MATH 106A: ELEMENTARY STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY (WITH LABORATORY)

Module in

ELEMENTARY
STATISTICS AND
PROBABILITY
(WITH LABORATORY)

Prepared by:

Jenny N. Sedano
Faculty, Mathematics Department

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 MATH 106A: ELEMENTARY STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY (WITH LABORATORY)

Module 1
Basic Concepts about Statistics
CHAPTER I Introduction to Statistics
Definition of Statistics
 In its plural sense, statistics is a set of numerical data (e.g., vital statistics in a
beauty contest, monthly sales of a company, daily P-$ exchange rate).
 In its singular sense, Statistics is that branch of science which deals with the
collection, presentation, analysis, and interpretation of data.

Types of Statistics
 Descriptive Statistics - methods concerned with the collection, description, and
analysis of a set of data without drawing conclusions or inferences about a larger
set; the main concern is simply to describe the set of data such that otherwise
obscure information is brought out clearly conclusions apply only to the data on
hand

 Inferential Statistics - methods concerned with making predictions or inferences

about a larger set of data using only the information gathered from a subset of
this larger set; the main concern is not merely to describe but actually predict
and make inferences based on the information gathered; conclusions are
applicable to a larger set of data which the data on hand is only a subset

Descriptive Statistics vs. Inferential Statistics

Descriptive Inferential

 A bowler wants to find his bowling  A bowler wants to estimate his chance
average for the past 12 games. of winning a game based on his
current season averages and the
averages of his opponents.
 A housewife wants to determine the  A housewife would like to predict
average weekly amount she spent based on last year’s grocery bills, the
on groceries in the past 3 months. average weekly amount she will spend
on groceries for this year.
 A politician wants to know the exact  A politician would like to estimate,
number of votes he received in the based on an opinion poll, his chance
last election. for winning in the upcoming election.

Exercises: Determine whether the following statements use the area of descriptive
statistics or inferential statistics.
1. A manager would like to predict based on previous years’ sales, the sales
performance of a company for the next five years.
2. If the present trend continues, architects will construct more contemporary
homes than colonials in the next five years.

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3. A teacher wishes to determine the percentage of students who passed the

examination.
4. A basketball player wants to estimate his chance of winning the most valuable
player (MVP) award based on his current season average and the averages of
the opponents.

Uses of Statistics
 In the biological and medical sciences, it can help researchers discover
relationships worthy of further attention.

Example: A doctor can use Statistics to determine to what extent is an increase in

blood pressure dependent upon age.

 In the social sciences, it can guide and help researchers support theories and
models that cannot stand on rationale alone.

Example: Empirical studies are using Statistics to obtain socio-economic profile of

the middle class to form new socio-political theories on classes as the existing
theories apparently are no longer valid.

 In business, a company can use statistics to forecast sales, design products, and
produce goods more efficiently.

Example: A pharmaceutical company can apply statistical procedures to find out if a

new formula is indeed more effective than the one being used. Results can help the
company decide whether to market the new formula or not.

 In engineering, it can be used to test properties of various materials.

Example: A quality controller can use Statistics to estimate the average lifetime of
the products produced by their current equipment.

 In education, statistics can be used to assess students’ performance and

correlate factors affecting teaching and learning process to improve quality
education.

Example: A teacher can correlate the factors affecting the academic performance of
the students in Elementary Statistics subject.

 In psychology, statistics is used to determine attitudinal patterns, the causes and

effects of misbehavior.

 In research, statistics is used to validate or test a claim or inferences about a

group of people, objects or series of events.

Population and Sample

Definition.

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 MATH 106A: ELEMENTARY STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY (WITH LABORATORY)

A population is a collection of all the elements under consideration in a statistical

study.

A sample is a part or subset of the population from which the information is

collected.

Example: A manufacturer of kerosene heaters wants to determine if customers are

satisfied with the performance of their heaters. Toward this goal, 5,000 of his 200,000
customers are contacted and each is asked, “Are you satisfied with the performance of
the kerosene heater you purchased?” Identify the population and the sample for this
situation.
Definition.
A parameter is a numerical characteristic of the population.

A statistic is a numerical characteristic of the sample.

Example: In order to estimate the true proportion of students at a certain college

who smoke cigarettes, the administration polled a sample of 200 students and
determined that the proportion of students from the sample who smoke cigarettes is
0.12. Identify the parameter and the statistic.

CHAPTER II Data Collection

Steps in a Statistical Inquiry

1. Define the problem.

2. Formulate the research design.
3. Collect the data.
4. Code and analyze the collected data.
5. Interpret the results.

Variables and Measurement

Definition. A variable is a characteristic or attribute of persons or objects which can

assume different values or labels for different persons or objects under consideration.

Definition. Measurement is the process of determining the value or label of a

particular variable for a particular experimental unit.

Definition. An experimental unit is the individual or object on which a variable is

measured.

Classification of Variables

1. Discrete vs Continuous

 Discrete variable – refers to variables that can be obtained through counting or

enumerating.

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Examples: number of students, number of books, and number of patients

 Continuous variable - a variable which can assume infinitely many values

corresponding to a line interval

Examples: height, weight and temperature

2. Qualitative vs Quantitative

 Qualitative variable - a variable that yields categorical responses

Examples: religious affiliation, occupation, marital status

 Quantitative variable - a variable that takes on numerical values representing an

amount or quantity

Examples: weight, height, and number of cars

Levels of Measurement

1. Nominal Level (or Classificatory Scale)

The nominal level is the weakest level of measurement where numbers or
symbols are used simply for categorizing subjects into different groups.
Examples:
Sex M-Male F-Female
Marital status 1-Single 2-Married 3-Widowed 4-Separated

2. Ordinal Level (or Ranking Scale)

The ordinal level of measurement contains the properties of the nominal level,
and in addition, the numbers assigned to categories of any variable may be ranked or
ordered in some low-to-high-manner.
Examples:
Teaching ratings
1-poor 2- fair 3-good 4-excellent
Year level
1-1st yr 2 – 2nd yr
3 – 3rd yr 4 – 4th yr

3. Interval Level
The interval level is that which has the properties of the nominal and ordinal
levels, and in addition, the distances between any two numbers on the scale are of
known sizes. An interval scale must have a common and constant unit of measurement.
Furthermore, the unit of measurement is arbitrary and there is no “true zero” point.
Examples:
Intellectual Quotient (IQ)

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Temperature (in Celsius)

4. Ratio Level
The ratio level of measurement contains all the properties of the interval level,
and in addition, it has a “true zero” point.

Examples:
Age (in years)
Number of correct answers in an exam

Classification of Data

1. Primary vs. Secondary

 Primary source - data measured by the researcher/agency that published it

 Secondary source - any republication of data by another agency

Example: The publications of the National Statistics Office are primary sources and all
subsequent publications of other agencies are secondary sources.

2. External vs. Internal

 Internal data - information that relates to the operations and functions of the
organization collecting the data

 External data - information that relates to some activity outside the organization
collecting the data

Example: The sales data of SM is internal data for SM but external data for any
other organization such as Robinson’s.

Data Collection Methods

 Survey method - questions are asked to obtain information, either through self-
administered questionnaire or personal interview

Self-administered questionnaire Personal interview

 Obtained information is limited to  Missing information and vague
subjects’ written answers to pre- responses are minimized with the
arranged questions proper probing of the interviewer

 Lower response rate  Higher response rate through call-

backs

 It can be administered to a large  It is administered to a person or

number of people simultaneously group one at a time

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 Respondents may feel freer to express  Respondent may feel more cautious
views and are less pressured to particularly in answering sensitive
answer immediately questions for fear of disapproval

 It is more appropriate for obtaining  It is more appropriate for obtaining

objective information about complex emotionally-laden
topics or probing sentiments
underlying an expressed opinion

 Observation method - makes possible the recording of behavior but only at the
time of occurrence (e.g., observing reactions to a particular stimulus, traffic
count)

Advantages over Survey Method:

- does not rely on the respondent’s willingness to provide information

- certain types of data can be collected only by observation (e.g. behavior patterns
of which the subject is not aware of or is ashamed to admit)
- the potential bias caused by the interviewing process is reduced or eliminated

Disadvantages over Survey Method:

- things such as awareness, beliefs, feelings and preferences cannot be observed

- the observed behavior patterns can be rare or too unpredictable thus increasing
the data collection costs and time requirements

 Experimental method - a method designed for collecting data under controlled

conditions. An experiment is an operation where there is actual human
interference with the conditions that can affect the variable under study. This is
an excellent method of collecting data for causation studies. If properly
designed and executed, experiments will reveal with a good deal of accuracy, the
effect of a change in one variable on another variable.

 Use of existing studies - e.g., census, health statistics, and weather bureau
reports

Two types:

- documentary sources - published or written reports, periodicals, unpublished

documents, etc.
-
- field sources – researchers who have done studies on the area of interest are
asked personally or directly for information needed

 Registration method - e.g., car registration, student registration, and hospital

admission

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General Classification of Collecting Data

Definition. Census or complete enumeration is the process of gathering information

from every unit in the population.

- not always possible to get timely, accurate and economical data

- costly, especially if the number of units in the population is too large

Definition. Survey sampling is the process of obtaining information from the units in
the selected sample.

Advantages of Survey Sampling:

• reduced cost

• greater speed

• greater scope

• greater accuracy

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Name: _______________________________________________

Year & Section: ________________________________________

Date Submitted: _______________________________________

Score: _______________

PERFORMANCE TASK (LECTURE)

Exercise 1.1

Classify the following statements as belonging to the area of descriptive

statistics or statistical inference. Write DS for descriptive statistics and write
IS for inferential statistics on the space provided.

______1. Yesterday's records show that five (5) employees were absent due to Dengue
fever.

______2. If the present trend continues, architects will construct more contemporary
homes than colonials in the next 5 years.

______3. In a certain city, arsonists deliberately set 3% of all fires reported last year.

______4. At least 30% of all new homes being built today are of a contemporary design.

______5. As a result of a recent poll, most Filipinos are in favor of finding work
employment abroad.

______6. Philippines' Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grows by 4.6% in 2002, 1.4
percentage points higher than its 3.2% performance in 2001.

______7. The average grade of 10 students in English is 89.46%.

______8. Based from the present sales trend, it is expected that after two years, this
year's sales will be doubled.

______9. All four provinces of ARMM are among the 10 poorest provinces in the
Philippines for 2002.

______10. During the period 1996 to 2002, unemployment rates among women were
consistently higher compared to men except in 1999 and 2000.

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Exercise 1.2

A. Identify the population, variable of interest, and type of variable in the

following:

1. The dean of a certain college would like to determine the average weekly allowance
of BS Computer Science students.

Population: ________________________________________________________

Variable: ________________________________________________________

Type of Variable: ________________________________________________________

2. The DLSU-D Admissions Office would like to conduct a survey on the preferred
courses of 4th year high school students in Cavite.

Population: ________________________________________________________

Variable: ________________________________________________________

Type of Variable: ________________________________________________________

3. The dean of the College of Science would like to know the number of students who
are smoking.

Population: ________________________________________________________

Variable: ________________________________________________________

Type of Variable: ________________________________________________________

4. A survey by a group of students entitled “Dress Code” will be conducted to first year
students to determine the fashion preferences of these students.

Population: ________________________________________________________

Variable: ________________________________________________________

Type of Variable: ________________________________________________________

5. Information will be collected to new voters for 2004 election to identify their opinion
regarding politics in the Philippines.

Population: ________________________________________________________

Variable: ________________________________________________________

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 MATH 106A: ELEMENTARY STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY (WITH LABORATORY)

Type of Variable: ________________________________________________________

6. From all students registered this semester, the Mathematics Department would like to
know how many students like mathematics.

Population: ________________________________________________________

Variable: ________________________________________________________

Type of Variable: ________________________________________________________

7. A study to be conducted by an NGO would determine the Filipinos' awareness about

the war against IRAQ.

Population: ________________________________________________________

Variable: ________________________________________________________

Type of Variable: ________________________________________________________

8. A group of students taking Statistics conducted a study on the effect of boy-girl

relationship to the academic performance of the students.
Population:

Variable:

Type of Variable:

9. Some parents would like to determine whether Counter Strike is good or bad to the
behavior of their children.

Population: ________________________________________________________

Variable: ________________________________________________________

Type of Variable: ________________________________________________________

10.The head librarian would like to identify the book/s commonly read by DLSU-D
students.

Population: ________________________________________________________

Variable: ________________________________________________________

Type of Variable: ________________________________________________________:

11. A statistics teacher, Mrs. Reyes, would like to determine whether the number of
students in a class at the start of the semester can determine the number of failures.

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Population: ________________________________________________________

Variable: ________________________________________________________

Type of Variable: ________________________________________________________

B. Identify each statement as having discrete or continuous data. Write D for

discrete and C for continuous on the space provided.

_____1. Among 1,500,000 microcomputer chips made by Motocolla,2 are found to be

defective.

_____2. Yesterday's records show that 25 students were absent.

_____3. Radar on EDSA indicated that the driver was going 150 kph when ticketed for

speeding

_____4. The amount of time that a taxi driver spends yielding to individual pedestrians

each year is 2.367 seconds.

_____5. Upon completion of a diet and exercise program, Tony weighed 12.37 lbs. less

than when he started the program.

C. Identify which of the following quantitative data would be represented by a

discrete variable or a continuous variable. Write DV for discrete variable and

write CV for continuous variable.

_____1. number of students

_____2. time (in minutes) to finish an exam

_____3. distance ( in km.) of school from place of residence

_____4. length ( in cm.) of fish caught

_____5. width of the newest brand of cellular phone

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_____6. percentage increase in enrolment this year

_____7. number of enrollees

_____8. monthly income of 100 randomly selected persons at KADIWA Market

_____9. sum of points in tossing a pair of dice

_____10. lifetime(in years) of televisions produced by ZONY

Exercise 1.3
A. At what level are the following variables measured? Write nominal, ordinal,
interval or ratio on the space provided.

________________1. student number

________________2. weights of a sample of candies

________________3. zip codes

________________4. SSS number

________________5.final course grades of 4.0,3.75,3.5.....

________________6. instructors rated as superior, above average, average, below

average, or poor

________________7. movies listed according to their genre such as comedy, adventure,

romance, action, suspense, or horror

________________8. lengths of TV commercials (in

seconds)

________________9. distances ( in km) traveled by a bus

________________10. the years 1896,2000,1776,1995

________________11.Attitude toward gun laws such as very favorable, somewhat

favorable, somewhat unfavorable...

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________________12.Ideal number of children

________________13.Family Income(in peso)

________________14.Candidate voted for in 2002 barangay elections

________________15.tax identification number(TIN)

________________16.gender

________________17. average number of glasses of water consumed per day

________________18. blood pressure

________________19.height of students

________________20.number of clients

________________21.number of won cases in court

________________22. academic rank in high school

________________23. Savings Account Number

________________24. Are you a Pag-ibig Member?(Yes/No)

________________25. number of books sold per day

________________26.weekly allowance of a DLSU-D student

________________27.main source of income

________________28.birth order of children in the family

________________29.number of organizations involved in

________________30.car plate number

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Exercise 1.4
My Reflection in this Lesson

Write a paragraph regarding your reflection about this lesson.

Guide questions:
What topics do you like most in our lesson?
What topics are difficult to understand?
What have you learned and experienced while answering your activity?

_______________________________________________________________________

END

I affirm that I have not copied the work of others in answering my performance task and this work is my own.

_____________________________

Student’s Name and Signature

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