to be strengthened by infusing AI into all business critical processes. In
order to achieve this gargantuan effort of digital transformation, what is needed are
clear strategies that match corporate ambitions, the competitive landscape, the effec-
tive maturity of exponential technologies, and the digital adaptability of consumers
and ecosystems.
Business and technology leaders can navigate these uncharted waters by following
the compass of “higher business value” on the Banking Reinvention Quadrant
(BRQ), as shown in Figure 0.1. The BRQ illustrates how to transform information
systems (i.e., core banking) and communication systems (i.e., digital interfaces and
human relationships) to reach the higher BRQ spaces, calibrating the intensity of
the information and communication strategies. The Information Quotient (IQ) is
the “technology” axis and represents the level of openness in the use of internal
and external data. It guides the shift from monolithic core banking to hybrid
cloud platforms, fostering the participation of partners and complementors. The
Communication Quotient (CQ) is the “business” axis and represents the intensity in
the use of AI to support digital relationships and new advisory models. It transforms
the value-generating interactions between financial institutions and clients.
Following the compass provided by the theory and principles of Financial Mar-
ket Transparency (FMT), the industry is developing from offer-driven propositions
(i.e., pushing mechanisms) to demand-driven consumption along user journeys
(i.e., pulling mechanisms). This corresponds to two distinct platform models:
Banking-as-a-Platform and Banking-as-a-Service. In the first platform model, the
bank owns the customer relationship, and integrates services from fintech and other
providers to complement the offering. In the second platform model, the customer
relationship is owned by the non-banking platform, which integrates services from
the bank. Banks and fintech can participate in non-banking platforms as partners and
complementors, or decide to orchestrate final ecosystems as sponsors and managers.
This book discusses the strategic evolution of these models, and identifies the two
4 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
Increasing
Information
Quotient HIGHER
BUSINESS
VALUE
ECOSYSTEM
CONTEXTUAL
BANKING
OUTCOME
OPEN
CONSCIOUS
INFORMATION QUOTIENT (IQ)
PLATFORMS
BANKING
Evolution of
ECOSYSTEM
Banking-as-a-Service
CLOSED
and Non-banking
Platforms
Evolution of
OUTPUT
Banking-as-a-Platform
PRODUCTS
SERVICES
Increasing
Communication
Quotient
TRADITIONAL DATA-DRIVEN TRANSPARENT
LOWER DISTRIBUTION DISTRIBUTION INTELLIGENCE
BUSINESS
PUSHED PULLED
VALUE
COMMUNICATION QUOTIENT (CQ)
strategies that leverage them to generate the highest business value on the BRQ,
namely, Conscious Banking and Contextual Banking.
This book touches on all the key aspects of the digital transformation in financial
services, and helps revenue-generating mechanisms to evolve on platform economies
from “outputs” (banks as distribution channels of products) to “outcomes” (banks
as transparent enablers of added-value experiences that support clients to achieve
their personal, financial, or business goals). The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and
the COVID-19 outbreak heightened the existential need to rethink the scope and
structure of financial services, scouting for more symmetrical benefits to be shared
among shareholders and stakeholders across banking and non-banking ecosystems.
CEOs, business and technology leaders, innovators, start-up entrepreneurs, regula-
tors, scholars, and all readers interested in banks and fintech will better understand
the idiosyncratic challenges of the financial services industry in order to succeed in
outcome economies.
Essentially, exponential technologies enable platform innovation. Yet, only
a human-centric perspective can build more inclusive and added-value platform
economies, on which clients are supported in their life and business journeys
punctuated by clever financial decisions. This human-centric starting point (i.e.,
anthropological or biological) originates in the theory of Financial Market Trans-
parency, whose principles underpin the core messages of the book. Transparency is
a real make-or-break enabler for sustainable digital transformation.
The book is organised into three parts (Figure 0.2), helping readers through this learn-
ing experience about banks and fintech on platform economies:
Part I is dedicated to the essentials of platform theory. Core principles are reviewed,
while also introducing the idiosyncrasies of financial services. Readers will gain
from a deeper understanding of four business aspects. First, they will understand the
mechanics of outcome economies. Second, they will learn the relevance of users’
motivation and how platforms can address this. Third, they will appreciate how
business and technical openness can fast-track innovation. Fourth, they will position
platform governance in the light of financial market transparency to unlock business
value, and differentiate in a sustainable way when facing intensified competition
composed of bigtech contenders.
6 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
Chapter 1 answers the initial question: “What are platforms, and why do they
usually win against linear industries?”. An overview of general platform theory is
provided, without restricting it to the target fields of banking and financial markets.
Digital innovation is transforming all the relationships among producers, distributors,
and consumers from linear supply-chain mechanisms (i.e., output economies) to mul-
tisided ecosystems (i.e., outcome economies). Overall, clients are always demanding
the same thing: fulfilling their needs with frictionless user experiences at convenient
prices. This is what digital platforms typically enable.
Chapter 2 is about trust, and pushes the readers to make the first steps in plat-
form building. It answers the question, “How can platforms be launched, and par-
ticipants gain sufficient motivation to interact?”. Successful platform journeys are
made up of three stages: (1) launching the business; (2) consolidating its value; and
(3) helping it endure against internal and external threats. In this context, digital plat-
forms can thrive only if they generate positive network effects. The chicken-or-egg
dilemma needs to be resolved at the lowest possible prices: consumers shop where
they find either the best or the most convenient producers; producers sell where they
find enough motivated clients. Trust is the gasoline that kicks off the network effects
and makes them endure, whatever the industry. And trust is of particular relevance in
banking and financial markets, given the nature of the business.
Chapter 3 is about openness to answer the question: “How can established
platforms make money on open data and interactions?”. Opening up to the free
contribution of platform complementors accelerates and strengthens platform eco-
nomics. At the same time, platform providers must close business interactions when
Introduction 7
appropriate, control financial chokepoints, and fend off competition. Platforms are
more likely to succeed when participants and complementors make more money – in
aggregate – than platform providers. Enforcing unsuitable monetisation strategies
runs the risk of depressing positive network effects and damaging the generation
of shared value. Learning the most appropriate level of openness is never easy,
especially in financial services. Banks tend to be closed institutions, and typically
ring-fence access to clients and data.
Chapter 4 is about governance, and focuses on how to maintain long-term com-
petitive advantages. It answers the question: “Which governance models make plat-
forms resilient?”. Good governance helps to prevent platform failure and beats the
competition of external innovators. Adaptive governance maintains the right balance
between openness, regulation, curation, and monetisation. Data and insights must
be collected in a timely manner, and done right from the start, in order to guide
the governance decisions that are facing high business uncertainty. Clearly, business
uncertainty is not welcome in regulated industries like banking, which makes adaptive
governance a more complex tool. Transparency starts to emerge as the key opera-
tional principle that allows a fruitful reconciliation between platform governance and
banking regulation.
engagement (i.e., clients are “pushed” towards financial products and offers). Readers
will learn how to place an offer-driven industry on a demand-driven technology,
demystifying and redefining three buzzwords: disruption, digital, and unbundling.
Chapter 7 is about key enabling factors and focuses on legacy leadership and
regulation. It answers the question: “How can business and technology leaders gen-
erate higher business value?”. Platform journeys towards Conscious Banking and
Contextual Banking cannot be successful without a mindset shift that sweeps inside
organisations, and across the whole industry. The wind of change starts at the top
with a mindset shift that realigns shareholders’ and stakeholders’ interests (i.e., incen-
tives) fostering more agile and more transparent work places. Also, external factors
like modern infrastructure, digital adaptation of consumers, and proactive regulation
facilitate innovation. All factors are playing in for banking transformation.
The third part provides a comprehensive review of how Banking-as a-Service and
Banking-as-a-Platform architectures enable Contextual Banking and Conscious
Banking platform strategies on a digitally and economically disrupted landscape.
Chapter 8 is about Contextual Banking, and answers the question: “What is
the volume-based invisible future of financial services?”. Financial services are get-
ting progressively disintermediated by bigtech companies, starting from symmetrical
offers made of mobile payments. The opportunity to make processes frictionless leads
to making banking contextual. As a consequence, banking becomes progressively
invisible and embedded into other industry journeys to unlock new value outside
banking relationships. Contextual Banking occupies a very high value space on the
Banking Reinvention Quadrant because it operates inside hyper-scaled businesses
and leverages positive network effects exponentially.
Chapter 9 is about Financial Market Transparency (FMT), and answers the
question: “What is the theoretical anchor that links Contextual Banking and Con-
scious Banking?”. The theory and principles of Financial Market Transparency form
the theoretical framework that encompasses the usage of exponential technologies,
real insights about clients, and regulation. If one of these aspects is missing, it does
not allow the sustainable generation of platform value. Instead, anchoring business
and technology action to the biological micro-foundations of the FMT provides the
theoretical thrust to unlock value through technology and new business models when
facing the instability of open cloud architectures, and that of financial markets. Con-
textual Banking and Conscious Banking platform strategies are based on symmetri-
cal foundations of the FMT, on which information and communication lie. On the
one hand, Contextual Banking providers deal with high complexity in information
management. On the other hand, Conscious Banking providers deal with high com-
plexity in communication management. Both find a solution in the FMT, leveraging
Introduction 9
Part One presents the aspects of platform theory that are essential elements for banks
and fintech competing on platform economies.
First, the Fourth Industrial Revolution is based on the digital transformation of
entire industries from output economies to outcome economies. This corresponds
to a shift from product-centric revenue mechanisms to the monetisation on client
journeys, as they attempt to fulfill personal, business, or financial needs.
Second, successful non-banking platforms addressed the trust advantage as a
key motivational aspect that invites users to engage in value-generating interactions
across entire ecosystems. Financial services are already asked to address the trust
issue in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis. Trust is core to their business,
even more than any other industry.
Third, platform openness is a competitive advantage because it accelerates inno-
vation and promotes network effects. Open banking and open finance regulation and
competition are asking banks and fintech to find new ways to monetise on open
ecosystems.
Fourth, transparency is the core principle of successful platform governance to
remain open − whenever and wherever it is needed − and trusted. Financial Mar-
ket Transparency emerges as the new positive theory that helps banks and fintech to
transform their business models generating value that clients are willing to pay for
accessing it.
The characteristics of output economies, the trust advantage, the dynamic level
of openness, and the transparency principles are the foundations of platform theory
that are needed to better understand how to reinvent financial services in the Part Two
of this book.
13
CHAPTER 1
Platform Essentials on Outcome
Economies
15
16 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
1.1 INTRODUCTION
The first industrial revolution started in Great Britain around the 1770s with the
adoption of mechanised spinning, which was made possible by high rates of growth
in steam power and iron production. The term “industrial revolution” was coined by
the French envoy Louis-Guillaume Otto in a 1799 letter announcing that France had
entered the race to industrialise. It marked a major turning point in the history of
humanity and labour since homo sapiens started domesticating animals and plants.
It affected almost every aspect of human life, laying the groundwork for the emer-
gence of capitalism. According to Landes [2], the standard of living for the general
population began to increase consistently for the first time in history, opening an era
of progressive per-capita economic growth. At that time, industries were machine-
and labour-intensive, servicing a growing population of consumers in multiple coun-
tries in a very linear fashion: from producers to consumers. A recession followed the
economic boom in 1830s, when the market for energy-enabled innovations matured.
Neither the increasing popularity of locomotives and steamships, nor the appearance
of the electrical telegraph were powerful enough conditions to justify high rates of
economic expansion.
One century after the industrial revolution started, rapid economic growth surged
again in the 1870s. The late 1800s were characterised by rapid standardisation of
production processes, identified as the second industrial revolution or the “techno-
logical revolution”. Widespread deployment of electrical grids and new steel-making
processes allowed the mass production of consumer goods. Serial manufacturing of
machine tools and their interchangeable parts further streamlined production pro-
cesses with the orchestration of more effective assembly lines. The enormous expan-
sion of rail and telegraph lines allowed an unprecedented movement of people. The
epicentres were in the United States, Germany, Great Britain, France, Japan, and Italy.
Social tensions and financial turmoil were not absent, such as the Wall Street Crash
in 1929. The First World War was followed by the devastating Second World War,
leading to a new world order.
Almost two centuries after the industrial revolution began, a third phase of excep-
tional growth started around the 1960s. The third industrial revolution originated
with the mass adoption of computers and digital record-keeping. This “computing
revolution” is epitomised by the shift from mechanical and analogue electronic tech-
nology to digital electronics, which transformed not only production techniques but
also business processes. The invention of the first transistor at Bell Labs in 1947 was
followed by a relentless rate of growth in computing power. According to Moore’s
law, coined in 1965, the number of transistors in a dense integrated circuit will have
doubled every year for a decade. Moore’s empirical predictions, then revised to dou-
bling every two years in 1975, seemed accurate for many decades until around 2010,
when the semiconductor advance started slowing below the predicted pace. However,
the advent of the internet laid the groundwork for a new paradigm shift. By 2016, half
Platform Essentials on Outcome Economies 17
of the world’s population was connected, and cloud computing made data increas-
ingly accessible.
In the late 1990s, Austrian-born business writer Peter Drucker, who advised
top corporations in post-war America, said that “culture eats strategy for breakfast”.
Drucker never meant to say that strategy is unimportant, rather, that an empowering
culture is the most powerful enabler to organisational success. A few years later,
venture-capitalist Marc Andreessen wrote that “software is eating the world” in an
article in the Wall Street Journal [3]. Andreessen was witnessing, then participating
in, the exponential growth of American companies like Google, Apple, and Amazon,
soon followed by Facebook, Twitter, and the Chinese Tencent and Alibaba. Yet,
winners-take-all success is not just about “software” but novel forms of personal
and business interactions, and alternative ways of working and collaborating, which
“digital platforms” enable at an unprecedented pace through exponential technolo-
gies. Currently, a new breed of entrepreneurs is orchestrating digital platforms
to challenge traditional industries. They connect individuals and organisations on
mobile technology so that they can interact in ways not otherwise possible, launching
non-linear increases in utility and value across borderless communities of providers
and consumers. They revolutionise the way industrial products and services are
conceived, designed, produced, and distributed.
Klaus Schwab, executive chairman of the World Economic Forum, named this
new phase of extensive transformation the fourth industrial revolution [1]. This
is largely a “data revolution”, underpinned by internet ubiquity and scale deploy-
ment of artificial intelligence. The data revolution overlaps with the last stages of the
computing revolution, as the fifth generation of wireless technology (5G) becomes
mainstream and quantum computing matures. However, there is a key difference
between the third and the fourth revolutions that sets the latter apart. Essentially, tradi-
tional businesses are being progressively transformed inside-out in a significant shift
of business focus from outputs to outcomes. Exponential technologies are putting
platform economics on steroids to excel on outcome economies, using all means to
make the fourth revolution a platform revolution.
Currently, the most valuable firms on the planet are platforms. The total market
capitalisation of the five largest US stocks accounted for nearly 20% of the S&P 500
index at the beginning of 2021 (Figure 1.1), and they are all platforms (i.e., Apple,
Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Facebook). Similarly, Alibaba and Tencent are
the most valuable companies in Asia.
It is now clear that “platforms are eating the world”.
Platforms are not at all a modern phenomenon, although digital technology is forcing
a winner-takes-all advantage. The telephone network is one such example.
18 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
Apple 6.5%
Microsoft 5.6%
Alexander Graham Bell patented the first telephone device in 1876 to transmit
vocal or other sounds “telegraphically” for the conduct of business and trade. He
founded American Bell Telephone in 1885 to operate local networks. He rebranded
it American Telephone & Telegraph (AT&T) in 1899 to operate long-distance ser-
vices to run the US monopoly on telecom operations in the early 1900s. Initially,
telephones were leased in pairs to subscribers, who had to arrange with telegraph
contractors to deploy a line between them (e.g., one phone for their home, and one
for their shop). Users who wanted to speak to different stores and suppliers would set
up multiple pairs of telephones until switchboards were introduced. As the telephone
system grew, its value extended beyond the initial one-sided dimension to create a
multi-sided platform, enabling billions of people to talk around the world. Clearly,
while telephone networks were connecting only individual pairs of users, or small
clusters, exponential value could not be generated. However, as more users started to
onboard, more people wanted to connect to a telephone line for very different pur-
poses ranging from residential use to long-distance business calls. Adding users did
not add value linearly but scaled the telephone platform exponentially (Figure 1.2).
Microsoft DOS is a more recent platform example, which well describes the traits
of the computing revolution. In 1980, IBM was planning to introduce a personal com-
puter (PC) for business use. Bill Gates, at the time a 25-year-old talented programmer,
was commissioned for less than one million dollars in fees and engineering work to
build the MS-DOS operating system. Microsoft, which Gates co-founded with Paul
Allen in 1975, was granted the right to bundle DOS with a suite of programmes running
on the IBM PC. As reported by the Wall Street Journal in 1986, there were no addi-
tional fees or royalties but the exclusive right to license other manufacturers. Trading
away the basic operating system to IBM, yet retaining the licensing right, allowed Bill
Gates to create a platform for a fast-growing hardware and software industry centred on
IBM compatibility. Microsoft leveraged the MS-DOS platform standard in the 1990s,
bundling the operating system with Office. Allowing the Microsoft Software Devel-
opment Kit (SDK) to be accessed – at no cost – by third-party developers ignited
Platform Essentials on Outcome Economies 19
switchboard exponential
although examples of value chains can be found in the digital world, the dema-
terialisation of products and services accelerates the transformation of value engi-
neering towards new forms of interactions, that open up the binary buyer-seller and
producer-distributor relationships to multi-sided interactions. Norman and Ramirez
[5] introduced the concept of the value constellation, in which value is generated by
the positive exchanges and interactions between the nodes of a network made up of
relatively autonomous units (e.g., firms, consumers, media, or regulators) that can be
managed independently but operate together or compete under a common set of rules
(i.e., governance). Ecosystems are composed of multiple stakeholders’ nodes that are
connected through single or interpretable networks that digital platforms reveal or
allow to orchestrate anew.
Shapilov and Burelli [6] observe that platforms and ecosystems are not the same.
They can coexist, or not, inside a business model with four permutations that corre-
spond to four different value propositions, which are here re-edited (Figure 1.3).
They all concur to add value to the acquired firm, which benefits from the
dedicated coordination of capital resources and human skills. The private equity
firm builds specialised ecosystems, aggregating into a bundled offer otherwise
separated from value chains, but it is not a platform.
■ Digital ecosystem platforms and value constellations. Value is generated
by allowing the participants of an ecosystem to interact through different and
complementary contributions, which are facilitated by sharing data and insights
about user preferences and needs. Value shifts from outputs to engagement
outcomes, thanks to hyper-personalised experiences. While value-chain outputs
are fairly homogeneous, outcomes are all different because they are a function
of hyper-personalisation. For example, social media platforms are highly non-
linear businesses. They attract an impressive number of participants, and lock
their interactions inside win-win situations, exhibiting moderate or high levels
of openness in the form and content of their exchange. Wealth management plat-
forms are turning into holistic financial planning offers that hyper-personalise
the investment relationship, and allow value to be generated as a function of
the transparent interaction between professional and non-professional parties,
instead of being sourced from the distribution of highly commoditised financial
products. Digital ecosystem platforms are user-centric.
Ecosystem
SINGLE VALUE CHAINS DIGITAL VALUE CHAINS
no yes
Platform
$ $ $ $
FIGURE 1.4 Linear business
to organise its production plan to sell 100,000 units of the new 7 Series car within one
year. BMW starts by designing the new vehicle, prototyping the product, organising
the production line with the work of specialised suppliers and assembling the final
goods. The new cars are then distributed to licensed dealers internationally, where
consumer demand meets BMW high-quality supply. In this example, the core chal-
lenge of the German carmaker is about “selling 100,000 private vehicles in the year
ahead”. The business focus is about discrete sales figures or quantities.
Usually, added value is accumulated at every step of the process in an incremental
fashion, augmenting the final costs borne by consumers. These linear value chains are
then optimised by means of manufacturing and logistic decisions based on analytics.
Outcome economies, instead, correspond to business decisions that focus on a
deeper understanding of users’ needs, and are based on imagining alternative and
personalised ways to achieve the desired results. Typically, platform models allow
producers and consumers to share, through non-linear interactions, “value units” that
do not necessarily correspond to products (Figure 1.5). These non-linearities permit
network effects to increase almost exponentially. In essence, outcome economies trade
in the results themselves, which take the form of users’ experiences. For example, the
strategic mission of ShareNow is to mobilise users by deploying a fleet of Smart,
Mercedes-Benz, BMW, and Mini cars with a one-way point-to-point car rental. The
aim is to allow a large number of Berlin citizens to commute point-to-point in a given
year. Compared to traditional business models, the core challenge shifts from tracking
the production units of cars to enabling the highest number of people to travel. The
value chain of the automotive industry disintegrates, and the interaction of all actors
with regard to final users is reorganised to focus on perceived benefits along their
journeys.
Typically, digital platforms operating in outcome economies are asset-light and
exhibit huge revenue potential but cannot succeed without a deeper and instantaneous
understanding of customer needs and preferences that traditional businesses do not
have. Customers’ engagement is to be re-thought by infusing artificial intelligence
and data analytics to create seamless experiences that win user trust. It is essential
to hyper-personalise and hyper-contextualise user interactions at convenient prices.
Building a platform or joining an ecosystem becomes essential to stay relevant in any
industry and keep up with the speed of innovation.
24 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
platform
business client
business client
business client
Apple Macintosh has always been recognised for good quality and design since the
first version appeared in 1984. Yet Macintosh lagged for many years behind its com-
petitors running on MS-DOS. The success of Microsoft derived from the higher
degree of openness of its operating system, encouraging an ever-increasing number of
complementors to significantly extend what users could do with their PC. In essence,
MS-DOS was built as an open development platform, fostering a high innovation
cycle to meet consumer demand, while Macintosh was designed as a good qual-
ity “closed” product that reduced its appeal to a niche of users. The hardware was
more expensive and not scalable, due to the lack of DOS compatibility. Third-party
software producers had to pay for programming languages and databases to build
Mac-compatible applications.
The beginning of a new era of design thinking started with the launch of iTunes
in 2000, and its Windows-compatible version in 2003. Basically, Apple embraced
platform principles and learned how to take linear businesses to the next level of
Platform Essentials on Outcome Economies 25
outcome economies, starting with the music industry. The music industry used to
assemble content from artists and distribute their product through retail shops. The
business model was very linear and inflexible. Feeding music to iPods using iTunes
software removed value chain inefficiencies. Listeners could start connecting directly
to producers and artists, while Apple orchestrated the match-making filtering for pre-
ferred music content. The music industry focus shifted from the linear distribution
of content to the coolness of the Apple experience, in a clear demonstration of the
prowess of outcome economies. The positive network effect kicked in to do the rest.
Putting clients to the forefront and centre is a necessary precondition but not
enough to allow monetisation. Cupertino’s turnkey ability resulted from keeping con-
trol of essential financial chokepoints, closing the platform where it made sense.
Music content could be loaded on iPods by iTunes only, which was also available
on PCs. This feature channelled the aggregation of buy-sell activity onto the Apple
marketplace. Instead, MP3 players were source-agnostic, which reduced competi-
tors’ capability to retain value. The design excellence of the iPod generated feedback
loops among users of the new gadgets, which propelled positive network effects for
the use of the iTunes software. When the first iPhone hit the market in 2007, iOS
was configured as an open development platform. Apple extended its marketplace to
feature an App Store. Initially, the transaction platform featured only 500 apps. As
of 2020, the store was hosting more than 2 billion apps, making it the most valuable
mobile platform in the world. While in 2019 Apple owned less than 15% compared
to Android’s 85% of market share in the global mobile handsets industry, its App
Store harvested almost 80% more revenues than Google Play, according to research
company SensorTower.
Essentially, Apple iOS was born as a development platform to attract an ecosys-
tem of interested developers worldwide. They were all allowed to interact with final
users through the Apple App Store only. The Apple Store is a transaction platform,
on which over one million of third-party complementors showcase their innovative
apps, increasing the value of the iPhone. Apple would have never been able to inno-
vate that much, and so fast, by owning all of the IP related to each new app, or by
overly restricting the way they were created and distributed (Figure 1.6).
As the history of Cupertino reveals, there are two major types of digital platforms:
development and transaction platforms. The first are more technically focused,
with regard to the interactions among users and contributors. The second are more
business-oriented, with regard to the onboarding of final consumers.
Development platforms are technological workspaces and frameworks shared
by ecosystems of developers to create new complementary products or services. The
higher the utility of the complements, the more useful and valuable is the platform
for all existing and prospective participants, and the stronger become the positive
26 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
180
180
140
135 130
downloads in billions
100
90 85
75
60
50
45 35 40
30
25
15 18
6,5 7 10 14
1,5 3 4 5
0,01 0,1 1
0
Jul. '08
Sep. '08
Apr. '09
Jul. '09
Jan. '10
Apr. '10
Jun. '10
Sep. '10
Oct. '10
Jan. '11
Jun. '11
Jul. '11
Oct. '11
Mar. '12
Jun. '12
Sep. '12
Jan. '13
May. '13
Oct. '13
Jun. '14
Oct. '14
Jun. '15
Jun. '16
Sep. '16
Jun. '17
FIGURE 1.6 Cumulative number of apps downloaded from Apple App Store, 2008–2017
(in billions)
opportunities. Hybrid types combine better and faster development of technical inno-
vation with higher convenience and frictionless interaction among all participants.
Blending a development platform into a transaction type, or vice versa, can take dif-
ferent levels of integration. For example, Facebook was born as a transaction platform
to connect people to advertisers. Thereafter, Facebook exposed its APIs on a develop-
ment platform to fast-track the external development of new features that could make
user experiences more compelling and Facebook more competitive. Hybrid platforms
will also represent the most valuable space in the platformisation journey of financial
institutions.
Both linear and non-linear businesses have to address innovation with technology.
Development and transaction platforms just do it differently, especially on digital.
Using new technology is not necessarily the same as fostering innovation.
Technology can be defined as any process by which a firm transforms informa-
tion and data, human labour or economic capital into products or services of greater
value. Therefore, digital advice, instant messaging, GPS location could all be defined
as technology in the economy of this book. Technology is a process which evolves
over time, both inside and outside individual firms. The introduction of new technol-
ogy modifies the way firms operate or customers access services and products.
Innovation, instead, can be defined as any change in the use of technology which
is often reflected in new business models. Such a change can be disruptive or sustain-
ing. Sustaining innovation refers to improvements in product performance, being of
an incremental nature or more radical, that improves the quality of firms’ offer, fends
off competition or increases commercial margins, by operating either on lower costs
or on higher prices. Disruptive innovation, instead, might well result in worse prod-
uct performance, at least in the near term. Such revolutionary products are usually
cheaper, simpler, or more convenient to use and appeal to new customers or cre-
ate new needs in the clientele. Disruption is not a one day to the next event, and its
economic advantages are truly measurable only after the disruptive inflection point,
when new technology offers a path ahead to generate further improvements (i.e., fur-
ther sustaining innovation). That means a path towards higher and more sustainable
margins. Typically, linear businesses face two challenges in their lifetime: (1) decide
how much investment needs to be dedicated to sustaining innovation; and (2) recog-
nise that disruptive innovation can be the ultimate cause of their failure, although such
innovation might seem to be uneconomical in the near term. Financial services are not
excluded from this classic dilemma: “How do sustaining and disruptive innovation
interact to shape the future of industries?”
This question is central to Clayton M. Christensen’s work on the theory of inno-
vation [8–10], which well describes the existential competition in many linear indus-
tries. Christensen’s insightful representation of the interaction between disruptive and
28 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
rate
ement
improv sustaining innovation
disruptive innovation
Time
The success factor of disruptive offers does not lie in new products per se, but in
their capability to capture client interest as they are ready and motivated. Clients do
not perceive more added value in maintaining established consumption habits, or they
are unable to consume further due to financial constraints. The timing of disruptive
innovation against clients’ readiness is of critical importance. Disruption cannot kick
in if consumers feel that existing products and services are still sufficiently valuable.
Convincing customers about something new is typically expensive, and often does
not reconcile well with low-margin lower-quality offerings.
Do platform businesses, which are outcome-oriented, face the same hurdles
of linear businesses, which are product-centric, when it comes to the relationship
between disruptive and sustaining innovation?
Two decades after the original publication of Christensen’s article in 1995, the word
“disruption” is facing an inflationary process and has lost much of its original mean-
ing. The term has possibly been overused to justify any innovation produced in Silicon
Valley or Shenzhen. This is why Christensen, Raynor, and McDonald [11] decided to
reset the tone of the discussion and started updating innovation theory in the light of
platform economies. In their work, Uber was epitomised as an example of sustaining
innovation, not disruption, meaning that Uber delivered only an incremental improve-
ment over the existing taxi industry. That sparked a lively debate. Losing “disruption
status” can be a serious offence in the valley! Christensen et al. state:
In their review of Christensen’s article, Moazed and Johnson [12] suggest that
Uber, founded in 2009 as on-demand limo services, was indeed an example of disrup-
tive innovation. They claim that UberX was surprisingly ignored in the paper. UberX,
which is the Uber service for the mass market launched in 2012, would resolve Uber’s
disruptive innovation puzzle, as it is a classic low-end market offering. Most likely,
30 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
platform
Performance
innovation
rate
ement
improv sustaining innovation
disruptive innovation
Time
The common enablers in all innovation scenarios are the changes in the genera-
tion and perception of value. Therefore, researching how clients effectively perceive
value is essential to identify the most effective techniques to digitise any industries.
What are the main takeaways for financial services operating on platform economies?
Financial services are experiencing a near collapse of their traditional value
chain, which is cornering the industry into unsustainable business models looking
for hyper-scale. This often conflicts with the size of the jurisdictions in which they
operate, the constraints imposed by regulations, and the low elasticity of demand in
persistently low interest rate environments. Technology has been largely seen as an
opportunity to march ahead of the progressive evaporation of revenues. Yet, is this
sustainable?
Key banking revenues are usually generated through linear business interactions
among institutional counterparts (Figure 1.9). Most banking operations are organised
as siloed distribution channels of financial products. They feature a set of manu-
facturers and a list of distributors working with branches, human agents, or digital
interfaces. For example, asset managers trade stocks and bonds on capital markets
to build investment portfolios. These funds are made available to banks, which
distributors
suppliers manufacturers clients
assemblers
1.9 CONCLUSIONS
Although platforms are not a recent phenomenon, digital technology is thrusting them
forward to shape the fourth industrial revolution. Digital platforms generate value
by facilitating interactions among participants without taking part in the transactions
themselves, or the generation of products and services exchanged. They create unique
value propositions for final users by opening traditional value chains, innovating the
way value is exchanged, and expanding their attractiveness with the orchestration
of entire ecosystems. This is about using data to transform linear businesses from
their traditional output focus and letting them thrive inside outcome economies. The
outcome-oriented engagement among platform core players generates positive net-
work effects, which promote innovation and transactions for an exponential number
of users and producers. Essentially, platforms transform users’ perception of value,
thus allowing innovative ways to monetise on user interactions.
34 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
We don’t make money when we sell things; we make money when we help
customers make purchase decisions.
— Jeff Bezos, founder of Amazon [1]
2.1 INTRODUCTION
Digital platforms have the power to reset traditional industries. They transform
the production and consumption of products and services from linear pipelines to
non-linear interactions across ecosystems, dominating market share and exerting
relationship power with final clients. However, they have not yet necessarily replaced
economic sectors entirely. Airbnb did not fully disintermediate hotel booking sys-
tems. Uber did not annihilate yellow taxis. Amazon did not force all retailers to close
their shutters. At least for now!
35
36 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
not products. This awareness resets the innovation emphasis on engagement methods
founded on trust, integrating user experiences based on convenience. Building trust
through transparency is a competitive advantage, and a foundational attribute of any
successful platforms based on symmetrical exchange of value.
The cockpit of linear entrepreneurs is composed of multiple levers for the man-
agement and execution of business strategies from design, through production, to
distribution. Value and costs can easily be measured and accrue linearly through
their processes. Instead, platforms orchestrating ecosystems do not fully control the
way value units are generated by the participants. The higher degree of openness
on the bumpy road of innovation makes monetisation efforts less obvious. Platform
entrepreneurs have to launch the business, onboard users, and substantially grow
value-generating interactions. Only then can they finally identify suitable strategies
to make profits based on data and interchanges. Platforms are not a game for control
freaks. On the contrary, it is usually the level of openness that lets them break
through. Understanding what must be essentially owned is strategic, while letting
partners and complementors fight for everything else.
Launching a platform is about resolving the chicken-or-egg dilemma. Producers
go where they can find interested consumers. Consumers shop where they can find
the most convenient products, or appealing brands. Which ones will be the first to
onboard? What are the most effective strategies to motivate users to interact at scale?
Typically, this involves subsidising one side of the platform interplay, sometimes
all sides. It takes capital, effort, and quite often ingenious imagination to ignite
positive network effects that grow platforms in popularity, while curating the quality
of the interactions. As a general rule, the bigger the platform, the greater the value,
the higher the chance to monetise. However, nothing is set in stone. Sometimes,
platforms have to narrow down their scope, and maintain a sufficient quality in
the interactions for users to feel motivated to pay for access or transacting. Access
to new platforms is often free in order to lure in as many participants as possible.
Unfortunately, it then becomes difficult to ask clients to abandon freemium models
without offering something truly relevant in return, incurring the risk of deteriorating
trust. Therefore, the monetisation of non-linear businesses requires lateral thinking
to discover yet unknown ways to retain value on entire ecosystem dynamics.
Collecting data about all user interactions is a precondition. User behaviour must be
analysed, understood, and modelled. Alternative or unconventional revenue options
should be tested. This all requires patience and curiosity along the adventurous
innovation journey. It requires both rigour and flexibility to engage in a dynamic
governance exercise, thus frequently calibrating the level of platform openness.
Platform entrepreneurs are like engineers operating a dam, setting different levels of
curation or letting freer interactions flood in.
38 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
1. Motivate users.
2. Activate value-generating interactions.
3. Complement platform offers.
4. Monetise on ecosystems.
5. Govern the new business.
6. Compete continuously.
Compete
Govern
Monetise
Complement
Endure
Activate Consolidate
Motivate
Launch
complementors are onboarded, expanding the number of clients who can be reached
by producers, and vice versa. Fourth, only once platforms have been established, then
ideas for monetising on data and interactions can be tested, and consolidated. Fifth,
governing rules are calibrated and tweaked to preserve the long-term competitive
advantages, shielding the prevailing business model from negative network effects.
Last but never least, competing against new contenders is a never-ending task.
trust each other to interact, inviting them to extend their interchange to a new
platform on which experiences are improved. Thoroughly orchestrated strate-
gies result in the migration of entire marketplaces. For example, V.S.S. Mani
was a Mumbai employee for the local yellow pages. He thought that customers
could better access a large database of local businesses by calling a phone desk,
instead of searching manually through existing paper directories. JustDial went
live in 2007. Its database was originally created by digitising the paper content
of Indian yellow pages, and extending them with the door-to-door activity of a
local workforce able to reach out to a myriad of small businesses that were not
listed on the original repository. Enhancing the user experience with the cen-
tralised search criteria by phone, then online, JustDial managed to piggy-back
on the existing yellow pages’ relationships and win users’ trust in the prowess of
an established platform.
■ Seed the ground. Platforms might set the example of value-generating interac-
tions by simulating alternatively both sides of the interplay. For example, in the
early 2000s, PayPal launched a virtual bot that simulated real users buying and
selling goods on eBay. The buying avatar was asking to pay with PayPal, and
the selling avatar was reselling the same goods asking to be paid with PayPal.
Not only did real buyers and sellers come to know about the service. Most of all,
they actively tried the PayPal user experience, building trust in the new payment
method, allowing PayPal to reach critical-mass adoption.
■ Find a marquee. Adopting a marquee is an old marketing strategy. Shopping
malls offer very attractive renting conditions to top brands motivating more shop-
pers and lesser-known brands to rent commercial space. Platforms can also use
marquees but do not focus on brand awareness only. They need “actionable”
marquees to launch value-generating interactions. For example, PayPal offered
new users a $10 cash incentive to open an account or make a successful referral.
Users were motivated to spend the free money online, experiencing PayPal and
building trust.
■ Take one side. Subsidising one side of the interplay can motivate a set of users to
engage and attract more counterparts. For example, OpenTable began operations
by offering a free solution to a selection of restaurants for table management and
reservations. Restaurants that signed up primarily used the back-end software
to replace existing paperwork, table management, and email marketing. Once a
sufficient number of restaurants had onboarded, OpenTable focused on building
the consumer side, promoting the reservation system. This motivated a larger
number of restaurants to sign up to the booking service, for a fee.
There is something relevant that all of these strategies have in common, which
occupies a pivotal role in the platformisation of banks and fintech on outcome
economies. This is about generating a trust advantage, as the core engine that
motivates users to engage. Unfortunately, platforms can start off on the right foot and
42 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
evolve into more opaque mechanisms, as happened with social media. The conse-
quence is deterioration of value generation and, potentially, platform collapse because
of users’ dissatisfaction or the intervention of regulators. This is particularly relevant
in highly regulated markets like financial services (e.g., the fate of most peer-to-
peer platforms in China). When it comes to financial services, transparency is the
required fuel to run the trust engine sustainably inside outcome economies, and
avoid collapse, as is already happening inside output economies and opaque value
chains.
Motivational aspects are very relevant because digital platforms require users to inter-
act on virtual venues, apps, and websites. Platforms have to match the interest of
individuals and entities which did not previously know each other. Only a deeper
understanding of ultimate human motivations to act and consume allows innovators
to master digital engagement, and launch positive network effects. In the rush to inno-
vate, this foundational element of platform theory is often disregarded. Instead, it
plays a critical role, especially in banking and financial markets.
In this regard, the author of this book wants to share a personal experience. He
was working in investment banking in the 1990s, supporting his brother part-time to
launch an online marketplace called Intrade. They wanted to sell over the internet the
best of Italian products and design: fashion, furniture, food, and travel. Buying design
furniture on Amazon might be common practice today, but it did not seem so normal
back in the 1990s. How to onboard distant producers instead of next-door businesses?
How to simplify payments and make them trustworthy? How to ship goods safely
and cheaply? How to onboard final consumers? All the key questions were on the
table. Notwithstanding entrepreneurial enthusiasm, the marketplace never took off.
Mistakes were clearly made, and too many faulty assumptions were taken about con-
sumer habits. However, there is a major lesson learned that is worth sharing: they did
not crack the code to build user trust, and motivate consumers to interact. Instead,
this is what Jeff Bezos understood, and explained some years later as reported by
Forum-Daily and Harvard Business Review [1]. Jeff Bezos came to recognise that
trust was the root of the problem, hence Amazon found the solution. He understood
what kept many internet users inactive and motivated them to trust e-commerce.
support to choose a book. The difference is about buyers’ confidence with regard to
the perceived value of what they purchase, trusting that the book’s content would
match their reading expectations. Jeff Bezos once recalled how often publishers used
to complain that Amazon users could openly share negative reviews on the web-
pages. They insisted that only positive reviews had to be published. “It’s marketing,
stupid!”. Or not? Publishers misunderstood the nature of Amazon, which was not
a distribution channel of books on the internet. Similarly, readers should ask them-
selves if fintech start-ups are distribution channels of financial products on digital.
Rather, Amazon’s role was, first and foremost, to provide advice to its users about
the best book to buy. Advice was needed because readers were not used to buying
books online, could not touch the product and read sample pages, could not speak
to a bookstore manager, and get guidance. Publishing positive and negative reviews
was the necessary mechanism to build trust. Bezos understood that motivating users
to trust the value of their purchases was the first and foremost challenge for Amazon to
turn visitors into consumers. If the motivational element was missing or not would be
a make-or-break feature, especially in financial services. If client motivations are not
properly addressed, no marketing techniques will be truly effective. Meaning, clients
will onboard but will not generate transactions. Therefore, posting negative reviews
was the transparency-based mechanism to generate trust in the platform, turning users
from window shoppers to active contributors of value-based interactions. And trans-
parency is the core governance principle of financial services platforms striving for
higher business value on the BRQ. Clearly, reviews must not be fake and kept free
from potential abuse.
sales more than C2C auctions. Essentially, while eBay was still conceived as a
second-hand marketplace for middle-class consumers, Taobao became the front
store for micro-shops selling their products online. Third, and significant, Alibaba
could let consumers interact with each other directly through instant messages.
This seemed to better fit local habits and better correspond to the Taobao business
nature and their commission-free set-up. Taobao was not concerned that trades could
be completed offline. However, they had to resolve the trust issue associated with
user-to-user interactions. The solution was found by customising their payment
method to local habits using recognised channels, especially important in the vast
Chinese countryside, where users were not accustomed to using credit cards. Actu-
ally, most buyers and sellers never had a credit card and could not sign up to PayPal,
limiting the number of market participants that eBay could effectively reach out to
inside China. Instead, Taobao’s model was based on escrow accounts set up with
Alipay: buyers’ money would go into an account held by China Post or the Industrial
and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), to start with, and be released only after
goods were delivered and checked by the receiver. Trust is the essential fabric in any
business. “eBay’s single biggest problem in China was trust” as eBay CEO admitted
to Cusumano, Gawer, and Yoffie [4]. eBay’s operations were withdrawn from China
in early 2007. Technology prowess could not compete with the trust issue.
90 %
60 %
30 %
technology. According to a survey involving 1,460 bank CEOs, the IBM Institute
for Business Value [5] sourced a critical action guide made of five business priori-
ties. Banking CEOs recognised that transparency is the first priority to win the trust
advantage.
1. Prove transparency, earning (back) trust by learning to use data in a way that
customers view as fair.
2. Earn reciprocity, giving customers something they value in return for their data.
3. Demonstrate accountability, strengthening data privacy policies and
programmes.
4. Double-click on data, repositioning data as a strategic asset rather than a tactical
or operational resource.
5. Future-proof strategies, crafting scenarios involving data to increase personal-
isation and engagement at every touchpoint.
and the systemic risks they pose. Attempting to grow fast by subsidising users, like
granting unsecured loans without accounting for the risk management price, could
trigger damaging consequences, as demonstrated by the Global Financial Crisis. With
this in mind, the People’s Bank of China took an unprecedented move in 2020 to halt
the multi-billion IPO of Ant Financial. Chinese regulators started enforcing a redefini-
tion of the role and scope of digital platforms, in an attempt to ring-fence their prowess
and ambition to grow “no matter what”. Banks and fintech are asked to find a way into
platform economies that fully complies with regulatory expectations from inception.
Regulators have no appetite for a conflictual Uber-momentum. When the Monetary
Authority of Singapore (MAS) announced the digital bank framework in 2019, which
aimed to enable non-bank players with strong value propositions and innovative dig-
ital business models to offer digital banking services, it required that any applicants
must meet all relevant prudential obligations and licensing preconditions. Applicants
were asked to demonstrate the ability to meet the applicable minimum paid-up capital
requirement at the onset, and the minimum capital funds requirement on an ongoing
basis. They were also asked to demonstrate that the proposed business models were
sustainable.
It is no surprise that Maximilian Tayenthal, co-founder of German neobank N26,
made many commentators raise their eyebrows when he dismissed profitability as a
business goal in a 2019 interview in the Financial Times:
In all honesty, profitability is not one of our core metrics. We want to build
a global financial services company. In the years to come we will not see
profitability, we are not aiming to reach profitability. The good news is we
have a lot of investors that have very deep pockets and that share our deep
vision and that are willing to support the company over many years to
come. [6]
This does not mean that new players cannot learn from non-banking platforms,
especially when their business is not subject to capital adequacy requirements. Stripe
is one such example. John and Patrick Collison founded the Irish-born Stripe in
2010 to offer payment processing software and application programming interfaces
(APIs) for e-commerce websites and mobile applications. According to Tom Taulli
[7], what made Stripe successful were four key features: (1) product simplicity; (2)
identification of well-motivated communities; (3) transparency of offers; and (4) a
forward-looking strategy to grow and endure. First, Stripe provided simple “pay-
ment processing” software and APIs that could easily be integrated into third-party
websites and mobile applications with minimal understanding and dependence on
existing services. Second, they targeted the right community of motivated developers
instead of pitching to business owners themselves. Finding the right motivated buyer
is not always obvious, and the real decision-maker is not necessarily sitting at the
top of the firm. Third, they did not compete on costs but enforced transparent con-
ditions on their offers. This way they turned motivated developers, enjoying Stripe
The Trust Advantage 47
2.5 CONCLUSIONS
Activating a platform is not an easy exercise, and it requires a good mix of ingenious-
ness and risk-taking. Network effects need to be continuously nurtured to enforce
resilient value-generating interactions among platform participants. Participants are
engaged when they can share reciprocal value. The identification of “value” is essen-
tial and precedes the implementation of digital methods to interact in frictionless
ways. Users’ motivation is often misunderstood, especially in offer-driven industries
like financial services in which “value” is overshadowed by the “biological” unveiling
of information asymmetries. Transparency generates trust to reveal value for clients.
That is why the trust advantage is a make-or-break motivational element in order to
succeed in outcome economies.
48 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
Good ideas may not want to be free, but they do want to connect, fuse,
recombine. They want to reinvent themselves by crossing conceptual borders.
They want to complete each other as much as they want to compete.
— Steven Berlin Johnson, journalist and author [1]
T here is an existential tension between openness and closure that underlies many
aspects of platform theory. On the one hand, platforms benefit from open inno-
vation. They can adapt faster to changing users’ needs and new market conditions.
Sharing data and insights across ecosystems of partners and complementors fosters
new opportunities to motivate user interactions and deploy monetisation strategies.
On the other hand, platforms need to reduce the level of openness, whenever nec-
essary, to control essential chock-points, and achieve sustainable profitability. They
must own what truly matters, allowing complementors to contribute with everything
else in a transparent governance framework of the application programming interface
(API) economy. Open banking platform providers need to understand these tensions
to succeed and endure. They are exposing banking and fintech capabilities to service
adjacent businesses or industries. However, innovating is one thing, monetising on
APIs is another.
3.1 INTRODUCTION
When platforms openly intersect with ecosystems, many things happen on the inno-
vation scene. There is a two-way relationship between them. On the one hand, plat-
forms add value to ecosystems by allowing frictionless transactions, higher level
of convenience, and new ways of interacting. On the other hand, ecosystems are
49
50 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
composed of users, providers, partners, and complementors that can enrich platform
experience through added-value feedback loops made of new ideas, solutions, and
services. Innovation is a continuous process of improvement and adaptation that ben-
efits from high levels of openness to ecosystem contributions. The work of exter-
nal complementors accelerates platform innovation, and boosts engagement. They
help to reinforce users’ motivation at convenient prices beyond the competences, the
imagination, and the capability of internal managers and developers. Opening the
innovation box allows platforms to enrich existing value units or add new ones in
ways previously not foreseen. The resulting improvement in user experiences makes
participants more committed, and reduces the risks of multi-homing (i.e., participants
making similar transactions in competing marketplaces). Typically, a thoughtful level
of platform openness increases the utility and frequency of value-generating interac-
tions. In a highly competitive environment, new ideas, products, or services can be
onboarded faster than contenders.
Resolving the chicken-or-egg dilemma is only the first step for platform suc-
cess. Continuously growing the frequency and quality of interactions, thus promot-
ing positive network effects, is the second strategic step in the journey. Interactions
between participants have to convey sufficient utility to the parties in order to cre-
ate stickiness in user behaviours. Only once expectations and their fulfilment are
solidly consolidated, then platforms can enforce direct or indirect monetisation meth-
ods. Monetisation attempts are always a delicate exercise because they can conflict
with consolidated habits. For example, rescinding free-access policies could induce
negative network effects.
Typically, digital platforms exponentially grow their user-base – and the
operating costs – before monetary value can be gained from ecosystem interactions
to become profitable. For example, it took almost six years and one billion users for
Facebook to push on social media advertising and generate net margins, until Sheryl
Sandberg joined as COO in 2012. Fast onboarding of users is welcome, also by
venture capitalists due to their evaluation methods based on user-base growth. That
generates a tendency for platform activation based on free access strategies. Also,
not all onboarded users interact, forcing the platforms to find ways to convert passive
participants into active users, thus consolidating platform economics. However,
what truly matters is the quality and sustainability of the participation, especially
in banking and financial markets, because of the long-lasting risk management
implications underpinning most financial transactions. Governing the level of open-
ness and preserving the level of curation are also important in order to maintain or
increase trust in the interactions. Therefore, platforms must identify what they have
to own, make it the best possible, and protect it. Otherwise, they leave everything
else open to the fantasy of users and complementors, avoiding the over-centralisation
of decision-making and excessive censorship. This requires an adventurous open
mindset, which can also benefit linear economies. And this is where platform theory
intersects the theory of open innovation, enriching the imperfect dichotomy between
business openness and closure.
Open Innovation and Data 51
The term closed innovation was introduced by Chesbrough [2] and refers to the
twentieth-century belief that successful innovation requires control and ownership
of Intellectual Property (IP). A company should establish its own research and devel-
opment units (R&D) and control the creation and management of ideas, products, and
services. Conceiving, designing, and building a new product would be performed in
a “closed” and self-sufficient way. Idealistically, closed innovation is a linear process
that moves in steps under the managers’ overview. They make all key decisions from
research to the development of new prototypes and ideas, deciding the preferred time
for going to market (Figure 3.1).
Chesbrough, Vanhaverbeke, and West [3] define open innovation as “a paradigm
that assumes that firms can and should use external ideas as well as internal ideas, and
internal and external paths to market, as the firms look to advance their technology”.
Companies cannot possess all the skills and knowledge required to master innova-
tion at convenient prices, and stay competitive. This seems to be particularly true
in modern economies. Science and technology involve a progressive level of inter-
connectedness across research fields, industries, and markets. Therefore, firms with
more permeable boundaries can access external competences, ideas, and processes at
lower cost. Open platforms allow knowledge and innovation to transfer more easily
both inward (inbound) and outward (outbound), in a continuous business process of
scouting and incubation. This can be visualised by a funnel containing holes, which
enable the exchange of ideas along the way (Figure 3.2). In a world of widely dis-
tributed knowledge, “inbound innovation” occurs when companies decide to buy or
to license processes and inventions from third parties by trading patents. Instead,
“outbound innovation” refers to all those internal ideas and prototypes that would
boundary
ideas
of firms
markets
research development
boundary
ideas
of firms
new markets
markets
research development
not be used in a firm’s business but can generate value by taking them outside, by
selling licences, setting up joint ventures or making spin-offs. Therefore, open inno-
vation can be interpreted as a mechanism that goes beyond the onboarding of external
resources, such as the work and solutions of start-ups and rival companies, but lets
them complement each other with high degrees of business freedom.
The concept has become particularly appealing in the last two decades, due to
the impressive success of many start-ups operating from Silicon Valley or Shenzhen.
The growth model of these vibrant ecosystems is based on the action of thousands
of entrepreneurs, seeding and breeding innovation outside the research and develop-
ment centres of established organisations. Essentially, open innovation corresponds
to any change in the management of intellectual property, as well as its research and
development, which directly or indirectly influences the business model of a firm.
More recently, Chesbrough and Bogers [4] defined open innovation as “a distributed
innovation process based on purposively managed knowledge flows across organi-
sational boundaries, using pecuniary and non-pecuniary mechanisms in line with the
organisation’s business model”. Higher levels of openness will result in more positive
impact for the firms, the industry, the consumers, and society overall.
1. The smartest people can be selected and hired by the smartest firms.
2. R&D can be monetised only if all the industrial steps are owned, from discovery
to commercialisation.
Open Innovation and Data 53
1. The knowledge and expertise of many smart people still reside outside any given
smart firm.
2. External research will always be relevant, and internal R&D should be ready to
recognise it and find ways to insource it.
3. Profits can be generated by leveraging external research.
4. Building a better business model tends to be more successful than being a first
mover.
5. The combination of internal and external ideas increases the chances of success.
6. IP should be traded inbound and outbound to advance the business model of any
given firm.
Although Chesbrough’s theory has been very influential, the business literature
is still divided over whether open innovation is a real turning point in the evolution of
business management. While Chesbrough portrays a black or white image, business
reality features many shades of grey. According to Trott and Hartmann [5], the his-
torical confrontation of open versus closed innovation is too ambiguous: openness of
various degrees had always been performed by so-called “closed innovation” firms.
Since the early 1960s, many established firms have learned to exploit knowledge
beyond their borders, letting the innovation pendulum swing towards more or less
closedness, according to the existing opportunities. Allen and Cohen [6] identified
the role of gatekeepers who help firms share technology and expertise beyond their
boundaries, improving the R&D performance by linking internal researchers with
those sitting outside. Tushman [7] introduced the role of “boundary spanners”,
who are individuals who collect and exchange knowledge and information on
behalf of their firms, sitting indifferently inside R&D or other departments. Also,
old-school industries are not new to building alliances and partnerships to become
more competitive. Certainly, there are many examples of firms failing because they
closed their R&D to external knowledge and ideas. The history of Xerox is possibly
the most discussed in the literature, and reported extensively in Chesbrough [2].
platform boundary
ideas interactions,
ideas and development
It is impossible to tell. When we first launched, we were hoping for, you know,
maybe four hundred, five hundred people. Harvard didn’t have a Facebook,
and that’s the gap we were trying to fill. And now we’re at a hundred thou-
sand people. Who knows where we are going next. We’re hoping to have
Open Innovation and Data 55
many more universities by the fall, hopefully over a hundred or two hun-
dred. And from there we are going to launch a bunch of side applications
which should keep people coming back to the site, and maybe could make
something cool . . . Facebook is an online directory that connects people
through universities and colleges through their social networks. There you
sign on, you make a profile about yourself by answering some questions,
entering some information, such as your concentration or major at school,
contact information about phone numbers, instant messaging screen names,
anything you wanna tell, interests, what books you like, movies, and most
importantly who your friends are. And then you can browse around and
see who people’s friends are, and just check out people’s online identities,
and see how people portray themselves and find just interesting information
about people.
Digital platforms transform the open versus closed innovation debate. First, they are
non-linear businesses by design, thus they are way more accustomed to feedback
loops brought in by engaged participants. Second, they can almost instantly funnel
innovative value-generating units that accelerate growth exponentially. Third, they
are technically configured to accommodate the action of external complementors,
which can freely give their services and products through APIs. Notwithstanding,
more openness does not always result in better economic results. Careful governance
is required to pace the level of openness according to the situation, pulling strategic
innovation inbound and pushing tactical innovation outbound, accessing new busi-
ness models, and validating new strategies for monetisation. In this business context,
complementors can be allies to open platforms but they can also pose an existen-
tial threat.
Facebook started its business journey as a transaction platform to connect users
to users, then to advertisers. Subsequently, it launched a development platform and
exposed its APIs to attract more complementors and reinforce users’ engagement and
motivations. A key element in Facebook’s strategy was sharing a common user base
between the transaction side of the platform and the development side, leveraging
data and analytics to cross-pollenate both elements. The development side monetised
jointly insights on internal data and external usage, although lack of well-informed
governance led to the 2018 Cambridge Analytica scandal. Facebook managed to
reinforce positive network effects through the work of third-party programmers,
enhancing user experiences with offers like social games. For example, game
producer Zynga started leveraging the Facebook API platform and user network
with FarmVille in 2009, turning the new game into a viral hit worldwide. In early
2010, FarmVille had more than 80 million players worldwide. The extraordinary
success of FarmVille started posing a potentially negative effect on the efficiency
56 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
of the development platform. Zynga was dominating the game community, turning
into a price-maker against Facebook on splitting game revenues and sharing user
information. FarmVille’s strong gravity was also disadvantaging smaller gaming
complementors, reducing the strategic diversity of the development ecosystem.
Platforms have to balance the role and power of successful complementors, and
recognise in time any potential threats to their ability to steer user engagement and
ownership to the outside. Facebook could not stop Zynga but could acquire it to
consolidate value. Instead, Facebook remained open to existing contributions and
interactions, rightly considering that individual games can go viral but usually follow
accelerated cycles: they spike up in popularity, and then face a sharp decline. That’s
exactly what happened with FarmVille.
While Facebook was right to keep the platform open, yet learning to better reg-
ulate the role and interaction of external complementors, a different decision was
made to control Instagram. Instagram was founded by Kevin Systrom and released
on the Apple Store in 2010 as a mobile-only photo-sharing platform, enabling users
to take pictures, add filters, and share online. Users not only could post their pic-
tures on Facebook, leveraging its API platform openness, but the hashtag function
turned Instagram into an external social networking platform in its own right that
started steering traffic outside Facebook. Essentially, the picture-sharing mechanism
was openly complementing a business-critical component of Facebook, that had to
be protected, posing a threat to the ownership of many value-generating interac-
tions. Facebook decided to internalise the external innovator in 2012, offering almost
$1 billion for the acquisition.
Firms operating in output economies strive to sell a target number of products, for
the right target price, to the right target of people, within a target time frame. There
is a direct relationship between the costs and efforts of what has been produced and
how much money can be made. Clearly, new products and features are not always
welcomed by clients. The price has to be right. Marketing has to be effective to
generate demand and differentiate their product from those of their competitors.
Instead, platforms operating in outcome economies do not necessarily monetise
directly on the products or services they intermediate. Typically, they make profits on
value-generating interactions across entire ecosystems. The costs they bear are not a
function of production and distribution (ex-ante research, productising, marketing.
and distributing) but a function of user engagement time (ex-post interactions),
which they promote with the aid of complementors that leverage open APIs. Dam-
aging user engagement would significantly depress the network value. Therefore,
platforms need to learn how to retain a portion of the value created by all users
and complementors without affecting the interplay. Sometimes, this appropriation
of value is applied directly by imposing access fees on users or transaction fees on
Open Innovation and Data 57
complementors for the use of APIs. In other cases, the mechanism is indirect, like
granting access to data to justify marketing costs. Pricing is always a very delicate
game. Understanding how the perception of value shifts is a core theme of this
book to guide banks and fintech on outcome economies towards higher business
value, and its pricing. When Facebook acquired WhatsApp for $19 billion in 2014,
the messaging app faced an existential threat due to new monetisation strategies.
Founded by Brian Acton and Jan Koum in 2009, WhatsApp was born as a freeware
messaging app. In late 2013, a simple pricing scheme was introduced with the
intention of monetising the 200 million active users per month (currently, WhatsApp
connects more than 1.5 billion individuals). Existing users were still granted free
access, while new users were offered the first year freemium and then asked to pay a
$1 annual fee thereafter. Very simple, yet very linear thinking! Although $1 a year
is a negligible cost, the initiative backfired. Many existing clients were used to a
free service, and started fearing that further changes could be imposed, thus cutting
them out of personal connections. Changing business conditions from freemium to
access fees models reduced trust in the platform. And trust is key when people share
their thoughts, conversations, data, and money. WhatsApp created an unwanted
information asymmetry between the intentions of the provider and the expectations
of active users. The subscription fee was dropped in January 2016, as reported on
the company blog:
Making WhatsApp free and more useful. Nearly a billion people around
the world today rely on WhatsApp to stay in touch with their friends and fam-
ily. From a new dad in Indonesia sharing photos with his family, to a student
in Spain checking in with her friends back home, to a doctor in Brazil keep-
ing in touch with her patients, people rely on WhatsApp to be fast, simple
and reliable. That’s why we’re happy to announce that WhatsApp will no
longer charge subscription fees. For many years, we’ve asked some people
to pay a fee for using WhatsApp after their first year. As we’ve grown, we’ve
found that this approach hasn’t worked well. Many WhatsApp users don’t
have a debit or credit card number and they worried they’d lose access to
their friends and family after their first year. So over the next several weeks,
we’ll remove fees from the different versions of our app and WhatsApp will
no longer charge you for our service. Naturally, people might wonder how
we plan to keep WhatsApp running without subscription fees and if today’s
announcement means we’re introducing third-party ads. The answer is no.
Starting this year, we will test tools that allow you to use WhatsApp to com-
municate with businesses and organisations that you want to hear from. That
could mean communicating with your bank about whether a recent trans-
action was fraudulent, or with an airline about a delayed flight. We all get
these messages elsewhere today through text messages and phone calls so
we want to test new tools to make this easier to do on WhatsApp, while still
giving you an experience without third-party ads and spam. We hope you
enjoy what’s coming to WhatsApp, and we look forward to your feedback.
58 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
■ Tiered fees. Multiple tiers of paid access can be offered, with pricing stepping
up in cost for the most valuable or advanced APIs. For example, Dropbox APIs
can be accessed according to the tiered Teams’ pricing scheme usage.
■ Pay-as-you-go. This is a very simple utility-based model, in which developers
pay for what they consume such as the amount of bandwidth or storage. For
example, developers consuming Amazon API Gateway only pay when the APIs
are in use. There are no minimum fees or upfront commitments, although other
fees might apply for some services such as Private APIs or optional needs for
data caching.
■ Transaction fees. API consumers pay the API provider a fixed percentage of a
transaction amount. This is the case of payment providers like PayPal.
■ Marketing and brand awareness. APIs can serve as a marketing vehicle for the
digital presence of platform providers. The API platform provider can turn API
consumers into marketing agents, providing brand exposure on their websites
and applications.
■ Content acquisition. APIs often allow writing, updating, accessing, and delet-
ing content. Content acquisition via APIs can be a valuable method to enhance
platform curation.
■ Software-as-a-Service (SaaS). APIs might complement a SaaS software
solution and its offering as a standard or a premium feature, providing value to
core SaaS sales. There is no one-size-fits-all approach to API monetisation, and
there are few constants in either pricing or access. Successful API providers
are constantly adjusting, tweaking, and experimenting, trying to find the most
competitive approach possible. Most of all, open APIs are about business
development. Exposing them allows platforms to find new ways to monetise on
existing resources through the work and imagination of a variety of competing
complementors.
Open Innovation and Data 61
Prescriptive
Facilitative
Reviewing
Market-driven
Open banking initiatives are global front runners to promote and enable quicker
and secured fintech innovation with different regulatory oversight of the API banking
economy across jurisdictions. While regulation has been a key driver in Europe
and the UK, market forces promoted the open data transformation in China and the
US. The Bank of International Settlements [13] reviewed in 2019 the “status of
the open banking union” across major jurisdictions (Figure 3.5) and classified them
into prescriptive, facilitative, reviewing, and market-driven. Notwithstanding the
differences, they share a common set of attributes, such as fundamental consent,
privacy expectations, and security requirements.
Clearly, launching an open banking platform is just one of the initial stages of
the journey inside outcome economies, and not the longest nor the most complex.
Building an API platform and opening it up to the consumption of third-party
developers is the foundational stage, which has been travelled by many institutions
featuring modern and comprehensive API marketplaces. Yet competing on how
many APIs have been deployed is no proof of technical nor managerial success.
Instead, real business value is to be found in the second stage of the journey. This
is about creating frictionless experiences that engage end-users with new value-
generating interactions, inside new business models underpinned by open innovation
mindsets. In this final stage, banks can be passive utilities that rely upon the imag-
ination of fintech and bigtech companies. Or they can be active players, travelling
the Banking Reinvention Quadrant to harvest higher business value with advanced
Banking-as-a-Service and Banking-as-Platform strategies (i.e., Contextual Banking
and Conscious Banking, as presented in Part II and Part III of the book).
One of the major business shifts in financial services has been the progressive
transformation of revenue models from transactions to services. This is due to trans-
parency regulations, macro-economic conditions, and the race to zero price competi-
tion. Embedded fees and commissions, which are the backbone of the intermediation
Open Innovation and Data 65
of products within value chains, are becoming less remunerative. Financial interme-
diaries are asked to generate revenues by packaging financial products inside alter-
native mechanisms and leveraging online relationships and network effects typical of
other industries to lure customers into banking relationships. As such, open banking
platforms are the rudimentary starting point to learn how to capture monetisation
opportunities outside transaction fees based on products, while attempting innovative
ways to apply client-related fees to access enhanced and curated banking engagement.
In this regard, the first fully-fledged open banking platforms were born as
development platforms, focused purely on enabling access to data and services to a
potentially large market of API consumers outside banking (e.g., Solaris Banking-
as-a-Service, BBVA API Marketplace, or DBS Developers). These are proprietary
API marketplaces on which platform providers integrated their business workflows
and exposed key APIs to external consumers of analytics and services. Notwithstand-
ing the vibrant nature of the fintech ecosystem, not many managed to complete the
whole journey from platform providers, through developers, to end-user experiences
that generate sufficient revenues with transaction models. Well-informed banks
and fintech started leveraging open banking to enforce less direct strategies for the
monetisation of digital offers inside non-banking ecosystems (i.e., evolving Banking-
as-a-Service models into Contextual Banking platforms). In particular, Asian banks
started contextualising their offers inside non-banking engagement to facilitate
clients’ journeys and share value across platform interactions. Alternatively, banks
and fintech also started addressing relevant regulatory challenges to demonstrate a
direct link between the value received by clients and the remuneration of intermedi-
aries within holistic and transparent financial services relationships (i.e., evolving
Banking-as-a-Platform models towards Conscious Banking platforms). In particular,
European and US banks started bundling banking offers inside more transparent
advisory mechanisms and getting paid for access to knowledge and best practices.
3.8 CONCLUSIONS
Move fast and break things. Unless you are breaking stuff, you are not moving
fast enough.
—Mark Zuckerberg, founder of Facebook [1]
P latforms might be eating the world, but they are not invincible. They require good
governance to be sustainable, fair, and trustworthy, and to prevent market fail-
ure. Failures can be due to the accrual of excessive information asymmetries, or
uncontrolled externalities that turn once positive interactions into negative network
effects. Transparency, internal and external, emerges as the key governing principle
to promote trusted value-generating interactions in the best collective interest of all
stakeholders across the ecosystem.
4.1 INTRODUCTION
Good governance corresponds to the set of rules which define who gets to partici-
pate in the platform interplay, and how. It sets out what one’s role is in participation,
how value can be shared, and how conflicts can be resolved. The essence of digital
platforms is to continuously nurture value-generating interactions among motivated
participants and motivate less active users with positive feedback loops. The value
generated in each transaction has to satisfy all parties involved, directly or indirectly,
including platform providers. Also, pricing affects user interactions as the wrong
approach can damage trust in platform fairness. An excessive asymmetry in favour
of one of the stakeholders could damage the interchange and depress network effects
and make users vulnerable to competing offers.
67
68 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
One of the key drivers of platform success stems from the disintermediation
of intermediaries operating in linear value chains, thus benefiting all parties with
a more symmetrical exchange. Typically, participants occupy only one side of the
marketplace. Sellers sell, and buyers buy. Instead, platform interactions are not
always one-sided, making information symmetry a key attribute. Buyers can become
sellers on eBay. Complementors can provide services through Facebook, but also
integrate Facebook services inside their business processes. It can happen that a set
of participants and complementors manages to exploit platform interplay to build
asymmetrical power for their own benefit. Unchecked conflicts of interests can arise
between the parties that affect the generation of shared value. While it might not be
possible to micro-manage all interactions, enforcing good governance can ring-fence
what users can do or how they can do it. Thus, platform providers must learn how to
regulate access and interchanges, mitigating negative externalities without excessive
censorship.
Governance is not only indispensable to regulate what happens inside platforms,
but also to balance the impact of platforms outside their business perimeter. The
amount of deep data which is generated on the network tends to place a growing
asymmetrical power in the hands of platform providers and complementors, which
can be abused and turned against weaker stakeholders. This strength grows with plat-
form size and extends beyond the pricing of individual transactions. It generates from
the instantaneous insights produced by intelligent analytics about network maps, user
behaviour and preferences, and the profiling of segments across large populations.
The abuse of information asymmetries could poison platform interplay with reduced
trust and negative network effects. When platforms become monopolies and manage
to annihilate competition, users might prefer to accept asymmetrical terms instead of
migrating to secondary alternatives.
Platforms must be subject to the same principles of transparency and account-
ability as any business, especially in regulated markets. This also applies to the
contextualisation of banking capabilities inside non-banking journeys. At the same
time, regulation needs to be refreshed to better correspond to the dynamics of
platforms and outcome economies. Regulatory requirements are typically morphed
around output-oriented value chains that preceded the digital era.
Essentially, good governance is based on transparency whether applied to
business exchanges in the physical world or digital interactions, based on the use
of internal and external data and analytics. Transparency precedes governance also
in technology because rules and norms could also be used to generate excessive
asymmetries in network interplays. Only good governance – founded on trans-
parency – helps to generate sustainable value, confine it whenever needed, and track
it to profit fairly from it.
company Alphabet) had a market capitalisation of $6.4 trillion, more than the GDP
of Japan, smaller only than China’s and that of the US (Figure 4.1). Their success
has made them iconic brands throughout the world. But could they be harming the
broader economy?
There is no doubt that bigtech has achieved its success through innovation,
which also played a critical role during the 2020 pandemic crisis to support an
accelerated digital adaptation in everyday life. As the crisis created a need for social
distancing, and required people to stay at home, customers embraced pick-up and
delivery methods en masse. Google rolled out new tools and analytics to help small
and medium-sized businesses increase their digital-first abilities, let customers
know about temporary closures, contactless delivery, and curb-side pick-up options.
Online retail giants like Amazon and Shopify offered small businesses a lifeline
to finding a new digital presence, recording sharp increases in businesses signing
on their platforms. The pandemic enhanced the role of mobile wallets and other
payment methods like instant money transfers (e.g., PayPal and Venmo), QR codes
(e.g., WeChat and Alipay), and small merchants’ ability to participate in the digital
economy (e.g., Square). Consumers had options that not only enabled more ways to
pay but offered more ways to finance their purchases through mobile channels (e.g.,
buy-now-pay-later). Also, many restaurants leveraged delivery apps (e.g., Grab and
Uber Eats) to stay afloat during the pandemic. Radyant [2] surveyed US restaurant
owners, revealing that 37.5% would not have been able to stay in business without
partnering with third-party delivery apps.
Silicon Valley has promoted an aggressive start-up culture, pushing entre-
preneurs to rush in and grow client bases and venture capital multiples “no matter
what”. Provocatively, Mark Zuckerberg [1] stated: “Move fast and break things.
Unless you are breaking stuff, you are not moving fast enough.”
However, gold is not always all that glitters on the innovation scene. The strategy
of bigtech started to focus – sometimes excessively – on the monetisation of data
about users. E-commerce giants like Amazon found in cloud and analytics services a
way out to low margins in core interactions. The profits of Facebook and Google are
driven by an impressive capability to capture as much data as possible, and tweaking
it via algorithms to harvest “hyper-personalised” advertising and recommendations.
But power comes with responsibility. Start-ups often onboard users with very
few rules and norms, focusing on governance only after exponential growth has been
reached. Yet, infusing intelligent analytics into every step of platform interplays not
only gains winning insights about ecosystem interactions. It also provides valuable
feedback to step up governance rules, thus preserving and improving the quality of
engagements as platforms grow. Good governance is essential for platform to com-
pete and endure, but also to prevent negative externalities from disenfranchising users
and complementors. Digital platforms need to comply with accountability principles
based on transparency requirements, thus on regulation, promoting fairness and inclu-
sion in the economic system they serve, while searching for profit. This is a clear
message from the Chinese regulators in the recent overhaul of platform businesses
following the suspension of Ant Financial IPO in 2020.
USA
CHINA
JAPAN
GERMANY
UK INDIA
ALPHABET
BRAZIL AUSTRALIA SPAIN INDONESIA MEXICO NETHER SWITZER
(Google) TENCENT FACEBOOK
LANDS ALIBABA
LAND
FIGURE 4.1 World economies and tech companies. The areas represent countries’ GDP and firms’ market capitalisation end of
2020, in US dollars.
Platform Governance Founded on Transparency 71
The role of good governance is about the enforcement of a balancing act. In this
regard, better governance can also become a competitive advantage for the promotion
of new contenders operating in non-banking sectors, and especially those operating
in financial services.
There is a growing business debate, and a regulatory concern, that the largest technol-
ogy firms are exerting monopoly power and stopping value from being fairly accessed
or shared. For example, they can be tempted to front sell their own branded products,
thanks to direct knowledge about all prices and user searches, or they can bias internal
search engines to disadvantage those merchants that also sell on competing platforms.
As a matter of fact, most bigtech companies are currently facing increasing regulatory
scrutiny.
Xi Jinping’s speech was indeed the start of a big change in attitude of local regula-
tors, targeting significant de-risking of banking portfolios and shadow banking prac-
tices. Shadow banking refers to lending and other financial activities conducted by
unregulated institutions or under unregulated conditions, such as those conducted by
the technology giants. The relentless lending capability of digital platforms – powered
by data analytics and artificial intelligence – nurtured through securitisation practises
a complex and interconnected unregulated market. In 2020, the Chinese regulators
estimated shadow banking was worth $12.9 trillion, equivalent to 86% of 2019’s gross
domestic product.
Chinese P2P lending practices were the first to be exposed to regulatory pressure.
They started surging around 2012 as the means for cash-hungry small businesses
looking for short-term loans through retail investors, lured by the promise of yields
as high as 15%. According to a Crowdfunding Insider Report [5], regulatory efforts
to crack down on the sector resulted in the closure of more than 99% of the 6,000 P2P
lenders operating in 2016 to just 29 in 2020, resulting in over $115 billion owed to
investors in unpaid debt.
In November 2020, investors were left reeling by the suspension of Ant Group’s
$37 billion stock market listing, in what was set to be the world’s biggest initial public
offering. The event paved the way for a series of measures that indicate a significant
intervention of Chinese regulators to rein in the power of bigtech in the name of
financial stability. China started reconsidering the whole architecture of the digital
economy, enforcing more regulated innovation in terms of shared data ownership,
central bank digital currencies, public blockchain infrastructure, anti-trust interven-
tion, and rectification of corporate structures.
Platform Governance Founded on Transparency 73
Following the IPO suspension of Alibaba’s fintech affiliate, Ant Financial Group,
the Chinese regulators fined Alibaba a record $2.8 billion on anti-trust probes, and
ordered Ant to revamp by rectifying its credit, insurance, and wealth management
businesses by returning to its origins as an online payments platform. Tencent is also
a major player in China’s market for digital payments, with its payment app WeChat
Pay competing against Ant Group’s AliPay for market share. As this book goes to
press, all other technology giants are being required to set up separate holding com-
panies to include their banking, insurance, and payment services.
260.86
240
222.62
186.99
156.27
160
39.7%
38.7%
37.3%
35.7%
33.9%
80
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
SHOPIFY
SHOPIFY
COMMUNITY OF DEVELOPERS
a ready-made yet personalised digital store, complete with payment methods, price
catalogues, and all it takes to be successful online. Compared to Amazon, Shopify
is not acting as a marketplace but presents itself as an alternative direct-to-consumer
model. Shop owners retain higher ownership of the relationship with customers, hav-
ing that direct line. In creating a software infrastructure that can be shared between
merchants, Shopify has not only strengthened the competitive prospects of existing
e-commerce businesses, it has also facilitated the emergence of new business interac-
tions that compete head-to-head with eBay as the second most favourite e-commerce
destination, after Amazon. Clearly, the power of Amazon is not yet matched in terms
of steering traffic and consumers. E-commerce success and brand relevance go well
beyond the ability to offer two-day shipping or easy returns without having to be on
Amazon’s website.
Possibly, there is one key reason for the rising appeal of Shopify. According to
the New York Times [7], Shopify app developers made seven times more revenues
as a community than Shopify Merchant Solutions, whose revenues totalled almost
$1 billion at the end of 2019 (Figure 4.3).
Here is a key takeaway: new competitors can steer engagement away from
established platforms only if they generate and share more value with the
ecosystem.
system in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis. Typically, platform providers
attempt to disintermediate asymmetrical agents to benefit the broader community of
users with more transparent access to previously restricted information. However,
in the process of disintermediation, it can also happen that platforms generate new
information asymmetries which they either directly control, or which they do not.
Things can go wrong which business owners did not intend, such as fraudsters using
highly branded products for illegal or dubious purposes that generate a negative
press. For example, in 2020, fashion brand Fred Perry decided to withdraw one of
its famous polo shirt designs, a black colour with yellow borders, after it became
associated with far-right organisations in the US. Also, platform participants might
engage in illicit behaviour like restaurants posting fake reviews on TripAdvisor,
or eBay sellers promoting counterfeit products. When platform agents excessively
exploit information asymmetries, the whole experience can deteriorate, affecting
users’ trust and threatening business failure.
Negative externalities correspond to all damaging consequences that arise
through seemingly consensual interactions between willing counterparts. Gover-
nance loopholes, such as sharing other people’s private data and their personal
insights without consent, affect all parties, including those not directly involved in
core interactions.
Mark Zuckerberg learned that lesson well in 2018. In 2010, Facebook announced
the launch of a platform called Open Graph, enabling API consumers to request Face-
book users’ permission to access personal data (e.g., name, gender, and location)
and insights (e.g., political preferences, sexual orientation, and religious views). API
governance rules allowed Facebook complementors to map each subscribing user’s
friends network. In 2013, Aleksandr Kogan, founder of Global Science Research,
created an app called “this-is-your-digital-life”. The firm invited 300,000 Facebook
users to access the app and take a psychological test for a monetary compensation,
which resulted in mapping millions of Facebook profiles. Facing a mounting debate
about data privacy, Facebook decided to change its governance posture in 2014, and
limit third-party access to user networks without gaining direct permission from each
friend in such a network. Unfortunately, these rule changes could not be retroactively
enforced. In 2018, Christopher Wylie, a co-founder of Cambridge Analytica with
Aleksandr Kogan, revealed to the New York Times that almost 90 million Facebook
profiles had been harvested, and used to lead political campaigns during the 2016 US
presidential election. Facing the Senate Judiciary and Commerce Committee hear-
ing, Mark Zuckerberg accepted responsibility for Facebook’s poor governance [8],
and declared:
It’s clear now that we didn’t do enough to prevent these tools from being used
for harm as well. That goes for fake news, foreign interference in elections,
and hate speech, as well as developers and data privacy. We didn’t take a
broad enough view of our responsibility, and that was a big mistake. It was
my mistake, and I’m sorry. I started Facebook, I run it, and I’m responsible
for what happens here.
76 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
Lack of transparency in how personal data is stored and used blows up, sooner
or later, and should be prevented ex-ante to stay resiliently open to the scrutiny of
regulators, policy-makers, and activist groups. Only effective good governance, pro-
moting openness and underpinned by transparency principles, will allow platform
providers to have a long-term positive impact on the ecosystem they serve, and gen-
erate responsibly sustainable value.
Typically, the more open a platform is to the contribution of external agents, the
faster is the innovation cycle, the higher is the competitive strength, and the more
vibrant the ecosystem engagement. Openness can put on steroids positive network
effects but it can also have a counter-effect by adding new risks. Openness can reduce
the platform’s ability to control the quality of the interactions. Platform providers
must retain control of the core development features and define the key technical and
business-oriented pillars of the business architecture. At the same time, they have to
enforce enough porosity to leverage the uncoordinated action of external developers,
and that of contributing users. Good governance builds on a dynamic approach that
changes the level of openness as the business grows. Calibrating the right level of
openness can be a governance balancing act like walking a tightrope.
Most enterprises compete on the quality of products and the services they
deliver. Attaining and maintaining a sufficient level of quality for linear offerings
seem easier compared to the same effort in platform businesses. Linear entrepreneurs
own and understand most of the levers to improve each step of their production and
delivery lines. They can redesign key components of the manufacturing chain. They
can collaborate with suppliers to improve specific sub-components or to re-engineer
full assembly processes. They can decide to insource the production or the delivery
of business-critical components, or they can choose to outsource them to better
providers. Each one of these decisions is part of a complex cost-benefit analysis.
Instead, the primary role of platform providers is to orchestrate value-generating
interactions without owning full control. The search for exponential scale is challeng-
ing and often orthogonal to well-thought-out curation. Platform providers need to
take account of the tension between short-term virality and long-term sustainability,
and learn how to turn any interaction into a stickier long-term engagement by tiering
the level of curation. Understanding the desired level of curation not only reduces
platform risks, preventing positive network effects from becoming negative on
an equivalent exponential scale. It also grants a valuable token for monetising on
ecosystems, because it empowers users to personalise platform access, according to
the preferred level of quality, layered by higher fees.
For example, Meetup is an interesting business case. It is a digital service to
organise online groups hosting in-person events for users with similar interests.
As reported in TechCrunch [9], it launched as a freemium platform to reach circa
50 million registered members and 230,000 organisers, for an average of 15,000
in-person events per day. Unfortunately, lack of sufficient governance deteriorated
the quality of user experiences. Anyone could and would post events for free,
exposing users to time-wasting searches as they did not have the means to assess
the relevance and quality of offers. In a managerial u-turn on the monetisation
strategy, MeetUp started charging event organisers a monthly fee for the right to post
events, drastically reducing the platform size and the number of user interactions.
However, this approach raised the quality of engagement, thus user satisfaction
spared the platform from collapse.
78 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
1. All teams will henceforth expose their data and functionality through service
interfaces.
2. Teams must communicate with each other through these interfaces.
Platform Governance Founded on Transparency 79
that platform providers learn how to use data and analytics to continuously monitor
platform dynamics and user interactions, and increase the level of symmetry and fair-
ness. In the age of platform dominance, regulators have also started to demand higher
transparency about the use of personal data, about the potential bias of any analytics
powered by artificial intelligence, about the truthfulness of news, and the traceability
of identities. Only transparency on platform incentives, on costs for clients, and
on consequences for all stakeholders will permit the fourth industrial revolution
to foster progress, not only change. This only encourages sustainable engagement
across open ecosystems. Open systems can avoid collapse as long as they stay trans-
parent, and this is critical in banking and financial markets.
On Artificial Intelligence, trust is a must, not a nice to have. With these land-
mark rules, the EU is spearheading the development of new global norms
to make sure AI can be trusted. By setting the standards, we can pave the
way to ethical technology worldwide and ensure that the EU remains com-
petitive along the way. Future-proof and innovation-friendly, our rules will
intervene where strictly needed: when the safety and fundamental rights of
EU citizens are at stake.
Essentially, the removal of human decision-making poses new concerns and will
progressively raise the enforcement of accountability to the level of the Board of
Directors because the algorithm cannot be accountable in itself. Therefore, trans-
parency on costs, incentives, and consequences emerges as the core principle in eth-
ically aligned design thinking that shapes the ex-ante digital governance of data,
analytics, and business models and fosters ex-post robustness and explicability. The
results are transparent, robust, and explicable data architectures, artificially intelli-
gent algorithms, and value-generating interactions, building trust in operations and
sustainable competitive advantages.
Trust increases along three dimensions that drive the evolution of well-informed
banks and fintech. First, trust in the use of open data through the API economy to gain
innovation speed. Second, trust in the use of AI within the organisation and in front
of clients. Third, trust in all processes leveraging open data and artificial intelligence
to power new business models on digital platform economies. In this regard, good
governance – founded on transparency – underpins the sustainable digital journey
towards higher business value which can be imagined as a transparency space
that corresponds to a 3-D view of the Banking Reinvention Quadrant (Figure 4.4).
Enforcing transparency in the permissible use of data and enforcing transparency in
the use of algorithms promotes trust (i.e., design, test, and deploy) in new business
models, new operating models, and architectures that are robust (not only resilient,
but also generating meaningful insights and interactions) and explicable (allowing
to trace back how intelligent algorithms learned from data, and from which datasets,
to drive platform interactions).
Transparency is the core principle of platform governance, which allows to
institutionalise the generation of trust among all stakeholders. It is the role of
transparency-anchored governance to direct the evolution of business models
towards Contextual Banking and Conscious Banking, thus permitting platform
economies to unlock value using technology in financial services. These aspects will
be discussed in the remaining chapters of the book, dedicated to platform strategies
on higher value spaces of the Banking Reinvention Quadrant.
82 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
HIGHER
BUSINESS
TRUST IN CLOUD AND VALUE
OPEN ECOSYSTEMS TO
GAIN INNOVATION SPEED
INFORMATION QUOTIENT
CONTEXTUAL BANKING
CONSCIOUS BANKING
LS
DE
MO IES
G G
TIN TE
E RA TRA
OP S
W NESS
NE I
I TH BUS
E W ED
T
RIV RUS
TH
DT
AN
LOWER COMM
BUSINESS U NICAT
ION Q TRUST IN TRANSPARENT
VALUE UOTIE
NT AI AND RELATIONSHIPS
4.8 CONCLUSIONS
Part Two presents the main pillars needed to reinvent financial services on outcome-
oriented platform economies.
First, the Banking Reinvention Quadrant is introduced as a business value
space representing how banks can break out from lower value spaces to excel on
outcome economies by investing in higher intensity of the information quotient (i.e.,
hybrid cloud architectures, open ecosystems, open reference theory) and the com-
munication quotient (i.e., transparent, robust, and explicable artificial intelligence,
trusted advisory relationships, increased consciousness in clients’ interactions with
the new financial services platforms). These correspond to Contextual Banking
strategies (i.e., Banking-as-a-Service) and Conscious Banking strategies (i.e.,
Banking-as-a-Platform).
Second, three fintech lessons learned accelerate the digital transformation on
outcome economies: (1) Platform theory integrates the theory of innovation and
the dichotomy between disruptive and sustaining innovation. (2) Digital is a “pull”
technology (i.e., a demand-driven mechanism), while most banking revenues are
operated inside “push” economies (i.e., a demand-driven industry). It is strategic
to learn how to position an offer-oriented industry on a demand-driven technology.
(3) Platforms win on digital as they can re-bundle financial services along frictionless
client journeys.
Third, internal and external factors affect the capability of banks and fintech
to compete with bigtech and succeed on outcome-oriented platform economies. The
culture, the incentives, and the organisation must change to succeed in the digital
innovation journey on the Banking Reinvention Quadrant.
87
CHAPTER 5
The Existential Shift of Bank
Business Models
The necessity to adjust the business model to the digitalisation, to the changes in
technology, is something much more compelling [for banks] than being angry
about negative rates.
— Mario Draghi, former President of the European Central Bank [1]
5.1 INTRODUCTION
The history of finance is the history of money, hence the history of trade, which
can be traced as far back as 12500 BC to the use by Anatolians of obsidian, a raw
material used to build Stone Age tools. But banking, as we know it today, is a
more recent industry which was forged during the twelfth century and the early
89
90 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
Italian Renaissance to facilitate commerce and manage personal finance for wealthy
families in rich cities, such as Florence, Venice, and Genoa. Monte dei Paschi di Siena
is the world oldest bank, operating continuously since 1472. North European cities,
such as Amsterdam and London, took the lead during the seventeenth and eighteenth
centuries, when systemic banking innovations were created, such as central banking.
Only during the twentieth century have financial innovation allowed banks to
transform further, leading to the emergence of a variety of specialised business
models which integrate their traditional mission, centred on interest rate margins,
with other services, centred on fee-based intermediation margins (e.g., payments,
investment banking, and wealth management). New York and London emerged as
world leading financial centres in the 1980s, following the deregulation of interna-
tional capital markets. The product innovation brought in by quantitative finance
(e.g., complex derivatives and securitisation practices) enabled banks to expand
their balance sheets at an unprecedented pace. At the same time, technology started
transforming Wall Street. Electronic pits and high frequency trading increased the
level of international interdependence among financial institutions, to the point
of becoming a potential systemic threat to the stability of modern economies.
Following a series of market crashes and smaller financial crises, regulators enforced
new capital requirements, aware of the social costs of bank defaults. They aimed
to strengthen risk management practices in the conduct of these private enterprises
charged with high public responsibility. In retrospective, it seems that a set of faulty
assumptions in economic theory had the unwanted effect of promoting the moral
hazard implicit in the systemic put of central banks. The Global Financial Crisis
revealed the systemic interdependence of unsustainable business practices.
Also, the interrelationship between finance and technology has grown steadily
in order to chase economies of scale. For many decades, banks were the front run-
ners in information technology spending with the motto “invest more to save more”.
They needed to compete, and comply with increased regulatory pressure demanding
the fast-growing operations be strengthened. Notwithstanding, the fintech revolution
revealed the depth of bank technical debt, as most banking systems are still obsolete
and leave the industry exposed to unexpected competition. Start-ups and bigtech firms
use exponential technologies as a weapon to tear down the barriers of entry, and dis-
rupt established business models. Banks operate under a continuous existential threat
to the sustainability of cost/income ratios, whatever latitude and longitude they are
operating in. They are now required to increase their spending to transform digitally,
resolving core banking complexity and competing on client interfaces, while inter-
est rate margins are shrinking, intermediation margins are weakening, and economic
capital has become expensive. The increasing cost of capital pushed many institutions
to de-leverage credit portfolios, and confine risk-taking in capital markets operations.
While payment processing and lending activities are particularly exposed to the dis-
intermediation of technology giants, banks are turning their business focus to wealth
management and merchant banking to harvest intermediation margins.
Understanding how bank strategies need to reposition themselves, in order to
enable the final clients to actually be the central focus, is successfully transforming
The Existential Shift of Bank Business Models 91
The Global Financial Crisis signalled the end of an era of healthy margins and exces-
sive risk-taking. The imbalances characterising the business models of modern bank-
ing are rooted in the accelerated “financialisation” of the western world’s economies
in the 1980s. Yet, they became unbearable only on 15 September 2008 with the col-
lapse of Lehman Brothers, at the time the fourth largest investment bank in the US.
There is another measure that I want to tell you. Within our mandate, the
ECB is ready to do “whatever it takes” to preserve the Euro. And believe
me, it will be enough.
The central bank systemic put corresponds to the widespread belief that cen-
tral banks can always rescue the economy and financial markets by lowering interest
rates, or by injecting liquidity into the system with quantitative easing or by coor-
dinating with fiscal policy. The term originates from the analogous comparison of
selling a “put option” on the market, and started to be used after Alan Greenspan
lowered the interest FED rates in response to the 1987 stock market crash and after
the 1998 crash of hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM). Central bank
intervention intensified and became more pervasive, until the Global Financial Crisis
erupted (Table 5.1).
The implicit support of central banks aided higher asset prices, made credit
spreads narrower, and asset bubbles more likely to open the door to a new economic
normal. After the GFC, multiple interbank rates and treasury yields fell into negative
territory on short, medium and long maturities (in the Euro area, Switzerland, and
Japan). US interest rates plummeted in 2008 to revive in 2016, but the emergency
brought in by the 2020 pandemic reset once more the economic framework in a
further annihilation of the systemic put (Figure 5.1).
As a matter of fact, Schmelzing [2] indicates that there is little unusual about
the current low rate environment, which the “secular stagnation” narrative attempts
to portray as an unusual aberration, linked to equally unusual trend breaks in
savings-investment balances, or productivity measures. The trend drop in real rates
(e.g., private debt, non-marketable loans, or the global sovereign “safe asset”) seems
to coincide with a steady long-run uptick in public fiscal activity, and it has persisted
across a variety of monetary regimes: fiat- and non-fiat, with and without the exis-
tence of public monetary institutions. Therefore, there seems to be no reason even
to expect rates to “plateau” around zero. Instead, against their long-term context,
currently depressed sovereign real rates are in fact converging “back to historical
trend”, suggesting that, irrespective of particular monetary and fiscal responses, real
rates could permanently enter negative territory in a world of finite resources, capped
growth potential, and interconnected economic systems (Figure 5.2).
While interest rates plummeted, prudential regulators had to orchestrate with
governments the bail-out of wrecked financial institutions, strengthen capital
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
–100
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2021
FIGURE 5.1 3-Month Interbank rates on EUR, CHF, JPY, AUD and the US dollar, from
2008 to 2021
94 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
20
18
16
14
12
10
0
1320 1370 1420 1470 1520 1570 1620 1670 1720 1770 1820 1870 1920 1970 2020
.SX7E
500
400
300
200
100
towards fee-based intermediation margins, which are also under pressure. On one
hand, payment operations are challenged due to the lack of hyper-scale, especially in
European markets. On the other hand, passive investing has progressively eroded the
profitability of investment management, particularly in North America.
Traditionally, consolidation has always been a potential way out to reduce pres-
sure. Back in 1990, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, J.P. Morgan Chase, and Bank of America
were actually 35 separate companies. The deal flow further accelerated in the US with
the start of the 2008 crisis. According to the Federal Deposits Insurance Corporation
(FDIC), almost 50% of the US financial institutions were lost through M&A between
2008 and 2019 (Figure 5.4).
In the same period, more than one-third of bank branches were closed in the UK,
and European banks lost more than 10% of their workforce, over 400,000 employees.
The consolidation process was actually slowing down in Europe, remaining limited
and domestic, given the cross-border tensions within the economic area. In 2020,
the ECB openly intervened to favour more mergers, including cross-border deals.
Refreshed guidelines were released on the supervisory approach, aiming to protect
new larger institutions from excessive capital requirements. However, further con-
centration into even larger, too-big-to-fail institutions might not provide the expected
economies of scale without resolving the structural gap in bank operations and archi-
tectures. The industry’s technical debt of monolithic core banking infrastructure can
hardly become more efficient on digital through the consolidation process.
Even more interestingly, Huber [6] investigated the effects of large banks on
the real economy to reveal theoretically ambiguous and politically controversial evi-
dence. He analysed the increase in banking size in post-war Germany. After the
Second World War, the allied forces broke up the bigger banks. Only smaller regional
entities were allowed to operate with the aim of weakening the ties between the bank-
ing sector and the defeated Third Reich. However, smaller regional lenders were
allowed to re-merge into bigger institutions between 1952 and 1957. The analysis
seems to indicate that the enlarged banks did not increase profits or efficiency, but
worked with riskier borrowers, and were more willing to allow these borrowers to
increase leverage. Although risk-taking works well in boom times, overleveraged bor-
rowers often fail during recessions, providing insights about lower profitability in the
12,347
10,453
8,777
7,887
7,397
6,533
5,610
4,718 4,519
long run. Also, larger banks had slower lending growth than smaller banks, although
the difference was not statistically significant (Figure 5.5). Last, bank managers ben-
efited through higher salaries and media attention. Their salaries rose 251% between
1952 and 1960, while executives at smaller banks saw their salaries rise by only 102%.
The low-margin new normal is here to stay, and banks’ way out of the
Catch-22 situation is through the transformation of traditional business models to
comply – through technology – with the emergence of outcome economies. Mario
Draghi [1] touched upon this key topic when asked about the fact that negative rates
could destabilise the banking system and generate a new collapse.
Banks would like to have positive rates, unquestionably. So, whenever they
have negative rates, they do not like it. But, I would not go as far as say-
ing that negative rates would create the collapse of the financial system.
Because before getting there, one has to look at other things of our banks,
for example, the cost/income ratio. Many of our banks have cost/income
ratios which are completely way off any average indicator, both in Europe
and, even more so, in the world, if compared with other banks in other parts
of the world. There are certain structural weaknesses in the banking sector,
more pronounced in certain parts of the eurozone than in others. I think these
sorts of considerations affect much more than negative rates on bank prof-
itability, the banks’ capacity to lend. The necessity to adjust the business
model to digitalisation, to the changes in technology, is something much
more compelling than being angry about negative rates.
1.6
1.2
0.8
0.4
–0.4
–0.8
–1.2
–1.6
1948 1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962
Low interest rate environments are here to stay. Business models have to change.
But how?
BANKING-as-a-SERVICE BANKING-as-a-PLATFORM
more self-directed more relationship-oriented
updated to hybrid cloud platforms, business processes refreshed with cloud services,
applications modernised, and digital interfaces powered by more intelligent analytics
(e.g., AI-driven instant credit approval). Well-informed institutions are enriching
traditional offers with financial and non-financial services according to the prevail-
ing regulatory frameworks, developing platforms that interact with non-banking
ecosystems (i.e., Contextual Banking). On the other hand, well-informed banks
are investing to preserve the integrated provision of financial services for the most
communication-intensive activities. They are refreshing digital “merchant banking”
models and “trusted advisory” relationships, tailoring new solutions to engage clients
with more complex needs. Fintech innovation allows previously separate banking
verticals to be rebundled into stand-alone containers of services. The re-emergence
of merchant bank services and holistic financial advice is consistent with the
long-held view in the literature that relationship banking can survive competition by
increasing relation intensity (i.e., Conscious Banking).
Conscious Banking and Contextual Banking share business critical information
through cloud-based, open finance platforms, and enrich the communication with
clients with transparent, robust, and explicable artificial intelligence solutions. That
is why they correspond to the highest business value spaces on the “Banking Rein-
vention Quadrant”.
HIGHER
BUSINESS
VALUE
CONTEXTUAL
ECOSYSTEM
BANKING
OUTCOME
OPEN
INFORMATION QUOTIENT (IQ)
PLATFORMS
ECOSYSTEM
CLOSED
CONSCIOUS
BANKING
DIGITAL
OUTPUT
PRODUCTS
SERVICES
TRADITIONAL
the essence of banking and financial markets, the economics of risk-taking, and
the asymmetrical nature of financial intermediation with clients. Banks are not
“technology companies”, not at all. Banks are, first and foremost, “risk management
companies” that leverage exponential technology to compete within regulated
environments by accessing better information and performing better communication.
No transformation strategy can be successful without a deep understanding of risk
management and business conduct principles.
The intermediate years (2008–2013) were dedicated to the creation of a fin-
tech venture, learning the beauty and the pains of innovation in wealth management.
Entrepreneurs always make assumptions about the competitive landscape, and the
preferences of target clients. Those assumptions must be based on a clear understand-
ing of the biological unveiling of information asymmetries. They shadow clients’
perception of value, and digital cannot shed the needed light without well-informed
investments in communication. Digital technology is the means, not the currency, of
value-generating interactions. Transparency is the currency, whose value clients can
appreciate and reward on a new financial services platform.
Recent years were spent in one of the largest technology companies in the
world, sharing views with a panoply of expert colleagues and CEOs at primary
The Existential Shift of Bank Business Models 103
with transparent, robust, and explicable algorithms. Sliding along this axis requires
transparency among stakeholder interests, and transforms the value-generating
interactions between banks and clients from offer-driven propositions (i.e., pushed
mechanism) to a demand-driven consumption along users’ journeys (i.e., pulled
mechanism). The rest of the book will discuss how to move an offer-driven industry
(i.e., most banking revenues, wealth management and insurance fees) on a demand-
driven technology (i.e., mobile).
There are four ideal value spaces on the BRQ. Traditional Banking and Digital
Banking operate on output economies. Conscious Banking and Contextual Banking
excel on outcome economies. Traditional banks occupy the bottom-left corner
of the BRQ. Leaving this space means embracing digital innovation to change
business models, in order to compete on the intensity of information, and that of
communication. This way, innovative banks are settling on various points of the
BRQ quadrant, which is not a discrete space but a continuum indicating the direction
of transformations.
As banks increase their IQ, the level of user engagement grows through a new
consumption of data, banks abandon output economies for outcome economies as
they transform from linear businesses to platform models. Typically, the first step
is to enrich existing distribution channels with services to justify transactions, until
clients can pay transparently for the services they receive, knowing that products are
just the means to achieve a set of goals. The IQ intensity indicates the shift from the
distribution of products (i.e., outputs) towards designing, selling, and supporting user
journeys focused on client needs (i.e., outcomes).
As banks increase their CQ, cognitive innovation improves the effectiveness of
the distribution channels (e.g., hyper-personalised marketing) until user engagement
can be increased transparently by enabling clients to self-direct, restricting human
relationships to where and when they are most needed.
■ Conscious Banking: clients fulfil their financial, personal, and business goals
supported by digital access and enriched by human advice.
■ Contextual Banking: clients resolve a life (non-banking) problem faster and
better, thanks to frictionless and data-powered access to financial services.
5.6 CONCLUSIONS
This chapter discussed the new financial, economic, and digital normal emerging
in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis and accelerated by exponential
technologies. It introduced the Banking Reinvention Quadrant, which is a strategic
thought process for banks and fintech to succeed in such a complex landscape
dominated by platform economies. Using the compass of Financial Market Trans-
parency, the BRQ reinvents client engagement from distribution channels (i.e.,
outputs) to hyper-personalised relationships (i.e., outcomes). Only in this way can
the industry rebuild higher business value. To succeed, well-informed institutions
have to plan a coordinated change in information and communication to transform
architectures and business models. This is happening now, and cannot be sustainable
without a better understanding of the role that information asymmetries play in
financial services, which differs from other industries. Information asymmetries are
a double-edged sword in banking and financial markets. On one hand, they grant new
contenders the chance to compete on higher convenience and more transparency. On
the other hand, they are a barrier to entry, given clients’ difficulty in understanding
the difference between value and convenience when facing clever financial decisions.
Chapter 6 will address these hurdles.
108 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
■ The Global Financial Crisis signalled the end of an era of healthy margins,
positive interest rate drifts, and excessive risk taking. Repositioning bank
strategies in the new normal is the opportunity to transform with fintech
innovation and exponential technologies, enabling the final clients to take
centre stage.
■ The industry dispute about this necessary transformation cannot be
reduced to a debate about eliminating frictions in client experiences
operating inside linear models. Instead, the real core is the adjustment
of bank business models to comply – through technology – with the
prevailing economic conditions and adopt the emergence of platforms in
outcome economies.
■ Banks need to resolve the business and technical tensions between infor-
mation and communication on digital, which enables financial intermedi-
aries to exert market power. Information refers to core banking collection
and processing of “hard” data. Communication refers to the relevance of
relationships in shaping the way distribution channels currently work.
■ The Banking Reinvention Quadrant (BRQ) guides banks and fintech in
using the information and communication quotients towards higher busi-
ness value represented by Contextual Banking and Conscious Banking
platforms.
■ The communication quotient is the “business” axis, representing the inten-
sity of AI use to support the digital transformation of relationships.
■ The information quotient is the “technology” axis, representing the
transformation towards ecosystems and platform economies based on
open banking.
CHAPTER 6
Lessons Learned from
Fintech Innovation
The dogmas of the quiet past, are inadequate to the stormy present. The occa-
sion is piled high with difficulty, and we must rise – with the occasion. As our
case is new, so we must think anew, and act anew.
–– Abraham Lincoln, 16th President of the United States [1]
109
110 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
6.1 INTRODUCTION
The fintech ecosystem is a global community born around 2010 at the intersection
between exponential technologies and financial services to disintermediate brick-
and-mortar institutions. A panoply of start-ups has attempted to make inroads into
a traditional industry, transforming existing distribution channels of products and
services through mobile access. They have been competing with frictionless user
experiences and hyperpersonalised contextualisation. Nowadays, bed-and-breakfast
accommodation can be booked and paid without leaving a mobile app. Similarly, you
can buy a ticket for the Tube in London by using a smart phone instead of having a
physical ticket, tapping a credit card or fumbling in your pockets for spare change.
At the same time, what is spent can be rounded up to the dollar and the difference
invested automatically in a wealth management product.
According to CBS Insights [2], there are 16,000 fintechs worldwide, as of 2020.
By and large, they can be classified as neobanks, payments and processing, crypto
currencies, direct investing, robo-advisors, credit analytics, insurance, and lending
platforms. Fintech start-ups address further bank needs, in the attempt to make capital
markets more efficient, lower the burden of compliance processes, facilitate real estate
deals, streamline mortgage approvals, or reduce red tape. Between 2015 and 2020,
the top 250 companies raised almost $50 billion in aggregate funding over nearly 900
deals. Among the top 250, more than 50% were based in the US, 15% in the UK, and
8 in UK
38 in USA
3 in Germany 6 in China
2 in Japan and
South Korea
3 in Sweden
4 in India
3 in Brazil
2 in Australia
8% in India. Sixty-seven of them gained the unicorn status, valued above $1 billion as
per latest funding rounds (Figure 6.1). Not only start-ups, but also technology giants
entered the competition like Alibaba, Google, Apple, and Amazon.
Notwithstanding the fast-growing user bases in many jurisdictions, the Business-
to-Consumer landscape proved extremely difficult for many start-ups. Facing the
hurdles to acquire clients at convenient prices, and the difficulties in monetising, the
fintech ecosystem largely morphed into a Business-to-Business (B2B) or Business-
to-Business-to-Consumer (B2B2C) marketplace. Yet, financial institutions were
substantially unprepared to onboard innovation beyond flattering proof-of-concept
discussions, with the lack of a clear vision about how to transform business models
on outcome economies. Turrin [3] reminds us that digital transformation programmes
did not always deliver on their promises, with few exceptions. Many innovation
labs looked more like “innovation theatres”, scouting for ideas without sufficient
understanding of how to integrate innovation, and lacking board-level commitment
to change the bank inside out. Essentially, the mindset of most banks remained
anchored to the linearity of the industry archetypes, and fintech ended up aspiring to
integrate a growing proportion of these linear models. Unfortunately, the attempts to
digitise existing distribution channels without recognising the non-linear foundations
of outcome economies in transparent financial markets did not permit – by and
large – the unlocking of sufficient value through technology, compared to the real
fintech potential.
Nowadays, the fintech ecosystem seems to have realised that a few faulty
assumptions constrained innovation into a narrow space, and they must be revised in
order to break out from the lower value spaces of the BRQ. They correspond to three
buzzwords and lessons learned: disruption, digital, and unbundling. First, disruptive
innovation is fascinating but what really matters is the way out of disruption into
more sustainable innovation. Second, the digital adaptation of users is accelerating
but there is a gap between how clients access mobile technology and how they
expect to consume financial services (i.e., the “pull-push” motivational gap). Third,
unbundling banking capabilities is a necessary precondition for success in digital but
business value can only be generated by knowing how to rebundle financial services
on banking and non-banking platforms, competing on outcome economies.
regulations and higher costs of capital (e.g., Volcker’s rules in the US, MiFID II in
the EU, RDR in the UK), banks’ appetite for financial innovation waned. In essence,
the demand side of the industry supply-chain saturated, guided by regulation.
Nowadays, financial products have been significantly simplified. The pro-
cess of simplification and commoditisation triggered a progressive reduction in
profit-making, in the lack of financial engineering to justify higher fees. For example,
over-the-counter (OTC) derivative markets were subject to significant change due
to the regulators’ requests for clear standardised OTC derivatives through central
counterparties, subjecting all derivatives which cannot be cleared to bilateral margin
arrangements, strengthened operational risk frameworks and increased capital
requirements. These changes were intended to increase transparency for the regu-
lators and the market participants, and reduce systemic risk of market operations.
Deloitte [8] estimated that the European Market Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR),
enacted in 2013, increased the costs for non-centrally cleared OTC derivatives
transactions more than twelve times the equivalent for centrally cleared OTC
derivatives (Table 6.1). These cost increases led the banks to review the products
they offered and withdraw from certain asset classes that were deemed to be too
costly. The continuous erosion of intermediation margins launched a widespread
industry debate on the definition of value-generation for clients, as in Ravezzi and
Sironi [9].
Lessons Learned from Fintech Innovation 115
first fintech start-ups to be launched. John Stein founded Betterment in 2008, which
manages $22 billion as of 2020. Andy Rachleff founded the WealthFront in 2009,
which manages $21 billion as of 2020. The author of this book founded CAPITECTS
in 2008, centred around the Probabilistic Scenario Optimisation method, as in Sironi
[10], providing a B2B service of investment-analytics, then it was acquired by IBM
in 2012. Nowadays, the market share of US-based robo-advisors is 75% dominated
by big firms: Vanguard Personal Advisors Services leads with $161 billion of AUM,
followed by Schwab Intelligent Portfolio with $41 billion. The question on every-
one’s lips is: are robo-advisors any better than personal conversations with a financial
advisor, a private banker, or a bank official in a branch? Honestly, this question is
misleading. Robo-advisors are better in some respects and worse in others. They can
improve the user experience, at a fraction of the cost requested by traditional advi-
sory firms. On the contrary, they might lag on post-trading relationships, and they
might not truly differentiate in terms of investment products as model portfolios are
fairly commoditised solutions. The core of the story is that only when, and if, final
investors stop understanding the value proposition of traditional offers, will they then
be willing to flock en masse to robo-advisors. And this has not happened yet, also
due to the configuration of regulations and business practices.
Reflecting on the history of music technology, today Apple’s dependence on iPod
sales for revenue is very limited, as Cupertino entered a new wave of sustaining inno-
vation to release higher margin services and devices, such as iPads and then iPhones
until the launch of the Apple M1 processors in 2020, fostering convergence between
desktops and mobile technology (Figure 6.4).
As Clayton Christensen states [4–6], disruption is not the goal and it cannot
become the status quo. Disruption is the starting point of a new journey of sus-
taining innovation for any company wishing to emerge out of disruption, leading
to a world of new sustainable margins. Apple managed to disrupt the Hi-Fi industry
when the industry was at its peak in terms of client acceptance and quality, it created a
new family of consumers who were previously unaware of the possibility offered by
different processes for the consumption of music, yet with lower quality. It then built
a platform to engage a large ecosystem around this disrupted marketplace to climb
up again the ladder of sustaining innovation, and enter the Wall Street hall of fame as
the first company to reach a market capitalisation of $1 trillion.
US
ROBO-ADVISORS
NORTH AMERICA
WEALTH MANAGEMENT MARKET
not only due to the biological unveiling of information asymmetries, that reduces
the perception of value outside established and trusted relationships. It is also due to
protectionist practices that might prevent existing relationship managers to pitch for
clients when changing firms. For example, a few relevant US financial institutions
have left in recent years the 2004 “Broker Protocol” for broker recruiting, which is
an intra-industry agreement allowing advisors some leeway in taking client data with
them when they change firms.
Financial institutions would not want to corner themselves into lower-income
shops, yet this is what is happening. The question is how banks can learn to tier their
offers and serve a differentiated clientele with a variety of business models, all under-
pinned by digital enablement. Goldman Sachs provides an interesting example. The
US investment bank established a private wealth management division in the 1970s,
to serve ultra high net worth clients. In the late 1980s, Goldman Sachs also branched
into asset management to serve a growing market of pension funds and mutual funds.
With the arrival of David Solomon, who became CEO in 2018, Goldman Sachs started
making inroads into the lower segments of the clientele, launching a robo-advisor in
2021 to target the retail market. At the same time, it acquired United Capital in 2019
to offer a hybrid model of financial planning for a more demanding affluent clientele.
In essence, the value of technology mixes with the value of human relationships,
and morphs around the complexity of a differentiated and never standardised
clientele.
More than in any other industry, banks and fintech need to possess a clear vision
about what is next in sustaining innovation. It will not be enough to attempt to disrupt
Lessons Learned from Fintech Innovation 119
The banking industry goes back ages and has changed surprisingly little over the
years. While computerisation and, more recently, digitalisation, have transformed
the way transactions are processed and solutions are delivered, the needs of the
consumer remain fundamentally the same – help me save and invest, provide
me access to funds for larger purchases, and find me ways to make money, and
reduce costs along the journey. However, recent innovations have affected consumer
expectations on how and when they want solutions delivered. This corresponds
to the growing desire for frictionless access to their own money, instant payment
mechanisms, real-time insights into financial bets, and proactive advice. Despite the
fact that the incumbents lagged behind in user experience, fintech was able to besiege
the established banks but not yet conquer them. Client stickiness was revealed to be
stronger than expected. Why is that? The answer lies in the existence of a “pull-push”
motivational gap.
120 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
offer-driven
INSURE
INVEST
consumption model
PUSH
PULL
BORROW
PAY
demand-driven
algorithm (they are more easily “pushed”, as they are more offer-framed). Pull-driven
marketplaces mean that users access digital with a purpose, like searching for a
specific product on Alibaba. However, very few households would Google for the
next investment fund or insurance policy. Instead, they would ask a friend, a banker,
or an advisor to give a recommendation. The biological unveiling of the information
asymmetry explains the anthropological source of the “pull-push” motivational gap,
reducing the ability to use information to close the gap, due to the lack of trusted
relationships.
One of the mantras in fintech ecosystems has been the idea that start-ups are capable
of breaking banks by unbundling their services into leaner offers and more attractive
experiences. The author of this book has been advising start-ups and banks world-
wide on all issues related to digital business models and financial technology. He has
often highlighted that nobody can break a bank, for the simple reason that “banks are
already broken”.
When the author was a young student in early 1990s, he went to his bank
and asked for a credit card. He spoke to a banker in a branch and filled in a set
of Know-Your-Customer (KYC) forms. Years later, he was working in investment
banking and he went back to his bank branch to apply for a mortgage. He met a real
estate specialist and filled in a set of KYC forms. As he decided to found a start-up,
he visited his bank branch again, to ask for a loan. Given the multiple credit requests,
he was assessed by the chief lending officer, and filled in more KYC forms. Soon
after becoming an established professional, he met a private banker to invest some
money and was asked to fill in more KYC forms. Yet, the bank was always the
same bank.
Unfortunately, traditional banks tend to operate as different and separate busi-
ness units under the same brand and licensed umbrella. Client data is often saved
in duplicated and hard-to-reconcile databases, with reduced data portability from
one business function to another business function. This is one of the most com-
plex aspects of the existing core banking. Banks created technical architectures which
were not client-centric but business-centric, disseminating relevant client data inside
different data silos. Instead, digital transformation on outcome economies necessi-
tates abandoning the product centricity in every aspect of financial intermediation,
impacting the way different lines of business are remunerated, the way regulation is
enforced across industry segments and asset classes, the way business architectures
are redesigned on cloud platforms.
Typically, banks are organised like distribution channels of products. Their
financial offers target the typical needs of a segmented clientele with investment
products, treasury facilities, payment mechanisms, or life insurance contracts. These
client segments are “owned” by well-identified business units, such as retail banking,
private banking, and corporate banking. However, successful entrepreneurs are
simultaneously the clients of a corporate banker – for their business needs – and
the clients of a private banker – for their investment needs. Their needs overlap,
124 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
influence, and constrain each other in their personal financial equation, and that of
their families. Unfortunately, fintech ecosystems started morphing themselves in the
narrow business organisation of banks. People talk about pay-tech when thinking of
instant payments and digital wallets, wealth-tech when thinking of robo-advisors,
credit-tech when reviewing P2P marketplaces. Instead, innovators should only talk
about client-tech, or better still, human-tech, if they want to master the shift from
output economies, which are product-oriented, towards outcome economies, which
are client-oriented. They should discuss the emergence of human-centric platforms
operating with Contextual Banking and Conscious Banking perspectives. Human
centricity integrates the client-centric perspective, because of the motivational
aspects that characterise human relationships with money and finance. This will
resolve the incomplete expectations of “data-driven banking” and redesign business
logic, anchoring it to more robust approaches based on “data-enabling clients”.
Saving
Borrowing
Investing
Insuring
Earning Spending
Retiring
Donating
People work long hours and use traditional or digital tools to pay bills, for food,
and entertainment throughout the week. At the end of each month, what is not con-
sumed is saved. Savings can be used to invest in financial markets. Money can be
borrowed to buy a house. Retirement plans can be implemented, and extra wealth
can be donated to charities and environmental causes or transferred to future gener-
ations. The equation is fairly simple, if not for the fact that people might not have
all the money needed to optimise each bucket. Their preferences do not stay con-
stant over time, but change according to personal events (e.g., a new baby, health
conditions), social events (e.g., a pandemic), economic and financial conditions (e.g.,
collapse of financial markets, negative interest rates). Decisions have to be made, cer-
tainly not daily but throughout the year. Moreover, most people’s life is on the left
side of the equation, working and accessing payment methods for daily consumption.
As a matter of fact, this is where most of the core engagement of Contextual Bank-
ing can be found. Instead, most of the fintech offers and most asymmetrical banking
offers seem to reside on the right side of the equation. People are invited periodically,
not continuously, to ponder on them and interact. Such a “discreet” need for bank-
ing services makes banking engagement more complex to build than when clients
are engaged on non-banking platforms, like social media. Payments are somewhat in
between banking and non-banking.
Therefore, the key issue is to create fintech solutions that, using a hybrid of digital
technology and analog interactions, allow higher engagement with clients through-
out their life cycles, making their life journeys more convenient, in terms of accessing
services, making financial decisions, planning for the future. The real revolution is
to learn how to leverage artificial intelligence to digitise knowledge and increase
clients’ abilities to make difficult financial decisions, and price it as a service.
This is consistent with the idea that financial service organisations should contextu-
alise inside other non-banking industries, or turn themselves into holistic cognitive
platforms that allow the rebuilding of lost trust through a fiduciary relationship.
The main lesson we can take from the dot.com saga, and the amazing experiences
of the Chinese bigtech firms, is that only platforms win in digital economies in the
long term. Facebook is a platform for personal life, LinkedIn for business, Amazon for
shopping, Twitter for expressing and sharing. WeChat seems to become a “super app”,
that is the platform of all platforms. But, where is the platform for a user’s financial
life? Becoming a platform with real financial services innovation means attempting
to bundle clearly into a holistic and transparent advisory engagement all the existing
and “already broken” financial services, without the mix of complex cross-selling
attempts at flogging products, around a centricity which is built on human needs (and
their data).
Focusing on the left side of the financial equation, Contextual Banking strategies
emerge, as non-banking experiences underpinned by suitable Banking-as-a-Service
platforms that call in embedded financial services from the right side to create seam-
less experiences.
126 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
Focusing on the right side of the financial equation, Conscious Banking strate-
gies emerge, underpinned by a suitable Banking-as-a-Platform business architec-
ture that transparently provides planning capabilities to individuals and enterprises,
calling in life events from the left side to identify and organise goals, needs, and
opportunities.
multiple banking offers into bundled solutions, servicing the financial needs of
families, or those of small and medium-sized enterprises. Challenger banks have
progressively developed their business models from pure current accounts or digital
payments to SME services or advice-based solutions. The key driver for success
resides in learning how to generate client “motivation to act” in consuming digital
services, enhancing client engagement after they are onboarded. Understanding the
engagement element is business-critical and precedes any data-driven aspects to
define the layout of the banking platform. Engagement is primarily built on trust,
thus on exclusivity. Instead, most user experiences are usually built on frictionless
convenience. Convenience is fundamental to success in the short term but can
commoditise very fast in the medium to long term. The reason for this tension
between engagement and experience is that individual clients consume asymmetrical
financial offers (e.g., loans) with lower frequency compared to symmetrical ones
(e.g., payments). This reduced interaction limits the capability of digital banking to
generate network effects due to the lack of an engagement anchor to deeper user
motivations. Contextual Banking and Conscious Banking platform strategies are
essential to meet and leverage user motivation, thus breaking out from the lower
value spaces of the BRQ, which are limited to unsustainable output economies.
They are not plug-and-play but require the adoption of new business architectures
underpinned by innovative operating models, and a substantial reskilling of the
workforce capable of increasing the information and communication quotients with
exponential technologies.
Two business architectures are emerging. They correspond to Banking-as-a-
Service (BaaS) and Banking-as-a-Platform (BaaP). BaaS allows banks and fintech
to be invisible, unbundling their capabilities to be contextualised inside third-party
user experiences, and generating value by removing frictions in user journeys.
BaaP allows banks and fintech to remain visible, and rebundle internal and external
capabilities to generate added-value relationships. BaaS and BaaP coexist within the
same operating model, being two faces of the same moon that integrates business
and technology postures. They allow cloud-native development experiences to
focus on speed to execute more than cost to manage business, thus achieving the
speed to design, test, and deploy new business models and solutions that attempt
to address the “push-pull” motivational gap on platform economies. They allow
fast modification and rectification of digital processes, based on instant information
and insights about client behaviour across the ecosystems of users. Clearly, speed
requires trust as lack of confidence generates attrition. This is the reason why banks
and fintech can unbundle and rebundle their capabilities to generate sustainable
innovation on platform economies only if they, and their clients, have full trust
in the use of data and analytics. This is the reason why transparency about data
sources, AI insights, stakeholder incentives, costs for clients, and consequences for
128 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
Banking-as-a-Service Banking-as-a-Platform
Business
• capabilities are unbundled • capabilities are re-bundled
Architecture
• interactions are borderless • borders are open and controlled
the ecosystem is the foundational principle for business and technology to optimise
speed in digital transformations (Figure 6.8). Essentially:
6.5 CONCLUSIONS
If you can embrace agile setups, experiments, and constantly nurture a learning
culture, then you become adaptive and nimble, which means you can respond
a lot more quickly to opportunity and changes in the environment.
–– Piyush Gupta [1]
7.1 INTRODUCTION
Financial institutions have always been front-runners of spending on enterprise IT,
and they are still investing heavily in exponential technologies. As digital platforms
dramatically reshape many industries, most banks are pursuing large-scale change
efforts to capture the benefits of these trends, or simply to keep up with competitors.
However, it is no longer sufficient to adjust decades-old legacy systems. Technol-
ogy leaders should embrace “first principles” in design thinking, as in King [2], to
force a radical transformation and build new business architectures that can leverage
exponential technologies to foster value-generating interactions on open ecosystems.
Change is hard, and digital changes are even harder. A McKinsey cross-industry
survey [3] highlights that only 16% of respondents say their organisation’s digital
transformations have successfully improved performance, and also equipped them
131
132 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
to sustain changes in the long term. According to Accenture [4], global retail and
commercial banks spent approximately $1 trillion between 2015 and 2018 attempt-
ing to transform their infrastructure, with a large proportion of that spend dedicated
to enabling technologies such as cloud and AI. However, most of these efforts did not
deliver enough change for established institutions to reclaim the top spot. Essentially,
the core drivers by which financial institutions exert market power in the intermedi-
ation with clients were not fully understood, both on digital as well as in analog
relationships (i.e., information and communication). Therefore, the industry could
not consciously direct investments in information (i.e., core banking transformation)
and communication (i.e., new relationships and interfaces) to rewire the intermedia-
tion with clients on platform economies. Most banks and fintech remained confined
to the lower value spaces of the Banking Reinvention Quadrant.
This chapter focuses on the other internal and external factors that can assist
well-informed bankers and fintech entrepreneurs to attain higher business value on
platform economies. These factors depend on the vibrant nature of the business envi-
ronment, or the amount of red tape. They can be a function of the maturity of the
digital infrastructure, or the level of digital adoption in the customer base and the
wider society. They can reflect the regulatory context, enabling or constraining inno-
vation. They refer to the culture of the firm and the style of management, which both
play a significant role. In particular, the level of digital savviness in executive mem-
bers’ curricula is a critical success factor. According to Weill, Woerner, and Shah [5],
large enterprises where more than half the executive members had a clear under-
standing of the impact that emerging technologies could have on business success
over the next decade (developed through experience and education) outperformed
comparable companies without such curricula by more than 48%, based on revenue
growth and valuation. One of the key elements of success is the ongoing sharing of
this understanding across the entire management team. The challenge is that there
is a significant gap between supply and demand for digitally savvy leaders, which
seems to be particularly wide in banking. The study reveals that only 12% of top
team members in financial services are sufficiently digitally savvy.
such as online offers). Yet, in an accelerating digital world, customers might not
truly differentiate among these “linear” improvements, which do not necessarily
result in higher personalisations and frictionless consumption.
■ Uniqueness of resources corresponds to a competitive hedge (e.g., a portfolio
of better customers, broader risk diversification on the balance sheets, access
to more information, or richness of the product catalogues). Once more, while
banks might benefit, customers would not truly perceive the value, and would
not reward larger banks’ capability to take on many different services, compared
to local and smaller providers, especially facing the compelling proposition of
bigtech platforms.
Melnick, Nayyar, Pinedo, and Seshadri [6] already reflected on the need for a
richer organisational focus, more centred on customers to anticipate, discern, and
respond to their needs in a way that could be unique and difficult to imitate. Their
work formalised the emerging mindset shift towards customer-focused processes,
and the corresponding tension between internal efficiency goals and flexibility of
front-end design. They anticipated the corresponding tensions between information
and communication in financial services. However, their work was still confined to
linear value chains operating in output economies. As such, they restricted the anal-
ysis to a closed business environment made up of four endogenous factors that must
be carefully designed to create customer-focused value: strategies, services, systems,
and measure of success.
Instead, outcome economies need to gain a broader vision of corporate strategies
and a clear understanding of the changing exogenous conditions which are acceler-
ating due to the digital transformation in client habits. This invites a revision of both
internal and external leading factors (Figure 7.1).
DIGITAL
INFRASTRUCTURE
DIGITAL
SOCIETY
EFFECTIVE
VISION WAYS OF
WORKING AND
DIGITAL
COLLABORATING
ECOSYSTEM
LEADING CUSTOMER-
FOCUSED
EXTERNAL BUSINESS
FACTORS ARCHITECTURE
LEADING
INTERNAL
FACTORS
REGULATION
FIGURE 7.1 Internal and external leading factors for digital transformation
■ New ways of working and collaborating allow operating model agility, workforce
interaction with intelligent automation, and secure and effective remote working
whenever necessary to give a better work-life balance.
■ A transparent and collaborative culture is underpinned by transparent interac-
tions and data sharing, within the organisation and across the ecosystems of
reference.
■ A cloud-based business architecture oriented to client engagement enables
Banking-as-a-Service and Banking-as-a-Platform models to leverage trusted
open data and AI at scale, powering non-linear business models and transporting
banks and fintech from output to outcome economies.
Chinese
population 829M 817M 583M
1.4 B 60% 58% 42%
US
293M 268M 62M
population
89% 81% 81%
329 M
individual clients. Digital payments are key to creating branding, trust, and engage-
ment. Higher levels of acceptance of digital payments should pave the way for faster
adaptation to more fintech offers. Here, China is again leading the way. While in
2019, the counter value of US mobile payments reached $160 billion, in the same
year, people in mainland China spent almost $40 trillion through mobile technology.
The 2020 pandemic outbreak accelerated the digital adaptation in the western world,
which is still playing catch-up.
Typically, younger populations in developed and developing countries exhibit
higher levels of digital literacy, which should correspond to faster adaptation to fin-
tech offers. However, this expectation could be mitigated by other elements, such
as lower available income and biologically anchored information asymmetries. The
recent history of robo-advisors reveals that they attract a wealthier and older popula-
tion compared to the cohort of millennials they were originally aimed to target.
Also, the digitisation of identities should remove frictions in the creation of a
digital society that interacts with fintech offers. The Indian UIDAI’s Aadhaar identity
project is a massive repository of the biometric, residential, and banking data of Indian
citizens, granting a digital proof of residence to almost 90% of a 1.3 billion population
in 2020. Aadhaar-based payment solutions can prove to be a way to connect excluded
segments of society in the realm of digital banking and financial services.
new solutions in partnership. Clearly, for a seller to sell, there has to be a buyer who
buys. A large number of fintech are Business-to-Business players, and their ambitions
have to correspond to a financial services sector that already proves itself histor-
ically capable of embracing new technologies. In this regard, stronger and larger
digital ecosystems tend to attract and increase know-how, facilitating up-skilling and
reskilling of the financial services workforce. At the same time, consumers’ inertia
might prove hard to shake in well-served and established markets, making underde-
veloped jurisdictions potentially more adaptive to fintech innovation, compared to
developed financial centres.
7.3.5 Regulation
Overall, international regulators are progressively taking an approach based on
controlled experimentation, promoting sandboxes and standards to protect con-
sumers like the European PSD2 and Open Banking in the UK. As a matter of
fact, digital-oriented regulation can be a competitive factor across jurisdictions.
Financial services tend to exhibit high levels of spatial concentration. According to
Palmberg and Palmberg [10], their high degree of spatial concentration emphasises
the importance of local embeddedness, networks, face-to-face communication,
knowledge spillovers, and spatial proximity for the organisation of the industry.
Yet, the digitisation process is transforming the talent landscape and the possibility
for a modern workforce to work from anywhere, reducing the power of major
financial centres, such as the City of London and Wall Street. Financial innovation
138 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
(e.g., structuring of products) is leading the way to fintech innovation (e.g., enable-
ment in technology), offering progressive jurisdictions the chance to increase their
competitive stance. In particular, the Monetary Authority of Singapore has been
extremely proactive in fostering a regulated and collaborative environment that
promotes fintech innovation, education, and know-how, as well as an opening for
the application programming interface (API) economy and digital banking. Other
countries initially took a more open approach, only clamping down when they saw
fraud emerging or consumer protection issues, as happened in China.
Overall, the way a firm’s regulatory posture, leadership, culture, and techni-
cal capabilities are defined is what makes the real difference for banks and fintech
competing on platform economies, facing enabling or disabling factors in their juris-
dictions and across markets.
The shift from outputs to outcome economies transforms the concept of client centric-
ity. The client is not the centre of an insights-driven distribution channel of products,
in which hyper-personalisation tends to maximise marketing value and not neces-
sarily transparent value for clients. Instead, clients must be the core beneficiaries of
business value on platform economies. This can only create positive network effects
that can be rewarded in a positive feedback loop that generates competitive advan-
tages. The competitive digital culture of innovative banks and fintech needs to stay
constantly open to continuously nurture new business models and ideas. A digital
culture and strategic know-how must turn into enabling business architectures, which
balance the continuous tension between business leadership and technical leadership
that must act as one. Ultimately, they are one on digital platforms.
explicability at the core of any digital interactions to generate trust, which is the most
important currency exchanged in financial services. For banks and fintech to succeed
in the platform economy, their digital leaders have to be effective, transparent, open
and innovative, customer-focused, and purposeful.
■ Effective leadership gets the scope of the business right and learns how to com-
municate strategic ideas about the company’s future, market challenges, and a
common mission shared with the workforce. Leaders must communicate a story
which is about everybody’s journey towards new business models that strive
continuously to generate higher business value, building a timeline that is both
ambitious and meaningful.
■ Purposeful leadership seeds the terrain of a cultural mindset that keeps all stake-
holders engaged to act as a team, anchoring corporate action to ethical behaviour.
Leading with purpose anticipates regulation and mitigates compliance concerns,
as it anchors corporate behaviour to a well-balanced act that protects clients’
interest and that of the ecosystem (e.g., ESG sustainability), while rewarding
shareholders with sustainable returns.
■ Collaborative leadership allows organisations to overcome their fear of change.
New ways of working accelerate business transformation when information and,
in particular, data are readily and transparently accessible, both internally and
externally, with security and minimum friction. On platform economies, the com-
mon corporate goal of otherwise divided business units is no longer about selling
or cross-selling outputs, but creating integrated outcomes for clients, based on
frictionless and hyper-personalised experiences and interfaces.
■ Open and innovative leadership emphasises innovation as a state of mind,
enforcing tolerance for failure and constant onboarding of new ideas. It is culture
made into practice that allows innovative firms to thrive.
■ Customer-focused business and technical leadership merges business and
technology visions to capture growth and opportunities from the strategic
deployment of exponential technologies. Designing a competitive governance
framework that places the client at the centre of corporate action requires trans-
parency, robustness, and explicability in all technical and business processes.
This is the foundation of open and secured business architectures operating on
hybrid cloud platforms and infuses internal and external trust in the use of data
and insights.
BUSINESS
TECHNOLOGY
Technology is often about efficiency and costs, business is usually about higher
growth. Nowadays, it is clear that digital success is underpinned by a compelling
business vision as much as an open architecture that is jointly secure and flexible,
which adapts in a continuous process of business and technical “evolve-ability”.
Facing the fourth industrial revolution, business strategy is about technology, and
exponential technologies is about new business models to unlock value. The two
visions should merge into one (Figure 7.3) or at least, in complex organisations, find
a fruitful balance.
It is the symbiosis between business and technical leadership that allows a
break-out, trusting the transformation from closed operations to open finance (i.e.,
open and secured cloud-based ecosystem interactions), from product channels to
intelligent communication with clients (i.e., leveraging trusted open data with AI at
scale), from output-centric business models to outcome-driven client engagement
(i.e., evolving from linear business models to platform strategies).
7.5 CONCLUSIONS
Banks and fintech must overcome similar hurdles to succeed in the platform
economies, facing a complex shift from outputs to outcomes and intensifying com-
petition from bigtech platforms. The entrepreneurial mindset of CEOs, CIOs, and all
decision-makers is key to promoting a transformed culture. “First principles” design
thinking should guide organisations to leverage new business architectures and
exponential technologies towards higher business value on the Banking Reinvention
Quadrant. Understanding the business environment, and the evolving regulatory
framework, will position and competitively leverage the emerging platform strategies
of Contextual Banking and Conscious Banking. They are presented in Part III of
this book.
Competitive Factors for the Future of Banks 141
Part Three presents the emerging platform strategies of Contextual Banking and
Conscious Banking.
First, the opportunity to eliminate frictions from client journeys makes banking
contextual. Contextual Banking is a volume-based platform strategy centered on
“information” that makes banking invisible to reveal new value in the orchestration
of banking and non-banking ecosystems.
Second, the high-level complexity in information management that characterises
Contextual Banking is linked to the theory and principles of Financial Market
Transparency. FMT indicates how to make architectural uncertainty endogenous to
the open finance infrastructure, and achieve system antifragility. Similarly, the high
level of complexity in communication that characterises Conscious Banking is also
linked to the theory and principles of Financial Market Transparency. FMT indicates
how to unveil hidden value in banking relationships by resetting our understanding
of how financial intermediation really works, and the implication for the antifragility
of both micro- and macro-levels.
Third, Conscious Banking emerges as a value-based platform strategy centered
on “communication” that allows banks and fintech to remain visible in front of clients,
knowing that client fees are progressively dominating the revenue mechanisms while
product fees are squeezed in a race to zero prices.
145
CHAPTER 8
Contextual Banking
Friction will be the biggest killer of bank revenue in the next 10 years.
—Brett King [1]
O pen banking and open finance frameworks underpin one of the deepest shifts
in bank business models through technology, pushing advance institutions and
innovators to embrace platform economies with Contextual Banking strategies. On
one hand, bigtech firms are progressively contextualising financial services inside
non-banking ecosystems. They primarily need to add value to core platform interac-
tions to fend off competition and continue to grow. The opportunity to make financial
services frictionless leads to making them contextual. On the other hand, providers of
financial services are also chipping away at platform economies. Cloud-native pay-
ment providers are moving swiftly, competing with banks and bigtech or focusing
on specific segments of non-banking industries. Incumbent banks are also making
inroads into other industry journeys, despite cultural and regulatory constraints. They
need new business architectures that synergise security and resilience with openness
and flexibility. Platforms are continuously developing non-linear businesses, which
demand a radical change in mindsets from both business owners and IT departments.
8.1 INTRODUCTION
Digital platforms are blurring the boundaries between industries, enabling captive
user experiences in a process of progressive hyper-contextualisation that integrates
the multifaceted needs of clients. Financial services are also affected. Client interest
gravitates increasingly towards non-banking digital offers, which eliminate engage-
ment frictions, embedding components of financial intermediation. For banks to be
147
148 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
conquered, new contenders do not have to become banks or act in the same way.
The biggest erosion of incumbents’ market power stems from the contextualisation
of financial services inside other user journeys. Ultimately, people do not buy a
mortgage, they need a mortgage to buy a house. People do not buy a credit card,
they need a credit card to make payments. Financial services are a means, not
a destination. Together with technology, they enable clients to fulfil, or attempt
to reach, personal and business objectives that pertain to non-banking domains.
Detaching financial services from a human-centric and goal-oriented perspective
is bound to create systemic distortions in the generation of value, as epitomised
by the Global Financial Crisis that boxed financial institutions inside a low-margin
value space. Banks largely lost sight of their mission to serve clients, and took
centre stage in business relationships through a continuous process of optimisation
of their distribution channels of financial products. Many fintech also embraced a
faulty perspective, fusing client-centricity with hyper-personalised marketing offers,
remaining confined in the lower-left space of the Banking Reinvention Quadrant
made up of Traditional Banking and Digital Banking strategies (as defined in this
book according to the linearity of their business models and operations).
Banks and fintech can break out through exponential technologies, shifting
the business focus from output to outcome economies. There are two development
paths ahead. One is Conscious Banking, which unlocks hidden value by augmenting
clients’ ability to make well-informed financial decisions. The other is Contex-
tual Banking, which unlocks new value by eliminating frictions in non-banking
ecosystems to win on convenience, making financial offers consumable right at
the point and moment of decision. Conscious Banking and Contextual Banking
are complementary and not mutually exclusive. They share technological elements
through Banking-as-a-Service and Banking-as-a-Platform architectures, and related
operating models. Yet, they correspond to very different business strategies because
of the different mix and intensity of the information quotient and the communication
quotient (Figure 8.1).
The process of contextualisation into external user journeys is inscribed in the
growing tension between the evolving role of information (i.e., core banking) and
the emerging power of communication (i.e., interfaces). Core banking infrastructure
and related information-based services have become a high-cost low-margin utility.
Today’s information-based operation models, characterising traditional banking and
digital banking, are no longer sustainable when faced with the complex relation-
ship between costs and revenues. New business architectures are needed to break out
and operationalise outcome-oriented business models at a fraction of existing costs.
This implies opening data borders securely, extending the use of client information
and accessing alternative data points to augment client insights. The architecture of
incumbent institutions is characterised by data silos, which emerged over time as
banks expanded their business focus into adjacent financial services and progressively
optimised product-driven value chains. The distinction along lines of businesses pro-
moting different products to overlapping client sets generated the multiplication of
Contextual Banking 149
HIGHER
BUSINESS
VALUE
CONTEXTUAL
ECOSYSTEM
BANKING
OUTCOME
OPEN
INFORMATION QUOTIENT (IQ)
PLATFORMS
ECOSYSTEM
CLOSED
CONSCIOUS
BANKING
DIGITAL
OUTPUT
PRODUCTS
SERVICES
TRADITIONAL
data architectures, in which client data is contained inside product silos in order to
make linear match-making more efficient. Although effective in a product-driven
vertical environment, this leads to a high level of inefficiencies and ineffectiveness
on client-driven horizontal environments, making monolithic core banking largely
incompatible with the necessary agility to succeed on platform economies reorganis-
ing and following client journeys holistically. Therefore, when financial institutions
migrate their business architectures from monolithic environments to hybrid cloud
platforms, they must blur the business and technical lines across products and across
clients (Figure 8.2).
This core banking transformation corresponds to an upward and rightward shift
on the BRQ. Increasing the information quotient (IQ) means the creation of an open
banking framework in which data is shared promptly and securely. This is a pre-
condition to fruitful participation in any platform-based ecosystems. Increasing the
communication quotient (CQ) means deploying AI at scale, not only to attain higher
operational efficiency but also to win the race of hyper-personalisation. Essentially,
Contextual Banking allows financial institutions to unlock new value on core
banking utilities and compete head-to-head with cloud-native firms monetising
on entire ecosystems instead of low-margin transactions.
150 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
Client continuum
Client journeys
OUTCOME ECONOMIES
BaaP Brands
Conscious Contextual
Banking Banking
BaaS
Financial Institution
OUTPUT ECONOMIES
Cloud continuum
MONOLITHIC SYSTEM OF
OPEN ARCHITECTURE
RECORDS, INSIGHTS, ENGAGEMENT
Banks are institutions operating under a banking licence that authorises them to col-
lect funding from clients (e.g., deposits) and transform short-term liabilities into
credit exposures on longer maturities (e.g., loans, mortgages, and letters of credit).
As regulated entities, they need to fulfil a set of requirements that span from know
your customer (KYC) obligations and anti-money laundering (AML) verification to
the measurement and management of adverse selection risks to meet capital ade-
quacy standards. They also provide intermediation services like payments, trading
execution, investment management, or insurance. Operations have always been con-
figured inside output economies as linear distribution channels of products. Banking
channels are increasingly challenged by digital platforms. Products and services can
be standardised and unbundled into micro-services, or containerised utilities. They
can be digitally embedded into external contexts made up of non-banking ecosystem
interactions (as represented in Figure 8.3).
This increased level of openness is changing the competitive landscape. On
one hand, external contenders are moving from the outside in (from right to left,
in Figure 8.3). They are embedding financial services inside the digital life of
customers, connecting with “banking needs” while banks become invisible. This is
what banking contenders like Ant Financial and Amazon progressively do. On the
other hand, banks can proactively orchestrate non-banking ecosystems in the attempt
CONTENDERS
BUSINESS
MODEL
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS CHANGE
BANKING
LICENCE INSURANCE CREDIT BEHAVIOURAL
ACCOUNT KYC REAL ESTATE EDUCATION
CONTRACTS SCORING ANALYTICS
PAYMENT RISK
MORTGAGES PAYMENTS LOAN MGMT HEALTH CARE TRAVEL
PROCESSING ANALYTICS
field to harmonise consumer protection and the rights and obligations for payment
providers, paving the way for banks to adopt data-sharing technical standards to
increase pan-European competition, also from non-banks. In response to Brussels’
requirements, originally released in 2015, the Competition and Markets Authority
(CMA) ran an investigation into the UK retail banking market. The resulting report
concluded that incumbent banks were operating in an oligopolist market, and that
customers deserved secured options to compare the deals they were getting from
their banks. Consequently, the CMA ruled in 2016 that banks had to open their appli-
cation programming interfaces (APIs) and grant third parties access to customers’
bank account data to either collect transaction information or to make payments
(Figure 8.4). Essentially, banks were asked to start “opening the framework” to
favour healthy competition and enable customers to receive new financial services
and products from regulated third-party providers which had to onboard users’ data
safely and promptly, without having to reveal login details. Customers would always
be in control of what transaction data they chose to allow access to, and they would
be free to stop access to their information at any time. Pragmatically, the CMA set
up the Open Banking Ltd as a private body funded by the UK’s nine largest current
account providers, and tasked with delivering the APIs, data structures and security
architectures that would allow customers to share their financial records. In essence,
open banking is the UK version of the PSD2. While the introduction of open banking
standards only applies locally to the nine largest banks in UK, the rollout of PSD2
affects all payment account providers operating within EU borders.
Nowadays, “open banking” has become synonymous with safe and secure
data-driven interactions between banks and any third-party service providers. As
data-driven interactions started encompassing broader datasets, beyond account
and payment information, regulators and market participants started using the term
“open finance”. Open finance includes wealth management, investment manage-
ment, insurance, treasury operations, factoring and lending among the many services
offered (Figure 8.5).
The creation of innovative networks that provide access to open finance APIs
comes at a time when open source software, co-creation and co-development on cloud
computing form the future of architectural and application design. The collaboration
among creators and users of APIs is based on modular and standardised develop-
ment frameworks for them to build with trust in each other, resulting in faster speed
for development and innovation. Speedy and innovative institutions started building
competitive advantages based on new capabilities to easily and quickly distribute
their APIs. As such, the major open banking initiatives focused on the creation of
platform marketplaces where micro-services could be shared, improved, and quickly
distributed across a community of interested parties intersecting non-banking sup-
ply chains. Financial institutions progressively learned the relevance of opening their
architectures to compete with other banks, with bigtech firms, and new fintech con-
tenders, by adopting three open banking approaches: inward opening, outward open-
ing, and reorchestration.
CONTENDERS
BUSINESS
MODEL
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS CHANGE
BANKING
LICENCE INSURANCE CREDIT BEHAVIOURAL
ACCOUNT KYC REAL ESTATE EDUCATION
CONTRACTS SCORING ANALYTICS
PAYMENT RISK
MORTGAGES PAYMENTS LOAN MGMT HEALTH CARE TRAVEL
PROCESSING ANALYTICS
BANKING
LICENCE INSURANCE CREDIT BEHAVIOURAL
ACCOUNT KYC REAL ESTATE EDUCATION
CONTRACTS SCORING ANALYTICS
PAYMENT RISK
MORTGAGES PAYMENTS LOAN MGMT HEALTH CARE TRAVEL
PROCESSING ANALYTICS
To meet a growing open banking need, fintech and service providers started
proposing a variety of operating models that interact or compete with incumbents’
initiatives. They address different aspects of the digitisation of banking infrastructure
and/or client journeys. Compared to open banking platforms that allow third par-
ties to access and share data, only granting visibility rather than creating financial
products themselves, BaaS providers (e.g., Solaris Bank) offer a modular access “as
a service” to a suite of banking capabilities, products, and components, based on a
banking licence. Open banking platforms and BaaS platforms seem to be common
offers more in Europe than in the US, due to a stronger regulatory push. In com-
parison, US banks tend to interact with more restricted BaaS offers, typically only
focused on middleware components.
Contextual Banking is possibly the biggest shift in bank business models through
technology since modern retail banking was conceived, and technology started trans-
forming the industry. The first relevant case of innovation that became possible due to
the advances in telecommunications dates back to 1872, when a wired money trans-
fer was accomplished by Western Union – a formal telegraph service turned into a
financial services company. It was June 1967, nearly one century later, when the first
automated teller machine (ATM) was activated by Barclays Bank in London. Peo-
ple were soon freed from the need to visit a bank branch during opening hours to
access their money. Since then, cash points have filled the streets, credit cards pushed
their ways into a world of paper and coins, and online banking forced a rethinking
Contextual Banking 157
of retail branches. Yet, it is the invention of the smart phone that triggered the deep-
est transformation in banking operations. Mobile technology did not solely pave the
way for contactless payments. It created new opportunities for fintech and bigtech
to disintermediate access to banking services, embedding them inside customer jour-
neys. Bankers and financial products used to be the centre of the engagement with
clients. Nowadays, clients are progressively taking centre stage, transforming the
context itself of the banking relationship. Essentially, financial services became a
participant in the broader context of consumers’ life, and a key digital component
to unlock value inside outcome economies. Frictionless user experiences dominate
context-driven engagement, whose convenience and ease clients recognise (albeit not
always pay for). Ultimately, these elements direct motivation in platform participa-
tion in such a way that banking is no longer an event but a more fluid and seemingly
“unconscious” activity.
King [2] observes that the opportunity to make processes frictionless leads
into making them contextual. The banking part of purchases and other events
ceases to have a separate existence and is reimagined on the platform economy
by firms like Uber, Grab, Square, or Amazon. Simplicity pays out in physical life.
Similarly, the lowest-friction experience will be the most widely adopted on digital.
While frictions have always been an “opportunity” for middlemen to justify fees
on output economies, they will be a significant killer of bank revenues operating
digitally. On outcome economies, the elimination of frictions is a necessary action
but not a sufficient condition to survive and excel. According to King [2], the strategic
enabler of Contextual Banking is a mindset shift about the essence of most banking
processes. Bankers have to reimagine their business on digital, knowing that the
“product thinking” of linear banking models will be eclipsed. To innovate, they
must get back to “first-principles” design thinking. Essentially, this means tearing
up the old blueprint, and confronting the job afresh with modern capabilities in
mind. Making banking invisible does not mean that services are no longer there but
that they cannot be thought and paid for in isolation. Banking becomes invisibly
embedded inside someone’s digital experience to be revealed right at the most
important time of decision-making. As the world goes digital, King envisages that
most products and services will be replaced by more engaging and frictionless
embedded experiences (Table 8.1).
Contextual Banking requires and forces banking to become simpler, and makes
banking accessible from outside the regulated banking perimeter. The rise of in-app
purchases demonstrates that consumers want to stay within the channels they are in
to complete any transactions, rewarding with fidelity all elements that allow them
to check out faster. Contextual commerce is a straightforward example. According
to Avionos [3], social media contextualisation is an active e-commerce channel,
more effective than leveraging world-famous influencers. Sixty percent of consumers
have never purchased a product promoted by a celebrity or social influencer, but
more than half of consumers (55%) have made a purchase through a social media
channel, such as Facebook or Instagram. Notwithstanding, it is one thing to design
158 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
TABLE 8.1 Brett King’s list of typical bank products that could disappear
Financial products or services Replacing embedded experiences
Thanks to digital technology, investment funds can be one click away on social media
platforms or financial superstores. Removing ex-ante frictions might lead to an
increase in ex-post frictions, without a clear understanding of clients’ risk capac-
ity and awareness to make a transaction. In fact, investment gratification does
not usually happen at the moment of “buying” an investment fund but is delayed
days, weeks, months, even years, when the investment returns hopefully materialise.
Should the stock market plummet, unhappy investors cannot return the assets and
money cannot be refunded. Therefore, particular care should be made to remove
ex-ante friction in the distribution of asymmetrical banking products, to avoid gener-
ating ex-post friction in client relationships. This could affect the financial health of
clients, and the reputation of service providers.
As another example, “Buy Now Pay Later” (BNPL) eliminates multiple
e-commerce or e-payment frictions by embedding quick credit approval at the point
of sale. Essentially, BNPL merges the decision to pay with the decision to borrow.
Removing the “technical frictions” from the point of sale has a positive value, there
is no doubt. However, removing “behavioural frictions” from the moment of sale can
introduce negative value, leading to damaging compliance concerns if set outside
the context of a person’s financial situation. BNPL practices must be mitigated with
holistic appraisal of consumers’ credit situation across lenders that might not be
picked up by traditional credit scoring methods. The regulatory frameworks need
to be refreshed and transparency enforced on incentives, costs, and consequences
of Contextual Banking like any other activity involving financial intermediation, as
advocated in Sironi [4].
Contextual Banking competition moves in two alternative directions. On one
hand, bigtech companies embed financial services at speed to streamline user experi-
ences (i.e., outside-in), eliminating frictions to enrich their digital value propositions.
On the other hand, financial institutions launch non-banking platforms to win alter-
native ecosystems (i.e., inside-out), and stay relevant on outcome economies when
facing final clients.
Financial services are a complex industry that touches almost every aspect of mod-
ern economies. Payments are the basic infrastructure for any commercial relations
between banked and unbanked populations. Lending allows companies to grow and
people to work on their goals. Insurance mitigates risk-taking, protecting people’s
and companies’ financial well-being. As financial services go digital, it is no surprise
that digital platforms feel strongly incentivised to integrate these capabilities into their
solutions. Eliminating financial frictions increases trust, adds value, and helps them to
improve conversion rates. They can fend off competition by continuously motivating
users to participate with trust in their ecosystems. Certainly, bigtech are making many
inroads into financial services but asking if Facebook, Amazon, or Walmart want to
160 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
become a bank might not be the right question. They can take the route of getting
a banking licence, as Grab did from the Monetary Authority of Singapore in 2020.
However, the core of the tender is how Facebook, Amazon, and Walmart can stay dig-
itally relevant in highly competitive outcome economies. Frictionless payments are
not solely about tactical experiences. They are a strategic engagement mechanism, a
must have while people’s life merges online and offline. Unbundled banking capabil-
ities fulfil an existential search for deeper contextualisation into user journeys, ring
fencing user interactions at the lowest possible cost and with the highest speed to add
more value and expand further.
ENGAGE EXPERIENCE
60 64%
67% 38%
70%
40 76%
82% 80% 36%
33%
20 30%
24%
18% 20%
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
12%
41%
Operating
Revenues
Income
59%
88%
MARKETPLACE
CLOUD SERVICES
subscriptions subscriptions
LOGISTICS LOGISTICS
FRICTIONLESS FRICTIONLESS
PAYMENTS PAYMENTS
SKU
SEARCH &
SELECTION
COMPARE
CONSUMER MERCHANT
MODULAR
REVIEW RELATIONSHIP
FRICTIONLESS PERSONALISED
REFUNDS LENDING
COMPUTING
DATA CLOUD
USER
ANALYTICS
subscriptions
■ Marketplace merchants. Merchants look for an efficient way to sell their prod-
ucts on the internet. Although the buyer experience was initially the core focus,
Amazon quickly added a set of services to optimise the interactions with mer-
chants, thus logistics. Merchant-centricity starts with a suite of services to let
them organise, connect, and manage inventories. Once past the organisational
aspects, merchants find a Contextual Banking layer that helps to manage their
financial relationships with customers (e.g., one click payments for fast conver-
sion rates and collection of money) and within their business ambitions. Amazon
and its banking partners can fulfil merchants’ funding needs at convenient rates.
Amazon owns a substantial amount of hyper-personalised data about merchants’
inventory, turnover, and strategies to assess idiosyncratic credit risk with more
accuracy than any main street bank.
■ Cloud users. The renowned API’s memo by Jeff Bezos made no secret about
his obsession with cloud computing and data-sharing, not only customers. Open
and well-designed cloud architectures can manage complex operations, from
match-making customers and merchants, to payments, refunding, and logistics.
However, the cloud is not just the underlying enabler of the digital platform. In
Amazon’s case, the marketplace becomes the enabler for unlocking the commer-
cial value of cloud services and the suite of predictive analytics, in an impressive
feedback loop that continuously nurtures value for customers, merchants, and
cloud users.
75%
50%
25%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
FIGURE 8.10 Percentage share of market evaluation among top 500 global banks,
payment providers and other fintech
Source: The Economist [7].
to Alipay in China, these would include tools for payments, shopping, financial ser-
vices, and even new forms of digital identification. The announcement highlights the
heightened battle for the consumer’s wallet that is occurring between banks, bigtech,
and fintech players like Stripe, Square, and Affirm. Each of these players wants to
dominate user payment experiences wherever they occur, online as much as offline.
As reported by Marous [8], Schulman explained that:
What a super app wants to do is turn all of those separate apps into a
connected ecosystem where you can streamline and control data and infor-
mation between those apps, between the act of shopping, the act of paying for
that, and then you have this common platform and common data that allows
machine learning and artificial intelligence to kick in and give personalised
recommendations to those consumers.
Others
13%
YouTube Music
Spotify
5%
34%
Amazon Music
15% Apple Music
21%
payments company founded in 2009 by Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey, announced its
intention to acquire a majority ownership stake in Tidal in 2021. Jay-Z’s music
streaming service is a smaller competitor of Spotify, Amazon Music, and Apple
Music (Figure 8.11). The deal rationale comes down to a simple idea about how
Contextual Banking can help resolve the chicken-and-egg dilemma. Fintech inno-
vation could be used to support artists’ work. In return for their success, positive
network effects would attract larger fanbases to the music platform. In Dorsey’s own
words: “New ideas are found at intersections, and we believe there’s a compelling
one between music and the economy.”
Starting from what Square Cash App was able to do for sellers and individuals,
supporting artists in their most critical financial and business needs would motivate
them to participate in Tidal’s ecosystem. Contextual Banking platform strategies are
not pursued to steer profits away from banks. This would be a likely result, not a strate-
gic scope. Instead, they would add value to a music ecosystem made up of emerging
artists, building the platform that supports them at every point in their career, assisting
them in their creative journeys. As indicated in previous chapters, platforms succeed
when they generate – on aggregate – more value for the ecosystem than the value
retained by the sponsors. Financial services can be a low margins business, but there
is no doubt they can add value to platform users.
landscape, according to McKinsey [9], global payment revenues have been rising
steadily over time, providing cloud-native firms with good headwinds and space for
strategic long-term investments.
The muted financial performance of banks often precludes them from long-term
thinking. In particular, “first principles” platform design is a game-changer that
requires CEOs to navigate uncharted waters for many years before they can harvest
the benefits of transformation. Also, bank boards of directors are not always
equipped with sufficient expertise about advanced information technology and
first principle platform thinking. Yet, this is needed. First of all, launching and
activating a platform can be expensive, as providers typically subsidise one side of
the ecosystem for years before they find a way to monetise. Second, CEOs need
to be careful about the way they intend to monetise on ecosystem interactions.
Focusing on financial services transactions (i.e., outputs) seems an obvious route but,
as discussed in previous chapters, it is often revealed to be a dead end on platform
economies. Platforms are not the next distribution channel of financial products
and solutions. In most cases, contextualisation is not a way to build volumes but
a needed mechanism to add value to users, motivating them to trust and interact.
Cross-selling and upselling, which are difficult strategies in output economies, are
all the more difficult in outcome economies and are replaced by “cross-engagement”
in most advanced platform games. Moreover, regulations might not always allow
financial institutions to generate revenues outside their licensed perimeter, limiting
incumbents’ direct entrepreneurial actions. A multi-year business plan is required
that transparently aligns stakeholder interests, risk appetite and expectations to grant
platform providers sufficient time to perform. This is the case of the Chinese insurer
Ping An, which found a way to merge non-linear online economies with more linear
offline services.
Jessica Tan, Co-CEO of Ping An, was crisp and clear in a 2019 CNBC inter-
view about Good Doctors strategy and investment philosophy. Ping An Good Doc-
tors was officially launched in 2015 as a mobile platform that handles a variety of
online health care services. Aimed at gaining trust with convenience and expertise, it
orchestrated a communication bridge between doctors and patients. Currently, it has
established several key business segments: online medical services, hospital referrals
and appointments, health management, and wellness interaction services. In addition,
it connects individual consumers with health care resources and insurance agents. As
of the end of 2020, the number of registered users of the platform reached 373 million,
an increase of 57.6 million or 18.3% from the end of 2019, while the number of active
users had surpassed 67 million. In a continuous process to refine operations and boost
user engagement, the company launched “Online Comprehensive Medical Care” in
2020. Addressing medical accountability and transparency in medicine quality as the
core platform proposition, the platforms directly and successfully address the pain
point of “trust” between doctors and patients. As discussed in previous chapters, trust
168 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
is the core engine of platform engagement. Asked about the financial strategy of Ping
An Good Doctors, Jessica Tan commented:
Consolidate to
Reach Profitability
Sell to
Motivated Users
Free Access to
4
Build Volume
Build Trust &
Engagement
1 2 3
FIGURE 8.12 Ping An’s investment strategy and platform stages
Contextual Banking 169
omni-businesses
omni-users
units separately, would not be on the right track of innovation. This makes platform
strategies a complex business model to justify inside traditionally compartmentalised
firms. CEOs need to invest for long-term transformation and value creation, bundling
the client vision of internal business units with that of external industries. This is not
about short-term results, but long-term pain to make ultimate gains.
As such, Contextual Banking succeeds only if digital engagement embraces
numerous aspects of user life. Monetisation strategies are maximised when applied
to the whole ecosystem instead of underlying transactions. The more journeys clients
can do on the same platform, the higher the value and motivation they receive.
These platforms would be designed on a three-layer principle (Figure 8.13): omni-
intelligent connections, omni-businesses, omni-users.
especially in the SME segment, provides merchants with a digital space that
leverages a process of “cross-engagement” to meet clients. This would be the
merchant-centric layer for retail and corporate banking contextualisation.
■ Omni-users. Client centricity spans the borders of individual industry journeys,
and benefits from hyper-personalised holistic rebundling. The client is always
the same, whichever services are required, needs, age, wealth, and preferences.
This would be the customer-centric layer for banking contextualisation.
The Shanghai Pudong Development (SPD) Bank came up with a definition of this
process in a strategic White Paper about open finance co-created with the author of
this book. They named it “Panoramic Banking” and co-presented it at the Ant Finan-
cial conference in 2020. Panoramic Banking sets out the principles and technical
methods to leverage open finance towards the highest value spaces on the Bank-
ing Reinvention Quadrant, made up of platform of platforms (i.e., “super apps”).
This platform strategy addresses the joint needs of consumers and enterprises by
building an ecosystem of participating businesses that can better connect and service
their costumers jointly. Panoramic Banking elevates design thinking about Contextual
Banking to embrace holistic ecosystem points of view, in which banking becomes as
invisible as possible. The layer of omni-intelligent connections is the critical element
from an architectural perspective.
The “platform of platforms” architecture can be extended to embrace all aspects
of a digital economy because society, economic systems, and financial markets
are all interconnected platforms. Therefore, the omni-intelligent connection layer
can be conceived as the foundational layer of the digital architecture of an entire
economy. Should this reside outside the private sector, and be managed as a service
by a governmental or independent agency? Clearly, it must leverage digital IDs,
private and public data exchanges, and the enforcement of privacy. In this regard,
the Chinese government already seems to be thinking in terms of a “platform of
platforms”, as indicated by the recent barrage of regulations on big tech companies,
the accelerated implementation of the Central Bank Digital Currency, and the
implications of the Personal Information Protection Law (PIPL). The European
GDRP regulation is enforced in a decentralised way with ex-post verification.
Instead, the Chinese PIPL requires that all data is processed by central agencies,
featuring a centralised enforcement with ex-ante verification capabilities. While
the Chinese authorities might not possess the only solution to the architectural
design of a digital economy, and the underlying omni-intelligent connection layer,
they seem to be already thinking non-linearly in terms of interconnectivity among
different platforms. Instead, the western world is more fragmented, and still seems
to think linearly without a clear debate and a well-articulated strategy that can
address all the critical implications of the digital platformisation of everything.
Non-linear strategic thinking is required at the highest level of governments and
regulatory bodies, because the architectural perspective of a “platform of plat-
forms” might well correspond to the definitive realisation of the Fourth Industrial
Contextual Banking 173
8.7 CONCLUSIONS
Banks and fintech operate in an increasingly competitive environment. Lowering
interest rates, increasing costs of capital, product simplification, and digital interme-
diation are changing the profitability of traditional operations and their corresponding
digitally linear memes. Open finance generates new value from information-driven
core banking systems, through a process of banking contextualisation into external
non-banking ecosystems. Increasing the intensity of the information quotient with
cloud-native open architectures, and augmenting the communication quotient
with artificial intelligence at scale, help established institutions and cloud-native
competitors to break out towards higher value spaces of the Banking Reinvention
Quadrant, dominated by Contextual Banking platform strategies.
174 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
■ Banks and fintech can break out from lower-value BRQ spaces by leverag-
ing exponential technologies, and shifting the business focus from output
to outcome economies.
■ Contextual Banking is possibly the biggest shift in bank business models
through technology since modern retail banking.
■ Banking products and services can be unbundled into micro-services, or
containerised utilities, and embedded into external client contexts made
up of non-banking interactions.
■ The opportunity to make processes frictionless leads into making them
contextual. Banking becomes invisible to be revealed right at the most
important time of decision-making.
■ Banking contextualisation happens from the outside-in: bigtech need to
eliminate frictions to increase added value of platform interactions.
■ Banking contextualisation happens from the inside-out: financial institu-
tions launch non-banking platforms to gain alternative ecosystems, and
stay relevant for final clients on outcome economies.
■ Contextual Banking platform strategies eliminate ex-ante frictions, but
must avoid generating ex-post frictions. In contrast, Conscious Banking
elimination of ex-ante frictions also inhibits frictions ex-post.
■ Panoramic Banking (e.g., superapps) occupies a very high value space
of the BRQ, as a holistic platform of platforms that complies with a
three-layered design: omni-intelligent connections, omni-businesses, and
omni-users.
CHAPTER 9
Foundations of Financial Market
Transparency
The edge of chaos is the constantly shifting battle zone between stagnation and
anarchy, the one place where a complex system can be spontaneous, adaptive,
and alive.
— Waldorp, author of Complexity [1]
9.1 INTRODUCTION
175
176 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
FINANCIAL MARKET
TRANSPARENCY
CONTEXTUAL CONSCIOUS
BANKING BANKING
COMMUNICATION
INFORMATION
TRANSPARENCY (incentives, costs,
(data and Al solutions)
consequences)
DIGITAL RELATIONSHIP
UNCERTAINTY
ARCHITECTURE ARCHITECTURE
(endogenous treatment)
(resilience) (antifragility)
systems to break out from the bottom-left value spaces of the Banking Reinvention
Quadrant. On the one hand, they are asked to open computing architectures, aban-
doning closed monoliths and transforming operations with new operating models
enabled by hybrid cloud environments. This only unlocks new value at the holistic
intersection with adjacent non-banking industries. On the other hand, they are asked
to open the mainstream economic theory to the endogeneity of fundamental
uncertainty, and build new relationship models that reduce micro-level asymme-
tries inside client ecosystems. This only differentiates against low-cost hyper-
scaling competition and unlocks all the value which is hidden inside the system, also
at the macro-level.
Contextual Banking platform strategies allow banks and fintech to reinvent every-
thing, from operating models to technical architectures, from the ways banking prod-
ucts are built and packaged to the way consumers pay for them. From a technical
perspective, cloud platforms must comply with principles of high “evolve-ability” to
remain flexibly robust while coping with fast changes in business environments and
high technical stress. Facing uncertainty, business and technology cannot simply be
two coordinated faces of the same moon. Hopefully, they can overlap on the same
bright side to work successfully with agility and speed.
On the technical side, architectural design and testing must consider uncertainty
the norm, and not the exception. Chaos engineering is a discipline that corresponds
to the opening of architectural design mindsets that allow experimenting on a
software system “in production”. The approach is intended to build confidence in the
system’s capability to withstand turbulent and unexpected conditions. The idea was
formalised by Greg Orzell [2] at Netflix, the US content platform and production
company, founded in 1997. While overseeing Netflix’s migration to the cloud, Orzell
had the idea of addressing the lack of adequate resilience testing by setting up a tool
that would cause breakdowns in the environment used by Netflix customers. Orzell
wanted to move out of a development model that assumed “stability” and embrace a
model in which “instability” was considered to be inevitable. This change in mindset
was meant to drive developers to consider built-in resilience as an obligation rather
than an option. By regularly “killing” random instances of a software service with
a series of tools known as “monkeys”, which could deliberately inject failure into
their services and systems, it was possible to test a redundant architecture to verify
that a server failure would not noticeably impact customers. As reported on Netflix
Tech Blog [3]:
and turn them off during business hours. Some people thought this was crazy,
but we couldn’t depend on the infrequent occurrence to impact behaviour.
Knowing that this would happen on a frequent basis created strong
alignment among our engineers to build in the redundancy and automation
to survive this type of incident without any impact to the millions of Netflix
members around the world. We value Chaos Monkey as a highly effective
tool for improving the quality of our service. Now Chaos Monkey has
evolved. We rewrote the service for improved maintainability and added
some great new features. The evolution of Chaos Monkey is part of our
commitment to keep our open source software up to date with our current
environment and needs.
From this moment onward, forever, you know your system is not vulner-
able to a certain class of problems. See how powerful those choices can
be? Especially if you made them as early as Starling Bank did. Even more
importantly, from this moment, you are by default building a system in a way
that expects this failure condition, not just paying lip service to it. You have
removed the temptation to discard it. You’ve squeezed the abyss of ignor-
able . . . The longevity of the regime of chaos is something that deserves
comment. I said “forever” and yet the experience of some is that their for-
ays into chaos have been immune-rejected before they’ve even got going.
The culture has been unable to shift to the point where the true cause can be
seen behind the rampaging monkey. This happens when people have come to
accept the fragility of their systems as a fact of life. Cultures evolve, priori-
ties shift, engineers are reassigned, architectures grow and evolve, scale hits,
pandemics change the world around us. There is still a bit of code, running
today in Starling’s production environment, which does the simple thing.
There has never yet been a chaos team. That code is everyone’s responsibil-
ity, but it’s been running for over four years. It has been maintained, fixed,
moved, and its importance is known and respected.
Chaos engineering takes the approach that regardless how encompassing the test
suite is, once code is running on enough machines and reaches enough complex-
ity, errors are going to happen. Since failure is unavoidable, why not deliberately
introduce it to ensure the systems and processes can deal with the failure?
Foundations of Financial Market Transparency 179
Conscious Banking platform strategies reinvent all the steps of client relationships,
anchoring business model transformation to the emergence of trusted advice in wealth
management and merchant banking. Banks and fintech are invited to abandon the cen-
tricity of financial products, and the self-referential narrative about financial market
dynamics, to embrace holistic perspectives on client journeys made up of asset and
liability management decisions in the attempt to fulfil personal, entrepreneurial, and
financial outcomes. The reasons for this change in perspective are rooted in the real-
isation that reference theory, which modelled established business models remuner-
ated through distribution channels of financial products, has led to the annihilation of
industry value. Instead, value can be regenerated by undocking the business from
the narrow business spaces that are anchored to an incomplete reference theory.
This has confined financial intermediaries to a faulty interpretation of reality and an
incomplete understanding of the real nature of information asymmetries, which are
linked to the reality of endogenous uncertainty that digital platforms are asked to
disintermediate. The substantial inadequacy of the reference theory became clear in
2008 with the near collapse of the financial system. Lehman Brothers is the real-life
Chaos Monkey that an illusionary stable banking system was not able to cope with.
reasonable” and positive theory emerge, guiding the business transformation in a dis-
rupted social, economic, and digital landscape.
In 2008, the industry faced a bifurcation of existing strategies, which led either
towards a race to zero price competition, or to the search for transparency-driven
competitive advantages. On one hand, some financial institutions were entrenched
in a last-ditch defence of current relationship models, which are centred on the
assumption of rational agents’ behaviour, fully efficient information, and instan-
taneous price dynamics that are supposed to be independent. Instead, the latter
are often influenced by herding and self-referential (i.e., opaque) generation of
information. Therefore, the advent of full regulatory transparency (i.e., the reduction
of opacity) applied to distribution channels of products and their marketing to clients,
still designed to conform with mainstream reference theory, has only accelerated
the compression of business margins, and led to the search for an efficient digital
scaling on low-cost volumes only (e.g., passive investing). On a larger scale, this
trend can produce more endogenous instability because intermediaries become
more concentrated in increasing complexity. On the other hand, opening financial
markets to a business vision that leverages on content (i.e., transparent information
and communication) allows clients – the real drivers of business value – to reclaim
centre stage in any relationships based on Conscious Banking engagement. In
fact, regulatory transparency reveals the fundamental uncertainty of the system
stability, behind any attempts of arbitrage. Only dynamic management of financial
relationships on a decision-making space mediated by time (the irreversible element
of human behaviour) can make sense of investment goals and purpose (as in the
financial planning of client life styles), making investors aware of the generated
value of the Conscious Banking platform and willing to pay for accessing it.
because the common definition of rationality is only consistent with a “closed” space
of events (i.e., deterministic probability). Instead, the future is “open” as it is made
up of potentially infinite scenarios caused by agnostic probability, which investors
attempt to understand “locally” and “temporarily” (i.e., Bayesian probability). Con-
sequently, the FMT introduces a new concept of probability causation that underpins
the sustainability of Conscious Banking relationship management and risk manage-
ment techniques. Having failed to derive the causation of probabilities from market
history, therefore from self-referential subjective views, the causation of fundamental
uncertainty can be derived from a neurobiological approach to revise the needed
probability measure (i.e., Omega as defined in Chapter 10), and allowing entropy on
the irreversible time to deal locally with financial and non-financial information.
What is the neurobiological anchor? The mechanism by which natural evolution
equipped homo sapiens (i.e., the client) to face decisions “under certainty” through
mechanic deterministic approaches is granted by the cerebellum. The little brain is a
major structure of the hind-brain of all vertebrates that is responsible for coordinating
voluntary movements. Instead, rationality (i.e., the left side of brain) allows homo
sapiens to make decisions “under uncertainty” only in combination with its “emo-
tional and imaginary capability” (i.e., the right side of brain) in a symbiotic interaction
(Figure 9.2). Nature has equipped homo sapiens with much more radical rationality to
cope with radical uncertainty. This is human intelligence, thus consciousness. Facing
extreme uncertainty (in life and on financial markets), the attempt to solve the survival
problem by making “probabilistic” assumptions – on mistaken attempts to reduce
fundamental uncertainty – could appear reassuring to economic agents. Instead, it
often is revealed to be an illusion, given the persistence of collapses of these rational
visions of the world. Artificial intelligence would not be exempt from that. The only
theoretical peg, “mediating” financial market dynamics or dissolving the infor-
mation asymmetry, derives from integrating our neurobiological understanding
of fundamental uncertainty dealing with information along the concept of irre-
versible time related to personal and financial goals. This is what characterises
Words Imagination
Mathematics Intuition
Linear thinking Feeling
Logic Holistic thinking
Facts Arts
Coordination of goal-driven
and spontaneous movements
the reality of human history, in the continuous journey from life to death. And from
this, the centrality of holistic goals-based planning approaches emerges in defining
the intensity of the communication quotient in the BRQ.
Building Conscious Banking platform strategies on these biological micro-
foundations launches relevant macro-economic consequences that involve all
players inside and outside the financial services industry. Currently, economic
theory integrates the central bank “systemic put” ex-ante, by means of an ex-ante
attempt to dominate the drift. Consequently, central banks face the ex-post anni-
hilation of their attempts in the “collapse” of market prices, which reveals only
ex-post “realised” uncertainty. Instead, the theory and principles of Financial
Market Transparency invert the perspective. Fundamental uncertainty is treated
endogenously and is integrated ex-ante in decision-making processes. Conse-
quently, uncertainty can be mitigated ex-post by means of more reasonable (i.e.,
“anti-fragile”) market prices, derived from radically-rational FMT decision-making.
From a quantitative perspective, this is consistent with a decision-making framework
grounded ex-ante on agnostic risk-neutral simulations, which leads to “realised”
antifragility ex-post. As it appears, the main fault of mainstream reference theory
was to keep Knightian uncertainty outside its micro-foundations, while keeping
inside the framework the systemic put (i.e., the drift) excercised by the last-resort
institutions (i.e., central banks and policy-making). This must be fixed. It is a
novel understanding of how fundamental uncertainty relates to homo sapiens’
emotions in financial decision-making over time (underpinning the “pull-
push” motivational gap) that helps the financial services platforms to find an
anti-fragile solution to the human problem (i.e., goals) of a financially enabled
survival, the search for a better quality of life, and the attempt to fulfil personal
ambitions with money.
This understanding of how regulatory transparency can turn investment relation-
ships into a competitive advantage, based on real value generation for investors, resets
the economic foundations of financial services on more sustainable revenue streams,
improving ecosystem antifragility. It also revises the currently emerging perspective
on what the contribution of exponential technologies should be to unlock added value
in the field.
Nobel Prize laureates Banerjee, Duflo, and Kremer worked to integrate funda-
mental uncertainty in their search for development policies to better address world
poverty. In economics, they adopted “randomisation” because they subject social
policy ideas to randomised control trials as would be done in testing a drug, or a vac-
cine. As in medicine, for example, a population could be divided into two groups,
and administered a “treatment” to one group but not to the other (e.g., access to
micro-finance with a fintech solution). Because of the randomness, large enough
groups will have the same proportion of old and young, single and married, happy
and sad, making up for any possible source of experimental confusion. If, at the end
of the study, one group turns out to have changed (e.g., become wealthier), then a
cause and effect relationship can be assumed to exist or not about the “treatment”.
There are other statistical ways to connect cause and effect, but none as transpar-
ent and free from ex-ante expectations. The FMT allows assessing and dealing with
subjective ex-ante expectations based on incomplete assumptions of homo economi-
cus. Instead, it uses a more reasonable verification of investment decisions, adopting
heuristics based on agnostic, and risk-neutral simulations of future returns. As these
are core elements of financial services platforms, Conscious Banking takes a similar
approach via transparent “what-if” analysis on the wealth allocation framework, sup-
porting investors to make decisions under uncertainty. At the same time, the biological
micro-foundations of financial markets can emerge to unlock the sticking points in
the policy-making framework.
With regard to investment strategies, the research of Biondo, Pluchino,
Rapisarda, and Helbing [7] explores the role of randomness in financial markets.
They are inspired by the beneficial role of noise in many physical systems and in pre-
vious applications to complex socio-economic environments. Their studies compare
the performance of some of the most used trading strategies in predicting the dynam-
ics of financial markets for different market indexes, with the goal of comparing
them to the performance of a completely random strategy. Not surprisingly, empirical
evidence shows that – on a large temporal scale – trading algorithms, based on the
past history of the time series, underperform a purely random strategy. This latter
is much less volatile, although traders have occasionally the chance to be successful
inside small temporal windows. In this respect, a purely random strategy represents
a costless alternative to more expensive financial advice, being at the same time also
much less risky, if compared to the other trading strategies. This result, obtained at
a micro-level, can have many implications at the macro-level for interpreting the
dynamics of real markets. Random strategies could play the role of reducing herding
behaviour over the whole market, since bandwagon effects would probably fade
if agents knew that financial transactions do not necessarily carry an information
role. On the other hand, central bank intervention would produce two simultaneous
results by randomly buying and selling financial assets. From a micro point of view
(i.e., individual investors), intermediaries and final investors would suffer less with
asymmetric information, as they are conscious of a “fog of uncertainty” created by
Foundations of Financial Market Transparency 185
the random investments. From a macro point of view (i.e., financial system), the
consequential reduction of herding behaviour would allow eventual bubbles to burst
when they are still small and less dangerous. Similarly, micro and macro financial
consciousness of radical uncertainty are the core added-value outcomes of financial
services platforms based on financial market transparency.
Staying on the bursting of financial bubbles, Corgnet, Cornand, and Hanaki [8]
investigated the pitfalls of traditional decision-making theories, such as expected
utility theory or prospect theory, the bedrock that modern economics is built on, see
Kahneman and Tversky [9]. In their work, they eliminated any assumptions about
how emotions affect decision-making as they are typically and only considered
side effects. According to traditional theory, investors are supposed to be guided
by an objective and purely statistical assessment of the profitability of the assets.
On the other hand, the emotions felt when making a decision do affect the way to
assess an asset, conforming to the “risk as feeling” concept as in Loewenstein, Hsee,
Weber and Welch [10], and the “affect heuristic” hypothesis as in Slovic, Finucane,
Peters and MacGregor [11]. Essentially, they designed a novel tail-event experiment
to assess both investors’ behavioural and physiological reactions, showing that
investors who observe the tail event without suffering losses tend to decrease their
pricing of the asset subsequently. By contrast, loss-averse investors who suffer tail
losses tend to increase their bids. This response is especially pronounced for those
who exhibit a strong emotional response to tail losses. Their work demonstrated the
key role played by emotions in influencing investors’ response to tail events. Finally,
investors who exhibit high anticipatory arousal, as measured with electrodermal
activity, posted lower bids and were less likely to suffer tail losses and go bankrupt.
They also achieved higher earnings when tail events occurred frequently. Clearly,
these findings align with the relationship-centred framework of the Conscious Bank-
ing as they contrast with the common view that homo economicus should silence
emotions in investment decision-making, accepting full delegated automation of
their decisions (i.e., robo-advisors), which is often considered the role of artificially
intelligent algorithms.
In recent work done by Ole Peters in close collaboration with the late Nobel
laureate Murray Gell-Mann, economic models are shown to assume ergodicity. That
is, the average of all possible outcomes of a given situation informs how any sin-
gle agent might experience it. However, that is often not the case in the real world,
which renders many economic and financial predictions irrelevant in real life. In those
instances, the maths underlying the theory of thermodynamics can be used to model
outcomes using a “correct average”. Most importantly, by taking aim at expected util-
ity theory, Peters explains that when we make decisions, we conduct a cost-benefit
analysis (CBA) and try to choose the most appropriate option by discovering bad
deals. Conscious Banking is based on a biologically anchored CBA process of finan-
cial decision-making, which is in line with Peters’ criticism of mainstream refer-
ence theory. This avoids the misunderstanding about irrational behaviour and human
186 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
9.5 CONCLUSIONS
Platforms allow banks and fintech to reimagine the management of uncertainty and
unlock business value for all participants in the ecosystems they orchestrate. The pro-
cess of opening needs to be underpinned by robust theoretical foundations, which are
provided by the theory and principles of Financial Market Transparency. On the one
hand, simplicity reduces opacity inside financial transactions and business processes.
On the other hand, fundamental uncertainty is the norm on financial markets and in
complex systems, and cannot be eliminated on open architectures. Only by replacing
stability with antifragility, as a more reasonable technical and financial goal, can allow
digital architectures and business models to be redesigned to compete resiliently on
outcome economies, and generate value that clients are transparently willing to pay
for accessing it.
Foundations of Financial Market Transparency 187
189
190 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
10.1 INTRODUCTION
HIGHER
BUSINESS
VALUE
CONTEXTUAL
ECOSYSTEM
BANKING
OUTCOME
OPEN
INFORMATION QUOTIENT (IQ)
PLATFORMS
ECOSYSTEM
CLOSED
CONSCIOUS
BANKING
DIGITAL
OUTPUT
PRODUCTS
SERVICES
TRADITIONAL
strengthening the links between clients and banks, making them less susceptible to
bigtech competition. This allows an alternative route to Contextual Banking, and
industrialises new revenue models that are no longer confined to the attempts of
hyper-scaling transactions in a race to zero prices, but geared towards the sustainable
generation of value unlocked by technology inside visible banking relationships.
Third, the real added-value role of exponential technology is revealed as over-
coming the tensions between information (i.e., core technology) and communication
(i.e., relational interfaces). At the same time, the theoretical system of reference is
kept open to unlock transparently the FMT value on a business architecture which is
spared from collapse.
Fourth, the concept of holism is introduced to review the theory of digital
platforms with a human-centric perspective. This is permitted by the epistemolog-
ical opening of a more reasonable financial theory based on the FMT biological
micro-foundations, and by the transparent contribution of digital technology to
extend the human mind and not replace it.
Last, the cost-benefit analysis is the communication engine of the Conscious
Banking platforms, underpinning the financial consciousness function as the core
mechanism by which value can be transparently generated, communicated, shared,
and understood by bankers and clients. Thanks to a consequentialist ethic, positive
network effects on the entire ecosystem spring from these novel value-generating
interactions – inside banking relationships orchestrated by the platform. They transfer
financial consciousness from the micro-level (i.e., investors and intermediaries) to the
macro-level (i.e., the financial system), and vice versa. In return, antifragility becomes
the radically rational purpose of the financial services open system that is a world
platform.
Professional intermediaries need a new platform to generate value for clients in the
process of financial decision-making, and be remunerated for it. In the outcome econ-
omy, the value-based outcome of the intermediation process can be assessed inside
relationships, shifting the focus from product-oriented transactions to the increas-
ing “Financial Consciousness” of participants’ journeys. Financial Consciousness
corresponds to the axiological value for investors. When discussing consciousness,
reference is here made only to the scientific advances in neurobiology represented in
Tononi [4] and Dehaene [5]. The capability to define what value truly is on transpar-
ent markets orchestrates a financial services platform that can demonstrate value to
the client, thus monetise on clients’ willingness to pay for accessing it.
Gamma, and Omega. These cornerstones substantiate the “holistic advisory value”
of on-going investment relationships that underpin the competitive advantage of
transparent business models facing digital disintermediation. Exponential technology
can be leveraged to plug in advanced heuristics, and operate them inside a suitable
and appropriate wealth allocation framework to engage transparently with clients.
Entirely logically, on the fundamental FMT variables of irreversible time and
fundamental uncertainty it can be derived that:
Financial Consciousness = f(Beta, Alpha, Gamma, Omega)
in which:
■ Beta corresponds to the unnumbered market factors by which financial inter-
mediaries attempt to build short-lived local arbitrages in investment decisions.
These are nothing but synchronised expectations of the professional agents that
feed the product-related aspects of the Conscious Banking platform (i.e., finan-
cial products and market views).
■ Alpha corresponds to temporarily local attempts of investment arbitrage between
factors, which are experienced with respect to the time horizon of each investor
goal. This generates the initial, yet-to-be-completed correspondence between
markets and clients on the Conscious Banking platform (i.e., the personal, busi-
ness, and financial goals).
■ Gamma corresponds to the understanding of the interdependency among dif-
ferent priorities of clients’ goals, which is revealed as a full journey projection
through the ongoing interaction with financial intermediaries on the Conscious
Banking platform (i.e., the advisory process).
■ Omega corresponds to the simulation and understanding of cost-benefit ratios
for investors (the micro-effect) in relation to the ecosystem (the macro-effect).
This is the most important unit value shared through core value-generating inter-
actions between clients and intermediaries on the Conscious Banking platform.
Therefore, this is the core component for monetisation (i.e. the cost-benefit
analysis underpinning the client’s decision-making).
Clearly, professional intermediaries can find their custom solutions for the
generation of financial consciousness on competing and differentiating Conscious
Banking platform strategies. Ravezzi and Sironi [6] provide a comprehensive review
of the emerging business models underpinned by the FMT and leading to the
industrialisation of the Financial Consciousness cornerstone (Figure 10.2). This
can be found in the process of business transformation and value propositions of
financial institutions like UBS and Morgan Stanley, which redefined their business
models and created advisory platforms that rebalance the weight of the offering
side (i.e., product-oriented value chains) with the centricity of the demand side (i.e.,
hyper-personalised Goal-based Investing frameworks).
CLIENTS
macro-level
OPEN REGULATORY ENVELOPE antifragility
antifragility
micro-level
OMEGA antifragility
CLIENTS
GAMMA
ALPHA
CLIENTS
BETA
• views • saving • priorities transparent unlock hidden Financial
• products • education • events cost-benefit value with Market
MARKETS • solutions • housing • advice analysis transparent Transparency
CLIENTS
ESG
Digital technology can accelerate the simplification of bank business models and con-
tributes to lowering their margins, based on the remuneration of transactions (i.e., vol-
umes). The aforementioned SEC enforcement actions on best execution of products
and prices indicate that tout court digitisation of distribution channels can accelerate
the nullification of product-centric business value in transparent markets for bankers
and advisors. In this context, regulatory transparency and enduring macro-economic
conditions (e.g., zero to negative interest rates after the annihilation of the “systemic
put”) reinforce a significant tension between the traditional revenue-generating cen-
tricity of financial products and the needed shift to fee-based advisory relationships.
zero prices. In the lack of a different mechanism to generate client value outside the
distribution channels of products, this would lead to zero margins reducing inter-
mediaries’ ability to serve large segments of the less affluent clientele. On the other
hand, the reliance on “hard information” increases competition and lowers costs by
leveraging intelligent automation with AI methods, like natural language processing
(NLP) and machine learning (ML). “Information” underpins the functioning of core
banking operations, centred on credit approval and Know Your Client authentication.
AI creates opportunities to reduce the cost of these workflows, streamlining the “ad-
verse selection” process. Bigtech firms have learned to use alternative data to facilitate
“instantly informed” decisions and streamline credit approval on their platforms. Yet,
the opaque prowess of digital disintermediation, and the far-reaching consequences
of decoupling Taleb’s [11] “skin in the game” from the incentives of originators,
resulted in increased regulatory oversight in the lack of transparency on systemic risk
(e.g., the suspension of Ant Financial IPO by the People’s Bank of China in 2020).
The use of technology has to be subject to the same regulatory requirements
mandated for human activities. Any financial services platforms must be made
transparently accountable in terms of understanding of incentives, costs, and
potential consequences on users and ecosystems, avoiding any attempts to bypass
skin in the game requirements with technology. Otherwise, this would add further
instability through the hyper-concentration of digital network relationships.
The reliance on “hard information” – formatted or unformatted – needs to be
carefully considered, not only because it could accelerate the pro-cyclicality of
the economic and financial trend through the homologation of decision-making
behaviours. Most importantly, relying on artificial intelligence’s “inside information”
using experimental data collected in the past, searching for a universal modelling of
a phenomenon where the physical and mathematical reference models are unknown,
would be an attempt to return to the hope of efficient price discovery. It would be
a brittle return to a closed-rational and timeless system through technology. In the
reality of fundamental uncertainty, AI models are also exposed and can break,
because past and present data (thus prices, and bigdata) do not possess all informa-
tion. Model approximation cannot be fully eliminated in the attempt to “learn from
the data”. AI models can only react faster to ex-post realised uncertainty through
reinforcement learning mechanisms, looking for a balance between exploration (of
uncharted territory) and exploitation (of current knowledge), but not necessarily
making it endogenous to the decision-making framework. That is where and why
AI needs a consciousness layer to build endogenous uncertainty and to cope with it.
This is what makes the difference between AI and real biological intelligence.
The role of digital innovation in “communication” has been studied less that the
role of “information”, but it will be the real pivot for determining the future structure
of the financial services industry. This is in line with the research contribution of
the FMT, which shapes Conscious Banking. The only way to generate transparent
Conscious Banking 201
value “inside relationships”, that clients are willing to pay, is the institutionalisation of
a transparent communication process based on holistic goals-based analysis, operated
across hyper-personalised and interdependent mental accounts. This is where digital
technology intersects the creation of a transparent financial services platform in the
attempt to integrate the use of bigdata but avoiding the temptation to close up the
system.
In the field of investment management, AI has been used to automate investment
decisions based on instant access to unstructured and semi-structured data. However,
Smith [12] investigated AI modelling under conditions of uncertainty, which is the
norm on financial markets, reminding us that human decision-making takes place in
the physical context of the human being. Failing to recognise how humans make deci-
sions under uncertainty would not save AI from being fragile. Still, neurobiology is
the path to follow, however rigorous the computations over assumptions of innumer-
able spaces of future possibilities. Just as economics had to learn how to investigate
human decision-making outside the idealisation of homo economicus, also AI has
to stay transparently inside the reality of homo sapiens to examine decision-making
outside idealised abstractions of bigdata completeness and the hypothesis of closed
rationality, referring instead to the hypothesis of radical (open) rationality.
Therefore, the biological micro-foundations of Conscious Banking emerge via
the FMT as a suitable guidance to anchor most advanced AI modelling for investment
management through the same lens of reasonability (i.e., radical rationality). Clearly,
transparent, robust, and explicable AI provides a powerful advantage to overcome
the computational speed of homo sapiens’ capacity limitation. This is applicable
to the large context of problems which are assumed logically and probabilistically
solvable, also when human experts are ultimately available to override this “deci-
sion support system”. Instead, over-reliance on AI algorithms applied on open sys-
tems such as investment decision-making on financial markets must be carefully
evaluated, given the need to integrate how to cope with emotions at the micro-level
(i.e., investors’ decisions) and the macro-level (i.e., policy-making and central bank
intervention).
and Behrens III [15]. Meadows et al.’s salient message was that continued growth in
the global economy would lead to planetary limits being exceeded some time in the
twenty-first century due to pollution and depleted resources, most likely resulting in
the collapse of the population and economic system. Clearly, homo sapiens claimed
they would overcome this collapse thanks to intelligence attached to opening the
system via consciousness. Yet, collapse could be avoided with a combination
of early changes in individual agents’ behaviour, institutional policy-making,
and technological innovation that corresponds to the scope of financial market
transparency on the financial services platform. The novel ESG-based interpretation
of the platform, which integrates fundamental uncertainty embedding long-term
impact analysis on ecosystems, allows the “reverse action” of the homo sapiens
(i.e., Adam Smith’s invisible hand) to deal with such price “misalignments”. Clearly,
this fundamentally modifies the traditional axiology and lets emerge the transparent
sustainable suitability of fiduciary standards.
The accessibility of relational services to non-professional investors at lower
costs, facilitated by exponential technologies, is a necessary precondition to generate
systemic value under a regime of full regulatory transparency, while finding scala-
bility outside volumes. This awareness also revises the current fintech mindsets that
search for disruptive innovation only, which does not really personalise, but risks
a further and even faster homologation towards the null value of “closed systems”.
Instead, a path to sustaining innovation can be found by opening the “system” of
relationships in a sustainable way, also aggregating data holistically.
sapiens cope with uncertainty. Radical rationality is needed to cope with fundamental
uncertainty via consciousness as the real valuable “nudge” for homo sapiens. It
is not restricted to digital nudging and decision-making automation, claiming that
homo sapiens could become homo economicus. Instead, a transparently designed
financial services platform can open the system in the same way heuristics
can open the human mind, which outright optimisation fails to do. This is the
“emotional” value-based superiority of homo sapiens that artificial intelligence is
asked to integrate, not replace. As such, the use of artificial intelligent must comply
with principles of transparency, antifragility, and explicability.
The gap between homo sapiens and homo economicus that Conscious Banking
reduces to generate value can be discussed and reconciled scientifically, in accor-
dance with the current and progressive shift in multiple fields of scientific research
from reductionism towards holism (as exemplified in Figure 10.3). Natural sciences,
one of which is biology, have gained deeper understanding of the complexity of
reality by means of holistic approaches, favoured also by a parallel progress in
the “constantly shifting battle zone between stagnation and anarchy, the one place
where a complex system can be spontaneous, adaptive, and alive”. Traditionally, the
“systemic put” (financed by taxpayers’ money and monetary supply) corresponds to
an unsustainable neo-classical attempt to reduce fundamental uncertainty by closing
the economic system. Unfortunately, the “systemic put” is losing its grip augmenting
the risk that next time the “enough” of Mario Draghi [9] might not be enough. That is
why keeping the system open by making uncertainty endogenous to decision-making
is beneficial at the micro-level (i.e., investors) and the macro-level (i.e., ecosystems),
transparently based on its biological micro-foundations. Transparency finds a solu-
tion to the dissipation of the “systemic put”, and reveals responsibility in causal terms.
In this context, it is the depth of the GFC itself which has created the conditions to
attempt this necessary reanchoring of agent actions to new foundations derived from
agent-based modelling, as in Bookstaber [23].
In behavioural terms, there is a fundamental link between homo sapiens’ biology
(i.e., the neural network of the ultimate agent) and the complexity management of a
financial ecosystem.
The measurement of value also requires addressing all ethical issues. The FMT
axiology is based on a consequentialist ethic, which abandons the previous deonto-
logical approach and accesses a new goals-based axiology that starts by prioritising
investor goals. The FMT measure of Omega transparently anchors the behavioural
framework to investors’ costs, while the consequentialist ethic creates behavioural
value by generating consciousness, also discussed in Hommel [32]. Investment
decision-making is guided by the financial services platform within homo sapiens’
reality, instead of by idealism about homo economicus. The consequential ethic is
the axiological counterpart of a pragmatic approach that allows investors to
evaluate decisions in the real world and not the ideal world. In the real world,
the hierarchy of good corresponds to a hierarchy within their being, thanks to
goals, anchored to investment costs through the cost-benefit measure.
Historically, the theory of value has been characterised by “closed” economic
approaches which entropy condemned to be disproved: Karl Marx centred it on work,
Milton Friedman focused on profit that remunerates for risk, neoclassical economists
provided an interpretation based on subjective utility functions. The socialist vision
collapsed. Friedman’s vision collapsed with the GFC and the climate crisis. Subjec-
tive utility functions are closely rational transcendental micro-foundations mainly not
operational today. Instead, the FMT axiology is scientifically and empirically based
on cost-benefit analysis (CBA) to fulfil homo sapiens’ needs and achieve investment
goals (including positive and negative externalities), which become understandable
and verifiable components of the financial services platform. Cost-benefit appraisal
has often been used to facilitate supervisory and political action with respect to
welfare economics, given the need to integrate the point of view of different and
often conflicting groups. On an individual level of investment practice, it corresponds
to a CBA method that integrates advisory fees and trading/product costs with respect
to temporally local attempts at arbitrage. Regulatory transparency (e.g., MiFID II)
and digital access to information are placing the stream of investment costs and
their related potential benefits inside the CBA approach, asking professional agents
to better relate agnostic (reasonable) ex-ante cost-benefits to ex-post evidence.
Consequently, regulatory adoption of CBA allows the definition of a framework
which enables investors to understand uncertainty by discussing potential benefits at
both the individual and ecosystem level from their personal perspective, conforming
to an agent-based modelling.
By means of analogy with the land rent theory of Ricardo [31], all the costs
made transparently visible to final investors can be described as conventionally
accepted annuities to guarantee the maintenance of the financial ecosystem. This
could be largely accepted only if the financial services industry remains “institu-
tionally anchored” with the aim of helping investors reach their goals, together
with those of the ecosystem which investors would decide to follow (i.e., the
UN Sustainability Goals). These “institutional anchors” benefit the investor and
210 Banks and Fintech on Platform Economies
subjective
views
agnostic / fair
playing field
self-referential
estimates
FIGURE 10.4 The view of the demand side, view of the offer side, and the agnostic view of
the markets
10.7 CONCLUSIONS
The financial services industry is in the midst of an ocean of tensions and opportuni-
ties due to depleted macro-economic conditions, a disrupting digital landscape, the
transformation of society and new expected consuming and investment behaviours.
A novel understanding of the biological micro-foundations of investment decisions,
thus financial markets, creates an institutionalist approach based on transparency.
This industry-changing approach generates anti-fragile dynamics by the mutualisa-
tion of fundamental uncertainty, which is permitted by increasing financial conscious-
ness in the framework of irreversible time. This view of financial markets is said to
be “biological” because it is linked to the true nature of human agents, and dilutes the
epistemological constraints of neoclassical theory and behavioural finance thanks to
the opening up of the reference framework.
The Global Financial Crisis collapse of market prices was evidence of unre-
solved tensions in the reference theory. Market collapse resulted from unbearable
cumulated costs built by the financial system with regard to reduced value-generation
for investors. Yet, Sironi [3] unveiled with the FMT a new axiology in which value
can be transparently generated by new human-centric business models, supported
by well-constructed exponential technologies outside information and inside com-
munication, unlocking value. As such, also the role of digital technology needs to
be anchored to the biological micro-foundations of Conscious Banking, helping in
the generation of value for investors and the ecosystem. Artificial intelligence is not
simply asked to hyper-scale existing business models in a race to the nullification of
value, but to contribute transparently to the institutionalisation of a relationship-based
framework that unlocks value by increasing the financial consciousness of individu-
als, and that of the ecosystem.
Conscious Banking 213
■ Homo sapiens regains the centre stage in the theory, and on the Conscious
Banking platform, which was mistakenly seized by homo economicus.
■ Closed rationality is understood to be insufficient in our confrontation with
reality, because it is verified ex-post. A more radical concept of rationality
is needed to cope with reality ex-ante.
■ Irreversible time overcomes timeless deterministic probability.
■ The self-referential hypothesis of market efficiency does not hold true in
the presence of fundamental uncertainty.
■ Antifragility becomes a coherent systemic goal for regulators and policy-
makers, rather than financial stability tout court.
■ Agnostic and risk-neutral probabilistic simulations of returns allow the
industry to loosen the current and fragile methodological anchor to unsta-
ble drifts and risk premia, thus reducing information asymmetry and pro-
tecting against the “systemic put”.
■ Heuristics (what-if) overcome the limitations of portfolio optimisation in
investment decision-making via transparent Conscious Banking platforms.
■ Financial well-being – based on Goal Based Investing (GBI) tech-
niques – emerges as the practitioners’ anchor that guides business model
transformation and the content of relationships on the Conscious Bank-
ing platform, knowing that efficient frontiers cannot integrate survival
scenarios and personal ambitions.
Concluding Remarks
N ow more than ever, technology is reshaping the future of financial services. Estab-
lished institutions stand at the digital epicentre of a tectonic fault depicted by
the Banking Reinvention Quadrant, which represents the new business value land-
scape of financial services that, in many ways, has been unchanged for centuries.
Deep within the crust of the BRQ, the progressive digitisation of everything and the
new normal emerging from the GFC are colliding against consolidated economic
interests. This seismic activity corresponds to a tension between information (core
banking utilities) and communication (disintermediation of relationships and inter-
faces). This is not just unsettling the business landscape but is also creating new
minerals, a process known by scientists as flash evaporation. Contextual Banking
and Conscious Banking platform strategies are the resulting gold mines enriching the
fault zone. They allow financial institutions to break out and conquer higher-value
spaces on the BRQ, when facing intensified fintech and bigtech competition. Con-
scious Banking platforms are communication-intensive. They leverage exponential
technologies and transparent relationships to unlock value, assisting clients and inter-
mediaries to consciously manage financial lifestyles. Contextual Banking platforms
are information-intensive. They leverage open finance and exponential technologies
to eliminate frictions in non-banking ecosystems, embedding invisible services into
the user journeys of other industries.
On the digital side of this fault, fintech start-ups have been building new business
models for a decade in an attempt to compete with banking operations. They have
focused on mobile access, price convenience, and seamless journeys leveraging data
and AI to engage clients by captivating user experiences. Many fintech companies
have already expired, and many more will die like a bee after expending its sting.
That is the nature of start-up ecosystems. However, the real contenders are already
emerging from the innovation landscape and are likely settling in as new leaders.
Jaime Dimon [1], the JPM Chase CEO, offered his blunt assessment of the forces at
play and the threat posed by fintech during a conference call with investment analysts:
215
216 Concluding Remarks
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Concluding Remarks
1. CNBC (2021) Jamie Dimon says J.P. Morgan Chase should absolutely be ‘scared s—less’
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chase-should-absolutely-be-scared-s-less-about-fintechthreat.html?utm
term=Autofeed&utm medium=Social&utm content=Main&utm source=
Index
227
228 INDEX