The Role of Institutions in Development
The Role of Institutions in Development
Aori;(I qq
PRO C E ED ING S OF T HE W OR L D B AN K ANN U AL CON FE RE NC E
ON DEVELOPM ENT ECO NO M I CS 1989
Economists interpret "institutions" in at least two ways. Institutions can be the "rules
Public Disclosure Authorized
of the game" (which provide the context-such as markets-in which actors make
decisions), or they can be organizations (typically, systems of nonmarket relations).
What is the role of public policy in influencing the rules of the game, and what is its
role in public sector economic organizations? Informal conventions and informal rules
of the game make institutions function differently than their formal structure might
lead us to expect. Governments can intervene and influence the rules of the game, but
their interventions should be based on an adequate perception of existing formal and
informal arrangements and on processes of adaptation that were under way before
intervention was initiated. The literature does not adequately explore the normative
arguments for public economic organizations, nor has there been enough rigorous
analysis of the causes of public sector failure. Many institutions are dysfunctional in
terms of development, however, not because they are inefficient but because their
intended purposes conflict with the requirements of economic growth. Diagnosing the
causes of good or bad performance by public organizations could provide the basis for
Public Disclosure Authorized
1. INSTITUTIONS:Two DEFINITIONS
Two different, although related, meanings are given to the term "institutions"
in discussions of development. The first is as rules of the game. The second is
as organizations.
153
154 The Role of Institutions
1. An important part of the thrust of Gunnar Myrdal's critique of the work of economistsin Asia was
concerned with economists' neglect of institutional questions. It is not difficult to find work equally
subject to that earlier criticism.
Van Arkadie 159
3. The quick characterization of paradigms demanded by limits of space runs the obvious risk of
vulgarization. The only way to do justice to each of the paradigms is to illustrate their use in tackling
the problems discussed here: for instance, de Janvry's (1981) study of the agrarian questions in Latin
America demonstrates the sensitive use of Marxist concepts.
Van Arkadie 161
new conditions even without official sanction. This suggests that one official
task should be to adjust formal rules to accommodate changes under way so as
to improve the certainty of transactions by making them official. But there are
dangers: formalizing informal arrangements-for instance, through land regis-
tration-will have its own effects, by shifting the access of different economic
actors to the formal system-for instance, through land grabbing.
Institutional Pluralism
The rules of the game, besides defining property rights and acceptable con-
tractual relationships, also define how and by whom the rules themselves are
made. A recent collection of essays on institutional analysis and development
(Ostrum, Feeny, and Picht 1988) argues that the institutional choice should be
presented not as a dichotomy of state or market but as a pluralism of possible
contractual relationships, both explicit and implicit. To quote (p. 456):
Systems of governance can be constituted by conceptually simple but so-
cially complex configurations of implicit or explicit contractual relation-
ships. There is no theoretical reason why there must be a single centre that
has exclusive authority to formulate and enforce rules in a society.
The volume is in the tradition of U.S. pluralism, favoring a diversity of social
institutions as the desirable base for a democratic order, with a place for ini-
tiatives from many levels of society and not providing central government with
undue concentration of power. Systems of decentralized decisionmaking and
control might bring to bear user pressures as stimuli to performance not possible
in a centralized bureaucracy.
Skepticism about the concentration of power in centralized institutions is not
confined to neoconservatives: on the left, popular participation, workers' and
peasants' movements, and other forms of grass-roots mobilization are seen both
as virtues in themselves and as mechanisms to make institutions responsive to
local conditions and needs.
Of course, while decentralized institutions may be more susceptible to local
participation and control, by the same token they may be captive to the local
structure of power. The drawbacks of centralized power-insensitivity to local
needs and ignorance of local capacities-have their counterparts in the skewed
access that can arise from local systems of power and prejudice.
The Promotion of Entrepreneurship
Another area to explore is the possible impact of government molding of the
rules of the game on entrepreneurial initiatives. While not all would share the
Schumpeterian view that entrepreneurship is central to capitalist development,
entrepreneurial capacity is clearly important, and particular development suc-
cesses seem to be associated with a concentration of entrepreneurial flair or
capitalist "animal spirits."
Given their pivotal role in capitalism, entrepreneurship and entrepreneurial
164 The Role of Institutions
4. The East African Asians, for example, have had repeated experience as a minority community, first
under British colonial rule, then in independent Africa, and now in Britain and North America, and have
shown a high degree of entrepreneurial ingenuity in all three situations. At the same time, of course, the
culture of a minority group may be more or less consistent with taking on a successful entrepreneurial
role.
Van Arkadie 165
sufficiently accepted to be allowed to play the part effectively, and secure enough
to take a long view of investment opportunities-as against a common situation
of insecurity in which suspicion engenders precisely the short-term, capital-
exporting behavior that reinforces the initial suspicion.
The view that entrepreneurship is likely to appear when other avenues of
advance are blocked relates to two other observations. The first is that entre-
preneurship often seems not to be highly correlated with formal educational
achievement, in part because the able but uneducated are excluded from more
secure avenues of social advance. Second, crises that erode bureaucratic incomes
and frustrate the expectations of the educated elite may call forth considerable
entrepreneurial response. This seems to be the case in the recent experience of
a number of African countries.
Strangely, Marxist and related literature has tackled the long-term institutional
issue of capitalist development more explicitly than neoclassical writing. The
main thrust of the Marxist (and dependency) literature is to see the development
of national capital and multinational enterprise as essentially antagonistic-with
indigenous capital trapped in a stunted, essentially comprador role (see Baran
1957). In some Marxist writing this comprador role is extended to the state
sector (Shivji 1973). But the opposite view has also been expressed in the Marxist
literature (see Warren 1980; Sender and Smith 1986). It has been suggested, for
example, that multinational business supported indigenous capital in the colonial
period (as compared to settler colonialism; see Cowen 1979).
The propositions of neoclassical economics are most strongly developed in
relation to the virtues of liberal international commodity markets. While no
doubt for most neoclassical economists, the commitment to freely operating
markets would extend to capital markets, there are different issues involved from
those related to free trade in commodities. Albert Hirschman (1969) made the
interesting point that quite different issues are at stake when a country specializes
in the supply of one factor of production, labor, than when it specializes in
producing a particular commodity.
The assumption implicit in much pro-free-market analysis is that there is a
potentially complementary and supportive relation between multinational busi-
ness and indigenous private enterprises, while in contrast the relation between
state and private enterprise is likely to be competitive and antagonistic. Hence
an institutional choice must be made between state and private enterprise.
Such a view is not, however, necessarily consistent with rent-seeking inter-
pretations of political processes, which could equally well suggest that public
corporations are likely to be responsive to private interests either bringing pres-
sure through the political or administrative process, or engaging in commercial
manipulation to gain access to potential rents. A large scale public sector, even
if conceived in the context of a transition to socialism, can as well provide one
path toward capitalism, depending on the role of the state system vis-a-vis
incipient national capital.
166 The Role of Institutions
This statement implies some consensus about the state role in a considerable
range of activities. Such consensus may exist from time to time, and in particular
countries, but it often changes when big political shifts occur. In Britain, for
example, there have been two major shifts since World War II.
Even activities on most "commonsense" lists of state responsibilities may in
practice be far from universal state monopolies. Cases in point are police services,
supplemented in many countries by booming private security services, and postal
services, virtually displaced in some lines of business by private courier services.
On the other hand, international experience yields examples of government
involvement in virtually all areas of economic activity.
The origins of public economic organizations are extraordinarily diverse. Some
spring from a systematic initiative to extend state influence; some emerge to
handle problems of private bankruptcy, or as vehicles for political patronage;
and aid donors themselves sometimes generate new institutions as a conduit for
external funding. Many have probably been created for conventional reasons-in
the colonial period, for example, reflecting metropolitan practice as much as
local requirements or local interests. And perhaps as important as their origin
is the tenacity with which public institutions, once created, defend their own
survival (on this topic, see Bernard Schaffer, quoted in Lamb 1985).
Thus there is a wide diversity of government economic organizations. Among
the reasons for this diversity are political factors, both ideological and, more
prosaically, those that respond to the day-to-day needs of the political system.
It is surely a mistake to avoid recognizing this openly, by presenting the issue
as largely technocratic-particularly since shifts in the international climate of
opinion on this issue reflect shifting political winds in the industrial countries.
Nevertheless, the question of the appropriate form and role for government
economic organizations cannot be sidestepped as simply political. Good or bad
performance by government organizations is critical to growth, and particularly
important for aid donors, because these organizations are the preponderant
channel for aid. Despite the difficulties, the task of improving the performance
of public economic organizations must be confronted.
The messy array of issues is tackled here by addressing three sets of questions:
(1) What are the arguments for the existence of public economic organizations?
(2) How should aid donors relate to institutional performance? (3) What are
the factors that influence performance?
Van Arkadie 167
growth path is found by emphasizing such institutions, any more than the fact
that wealthy countries are industrialized means that at a particular moment
industrial investment should be emphasized.
A second problem is that the identified characteristics of effective institutions
and the characteristics of institutions that would be considered appropriate for
public sector attention often do not match-for instance, it is in the nature of
some public goods that their supply lacks specificity. One is left with the awk-
ward conclusion that the public sector is in part the residual legatee of activities
that do not lend themselves to effective institutional performance.
But this need not be so alarming, as some of these activities may be quite
satisfactorily handled by governments, even if they do not respond to systematic
efforts to improve productivity, nor are plausible candidates for external assis-
tance. Even though primary education is a low-specificity, low-competition ac-
tivity, in most countries it is done quite well, sometimes in extremely difficult
conditions. But there is no very good reason for external funding to be mobilized
for primary education (except for textbook production-which can be organized
in ways to meet the Israel criteria).
This brings out an important point that is sometimes overlooked: there is a
difference between a worthwhile organization or activity and one that is an
appropriate object for external assistance. The institutions that can productively
use external support form a specialized subset of the group of viable or potentially
successful institutions. Analysis is required at two stages. Is a public economic
institution desirable, or likely to be effective? If so, is external assistance required,
and does a candidate-funding institution have the competence (comparative
advantage) to supply that assistance?
Evaluating the institutional performance of aided projects is tricky. Elaborately
designed externally funded projects sometimes fail because they demand an
unattainable level of managerial performance. And those that succeed might do
so because they divert scarce managerial talent from other activities. If so, there
are hidden costs, particularly where the response to a weak implementation
structure is to use external funds to set up parallel institutions.
Inherent incapability. There are some economic tasks that public institutions
may be inherently ill-adapted to handle-in particular, activities requiring de-
centralized risk-taking (some forms of agriculture; shopkeeping), combined with
the need for considerable labor commitment. But this is no more than a casual
observation. Unlike market failure, analyzed exhaustively by economists starting
from the assumption that market solutions are best unless proved otherwise,
"public institution failure"-identification of those activities that public eco-
nomic organizations are not, a priori, likely to be able to handle efficiently-has
attracted remarkably little systematic examination.
Such factors as risk, economies of scale, and standardization of the process
Van Arkadie 171
The most telling case against many institutions is not that they are technically
inefficient or poorly managed (although they may be) but that, in the political
and administrative reality in which they operate, they end up pursuing objectives
inconsistent with development.
For example, there are two quite distinct strands in the criticism of marketing
boards in Africa. One is that they are expensive and inefficient, perhaps inevitably
so. They are dysfunctional because they place a burden of bureaucratic overhead
costs on the farmer. A quite separate argument is that their basic objective is to
shift the terms of trade against agriculture, serving a political economy weighted
against the farmer (see Bates 1981).
In other words, one must go beyond the assumption that government insti-
tutions are by definition pursuing the goals of national development to explore
what determines the interests organizations work for in practice. This propo-
sition applies as much to international institutions, and to bilateral donors, as
to institutions in the recipient countries. "Interests" can relate to the play of
foreign policy concerns of states, sectional economic interests brought to bear
on aid programs, and the interests of aid officials, departments, and agencies in
perpetuating their roles.
The view taken of the determinants of government behavior obviously influ-
ences normative judgment about the role appropriate for government institu-
tions. One "rational choice" approach to the political economy of public insti-
tutions emphasizes "rent seeking" as a powerful motive force. If the main
172 The Role of Institutions
factor in their performance. Yet economists neglect these ethnic, religious, and
nationalist influences, important and wide-ranging as they are. Partly, in the
official literature, this is a matter of etiquette. But it is also true that economists
find such matters hard to handle. Neither neoclassical economics, with its em-
phasis on individualism, nor Marxist economics, focusing on class interest, are
well geared to analyze economic behavior motivated by awareness of ethnic or
religious identities.
REFERENCES
Aga Khan Foundation. 1987. The Enabling Environment. Report of Conference held in
Nairobi, Kenya, 21-24 October 1986.
Baran, Paul A. 1957. The Political Economy of Growth. New York: Monthly Review
Press.
Bardhan, Pranab, ed. 1988. The Economic Theory of Agrarian Institutions. New York:
Oxford University Press.
Bates, Robert H. 1981. Markets and States in Tropical Africa: The Political Base of
Agricultural Policies. Berkeley: University of California Press.
- , ed. 1988. Toward a Political Economy of Development: A Rational Choice
Perspective. Berkeley: University of California Press.
Becker, Gary S. 1976. The Economic Approach to Human Behavior. Chicago: University
of Chicago Press.
Coase, R. H. 1937. "The Nature of the Firm." Economica. November. Reprinted in G.
J. Stigler and K. E. Boulding, eds., Readings in the Theory of Price. Homewood, Ill.:
Irwin.
Cowen, Michael. 1979. "Capital and Household Production: The Case of Kenya Central
Province, 1903-64." Ph.D. thesis, Cambridge University.
de Janvry, Alain. 1981. The Agrarian Question and Reformism in Latin America. Bal-
timore: Johns Hopkins University Press.
Elkan, Walter. 1988. "Entrepreneurs and Entrepreneurship in Africa." World Bank
Research Observer 3, no. 2 (July): 171-88.
Feder, Gershon, and Raymond Noronha. 1987. "Lands Rights Systems and Agricultural
Development in Sub-Saharan Africa." World Bank Research Observer 2, no. 2 (July):
143-69.
Feeny, David. 1988. "The Demand for and Supply of Institutional Arrangements." In
V. Ostrum, D. Feeny, and H. Picht, eds., Rethinking Institutional Analysis and De-
velopment. San Francisco: International Center for Economic Growth.
Furtado, Celso. 1964. Development and Underdevelopment. Berkeley: University of
California Press.
Galbraith, John Kenneth. 1987. Economics in Perspective: A Critical History. Boston:
Houghton Mifflin.
Hill, Polly. 1986. Development Economics on Trial: The Anthropological Case for a
Prosecution. Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press.
Hirschman, Albert 0. 1969. How to Divest in Latin America and Why. Essays in
International Finance 76. Princeton, N.J.: Department of Economics, Princeton Uni-
versity.
Van Arkadie 175
John Nellis
The author is on the staff of the Country Economics Department of the World Bank.
C 1990 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / THE WORLD BANK.
177
178 Comment
This brings me to my last point: the next and most crucial step in the process
(and here, not surprisingly, the Van Arkadie paper is not too helpful) is to specify
precise operational methods and tools by which to improve performance in
institutions. A great deal of analytical review of how technical assistance for
institutional development has been used-and misused-is about to come to
fruition. Guidelines may reasonably be expected to come out of this work, a
distillation of "best practice" in this subfield that will be of use to governments
and donors. Such guidelines already exist for the reform of public enterprises,
a comparatively manageable element of public sector institutional reform (see
Shirley 1989 and Nellis 1989). And efforts are under way to do the same for
budgeting and public expenditure (see Lacey 1989). Devising the appropriate
techniques is perhaps less the job of the academic economist than of the gov-
ernment bureaucrat, the World Bank staff, and management specialists-though
we in the practitioner community would gratefully accept any further assistance
Van Arkadie and other academic economists might care to offer.
REFERENCES
Pranab Bardhan
I agree with most of what is said in the paper. Essentially this critique sup-
plements the paper, emphasizing institutional issues that Professor Van Arkadie
did not go into very much-particularly from the point of view of rural devel-
opment. I will try to discuss these issues in the perspective of economic theory,
keeping in mind our primary focus on policy issues and empirical matters.
Until recently, mainstream economic theory has by and large ignored insti-
tutional issues-often stating central propositions with a false air of institutional
neutrality. Of course, radical economists, economic historians, and other such
wishy-washy characters among us have always made a noise about institutions
being important, but much of mainstream economic theory has kept a safe
distance from such polluting influences.
Fortunately that's no longer true. In the last ten or fifteen years, economic
theory-particularly non-Walrasian neoclassical and non-neoclassical theory-
is increasingly recognizing a whole range of problems that come up in analyzing
institutions. We are now in the process of developing an endogenous theory of
institutions that will help us understand the forces behind them. Our focus is,
of course, on economic factors because our comparative advantage lies in ana-
lyzing them.
There is now a vast literature, which includes several points of view. The
transactions costs theorists have taken one line, largely flowing from the seminal
work of Ronald Coase; somewhat different, though related, is Oliver William-
son's work (1985). The Coase-Williamson literature on transaction costs con-
centrates on corporate structure and practices; more recently, the literature (see,
for example, Bardhan 1989) has tended to focus on things like imperfect infor-
mation, usually emphasizing the emergence of institutions as substitutes for
missing markets-particularly for credit, insurance, and futures transactions-
in an environment of pervasive risks, moral hazard, information asymmetries,
and so on. The theme was first taken up in the literature on sharecropping, but
now a whole range of rural institutions has been analyzed-in the labor, credit,
and other markets.
The author is a professor of economics at the University of California, Berkeley, and editor of the
Journal of Development Economics.
© 1990 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / THE WORLD BANK.
181
182 Comment
There are two kinds of collective action problem here. One is the well-known
free-rider problem about sharing the costs of bringing about change. The other,
less often talked about, has to do with bargaining about sharing not the costs
but the potential benefits from the change, disputes about which may lead to a
breakdown of the necessary coordination.
The collective action dilemma brings to mind another general problem of this
literature: much of the focus is on efficiency-improving institutions, whereas
historically considerations of efficiency have been less important than redistrib-
utive issues in processes of institutional change. Take the eighteenth-century
enclosure movement in England, for example, which some literature in economic
history has tried to explain. Enclosures have been explained as more efficient
than the open field system that prevailed before. Now, there is no doubt that
if an institution improves efficiency, pressures will be generated to bring it
about-but redistribution has often been the crucial factor in this particular
collective action problem. Mobilizing the relevant interest groups and tackling
the bargaining and free-rider problems often turn on the redistributive effects
of the particular institutional change, which are at least as important, if not
more so, than the efficiency-improving effects.
There is an identification problem here. Hayami and Ruttan (1985) distinguish
between demand for and supply of institutional change-demand coming from
demographic and technological changes which generate pressures for institu-
tional change; supply from political entrepreneurs who try to resolve the col-
lective action problem. Although they recognize this distinction, Hayami and
Ruttan often try to show how demographic and technological changes have
brought about institutional changes in agriculture. There are several examples
in the book and also in Hayami and Kikuchi (1982). Let me take just one
example. The rapid expansion of labor-tying arrangements such as kedokan in
many parts of Java in the late 1960s, which Hayami and Kikuchi attribute to
population growth, can be explained from the "supply side" by reference to the
drastic changes in the collective strength of the poor peasantry brought about
by the bloody political changes of the 1960s. I am not saying that the supply
side is more important than the demand side, but in observed historical instances
sometimes it is difficult to identify whether demand for institutional change or
resolution of the collective action problem in some way was responsible for the
outcome. Often the two are interdependent.
Identification is a general problem in applying some of the rather sophisticated
theoretical models from the institutional literature. When I was a student in
development economics, one of the major issues that used to be discussed was
"Are peasants rational?"-which always sounded a little silly to me. Now we
have moved full circle: we have superclever peasants solving multistage, mul-
tiperiod game-theory models. I am in favor of applying more sophisticated
reasoning to understanding processes we do not understand otherwise, but there
are significant empirical difficulties. As we know, many of these game-theoretical
184 Comment
results are highly model-specific and are not robust at all. An empirical testing
of these models is extremely difficult: for the same observed phenomenon that
you explain by one intricate game-theoretical model, you can find five other
intricate or not-so-intricate models. There is a disproportion between theoretical
and empirical work in this area which will crop up in all sorts of ways as we
start testing the theoretical models.
Finally, on the role of the state, which is the real focus of Van Arkadie's
paper: sometimes the literature is unduly preoccupied with the extent of state
intervention when the more interesting subject is how, given the extent, the
nature or quality of the intervention varies; even the same amount of intervention
can bring about completely different outcomes.
I also think that the literature focuses too much on state versus private property
regimes. In many aspects of development-including rural development and
many of the looming environmental problems-we should pay more attention
to "intermediate" institutions, such as small-group cooperatives, formal or in-
formal. The history of cooperatives is by and large dismal: they have failed in
many parts of the world. I am not talking about large collectives or the kind of
cooperatives in Kenya discussed in Van Arkadie's paper. (In fact, one reason
cooperative history is so often a history of failure is that cooperatives are often
essentially the lower end of a big state bureaucracy or a front organization to
milk the state cow.) I am talking about more genuine voluntary, small-group,
self-help cooperatives that may get help from others but are more self-generative
and self-sustaining. Successful examples of such groups exist in different coun-
tries.
Water management is one area that generates many externalities. How do
village societies cope with internalizing them? How do farmers get together
locally to resolve conflicts-or sometimes fail to resolve them-in allocation?
East Asian history has many success stories about informal, traditional village
community organizations in which all kinds of implicit cooperation have been
going on for some time. Even in different parts of India I have seen scattered
evidence of a remarkable amount of informal cooperation among farmers. These
institutions are not listed as cooperative societies, and they often take rather
soft institutional forms, but they have survived for a long time. Unfortunately,
informal cooperatives are now fading away as the state, as a patronage-giver,
becomes more important and intrudes into village life. Externalities of this kind
are important in many other areas-environmental issues particularly come to
mind.
We should study informal institutions involving cooperation to try to under-
stand why they fail in many areas and why they succeed in some. I would urge
those who are interested in these issues not to try to resolve them at general
theoretical or aggregate statistical levels. I think this calls for many microlevel
studies that include analyses of processes. We economists in our surveys are not
very good at understanding processes. We get observation points on outcomes
and analyze those outcomes. To understand processes, I think we have to give
Bardhan 185
up our somewhat arrogant imperialist attitude toward other social studies and
collaborate with others, such as anthropologists, and get on with more such
microstudies.
REFERENCES
This session was chaired by Visvanathan Rajagopalan, vicc president, Sector Policy and Rcsearch,
World Bank.
C)1990 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/ THE WORLD BANK.
187
188 Floor Discussion of Van Arkadie Paper
the two definitions along parallel tracks-with marriage, societal norms, and
the like along one track and with diagnoses of organizations along another-
but perhaps there is no real link between the two meanings. Does one follow
the other in terms of the sequence of development? Does the development and
effectiveness of organizations-particularly the kinds of agencies the World Bank
works with-depend upon a certain level of development of norms? If there is
no such link, perhaps it would be more productive to discuss them separately,
and we could get on with the task of considering organizational alternatives for
development programs. Admitting that his work on this subject was new and
transitional, Van Arkadie said he would have to think about whether the two
subjects deserved separate discussion. His two definitions of "institutions" were
an empirical reaction to the discourse; if separated, the question would be how
the two meanings could be related at the analytical or theoretical level.
Nellis (discussant) said that the Bank working group that is producing a policy
paper on institutional development is receiving many comments along two lines:
(1) what you are attempting is ludicrously broad and (2) how could you have
left out local government, decentralization, finance, tax administration, and so
on?
A participant offered an explanation of why this field is theoretically under-
developed and how to improve matters. Economists writing about rural insti-
tutions, for example, speak of utility-maximizing producers, production func-
tions, risk, and asymmetric information-all elements of an urban sector theory,
none of them specific to agriculture. Once you get specific about agriculture,
suddenly, without a great deal of analytical apparatus, implications become
apparent. In his own work, by looking at elements such as covariance of risk
and the spatial dispersion of agriculture, the participant had shown that crop
insurance is not likely to work and that rural financial institutions that confine
their operations to agriculture would have trouble operating successfully. Intro-
duce agroclimatic differences-for example, the high degree of covariant risk
in semiarid, highly seasonal climates and the low degree of risk in humid climates
that are not very seasonal-and you arrive at the differences anthropologists
have long observed between the hierarchical family structures found in semiarid
areas and the nonhierarchical family structures found in humid areas. Introduce
differences among crops-whether the crop can be stored before being processed,
for example-and you can predict which crops are suited for plantations and
which are not. He strongly felt that economists writing about institutions sys-
tematically ignore simple technological and material conditions.
While agreeing with this comment, Van Arkadie felt that the difficulty lay in
knowing which were the right questions for economists to look at. Take the
plantation example just cited, for instance. In the 1960s Van Arkadie saw that
sisal was a plantation crop, and coffee a smallholder crop in Tanzania. To him
it seemed obvious and logical why this was so. Then he went to Brazil where
he found coffee to be a relatively large-scale and sisal a relatively small-scale
crop. As an economist one can say that some crops probably can't be produced
Floor Discussion of Van Arkadie Paper 189
and it was evident that market forces would not do so, policymakers decide that
something ought to-and therefore could-be done. The wish then fathers the
support, and the persistence of support, often despite the lack of positive results.
Citing Harold Lasswell's definition of political science as the study of who
gets what, when, where, and how, a participant suggested that if one accepts
that institutions like the World Bank have been effective in specifying who, what,
where, and when one transforms resource inputs into outputs, what the topic
was addressing seemed to a political scientist to be simple: the feasibility of the
question of how, which the Bank had addressed less successfully. The key vari-
ables are motivations and incentives (which, when expanded, cross over into
culture, psychology, rules of the game, and so on). Institutions are simply the
collective mechanism by which people pursuing their own interests transform
inputs into outputs. Outcomes are more rational if the collective action is pur-
poseful and less rational when it is the sum of anarchic activities-or something
in between. If we assume that to accomplish our institutional ends we must
control all the variables and come up with generic prescriptions, this may seem
to be an unmanageable field. By focusing on process and recognizing that the
complexity is largely in the location-specific way motivations and incentives
manifest themselves, we can find out what motivates people in a particular
context and come up with adaptive institutional solutions. Agreeing with this
assessment, Van Arkadie observed that complaints are more often about action
(or inaction) than about the analysis. As an observer of Bank policy missions
he is struck by how often perfectly sensible, straightforward advice is not taken.
Another participant expressed the need for more guidance on how to conduct
meaningful institutional appraisals. If in the absence of a theory of institutional
change, one were to decide on a case-by-case basis whether or not to recommend
institutional interventions-analyzing institutional microprocesses, the institu-
tion's political and technical purpose, its historical origins, its public and private
influence, and various social, anthropological, cultural, ethnic, and political
factors-what should the methodology be?
Two participants offered constructive criticism on current approaches to in-
stitutional change. The first participant suggested that economists at the World
Bank and elsewhere should probably concentrate on public economic and fi-
nancial organizations-concerning themselves with noneconomic organizations
only to the extent of helping them use resources optimally. He believed there
had not been enough empirical studies about optimal cost structures for non-
economic public organizations. When such an organization applies for grants
or aid, lending institutions look at its financial profile and conclude that it is
inefficient if they see that personnel costs and overheads exceed certain ratios.
He felt that these ratios were drawn from the developed market economy ex-
perience and he wondered if these cost profiles can be applied without adaptation
to noneconomic public organizations in developing countries. The participant
also seconded Van Arkadie's recommendation that the World Bank support
research into entrepreneurship, particularly studies about how to predict entre-
Floor Discussion of Van Arkadie Paper 191