Unit 4 - Probability: by Name of The Creator-Vikas Ranjan Designation - Trainer Department - CTLD
Unit 4 - Probability: by Name of The Creator-Vikas Ranjan Designation - Trainer Department - CTLD
By
Name of the Creator- Vikas Ranjan
Designation- Trainer
Department- CTLD
Probability
BASIC CONCEPT BUILDER
Q1: A coin is tossed successively three times. Find the probability of getting exactly one head
or two heads.
Sol.: Let ‘S’ be the sample – space. Then,
S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, TTH, THT, HTT, TTT}
n (S) = 8
Let ‘E’ be the event of getting exactly one head or two heads.
Then:
E = { HHT, HTH, THH, TTH, THT, HTT }
n (E) = 6
Therefore:
P(E) = n (E)/ n (S) = 6/8 = 3/4
Q2: Three coins are tossed. What is the probability of getting (i) all heads, (ii) two heads, (iii)
at least one head, (iv) at least two heads?
Sol.: Let ‘S’ be the sample – space. Then
S = { HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT }
(i)
Let ‘E1’ = Event of getting all heads.
Then E1 = { HHH }
n (E1) = 1
P(E1) = n (E1) / n(S) = 1 / 8
(ii)
Let E2 = Event of getting ‘2’ heads.
Then:
E2 = { HHT, HTH, THH }
n(E2) = 3
P (E2) = 3/8
(iii)
Let E3 = Event of getting at least one head.
Then:
E3 = { HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH }
n(E3) = 7
P (E3) = 7/8
(iv)
Let E4 = Event of getting at least one head.
Then:
E4 = { HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, }
n(E4) = 4
P (E4) = 4/8 = ½
Q3: What is the probability, that a number selected from 1, 2, 3, --- 2, 5, is a prime number,
when each of the numbers is equally likely to be selected.
Sol.: S = { 1, 2, 3, ---- , 2, 5} n(S) = 25
And E = { 2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 17, 19, 23 } n(E) = 9
Hence P(E) = n(E) / n(S) = 9 / 25
Q4: Two dice are thrown simultaneously. Find the probability of getting :
(i) The same number on both dice,
(ii) An even number as the sum,
(iii) A prime number as the sum,
(iv) A multiple of ‘3’ as the sum,
(v) A total of at least 0,
(vi) A doublet of even numbers,
(vii) A multiple of ‘2’ on one dice and a multiple of ‘3’ on the other
dice. Sol.: Here:
S = { (1,1), (1,2) ------, (1,6), (2,1), (2,2), ---- (2,6), (3,1), (3,2),------, (3,6), (4,1), (4,2), --
------ (4,6), (5,1), (5,2), ----- (5,6), (6,1,), (6,2), --------------- (6,6) }
n(S) = 6 x 6 = 36
(i)
Let E1 = Event of getting same number on both side:
E1 = { (1,1), (2,2), (3,3), (4,4), (5,5), (6,6) }
n(E1) = 6
P(E1) = n(E1)/n(S) = 6/36 = 1/6
(ii)
Let E2 = Event of getting an even number as the sum.
E2 = { (1,1), (1,3), (1,5), (2,2), (2,4), (2,6), (3,1), (3,3), (3,5), (4,2), (4,4),
(4,6), (5,1), (5,5), (6,2), (6,4), (6,6) }
n(E2) = 18 hence P(E2) = n(E2)/n(S) = 18/36 = 1/2
(iii)
Let E3 = Event of getting a prime number as the sum..
E3 = { (1,1), (1,2), (1,4), (1,6), (2,1), (2,3), (2,5), (3,2), (3,4), (4,1), (4,3),
(5,2), (5,6), (6,1), (6,5),}
n(E3) = 15
P(E2) = n(E3) / n(S) = 15/36 = 5/12
(iv)
Let E4 = Event of getting a multiple of ‘3’ as the sum.
E4 = { (1,2), (1,5), (2,1), (2,4), (3,3), (3,6), (4,2), (4,5), (5,1), (5,4),
(6,3), (6,6),}
n(E4) = 12
P(E4) = n(E4)/n(S) = 12/36 = 1/3
(v)
Let E5 = Event of getting a total of at least 10.
E5 = { (4,6), (5,5), (5,6), (6,4), (6,5), (6,6), }
n(E5) = 6
P(E5) = n(E5)/n(S) = 6/36 = 1/6
(vi)
Let E6 = Event of getting a doublet of even numbers.
E6 = { (2,2), (4,4), (6,6), }
n(E6) = 3
P(E6) = n(E6)/ n(S) = 3/36 = 1/12
(vii)
Let E7 = Even of getting a multiple of ‘2” on one dice and a multiple of ‘3’ on the other
dice.
E7 = { (2,3), (2,6), (4,3), (4,6), (6,3), (3,2), (3,4), (3,6), (6,2), (6,4) }
n(E7) = 11
P(E7) = n(E7) / n(S) = 11/36
Q5.: What is the probability, that a leap year selected at random will contain 53
Sundays? Sol.: A leap year has 366 days, therefore 52 weeks i.e. 52 Sunday and 2
days.
The remaining 2 days may be any of the following :
(i) Sunday and Monday
(ii) Monday and Tuesday
(iii) Tuesday and Wednesday
(iv) Wednesday and Thursday
(v) Thursday and Friday
(vi) Friday and Saturday
(vii) Saturday and Sunday
For having 53 Sundays in a year, one of the remaining 2 days must be a Sunday.
n(S) = 7
n(E) = 2
P(E) = n(E) / n(S) = 2/7
CATEGORY – B
(i) ‘1’ is red and ‘2’ are white, (ii) ‘2’ are blue and 1 is red, (iii) none is
red. Sol.: We have to select ‘3’ balls, from 18 balls (6+4+8)
n(S)=18C3=18!/(3!x15!)=(18x17x16)/(3x2x1)=816
(i)
Let E1 = Event of getting ‘1’ ball is red and ‘2’ are white
Total number of ways = n(E1) = 6C1 x 4C2
= 6!/ (1!x5!) x 4!/(2!×2!)
=6x4/2
= 36
P (E1) = n (E1) / n(S) = 36/816 = 3/68
(ii)
Let E2 = Event of getting ‘2’ balls are blue and ‘1’ is red.
= Total no. of ways n(E2) = 8C2 x 6C1
= 8!/(2!x 6!) x 6!/ (1!×5!)
= (8 x 7) / 2 x 6 / 1 = 168
P(E2) = 168 / 816 = 7/34
(iii)
Let E3 = Event of getting ‘3’ non – red balls. So now we have to choose all the three
balls from 4 white and 8 blue balls.
Total number of ways :
n(E3) = 12C3 = 12!/ (3!x 9!) = (12x11x10) / (3x2x1) = 220
P(E3) = n(E3) / n(S) = 220 / 816 = 55/204
Q: A box contains 12 bulbs of which ‘4’ are defective. All bulbs took alike. Three bulbs are
drawn randomly.
What is the probability that :
(i) All the ‘3’ bulbs are defective?
(ii) At least ‘2’ of the bulbs chosen are defective?
(iii) At most ‘2’ of the bulbs chosen are defective?
Q: In a lottery of 50 tickets numbered from ‘1’ to ‘50’ two tickets are drawn simultaneously.
Find the probability that:
(i) Both the tickets drawn have prime number on them,
(ii) None of the tickets drawn have a prime number on it. Sol.:
We want to select ‘2’ tickets from 50 tickets.
n(S) = 50C2 = 50? / (2? x 48?) = (50x49) / 2 = 1225
(i)
Let E1 = Event that both the tickets have prime numbers Prime numbers between ‘1’ to
‘50’ are :
2,3,5,7,11,13,17,19,23,29,31,37,41,43,47.
Total Numbers = 15.
We have to select ‘2’ numbers from these 15 numbers.
n(E1) = 15C2 = 15? / (2? x 13?) = (15x47) / 2 = 105
P(E1) = n(E1) / n(S) = 105/1225 = 21/245
(ii)
Non prime numbers between ‘1’ to ‘50’ = 50-15 =
35 Let E2 = Event that both the tickets have non-prime
numbers. Now we have to select ‘2’ numbers, from ‘35’
numbers.
n(E2) = 35C2 = 35? / (2? x 33?) = (35x34) / 2 =
595 P(E2) = n(E2) / n(S) = 595 / 1225 = 17/35
Q.: A bag contains 30 tickets, numbered from ‘1’ to ‘30’. Five tickets are drawn at random
and arranged in ascending order. Find the probability that the third number is 20.
Sol.: Total number of ways of selecting ‘5’ tickets from 30 tickets = 30C5
n(S) = 30C5 = 30? / (5? x 25?) = (30 x 29 x 28 x 27 x 26) / (5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1)
n(S) = 29 x 27 x 26 x 7
Suppose the ‘5’ tickets are a1, a2,20, a4, a5
They are arranged in ascending order.
a1, a2 {1, 2, 3, ------- , 19} and a4, a5 { 21, 22, 23,-----, 30}
We have to select ‘2’ tickets from first ‘19’ tickets and ‘2’ tickets from last 10 tickets.
n(E) = 19C2 x 10C2
= 19? / (2? x 17?) = 10? / (2? x 8?) = (19 x 18) / 2 = (10 x 9) / 2
= 19 x 9 x 5 x 9
Ex.: The odds in favours of an event are 3:5 find the probability of the occurrence of this event.
Sol.: Let ‘E’ be an event.
Then odds in favour of E = n(E) / n(E1) = 3 / 5
n(E) = 3 and n(E1) = 5
Total number of out-comes n(S) = n(E) + n(E1) = 3+5 = 8
P(E) = n(E) / n(S) = 3 / 8
Q.: If ‘12’ persons are seated at a round table, what is the probability that two particulars
persons sit together?
Sol.: We have to arrange 12 persons along a round table.
So if ‘S” be the sample – space, then n(S) = (12-1)? = 11?
n(S) = 11?
Now we have to arrange the persons in away, such that ‘2’ particulars person sit together.
Regarding that 2 persons as one person, we have to arrange 11 persons.
Total no. of ways = (11-1)? = 10? ways.
That ‘2’ persons can be arranged among themselves in 2? ways.
So, total no. of ways, of arranging 12 persons, along a round table, so that two particular person
sit together : = 10? x 2?
n(E) = 10? x 2?
Q.: 6 boys and 6 girls sit in a row randomly, find the probability that all the ‘6’ girls sit
together.
Sol.: We have to arrange ‘6’ boys and ‘6’ girls in a row.
n(S) = 12?
Now, we have to arrange ‘6’ girls in a way, such that all of them should sit together.
Regarding all the 6 girls as one person, we have to arrange 7 person in a row.
Total no. of ways = 7?
But 6 girls can be arranged among themselves in 6? ways.
n(E) = 7? x 6?
P(E) = n(E) / n(S) = (7? x 6?) / 12? = (6x5x4x3x2x1) / (12x11x10x9x8)
P(E) = 1 / 132
Q: If from a pack of ‘52’ playing cards one card is drawn at random, what is the probability
that it is either a kind or a queen?
Sol.: n(S) = Total number of ways of selecting 1 card out of 52 cards.
= 52C1 = 52
n(E) = Total number of selections of a card, which is either a kind or a queen.
= 4C1 + 4C1 = 4 + 4 = 8
P(E) = n(E) / n(S) = 8 / 52 = 2 / 3
Q.: From a pack of 52 playing cards, three cards are drawn at random. Find the probability of
drawing a king, a queen and a jack.
Sol.: Here n(S) = 52C3 = 52? / (3? x 49?) = (52x51x50) / (3x2x1)
= 52x17x25
n(E) = 4C1. 4C1. 4C1
= 4? / (1? x 3?) x 4? / (1? x 3?) = 4? / (1? x 3?)
n(E) = 4 x 4 x 4
CATEGORY – C
Problems based on finding P(E1), by the use of P(E1) – 1 – P(E) :
Note : When an event has a lot of out comes, then we use this concept.
Ex.: What is the probability of getting a total of less than ‘12’ in the throw of two dice?
Sol.: Here n(S) = 6x6x = 36
It is very difficult to find out all the cares, in which we can find the total less then ‘12’.
So let E = The event, that the sum of numbers is ‘12’.
Then E = { 6, 6}
n(E) = 1
P(E) = n(E) / n(S) = 1/36
Required probability, P(E1) = 1-P(E)
= 1 – 1/36
P(E1) = 35 /36
Ex.: There are ‘4’ envelopes corresponding to ‘4’ letters. If the letters are placed in the
envelopes at random, what is the probability that all the letters are not placed in the right
envelopes?
Sol.: We have to place ‘4’ letters in 4 envelopes.
n(S) = 4!
Now: Let E = The event, that all the 4 letters are placed in the corresponding envelopes.
So E1 = The event that all the ‘4’ letters are not placed in the right envelope.
Here n(E) = 1
P(E) = n(E) / n(S) = 1 / 4! = 1 / 24
Required probability, P(E1) = 1- P(E)
= 1 – (1/24)
P(E1) = 23 / 24
Some information’s about playing cards:
(1) A pack of 52 playing cards has 4 suits :
(a) Spades, (b) Hearts, (c) Diamonds, (d) Clubs.
(2) Spades and clubs are black and Hearts and Diamonds are red faced cards.
(3) The aces, kings, queens, and jacks are called face cards or honours – cards.
Corollary : If ‘A’, ‘B’ and ‘C’ are mutually exclusive events, then P(A∩B) = 0, P(B∩C) = 0,
P(A∩C) = 0 and P(A∩B∩C) = 0.
In this case :
P(AUBUC) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C)
Theorem – 3 : For any two events ‘A’ and ‘B’
P(A-B) = P(A) – P(A∩B) = P(A∩B1)
EXAMPLES
Problems based on addition theorem of probability:
Working rule :
(i) A UB denotes the event of occurrence of at least one of the event ‘A’ or ‘B’
(ii) A ∩B denotes the event of occurrence of both the events ‘A’ and ‘B’.
(iii) P(AUB) or P(A+B) denotes the probability of occurrence of at least one of the
event ‘A’ or ‘B’.
(iv) P( ∩B) or P(A∩B) denotes the probability of occurrence of both the event ‘A’
and ‘B’.
Ex.: The probability that a contractor will get a contract is ‘2/3’ and the probability that he
will get on other contract is 5/9 . If the probability of getting at least one contract is 4/5, what is
the probability that he will get both the contracts ?
Sol.: Here P(A) = 2/3, P(B) = 5/9
P(A b) = 4/5, (P(A B) = ?
By addition theorem of Probability:
P(A B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A B)
= 4/5 = 2/3 + 5/9 - P(A B)
or 4/5 = 11/9 – P(A B)
or P(A B) = 11/9 – 4/5 = (55-36) / 45
P(A B) = 19/45
Ex2.: Two cards are drawn at random. Find the probability that both the cards are of red colour
or they are queen.
Sol.: Let S = Sample – space.
A = The event that the two cards drawn are red.
B = The event that the two cards drawn are queen.
A B = The event that the two cards drawn are queen of red colour.
n(S) = 52C2, n(A) = 26C2, n(B) = 4C2
n(A B) = 2C2
P(A) = n(A) / n(S) = 26C2 / 52C2 , P(B) = n(B) / n(S) = 4C2 / 52C2
P(A B) = n(A B) / n(S) = 2C2 / 52C2
P(A B) = ?
We have P(A B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A B)
= 26C2 / 52C2 + 4C2 / 52C2 – 2C2 / 52C2
= (26C2 + 4C2 – 2C2) / 52C2
= (13X25+2X3-1) / (26X51)
P(A B) = 55/221
Ex.3: A bag contains ‘6’ white and ‘4’ red balls. Two balls are drawn at random. What is the
chance, they will be of the same colour?
So.: Let S = Sample space
A = the event of drawing ‘2’ white balls.
B = the event of drawing ‘2’ red balls.
A B = The event of drawing 2 white balls or 2 red balls.
i.e. the event of drawing ‘2’ balls of same colour.
n(S) = 10C2 = 10!/ (2!x 8!) = 45
n(A) = 6C2 = 6!/(2! x 4! ) = (6 x5) / 2 = 15
n(B) = 4C2 = 4!/(2! x 21 ) = (4x3) / 2 = 6
P(A) = n(A) / n(S) = 15/45 = 1/3
P(B) = n(B) / n(S) = 6/45 = 2/15 P(A B) = P(A) + P(B) = 1/3 + 2/15 = (5+2) / 15
P(A B) = 7/15
Ex.: For a post three persons ‘A’, ‘B’ and ‘C’ appear in the interview. The probability of ‘A’
being selected is twice that of ‘B’ and the probability of ‘B’ being selected is thrice that of ‘C’,
what are the individual probability of A, B, C being selected?
Sol.: Let ‘E1’, ‘E2’, ‘E3’ be the events of selections of A, B, and C respectively.
Let P(E3) = x
P(E2) = 3. P(E3) = 3x
and P(E1) = 2P(E2) = 2 x 3x = 6x
As there are only ‘3’ candidates ‘A’, ‘B’ and ‘C’ we have to select at least one of the candidates
A or B or C, surely.
P( E1 E2 E3) = 1
and E1, E2, E3 are mutually exclusive.
P(E1 E2 E3) = P(E1) + P(E2) + P(E3)
1 = 6x + 3x + x
10x – 1 or x = 1/10