MSL 708 Financial Management Topic 1a: Time Value of Money: Topics (Tentative) : Pre-Readings (BM Chapters)
MSL 708 Financial Management Topic 1a: Time Value of Money: Topics (Tentative) : Pre-Readings (BM Chapters)
Topic 1a: Time Value of Money Time Value of Money Topic 3: Capital Budgeting (BD: Chapters 7 and 8)
3 4
(c) Invest $100 in corporate bond that offers 10 percent coupon rate 𝐹𝑉 = 100 1.15 = $115
5 6
1
Time Value of Money Time Value of Money
How much you invested one year ago if the current value of your 𝑃𝑉 =
investment is $100 and you
(a) Got 2 percent interest by putting money in a saving account FV: Future value
(b) Got 8 percent interest by putting money in a fixed deposit PV: Present value
i: Interest rate
(c) Bond offered 10 percent coupon rate
: Discount factor
(d) Earned 15 percent return by investing in equities
7 8
11 12
2
Example Annuities
Series of equal cash flows (paid/received) at the end of each period
-2,000 200 1,800 200 -200 -800 Example: Mortgage payments (when the interest rate on the
mortgage is fixed)
0 1 2 3 4 5 Three types
• Ordinary Annuity
• Annuity Due
𝑁𝑃𝑉 = −2000 + + + + + = −813.66 • Deferred Annuity
. . . . .
13 14
100 1
𝑃𝑉 = 1− = $379.08
𝐶𝐹 1 0.10 1 + 0.1
𝑃𝑉 = 1−
𝑖 1+𝑖
Value of your investment at the end of fifth year
𝑃𝑉 = 𝑃𝑉 1 + 𝑖 = 379.08 1.1 = $610.51
15 16
17 18
3
Annuity Due Annuity Due
Suppose you won an amount of $30 million in a lottery
You can choose from: $1M $1M $1M $1M $1M $1M
(a) 30 payments of $1 million per year (starting today) 0 1 2 3 28 29 30 31
(b) A lump sum amount of $15 million today
If the interest rate is 8 percent, which option will you choose? $15M 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 2 3 28 29 30 31
19 20
Total n payments 𝐶𝐹 1
Value of annuity = 1 + 1− = $12.16 𝑚𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑜𝑛 Starting from t 𝑃𝑉 = 1−
. . 𝑖 1+𝑖
Accept $15 million now 𝐶𝐹 1
𝑃𝑉 1−
𝑖 1+𝑖
𝑃𝑉 = =
1+𝑖 1+𝑖
21 22
Deferred Annuity
Cash flows start from the beginning of fifth year If you know present values, you can easily calculate future value
Again total 5 payments using
100 100 100 100 100
𝐹𝑉 = 𝑃𝑉 1 + 𝑖
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
100 1
𝑃𝑉 = 1− = $379.08
0.10 1 + 0.1
𝑃𝑉
𝑃𝑉 = = $284.81
1+𝑟
23 24
4
Future Value of an Annuity Future Value of an Annuity
Ellen is 35 years old
10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000
She has decided to save $10,000 at the end of each year in her 0 1 2 3 30
retirement account until she is 65 35 36 37 38 65
If the account earns 10 percent per year, how much will Ellen have
saved at age 65? 𝐹𝑉 = 1+𝑖 −1
,
𝐹𝑉 = 1.1 − 1 = $1.645 Million
.
25 26
27 28
CF CF CF CF
𝑃𝑉 = 1−
( ) 0 1 2 3 ∞
, .
𝑃𝑉 = 1− = $150,463 today
( . . ) . Example: If a company pays same dividend per share
29 30
5
Perpetuity Perpetuity
PV of an ordinary annuity with fixed number of payment: You want to endow an annual MBA graduation party at your alma
𝐶𝐹 1 mater
𝑃𝑉 = 1−
𝑖 1+𝑖
You budget $30,000 per year forever for the party
If the university earns 8 percent per year on its investments and if
If 𝑛 becomes very large then →0
the first party is in one year’s time, how much will you need to
donate to endow the party?
𝐶𝐹
𝑃𝑉 =
𝑖
31 32
33 34
Growing Perpetuity
To account for inflation, suppose you increase your payments If frequency of compounding is m, then
($30,000) at the rate of 4 percent annually Interest rate per period is 𝑖/𝑚
Number of periods 𝑚𝑛
30,000
𝑃𝑉 = = $750,000
0.08 − 0.04
For example, if annual amount is CF then
/
PV of Ordinary Annuity = 1−
/ /
35 36
6
Loan Payment Loan Payment
A biotech firm plans to buy a new equipment for $500,000 Loan Amount = 0.8(500,000) = $400,000
20 percent of the purchase price is to be paid as a down payment 𝑃𝑉 =
/
1−
/ /
Remainder to be financed using a 48-month loan with equal
payments and an interest rate of 0.5 percent per month 𝑃𝑉 =
/
1−
/ /
What is the monthly loan payment?
400,000 = 1−
. .
37 38
39 40
7
Effective Annual Rate Effective Annual Rate
With daily compounding With continuous compounding
.
𝐹𝑉 = 100 1 + = $110.5156 𝐹𝑉 = lim 𝑃𝑉 1 + = 𝑃𝑉 𝑒
→
⇒ Effectively, you are getting an interest rate of 10.5156 percent where i is annual interest rate and t is time in years
.
𝐹𝑉 = 100𝑒 = $110.5171
⇒ Effectively, you are getting an interest rate of 10.5171 percent
43 44
Effective Annual Rate Effective Annual Rate for Period Longer than One Year
Interest rates are generally quoted as an annual rate Assume an effective annual rate of 5 percent
𝐹𝑉 = 𝑃𝑉 1 + 𝑖 In one year, a $100,000 investment grows to
Here i is the interest for a period and n is the number of periods 100000 1.05 = $105,000
Effective annual rate corresponding to quoted rate i with k After two years, it will grow to
compounding periods per year is given by
100,000 1.05 = $110,250
𝑖
1 + 𝐸𝐴𝑅 = 1 +
𝑘 Earning an effective annual rate of 5 percent for two years is
equivalent to earning 10.25 percent in total interest over the two-
year period
47 48
8
Effective Annual Rate for Periods Shorter than One Year Effective Annual Rate
Assume that you earn an effective annual rate of 5 percent interest Interest rates quoted by banks do not include the effect of
. . compounding
1+𝑟 = 1.05 = $1.0247
To compute the actual amount that you will earn in one year, convert
For each dollar invested every half-year a 5 percent effective annual
the quoted rate to an effective annual rate
rate is equivalent to an interest rate of approximately 2.47 percent
earned every six months When evaluating cash flows, use a discount rate that matches the
1 + 0.0247 = 1.05 time period of the cash flows and reflects the actual return that
could be earned over that time period
• Use effective rate to discount future cash flows
49 50
Should you purchase the system outright or pay $4,000 per month? That is, 1 + = 1.050625 = 1.004124
51 52
9
Effective Annual Rate Loan
Thus, paying $4000 per month for 48 months is equivalent to paying Suppose you take $30,000 60-months car loan at an interest rate of
a present value of $173,867 today 6.75 percent with monthly compounding
This cost is $23,867 (173,867 - 150,000) higher than the cost of Borrowed Amount
purchasing the system PV = $30,000
Better to pay $150,000 for the system rather than lease it
PMT PMT PMT PMT
0 1 2 3 60
55 56
𝑃𝑉 =
/
1− Loan outstanding after one year
/
.
= 1− .
= $24,779
. /
30,000 = 1− . Loan Outstanding
. /
Year
Year
59 60
10
Loan: Example Loan: Example
How much interest did you pay on the loan in the second year? Calculate interest paid in the 24th month
Loan outstanding at the end of first year = 24,779
Loan outstanding at the end of second year = 19,195
Principal repaid during the year = 24,779 – 19,195 = 5,584
Total payments made during the year = 590.50 (12) = 7,086
Interest paid = 7,086 – 5,584 = $1,502
61 62
$19,195 = 1− .
. /
Monthly Payments 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 12
0 1 2 5
𝑃𝑀𝑇 = $602
Originally supposed to make monthly payments
of $590.50 for next three years
63 64
𝑁 = 36.76 months
65 66
11
Interest Rates
To calculate present and future values, we need interest rates
𝐹𝑉 = 𝑃𝑉 1 + 𝑖
Interest Rates Which interest rate should be used?
67 68
Interest Rates
Government bonds (all rates are in per cent)
2016 2017
Corporate bonds Dec. 23 Dec. 22
Policy Repo Rate 6.25 6.00
Reverse Repo Rate 5.75 5.75
Certificate of Deposit (Dec 8, 2017) RANGE 6-6.49 6.21-6.65
Commercial Paper (Dec 15) RANGE 5.86-13.95 5.98-11.19
Term Deposit Rate > 1 Year 6.50/7.10 6.00/6.75
Savings Deposit Rate 4.00 3.50/4.00
91-Day Treasury Bill Yield 6.23 6.19
182-Day Treasury Bill Yield .. 6.33
364-Day Treasury Bill Yield 6.34 6.40
10-Year G-Sec Par Yield 6.63 7.45
Source: https://www.rbi.org.in/
69 70
71 72
12
Interest Rates and Inflation - US Interest Rates and Inflation - US
Source: https://www.bls.gov/
73 74
75 76
India: Repo Rate Interest Rates: India Repo Rate and US Fed Funds Rate
77 78
13
Investment and Interest Rate Policy Investment and Interest Rate Policy
Interest rates also affect firms’ incentive to raise capital and invest All else equal, higher interest rates will therefore tend to shrink the
set of positive NPV investments available to firms
Consider a risk-free investment opportunity that requires an upfront
investment of $10 million and generates a cash flow of $3 million per The central banks use this relationship between interest rates and
year for four years investment to try to guide the economy
• Raise interest rates to reduce investment if the economy is “overheating”
If the risk-free interest rate is 5 percent and inflation is on the rise
𝑁𝑃𝑉 = −10 + + + + = $0.638 million • Lower interest rates to stimulate investment if the economy is slowing in
. . . . recession
If the risk-free interest rate is 9 percent
𝑁𝑃𝑉 = −10 + + + + = −$0.281 million
. . . .
79 80
81 82
Source: FINRA.org.
The difference between the interest rate of the loan and the
Treasury rate will depend on investors’ assessment of the likelihood
that the firm will default
83 84
14
Default Risk After-Tax Interest Rates
Suppose instead Gap Inc owes your firm $1,000 Why is this important?
$1000 Because investors care
𝑃𝑉 = = $787.27
1.049
If they pay less taxes on interest income than what they pay on
There is no guarantee that Gap will repay $1,000 dividend income, it might be easier for company to obtain funds by
issuing debt
The 4.9 percent interest rate of the loan is a more appropriate
discount rate to use to compute the present value in this case The actual return kept by an investor will also depend on how the
interest is taxed
85 86
Summary Summary
Nominal/quoted interest rate indicate the total amount of interest Interest rates on government securities are regarded as risk-free
earned in one year without considering the effect of compounding interest rates
Nominal interest rates tend to be high/low when inflation is high/low Because other borrowers may default, they will pay higher interest
rates on their loans
Higher interest rates tend to reduce the NPV of investment projects
The opportunity cost of capital is the best available expected return
Central banks raise interest rates to moderate investment and combat offered in the market on an investment of comparable risk and term
inflation and lowers interest rates to stimulate investment and
economic growth
Effective annual rate indicates the actual amount of interest earned in
one year and should be used for discounting future cash flows
87 88
15