METODO DE LOS MINIMOS CUADRADOS DOS VARIABLES

MODELO LINEAL SIMPLE DATOS CORREGIDOS Y PROYECT

Y = a + bX

TONELADAS
N X Y X² XY Y² Variab. Indp. Datos Hist. Model. Lineal
1.00 1.00 1637.7 1.00 1637.70 2682061.29 1.00 1637.70 1064.69
1.00 2.00 853.6 4.00 1707.20 728632.96 2.00 853.60 1043.39 M
1.00 3.00 1114.2 9.00 3342.60 1241441.64 3.00 1114.20 1022.08
1800
1.00 4.00 526.5 16.00 2106.00 277202.25 4.00 526.50 1000.77
1.00 5.00 852.4 25.00 4262.00 726585.76 5.00 852.40 979.46
1600

1.00 6.00 653.0 36.00 3918.00 426409.00 6.00 653.00 958.16 1400
1.00 7.00 759.9 49.00 5319.30 577448.01 7.00 759.90 936.85
1200
1.00 8.00 1431.8 64.00 11454.40 2050051.24 8.00 1431.80 915.54
1.00 9.00 810.5 81.00 7294.50 656910.25 9.00 810.50 894.23 1000
1.00 10.00 1048.5 100.00 10485.00 1099352.25 10.00 1048.50 872.93 800
10.00 55.00 9688.10 385.00 51526.70 10466094.65 11.00 851.62
600
12.00 830.31
13.00 809.01 400
N = 10.00 14.00 787.70 200
SX = 55.00 15.00 766.39
0
SY = 9688.10 16.00 745.08
0 1 2 3 4 5
S X² = 385.00 17.00 723.78
SXY = 51526.70 18.00 702.47
SY² = 10466094.65 19.00 681.16
20.00 659.85
(SX².SY)-(SX.SXY) 895950.00
a = -----------------= -------------= 1086.00
(N.SX²)-(SX)² 825.00
Lineal r² = 0.0346752003
(N.SXY) - (SX.SY) -17578.50 Logaritm r² = 0
b = ------------------= ------------= -21.31 Exponc r² = 0
 (N.SX²) - (SX)² 825.00 Potenc r² = 0
Inversa r² = 0
(N.SXY) - (SX .SY) -17578.50 Inver. Ln r² = 0
r = -----------------------------------= ------------= -0.186212782322261
((N.SX²)-(SX)²)((NSY²)-(SY)²) 94400.07

r² = 0.0346752003
TOS CORREGIDOS Y PROYECTADOS
TONELADAS

MODELO LINEAL SIMPLE

1800

1600

1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
AÑOS
Datos historicos proyectados
 MODELO LOGARITMICO Y = a + bLnX

X Y N Ln X Y Ln X² XY Y² ariab. Indep Datos Hist. Datos Correg

1.00 1637.70 1.00 0.00 1637.70 0.00 0.00 2682061.29 1.00 1637.70 1248.23
2.00 853.60 1.00 0.69 853.60 0.48 591.67 728632.96 2.00 853.60 1120.01 M

TONELADAS
3.00 1114.20 1.00 1.10 1114.20 1.21 1224.07 1241441.64 3.00 1114.20 1045.00
4.00 526.50 1.00 1.39 526.50 1.92 729.88 277202.25 4.00 526.50 991.78 1800
5.00 852.40 1.00 1.61 852.40 2.59 1371.88 726585.76 5.00 852.40 950.50 1600
6.00 653.00 1.00 1.79 653.00 3.21 1170.02 426409.00 6.00 653.00 916.77
1400
7.00 759.90 1.00 1.95 759.90 3.79 1478.70 577448.01 7.00 759.90 888.25
1200
8.00 1431.80 1.00 2.08 1431.80 4.32 2977.34 2050051.24 8.00 1431.80 863.55
9.00 810.50 1.00 2.20 810.50 4.83 1780.85 656910.25 9.00 810.50 841.76 1000

10.00 1048.50 1.00 2.30 1048.50 5.30 2414.26 1099352.25 10.00 1048.50 822.27 800
10.00 15.10 9688.10 27.65 13738.68 10466094.65 11.00 804.64
600
12.00 788.54
400
13.00 773.73
14.00 760.02 200

N = 10.00 15.00 747.26 0

SLn X = 15.10 16.00 735.32 0 1 2

SY = 9688.10 17.00 724.10

SLnX² = 27.65 18.00 713.53 D.
SLnXY = 13738.68 19.00 703.53
SY² = 10466094.65 20.00 694.04

(SLnX².SY)-(SLnX.SLnXY) 60363.56740312
a =------------------------------= --------------= 1248.23443550315
(N.SLnX²) - (SLnX)² 48.35915889373

(N.SLnXY)-(SLnX.SY) -8946.21396887
b =--------------------------= -------------= -184.995235101854
(NSLnX²) - (SLnX)² 48.35915889373

(N.SLnXY) - (SLnX.SY) -8946.21

r=------------------------------= -------------= -0.391430409324891
((N.SLnX²)-(SLnX)²)((NSY²)-(SY)²) 22855.18

r² = 0.15321776534425
 MODELO LOGARITMICO
TONELADAS

1800

1600

1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
AÑOS
D. Históricos Corregidos y Prpyectados
 MODELO EXPONENCIAL Y=a.ebX

X Y N X LnY X² XLnY LnY² Variab. Indep Datos. Hist Datos Correg

1.00 1637.70 1 1.00 7.40 1.00 7.40 54.78 1.00 1637.70 976.41
2.00 853.60 1 2.00 6.75 4.00 13.50 45.56 2.00 853.60 962.97
3.00 1114.20 1 3.00 7.02 9.00 21.05 49.22 3.00 1114.20 949.71
4.00 526.50 1 4.00 6.27 16.00 25.07 39.27 4.00 526.50 936.63
5.00 852.40 1 5.00 6.75 25.00 33.74 45.54 5.00 852.40 923.74
6.00 653.00 1 6.00 6.48 36.00 38.89 42.01 6.00 653.00 911.02
7.00 759.90 1 7.00 6.63 49.00 46.43 44.00 7.00 759.90 898.47
8.00 1431.80 1 8.00 7.27 64.00 58.13 52.80 8.00 1431.80 886.10
9.00 810.50 1 9.00 6.70 81.00 60.28 44.86 9.00 810.50 873.90
10.00 1048.50 1 10.00 6.96 100.00 69.55 48.37 10.00 1048.50 861.87
10 55.00 68.21 385.00 374.04 466.40 11.00 850.00
12.00 838.29
13.00 826.75
N = 10.00 14.00 815.37
SX = 55.00 15.00 804.14
S LnY = 68.21 16.00 793.07
S X² = 385.00 17.00 782.15
S XLnY= 374.04 18.00 771.38
S LnY²= 466.40 19.00 760.76
20.00 750.28
(SX².SLnY)-(SX.SXLnY) 5690.65
a = --------------------------= --------------= 6.8977517
(N.SX²)-(SX)² 825.00
e= 2.7182818
 (N.SXLnY)-(SX.SLnY) -11.44
b=-------------------------= -------------= -0.013865
(N.SX²) - (SX)² 825.00

(N.SXLnY) - (SX .SLnY) -11.44

r = ----------------------------------------= ----------= -0.12146792917
((N.SX²)-(SX)²)((NSLnY²)-(SLnY)²) 94.17

r² = 0.014754457817
TONELADAS

MODELO EXPONENCIAL
1800

1600

1400

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
AÑOS
D. Históricos D.Corregidos y proyectados
 MODELO POTENCIAL Y=a.Xb

X Y N LnX LnY LnX² LnXLnY LnY² Variab. Indep Dat. Hist Datos Corre
1.00 1637.70 1.00 0.00 7.40 0.00 0.00 54.78 1.00 1637.70 1155.32
2.00 853.60 1.00 0.69 6.75 0.48 4.68 45.56 2.00 853.60 1039.29
3.00 1114.20 1.00 1.10 7.02 1.21 7.71 49.22 3.00 1114.20 976.89
4.00 526.50 1.00 1.39 6.27 1.92 8.69 39.27 4.00 526.50 934.91
5.00 852.40 1.00 1.61 6.75 2.59 10.86 45.54 5.00 852.40 903.59
6.00 653.00 1.00 1.79 6.48 3.21 11.61 42.01 6.00 653.00 878.78
7.00 759.90 1.00 1.95 6.63 3.79 12.91 44.00 7.00 759.90 858.34
8.00 1431.80 1.00 2.08 7.27 4.32 15.11 52.80 8.00 1431.80 841.01
9.00 810.50 1.00 2.20 6.70 4.83 14.72 44.86 9.00 810.50 826.02
10.00 1048.50 1.00 2.30 6.96 5.30 16.01 48.37 10.00 1048.50 812.84
10.00 15.10 68.21 27.65 102.30 466.40 11.00 801.10
12.00 790.52
13.00 780.92
N = 10.00 14.00 772.13
SLn X = 15.10 15.00 764.04
S LnY = 68.21 16.00 756.55
S LnX² = 27.65 17.00 749.58
SLnXLnY = 102.30 18.00 743.06
S LnY² = 466.40 19.00 736.96
20.00 731.21
(SLnX².SLnY) - (SLnX.SLnXLnY) 341.04
a = ---------------------------------= -- -----= 7.05
(N.SLnX² ) - (SLnX)² 48.36

(N.SLnXLnY) - (SLnX.SLnY) -7.38

b=-------------------------------- = -----------= -0.15
(N.SLnX²) - (SLnX)² 48.36

(N.SLnXLnY)-(SLnX.SLnY) -7.38
r = ----------------------------------------------= ---------= -0.32387309468
((N.SLnX²)-(SLnX)²)((NSLnY²)-(SLnY)²) 22.80

r² = 0.104893781456
 MODELO POTENCIAL
1800.00
TONELADAS

1600.00

1400.00

1200.00

1000.00

800.00

600.00

400.00

200.00

0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
AÑOS
D. Históricos D. Corregidos y Proyectados
 MODELO INVERSA Y=a+- b/X

X Y N X Y X² XY
1 20 1.00 1.00 1637.70 1.00 1637.70
2 30 1.00 2.00 853.60 4.00 1707.20
3 50 1.00 3.00 1114.20 9.00 3342.60
4 40 1.00 4.00 526.50 16.00 2106.00
5 60 1.00 5.00 852.40 25.00 4262.00
6 100 1.00 6.00 653.00 36.00 3918.00
7 120 1.00 7.00 759.90 49.00 5319.30
8 150 1.00 8.00 1431.80 64.00 11454.40
9 200 1.00 9.00 810.50 81.00 7294.50
10 150 1.00 10.00 1048.50 100.00 10485.00
10.00 55.00 9688.10 385.00 51526.70

N = 10.00
SX = 55.00
SY = 9688.10
SX² = 385.00
S XY = 51526.70
S Y² = 10466094.65

(SX².SY)-(SX.SXY) 895950.00
a = ------------------= ---------= 1086.00
(N.SX² )-(SX)² 825.00

(N.SXY)-(SX.SY) -17578.50
b=---------------------= ---------= -21.31
(N.SX²)-(SX)² 825.00

(N.SXY)-(SX .SY) -17578.50

r = -------------------------------------= --------=
((N.SX²)-(SX)²)((NSY²)-(SY)²) 94400.07

r² = 0.0346752003
 Y² `variab. Indp Dat. corr. (-) Dat. Corr.(+) Datos Hist.

TONELA DAS
2682061.29 1.00 1107.31 1064.69 20.00
728632.96 2.00 1096.65 1075.35 30.00
1241441.64 3.00 1093.10 1078.90 50.00
277202.25 4.00 1091.33 1080.67 40.00 MODELO INVERSA
726585.76 5.00 1090.26 1081.74 60.00 1200.00
426409.00 6.00 1089.55 1082.45 100.00 1000.00
800.00
577448.01 7.00 1089.04 1082.96 120.00
600.00
2050051.24 8.00 1088.66 1083.34 150.00
400.00
656910.25 9.00 1088.37 1083.63 200.00
200.00
1099352.25 10.00 1088.13 1083.87 150.00
0.00
10466094.65 11.00 1087.94 1084.06 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00
D. Históricos D.
12.00 1087.78 1084.22 AÑOS
D. Corregidos y proyectados
13.00 1087.64 1084.36
14.00 1087.52 1084.48
15.00 1087.42 1084.58
16.00 1087.33 1084.67
17.00 1087.25 1084.75
18.00 1087.18 1084.82
19.00 1087.12 1084.88
20.00 1087.07 1084.93

-0.18621278232
 MODELO INVERSA

00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00

istóricos D. Corregidos y Proyectados
AÑOS
orregidos y proyectados
 INVERSA LOGARITMICA LnY=a-b/X

X Y N X LnY X² XLnY
1.00 1637.70 1.00 1.00 7.40 1.00 7.40
2.00 853.60 1.00 2.00 6.75 4.00 13.50
3.00 1114.20 1.00 3.00 7.02 9.00 21.05
4.00 526.50 1.00 4.00 6.27 16.00 25.07
5.00 852.40 1.00 5.00 6.75 25.00 33.74
6.00 653.00 1.00 6.00 6.48 36.00 38.89
7.00 759.90 1.00 7.00 6.63 49.00 46.43
8.00 1431.80 1.00 8.00 7.27 64.00 58.13
9.00 810.50 1.00 9.00 6.70 81.00 60.28
10.00 1048.50 1.00 10.00 6.96 100.00 69.55
10.00 55.00 68.21 385.00 374.04

N = 10.00
SX = 55.00
S LnY = 68.21
S X² = 385.00
S XLnY = 374.04
S LnY² = 466.40

(SX².SLnY)-(SX.SXLnY) 5690.65
a = ---------------------------= -----------= 6.90
(N.SX²)-(SX)² 825.00

(NSXLnY)-(SX.SLnY) -11.44
b=--------------------------= --------= -0.01
(N.SX²)-(SX)² 825.00

(N.SXLnY) - (SX .SLnY) -11.44

r = ----------------------------------------= ---------=
((N.SX²)-(SX)²)((NSLnY²)-(SLnY)²) 94.17

r² = 0.014754457817
 LnY2 varia indep Corregido Datos H
54.78 1.00 1003.87 1637.70

TONELADAS
45.56 2.00 996.93 853.60 MODELO INVERSA LOGARITMICA
49.22 3.00 994.63 1114.20
1800.00
39.27 4.00 993.48 526.50 1600.00
45.54 5.00 992.80 852.40 1400.00
42.01 6.00 992.34 653.00 1200.00
1000.00
44.00 7.00 992.01 759.90
800.00
52.80 8.00 991.76 1431.80 600.00
44.86 9.00 991.57 810.50 400.00
48.37 10.00 991.42 1048.50 200.00
0.00
466.40 11.00 991.29
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
12.00 991.19
13.00 991.10 D. Históricos AÑOSD. Corregidos y proyectados

14.00 991.03
15.00 990.96
16.00 990.90
17.00 990.85
18.00 990.81
19.00 990.77
20.00 990.73

-0.12146792917
ERSA LOGARITMICA

0.00 15.00 20.00 25.00

s AÑOSD. Corregidos y proyectados
 CALCULO DE LA ELASTECIDAD, CONSUMO-INGRESO DE PESCADO FRESCO

1 2 3 4 5
Ingreso Incremento
Años Consumo Poblacion nacional Per-capita
Total a precios Consumo
tm constantes Q
q P y Q/P

1 1984 2024 19064.5 3494779 0.1061659

1 1985 2120 19492.4 3573928 0.1087603
1 1986 2535 19915.5 3904219 0.1272878
1 1987 2590 20335.2 4234711 0.1273654
1 1988 2436 20751.2 3881284 0.1173908
1 1989 2604 21162.7 3428614 0.1230467
1 1990 1540 21569.3 3243760 0.0713978
1 1991 2851 21966.4 3360091 0.1297891
1 1992 1869 22354.4 3287198 0.0836077
1 1993 4928 22740.2 3497230 0.2167087
1 1994 5338 23130.3 3954738 0.2307795
0 0 0 0 0 0

TASA DE CRECIMIENTO
NSUMO-INGRESO DE PESCADO FRESCO DEMANDA INTERNA NACIONAL

6 7 8 9 10 11
Incremento Incremento Incremento Incremento Incremento Elastecidad
Per-capita Absuluto del Absuluto del Relativo del Relativo del Consumo
Ingreso Consumo Ingreso Consumo Ingreso Ingreso
Y Per-capita Per-capita Per-capita Per-capita (D Q/Q)/(D(Y/Y)
Y/P (DQ) (DY) (DQ/Q) (DY/Y)

183.3134360
183.3498184 0.0025944269 0.036382423383 0.023854531563 0.000198431739 120.2153024211
196.0392157 0.018527453554 12.68939729552 0.1455556218 0.064728871982 2.248697024122
208.2453578 7.75657064E-05 12.20614211694 0.000609001603 0.058614233929 0.010389995098
187.0390146 -0.00997455513 -21.206343192 -0.08496879653 -0.11337924997 0.749421049749
162.0121251 0.005655879693 -25.0268895043 0.045965316891 -0.15447541033 -0.29755749988
150.3878197 -0.0516489075 -11.6243053817 -0.72339661076 -0.07729552435 9.358842143003
152.9650284 0.058391358806 2.577208681764 0.449894052637 0.016848352258 26.70255498856
147.0492610 -0.0461814311 -5.91576741142 -0.5523585786 -0.04022983435 13.730073402
153.7906439 0.133101034679 6.741382886162 0.614193212014 0.043834805005 14.01154201422
170.9765113 0.014070804186 17.18586744754 0.06097076097 0.100515955753 0.606577935946
0 0 0 0 0 0

Elastecidad Consumo Ingreso 18.73358434739

 TASA DE CRECIMIENTO

N Poblac. Ingrs. N X Y Ln X

1 18568.20 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

2 18992.30 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
3 19417.20 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
4 19840.40 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
5 20261.40 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
6 20684.20 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
7 21112.60 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
8 21550.30 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
9 21992.50 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
10 22453.00 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
11 0.00 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! 0.0000000
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
1.209217910191 #REF!
0.189973795417 #REF! 1 SLn X #REF!
#REF! #REF! 2 SLn Y #REF!
#REF! #REF! 3 S(LnX²) #REF!
rg = #REF! #REF! 4 S(LnXlnY) #REF!
5 S(LnY²) #REF!
1 #REF! #REF! 6 n #REF!
2 #REF! #REF! 7 #REF!
3 #REF! #REF! 8 B = ............
4 #REF! #REF! 9 #REF!
5 #REF! #REF! 10
6 #REF! #REF! #REF!
7 #REF! #REF! A = ..............=
8 #REF! #REF! Pallar verde #REF!
9 #REF! #REF! Consumo Consumo
10 #REF! #REF! per-capita nacional
11 #REF! #REF!
12 #REF! #REF!
13 #REF! #REF!
14 #REF! #REF!
15 #REF! #REF!
16 #REF! #REF!
17 #REF! #REF!
18 #REF! #REF!
19 #REF! #REF!
20 #REF! #REF!
 Elastecidad Consumo Ingreso #REF!

Ln Y Ln X² LnX.LnY Ln Y²

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!
0.0000000 0.0000000 0.0000000 0.0000000
#REF! #REF! #REF! #REF!

#REF!

#REF! #REF!
 METODO MINIMOS CUADRADOS
MODELO LINEAL CON TRES VARIABLES
ECUACIÓN DE REGRESIONES NORMALES

Ŷ = β + β1X1 + β2X2
0

N X1 X2 Y X² 1 X1X2 X²2

1 1 18568.2 35.2 1 18568.2 344778051.24

1 2 18992.3 45.2 4 37984.6 360707459.29
1 3 19417.2 46.2 9 58251.6 377027655.84
1 4 19840.4 53.9 16 79361.6 393641472.16
1 5 20261.4 56.9 25 101307 410524329.96
1 6 20684.2 52.6 36 124105.2 427836129.64
1 7 21112.6 55.7 49 147788.2 445741878.76
1 8 21550.3 46.1 64 172402.4 464415430.09
1 9 21992.5 47.2 81 197932.5 483670056.25
1 10 22453 40.6 100 224530 504137209
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 55 204872.1 479.6 385 1162231.3 4212479672.23

SN 10 SX1 = Na + bSX2 + CSY

SX1 55 SX1X2 = aSX2 + bSX²2 + CSX2Y

SX2 204872.1 SX1Y = aSY + bSX2Y + cSY²
SY 479.6

SX 2
1 385 55 = 10 204872.1
SX1X2 1162231.3 1162231.3 = 204872.1 4212479672.23
SX²2 ### 2669.4 = 479.6 9838465.83
SX1Y 2669.4
SX2Y 9838465.83
SY 2
23430 55 204872.1 479.6
1162231.3 4212479672 9838465.83
2669.4 9838465.83 23430 -2.690558E+12
a = ----------------------------------------------------------------
10 204872.1 479.6 63569961997
 204872.1 4212479672 9838465.83
479.6 9838465.83 23430

10 55 479.6
204872.1 1162231.3 9838465.83
479.6 2669.4 23430 147752026.616
b = -----------------------------------------------------------
10 204872.1 479.6 63569961997
204872.1 4212479672 9838465.83
479.6 9838465.83 23430

10 204872.1 55
204872.1 4212479672 1162231.3
479.6 9838465.83 2669.4 274514372.813
c = ------------------------------------------------------------
10 204872.1 479.6 63569961997
204872.1 4212479672 9838465.83
479.6 9838465.83 23430

PROYECCIONES CON TRES VARIABLES

βo= -42.32435621
β1= 0.0023242428 Yest. = -42.324356206
β2= 0.0043183032
11 56.51964498 -42.324356206
rg= 0.0191789779 12 58.417205794 -42.324356206
13 60.351115309 -42.324356206
14 62.322070655 -42.324356206
15 64.330782333 -42.324356206
16 66.377974471 -42.324356206
17 68.464385086 -42.324356206
18 70.590766347 -42.324356206
19 72.757884851 -42.324356206
20 74.966521896 -42.324356206

Desviación estandar de regresión (s)

0.0213985512
 X1Y X2Y Y2

35.2 653600.64 1239.04

90.4 858451.96 2043.04
138.6 897074.64 2134.44
215.6 1069397.56 2905.21
284.5 1152873.66 3237.61
315.6 1087988.92 2766.76
389.9 1175971.82 3102.49
368.8 993468.83 2125.21
424.8 1038046 2227.84
406 911591.8 1648.36
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
2669.4 9838465.83 23430

479.6

9838465.83

23430

-42.324356206
 0.0023242428

0.0043183032

S CON TRES VARIABLES

0.0023242428 X1 0.0043183032 X2 poblacion

0.0255666708 98.818434515 22883.62559074

0.0278909136 100.71367109 23322.51014017
0.0302151564 102.64525636 23769.81204667
0.0325393992 104.61388746 24225.69274655
0.034863642 106.6202749 24690.3167723
0.0371878848 108.66514279 25163.85181196
0.0395121276 110.74922916 25646.46876969
0.0418363704 112.87328618 26138.34182738
0.0441606132 115.03808044 26639.64850757
0.046484856 117.24439325 27150.56973751

dar de regresión (s)

 METODO DE LOS MINIMOS CUADRADOS DOS VARIABLES
MODELO LINEAL SIMPLE
Y = a + bX
N X Y X² XY Y² Variab. Indp. Datos Hist. Model. Lineal
1.00 1.00 1637.7 1.00 1637.70 2682061.29 1.00 1637.70 1064.69
1.00 2.00 853.6 4.00 1707.20 728632.96 2.00 853.60 1043.39
1.00 3.00 1114.2 9.00 3342.60 1241441.64 3.00 1114.20 1022.08
1.00 4.00 526.5 16.00 2106.00 277202.25 4.00 526.50 1000.77
1.00 5.00 852.4 25.00 4262.00 726585.76 5.00 852.40 979.46

1.00 6.00 653.0 36.00 3918.00 426409.00 6.00 653.00 958.16

1.00 7.00 759.9 49.00 5319.30 577448.01 7.00 759.90 936.85
1.00 8.00 1431.8 64.00 11454.40 2050051.24 8.00 1431.80 915.54
1.00 9.00 810.5 81.00 7294.50 656910.25 9.00 810.50 894.23
1.00 10.00 1048.5 100.00 10485.00 1099352.25 10.00 1048.50 872.93
10.00 55.00 9688.10 385.00 51526.70 10466094.65 11.00 851.62
12.00 830.31
13.00 809.01
N = 10.00 14.00 787.70
SX = 55.00 15.00 766.39
SY = 9688.10 16.00 745.08
S X² = 385.00 17.00 723.78
SXY = 51526.70 18.00 702.47
SY² = 10466094.65 19.00 681.16
20.00 659.85
(SX².SY)-(SX.SXY) 895950.00
a = -----------------= -------------= 1086.00
(N.SX²)-(SX)² 825.00
Lineal r² = 0.0346752
 (N.SXY) - (SX.SY) -17578.50 Logaritm r² = 0.15321777
b = ------------------= ------------= -21.31 Exponc r² = 0.01475446
(N.SX²) - (SX)² 825.00 Potenc r² = 0.10489378
Inversa r² = 0.0346752
(N.SXY) - (SX .SY) -17578.50 Inver. Ln r² = 0.01475446
r = -----------------------------------= ------------= -0.18621278232226

((N.SX²)-(SX)²)((NSY²)-(SY)²) 94400.07

r² = 0.0346752
 CONSUMO NACION.PESCADO FRECO 1986-2006
TONELADAS

1800.00

1600.00

1400.00
TONELADAS

1200.00

1000.00

800.00

600.00

400.00

200.00

0.00

DAT. HISTORICOS A¥OS

MOD. LINEAL MOD. LOGARITMICO MOD. EXPONENCIAL