Visualization - Temporal Data
Visualization - Temporal Data
Visualization - Temporal Data
REFERENCES
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to Historical Studies in the Natural Sciences
A B S TR A C T
One of the best arguments for approaching the history of information processing and
handling in the human and natural sciences as a “history of data” is that it focuses our
attention on relationships, convergences, and contingent historical developments that
can be obscured following more traditional areas of focus on individual disciplines or
technologies. This essay explores one such case of convergence in nineteenth-
century data history between empirical natural history (paleontology and botany),
bureaucratic statistics (cameralism), and contemporary historiography, arguing that
the establishment of visual conventions around the presentation of temporal patterns
in data involved interactions between ostensibly distinct knowledge traditions. This
essay is part of a special issue entitled Histories of Data and the Database edited by
Soraya de Chadarevian and Theodore M. Porter.
KEY WORDS: statistics, natural history, visualization, cameralism, data
Historical Studies in the Natural Sciences, Vol. 48, Number 5, pps. 581–593. ISSN 1939-1811,
electronic ISSN 1939-182X. © 2018 by the Regents of the University of California. All rights
reserved. Please direct all requests for permission to photocopy or reproduce article content
through the University of California Press’s Reprints and Permissions web page, http://www.
ucpress.edu/journals.php?p¼reprints. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1525/hsns.2018.48.5.581.
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2. David Sepkoski, “Towards ‘a Natural History of Data’: Evolving Practices and Epis-
temologies of Data in Paleontology, 1800–2000,” Journal of the History of Biology 46, no. 3 (2013):
401–44. Sepkoski, “The Earth as Archive,” in Archiving Sciences: Pasts, Presents, Futures, ed.
Lorraine Daston (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2017), 53–83; David Sepkoski and Marco
Tamborini, “‘An Image of Science’: Cameralism, Natural History, and the Visual Language of
Statistics in the Nineteenth Century,” Historical Studies in the Natural Sciences 48, no. 1 (2018):
56–109. Theodore M. Porter, Trust in Numbers: The Pursuit of Objectivity in Science and Public
Life (Princeton. NJ: Princeton University Press, 1995); Porter, The Rise of Statistical Thinking,
1820–1900 (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1986). Martin J. S. Rudwick, Bursting the
Limits of Time: The Reconstruction of Geohistory in the Age of Revolution (Chicago: University of
Chicago Press, 2005).
3. Porter, Trust in Numbers (ref. 2).
4. Alain Desrosières, The Politics of Large Numbers: A History of Statistical Reasoning (Cam-
bridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2002); Ian Hacking, The Taming of Chance (Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press, 1990).
5. Ian Hacking, “Biopower and the Avalanche of Printed Numbers,” Humanities in Society 5
(1982): 279–95.
6. See, particularly, Christine von Oertzen, “Datafication and Visualization in Nineteenth-
Century Census Statistics,” in this Issue.
7. Michael Friendly, “The Golden Age of Statistical Graphics,” Statistical Science 23, no. 4
(2008): 502–35.
visualizations to be intuitive today, but it took many decades over the nine-
teenth century for these conventions to be accepted, and their emergence was
tied to highly contingent convergences between practices in often disparate
fields of inquiry. How did this transformation come about?
For insight into this question, I will point to contemporary developments in
two seemingly disparate fields of knowledge: early nineteenth-century state
science (cameralism), and paleontology. As my central case study, I will high-
light one particular convergence: the emergence of visual approaches to patterns
in temporal data. My argument is that the temporalizing of data in graphical
form drew on developments in both traditions, but that the knowledge
exchange involved depended on actors whose interests were highly idiosyncratic
and divergent. This case study, then, offers both an insight into the contingent
circumstances around the establishment of a particular visual idiom, and an
advertisement for the usefulness of “history of data” as a category.
As Daniel Rosenberg and Anthony Grafton have shown in their innovative
study of the history of the “timeline,” the now-familiar convention that time
can be visually represented as a line passing through measured graphical space
did not fully emerge until the late eighteenth century.8 One of the most
influential early presentations of this visual idiom was Joseph Priestley’s
1764 A Description of a Chart of Biography, which depicted the lives of some
2,000 notable historical figures as horizontal lines measured against absolute
graphic space. As Priestly put it, “Thus the abstract idea of TIME . . . admits of
a natural and easy representation in our minds by the idea of a measurable
space, and particularly that of a line; which like time, may be extended in
length, without giving any idea of breadth or thickness.”9
This visual device caught on quickly and was often imitated, but in its initial
form it was somewhat limited: being two-dimensional, the only meaningful
information is conveyed on the horizontal (temporal) axis. However, others
quickly realized that the vertical axis could also be employed, enabling a graph
to demonstrate some change in a variable over time. Most notably, the Scottish
engineer and political economist William Playfair adapted Priestley’s conven-
tion to now-familiar line graphs, representing (for example) fluctuating
imports and exports in England. The importance of this innovation was that
it merged the geometric tradition of the Cartesian coordinate system
8. Daniel Rosenberg and Anthony Grafton, Cartographies of Time: A History of the Timeline
(Princeton, NJ: Princeton Architectural Press, 2010), 113.
9. Joseph Priestley, A Description of a Chart of Biography (London: J. Johnson, 1764), 5.
10. James R. Beniger and Dorothy L. Robyn, “Quantitative Graphics in Statistics: A Brief
History,” The American Statistician 32 (1978): 2.
11. Ibid., 3.
12. Harro Maas, William Stanley Jevons and the Making of Modern Economics (Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press, 2005), 218.
since, as he put it, “statistical projections that speak to the senses without
fatiguing the mind, possess the advantage of fixing the attention on a great
number of important facts.”13
Geologists, too, had a fairly established visual culture by the early decades of
the nineteenth century. Whereas some of the most famous of these images
were spatial representations of the stratigraphic layers of the earth, arranged
either as topographical maps (William Smith) or idealized stratigraphic
columns (Georges Cuvier and Alexandre Brongniart), others followed the
tradition of Priestley and Playfair by representing temporal data in graphical
space.14 One of the first true line graphs in paleontology was published in 1860
by the English geologist John Phillips (who, interestingly, was the nephew and
collaborator of the stratigraphical pioneer William Smith), depicting changes
in the taxonomic diversity of fossils over the history of life (Fig. 2). Phillips’s
image abstracted a pattern of the waxing and waning of life’s diversity from
a compendium of taxonomic data in a manner precisely analogous to
the method that had been employed by Playfair and by contemporaries like
William Jevons—it revealed a complex temporal phenomenon in data that
would otherwise have been invisible.15
Whereas Humboldt was quite open about the source of his graphical inspi-
ration, the story in geology and paleontology is a bit more complex. Phillips’s
graph was, in 1860, published at a moment when similar graphs were becoming
more popular in political economy, demography, and the physical sciences,
and Phillips might have had any number of models to draw on. But similar
kinds of narrative visual summaries had already emerged significantly earlier, in
the late 1830s and 1840s, well before such visualizations of economic statistics
had become broadly accepted. One particularly significant example was the
work of the German naturalist Georg Heinrich Bronn, a paleontologist who
occupied a chair at Heidelberg and was considered in his day to be one of the
leading scientists in Europe. Bronn advocated a distinctive approach to the
study of life that was explicitly statistical in nature: basically, he spent his career
tabulating data on all known taxonomic groups of fossils, which he compiled
in huge compendia, like his 1849 Index palaeontologicus: Oder Übersicht der bis
13. Alexander von Humboldt, Political Essay on the Kingdom of New Spain, vol. 1 (London:
Longman, 1814), cxxxii–iii.
14. Georges Cuvier and Alexandre Brongniart, Description géologique des environs de Paris
(Paris, 1812); William Smith, Strata Identified by Organized Fossils (London,: W. Arding, 1816).
15. John Phillips, Life on the Earth (London: John Murray, 1860).
16. H. G. Bronn, Index Paleontolgicus, oder Übersicht der bist jetzt bekannten Fossilen Orga-
nismen (Stuttgart: 1849).
was a very good reason for this approach: Bronn, though ultimately appointed
to the first Chair in Zoology at his university, was in fact trained not as
a naturalist, but as a practitioner of the bureaucratic science of Kameralwis-
senschaft (cameralism). Indeed, Bronn received his habilitation in that subject
from the University of Heidelberg in 1821, and immediately joined the faculty
in the school of cameral studies. He did not publish on geological topics until
the early 1830s, although his particular focus in state administration was
forestry and agriculture, which led him to travel widely, observing natural
environments in Germany, Swizerland, and Italy that ultimately seems to have
inspired his interest in fossils.
However, it is noteworthy not just that Bronn was a cameralist, but espe-
cially that he was trained and taught at Heidelberg during a period of transition
in economic state sciences. Although it has been fairly extensively documented
that most cameralist practice—and, indeed, statistical practice at the time more
generally—viewed the accumulation of numerical data as a purely descriptive
enterprise that explicitly avoided seeking explanatory patterns and laws, as
Marco Tamborini and I have shown elsewhere, the Heidelberg school was
an exception.17 Specifically, Heidelberg cameralists followed the German
agronomist Albrech Daniel Thaer and his student Carl von Wulffen in dis-
tinguishing between “statistics” and “statics,” the latter of which they defined
as an approach explicitly contrasted to what was perceived as the dry collection
of data for data’s sake. As practiced at Heidelberg—for example, by the forestry
expert Johann Christian Hundeshagen—cameralism involved a two-part pro-
cess: first the data was collected and tabulated, which was statistics, and next
mathematical relationships within the tables were calculated, which was statics.
These lessons were absorbed deeply by Bronn. His compendia of fossil data
were assembled not just to document the empirical record of fossils, but to
determine relationships among the data that could reveal patterns in the
history of life, and Bronn seems to have been aware of the novelty of his
approach. In his first paleontological study—an analysis of the succession of
strata in the Italian Tertiary formations—he concluded that “these studies are
sufficient not only to settle a dispute concerning the Italian Tertiary structure,
but also to demonstrate the application of a numerical approach to character-
istics of the fossil deposits in rock strata, that has so far not been considered.”18
This was, for Bronn, the beginning of a new discipline, which he appropriately
termed “paleontological statics.” The need for better data prompted him to
devote his career to assembling his massive taxonomic data compilation,
which he believed would provide a firm basis for analyzing the patterns and
regularities in the history of life. Whereas a number of other naturalists of
Bronn’s day—in disciplines ranging from botany to zoology to paleontol-
ogy—had compiled numerical tabular accounts of species and genera, Bronn’s
approach was distinctive because it applied statistical analysis to a causal expla-
nation of the data he collected—and this was the influence of his cameralist
training in statics.
But Heidelberg cameralists generally did not employ pictorial summaries of
data in the style of Playfair or von Humboldt—their visual culture was still
firmly rooted in the tabular idiom. In his more mature paleontological stud-
ies—the 1849 Index, for example—Bronn introduced visualizations of his data
patterns, like the one reproduced in Figure 3. This image is one of the earliest
examples of what is now known as a “spindle” diagram, one of the most
common visual devices in paleontology for depicting the duration and diver-
sity of a higher taxon as a line of varying thickness (according to the number of
constituent taxa at a given time). This particular diagram depicts the history of
major groups of organisms throughout geological history, and effectively takes
the form of a visual historical summary. We see, at a glance, the rise and
diversification of the ammonites before their abrupt departure alongside the
waxing and waning of the brachiopods, vascular plants, crustaceans, mammals,
etc. The picture, then, tells a story about the history of life, and has become
a standard tool in evolutionary biology—and especially paleontology—to
this day.
What is significant about this image is not just that it reflects the incorpo-
ration of statistical visual practices to natural history, but that it also signals an
important epistemic shift in thinking about—and visualizing—history itself.
In describing the somewhat later innovations of Jevons in economic statistics,
Maas observes that “before graphs could reveal economic phenomena and
feature in economic explanations. . . . [h]istorical events had to be repackaged
as data,” something Maas labels “the timing of history.”19 This is precisely
what Bronn, drawing on his cameralist training, saw was necessary for narrat-
ing broad patterns in the history of life. In the first place, historical “events”
(i.e., the individual life histories of organisms) were aggregated and converted
FIGURE 3: One of Bronn’s spindle diagrams depicting the relative changes in diversity
among different groups of animals throughout geological time. Source: H. G. Bronn, Index
Paleontolgicus, oder Übersicht der bist jetzt bekannten Fossilen Organismen (Stuttgart:
1849), 778.
to data points representing taxonomic units that could be counted and treated
statistically. Secondly, those data were projected as a temporal progression in
visual space, “stabilized” not only along the horizontal (temporal) axis, but also
on the vertical, which represented change in quantity. Indeed, it is only
through the abstraction of individual events to commensurable data points,
and the aggregation of those data, that it is possible to identify the regularities
or “empirical laws” that Bronn hoped to discover—in this case, what Bronn
would later describe as the tendency for major taxonomic groups to progres-
sively diversify, reach a maximum point, and then slowly decline, only to be
succeeded by similar cycles in other groups.20
20. H. G. Bronn, Untersuchungen Über Die Entwickelungs-Gesetze der organischen Welt Wäh-
rend der Bildungs-Zeit unserer Erd-Oberfläche (Stuttgart: Schweizerbart’sche Verlagsbuchhan-
dlung, 1858), 489. Interestingly, the historiographic conventions implicit Bronn’s statistical
visualizations also resonate suggestively with contemporary philosophies of human history, such
as works by G. F. Hegel and the English historian Henry Buckle, the latter of whom promoted
a “statistical” approach to history in his History of Civilization in England (London: John Parker,
1857). Notably, Buckle’s work received a great deal of attention in Germany, where it was read
appreciatively by statisticians but often criticized for, as Prussian Statistical Bureau director Ernst
Engel asserted, confusing statistical regularity with law. Engel’s view—which is discussed in detail
by Christine von Oertzen in this Issue—reflected an important contemporary debate about the
-
viability of statistics for historical reconstruction in natural history and other disciplines as well. In
the decades following Bronn’s death (in 1862), German-speaking paleontologists debated whether
an aggregative statistical approach was valid for identifying historical patterns in the fossil record.
Like Engel, paleontologists Melchior Neumayr and Karl Alfred von Zittel argued that statistical
analysis could not identify causal relationships that are the proper foundation for establishing laws
of nature, and urged instead a focus on reconstructing individual “snapshots” of life’s history
through careful study of individual fossil groups. See Hacking, Taming of Chance (ref. 4), 125–29;
Marco Tamborini, “Paleontology and Darwin’s Theory of Evolution: The Subversive Role of
Statistics at the End of the 19th Century,” Journal of the History of Biology 48 (2015): 575–612.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
I would like to thank Soraya de Chadarevian and Ted Porter for the invitation to
contribute to this special issue and the workshop that preceded it. Thanks also to
the members of the initial workshop for thoughtful comments about my oral presen-
tation, and to Soraya, Ted, Hallam Stevens and Christine von Oertzen for helpful
comments on the written draft. Portions of this article have drawn on research con-
ducted in collaboration with Marco Tamborini; I would like to acknowledge his impor-
tant role in the larger project on which this essay is based.
21. See, for example, Bruno J. Strasser, “Data-Driven Sciences: From Wonder Cabinets to
Electronic Databases,” Studies in History and Philosophy of Biological and Biomedical Sciences 43
(2012): 85–87.