CHIBI HIGH SCHOOL CALA

LEARNING AREA: STATISTICS

LEVEL: F6

CALA TYPE: PEN AND PAPER ACTIVITIES

DESIGNED GRAPHIC ILLUSTRATIONS

TOPIC: TIME SERIES

SUB-TOPIC: TIME SERIES (Syllabus page 16)

CALA TITLE: PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES.

COMPETENCIES/SKILLS

 Research
 Communication
 Critical thinking
 Problem solving
 Interpreting trends

CALA CONTEXT

Covid-19 has become a dangerous name since 2019. Millions of people have been infected and thousands of people have lost their lives due to the
worldwide ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. It is of utmost importance to identify the future infected cases and the virus spread rate for advance preparation.
Accurately forecasting the spread of COVID-19 is an analytical and challenging real-world problem to the research community. There is successive rise and
fall in the COVID-19 cases in schools throughout the year.

CALA
The CALA has two parts A and B which you are supposed to complete.

PART A

 Research on previous cases in and around your school since 2019.

 Design a questionnaire which you will use to collect data about people who have been infected by the virus before and those who have been in
contact with infected people
 Collect data of the numbers of people infected by the virus noting the time of the year they were infected.
 In your report include interviews, record notes, use ICT tools, take pictures and make recordings of the data obtained.

PART B

Using the information in part A

 Plot a time series graph for the information you have collected
 Analyse and comment on the general trend shown by the data you collected
 Identify and comment on the pattern shown by the data
 Comment on the relationship between the number of people infected and the time of year they got infected
 Predict the number of cases in the second quarter of 2022 and 2023

HOW YOU WILL BE ASSESSED

 To assess your presentation the teacher will consider your research materials, explanations about your graphic illustration that you have designed
 An Achievement Standard specific to this CALA will be provided so that you are aware of the assessment criteria.

CALA TIPS

 Write notes
 Carry out a lot of interviews on different people
 send out a lot of questionnaires
  Use ICT tools, take pictures
 Make recordings
 Make graphic illustrations

LEARNER CALA GUIDE

CALA TITLE: PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES

SCHOOL: CHIBI HIGH

LEARNER: …………..

DATE:

CALA CONTEXT

Covid-19 has become a dangerous name since 2019. Millions of people have been infected and thousands of people have lost their lives due to the
worldwide ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. It is of utmost importance to identify the future infected cases and the virus spread rate for advance preparation.
Accurately forecasting the spread of COVID-19 is an analytical and challenging real-world problem to the research community.

CALA DESCRIPTION

To analyse and understand the trends of COVID-19 outbreak so as to ensure effective forecasting of COVID-19 prevalence.

 Prepare a questionnaire that you are going to use in your research [4]
 Distribute questionnaires to gather data to find the number of infected people during different periods of the year[3]
 Record information and make notes on the responses given [2]
 Make graphic illustrations on the information you have gathered and draw the trend line [7]
 Correct table of values M1M1
 Correctly labelled axis and correct scale M1M1
 Any correct four points B1B1
 Using method of least squares to find equation of trend line and plotting suitable trend line B2M1
  Write notes or explain your graphic illustrations [4]
 Stating that its seasonal B1
 Commenting on each season B2M1
 Estimate the future cases for the second quarter of 2022 [2]
 Correct use of the equation of trend line to predict future cases M1A1

HOW YOU WILL BE ASSESSED

The CALA will be assessed out of 25

The teacher will assess:

 Your questions
 Notes from questionnaire/interviews
 Poster/illustration
 Your write up or oral explanation of your note
 Marks will be given for your findings

CALA TIPS

 Write notes
 Carry out a lot of interviews on different people
 send out a lot of questionnaires
 Use ICT tools, take pictures
 Make recordings
 Make graphic illustrations

TEACHERS GUIDE

LEARNING AREA: STATISTICS

LEVEL: F6
CALA TYPE: PEN AND PAPER ACTIVITIES

DESIGNED GRAPHIC ILLUSTRATIONS

CALA TITLE: PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES

COMPETENCIES/SKILLS

 Research
 Communication
 Critical thinking
 Problem solving
 Interpreting trends

CALA CONTEXT

Covid-19 has become a dangerous name since 2019. Millions of people have been infected and thousands of people have lost their lives due to the
worldwide ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. It is of utmost importance to identify the future infected cases and the virus spread rate for advance preparation.
Accurately forecasting the spread of COVID-19 is an analytical and challenging real-world problem to the research community. There is successive rise and
fall in the COVID-19 cases in schools throughout the year.

CALA DESCRIPTION

To analyse and understand the trends of COVID-19 outbreak so as to ensure effective forecasting of COVID-19 prevalence.

 Prepare a questionnaire that you are going to use in your research [4]
 Distribute questionnaires to gather data to find the number of infected people during different periods of the year[3]
 Record information and make notes on the responses given [2]
 Make graphic illustrations on the information you have gathered and draw the trend line [7]
 Write notes or explain your graphic illustrations [5]
 Estimate the future cases for the second quarter of 2022 [4]
Assessment procedure

 Assessing questions asked

 Awarding marks
 Assessing graphic illustration and correct

LEARNING AREA: STATISTICS LEVEL: FORM 5

 ACHIEVEMENT STANDARDS

CALA TITLE: PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES

TOTAL = 50 MARKS
DIMENSIONS/ EXCELLENT MARK GOOD MARK SATISFACTORY MARK UNSATISFACTORY MARK INADEQUATE MARK
CRITERIA

5 5 4 3 2 1-0

Develop questions Excellent questions Good questions that Satisfactory Unsatisfactory No questions that
that bring out that bring out bring out desired questions that bring questions that bring out desired
desired responses desired responses responses out desired bring out desired responses
responses responses
15 14-15 11-13 8-10 4-7 2-0
Develop strong Very strong More than sufficient Sufficient Unsatisfactory Using in appropriate
skills to present capabilities in data capabilities in data capabilities in data capabilities in data presentation
presentation using presentation using presentation using data presentation tool
data using
appropriate graph appropriate graph and appropriate graph using appropriate
appropriate graph neatness and neatness graph and
and neatness
neatness

18-20 14-17 13-10 5-9 0-4

Develop strong Excellent Good interpretation Satisfactory in Unsatisfactory in Wrong
skills to interpret interpretation and and analysis of data interpretation and interpretation interpretation
and analyse data analysis of data using measures of analysis of data and analysis of and analysis of
using measures od using measures of central tendency. using measures of data using data using
central tendency central tendency. central tendency. measures of measures of
using critical central central
thinking. tendency. tendency.
5 5 4 3 2 1-0
Evidence of data Strong evidence of evidence of data Satisfactory Unsatisfactory No evidence of data
collection carried data collection collection carried out evidence of data evidence of data collection carried out
out carried out collection carried collection carried
out out
5 5 4 3 2 1-0
Develop strong Excellent suggested good suggested Satisfactory Unsatisfactory No suggested
skills on suggested solutions solutions suggested solutions suggested solutions
solutions
solutions.
TOTALS