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Option Pricing Model

Binomial

Mir
Department of Management Science
COMSATS University Islamabad, Attock

March 25, 2021

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Overview

1. First Section

2. Second Section

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Option

• Assume you are a seller and you are writing an option.


• current price Cp =Rs.20
• strike price Sp =Rs.20
• maturity T =90 days
• quantity N=1,000 shares
• option price Co =?
• Further, assume greatest variation in the history is = 30%.

First Section 3/11


Assumption

maximum change = 20 × 0.3 = ±6


So price will vary between the range of 26 to 14.

Assumption
Assume we have purchased half of shares at the current market price i.e., 500 shares at
Rs.20 amounting Rs. 10,000.

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Case A

first case
Assume Market price Mp =26 after 90 days.

as market price is greater than strike price, so investor strike the option.

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Case A

cost = 1, 000 × 26 = (26, 000)


sale = 1, 000 × 20 = 20, 000
loss = (6, 000)
partial profit = 3, 000 [500×(26 − 20]
Net loss=(3,000)

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Case B

second case
Assume Market price Mp =14 after 90 days.

as market price is not greater than strike price, so investor will not strike the option.

First Section 7/11


Case B

cost = 1, 000 × 20 = (10, 000)


sale = 500 × 14 = 7, 000
Net loss=(3,000)
Theorem (option price)
so we set option price =3,000

First Section 8/11


Other case

• Market price=25
• 18
• 23
• 10
• 30

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Case 25

cost = 1, 000 × 25 = (25, 000)


sale = 1, 000 × 20 = 20, 000
loss = (5, 000)
partial profit = 2, 500 [500×(25 − 20]
Net loss=(2,500)
option price=3,000
Net profit=500

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The End

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