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Learning Curve Estimation

The document presents data from two learning curve models - a cumulative average time model and an incremental unit time model - both with an 80% learning curve. The cumulative average time model shows how the average time per unit decreases as more units are completed, reaching 100 hours for the first unit and leveling off around 40 hours. The incremental unit time model shows the time spent on each consecutive unit, starting at 100 hours for the first unit and decreasing gradually with each additional unit.

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tse ma
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26 views

Learning Curve Estimation

The document presents data from two learning curve models - a cumulative average time model and an incremental unit time model - both with an 80% learning curve. The cumulative average time model shows how the average time per unit decreases as more units are completed, reaching 100 hours for the first unit and leveling off around 40 hours. The incremental unit time model shows the time spent on each consecutive unit, starting at 100 hours for the first unit and decreasing gradually with each additional unit.

Uploaded by

tse ma
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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LEARNING CURVE - Cum Avg-Time Learning Model LEARNING CURVE - Incremental Unit-Time

An .80% learning curve 100 a unit 1 An .80% learning curve


The first unit requires 100 LH 0.8 p % of the curve The first unit requires 100 LH
2 chi 2X
-0.32192809 b learning factor
X y X
Cum. # Units Cum. Avg. t/u Cum. Total t/u (marginal) Cum. # Units
1 100.00 100 100 1
2 80.00 160 60 2
3 70.21 210.631111 50.63 3
4 64.00 256 45.37 4
5 59.56 297.818672 41.82 5
6 56.17 337.009777 39.19 6
7 53.45 374.142667 37.13 7
8 51.20 409.6 35.46 8
9 49.29 443.654649 34.05 9
10 47.65 476.509875 32.86 10
11 46.21 508.322253 31.81 11
12 44.93 539.215644 30.89 12
13 43.79 569.290178 30.07 13
14 42.76 598.628268 29.34 14
15 41.82 627.298777 28.67 15
16 40.96 655.36 28.06 16
NING CURVE - Incremental Unit-Time Learning Model
0% learning curve
rst unit requires 100 LH

y
t/u (marginal) Cum. Total Cum. Avg. t/u
100.00 100.00 100.00
80.00 180.00 90.00
70.21 250.21 83.40
64.00 314.21 78.55
59.56 373.77 74.75
56.17 429.94 71.66
53.45 483.39 69.06
51.20 534.59 66.82
49.29 583.89 64.88
47.65 631.54 63.15
46.21 677.75 61.61
44.93 722.68 60.22
43.79 766.47 58.96
42.76 809.23 57.80
41.82 851.05 56.74
40.96 892.01 55.75
LEARNING CURVE - Cum Avg-Time Learning Model LEARNING CURVE - Incremental Unit-Tim
An .80% learning curve 100 a unit 1 An .80% learning curve
The first unit requires 100 LH 0.8 p % of the curve The first unit requires 100 LH
2 chi 2X
-0.32192809 b learning factor
X y
Cum. # Units Cum. Avg. t/u Cum. Total t/u (marginal unit) X
1 100.00 100.00 100.00 Cum. # Units
2 80.00 160.00 60.00 1
3 70.21 210.63 50.63 2
4 64.00 256.00 45.37 3
5 59.56 297.82 41.82 4
6 56.17 337.01 39.19 5
7 53.45 374.14 37.13 6
8 51.20 409.60 35.46 7
9 49.29 443.65 34.05 8
10 47.65 476.51 32.86 9
11 46.21 508.32 31.81 10
12 44.93 539.22 30.89 11
13 43.79 569.29 30.07 12
14 42.76 598.63 29.34 13
15 41.82 627.30 28.67 14
16 40.96 655.36 28.06 15
16
ARNING CURVE - Incremental Unit-Time Learning Model
n .80% learning curve
e first unit requires 100 LH

y
t/u (marginal unit) Cum. Total Cum. Avg. t/u
100.00 100.00 100.00
80.00 180.00 90.00
70.21 250.21 83.40
64.00 314.21 78.55
59.56 373.77 74.75
56.17 429.94 71.66
53.45 483.39 69.06
51.20 534.59 66.82
49.29 583.89 64.88
47.65 631.54 63.15
46.21 677.75 61.61
44.93 722.68 60.22
43.79 766.47 58.96
42.76 809.23 57.80
41.82 851.05 56.74
40.96 892.01 55.75
LEARNING CURVE - Cum Avg-Time Learning Model LEARNING CURVE - Incremental Unit-
An .80% learning curve 100 a unit 1 An .80% learning curve
The first unit requires 100 seconds 0.8 p % of the curve The first unit requires 100 LH
2 chi 2X
-0.32192809 b learning factor
X y X y

t/u of t/u of
Marginal Marginal
Com. # Units Cum. Avg. t/u Cum. Total Unit Com. # Units Unit
1 100.00 100.00 100.00 1 100.00
2 80.00 160.00 60.00 2 80.00
3 70.21 210.63 50.63 3 70.21
4 64.00 256.00 45.37 4 64.00
5 59.56 297.82 41.82 5 59.56
6 56.17 337.01 39.19 6 56.17
7 53.45 374.14 37.13 7 53.45
8 51.20 409.60 35.46 8 51.20
9 49.29 443.65 34.05 9 49.29
10 47.65 476.51 32.86 10 47.65
11 46.21 508.32 31.81 11 46.21
12 44.93 539.22 30.89 12 44.93
13 43.79 569.29 30.07 13 43.79
14 42.76 598.63 29.34 14 42.76
15 41.82 627.30 28.67 15 41.82
16 40.96 655.36 28.06 16 40.96
VE - Incremental Unit-Time Learning Model

quires 100 LH

Cum.Total Cum. Avg. t/u


100.00 100.00
180.00 90.00
250.21 83.40
314.21 78.55
373.77 74.75
429.94 71.66
483.39 69.06
534.59 66.82
583.89 64.88
631.54 63.15
677.75 61.61
722.68 60.22
766.47 58.96
809.23 57.80
851.05 56.74
892.01 55.75
X y
1 100.00 1. create a scatter plot. (highlight the data, select X Y Scatter)
2 80.00 2. click on the data
3 70.21 3. select add trendline
4 64.00 4. select display equation and R2
5 59.56
6 56.17 y
7 53.45 120.00
8 51.20
100.00
9 49.29 f(x) = 100.000160837543 x^-0.321938082536669
R² = 0.999999976406045
10 47.65 80.00
11 46.21
12 44.93 60.00
13 43.79
40.00
14 42.76
15 41.82 20.00
16 40.96
0.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
ata, select X Y Scatter)

12 14 16 18

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