Smart 24-04-22
Smart 24-04-22
Smart 24-04-22
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Financial Weekly
staple and industrials were down for the day and gainers on the energy and financials. The US
market finished on higher on Tuesday as the earnings were optimism better than expected in the
first quarter. The sectors indexed advanced with top performing were real estate, consumer staples,
healthcare and materials on Wednesday trade. The Federal Reserve released its Beige Book on
US economic activity has expanded at a moderate space, manufacturing activity was solid, the fed
is expected to continue to roll out rate hike at upcoming meetings in order to grasp on spiking
inflations. The home sales figures slumped by 2.77%. The US market finished session steep lower
on Friday with slumping to worst in closing levels, due to increased certainty on the aggressive
near-term interest rate rise and health care earnings news were disappointing. The S&P 500 closed
down with bottom performing were materials, healthcare, communication and financials.
Technical indicators on oscillators like Momentum, MACD level provide sell signal and others
Neutral. In Moving Averages indicators on Exponential moving average (100,200) and simple moving
averages (100,200) provide buy signal. The Pivot points 4412.61, S1-4016.29, S2-3266.39, S3-
2120.17 and Resistance R1-5162.51, R2-5558.63, R3-6705.05. The overall indications are Neu-
tral and wait for clear directions.
Financial Weekly
Global Market
US FOMC meeting on 3 & 4 May 2022 - could end policy
surprise & Lockdown in China - impacting supply chain
Last week we discussed, Finland & Sweden next after Ukraine? Is Russia now going to attack
Finland & Sweden as they showed their willingness to join NATO which Russia is against off. In a
week earlier, we have discussed how RUBLE, Russian currency is now trading at pre-crisis level
and also discussed India-US 2 + 2 meeting. It is no more about West Vs Russia, now focus has
shifted towards financial supremacy and sanctions as economic tools.
This week we will discuss about US FOMC meeting schedule on 3 - 4 May 2022. Market has
already factored in 50 bps rate hike and announcement of Balance sheet reduction of $95 billion
per month. But our discussion would be focus on - could surprise element get over after this US
FOMC meeting.
US FOMC meeting in May 2022 - could end policy surprise
3-Nov-21 policy:
" US Fed begins bond tapering by $15 billion per month.
" Bond tapering expected to be completed by June 2022 &
" First-rate hike by end of 2022.
16-Dec-21 Policy:
" US fed increase tapering program by $30 billion per month.
" Bond tapering to end by March 2022.
" Any decision on rate hike to be data driven
26-Jan-22 Policy:
" No change in bond tapering program.
" Guided for first rate hike as soon as March FOMC Policy.
" Rate hike could be more than 25 bps & hike in every FOMC meeting in 2022. Guided for 7
rate hikes.
" Started discussion on Balance sheet downsizing.
Poonawalla Fincorp
Stock is in Wave C and formed a flat structure
A has taken 16 days , B has taken 38 days, C can take 54 days
hence Stock can be hold with sl of 301 target 365...390
INFOSYS
Buy at CMP - 1616 Targets - 1900 to 2100 Time
Frame - 5 to 12 months,
Strategic partnership aims to reimagine the tennis experience for fans and players globally -
infosys a global leader in next-generation digital services and consulting, and Roland-Garros,
the game by providing fans, players and coaches with a completely new experience, leveraging
Infosys’ expertise in digital technologies such as artificial intelligence, big data & analytics, mobil-
Infosys Limited is an Indian multinational corporation that provides business consulting, infor-
mation technology and outsourcing services. It has its headquarters in Bengaluru, Karnataka. The
company is engaged in software development in the form of services, turnkey projects and prod-
ucts for the domestic and export market. The software development is targeted towards the distri-
Infosys is a global leader in next-generation digital services and consulting. They enable cli-
ents in 45 countries to navigate their digital transformation. With over three decades of experience
in managing the systems and workings of global enterprises, and expertly steer the clients through
their digital journey. They do it by enabling the enterprise with an AI-powered core that helps priori-
tize the execution of change and also empower the business with agile digital at scale to deliver
unprecedented levels of performance and customer delight. Their always-on learning agenda drives
their continuous improvement through building and transferring digital skills, expertise, and ideas
The Company operates in three business segments: organic intermediates, inorganic interme-
diates, and fine and specialty chemicals. The Organic Intermediates segment consists of nitro
aromatic plants and also multi-purpose aromatic amines plant based on catalytic hydrogenation
technology. The Fine and Specialty Chemical segment produces a range of effect chemicals for
the needs of speciality producers. These include colour intermediates for optical brighteners.
During the year the 1984-1985, the company started to manufactured 3000 TPA concentrated
nitric acid and in the same year the company commissioned its hexamine plant. During the year,
the company acquired 31 acres of land in village Kareli in District Bharuch. During the year 1986-
1987, the company started the production of new items namely, Guanidine Nitrate and Hydroxy-
lamine Sulphate
Cont...
Financial Weekly
Global Hospital is a 110-bed specialty health care unit based in Ahmedabad, which provides
proper treatment, heart joint replacement, all emergency services, world class critical care,
poly trauma care and other services by a team of specialist doctors.
Financial Weekly
3. HDFC LTD sold a 10% stake in HDFC Capital to Abu Dhabi Investment Authority for Rs.
184 crores. HDFC Capital is in discussions with other global companies for stake sale and
wishes to use the proceeds in affordable & mid-income housing projects.HDFC Capital is a
subsidiary of HDFC Ltd and is mainly into private equity fund in the Indian real estate sector.
4. POONAWALLA FINCORP has tied up with KrazyBee and wishes to lend about Rs.
1,000-crore digital loans in FY23. With this, Poonawala will enter into the digital consumption
lending space, which comprises many small-ticket loans offered to individuals. The new man-
agement made a strategic shift in product mix by taking low-cost funds, thereby bringing an
edge-the tie-up with bringing in the much necessary volumes for the business.
5. ICICI PRUDENTIAL LIFE INSURANCE targets a 22% growth in VNB this fiscal
year. The company's net profits doubled to Rs. 185 crores between January and March 2022,
aided by growth in new business.
6. ICICI BANK, with 14th rank, has entered into the top 50S&P Global Market Intelligence's
ranking of the Asia-Pacific's largest banks. Along with SBI (17th rank) and HDFC Bank (7th
rank), the three banks together form 2.1% of the assets of Asian banks. China and Japan
have the most number of large-size banks on the list.
turing facilities in India spread across the states of Punjab and Himachal Pradesh which are
equipped with the latest machinery, producing yarns and garments. Besides manufacturing
facilities, Sportking also owns over 100 retail garment stores spread across many Indian
states.
It has an equity base of just Rs.13.45 crore that is supported by reserves of around
Rs.533 crore. The Promoters hold 74.15% while the investing public holds 25.85% stake in
the company.
Company has posted highly impressive numbers for Q3FY22 & 9MFY22. For Q3FY22, its
PAT jumped 282.89% to Rs.116.13 crore from Rs.30.33 crore in Q3FY21 on 67.10% higher
sales of Rs.587.05 crore fetching an EPS of Rs.87.40. During 9MFY22, its PAT rose 659.43%
to Rs.305.29 crore from Rs.40.20 crore in 9MFY21 on 74.79% higher sales of Rs.1560.64
crore fetching an EPS of Rs.229.76. Currently stock available at a P/E of just 4.98x.
Investors can watch this stock with a stop loss of Rs.1125. It may give very good
returns in medium to long term.
Cont...
Financial Weekly
Mind-blowing performance of
“Smart Dark Horse” during last 2 months
Recomm. Date Stocks Recomm. Achieved Appreciation
Rate Rate (%)
17th Jan 22 TGV SRAAC 61.4 94.15 53%
24th Jan 22 RENUKA SUGAR 33.45 63.2 89%
24th Jan 22 RUCHIRA PAPER 82.7 133 61%
14th Feb 22 T N PETRO 105.7 134.4 27%
14th Feb 22 J KUMAR INFRA 175 226.6 29%
21st Feb 22 TGV SRAAC 65.5 94.15 44%
28th Feb 22 RCF 70 112.65 61%
7th March 22 PITTI ENG 237.45 344.4 45%
14th March 22 RANA SUGARS 31.9 43.75 37%
21st March 22 Gujarat Craft Ind 107.75 157.95 47%
28th March 22 TGV SRAAC 70.2 94.15 34%
4th April 22 DHANLAXMI ROTO 83.95 141 68%
Financial Weekly
Cont..
Financial Weekly
Financial Weekly
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Cont...
Financial Weekly
Company Promoters:
Sayyed Hamid ; Aged 43 years, he is an entrepre-
neur from Kerala settled in Kochi with astute business acumen
and foresight. Over the last 15 years, he has diversified into
Retail, Hospitality and Distribution businesses across South
India. His journey as a businessman started in 1997 from a
small room that his father owned in Kochi's Penta Menaka
which is now the hub for all kinds of electronic gadgets. Mobile
& automobile are the twin passions of Sayyed Hamid, and he
owns one of the popular retail chain in Kerala for electronic
gadgets.
Roudha Zerlina : Aged 36, she is the wife of
Sayyed Hamid. She is a B.com Graduate. After studies she Post allotment, shares will be listed on BSE SME.
had built a one of its kind dessert brands named pudding jar on FCIL is spending Rs. 0.50 cr. for this IPO process.
her own especially for wide varieties of desserts in Bangalore, The issue constitutes 39.88% of the post issue paid-
Karnataka. Pudding Jar's 1st outlet was opened on Feb 14, up capital of the company. The issue is solely lead
2020 at Frazer town Bangalore. Later expanded to 3 more new managed by Finshore Management Services Ltd.
outlets at Bangalore itself. She is also adding value to the and Cameo Corporate Services Ltd. is the registrar
business of FONE4 Communications (India) Ltd as a Non-Ex- to the issue. Nikunj Stock Brokers Ltd. is the mar-
ecutive Director of the company. ket maker for this company.
For 9 months of FY22 ended on December 31, 2021, it has earned a net profit of Rs. 0.09 crore. on a turnover
of Rs. 42.13 crore.
To boost the online E-commerce sales in the State of Kerala, the company gradually started opening up retail
stores at strategic locations and presently the company has 25 showrooms spread in: (Calicut (02), Cochin (06),
Kollam (02), Kottayam (02), Malappuram (01), Palakkad (07), Thrissur (02), Trivandrum (03)). Whilst the retail
stores are located at prominent locations to attract greater footfalls but the overall idea was to effectively deliver
the products booked online. The company has emerged as one of the most trusted online platform outfits for the
purchase of Electronics gadgets and accessories in the State of Kerala.
It has plans to expand the base to the entire Southern Region by either having its own Retail Stores or through
a franchise model. It plans to make 100 stores operational in Kerala by the end of 2023 by opening retail stores in
Tier 2 and Tier 3 towns. This will enable the company to grab a 10% of the Kerala market size.
Fone4 intends to expand its foot print across all states in South India, as an initial step it will start with one store
in all major towns in South India, then expanding to Tier 2, Tier 3 & Tier 4 towns. It plans to reach 400 Retail Stores
and be rated as the most trusted electronics goods retail chain in South India.
The presence in the Southern Region will make FCIL as well as its E-Commerce model a One-Stop Techno Hub
for buying leading brands of electronics gadgets and accessories.
It has tied up with several reputable brands under the sub-dealership arrangement, to showcase their products,
both at Retail Outlets as well as on an online E-Commerce portal. The Company plans to expand the base through
strategic acquisitions in a similar field and in the logistics arena. It also has plans to strengthen its Technological
platform so that more and more innovative tools can be made available to customers at large at the most competi-
tive pricing.
The industry is highly exposed to the risk of frequent change in customer preference for designs trends and
obsolescence of technology. The company insulates itself from these changes by keeping pace with changing
preference trends and stocking new and innovative designs and products. The Company does not have slow
moving products. Also, it has a buy back arrangement with manufacturers if a product is not moving as expected.
It believes its comprehensive range of products enables it to capitalize on growth opportunities and demand in the
electronic gadgets and accessories market.
***
Financial Weekly
Disclosures as per SECURITIES AND EXCCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014; • I and / or my clients may have investment in this stocks • I/My family have no financial
interest or beneficial interest of more than 1% in the company whose stocks I am recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short / Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable
for any loss arising out of investment based on tis advices • Past performance may or may not be substainedin future "
(Dilip K. Shah) Research Analyst SEBI Regn No. : INH000002152
Financial Weekly
Disclosure : The Recommendations are based on technical analysis. There is a risk of loss in trading.
GOLDEN QUOTE
Reject your sense of injury and the injury itself disappears
Financial Weekly
During the week, while BSE Sensex moved in the range of 57991.53-56009.07, NSE Nifty hov-
ered between 17414.70-16824.70.
For the week, BSE Sensex Lost- 1141.78 points and NSE Nifty marked deficit of -303.70 points.
Markets opened gap down onMondayand traded in red for the entire session. It finally closed
with mega losses. BSE Sensex lost 1172.19 points to close at 57166.74 and NSE Nifty marked
deficit of 302.00 points to end the day at 17173.65. IT counters lead the doom for the day with
RIGHTS ISSUE leadership of Infy and got support from HDFC group counters.
TCM Ltd (6 for 5) Surge in Metal, Auto, FMCG counters fell short in arresting slide.
OnWednesday, markets opened with a positive note and traded in green for the entire session
to close with some gains. BSE Sensex scored 574.35 points to close at 57037.50 and NSE Nifty
marked gain of 177.90 points to end the day at 17136.55. Reliance Ind marked surge for the sec-
ond day in a row and took the lead for gains and got support from market fancy counters of Auto,
Consumer Durables, IT, Pharma, Oil and Gas sectors. However, Mid and Small cap indices
underperformed and kept market breadth negative (marginally). FIIs continued to be the net sellers
and DIIs were the net buyers for the day
ForThursdaytoo we marked re-run of previous session history of green trades. At the close, both
Cont....
With a gap down openings on Fridaywe marked trades in red for the entire session that closed
with big losses. BSE Sensex lost 714.53 points to close at 57197.15 and mirroring similar trends,
NSE Nifty marked deficit of 220.65 points to end the day at 17171.95. Auto, IT counters surged on
short coverings and Adani group counters remained in limelight, FMCG counters witnessed mixed
trends and pharma counters marked profit booking at every rise. RIL marked new 52 weeks high in
intraday but failed to arrest falling trends. Though Mid and Small cap indices outperformed bench-
marks, dull side market kept market breadth negative. FIIs remained net sellers and DIIs were the
net buyers for the day.
Dollar continued up move to mark Rs. 76.50 a dollar by week-end.Brent Crude oil remain firm
around 106$ a barrel and raised concern. For the ensuing week we have over 180corporate meet-
ings. Along with monsoon forecast for the coming rainy season market men will keep global trends
on radar amidst liquid global situation. Market will mark bothway trades with rising corporate num-
bers announcements. Derivatives expiry will fuel volatility as usual.
Amidst such scenario, BSE Sensex may move in the range of 59500-56000 and NSE Nifty
between 18000 - 16250.
purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for mak-
ing investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual
investment decisions, based on information published here. Any reader taking decisions based on any
information published here does so entirely at its own risk. Investors should bear in mind that any invest-
ment in stock markets is subject to unpredictable market-related risks. The above information is based on
RHP and other documents available as of date coupled with market perception. The author has no plans to
Demand-pull inflation is better than cost-push inflation. In the current situation, it is a combina-
me Rs 50 per haircut; now, he charges Rs 75. Same services but for the higher amount.
Whether you keep your money in cash or a locker,inflation is a creature that will continuously
eat away a part of its worth. Thus one thing is clear you cannot avoid inflation.
But there are ways to tackle inflation by investing money in assets that grow over a period higher
than the inflation rate. For example, historically, it has been found that Gold and bank FDs are just
able to keep pace with inflation. Stocks have far outperformed inflation over a more extended pe-
riod. In times of a fast rise in inflation, like in the current case, all sectors may not beat inflation.
However, sectors like commodities, IT, companies with pricing power (like Luxury product manu-
facturers), Real Estate, and related companies are likely to outperform inflation. Also, the compa-
It would be better to avoid highly debted companies as a rise in interest rates always accompa-
nies inflation.
Happy investing!
+919893512098 : [email protected]
(Above are only the views of the author. It should not be construed as advice to buy or sell the stock.)
Financial Weekly
Behaviour of Markets
Geopolitical issues may crop up and subside, crude oil rates may rise or fall, interest rates may
increase or decrease, inflation figures may sound scary etc. and with one or more of such events
the markets may behave erratically and give shocks and surprises but ultimately the markets only
go up in the long term. BSE Sensex which is the barometer of Indian stock markets is ruling around
57000+. The base value of the SENSEX was taken as 100 on 1 April 1979 and since then inspite
of many crashes and corrections the sensex is up by 5700 times in 43 years giving a CAGR of 15.9
%. Many stocks have outperformed the sensex and have given much better returns. What matters
most in markets is the selection of stocks, portfolio management and above all patience.
Salient Learnings
The ten important learnings which can help an investor are as follows
" Markets may fall sharply in the next month, next year or three years. Predicting the markets
over one month, one year or three years is impossible. However, ultimately the markets will
go up only.Wealth can be created only by staying invested for a long term
" Market crashes and declines are the best opportunities to buy stocks and markets do pro-
vide such opportunities.
" Stock prices may move in opposite directions from fundamentals but ultimately the prices
fall in line with the fundamentals. Just because the price goes down doesn't mean that there
is something wrong with the company and vice-versa.
" Different categories (slow growers, stalwarts, fast growers, cyclicals, asset plays and turn-
arounds) of stocks have different risks and rewards. An investor needs to be clear about the
risk reward ratios and build his portfolio accordingly.
" If a company is doing poorly it doesn't mean that it can't do worse. As such if a stock is going
down it doesn't mean that it cannot go down further.
" Stalwarts that have outperformed the market and have heavy institutional holdings and lots
of coverage by analysts but are heavily overpriced will correct sooner or later.
Cont..
Financial Weekly
Conclusion
One should invest in a company only after doing homework on the company's earnings pros-
pects, financial performance, competitive performance, plans for future expansion, etc.An investor
can expect good returns from his investments if he/she is able to build a story with as much details
as possible and recheck the story at regular intervals.Anindividual investor should believe in long
term fundamental investments only in order to outperform the sensex. However, if an investor thinks
he/she can't outperform the sensex then it's better to seek professional advice or invest in index
based mutual funds.
Happy investing!
Kishore Purswani
M No 9425604104
Mail id: [email protected]
www.smartinvestment.in
Smart Investment Website Index
15,555 hits only 1 Week
Total number of Hits
1,70,95,555
Kuber Bhandar of earnings
Future - Options, Stock - Watch, Funda - Picks,
Technical Shares, Speculative Scrips, Primary Market,
Financial Weekly
HCL Technologies (Rs. 1101.00) (Code : 532281) : HCL Technologies has re-
ported much better Q4 numbers. Its consolidated net profits for the quarter ending March stood at
Rs 3593 crore, up 226 per cent from Rs 1102 crore in the same quarter last year. Revenue from
operations came in at Rs 22,597 crore, up 15.05 per cent from Rs 19,641 crore in the year ago
quarter. The Board of Directors also approved an interim dividend of Rs 18 per share. The record
date for the payment of dividend is fixed at April 29, 2022. The payment will be made on May 11,
2022. Company has given revenue growth guidance of 12-14 per cent. The management said that
compared to 12 or 18 months ago, they are in a much better place today because HCL has been
delivering 5% sequential growth on the trot for three consecutive quarters and the CQGR over the
last three consecutive quarters in services business has been at 5.2%. So, the company is very
much confident about growth. Buy.
United Breweries (Rs. 1543.00) (Code : 532478) : Leading beer maker United
Breweries Ltd (UBL) witnessed a "high-single-digit" volume growth in the domestic market during
January-March 2022 quarter, according to its largest stakeholder Heineken. Robust recovery in
sales volumes, easing regulatory policies and long-term growth triggers are expected to keep the
revenue growth trajectory strong for UBL Moreover, the consolidation of UBL in India has "posi-
tively impacted net revenue" by Euro 200 million, Dutch brewing major Heineken said on Wednes-
day in its earnings statement for the first quarter of 2022. Heineken's Asia Pacific net revenue grew
9.2 per cent organically, with total consolidated volume rising by 2.8 per cent. The consolidation of
UBL in India positively impacted net revenue by Euro 200 million or 4.6 per cent. The stock is worth
accumulation.
Blue Star Indai (Rs. 1139.00) (Code : 500067) : Air conditioning and commercial
refrigeration major Blue Star Ltd has set up a new manufacturing facility at Wada in Maharashtra at
a cost of Rs 130 crore doubling the production capacity of deep freezers. It has the capacity to
produce around two lakh deep freezers and one lakh storage water coolers per annum.As refrig-
eration is the key to preserving and arresting wastage of perishables, the adoption of refrigeration
in India is garnering significant thrust and expected to increase on the back of rising consumption.
Blue Star currently has 1,500 trained channel partners for commercial refrigeration, spanning across
cities in the country with 50 per cent of the partners located in Tier-3, 4, 5 and 6 markets. Blue Star
has inducted more than 150 service crew pan-India and the company continuously invests in ca-
pability building and upskilling of its channel partners. As Summer gets hot, this stock is also get-
ting hot. Buy.
Disclosures : At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may have positions in the stocks mentioned above. The author, his firm,
his clients or any of his dependent family members may make purchases or sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author may have positions in above stocks so have vested
interest obviously in their going up or down as the case may be.
Disclaimer : Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable & authenticated sources believed to be true & correct, and also is technical analysis based
on & conceived from charts. Investors should take their own decisions. We assume no responsibility for any transactions undertaken by them. The author won't be liable or responsible
for any legal or financial losses made by anybody.
Cont...
Financial Weekly
Vinati Organics Ltd. (Rs. 2193.00) (Code : 524200) : Vinati Organics stock
made new 52-week high of Rs.2274 last week during volatile market. The stock has closed at
Rs.2194 on Friday with more than average volume. In H1FY20, the stock price jumped 31 percent.
Sharekhan has set a price target of Rs 2350 on the stock of Vinati Organics.Vinati Organics is the
world's largest manufacturer of IBB and ATBS. Sharekhan has said that "We expect strong 40% y-
o-y revenue growth led by robust recovery in the ATBS business and ramp-up of butyl phenol
capacity. Although margin would decline on a y-o-y basis, it is expected to post strong recovery of
106 bps q-o-q on benefit of operating leverage." The stock is worth accumulation at current level
and at any decline.
Polycab India (Rs. 2523.00) (Code : 542652) : Polycab India is engaged in the
business of manufacturing and selling wires, cables, and fast moving electrical goods (FMEG) like
fans, lighting and luminaires, switches, and switchgears, etc. It is a leading player in the wires and
cables segment with a total market share of 22%. It is one of the most backward-integrated cables
and wire manufacturers in the country. Real estate developers, infrastructure companies are the
major clients of Polycab. The company also undertakes digital infra projects. Polycab is set to
benefit from the recovery in the B2B segment and its growth will be supported by its expanding
presence in domestic markets as well as higher exports going forward. Meanwhile, Polycab India
Ltd has bought a commercial space in Mumbai’s Dadar West area for Rs 202 crore. Ruby Mills Ltd
has sold the 23rd and 24th floors of commercial space spread across an area of 55383.65 sq. ft to
Polycab India Ltd. Buy.
Disclosures : At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may have positions in the stocks mentioned above. The author, his firm, his clients or any of
his dependent family members may make purchases or sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author may have positions in above stocks so have vested interest obviously in their going up
or down as the case may be.
Disclaimer : Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable & authenticated sources believed to be true & correct, and also is technical analysis based on & conceived
from charts. Investors should take their own decisions. We assume no responsibility for any transactions undertaken by them. The author won't be liable or responsible for any legal or financial losses
made by anybody.
Financial Weekly
Indian Hotel Co Ltd (Rs.240.00) (Code:500850):- It is promoted by Tata Group. It owns more
than 100 hotels on 62 locations in India and 15 hotels in Maldives, Malaysia, UK, USA, Bhutan, Sri
Lanka, Africa and Middle East. The tourism sector is witnessing growth due to proper promotion by
the government of India. As against equity of Rs118.93 crore, the company has reserves of Rs.
3132crore. In December quarter, the company's income increased from Rs.560 crore to Rs.1111
crore, while clocked profit of Rs. 76 crore as against losses of Rs. 119 crore. The company paid
35% dividend for 2017, 40% dividend for 2018, 50% dividend for 2019, 50% dividend for 2020,
40% dividend for FY2021. Though it had been affected by CORONA pandemic, it had come out of
it and the company's bottom line is improving.
Carborundum Universal (Rs. 739.00)(Code: 513375) :- The Murugappa Group company is
mainly active in manufacturing of abrasives but it also manufactures electro mineral, industrial
ceramic and super refractories. The company's performance has been stable for quite some time
but now it is likely to set for strong performance. As against equity of Rs. 18.84 crore, the company
has reserves of Rs. 2289 crore. In December quarter, the company's income increased from Rs.
734 crore to Rs. 899 crore and profit increased from Rs. 88 crore to Rs. 102 crore. The stock may
seem costly from valuation point of view but the company's future seems bright and it has got
strong backing from the promoters, so the company is on the radar of the investors. The stocks may
go up with improvement in sentiments. It pays regular dividend.
Ambuja Cement (Rs.374.00) (Code:500425) :- Cement and cement products company was
set up in 1986 as Gujarat Ambuja Cement Ltd which was changed to Ambuja Cement Ltd (ACL) in
2006. The Junagadh registered company acquired 85% stake in Dang Cement Ind Pvt Ltd - Nepal
in 2011. It is a part of Switzerland's Lafarge Holcim. The promoters hold 63.19% and public hold
36.81% stake in the company. In December quarter, the company's income increased from Rs.
7435 crore to Rs. 7625 crore, while profit decreased from Rs. 732 crore to Rs.291 crore. The com-
pany follows calendar year as financial year. As against equity of Rs. 397.13 crore, the company
has reserves of Rs. 24957 crore. The foreign promoter Holcim is planning to exit from the company
and from the country as well and they are in talks with Adani and JSW group for the same. The
stock seems good option for investment in phased manner.
IEX (Rs. 230.00) (Code: 540750) :-The company set up in 2007 is associated with power trad-
ing. It came up with IPO in October 2017 at price of Rs. 1650 but then after it split the stock from face
value of Rs. 10 to Rs. 1 and it has become ex-bonus recently. FIIs hold 31.01% and MFs hold
12.36%, Dalmia Bharat Group holds 14.81% stake in the professionally run company. The
company's equity is Rs. 30.16 crore, which is going to increase after bonus and reserves stand at
Rs. 600 crore. In the first nine months of FY 2022, the company's income increased from Rs. 224.03
crore to Rs. 318.95 crore, while profit increased from Rs. 144.57 crore to Rs. 220.90 crore. The
stock is being quoted at PE of 74, which seems costly. However, currently many states are facing
power supply shortage so the demand may go up for the IEX. So, it can be opted for small invest-
ment.
Disclosures : At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may have positions in the stocks mentioned above. The author, his firm,
his clients or any of his dependent family members may make purchases or sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author may have positions in above stocks so have vested
interest obviously in their going up or down as the case may be.
Disclaimer : Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable & authenticated sources believed to be true & correct, and also is technical analysis based
on & conceived from charts. Investors should take their own decisions. We assume no responsibility for any transactions undertaken by them. The author won't be liable or responsible
for any legal or financial losses made by anybody.
Financial Weekly
Along with Reliance, HDFC twins also forced bears to cover short positions
Information Technology sector also supported by restricting selling pressure. TCS, Infosys, Wipro
gave positive signals. In near future Mind Tree may be merged with any I.T. company.
Last Thursday L&T finance went up by 10%. There is prediction of hitting century in the coming
weeks.
We are surprised of Tata Steel action of not to trade with Russia we have coal shortage in India.
This move will affect bottom-line.
On the bargain we like to buy sail around rs.100 with s l of 98.the price may go to rs.110 soon.
Any big fall in market buy Tata Motors. On next six months we may see 500 level.
Motherson Sumi and Vedant are also worth buying on any fall.
Delta is now in bears group any rise of rs.6/7 from previous closing go short with rs 3 as s l.
Big News :- On Thursday night rumor of fed increasing rate by 50 basis in month of may. This
rumor has direct effect on DOW and NASDAQ, Both nosedived.
The government should postpone LIC issue till war is settled. If bought now the story of Paytm
may be repeated.
Volatility index, if remains below 15, market are up and if cross 20 markets can go down.
Financial Weekly
NIFTY
For next week NIFTY has strong support around 16820 levels. Break will take it to 16650----
16550 levels. On the upper side NIFTY will face strong hurdle at 17300 levels, cross over with
volume and close above will create short covering at take NIFTY up to 17765 levels…
BANK NIFTY
For next week BANK NIFTY has strong support around 35500 levels. Break will take it to 35000-
---34700 levels. On the upper side BANK NIFTY will face strong hurdle at 36450 levels, cross over
with volume and close above will create short covering at take BANK NIFTY up to 36900 levels…
got delayed for one or another reason. The government has sought opinions of big
investors regarding the valuation of the issue. Moreover, anchor investors have been
contacted for price discovery. If LIC IPO is delayed then it will have negative impact on
the IPOs of three PSUs - Export Credit Guarantee of Corporation of India, Wapcosand
National Seed Corporation.
As per the market report, the government planned Rs. 70,000 crore IPO but has
been forced to reduce the size of issue and valuation. It is believed that LIC's issue
may hit the market on May 4 or May 9. The valuation has been reduced to Rs. 6 trillion.
So the issue size could be Rs. 21,000 crore and with green shoe option of Rs. 9000
crore, it may go up to Rs. 30,000 crore. The Government holds 100% stake in LIC and
is planning to offload 5% stake.
* Last week's listing:-
JeenaSikho Lifecare:- The issue with offer price of Rs. 150 got listed with 10% pre-
mium at Rs. 165.10 and went up to Rs. 173 and down to Rs. 165 before closing at Rs.
173. It closed at Rs. 177.5 on Friday.
* This week's mainboard Issues:-
• Campus Activewear :- The company plans to raise Rs. 1400.14 crore by offering
4,79,50,000 shares through OFS at price of Rs. 278-292. The issue opening on April
26 may get 8-12 times subscription in retail. Issue will close on April 28, allotment on
May 4, Refund on May 5 and share credit on May 6. It may get listed on May 9 around
Financial Weekly
Rs. 350-375. In good market it may cross Rs. 400 level. The shares, if allotted, can be
hold.
• Rainbow Children :- The issue with offer price of Rs. 516-542 will open on April 27
and close on April 29. In the Rs. 1595.99 crore IPO allotment may take place on May 5,
Listing Information refund on May 6, share credit on May 9. It may get 7-10 times
Jeena Sikho Life Care
subscription in retail category. It may get listed on May 10
NSE SME JSLI
Listing Date 19-4-2022 around Rs. 575-600 and may be around Rs. 625-650 in good
Offer Priced Rs. 150.00
Listing Price Rs. 165.10 market. Hold shares if you get allotment.
Listing Day High Rs. 173.35
* SME IPOs :-
Listing Day Low Rs. 162.25
Listing Day ClosedRs. 173.35 • Le Merite Exports :- NSE SME IPO wil open on May 25
CMP (22-4-22) Rs. 177.55
and close on May 28. The company plans to raise Rs. 48 crore
Subscription Figures of SME IPO (Dt. 22-4-22) by offering 64 lakh shares at price of
IPO Listing Day Subscribed
Shashwat Furn. BSE SME 3rd Day Subscribed 1.64x
Global Longlife BSE SME 2nd Day Subscribed 0.67x
Rs. 75 in lot of 1600 shares.
Le Merite Exports NSE SME Issue Opens on 25-4-22 --
Fone4 Comm. BSE SME Issue Opens on 25-4-22 -- • Shashwat Furnishing Solutions
Nanavati Ventures BSE SME Issue Opens on 25-4-22 --
Financial Weekly
:- The issue with offer price of Rs. 45 to raise Rs. 2.51 crore has opened on April 20
and close on April 25. It will get listed on BSE SME.
• Global Longlife Hospitals and Research :- The issue with offer price of Rs. 140
to raise Rs. 49 crore has opened on April 21 and will close on April 25. It will get listed
on BSE SME.
• Fone4Communications :- Rs. 6.80 crore BSE SME IPO will open on April 25 and
close on April 27.
• Nanavati Ventures :- Rs. 2.18 crore BSE SME IPO will open on April 25 and close
on April 27. Lot size is 3000 shares and price is Rs. 50.
• Rights Issues :- Five Rights Issues - AurumPropTech, Asian Granito, Bhagiradha
Chemicals and Industries, Nakoda Group, Makers Laboratories Limited are in the mar-
ket.
• NCDs issues :- Around half a dozen NCDs issues are in the market. Analysis of
Edelweiss Housing Fin., Muthoot Fin., UGRO Capital, Sakthi Fin., Dhaani Loans was
given last week, analysis of Muthoottu Mini Fin is given in the separate box.
Rights Issue
Sr Company Issue Open Dt. Issue size Offer price Ratio & Listing Lead Manager /
Issue Close Dt. (Rs. Cr.) (Rs.) Record Dt. Registrar
1. Makers 18-4-2022 0.10 Cr. Shares 150 1 Shares for every BSE Arihant Capital
Laboratories to (Rs. 14.75 Cr.) (F. V. Rs. 10) 5 fully paid shares Link Intime (R)
27-4-2022 held on 1-4-2022
2 Nakoda 18-4-2022 0.28 Cr. Shares 120 1 Shares for every BSE Shreni Shares
Group to (Rs. 33.40 Cr.) (F.V. Rs. 10) 4 fully paid shares NSE Bighsares Ser. (R)
2-5-2022 held on 1-4-2022
3. Bhagiradha 19-4-2022 0.21 Cr. Shares 400 4 Shares for every BSE Emkay Global
Chemicals to (Rs. 83.84 Cr.) (F. V. Rs. 10) 17 fully paid shares NSE Link Intime (R)
4-5-2022 held on 9-4-2022
4. Asian 25-4-2022 7.00 Cr. Shares 63 37 Shares for every BSE Pantomath Capital
Granito 10-5-2022 (Rs. 440.96 Cr.) (F. V. Rs. 10)30 fully paid shares NSE Link Intime (R)
held on 12-4-2022
5. Aurum 26-4-2022 4.29 Cr. Shares 80 3 Shares for every BSE DAM Capital
PropTech to (Rs. 343.56 Cr.) (F. V. Rs.5) 2 fully paid shares NSE KFin Techno (R)
10-5-2022 held on 14-4-2022
Financial Weekly
Grey Market has turned active after two long months as two mainboard
IPOs and three SME IPOs are in the market.
Campus Activewear :- The issue with offer price of Rs. 292 witnessed
premiums of Rs. 63-65 in the beginning which has come down to Rs. 53-55
and subject to rates are believed to be Rs. 2300. Interest rates for Rs. 2 lakh
application is Rs. 450, for Rs. 2-10 lakh is Rs. 2400 and Rs. 10 lakh is Rs.
13000. The counters are witnessing huge volumes.
Rainbow Children Medicare :- The premiums started at Rs. 58/60, then
came down to Rs. 38/40. Subject to rates are Rs. 600. Minimum application
rates are Rs. 320, 2300 and Rs.8000 for minimum application, HNI-1 and HNI-
2 repsectively.
LIC :- The issue witnessed discount but now premiums are around Rs. 5.
* SME IPOs:-
Le Merite Exports :- Subject to rates are Rs. 12000 to Rs. 13000.
Fone4 Communication :- Premiums are Rs. 2.50 to Rs. 3. Subject to rates
are Rs. 10,000 to Rs. 12000. Huge volumes witnessed on counter.
Global Longlife :- Premiums are Rs. 1 to Rs. 1.50. Subject to rates are Rs.
9000 to Rs. 10000.
Financial Weekly
• Issue Size : OFS : 2,40,00,900 Eq. Shares, Fresh Issue Rs. 280 Cr.
• Total Issue Size : 2,94,38,884 Eq. Shares (Rs. 1595.59 Cr.)
• Face Value Rs. 10 • Offer price Rs. 516 to 542 • Minumum Lot Size : 27 Share • Listing on : BSE & NSE
• BRLM : Kotak Mahindra Capital, J.P. Morgan, IIFL Securities • Registrar : KFin Technologies Limited
• Company Management : Dr. Ramesh Kancharla, Dr. Dinesh Kumar Chirla and Dr. Adarsh Kancharla
• Pre Issue Promoter Holding : 62.49% • Post Issue Promoter holding : 49.83%
• Issue constitutes 12.36% of the post issue paid up capital
• Average of last 3 yrs. EPS Rs. 4.89 & RONW 11.00%
• Pre IPO Eq. Capital Rs. : 96.33 Cr. • Post IPO Equity capital Rs. 101.50 Cr.
• Pre IPO : P/BV Ratio 8.79 (NAV : 61.63) • Post Issue : P/BV Ratio : 6.30 (NAV : 86.07)
• Post IPO asking P/E on fully diluted equity : 44.70
• BRLM’s Performance : This is 26th Issue from BRLM in last 3 years. In last 10 listing - 6 issue opend
with premium & 4 Issue opened with discount.
OTHER SIDE OF THE COIN
• The average cost of acquisition on equity share by the promoter / selling shareholder is Rs. NIL< 0.9, 7.32,
54.5 and Rs. 110.29 and offer price is Rs. 516 to 541
• It has issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1 in June 2008, 3:1 in January 2018 & 1:1 in December 2021
before filing DRHP.
• Apart from initial equity capital at par. It has issued further equity in the price range of Rs. 20 to 436
between march 2011 to April 2022
• Its revenue is highly dependent on hospitality in Hyderabad and Bangalore.
• It has suffered setback in top line and bottom line in FY21
• Sudden jump in bottom line of 9MFY22 is surprising
• There is volatility fluctuations in RONW since 19 to 9MFY22
• Post issue promoter holding will be reduced to below 50%
Recommendation : It is profit making & dividend paying company; however it has reported set-
back in top line & bottom line for FY21. On valuation front in considering all parameters IPO is rea-
sonably priced. Considering pediatric multi-specialty health care chain with strong clinical expertise,
Investors may apply for mid to long term prospective in this IPO.
Financial Weekly
Havells India (Rs. 1316.00) (Code : 517354) : Havells India is the largest fast
moving electrical goods (FMEG) manufacturing company in the country. Havells (ranked in the top
three in most ranges except air conditioners) has seen the highest brokerage earnings upgrade for
FY23. Havells India last month launched a revolutionary range of energy efficient ECOACTIV fans
by launching 19 new models in the fan range for the upcoming summer season. Among the many
challenges for the FMEG space, brokerage is betting on market leaders who dominate their own
product category. Despite the correction in the market, the stock has risen significantly in the last
two weeks. Momentum is captured in it. Buy.
Polyplex Corporation (Rs. 2608.00) (Code 524051) :- Polyplex Corporation
Ltd. (Polyplex) has the seventh-largest capacity of polyester (PET) film globally. Its polyester capa-
bilities include both thin and thick PET film in a wide range of thickness and surface properties
covering a spectrum of applications. Its diversified business portfolio also includes BOPP, Blown
PP/PE and CPP films produced in state-of-the-art plants with economic size. Integrated down-
stream capabilities of Metallizing, Holography, Silicone Coating, Offline Chemical Coating, Extru-
sion Coating and Transfer Metallized Paper deliver further value-added products. The company
has a global presence, supplying to about 1950 customers in 75 countries across Europe, the
Americas, the Indian sub-continent, Far East, Asia Pacific and the Middle East. Currently, there is
huge demand for its products worldwide. The stock is attractively valued even at current price. Buy.
Tata Elxsi (Rs. 8357.00) (Code : 500408) :- Design and technology services pro-
vider Tata Elxsi reported a 38.95 percent year-on-year (YoY) rise in net profit at Rs 160 crore for the
fourth quarter ended March 31, 2022. Its revenue from operations rose 31.51 percent YoY to Rs
681.7 crore from Rs 518.39 crore. The company has delivered the highest annual growth in its
history, with full-year operating revenues growing by 35.3 percent and Profit after Tax (PAT) grow-
ing by 49.3 percent to Rs 549.7 crore, crossing Rs 500 crore for the first time. The company has
reported Rs 2,470.8 crore of revenue from operations for the financial year 2021-22 ending March
31, 2022, a growth of 35.3 percent YoY. The company registered a net profit of Rs 549.7 crore
during the year, growing 49.3 percent YoY. The Board of Directors have recommended a final
dividend of Rs 42.50 per equity share of par value of Rs 10 each for the financial year ending
March 31, 2022. The stock is worth accumulation. Cont...
Financial Weekly
Disclosures as per SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014; • I and / or my clients may
have investment in this stocks • I/My family have no financial interest or beneficial interest of more than 1% in the company whose stocks I am
recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short / Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable for any loss arising
out of investment based on tis advices • Past performance may or may not be substainedin future " (Dilip K. Shah) Research Analyst : SEBI
Regn No. : INH000002152
Col Ajayastromoneyguru
Mobile 9414056705
25th April 2022 : The conjunction of moon and Saturn in Capricorn taking 10th
position towards ketu in Libra may bring volatility in the gold prices
26th and 27th April 2022 : The conjunction of moon mars and Venus in Aquarius
taking third position towards rahu, sun and mercury in Aries may bring volatility in the market
28th and 29th April 2022 : The conjunction of Jupiter, Venus and moon in
Pisces taking eleventh position towards Saturn in Capricorn may favor the market
Financial Weekly
26-04-2022 Tuesday :- " Buy Nifty around 10.00 am and exit around 10.35 am.
" Buy Nifty around 12.12 and exit around 14.44. " Go for both the above slots and be prepared for
profit and loss.
27-04-2022 Wednesday :- " If you want to keep a tab on down trend after
opening up, first look at where the opening takes place. " Therefore, the first slot is settled at 10.00
hrs. " Part 2 is from 10.00 to 12.00- and pass the time- " Up in Part 1 and Down in Part 2 " Between
12.00 to 15.00, i.e. 3 hours, Nifty is likely to be in a mix to the positive side. " In the last 30 minutes,
Nifty can go from a mix to the downside.
28-04-2022 Thursday :- " Try to settle around the surface between 9.15 and
9.45. " Between 9.45 and 10.30, the temporary side may give some hope. " Nifty stays down be-
tween 10.30 and 11.50. Between 11.50 and 14.50, there is likely to be more movement in Bank
Nifty than the Nifty. Hence, it may have a positive effect on Nifty. " Take 'Tea Break' after 14.50, as
Yoga for profit booking is taken care of by Ganesha.
29-04-2022 Friday :- " A perfect day for intraday as you can see both side
movements. " Between 9.15 and 11.51, the Hindi proverb "Khaya Piya Kuchh Nahin, Glass Toda
Bara Aana" is perfectly apt. " Overall a slight upside between 11.51 and 13.45 can be expected.
Only in the last 20 minutes, the profit booking may happen. " From 13.45 to 14.45, the positive
effect of the European market is seen. " Around 14.45, the Nifty may try to confuse you and sud-
denly catch the downtrend.
Financial Weekly
Varun Beverages 1011 1070 5.84 Deepak Fert. 606 710 17.16
Apollo Tricot 955 966 1.15 Sun PHarma 937 941 0.43
Adani Green 2806 2968 5.77 Satia INd. 143 145 1.4
Torrent Power 547 571 4.39 VEto Switchgear 106 108 1.89
Financial Weekly
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