Fiitjee: Total Probability Theorem
Fiitjee: Total Probability Theorem
2. A bag contains m – white and n – black balls. A ball is drawn at random and is put back into
the bag with k – additional balls of the same colour as that of the ball drawn.
A ball is again drawn at random, What is the probability that the ball drawn is now white.
3. A letter is known to have come from either TATANAGAR or CALCUTTA. On the letter just two
consecutive letters are visible. What is the probability that the two consecutive letters are TA.
4. A box contains N coins, m of which are fair and the rest are biased. The probability of getting
1 2
a head when a fair coin is tossed is , while it is when a biased coin is tossed. A coin is
2 3
drawn from the box and is tossed twice. Find the probability that the first time it shows a head
and then a tail.
5. A coin has probability p – of showing a head when tossed. It is tossed n – times. Let pn denote
the probability no two (or more) consecutive heads occur. Prove that
(i) p1 = 1
(ii) p2 = 1 − p2
6. If Ram has (n + 1) and Shyam has n – fair coins, which they flip. Find the probability that Ram
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7. From a bag containing ‘a’ white and ‘b’ black balls, k (< a, b) balls are drawn and laid aside
their colour unnoted. Then one more ball is drawn. Find the probability that it is white.
8. Lot A consists of 6 good and 4 defective articles. Lot B consists of 7 good and 3 defective
articles. A new lot C is formed by taking 6 articles from lot A and 4 articles from lot B.
Find the probability that an article chosen from lot C is defective.
9. A bag contains n balls. It is given or known that the probability that among these n – balls
exactly r – balls are white is proportional to r 2 ( 0 r n ) . A ball is drawn at random. Find the
11. A and B play a game with pairs of dice. A has a “good” throw if the sum of A’s dice is 7, while
B has a “good” throw if the sum of B’s dice is 4. In each round they throw simultaneously. If
one of them has a “good” throw and the other does not, that player having “good” throw is
declared winner, otherwise they throw again. Find the probability that A wins.
12.
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