Stat and Prob Q1 M6
Stat and Prob Q1 M6
HIGH
Probability SCHOOL
SLM
Mean and Variance of Discrete
Random Variable 6
Quarter 1
Statistics and Probability
Quarter 1 – Self Learning Module 6: Mean and Variance of Discrete Random Variable
First Edition, 2020
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Probability SCHOOL
SLM
6
Quarter 1
Welcome to the Statistics and Probability for Senior High School Self Learning
Module on Mean and Variance of Discrete random Variable!
This learning material hopes to engage the learners into guided and independent
learning activities at their own pace and time. Further, this also aims to help
learners acquire the needed 21st century skills especially the 5 Cs namely:
Communication, Collaboration, Creativity, Critical Thinking and Character while
taking into consideration their needs and circumstances.
In addition to the material in the main text, you will also see this box in the body of
the module:
As a facilitator you are expected to orient the learners on how to use this module.
You also need to keep track of the learners' progress while allowing them to
manage their own learning. Moreover, you are expected to encourage and assist the
learners as they do the tasks included in the module.
For the learner:
Welcome to the Statistics and Probability Self Learning Module on Mean and
Variance of Discrete random Variable!
The hand is one of the most symbolized part of the human body. It is often used to
depict skill, action and purpose. Through our hands we may learn, create and
accomplish. Hence, the hand in this learning resource signifies that you as a
learner is capable and empowered to successfully achieve the relevant
competencies and skills at your own pace and time. Your academic success lies in
your own hands!
This module was designed to provide you with fun and meaningful opportunities
for guided and independent learning at your own pace and time. You will be
enabled to process the contents of the learning material while being an active
learner.
Expectation - These are what you will be able to know after completing the
lessons in the module
Pre-test - This will measure your prior knowledge and the concepts to be
mastered throughout the lesson.
Recap - This section will measure what learnings and skills that you
understand from the previous lesson.
Lesson- This section will discuss the topic for this module.
Wrap Up- This section summarizes the concepts and applications of the
lessons.
Post-test - This will measure how much you have learned from the entire
module. Ito po ang parts ng module
EXPECTATIONS
Learning Objectives:
PRETEST
Direction: Read and answer the given problem. Show your complete
solutions.
A discrete random variable can only take two values, 1 and 2. If P(1) = 0.80
and P(2) = 0.20, what is the expected value of X? Find the variance and
standard deviation.
X - Random Variable 1 2
Probability P(X) 0.80 0.20
RECAP
In the last lesson you have learned how to interpret mean and variance of a
discrete random variable.
LESSON
In this lesson we will apply what we have discussed in the past modules in
the real world. We will solve problems involving discrete random variables
and find their mean and variance. These measures are common measures
that we are not aware that we encounter them every day. Let’s have the
following examples.
Example 1
Mommy Joyce is an online shop that sells cooked sisig. Joyce, the owner,
keeps a record of the number of tubs of sisig she sells. Below is her record of
her 10-day sales. Find the mean number of tubs of sisig sold in 10 days. If
she claims that the least number of tubs of sisig sold in a day in her online
shop is 24, is this a credible claim? Determine the variance and standard
deviation, interpret the results.
Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5 Day 6 Day 7 Day 8 Day 9 Day 10
25 22 20 28 22 20 25 25 28 22
X – Number of tubs of
sisig sold per day P(X) X • P(X)
20 2/10 40/10
22 3/10 66/10
25 3/10 75/10
28 2/10 56/10
Step 3. Find the summation of the products of the values of the random
variable and the probabilities.
40 66 75 56 237
∑[𝑋 • 𝑃(𝑋)] = ( )+( )+( )+( )= = 𝟐𝟑. 𝟕
10 10 10 10 10
The mean number of tubs of sisig sold is 23.7 tubs or at least 24 tubs is
sold in a day for 20 days. The claim of Mommy Joyce online shop is true and
credible based on the 10-day sales.
To find the variance and standard deviation, first we have to find the
mean, which we already computed, 23.7.
Step 2. Square each value of the random variable.
X – Number of
tubs of sisig sold P(X) X • P(X) X2
per day
20 2/10 40/10 400
22 3/10 66/10 484
25 3/10 75/10 625
28 2/10 56/10 784
X – Number of
tubs of sisig P(X) X • P(X) X2 X2 • P(X)
sold per day
20 2/10 40/10 400 800/10
22 3/10 66/10 484 1452/10
25 3/10 75/10 625 1875/10
28 2/10 56/10 784 1568/10
𝝈𝟐 = ∑[𝑿𝟐 • 𝑷(𝑿)] − 𝝁𝟐
𝝈𝟐 = 569.5 − (23.7)2
𝝈𝟐 = 569.5 − 561.69
𝝈𝟐 = 𝟕. 𝟖𝟏
Step 5. Find the standard deviation by getting the square root of the
variance.
𝝈 = √∑[𝑿𝟐 • 𝑷(𝑿)] − 𝝁𝟐
𝝈 = √7.81
𝝈 = 2.794
𝝈 = 𝟐. 𝟕𝟗
The variance is 7.81 and the standard deviation is 2.79. The variance
indicates that the number of tubs sold in 20 days slightly vary every day or
the data are a little spread out. The average difference of the daily sales from
the mean is 2.79.
Example 2
The school council of a certain senior high school organized a concert to
raise funds for their future projects. They invested Php 8,000 and expect to
sell tickets worth Php 15,000. However, if it rains on the day of the concert,
they will not be able to sell any tickets and they will lose their investment.
According to the weather forecast, there is a 20% chance that it will rain on
the day of the concert. Find the expected gain of the school council. Is this a
good fund-raising project?
Gain Loss
Outcomes 7000 -8000
Probability 0.80 0.20
Based on the problem, the student council invested 8000 pesos and they
expect to sell 15000 pesos worth of tickets, their profit or gain will be 7000
and if it rains on the day of the concert, they will lose the amount they
invested which is 8000 pesos. The probability that it will rain and they will
lose 8000 is 20% or 0.20 and the probability that it will not rain and they
will earn 7000 is 1 − 0.20 = 0.80. The summation of the probability should be
equal to 1.
Step 3. Find the summation of the products of the values of the random
variable and the probabilities.
The school council is expected to gain Php 4000 from the ticket sales, the
concert is a good fund-raising project since the expected value or gain is
positive.
Example 3
Gain Loss
Outcomes 3 - 80
Probability 49/50 1/50
From the problem the outcomes are, the company will gain 3 pesos for every
working battery but they will lose 80 pesos for every defective battery. The
probability that they will lose 80 pesos is one out of 50 or 1/50 and the
1 49
probability that they will earn 3 pesos is 1 − 50 = 50. Sum of all probabilities
should be equal to 1.
Gain Loss
Outcomes 3 - 80
Probability 49/50 1/50
Product (3)(49/50) (-80)(1/50)
2.94 - 0.16
Step 3. Find the summation of the products of the values of the random
variable and the probabilities.
The company is expected to gain Php 2.78 from each battery. Yes, they will
make a profit in the long run.
Example 4
The Math Society of a certain Senior High School organized a raffle where
the prize is the latest edition of a certain brand of calculator. The raffle aims
to raise funds for their club. They were able to sell 1000 tickets that cost 5
pesos each. If they spent 3500 for the prize, what will be the expected gain
of a student who will buy one ticket?
Win Lose
Outcomes 3495 -5
Probability 1/1000 999/1000
Each ticket cost 5 pesos, if you only have one ticket then if you will win the
calculator which cost 3500 pesos that means you only won 3495 pesos
because you paid 5 pesos for the ticket. The probability that you will win is
only one out of 1000 (1000 is the total number of tickets sold), while the
1
probability that you will lose is 1 − 1000 = 999/1000. Sum of all probabilities
should be 1.
Gain Loss
Outcomes 3495 -5
Probability 1/1000 999/1000
Product (3495)(1/1000) (-5)(999/1000)
3.495 - 4.995
Step 3. Get the summation of the product.
The student is expected to lose 1.5 for every ticket he/she will buy.
Remember for each ticket you buy, you either lose 5 pesos or win a
calculator. The 1.5 pesos is the average expected loss for every ticket you
buy after buying more tickets.
Example 5
Mr. Santos plans to open a food business and found the statistics below for
the similar restaurant.
If Mr. Santos will use the data above, what would be his expected profit in a
year? If you are Mr. Santos are you going to continue putting up the food
business? Find the variance and standard deviation, interpret the results.
Mr. Santos is expected to gain Php 1,250,000 in a year if he will use the
same statistics.
If I, were Mr. Santos, yes I will continue putting up the restaurant business
because based on the Statistics above I’ am expected to earn an average of
Php 1,250,00 in a year.
To find the variance and standard deviation, first we find the mean which
we already have Php 1,250,000.
Profit in Product of
Probabilities a Year/ Product Square of the squared
Outcome outcomes outcome and
probability
20% - 2500000 - 500000 6.25 x 1012 1.25 x 1012
30% 0 0 0 0
40% 2500000 1000000 6.25 x 1012 2.5 x 1012
10% 7500000 750000 5.625 x 1013 5.625 x 1012
𝝈𝟐 = ∑[𝑿𝟐 • 𝑷(𝑿)] − 𝝁𝟐
𝝈𝟐 = 9375000000000 − (1250000)2
𝝈𝟐 = 9375000000000 − 1562500000000
𝝈𝟐 = 𝟕𝟖𝟏𝟐𝟓𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎
Step 5. Find the standard deviation by getting the square root of the
variance.
𝝈 = √∑[𝑿𝟐 • 𝑷(𝑿)] − 𝝁𝟐
𝝈 = √7812500000000
𝝈 = 2795094.972
𝝈 = 𝟐𝟕𝟗𝟓𝟎𝟗𝟒. 𝟗𝟕
ACTIVITIES
ACTIVITY 1: PRACTICE
Direction: Read and answer the given problems below. Show your
complete solutions.
1. A college statistics class has 20 students. The ages of these students are
as follows: One student is 16 years old, four are 18, nine are 19, three are
20, two are 21, and one is 30. Let x be the age of any student (randomly
selected). Find the mean age of the students and determine the variance and
standard deviation. Interpret the results.
Probability of X
0.5
0.4
P(X)
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-200 0 200 400
Values of X
WRAP – UP
In this lesson we solved real life problems which involves discrete random
variables and find their mean and variance. We also interpret the results
from finding the mean and variance.
REMEMBER:
VALUING
The COVID-19 virus has changed all our lives in just one flick of a finger,
but we should all take this virus as a challenge. To abide by the health
protocol set by DOH, we must repeatedly do washing of hands at an average
of about 20 seconds every wash time every 30 minutes. Likewise, observing
a one-meter physical distance is also required. The battle cry of DepED now
is to continue educating our learners despite the pandemic crisis. Hence,
this distance learning. We should not let this virus hinder your goal to learn
and achieve your dreams. We, your teachers, are all willing to help you
achieve your dreams. You just have to do your part and that is even without
a teacher physically guiding you, you are expected to study on your own,
make right decisions, and be honest at all times.
POSTTEST
Direction: Read and answer the given problem. Show your complete
solutions.