Group 10 - Nucleon Assignment 1
Group 10 - Nucleon Assignment 1
By
Group 10
Option1:
In-house pilot plant
- Enable firm to develop nucleus of a future large-scale in-house manufacturing capability, upskill
current employees, mostly comprising PhD scientists. lay foundation for future large scale in-house
manufacturing
- Keep control over process
- Planned capacity would meet Nucleon’s requirement for Phase 1 and 2 clinical trials only, Cannot
be used for phase-3 trials, Nucleon does not have the budget that meets FDA requirements for
phase-3
- Total Cost $ 7,394,000
Option2:
Contract Manufacturing
- No major capital investment and contract could be easily terminated with small termination
penalties
- Very few companies that did contract manufacturing; contracts were expensive
- Biggest risk was confidential information disclosure
- Negotiation + Technology transfer takes months
Option3:
License Manufacturing
- Could license the product immediately in exchange of Fixed payments and future royalties
- Right to develop CRP-1 for other applications
- No capital investment at the cost of low profit opportunity
Option2: Licensing
- No construction, and partner would be responsible for phase 3 and commercial manufacturing
- receive a USD 7 Million payment upon FDA approval and 10% of sales
Disadvantages/ Risks
• Enough for phase I and II but not for phase III trials supply of products
• Less but chances of CRP-1 failing in clinical trial leaving the pilot plant idle
• Process uncertainty as the plant is to be set up for bacterial cells which might need
significant changes when working with mammalian cells
• Investors’ concern over distribution of resources for manufacturing that would otherwise
have been used for R&D that they are more familiar with and manufacturing might distract
them from their main goal
• Most drugs in clinical trials don’t succeed in market
• If burn treatment fails, can adopt kidney failure but that will take time
• Product differentiation concerns as there are many competitors that can clone genes
Contract Manufacturing
Advantages
Disadvantages/ Risks
Advantages
• Could get fixed payments and future royalties; reduces the uncertainty of future cash flow
and transfer the risk to the other party
• Licensed partner would be responsible for all the requisite expenditures
• Nucleon would still retain the right to develop CRP1 for other therapeutic process
• Can avoid making large capital investment
Disadvantage/ Risks
• If product turned out to be successful, the benefits derived from it will be very meagre
• It could affect the viewpoint of the employees and investors; where the company is not
ready to take risk in the product which has been modelled by the competent team
3. What should be the recommendation of Robert Moore?
Timing was of essence – Establishing a strong patent position was very important for
Nucleon. It had to develop a strong proprietary position in the market to survive and further
devise therapeutic application for CRP-1 for acute kidney failure. Market first
Availability of capital – The investors and venture capitalists were not happy with their
previous investments in the biotechnology space and were unwilling to fund early-stage
projects. This posed serious problems to Nucleon in raising funds.
Risks associated –
1) Operating in niche segments – Environmental Uncertainty
2) Scalability of the CRP-1 processes
3) Stringent regulatory environment – Change in manufacturing processes added to costs
significantly, absolute requirement to run the process exactly as specified
Given the above factors, Robert Moore should select the option of Contract Manufacturing for Phase
1 & 2 trials and license our manufacturing and marketing rights at phase 3.
Also, after analysing the options at investment and revenue front taking into consideration all the
risks involved, we have identified that complete in house pilot plant will be more beneficial but it
comes with a huge risk which can affect the business. At the same time contracting is a safe option
as it would benefit business in the long run. We have attached an excel sheet with rough estimations
of investment and revenue.
Nucleon%20calculati
on.xlsx