2.fundmentals of Futures & Options.2022
2.fundmentals of Futures & Options.2022
2.fundmentals of Futures & Options.2022
⚫ Forwards…………………………....... 3
⚫ Futures……………………………….. 30
⚫ Options……………………………….. 49
⚫ Derivatives Trading………………… 75
⚫ Derivative Mishaps………………… 118
⚫ Derivatives Trading on NSE……… 128
2
Forwards
3
Forward Contract
4
Forward Price
5
Forward Contracts-
Characteristics
⚫ It is an OTC contract.
⚫ At the end of the life of the contract the buyer of
the asset buys the asset from the seller at an
agreed price determined at the origination of the
contract
⚫ By contrast in a spot contract there is an
agreement to buy or sell the asset immediately (or
within a very short period of time e.g. T+2)
⚫ There is no daily settlement
⚫ Forward contracts on currencies and interest are
popular and are used to hedge exchange rate and
interest rate risks
6
Spot Price
8
Terminology
9
Foreign Exchange Quotes for
INR/USD Exchange Rate on
April 23, 2019
Spot and forward quotes for USD/INR exchange
rate on April 23, 2019
Blank Bid Offer
11
Hedging Using Forward
Contracts
1. INR spot exchange rate depreciates to INR
72.0000 /USD on 23rd October 2019 the value of
the forward contract is positive because the
company would have saved:
INR/USD (72.0000-71.3525) x USD 1 million =
INR 6,47,500 for the corporation
2. On the other hand if INR appreciates to INR
71.0000/USD on 23rd October 2019 the value of
the forward contract is negative because the
company would have incurred a loss of:
INR/USD (71.0000-71.3525) x USD 1 million =
INR (3,52,500)
12
Payoff Profile of Long Forward
Payoff
profit
St
Spot exchange in 6 months
INR71.0000/USD INR72.0000/USD
INR/USD
INR3.52 INR71.3525/USD
Lakhs
= INR 6,47,500
If St = INR 71.0000/USD, Loss = INR/USD (71.0000-71.3525) x USD 1 m
= INR 3,52,500
13
Payoff from a Long Forward Position (K
= delivery price = forward price at time
contract is entered into)
Profit
Price of Underlying
K at Maturity, ST
Profit
Price of Underlying
K at Maturity, ST
16
Payoff Profiles of Long and Short
Forward Positions
⚫ The pay-off profile from a long position in a
forward contract on one unit of an asset is:
ST – K
⚫ The pay-off profile from a short position in a
forward contract on one unit of an asset is:
K – ST
here ST = Spot price at the time of maturity
the contract
K = Forward Rate or the delivery price
If ST > K the contract has a positive value for
the buyer or long position
If ST < K the contract has a positive value for
the seller or short position
17
Booking and Cancellation of
Forward Exchange Contracts
⚫ Example 1:
------------------------I------------I----------------
0 3 mth 4 mth 6 mth
I--------------------------------------------------------> (t = 6 mths : INR 73/USD)
I-------------------------------> (t = 3 mths : INR 74/USD)
I-----------------> (t = 4 mths : INR73.50/USD)
1) Importer books forward contract for 6 mths @ INR 73/USD
2) Cancels : t = 3 mths @ INR 74/USD. Gain = INR 1/USD
3) Re-books : t = 4 mths @ INR 73.50/USD. Loss = INR 0.50/USD
4) Net Gain : INR 0.50/USD
5) Effective Forward Rate = INR 72.50/USD
If F (t=4) < INR 74/USD Net Gain by rebooking Forward
If F (t=4) > INR 74/USD Net Loss by rebooking Forward
Break-Even = INR74/USD
Booking and Cancellation of
Forward Exchange Contracts
⚫ Example 2:
----------------------I------------I-----------------
0 3 mth 4 mth 6 mth (t=6mth: INR73/USD)
I------------------------------> (t=4mth: INR72/USD)
I-----------------> (t=2mths: INR72.50/USD)
1) Exporter books forward contract for 6 mths @ INR 73/USD
2) Cancels : t = 3 mths @ INR72/USD. Gain = INR 1/USD
3) Re-books : t = 4 mths @ INR72.50/USD. Loss = INR 0.50/USD
4) Net Gain : INR 0.50/USD
5) Effective Forward Rate = INR73.50/USD
If F(t=4) > INR 72/USD Net Gain by rebooking Forward
If F(t=4) < INR 72/USD Net Loss by rebooking Forward
Break-Even = INR72/USD
Forward Contract Features
20
Forwards
Advantages
⚫ Customized product
⚫ Contract is settled by delivery of the asset
⚫ Contract price not available in the public domain
Disadvantages
⚫ Contract is settled only at maturity and not M-T-M
⚫ Credit instrument and entails counterparty default
or credit risk
⚫ Lack of centralized trading
⚫ Illiquidity in secondary market
21
Forward Prices and Spot Prices
22
Forward Prices and Spot Prices
Suppose the investor borrows INR 600 for 1 year @
5% so that he has to pay INR 630 at the end of 1 year.
Scenario-A (Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage)
If the 1-Year Forward Price is > INR 630 say INR 670
then the investor who does not own the stock will:
(1) Borrow INR 600 @ 5% for 1 year
(2) Buy 1 stock at the current market price of INR 600
(3) Enter into a forward contract to Sell the stock after
1 year for INR 670
(4) Pay the loan with interest = INR 630
(5) Profit after paying off the loan = INR 670 – INR 630
= INR 40 per share 23
Forward Prices and Spot Prices
Scenario-B (Reverse Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage)
If the Forward price of the stock is < INR 630 say INR 580.
The investor who does not own the stock will:
(1) Short the stock at the current market price for INR 600
(2) Invest the proceeds for 1 year @5% and earn INR 630
(3) Enter into a Forward contract to Buy the stock back after
1 year for INR 580
(4) Profit = INR630 - INR 580 = INR 50
Therefore, for there to be no arbitrage the forward price
must be:
F = 600 x (1+0.05) = INR 630
Therefore, F = S (1+r )
24
Forward Prices and Spot Prices
In general,
F = S (1+r )T
where:
F = forward price of the stock deliverable in ‘T’ years
S = spot price of the stock
r = 1-year (domestic currency) risk-free rate of interest
26
Futures
27
Futures Contracts
30
Types of Assets Traded
31
Futures Price
32
History of Futures Markets
⚫ Traced to Middle Ages
⚫ Originally developed to meet the needs of farmers
and merchants
⚫ Example:
⚫ A farmer in June of a certain year who will harvest a
known quantity of wheat in September faces uncertainty
about the price of the wheat he will receive
⚫ A trader of wheat that has ongoing requirement for
wheat is also exposed to price risk.
⚫ The farmer and the trader get together in June or even
earlier to agree on a price (futures contract) for the
farmer’s estimated production of wheat in September
33
Examples of Futures Contracts
34
Payoff of a Buyer of Nifty
Futures at 6000 (Long Futures)
The investor bought a 2- month Nifty index futures contract when the index
was at 6000. If the index goes up, the futures position starts making profit.
35
If
the index falls, his futures positions starts showing losses
Payoff of a Seller of Nifty
Futures (Short Position) at 6000
The investor sold the futures when the Nifty index was at 6000. If the
index goes down, the futures position starts making profit. If the index 36
37
Example-2 (Long Hedge)
40
Example-2 (Long Hedge)
43
Example-3 (Short Hedge)
44
Example-4 (Short Hedge)
45
Forward vs Futures Contract
Forward Futures
Private contract between two Traded on an exchange
parties i.e. OTC contract
Not standardized Standardized
Settled at end of contract Settled daily i.e. mark to market
Profit or Loss realized only on Profit and Losses are realized day
delivery date to day
Delivery or final settlement usual Usually closed out prior to maturity
Credit risk depends on Virtually no credit risk
counterparty
Illiquid Secondary Market Liquid Secondary Market
50
Options
47
Option
48
Types of Options
49
Premium
50
Strike Price or Exercise Price
⚫ The price at which the option can be exercised
and is predetermined at the time of
buying/writing the option
⚫ It is the price at which the buyer or holder of
the option buys/sells the asset
51
Strike Date/Maturity Date
52
Types of Options
53
Types of Options
54
Types of Participants in
Options Market
55
Example 1: Buying Call Option
⚫ Suppose ‘A’ has bought a Call Option (CA) of 2000
shares of HUL at a strike price of INR 260 per share at a
premium of INR 10 and maturing on or before August 27
2020 (expiry date of the call option)
⚫ The call option gives ‘A’ the right to buy 2000 shares of
HUL from the seller or writer of the option on or before
August 27, 2020.
⚫ The buyer of the call option does not have the obligation
to exercise the call option at strike price of INR 260
⚫ The seller or writer of the call option has the obligation to
sell 2000 shares of HUL at INR 260 per share on or
before August 27, 2020 i.e. when the buyer exercise the
option
56
Example 2: Selling Put Option
57
Google Call Option: Example
⚫ Example-3:
• An investor instructs a broker to buy one December
call option contract on Google shares with a strike
price of $700
• The price of the option (premium) to buy one share
is $52.50.
• Therefore to buy one contract of 100 shares the
investor has to pay $5250.
• The investor must arrange $5250 to be remitted to
the exchange through the broker to CBOE
• The exchange will then arrange for this amount to
be paid to the party the seller
58
Google Call Option: Example
⚫ Example-3 (Cont..):
• By paying $5250 the investor has bought the right to
buy 100 Google shares for $700 each
• If the price of Google share is less than $700 by
December the option is not exercised and the investor
loses $5,250
• If the Google does well and the bid price of the stock
rises to $900 then the investor will exercise the option
by buying the share for $700 and immediately selling
them for $900.
• The profit is $20,000 or $14,750 (= $20,000 - $5250)
taking into account the options cost or premium of
$5250
59
Pay-off profile from purchasing a contract
consisting 100 Google Dec call options
with Strike price of $700
Payoff profile of the Buyer of CE
Payoff = ST - K
Strike Price
= $700
BEP = $752.50
Options Price
= $52.50
BEP = Strike Price + Option Premium
60
Pay-off profile from selling or writing a
contract consisting 100 Google Dec call
options with Strike price of $700
Payoff profile of the Writer of CE
10000
BEP = $752.50
Payoff = ST - K
5000
(b)
BEP = Strike Price + Option Premium
61
Google Put Option: Example
⚫ Example-4:
• An investor buys one September put option on Google
shares through a broker with strike price $660 and the
price (premium) of $24.20
• The investor pays 100 x $24.20 = $2,420 through his
broker to the exchange to buy one contract of 100 shares
• If the price of Google share stays above $660 the put
option is not exercised by the buyer and the trader loses
$2,420
• If the Google share price falls to $600 the put option is
exercised by the investor and there is a profit to the
investor
• The investor will sell the shares at $660 when they are
worth only $600. This leads to a profit of $6,000 or $3,580
when the initial amount of $2,420 is paid for the options is
taken into account 62
Pay-off profile from buying a contract
consisting 100 Google Dec September put
options with Strike price of $660
Profit ($) Payoff profile of the Buyer of PE
15,000
Payoff = K - ST
10,000 Strike Price = $660
5,000
Payoff = K - ST
Options Price
BEP = $635.80 = $24.20
Unlimited profit
INR 75
Spot price
500 875 950 1500
INR 75 (INR)
Limited loss
Break-even price
Loss
(INR)
Option Price = INR 75
Strike Price = INR 875
Option Life = 3 months
65
Pay-off Profile of European Put Option
of Infosys Technology Ltd. (source:NSE)
“At the money”
Profit
(INR) Strike price
INR 67
Spot price
500 683 750 1000
INR 67 (INR)
Limited loss
Break-even price
Loss
(INR) Option Price = INR 67
Strike Price = INR 750
Option Life = 3 months
66
Pay-off Profiles of Investors
Long and Short on Nifty
Long Position in Nifty Short Position in Nifty
The investor bought Nifty at 6000 The investor sold Nifty at 6000
67
Pay-off Profiles of Buyer and Writer
of a 3 month Nifty Call Options
Payoff for buyer of call option Payoff for writer of call option
(Long Call) (Short Call)
Profit Profit
Loss Loss
Profit Profit
Loss Loss
Google Call Option Prices, May 3, 2016 ;
Stock Price: bid $695.86, offer $696.25; (source
CBOE)
Strike Jun 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Dec 2016
Price Bid Offer Bid Offer Bid Offer
73
Google Call and Put Options:
Some Observations
⚫ Option Premium and Strike Price (Intrinsic Value)
K1 K2 S K3 K4 K5
• Call Option will be exercised when the spot price (S) >
the strike price (K)
• As K increases the pay-off from exercising the Call
option decreases i.e. the option becomes less valuable
and so the options premium decreases
• Put Option will be exercised when S < K
• As K increases the probability of exercising the Put
option increases and so the options premium increases
74
Google Call and Put Options:
Some Observations
⚫ Options Premium and Time to Maturity (Time
Value)
⚫ As time to maturity increases the probability of exercising
both the Call and Put Option increases and so both
options become more valuable and the options premium
increases
⚫ The opposite when the time to maturity decreases
75
Exchanges Traded Options
76
Options vs Futures/Forwards
⚫ A futures/forward contract gives the holder the
obligation to buy or sell an asset at a certain price
⚫ A futures/forward contract locks the holder into a
fixed price and protects him against adverse price
movements in future but does not allow him to take
advantage of favorable price movements
⚫ An option gives the holder the right but not the
obligation to buy or sell an asset at a certain price
⚫ An options contract provides insurance for investors
by protecting them against adverse price movements
in future while allowing them to benefit from favorable
price movements.
77
Options vs Futures/Forwards
/ Forwards
78
Derivatives Trading
79
Types of Derivatives Traders
⚫ Hedgers
⚫ Speculators
⚫ Arbitrageurs
80
Types of Derivatives Traders
⚫ Hedgers
⚫ Use futures, forwards, and options to reduce
risk from potential future movements in market
variables
⚫ Speculators
⚫ Use derivatives to bet on future direction of a
market variable
⚫ Arbitrageurs
⚫ Take offsetting positions in two or more
instruments or markets to lock in a profit
81
Hedging Using Forward
Contract
⚫ On April 23, 2019 an Indian company known as
Import Co. has entered into a contract with a
U.S. Company to pay USD 10 million on July 23,
2019 for the goods it purchased from the
American supplier. The INR-USD exchange rate
quotes made by a bank are shown in the next
slide
82
Foreign Exchange Quotes for
INR/USD Exchange Rate on April
23, 2019
Spot and forward quotes for INR/USD exchange
rate on April 23, 2019
Blank Bid Offer
The quotes are for number of INR per USD from the Reuter screen
83
Hedging Using Forward
Contract – Example 1
⚫ The Import company could hedge its foreign
exchange risk by buying dollars (USD) from a
bank in the 3-month forward market at INR
70.5950/USD
⚫ This would fix the price to be paid to the American
supplier at INR 705.95 million or about INR 70.60
crores
⚫ The company can do better or worse if it chooses
not to hedge than if it chooses to hedge
84
Hedging Using Forward
Contract
⚫ If the spot exchange rate on July 3, 2019 is INR
70.5000/USD instead of INR 70.5950/USD and the
Import Co. had not hedged the USD 10 million that it
has to pay to the American Company, then
⚫ it would have cost INR 0.95 million (0.095 INR/USD
x USD 10 million) i.e. INR 9.5 lakhs less and the
company may wish that it had not hedged
⚫ On the other hand if the exchange rate on July 3,
2019 is INR 71/USD and the Import company had not
hedged it would cost INR 4.05 million (0.405
INR/USD x USD 10 million) i.e. INR 40.5 lakhs more
and the company may wish that it had hedged
85
Hedging Using Forward
Contract – Example 2
⚫ On April 23, 2019 an Indian Company known as
Export Co, which is exporting goods to the U.S.
knows that it will receive USD30 million 3 months later
i.e. on July 23, 2019
⚫ The Export Co. can hedge its foreign exchange risk by
selling USD30 million in the forward market at an
exchange rate of INR 70.5650/USD. This would have
the effect of locking in the exchange rate of 70.5650
and realize INR 2117 million (INR 70.5650/USD x
USD 30 million) or INR 211.70 crores
⚫ The company can do better or worse if it chooses not
to hedge than if it chooses to hedge
86
Hedging Using Forward
Contract
⚫ If the spot exchange rate on July 23, 2019 is less
than INR 70.5650/USD say INR 70.0000/USD the
Export company will be pleased to have made the
right decision to hedge because it would have
received INR 16.95 million (INR 0.5650/USD x USD
30 million) or INR 1.696 crores less if it had not
hedged.
⚫ If the exchange rate is greater than 70.5650 say INR
71.0000/USD the Export company would have
received INR 13.05 million (INR 0.435 x USD 30
million) or INR 1.305 crores more and the company
may wish it had not hedged.
87
Hedging Using Forward
Contract: Conclusion
88
Hedging Using Options -
Example
⚫ An investor owns 1,000 Microsoft shares
currently worth $28 per share. The investor is
concerned about a possible share price decline in
the next 2 months.
⚫ He wants to protect against fall in the price of the
share by buying a put option.
⚫ A two-month Put with a strike price of $27.50
costs $1.00.
⚫ The size of each put contract is 100 shares
89
Hedging Using Options –
Example
⚫ The investor decides to hedge by buying 10 put
contracts with each put contract of 100 shares
▪ Each contract costs 100 x $ 1.00 = $ 100 and so 10
contracts cost $1000 which is the cost of hedging.
▪ This would give the right to sell Microsoft shares at
$27.50 per share if the price falls below $27.50.
▪ Scenario-A (Market Price of the Stock falls below $27.50)
▪ The put option will be exercised so that the total amount
realized is ($27,500-$1000) = $26,500
▪ Scenario-B (Market Price of the stock stays above $
27.50)
▪ The put option is not exercised and expires worthless.
The value of the holding will be > $26,500 after taking into
account cost of the options
90
Value of Shares with and
without Hedging
$1.00
Options
Premium
26,500
27.50
92
Speculation Using Futures
93
Speculation Using Futures
94
Speculation Using Futures
⚫ Option-1 (Buy GBP in the Spot Market)
• Buy £250,000 by selling $363,500 at the exchange rate
$1.4540/£ in the spot market in the hope that GBP can be
sold at a higher price in the next two months. (The sterling
once purchased could be kept in an interest bearing
account.)
⚫ Option-2 (Take Long Position in the Futures Market)
⚫ Each CME futures contract is worth £62,500
⚫ Take a long position in 4 CME April futures contract on
GBP (4 x £62,500 = £250,500) with the expectation that
GBP will appreciate.
⚫ The initial margin requirement is $5000 per contract.
⚫ The April futures price is $1.4543/£ 95
Speculation using Spot and
Futures Contracts
Spot Exchange Rate= $/£
• Buy £250,000 • Buy 4 CME April
• Spot Price futures contracts
1.4540$/£ each of £62,500
• Futures Price =
1.4543
• Initial Margin on 4
futures contracts =
4x$5000 = $20,000
Investment $363,500 $20,000
98
Speculation Using Options
99
Speculation Example
⚫ Option-1 (Purchase Shares in the Spot Market)
• Purchase 100 shares with investment of $2000
• If the speculator’s hunch is correct and the stock
price rises to $27 in the next 2 months then profit
is:
100 x ($27 – $20) = $700 (ROI = 35%)
• Option-2 (Purchase Call Options on the Shares)
• Purchase 2000 call options on the share with
investment of $2000 (one call option costs $1) and
• Exercise the call option. The total payoff from
2000 options purchased is:
= 2000 x ($27 – $22.50) = $9000
Net Profit = ($9000 – $2000) = $7000
(ROI = 350%) 100
Speculation Example (Cont..)
• The options strategy is 10 times more profitable
than directly buying the stock
• Options also give rise to greater potential loss
• Suppose the stock price falls to $15 by the end
of two months i.e. Dec.
• The first alternative of buying stocks yields a
loss of:
100 x ($20 – $15) = ($500)
• Because the call option expires without being
exercised, the second alternative i.e. options
strategy would result in a loss of US$2000 i.e.
the original amount paid for the options.
101
Speculation Example (Cont..)
102
Comparison of profits from two
alternative strategies for using $2000 to
speculate on stock worth $20 in October
December Stock Price
Spot price
20 22.5 23.5 27
$1.0 ($)
Limited loss
- 2000
Break-even price
Loss
($) Option Price = $ 1.0
Strike Price = $ 22.5
Option Life = 2 months
BEP = Strike Price + Options Premium
104
Comparison of Futures and
Options
• Both futures and options provide leverage for
speculators
• When a speculator uses futures the potential
loss as well as potential gain is very large
• When options are used, no matter how bad
things get, the speculator’s loss is limited to
the amount paid for the options while the
upside potential is unlimited
105
Arbitrage
106
Arbitrage Example
107
1. Gold: An Arbitrage
Opportunity?
Suppose that:
• The spot price of gold is US$1,200 per
ounce
• The 1-year forward price of gold is
US$1,300
• The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5% per
annum
• No income or storage costs for gold
Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
108
1. Gold: An Arbitrage
Opportunity?
Solution:
1) Borrow $1200 @ 5% p.a. to purchase 1
oz of gold for $1200
2) Sell 1 oz of Gold in the 1-year forward
market for $1300
3) Profit = $1300 - $1200(1.05)
= $1300 - $1260
= $ 40
109
2. Gold: Another Arbitrage
Opportunity?
Suppose that:
• The spot price of gold is US$1,200
• The 1-year forward price of gold is
US$1,200
• The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5% per
annum
Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
110
2. Gold: Another Arbitrage
Opportunity?
Solution:
Option-1
1) Short-Sell 1 oz of Gold for $1200
2) Invest $1200 Forward for 1-year @5%
3) Buy 1 oz of Gold in the 1-year Forward
Market for $1200
4) Profit = $1200(1.05) - $1200 = $60
111
The Future Price of Gold
(ignores gold lease rate)
If the spot price of gold is S and the futures
price for a contract deliverable in T years is F,
then
F = S (1+r )T
where r is the 1-year (domestic currency) risk-
free rate of interest.
For example, S = 1200 USD/oz, T = 1, and r =
0.05 so that
F = 1200(1+0.05) = 1260
112
1. Oil: An Arbitrage Opportunity?
Suppose that:
• The spot price of oil is US$50
• The quoted 1-year futures price of
oil is US$60
• The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5%
per annum
• The storage costs of oil are 2% per
annum
Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
113
1. Oil: An Arbitrage Opportunity?
Solution:
1) Borrow $50 @ 5%
2) Buy Oil Spot for $50
3) Sell in 1-year Futures market at $60
4) Pay the Loan of $50 with interest @ 5%
and Storage cost of Oil @2%
5) Profit = $60-$50(1.07) = $6.5
114
2. Oil: Another Arbitrage
Opportunity?
Suppose that:
• The spot price of oil is US$50
• The quoted 1-year futures price of oil is
US$40
• The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5% per
annum
• The storage costs of oil are 2% per
annum
Is there an arbitrage opportunity?
115
1. Oil: An Arbitrage Opportunity?
Solution:
1) Short Sell Oil Spot for $50
2) Invest $50 for 1-year @5% p.a. so that
you get $52.50
3) Buy Oil Forward for $40
4) Pay the storage cost @2% i.e. $1.00
5) Profit = $52.50 - $40.00 -$1.00 = $11.50
116
Dangers
117
Mini Case Study - SocGen’s Big
Loss in 2008
⚫ Derivatives are versatile instruments – they can be used
for hedging, speculation, and arbitrage
⚫ One of the risks that is faced by a company which trades
derivatives is that an employee who is mandate to hedge
or to look for arbitrage opportunities may become a
speculator
⚫ Jerome Kerviel joined SocGen in 2000 to work in the
compliance area and in 2005 was promoted and became
a junior trader in the bank’s Delta One products team
⚫ He traded equity indices such as German DAX index, the
French CAC 40, and the Euro Stoxx 50.
⚫ His job was to look for arbitrage opportunities
118
Mini Case Study - SocGen’s Big
Loss in 2008
⚫ Arbitrage opportunities arise if:
⚫ A futures contract on a equity index was trading at a
different price on two different exchanges
⚫ They might also arise if equity index futures prices
were not consistent with prices of the shares
constituting the index
⚫ Kerviel used his knowledge of the bank’s procedures to
speculate while giving the appearance of arbitraging
⚫ He took big positions in equity indices and created
fictitious trades to make it appear that he was hedged
⚫ In reality, he had large bets on the direction in which the
indices would move.
119
Mini Case Study - SocGen’s Big
Loss in 2008
⚫ The size of his unhedged position grew over time grew
over tens of billions of euros
⚫ In January 2008, his unauthorized trading was
uncovered by SocGen
⚫ Over a three day period, the bank unwound his position
for a loss of €4.9 billion
⚫ This was at the time the biggest loss created by
fraudulent activity in the history of finance
120
Business Snapshot – Baring
Bank’s Collapse in 1990s
⚫ In the 1990s Nick Leeson, who worked at Barings
Bank, had a mandate to that Jerome Kerviel
⚫ His job was to arbitrage between Nikkei 225 futures
quotes in Singapore and Osaka
⚫ Instead he found a way to make big bets on the
direction of the Nikkei 225 using futures and options
losing $1 billion and destroying the 200-year bank in
the process
121
Hedge Funds
⚫ Hedge funds are not subject to the same rules as
mutual funds and cannot offer their securities publicly
⚫ Mutual funds must
⚫ disclose investment policies,
⚫ make shares in the fund redeemable at any time
⚫ limit use of leverage
⚫ Hedge funds are not subject to these constraints.
⚫ Hedge funds use complex trading strategies for
primarily speculation and arbitrage and are big users of
derivatives
⚫ When a trader gets a mandate to use derivatives for
hedging or arbitrage, but then switches to speculation,
large losses can result
⚫ Typical hedge fund fee: 2% of amount invested + plus
20% of the profits 122
Derivatives Mishaps
123
Derivatives Mishaps
⚫ Metallgesellschaft AG (1993)
⚫ Entered into long-term contracts to supply oil and
gasoline and hedged them rolling over short-term
futures. It lost $1.3 billion
⚫ Orange County (1994)
⚫ Activities of the treasurer, Robert Citron resulted in
California municipality losing $2 billion in 1994
⚫ Procter and Gamble (1994)
⚫ The treasury department lost $90 million in 1994
trading highly exotic derivatives contracts with
Banker’s Trust. It later sued Bankers Trust and
settled out of court
124
Derivatives Mishaps
⚫ Barings Bank (1995)
⚫ This 200 years old British bank was destroyed by the
activities of one trader, Nick Leeson, in Singapore, who
made big bets on the future direction of Nikkei 225 using
futures and options
⚫ Long-Term Capital Management (1998)
⚫ The hedged fund lost $4 billion in 1998 s a result of
Russia’s default on its debt and the resultant flight to
quality
⚫ Collapse of Lehman Brothers in (2008)
⚫ Lehman filed for bankruptcy on September 15, 2008.The
risks taken by Lehman included large positions in
instruments created by sub-prime mortgage
125
Derivatives Mishaps
⚫ Sub-prime Mortgage Crisis (2007)
⚫ In 2007 investors lost confidence in the structured
products created fro U.S. subprime mortgages. This led
to credit crunch and losses of tens of billions of dollar by
financial institutions such as UBS, Merill Lynch, and
Citigroup
⚫ Societe General (2008)
⚫ Rogue equity derivatives trader Jerome Kerviel lost
over $7 billion speculating on futures direction of equity
indices in January 2008
⚫ UBS
⚫ In 2011 Kweku Adoboli lost $2.3 billion by taking
unauthorised speculative positions in stock market
indices 126
Derivatives Mishaps
127
Derivatives Trading on NSE
128
Derivatives Trading on NSE
⚫ Derivatives Definition
⚫ The F&O Instruments Traded on NSE
⚫ Growth of F&O Market in India
⚫ F&O Trading System
⚫ Contract Specifications
⚫ Settlement
⚫ Risk Management
129
Derivatives Definition
131
Equity Derivatives Traded on
NSE
132
Equity Derivatives Traded on
NSE
⚫ 199 stocks stipulated by SEBI
⚫ Three Major Indices*
⚫ Nifty 50
⚫ Bank Nifty
⚫ Nifty IT
*NSE Indices Ltd. (formerly India Index Services & Products Ltd (IISL))
manages a portfolio of 67 indices under NIFTY Brand
133
Equity Derivatives Traded on
NSE
⚫ How do exchanges decide which stocks are part of
F&O segment?
⚫ Based on SEBI Guidelines such as:
⚫ Among top 500 market cap
⚫ Average order size
⚫ Minimum 500 crs market wide open position limits in
the stock i.e. maximum number of contracts that can
be open at a time
⚫ Average monthly turnover of the stock in the
derivatives segment ≥ Rs 100 crs last three months
⚫ Eligible securities vary from month to month
134
Equity Derivatives Traded on
NSE
⚫ Broad Market Indices
⚫ Nifty 50
⚫ Nifty Next 50
⚫ Nifty 100
⚫ Nifty 200
⚫ Nifty 500
⚫ Nifty Midcap 50
⚫ Nifty Midcap 100
⚫ Nifty Midcap 150
⚫ Nifty Smallcap 50
⚫ Nifty Smallcap 100
⚫ Nifty Smallcap 250
⚫ Nifty MidSmallcap 400
135
Other Derivatives Traded on
NSE
⚫ In addition to the F&O Segment NSE also trades
⚫ Currency Futures
⚫ Currency Options
⚫ Interest Rate Futures
⚫ Interest Rate Options
⚫ Commodity Options & Futures (since 2018)
136
Futures Products Traded on NSE
⚫ Commodity Futures
⚫ Equity Index Futures
⚫ Single Stock Futures
⚫ Interest Rate Futures including Bond Futures
⚫ Currency Futures
⚫ Volatility Futures (trade on volatility index or VIX)
137
Options Products Traded on NSE
138
Volatility Index (VIX)
“-” implies that the product had not been introduced in the market 141
Turnover of Derivatives Contracts traded on
NSE every year (in INR billions); (source:
NSE of India)
142
Turnover of Equity Derivatives
Traded on NSE as on July 12, 2021
Premium
Product No. of contracts Turnover (cr.)*
Turnover (cr.)
OPEN
VOLUME(CONTR
TRADE DATE VALUE(₹ LAKHS) INTEREST(CONT
ACTS)
RACTS)
144
Turnover of Currency Derivatives
Traded on NSE as on July 12, 2021
JUL-2021
145
Turnover of Derivatives Traded
on NSE
⚫ Index Options and Stock Options are most actively traded
derivatives with highest volume (number of transactions)
and turnover
⚫ Single Stock Futures and Index Futures are also popular
⚫ Single Stock Futures is the predominant derivative
instrument traded in the Futures segment in the market
as observed from the data in the previous slides
⚫ Interest Rate Futures are not actively traded
⚫ Currency Futures and Options trading is much lower
compared to trading in F&O segment on NSE
146
Liquidity of Futures Products in
India
147
Rank of NSE Globally in Different
Derivatives Segment by Number
of Trades
Segment Rank
Single Stock Options 8
Single Stock Futures 2
Stock Index Options 1
Long Term Interest Rate 8
Options & Futures
Currency Options & Futures 1
Contracts
150
Contract Specification of Nifty-50 Options
151
Contract Specification of Stock Futures
152
Contract Specification of Stock Options
153
Futures and Options Trading
System
⚫ National Exchange for Automated Trading (NEAT)
system
⚫ NSE operates a what is called NEAT-F&O trading
system
⚫ It provides a fully automated screen based trading
system for Index futures & options and Stock futures &
options on a nationwide basis as well as online
monitoring and surveillance mechanism
⚫ It is similar to that of trading of equities in the cash
market
⚫ It supports an order driven market wherein orders are
matched automatically on the basis of security, its price
and quantity 154
Futures and Options Trading
System
⚫ Two types of trading systems
⚫ Order Driven
⚫ All of the orders of both the buyers and sellers are
displayed detailing:
▪ the price at which they are willing to buy or sell a
security and
▪ the amount of the security that they are willing to
buy or sell at that price
⚫ Quote Driven
⚫ Quote driven market only displays the bid and ask
offers of the designated market makers and dealers
155
Futures and Options Trading
System
156
Futures and Options Trading
System
157
Futures and Options Trading
System
⚫ Entities in the Trading System
⚫ Clearing Members (CMs)
⚫ They are members of NSE Clearing Ltd. (formerly
National Securities Clearing Corporation Limited
(NSCCL)) which is a wholly owned subsidiary of NSE
responsible for clearing and settlement of all trades
executed on NSE
⚫ The CM performs the following functions:
▪ Clearing
▪ Settlement
▪ Risk Management
158
Futures and Options Trading
System
⚫ Clearing Members (CMs)
⚫ CMs are of three types:
▪ Self Clearing Member
▪ Clears and settles trades executed by him only
either on his own account or on account of his
clients
▪ Professional Clearing Member
▪ Clearing member who is not a trading member
▪ Trading-cum-Clearing Member
▪ Member who executes trades and clears and settles
the trades executed on his own account as on
account of his clients
159
Futures and Options Trading
System
⚫ Participants
⚫ Clients of TMs e.g. financial institutions
⚫ Clients may trade through multiple TMs but settle
through a single CM
⚫ Clearing Banks
⚫ Funds settlement takes place through clearing banks
⚫ CMs are required to open a separate bank account with
a bank designated by NSE Clearing Ltd.
⚫ CMs keep a margin amount in these bank accounts
160
Order Types and Conditions
161
Order Types and Conditions
162
Order Types and Conditions
⚫ Time Conditions
⚫ Day Order
⚫ Is an order which is valid for the day on which it is
entered
⚫ If the order is not executed during the day, the
system cancels the order automatically at the end of
the day
⚫ Immediate or Cancel (IOC)
⚫ Allows the user to buy or sell a contract as soon as
the order is released into the system, failing which
the order is cancelled from the system
⚫ Partial match is possible for the order and the
unmatched portion of the order is cancelled
immediately
163
Order Types and Conditions
⚫ Price Condition
⚫ Limit Price/Order
⚫ An order that allows the price to be specified while
entering the order into the system
⚫ Market Price/Order
⚫ An order to buy or sell securities at the best price
obtainable at the time of entering the order
⚫ Stop Loss(SL) Price/Order
⚫ Allows the Trading Member to place an order which
gets activated only when the market price of the
relevant security reaches or crosses a threshold
price
⚫ Until then the order does not enter the market
164
Order Types and Conditions
165
Order Processing and
Matching
⚫ Neat F&O trading system follows an order driven
approach
⚫ Orders, as and when received are first and
immediately processed for potential match
⚫ If a match is not found, then the orders are stored
in different “books”
⚫ The best “buy” order will match with the best “sell”
order
⚫ For order matching, the best buy order is the one
with the highest price and the best sell order is the
one with the lowest price 166
Order Processing and
Matching
⚫ This is because a computer views all buy orders
available from the point of view of the seller and al
sell orders from the point of view of the buyers in
the market
⚫ So of all buy orders available in the market, the
seller would like to sell at the highest possible
“buy” price
⚫ Hence the best buy order is the order with the
highest price and the best sell order is the the one
with the lowest price
167
Clearing and Settlement
⚫ Settlement Procedure
⚫ All F&O contracts are cash settled i.e. through
exchange of cash by Clearing Members
⚫ The underlying for index futures/options of Nifty
index cannot be delivered and therefore these
contracts have to be settled in cash
⚫ Although futures and options on individual securities
will be delivered as in the spot market on maturity,
else the settled in cash
⚫ Settlement of futures contracts:
⚫ Mark to Market (MTM) daily settlement
168
Settlement
Futures Contract
169
Settlement
⚫ Settlement Procedure for Futures Contracts
⚫ Mark to Market (M-T-M) Daily Settlement
⚫ The profit/loss is the difference between the price of
the futures contract on the settlement day and the
price on the previous day i.e. the trade day.
⚫ To cover the risk of default by the counter-party
⚫ Margin balance in the futures account each day is
adjusted for change in the value of the contract from
the previous day based on daily settlement price of
the futures contract
⚫ The party in the loss position pays the Clearing
Corporation the margin money to cover the shortfall
in cash
⚫ Daily M-T-M settlement is on a T+0 basis 170
Settlement
171
Settlement
⚫ Settlement Procedure of Options
⚫ Daily Premium Settlement on a net basis i.e. premium
payable and premium receivable are netted
⚫ Final Exercise Settlement
⚫ On the expiry date all in-the-money options will be
exercised by default
⚫ An investor who is in-the-money on the exercise date will
receive the exercise settlement value which is the
difference between the settlement price and the exercise
price
⚫ The final exercise price settlement value for in-the- money
options is:
▪ Call Options = Closing price on the day of expiry –
strike price
▪ Put Options = Strike Price - Closing Price 172
Risk Management
⚫ Risk Management of derivatives products is managed by
Standard Portfolio Analysis of Risk (SPAN)
⚫ It is a sophisticated VaR methodology that calculates the
margin requirements under any market scenario
⚫ The objective of SPAN is to identify overall risk in a
portfolio of futures and options contracts for each
member
⚫ It determines the largest loss that a portfolio might be
expected to suffer from one day to the next based on
99% VaR methodology and thus calculates the margin
requirements
⚫ The margin requirements are set to cover one-day loss
173
Value-at-Risk
174
Value-at-Risk
175
Value at Risk (Var) Models
⚫ Example-1
Suppose a Fund estimates its portfolio’s daily average
VaR is INR 100 million over a 10-day interval with 99%
level of confidence
If the VaR estimate of INR100 million is correct, losses in
portfolio value > INR100 million should occur less than
1% of the time
In other words, the bank’s management anticipates losing
at most INR100 million for 99 out of 100 ten-day intervals
176
Value at Risk (Var) Models
⚫ Example-2
Fund X’s risk management team calculates a 1-day 99%
VaR for market risk to be USD 3 million.
This means that there is a 1% chance that bank X could
lose more than USD 3 million.
That also means that there is a 99% chance that losses
will be less than USD 3 million the next day.
177
Value at Risk (Var) Models
178
Derivatives Trading on NSE
⚫ Vijay, a manager of Prime Fund, wants to enter into a
derivatives contract to hedge the risk of a decrease in the
value of his portfolio
⚫ Step-1
⚫ Vijay will contact NSE broker and place an order with the
limit price (price specified) to sell 5 June contracts of
CNX Nifty Index Futures on NSE
⚫ Step-2
⚫ The broker will key in the order placed by Vijay in the
order book of NSE and the order will be matched by the
computer
⚫ If there is an order already in the order book to sell 5
futures contracts of CNX Nifty Index Futures the NSE
computer will automatically match the two orders 179
Derivatives Trading – Example
⚫ Step-3
⚫ The CM is responsible for fulfilling the contract clearing
the trade.
⚫ Once the CM clears the trade it takes the responsibility
of fulfilling the obligation of the contract at maturity
⚫ The purpose of having the CM responsible for clearing
the trade is to ensure organized functioning of the
derivatives exchange so that the default rate is
minimized
⚫ Step-4
⚫ For the CM to be responsible for the fulfilment of the
contract at maturity, the CM will have to post a margin
that is usually based on the volatility of the underlying
asset price and notified by the NSE
180
Derivatives Trading - Example
⚫ Step-5
⚫ Since the CM only clears the trade and does not take
any position in the trade, the CM will ask the broker to
provide the funds for the margin which will be collected
by the broker from Vijay
⚫ Step-6
⚫ The broker will maintain an account know as the margin
account, which will be updated daily based on settlement
price of that day, known as mark-to-market
⚫ Step-7
⚫ As long as Vijay wants to keep his position in futures
market before maturity, his only responsibility is to follow
the instructions of the broker w.r.t. the margin account
181
Derivatives Trading - Example
182