Continuous Probability Distributions (Students)
Continuous Probability Distributions (Students)
Example 1:
The time to fly via a commercial airliner from Orlando, Florida, to Atlanta,
Georgia, ranges from 60 minutes to 120 minutes. The random variable is the
flight time within this interval. The variable of interest, flight time in minutes,
is continuous in the interval from 60 minutes to 120 minutes.
(𝑏−𝑎)2
STANDARD DEVIATION OF THE UNIFORM DISTRIBUTION 𝜎=√ 12
The total area within a continuous probability distribution is equal to 1.00. You can verify this using the formula for
the area of a rectangle on chart above.
Example 2:
Southwest Arizona State University provides bus service to students while they are on campus. A bus arrives at the
North Main Street and College Drive stop every 30 minutes between 6 A.M. and 11 P.M. during weekdays. Students
arrive at the bus stop at random times. The time that a student waits is uniformly distributed from 0 to 30 minutes.
Answer:
In this case, the random variable is the length of time a student must
wait. Time is measured on a continuous scale, and the wait times may
range from 0 minutes up to 30 minutes.
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a. The graph of the uniform distribution is shown in the chart above. The horizontal line is drawn at a height
of 0.0333, found by 1/(30 − 0). The range of this distribution is 30 minutes.
b. Mean: 𝑎 = 0, 𝑏 = 30
𝐴𝑟𝑒𝑎 = ℎ × 𝑏
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𝐴𝑟𝑒𝑎 = × (𝑏 − 𝑎) = 1.0
(𝑏 − 𝑎)
𝑎+𝑏
c. 𝜇= = 15
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d. The area within the distribution for the interval 25 to 30 represents this particular probability. From the
area formula:
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𝑃(25 < 𝑤𝑎𝑖𝑡 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒 < 30) = (ℎ𝑒𝑖𝑔ℎ𝑡) × (𝑏𝑎𝑠𝑒) = × 5 = 0.1667
(30 − 0)
e. Now you work out this one and display using a graph such as the one above
Practice 1:
Australian sheepdogs have a relatively short life. The length of their life follows a uniform distribution between 8
and 14 years.
a. Draw this uniform distribution. What are the height and base values?
b. Show the total area under the curve is 1.00.
c. Calculate the mean and the standard deviation of this distribution.
d. What is the probability a particular dog lives between 10 and 14 years?
e. What is the probability a dog will live less than 9 years?
Exercise 1:
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3. The closing price of Schnur Sporting Goods Inc. common stock is uniformly distributed between $20 and 30 per
share. What is the probability that the stock price will be:
4. According to the Insurance Institute of America, a family of four spends between $400 and $3,800 per year on all
types of insurance. Suppose the money spent is uniformly distributed between these amounts.
5. The April rainfall in Flagstaff, Arizona, follows a uniform distribution between 0.5 and 3.00 inches.
6. Customers experiencing technical difficulty with their Internet cable hookup may call an 800 number for technical
support. It takes the technician between 30 seconds to 10 minutes to resolve the problem. The distribution of this
support time follows the uniform distribution.
A normal distribution is based on— that is, it is defined by—its mean and standard deviation.
You will not need to make any calculations from formula. Instead you will be using a table, which is given at the end
of this handout, to look up the various probabilities.
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1. It is bell-shaped and has a single peak at the center of
the distribution. The arithmetic mean, median, and
mode are equal and located in the center of the
distribution. The total area under the curve is 1.00. Half
the area under the normal curve is to the right of this
center point and the other half to the left of it.
2. It is symmetrical about the mean. If we cut the normal
curve vertically at the center value, the two halves will
be mirror images.
3. It falls off smoothly in either direction from the central
value. That is, the distribution is asymptotic: The curve gets closer and closer to the X-axis but never actually
touches it. To put it another way, the tails of the curve extend indefinitely in both directions.
4. The location of a normal distribution is determined by the mean, 𝜇. The dispersion or spread of the
distribution is determined by the standard deviation, 𝜎.
With a continuous probability distribution, areas below the curve define probabilities. The total area under the
normal curve is 1.0. This accounts for all possible outcomes. Because a normal probability distribution is symmetric,
the area under the curve to the left of the mean is 0.5, and the area under the curve to the right of the mean is 0.5.
Any normal probability distribution can be converted into a standard normal probability distribution by subtracting
the mean from each observation and dividing this difference by the standard deviation. The results are called 𝑧
values or 𝑧 𝑠𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑠.
𝑧 value, is the signed distance between a selected value, designated 𝑋, and the mean, 𝜇, divided by the standard
deviation, 𝜎.
So, a 𝑧 value is the distance from the mean, measured in units of the standard deviation.
𝑋−𝜇
𝑧=
𝜎
Once the normally distributed observations are standardized, the z values are normally distributed with a mean of
0 and a standard deviation of 1. So the z distribution has all the characteristics of any normal probability distribution.
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Example 3:
The chart here shows the distribution of box weights of Sugar Yummies. To
explain, suppose we wish to compute the probability that boxes of Sugar
Yummies weigh between 283 and 285.4 grams. From the chart, we know that
the box weight of Sugar Yummies follows the normal distribution with a mean
of 283 grams and a standard deviation of 1.6 grams. We want to know the
probability or area under the curve between the mean, 283 grams, and 285.4
grams. We can also express this problem using probability notation, similar to
the style used in the previous chapter:
The weekly incomes of shift foremen in the glass industry follow the normal probability distribution with a mean of
$1,000 and a standard deviation of $100. What is the z value for the income, let’s call it X, of a foreman who earns
$1,100 per week? For a foreman who earns $900 per week?
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Practice 2:
(a) The weekly income of $1,225 to a z value. (b) The weekly income of $775 to a z value.
Example 5:
As part of its quality assurance program, the Autolite Battery Company conducts tests on battery life. For a particular
D-cell alkaline battery, the mean life is 19 hours. The useful life of the battery follows a normal distribution with a
standard deviation of 1.2 hours.
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Practice 3:
The distribution of the annual incomes of a group of middle-management employees at Compton Plastics
approximates a normal distribution with a mean of $47,200 and a standard deviation of $800.
(a) About 68 percent of the incomes lie between what two amounts?
(b) About 95 percent of the incomes lie between what two amounts?
(c) Virtually all of the incomes lie between what two amounts?
(d) What are the median and the modal incomes?
(e) Is the distribution of incomes symmetrical?
Exercise 2:
1. Explain what is meant by this statement: “There is not just one normal probability distribution but a ‘family’
of them.”
2. List the major characteristics of a normal probability distribution.
3. The mean of a normal probability distribution is 500; the standard deviation is 10.
a. About 68 percent of the observations lie between what two values?
b. About 95 percent of the observations lie between what two values?
c. Practically all of the observations lie between what two values?
4. The mean of a normal probability distribution is 60; the standard deviation is 5.
a. About what percent of the observations lie between 55 and 65?
b. About what percent of the observations lie between 50 and 70?
c. About what percent of the observations lie between 45 and 75?
5. The Kamp family has twins, Rob and Rachel. Both Rob and Rachel graduated from college 2 years ago, and
each is now earning $50,000 per year. Rachel works in the retail industry, where the mean salary for
executives with less than 5 years’ experience is $35,000 with a standard deviation of $8,000. Rob is an
engineer. The mean salary for engineers with less than 5 years’ experience is $60,000 with a standard
deviation of $5,000. Compute the z values for both Rob and Rachel and comment on your findings.
6. A recent article in the Cincinnati Enquirer reported that the mean labor cost to repair a heat pump is $90
with a standard deviation of $22. Monte’s Plumbing and Heating Service completed repairs on two heat
pumps this morning. The labor cost for the first was $75 and it was $100 for the second. Assume the
distribution of labor costs follow the normal probability distribution. Compute z values for each and
comment on your findings.
Recall in an earlier example we reported that the mean weekly income of a shift foreman in the glass industry is
normally distributed with a mean of $1,000 and a standard deviation of $100. That is, 𝜇 = $1,000 and 𝜎 = $100.
What is the likelihood of selecting a foreman whose weekly
income is between $1,000 and $1,100? We write this question
in probability notation as: 𝑃($1,000 < 𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑘𝑙𝑦 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 <
$1,100).
suppose we wanted the probability of selecting a foreman who earned less than $1,100. In probability notation, we
write this statement as 𝑃(𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑘𝑙𝑦 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 < $1,100).
Hence the answer is 0.8413. About 84 percent of the foremen in the glass industry earn less than $1,100 per week.
Example 7:
In probability notation, we write 𝑃($790 < 𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑘𝑙𝑦 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 < $1000) = 0.4821
Practice 4:
The temperature of coffee sold at the Coffee Bean Cafe follows the normal probability distribution, with a mean of
150 degrees. The standard deviation of this distribution is 5 degrees.
(a) What is the probability that the coffee temperature is between 150 degrees and 154 degrees?
(b) What is the probability that the coffee temperature is more than 164 degrees?
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In brief, there are four situations for finding the area under the standard normal probability distribution.
1. To find the area between 0 and z or (-z), look up the probability directly in the table.
2. To find the area beyond z or (-z), locate the probability of z in the table and subtract that probability from
0.5000.
3. To find the area between two points on different sides of the mean, determine the z values and add the
corresponding probabilities.
4. To find the area between two points on the same side of the mean, determine the z values and subtract the
smaller probability from the larger.
Exercise 3:
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8. The number of viewers of American Idol has a mean of 29 million with a standard deviation of 5 million.
Assume this distribution follows a normal distribution. What is the probability that next week’s show will:
a. Have between 30 and 34 million viewers?
b. Have at least 23 million viewers?
c. Exceed 40 million viewers?
9. WNAE, an all-news AM station, finds that the distribution of the lengths of time listeners are tuned to the
station follows the normal distribution. The mean of the distribution is 15.0 minutes and the standard
deviation is 3.5 minutes. What is the probability that a particular listener will tune in:
a. More than 20 minutes?
b. For 20 minutes or less?
c. Between 10 and 12 minutes?
10. Among U.S. cities with a population of more than 250,000, the mean one-way commute time to work is
24.3 minutes. The longest one-way travel time is New York City, where the mean time is 38.3 minutes.
Assume the distribution of travel times in New York City follows the normal probability distribution and the
standard deviation is 7.5 minutes.
a. What percent of the New York City commutes are for less than 30 minutes?
b. What percent are between 30 and 35 minutes?
c. What percent are between 30 and 40 minutes?
Previous examples require finding the percent of the observations located between two observations or the percent
of the observations above, or below, a particular observation X. A further application of the normal distribution
involves finding the value of the observation X when the percent above or below the observation is given.
Example 8:
Layton Tire and Rubber Company wishes to set a minimum mileage guarantee on its new MX100 tire. Tests reveal
the mean mileage is 67,900 with a standard deviation of 2,050 miles and that the distribution of miles follows the
normal probability distribution. Layton wants to set the
minimum guaranteed mileage so that no more than 4
percent of the tires will have to be replaced. What minimum
guaranteed mileage should Layton announce? The facets of
this case are shown in the following diagram, where X
represents the minimum guaranteed mileage.
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Knowing that the distance between 𝜇 and X is −1.75𝜎 or 𝑧 = −1.75, we can now solve for X (the minimum
guaranteed mileage): Plugging the values, paying attention to signs, we get 64312.
So Layton can advertise that it will replace for free any tire that wears out before it reaches 64,312 miles, and the
company will know that only 4 percent of the tires will be replaced under this plan.
Exercise 4:
1. Normal distribution has a mean of 50 and a standard deviation of 4. Determine the value below which 95
percent of the observations will occur.
2. A normal distribution has a mean of 80 and a standard deviation of 14. Determine the value above which
80 percent of the values will occur.
3. Assume that the mean hourly cost to operate a commercial airplane follows the normal distribute with a
mean of $2,100 per hour and a standard deviation of $250. What is the operating cost for the lowest 3
percent of the airplanes?
4. The SAT Reasoning Test (formerly called the Scholastic Aptitude Test) is perhaps the most widely used
standardized test for college admissions in the United States. Scores are based on a normal distribution
with a mean of 1500 and a standard deviation of 300. Clinton College would like to offer an honors
scholarship to students who score in the top 10 percent of this test. What is the minimum score that
qualifies for the scholarship?
5. According to media research, the typical American listened to 195 hours of music in the last year. This is
down from 290 hours four years earlier. Dick Trythall is a big country and western music fan. He listens to
music while working around the house, reading, and riding in his truck. Assume the number of hours spent
listening to music follows a normal probability distribution with a standard deviation of 8.5 hours.
a. If Dick is in the top 1 percent in terms of listening time, how many hours does he listen per year?
b. Assume that the distribution of times four years earlier also follows the normal probability
distribution with a standard deviation of 8.5 hours. How many hours did the 1 percent who listen
to the least music actually listen?
6. For the most recent year available, the mean annual cost to attend a private university in the United States
was $26,889. Assume the distribution of annual costs follows the normal probability distribution and the
standard deviation is $4,500. Ninety-five percent of all students at private universities pay less than what
amount?
7. In economic theory, a “hurdle rate” is the minimum return that a person requires before they will make an
investment. A research report says that annual returns from a specific class of common equities are
distributed according to a normal distribution with a mean of 12 percent and a standard deviation of 18
percent. A stock screener would like to identify a hurdle rate such that only 1 in 20 equities is above that
value. Where should the hurdle rate be set?
8. The manufacturer of a laser printer reports the mean number of pages a cartridge will print before it needs
replacing is 12,200. The distribution of pages printed per cartridge closely follows the normal probability
distribution and the standard deviation is 820 pages. The manufacturer wants to provide guidelines to
potential customers as to how long they can expect a cartridge to last. How many pages should the
manufacturer advertise for each cartridge if it wants to be correct 99 percent of the time?
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z- score table (Left of the Curve)
z 0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0 0 0.004 0.008 0.012 0.016 0.0199 0.0239 0.0279 0.0319 0.0359
0.1 0.0398 0.0438 0.0478 0.0517 0.0557 0.0596 0.0636 0.0675 0.0714 0.0753
0.2 0.0793 0.0832 0.0871 0.091 0.0948 0.0987 0.1026 0.1064 0.1103 0.1141
0.3 0.1179 0.1217 0.1255 0.1293 0.1331 0.1368 0.1406 0.1443 0.148 0.1517
0.4 0.1554 0.1591 0.1628 0.1664 0.17 0.1736 0.1772 0.1808 0.1844 0.1879
0.5 0.1915 0.195 0.1985 0.2019 0.2054 0.2088 0.2123 0.2157 0.219 0.2224
0.6 0.2257 0.2291 0.2324 0.2357 0.2389 0.2422 0.2454 0.2486 0.2517 0.2549
0.7 0.258 0.2611 0.2642 0.2673 0.2704 0.2734 0.2764 0.2794 0.2823 0.2852
0.8 0.2881 0.291 0.2939 0.2967 0.2995 0.3023 0.3051 0.3078 0.3106 0.3133
0.9 0.3159 0.3186 0.3212 0.3238 0.3264 0.3289 0.3315 0.334 0.3365 0.3389
1 0.3413 0.3438 0.3461 0.3485 0.3508 0.3531 0.3554 0.3577 0.3599 0.3621
1.1 0.3643 0.3665 0.3686 0.3708 0.3729 0.3749 0.377 0.379 0.381 0.383
1.2 0.3849 0.3869 0.3888 0.3907 0.3925 0.3944 0.3962 0.398 0.3997 0.4015
1.3 0.4032 0.4049 0.4066 0.4082 0.4099 0.4115 0.4131 0.4147 0.4162 0.4177
1.4 0.4192 0.4207 0.4222 0.4236 0.4251 0.4265 0.4279 0.4292 0.4306 0.4319
1.5 0.4332 0.4345 0.4357 0.437 0.4382 0.4394 0.4406 0.4418 0.4429 0.4441
1.6 0.4452 0.4463 0.4474 0.4484 0.4495 0.4505 0.4515 0.4525 0.4535 0.4545
1.7 0.4554 0.4564 0.4573 0.4582 0.4591 0.4599 0.4608 0.4616 0.4625 0.4633
1.8 0.4641 0.4649 0.4656 0.4664 0.4671 0.4678 0.4686 0.4693 0.4699 0.4706
1.9 0.4713 0.4719 0.4726 0.4732 0.4738 0.4744 0.475 0.4756 0.4761 0.4767
2 0.4772 0.4778 0.4783 0.4788 0.4793 0.4798 0.4803 0.4808 0.4812 0.4817
2.1 0.4821 0.4826 0.483 0.4834 0.4838 0.4842 0.4846 0.485 0.4854 0.4857
2.2 0.4861 0.4864 0.4868 0.4871 0.4875 0.4878 0.4881 0.4884 0.4887 0.489
2.3 0.4893 0.4896 0.4898 0.4901 0.4904 0.4906 0.4909 0.4911 0.4913 0.4916
2.4 0.4918 0.492 0.4922 0.4925 0.4927 0.4929 0.4931 0.4932 0.4934 0.4936
2.5 0.4938 0.494 0.4941 0.4943 0.4945 0.4946 0.4948 0.4949 0.4951 0.4952
2.6 0.4953 0.4955 0.4956 0.4957 0.4959 0.496 0.4961 0.4962 0.4963 0.4964
2.7 0.4965 0.4966 0.4967 0.4968 0.4969 0.497 0.4971 0.4972 0.4973 0.4974
2.8 0.4974 0.4975 0.4976 0.4977 0.4977 0.4978 0.4979 0.4979 0.498 0.4981
2.9 0.4981 0.4982 0.4982 0.4983 0.4984 0.4984 0.4985 0.4985 0.4986 0.4986
3 0.4987 0.4987 0.4987 0.4988 0.4988 0.4989 0.4989 0.4989 0.499 0.499
3.1 0.499 0.4991 0.4991 0.4991 0.4992 0.4992 0.4992 0.4992 0.4993 0.4993
3.2 0.4993 0.4993 0.4994 0.4994 0.4994 0.4994 0.4994 0.4995 0.4995 0.4995
3.3 0.4995 0.4995 0.4995 0.4996 0.4996 0.4996 0.4996 0.4996 0.4996 0.4997
3.4 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4997 0.4998
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z- score table (Right of the Curve)
z 0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0 0.5 0.504 0.508 0.512 0.516 0.5199 0.5239 0.5279 0.5319 0.5359
0.1 0.5398 0.5438 0.5478 0.5517 0.5557 0.5596 0.5636 0.5675 0.5714 0.5753
0.2 0.5793 0.5832 0.5871 0.591 0.5948 0.5987 0.6026 0.6064 0.6103 0.6141
0.3 0.6179 0.6217 0.6255 0.6293 0.6331 0.6368 0.6406 0.6443 0.648 0.6517
0.4 0.6554 0.6591 0.6628 0.6664 0.67 0.6736 0.6772 0.6808 0.6844 0.6879
0.5 0.6915 0.695 0.6985 0.7019 0.7054 0.7088 0.7123 0.7157 0.719 0.7224
0.6 0.7257 0.7291 0.7324 0.7357 0.7389 0.7422 0.7454 0.7486 0.7517 0.7549
0.7 0.758 0.7611 0.7642 0.7673 0.7704 0.7734 0.7764 0.7794 0.7823 0.7852
0.8 0.7881 0.791 0.7939 0.7967 0.7995 0.8023 0.8051 0.8078 0.8106 0.8133
0.9 0.8159 0.8186 0.8212 0.8238 0.8264 0.8289 0.8315 0.834 0.8365 0.8389
1 0.8413 0.8438 0.8461 0.8485 0.8508 0.8531 0.8554 0.8577 0.8599 0.8621
1.1 0.8643 0.8665 0.8686 0.8708 0.8729 0.8749 0.877 0.879 0.881 0.883
1.2 0.8849 0.8869 0.8888 0.8907 0.8925 0.8944 0.8962 0.898 0.8997 0.9015
1.3 0.9032 0.9049 0.9066 0.9082 0.9099 0.9115 0.9131 0.9147 0.9162 0.9177
1.4 0.9192 0.9207 0.9222 0.9236 0.9251 0.9265 0.9279 0.9292 0.9306 0.9319
1.5 0.9332 0.9345 0.9357 0.937 0.9382 0.9394 0.9406 0.9418 0.9429 0.9441
1.6 0.9452 0.9463 0.9474 0.9484 0.9495 0.9505 0.9515 0.9525 0.9535 0.9545
1.7 0.9554 0.9564 0.9573 0.9582 0.9591 0.9599 0.9608 0.9616 0.9625 0.9633
1.8 0.9641 0.9649 0.9656 0.9664 0.9671 0.9678 0.9686 0.9693 0.9699 0.9706
1.9 0.9713 0.9719 0.9726 0.9732 0.9738 0.9744 0.975 0.9756 0.9761 0.9767
2 0.9772 0.9778 0.9783 0.9788 0.9793 0.9798 0.9803 0.9808 0.9812 0.9817
2.1 0.9821 0.9826 0.983 0.9834 0.9838 0.9842 0.9846 0.985 0.9854 0.9857
2.2 0.9861 0.9864 0.9868 0.9871 0.9875 0.9878 0.9881 0.9884 0.9887 0.989
2.3 0.9893 0.9896 0.9898 0.9901 0.9904 0.9906 0.9909 0.9911 0.9913 0.9916
2.4 0.9918 0.992 0.9922 0.9925 0.9927 0.9929 0.9931 0.9932 0.9934 0.9936
2.5 0.9938 0.994 0.9941 0.9943 0.9945 0.9946 0.9948 0.9949 0.9951 0.9952
2.6 0.9953 0.9955 0.9956 0.9957 0.9959 0.996 0.9961 0.9962 0.9963 0.9964
2.7 0.9965 0.9966 0.9967 0.9968 0.9969 0.997 0.9971 0.9972 0.9973 0.9974
2.8 0.9974 0.9975 0.9976 0.9977 0.9977 0.9978 0.9979 0.9979 0.998 0.9981
2.9 0.9981 0.9982 0.9982 0.9983 0.9984 0.9984 0.9985 0.9985 0.9986 0.9986
3 0.9987 0.9987 0.9987 0.9988 0.9988 0.9989 0.9989 0.9989 0.999 0.999
3.1 0.999 0.9991 0.9991 0.9991 0.9992 0.9992 0.9992 0.9992 0.9993 0.9993
3.2 0.9993 0.9993 0.9994 0.9994 0.9994 0.9994 0.9994 0.9995 0.9995 0.9995
3.3 0.9995 0.9995 0.9995 0.9996 0.9996 0.9996 0.9996 0.9996 0.9996 0.9997
3.4 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9998
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