Potential of Cognitive Computing and Cogniti
Potential of Cognitive Computing and Cogniti
2015; 5:75–88
Ahmed K. Noor*
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At the turn of the 21st century, many researchers believed by new data, interactions and each other’s historical
that cognitive computing was the hope of a near future. data.
By replicating the human brain in computer form, re- – Meaning-based— performing natural language pro-
searchers hope to improve conditions for humans as well cessing and using embedded analytics to leverage
as gaining a deeper understanding of the biological reac- language structure, semantics and relationships.
tions that power the brain. Computers capable of reason – Highly interactive—providing tools and interac-
were beginning to emerge in the late 1990s, with hopes for tion designs to facilitate advanced communications
consciousness following. within the integrated system and incorporating
stateful human-computer interactions, data analy-
sis and visualizations.
2.3 Major characteristics of Cognitive Cognitive computing systems are able to handle ambigu-
Computing ity and a shifting set of variables. They can constantly re-
evaluate information based on changes in the user, task,
The major characteristics of cognitive computing systems context, goal or new information. They must understand
are [6]: the question or context before seeking answers. They may
– Information adept—being able to integrate big data offer multiple useful answers that are weighted for con-
from multiple heterogeneous sources and then syn- fidence or closeness to the query or topic. They turn big
thesizing ideas or answers from them. data into smart data and useful knowledge. Users are able
– Dynamic training and adaptive—learning and to interact with the system easily in a kind of continuing
changing as they receive new information, new "conversation." Like humans, cognitive computing sys-
analyses, new users, new interactions, new con- tems must be dynamic, and they must learn. Four layers
texts of inquiry or activity. of Cognitive Computing Systems can be identified, namely
– Probabilistic—discovering relevant patterns based – Static and dynamic Learning Systems
on context, statistically generating and evaluating – Data organization and interpretation
series of evidence-based hypotheses, predicting the – Architecture / Design of the system
probability of valuable connections, and returning – Core components
answers based on learning and deep inferencing.
This includes finding unexpected patterns—a kind
of machine-aided serendipity. 2.4 Cognitive Computing Building Blocks
– Highly integrated— has automated systems / work-
load management through which all modules con- To usher in a new era of cognitive computing, novel hard-
tribute to a central learning system and are affected ware, programming languages, applications and simula-
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The plan includes investigating the emergence of arti- in driver assistance facilities, and driverless cars are de-
ficial collective pre-consciousness, which leads to self- scribed subsequently.
identification and further improvement of collective per-
– GM introduced driver assist package into their 2012
formance. In this way, several general principles of swarm-
Cadillac for detecting road hazards, and drawing the
level cognition will be explored to assess their importance
attention of the driver to them. The package uses
in real-world applications.
long-range radar that scans for objects up to 150 me-
The results can be exploited for improving the robustness,
ter away, short range radars, video and other cam-
flexibility, and efficiency of other technical applications in
eras, ultrasonic sensors, a central embedded com-
the field of information and computing technology.
puter for processing information and identifying ob-
In June 2014, the European Commission, along with 180
jects around the car.
companies and research organizations (under the um-
– Texas Instruments has introduced a family of ad-
brella of euRobotics), launched the world’s largest civil-
vanced driver assistance system devices (ADAS) that
ian research and innovation program in robotics. Cover-
can implement a number of driving features, includ-
ing manufacturing, agriculture, health, transport, civil se-
ing pedestrian detection, emergency braking, traf-
curity, and households, the initiative is called SPARC and
fic sign recognition, lane departure assistance, cross
aims at developing technologies including smart indus-
traffic alert adaptive cruise control, blind spot detec-
trial robots, autonomous cars, and drones.
tion, high-beam and park assist.
A cognitive / autonomous spherical robot concept has
been proposed by IBM. The robot has multi-modal sens- Information from multiple cameras (front-facing, side,
ing, including image and sound, and could be deployed in and rear), and various sensors are processed by the ADAS
a disaster area for search and rescue missions. An internal hardware simultaneously. The data then provides driver
mechanism would allow it to roll around an environment assistance for enhanced safety and driving. For example,
to survey areas and identify persons in need, the condition headlights can be aimed and adjusted dynamically based
of the zone and possible hazards. It could also communi- on external driving conditions.
cate with people it finds and guide them to safety through – Volvo began testing semiautonomous cars on city
speakers and a video display. streets. By 2017, a fleet of 100 cars will be part of
an experiment for autonomous handling of lane fol-
lowing, speed adaption, and merging traffic in the
3.4 Cognitive Cars Swedish city of Gothenberg.
– A number of companies, including Audi, Mercedes,
Cognitive cars are equipped with integrated sensors, cam- GM, and Nissan, are working on ways to automate
eras, GPS navigation system and radar devices that pro- the entire parking process. First , the car moves past
vide coordinates and information gathered on the road to a parking area, scanning for the marked edges of
other cars, equipped with the same car-to-car communica- parking slots and for obstacles (such as parked ve-
tion system. Automakers and their research partners are hicle). Different vantage points are provided by the
currently working toward creating cars that think on be- several cameras and ultrasound sensors in the cars.
half of drivers and passengers and act proactively, serving The information is processed to classify the parking
up infotainment and driver assistance features in antici- area according to its structure. Then the car moves to
pation of what’s needed or wanted. The basic elements in the next vantage point, and continues the process in
every infotainment or telematics UI are a touchscreen dis- order to offer a selection of possible parking slots.
play in the dashboard, voice recognition, control buttons – GM is working on crash-proof (crash-avoiding) car
or wheels on the steering wheel. concept. The concept relies on the use of active
The new technologies are intended to serve and protect safety systems, instead of the passive safety features
drivers and passengers, and ultimately render the human used in modern cars (including air bags, and frames
drivers superfluous. Driver assistance systems are laying that absorb the impact to protect the occupants dur-
the groundwork for autonomous (self-driving or driver- ing crash). The active safety systems use, in addition
less) cars. to the passive safety tools, visual alerts, loud sound,
The advanced technologies that make cognitive and self- and seat vibrations to alert the driver to imminent
driving cars have been filtering into commercial products danger (e.g., approaching cross traffic).
at a fast rate [14, 15]. Some of the recent developments
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Potential of Cognitive Computing and Cognitive Systems | 83
abrupt-changes in market demands, increasing number Cognitive machines could improve their performance and
of product variants, smaller lot sizes, enhancement of develop new capabilities through mining data and apply-
product quality, increasingly shorter time-to-market, and ing learning algorithms that are specific to their applica-
low cost production requirements. Manufacturing value tions. They could also exchange information with other
chains are distributed and dependent on complex infor- systems and provide updates to higher-level control sys-
mation and material flow requiring new approaches in- tem, helping to create more efficient and flexible factories.
side and outside the factory both on process and product Within all of this, the cognitive machines would remain
lifecycle levels. They have to respond faster and more effi- aware of their capacities, as well as their limitations. Cog-
ciently to higher complexity and frequently changing de- nitive manufacturing is characterized by capabilities and
signs. Cognitive production systems concepts, including visions for moving beyond "smart" manufacturing toward
cognitive machines and processes and cognitive factories, cognitive factories and systems that have the capacity
can be applied to address some of challenges [16]. This to monitor and evaluate manufacturing performance and
is accomplished through applying the principles of cogni- then propose process and operations improvements based
tion into every aspect of industrial production – from de- on using sensing technologies and multifaceted data for
sign to final assembly and quality control, and potentially real-time observation of human workers in industrial or-
to the end of the product life cycle. ganizations to increase the understanding of human cog-
The cognitive capability in production systems can be ac- nitive processes and transfer this knowledge to cognitive
complished through the development of cognitive reason- factories.
ing engines, or distributed intelligence agents, that are de- Cognitive factories are industrial autonomous systems that
ployed throughout the production system at three different introduce artificial cognitive capabilities to the dynamic
hierarchical levels: a) the manufacturing process level, b) allocation of production services, and the control of pro-
the manufacturing system level, or factory level, and c) the duction systems in order to overcome today’s bound-
production system logistical level, or supply chain level. aries [17]. These include autonomous machining, auto-
Actions must include validation/demonstration elements mated programming of industrial robots, human –robot-
and involve stakeholders covering the whole value chain. cooperation, knowledge –based quality assurance and
In addition, mobile transportation robots are used to en- process control. The use of cognitive factories has the po-
able flexible routing – A team of robots can produce new tential of enhancing the adaptivity of production systems,
products from a number of semi-finished products. as well as the quality of products.
Researchers at Harvard and MIT have recently build a
robot that assembles itself into a complex shape in four
minutes flat, and crawls away without any human in- 3.7 Cognitive Wireless Technologies
tervention. The advance, demonstrates the potential to
quickly and cheaply build sophisticated machines that in- Cognitive (or smart) radio networks like xMax system of
teract with the environment, and to automate much of the xG technology, Inc. represents an innovative approach to
design and assembly process. The method draws inspira- wireless engineering in which radios are designed with
tion from self-assembly in nature, such as the way linear an unprecedented level of intelligence and agility. It en-
sequences of amino acids fold into complex proteins with ables more efficient use of scarce expensive wireless spec-
sophisticated functions. trum though using a number of technologies, including
Among the possible applications of this concept is that of dynamic spectrum access (DSA), interference mitigation,
a swarm of robotic satellites sandwiched together so that full mobile handoff and software defined radio (SDR) ca-
they could be sent up to space and then assemble them- pabilities [18].
selves remotely once they get there-they could take im- Cognitive radios have the ability to monitor, sense, and
ages, collect data, and more. The concept is complemen- detect the conditions of their operating environment, and
tary to 3D printing, which also holds great promise for dynamically reconfigure their own characteristics to best
quickly and inexpensively manufacturing robotic compo- match those conditions [19].
nents. The longer term could be changing the way we think They automatically detect available channels in wireless
about manufacturing in that the machines fabricate them- spectrum, then accordingly changes its transmission or
selves. For example, cognitive 3D printers could receive reception parameters to allow more concurrent wireless
data and automatically design and build bespoke products communications in a given spectrum band at one location.
to meet individual demands. They provide a smarter, faster, and more efficient way
to transmit information to and from fixed, mobile, other
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wireless communication devices. They have significantly hibit errors that can be automatically corrected and repro-
improved the wireless communication performances, in duced so that the pilot receives the correct readings and
a cost effective way, by exploiting underutilized licensed can adjust accordingly.
bands In addition to its benefits in making flight systems safer,
smart analytics could also be helpful in other applications
that rely on sensors, such as healthcare. Analyzing the pat-
3.8 Cognitive Flight systems, Airspace terns of data collected from sensors attached to the human
Systems, and other infrastructures body could detect, ahead of time, early signs of seizures or
heart attacks.
Cognitive Flight and aerospace systems are examples of
cognitive socio-technical systems, which attempt to am-
plify the human capability in performing cognitive work 3.8.2 Cognitive Airspace System
through integrating the technical functions with the hu-
man cognitive processes [20, 21]. Other examples include The airspace is a distributed and heterogeneous system
healthcare systems, energy, transportation and other large comprising diverse human and technological functions.
scale infrastructures. Enhancing the effectiveness of air traffic control and man-
The issues addressed in socio-technical systems include agement, and extension of the airspace system to handle
decision making in complex and dynamic information en- UAVs, requires equipping the facilities and resources in the
vironments, distributed collaboration, and management system with cognitive capabilities.
of extensively networked systems. For example, cogni- Modernization of air traffic management is already under
tive energy grids use variety of technologies in conjunc- way. The new systems envisioned in Europe and the U.S.
tion with big data to anticipate and smoothly meet the would begin automating a pilot’s tasks even before sub-
rapidly changing needs of different load centers dis- mission of a flight plan. From a hotel room, hours before
tributed around the grid. They intelligently source and al- a flight, the pilot could plug an electronic flight planner
locate energy from renewable sources (like solar, wind and into a tablet computer, automatically linking to the plane’s
hydro), and non-renewable sources, as required to ensure flight management system and the FAA air traffic network
smooth and reliable delivery. center. He could choose one of several routes, from the
fastest to the least expensive. He would receive weather
information, including the wind’s speed and direction.
3.8.1 Cognitive / smart data for flight systems Within seconds, an optimal route would be calculated and
a touchdown time determined, accurate to within two sec-
Among the recent activities on cognitive technologies for onds. Two out of three flights would be flown automati-
socio-technical systems is the work on "cognitive / smart cally: A plane’s own systems, linked to the airline’s opera-
data" technologies by researchers at the Rensselaer Poly- tions and FAA computers, would operate the aircraft, from
technic Institute. The work is funded by the Air Force Of- the closing to the opening of the passenger cabin doors.
fice of Scientific Research, and aims at turning passive Schedule disruptions caused by late passengers or sudden
data systems into active ones by enabling them to search changes in weather would be managed by the networked
for patterns and relationships, discover knowledge in data computer systems, with the pilot alerted to the changes.
streams, as well as incorrect data generated by faulty sen- Very rarely would a pilot have to intervene during an auto-
sors, or other hardware failures, such as those that con- matic flight, and usually only because the network offers
tributed to the Air France 447 crash in June 1st, 2009. Dur- faster or more fuel-efficient routing.
ing that flight, important sensors failed, and reported er- It is somewhat clear what the key enabling technologies
roneous airspeed data. But the autopilot didn’t know that, and procedures will be, how much they will cost to intro-
and it acted as if the data were correct. duce and what benefits they will bring. However, what is
The smart data system uses mathematical and program- less clear is how the global network will be able to operate
ming elements that searches for patterns and relationships when parts of it are degraded, how soon all aircraft oper-
that indicate hardware failure. Active data has been in- ators will adopt compliant technologies, how controllers
corporated into a software system called the "Program- will accept their changing roles, and how a global net-
ming Language for spatiO-Temporal data Streaming ap- centric traffic management system will be regulated and
plications," or "PILOTS," which treats air speed, ground certified.
speed and wind speed as data streams that sometimes ex-
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Potential of Cognitive Computing and Cognitive Systems | 85
Although significant technological advances have been Recently, the creators of Siri, have announced a smart as-
made by the Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) community, sistant successor Viv (the global brain), that is currently
critical research is needed to fully understand the impact being developed and which can recognize the user’s per-
of UAS operations in the National Air Space (NAS). There sonal preferences and a near-infinite web of connections
has also been little research to support the equipment de- to answer almost any query and perform almost any func-
sign necessary for UAS airworthiness certification. In the tion. Google is working on a more ambitious cognitive as-
near- to mid-term, UAS research will need to focus on tech- sistant called the "Google Brain" that melds computer sci-
nology deemed necessary for UAS access to the NAS. ence with neuroscience.
Emerging cognitive assistants are proactive autonomous
agent systems (Cogs), a class of more advanced software
programs, which are designed to follow and interact with
4 Emerging Cognitive technologies people (and other cogs and services) inside and across cog-
and Environments nitive environments. Cogs use cognitive analytics to pro-
cess natural language and do pattern recognition.
4.1 Cognitive Interfaces
The next phase of user interface architecture is multisen- 4.3 Cognitive Environment
sory and multimodal, so the machine is capable of recog-
Research on cognitive environments is moving from over-
nizing a gesture while interpreting the user’s voice simul-
coming physical, connectivity limitations to overcom-
taneously. Some of the recent work is devoted to creating
ing productivity and complexity limitations through en-
machines that has pattern and object recognition capabil-
hanced cognition [22]. Among the recent developments
ities, and can think on behalf of their users and act proac-
are integrated sensor system for environmental and user
tively, serving as user assistance features in anticipation of
activity monitoring, wearable technologies (including,
what’s needed or wanted.
annotated-reality glasses), advanced telepresence and vi-
Future user interfaces and human machine interface sys-
sualization facilities, tools for reducing cognitive load, and
tems are likely to be deceptively simple, yet so pioneering
Symbiotic cognitive systems incorporating Cogs.
they could easily pass for special effects in a science fic-
Future cognitive environments will include learning and
tion film—including neural interfaces, steering wheel sen-
training facilities which can predict performance and
sors in cars capable of reading a driver’s mind and touch-
learning needs, and distributed healthcare networks that
screens that morph into physical buttons and switches.
could draw on vast quantities of medical data to help
Cognitive interfaces will allow new decision-making expe-
physicians in providing the right treatment to patients
riences, such as making a critical maintenance decision on
with unusual conditions.
a gas pipeline. The power of these decision spaces is that
they give users real insights, not just information; by pro-
viding valuable insight, users are one step closer to taking
action.
4.4 Cognitive enterprise
Future enterprises will have cognitive environments, in-
corporating variety of cognitive assistants and cognitive
4.2 Cognitive Assistants (Cogs) tools and facilities. Their workforce will be engaged in
complex applications requiring in-depth data analysis and
Since the beginning of the 21st century, a number of AI ac- adaptability. The algorithms used in these applications
tivities were devoted to developing intelligent personal as- will be very hard to design and require processing exten-
sistants (beyond Question / Answering systems). Among sive and complex big data sets (using big data predictive
these activities is the large AI project funded by DARPA- and prescriptive analytics).
the Personalized Assistant that Learns (PAL) program.
The Cognitive Assistant that Learns and Organizes (CALO)
project led by SRI was part of this program. A number of
personal assistants on mobile devices resulted from CALO, 5 A look at the future
including Apple’s Siri, Google Now, Dragon Mobile Assis-
tant, Nina Mobile, and Microsoft Cortana. Cognitive computing is a transformative area of comput-
ing, and a major driver for knowledge automation work,
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86 | Ahmed K. Noor
Figure 10: Augmenting and Amplifying human capability through cognitive computing and cognitive technologies.
both as an emerging enterprise disruptor, and future cog- able symbiotic interaction with the environment, drive in-
nitive enterprise enabler. The confluence of Cognitive tech- novation, flexibility, and cost reduction.
nologies with technologies such as cloud, mobile, wear- The new products will have higher level of intelligence
able devices, Internet of Things (IOT), big data and vi- than current smart products, and include cognitive cyber-
sual analytics will amplify their impact. A new genera- physical systems, with embedded intelligence, mecha-
tion of cognitive devices, facilities and systems will be de- tronic and adaptronic components, that can monitor their
veloped. The coming years will witness the infusion of own state, and are able to self-configure, self-optimize,
cognitive technologies, devices, tools, facilities into de- self-protect, and self-heal. They will be able to communi-
cision support systems, engineering processes, practices cate with other cognitive products.
and systems. Humans and machines will be working to-
gether to amplify human capabilities, particularly those
associated with insight, finding relevant patterns in dy-
namic big data, making optimal choices, and discovery of
6 Concluding remarks
new generation of cognitive products ([23, 24], and Fig-
In this paper a brief review is given of cognitive computing
ure 10). A radical shift in engineering software and en-
and some of the cognitive engineering systems activities.
gineering practice will occur. Engineers will use generic
The potential of cognitive technologies is outlined, along
cognitive assistants (cogs) to build customized cogs for
with a brief description of future cognitive environments,
various applications (such as modeling, simulation, and
incorporating cognitive assistants - specialized proactive
knowledge capture and representation in product design).
intelligent software agents designed to follow and inter-
The field of Cognitive product engineering will be de-
act with humans and other cognitive assistants across the
veloped as a new procedural paradigm, and a frame-
environments. The cognitive assistants engage, individu-
work, for describing, designing, manufacturing, operat-
ally or collectively, with humans through a combination
ing, and servicing cognitive products [25]. It will incor-
of adaptive multimodal interfaces, and advanced visual-
porate deep learning, predictive and prescriptive analyt-
ization and navigation techniques.
ics, emergent engineering concepts, adaptive multimodal
Cognitive computing, technologies and systems are a pas-
human-machine interfaces, along with other visuo-spatial
sage through a world yet to be imagined, and future de-
cognition, computational and collaboration tools to en-
velopments in these areas will continue to push the limit
of what is possible. Planned and future activities include
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