HTF Trading Plan
HTF Trading Plan
AIM: Utilize a systematic approach to identify and define BTC direction. Lay out procedures and conditions to execute swing / positional trades.
1. MARKET STRUCTURE
Market Structure provides the foundation of analysis, detailing trend direction and strength. This gives the key when expecting a pullback after a
BOS (break of structure) and provides the general area to bid strong side of trend. It also prevents you from chronically trend counter – trading!
My MS document going through all the theory: https://bit.ly/39XbNg8 (Credit: Photon Trading)
Monthly – Bullish, bid HL. Sweep is used as a MS pivot to prevent 9k being Weekly – Bearish = Swing short LH.
the lower flip point. 9k too late a signal. Only on monthly. Swing Long HL.
HTF Confluence Zones: Areas of high probability supply / demand, expecting a reaction from price.
• Used in conjunction with MS + PA / SMC, these zones produce high probability, high RR trades
Using the OBJECT TREE is essential in this analysis, grouping the HTF level indications: https://bit.ly/3MunRnq
Confluence Workflow:
2.1 Mark Macro SD levels: Traditional strong SR zones. Picked using data quality (SD respected) and frequency of touches.
2.2 Mark “Untapped” SD levels: (M), (W), (D) where price has reacted, or moved away from leaving a pivot.
2.3 FRVP (Fixed Range Volume Profile): Pull over global ranges, HTF impulse waves or consolidation ranges.
2.4 VPPV (Periodic Volume Profile): Mark (M), (W), (D), nPOC’s (naked points of control).
2.5 Fibonacci’s: Pull fibs from sing high to swing low on GLOBAL / HTF scale. Take note of the “Entry Levels” (0.618 – 0.66, 0.786).
3.0 Confluence: Turn on all the levels and generate HTF POI zones. Remove the noise and focus in.
2.1 Macro SR
2.2 Untapped SR
Criteria: Level must extend right, untapped by price. Untapped levels give indications where price may come
Level must be respected. Choppy PA = removed back to re-visit. These levels are EXTREMELY good.
Level remains relevant if PA reverses on it. LIVE GUIDE HERE: https://t.co/UlvpwKOZVo
FRVP (Fixed range volume profile): Presents the distribution of volume as a function of price over a specified time period. Time being the “fixed-
range” you pull over the chart. Point’s of interest, used in the HTF CONFLUENCE zones include:
• POC (Point of Control) : Value with the most traded volume. Great for targets, acting as a magnet for price. Ranges are common around
POC as it usually presents perceived fair value, especially on balanced days.
• VA (Value Area) : Area where 68% of the volume has traded over the period.
• VAH (Value Area High) : Delineates the highest point of the VA.
• VAL (Value Area Low) : Delineates the lowest point of the VA.
• HVN (High Volume Node) : Akin to POC, representing an area with high volume transactions, but not the maximum.
• LVN (Low Volume Node) : Represent layers where an absence of volume occurs. Often means “violent / sharp” PA.
I utilize FRVP’s in 3 ways: Pull, being the fixed range you pull it over the price action.
1. Global Pull 2. HTF Impulse Pull 3. Range / Consolidation Pull
Volume profiles work as a principle of auction, where the markets primary focus is to facilitate auction (buyer / seller transaction) by seeking
perceived fair value of the asset. This is presented visually by the volume profile. I STRONGLY suggest you read the following:
• https://tradingriot.com/auction-market-theory/
• https://tradingriot.com/volume-profile
• https://bit.ly/MindsetBTC_Module3
• https://bit.ly/MindsetBTC_Module4
VPPV displays the nPOC (naked point of control) for the selected timeframe. Use (M), (W) & (D) nPOC’s, marking them in their separate TA
folder in the object tree.
nPOC’s represent an untapped POC, hence naked, from the current timeframe using VPPV. Much like POC’s, the untapped level draws price.
Therefore, nPOC’s act as perfect targets & TP’s. It is evident below, nPOC’s are regularly found on HTF wicks and form reactions = entries
nPOC composite correlation also give clues to trend direction. Successively lower POC’s with nPOC’s
resting below, gives the indication the market likely wants to trend lower.
The final chart displays all the (M), (W), (D) nPOC’s on one chart. For more info on nPOC’s:
https://twitter.com/EmperorBTC/status/1526577408639664128
https://twitter.com/johnnie_jacks/status/1481208327615184896
2. HTF CONFLUENCE ZONES 2.5 Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Fibonacci levels represent perceived levels of support / resistance, where price may interact of reverse. Special levels of interest are:
• 0.618 – 0.66: represent the “golden pocket”. THEORY: https://bit.ly/MindsetBTC_Module1
• 0.786: “the last line of defence!” https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/fibonacciretracement.asp
These are my “entry fibs”, used in confluence on ALL timeframes that indicate a “general retrace” of price action, post break of structure (BOS).
• The special levels are the most significant. I only use a full default fib with all levels on global pulls, shown below.
• I always anchor Fibonacci’s on the wicks of swing points, not candle bodies.
Prepare Yourself!
Well Done!: These are your HTF POI’s! Label the boxes and turn levels off on your object tree.
DON’T blindly bid these levels. HTF POI’s measure the probability of price reacting here. At HTF POI’s the LTF system kicks in!
Full video walkthrough: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6awdbA4GpB0&ab_channel=MindJacked
~ JAQUES TRADES ~
4. PRICE ACTION CONTEXT 4.1 Context is King
CONTEXT IS KING
1. Where does price want to go?
2. How well is it doing getting there?
This is a combination of combining different timeframes, looking where liquidity is on each and then assessing the macro view, determining where
price wants to go. The POI’s generated represent “turbulence”. These are the highest probability zones of disturbing price seeking liquidity on the
macro timeframe. Hence, they give you the highest probability and best RR trades. In between…. TRADE THE TREND.
Therefore:
1. Price wants to move down, on the HTF and Global Range.
2. POC 39k zone, and 32k zone provide the only “turbulence” areas / POI’s for the global range.
3. Failure of theses POI’s likely means the global range sweeps all liquidity, moving to range low.
• Swing Traders:
Bottom triple stacked
lows. Suitable RR of 6
range playing = 1st
liq pivot. Low
5. PLAN