Dividends
Dividends
Tutorial questions
Dividends
QUESTION 1
Assume the forecast end of month (ex-dividend) stock prices for ABC Limited
for the next 2 years are as follows:
Month 1 2 3 4 5 6
Price $ 101.17 103.21 104.07 101.18 102.43 87.62
Month 7 8 9 10 11 12
Price $ 86.87 89.25 89.29 89.25 88.31 89.74
Month 13 14 15 16 17 18
Price $ 90.97 91.26 90.68 91.48 91.90 78.34
Month 19 20 21 22 23 24
Price $ 79.00 79.93 79.19 78.04 78.76 78.82
The current stock price is $100 and the stock is expected to pay a dividend of
$15.00 per share at the end of months 6 and 18.
(i) Calculate the (forecast) end of month values for the next 2 years for the
stock price net of the PV of dividends assuming a riskfree rate of 12%p.a.
(ii) Plot the (forecast) actual stock price and the stock price net of the PV of
dividends as functions of time.
QUESTION 2
QUESTION 3
Consider a European put option on the S&P500 index that is two months from
maturity. The current value of the index is 310 points, the exercise price is 300
points, the risk free interest rate is 8 % p.a. and the volatility of the index is 20%
p.a.. If the dividend yield on the index is 3% p.a. and each contract point is
worth $100, how much would you pay for one option ?
QUESTION 5
Assume the spot USD/JPY exchange rate is 105 (i.e. 1 USD = 105 JPY), the
riskfree interest rate in the US is 3% p.a., the riskfree interest rate in Japan is
7% and the volatility of the USD/JPY exchange rate is 18% p.a. Use Merton’s (1973)
Continuous Dividend Option Pricing Model to calculate the JPY value of a one year
European call option on one USD with a strike of JPY100.
QUESTION 6
A friend has suggested that you use Black's (1975) Pseudo American option
pricing model to value the option. What do you think ?
QUESTION 7
Consider a 3 month European put option on a dividend paying stock currently priced
at $10. The volatility of the stock is 30%p.a and a dividend worth 5% of the stock
value is expected in 1.5 months. The put has a strike of $9 and the risk free rate is
10%p.a. Use a 3 period binomial model to price the option.
QUESTION 8
Assume you are seeking to price a European call option on the S&P500 as at the
close of trade on October 30, 2017. The option has the following characteristics
- The actual S&P500 option prices around that period (for comparison to
your calculations): “S&P500 options.xlsx”
- Historical daily S&P500 index values: “S&P500 index.xlsx”
- Monthly 1 month US T bill rates at constant maturity: “1 month US treasury
bills.xls”
- Daily VIX: “VIX.xlsx”
The first three files are the same as the BSM tutorial and can be obtained from the
LMS for that tutorial.
The annualised dividend yield for the S&P500 was 1.89% p.a as at the end of
October 2017.
(i) Calculate the annualised vol (assuming 252 trading days in the year) using
the S&P500 index data over the following periods
a. December 31, 1999 to October 30, 2017
b. January 4, 2010 to October 30, 2017
c. January 2, 2014 to October 30,2017
d. January 4, 2016 to October 30,2017
e. January 3, 2017 to October 30, 2017
Comment.
iii) Convert the relevant VIX in the spreadsheet to a 252 trading day measure.
a) Price the option using a two period binomial model. Use each of the vols
calculated in part i) and iii)
b) Repeat iv) part a) using a four period binomial model
c) Repeat iv) part a) using a 34 period binomial model
d) Calculate the price of the option using the BSM model. Use the same 6
volatility measures as above.