Decision Science - Solved Examples
Decision Science - Solved Examples
Decision Science - Solved Examples
3x1+x2 ≤ 21
Solution:
First we have to find the feasible region using the given conditions.
Since both the decision variables x1 and x2 are non-negative ,the solution lies in the first
quadrant.
Write all the inequalities of the constraints in the form of equations.Therefore we have the
lines x1+ 4x2=24 ; 3x1 + x2 = 21; x1 + x2= 9 x1+ 4x2= 24 is a line passing through the
points (0 , 6) and (24 , 0). [(0,6) is obtained by taking x1=0 in x1 + 4x2 = 24 , (24 , 0) is
obtained by taking x2 = 0 in x1+ 4x2 = 24].
Any point lying on or below the line x1 + 4x2 = 24 satisfies the constraint x1 + 4x2≤ 24 .
3x1 +x2= 21 is a line passing through the points (0, 21) and (7, 0). Any point lying on or
below the line 3 x1 + x2 = 21 satisfies the constraint 3 x1 + x2 ≤ 21.
x1+ x2 = 9 is a line passing through the points (0 , 9) and ( 9 , 0) .Any point lying on or below
the line x1 + x2 = 9 satisfies the constraint x1+ x2 ≤ 9.
Maximize Z= 2 x1 +3x2
subject to constraints
Solution:
Since both the decision variables x1 and x2 are non-negative, the solution lies in the first
quadrant of the plane.
x1+x2 =30 is a line passing through the points (0,30) and (30,0)
The feasible region satisfying all the conditions x1+ x2≤ 30; x2≤ 12 ; x1≤ 20 and x1, x2 ≥ 0
is shown in the following graph.
The feasible region satisfying all the conditions is OABCD.
The co-ordinates of the points are O(0,0) ; A(20,0); B(20,10) ; C(18,12) and D(0,12).
Maximum value of Z occurs at C. Therefore the solution is x1 = 18 , x2= 12, Z max = 72
Q3) Universal Corporation manufactures two products- P1 and P2. The profit per unit of
the two products is Rs. 50 and Rs. 60 respectively. Both the products require processing in
three machines. The following table indicates the available machine hours per week and
the time required on each machine for one unit of P1 and P2. Formulate this product mix
problem in the linear programming form.
1 2 1 300
2 3 4 509
3 4 7 812
Solution
Since one unit of product P1 requires two hours of processing in machine 1, while the
corresponding requirement of P2 is one hour, the first constraint can be expressed as
2x1 + x2 ≤ 300
Similarly, constraints corresponding to machine 2 and machine 3 are
In addition, there cannot be any negative production that may be stated algebraically as
x1 ≥ 0, x2 ≥ 0
The problem can now be stated in the standard linear programming form as
subject to
2x1 + x2 ≤ 300
x1 ≥ 0, x2 ≥ 0
Q4) The Best Stuffing Company manufactures two types of packing tins- round & flat.
Major production facilities involved are cutting and joining. The cutting department can
process 200 round tins or 400 flat tins per hour. The joining department can process 400
round tins or 200 flat tins per hour. If the contribution towards profit for a round tin is the
same as that of a flat tin, what is the optimal production level? Formulate a linear
programming model for this problem (LPP).
Solution
Let
Since the contribution towards profit is identical for both the products, the objective
function can be expressed as x1 + x2. Hence, the problem can be formulated as
Maximize Z = x1 + x2
subject to
(1/200)x1 + (1/400)x2 ≤ 1
(1/400)x1 + (1/200)x2 ≤ 1
x1 ≥ 0, x2 ≥ 0
x1 + 2x2 ≤ 400
x1 ≥ 0, x2 ≥ 0
Q1) You are a financial analyst in a development company. Your manager just asked you to
assess the viability of future development projects and select the most promising one.
According to estimates, Project A, upon completion, shows a probability of 0.4 to achieve
a value of $2 million and a probability of 0.6 to achieve a value of $500,000. Project B
shows a probability of 0.3 to be valued at $3 million and a probability of 0.7 to be valued at
$200,000 upon completion.
Solution:
In order to select the right project, you need to calculate the expected value of each
project and compare the values with each other. The EV can be calculated in the following
way:
The EV of Project A is greater than the EV of Project B. Therefore, your company should
select Project A.
Q2) Your team has identified three risks with probabilities of 10%, 50%, and 35% during
risk management planning. If the first two risks occur, they will cost you 5,000 USD and
8,000 USD; however, the third risk will give you 10,000 USD if it occurs.
Solution:
The expected monetary value of three events = EMV of the first event + EMV of the
second event + EMV of the third event
EMV of the first event = 0.10 * (–5,000)
= –500
EMV of the second event = 0.50 * (–8,000)
= –4,000
EMV of the third event = 0.35 * 10,000
= 3,500
EMV of all three events = EMV of the first event + EMV of the second event + EMV of the
third event
= – 500 – 4,000 + 3,500
= –1,000
The expected monetary value (EMV) of all three events is –1,000 USD.
Q3) A group of students raise money each year by selling souvenirs outside the stadium of
a cricket match between teams A and B. They can buy any of three different types of
souvenirs from a supplier. Their sales are mostly dependent on which team wins the match.
A conditional payoff (in Rs.) table is as under:
(ii) Which type of souvenir should the students buy if the probability of team A's winning is
0.6?
(iii) Compute the cost of uncertainty.
Solution:
Since the EOL of buying Type I Souvenir is minimum, the optimal decision is to buy Type I
Souvenir.
Units demanded : 5 6 7 8 9
No. of days : 30 60 90 75 45
Solution:
(i) The given data can be rewritten in terms of relative frequencies, as shown below:
Units demanded: 5 6 7 8 9
Let A denote the number of units ordered and D denote the number of units demanded per
day.
If D ≥A, profit per day = 3A, and if D < A, profit per day = 3D – 2(A – D) = 5D – 2A.
From the above table, we note that the maximum EMV = 19.00, which corresponds to the
order of 7 or 8 units. Since the order of the 8th unit adds nothing to the EMV, i.e., marginal
EMV is zero, therefore, order of 8 units per day is optimal.
Solution