Subject: Statistics and Probability Grade Level: 11 Quarter: FIRST Week: 1
Subject: Statistics and Probability Grade Level: 11 Quarter: FIRST Week: 1
Diocese of Malaybalay
School:________________________________________
School Year 2020-2021
SUBJECT: STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY Grade Level: 11
Quarter: FIRST Week: 1
A random variable may also be used to quantify unquantifiable processes. For example,
in the random variable Y = sex of college student applicants.
Possible outcomes: male or female
Characteristic: categorical (non-numerical)
There are two varieties of random variables that are numerical in nature:
DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLE CONTINUOUS RANDOM VARIABLE
vs
Let us differentiate.
Discrete Random Variable Continuous Random Variable
Its values are obtained through its values are obtained through
counting measurement
Examples: Examples:
✓ number of rotten bananas in a ✓ growth of tomato seedlings per
bunch of bananas, week,
✓ number of honor students in a ✓ time needed to finish an exam, and
class, ✓ weight of pigs after 3 months
and
✓ number of tiles needed
✓ number of tiles needed to cover a
floor.
Note: A sample space is the set of all possible outcomes in a random experiment.
Here are some more examples of discrete and continuous random variables.
Discrete Random Variable Continuous Random Variable
Total number of spots in rolling two Power consumption of an appliance
dice
Number of pages in a chapter of a Body temperature of a person
book
Number of appliances in a Cloth needed to make a dress
household
Total number of all animals in a Length of a piece of chalk
farm
Number of cards drawn pH level of an acid
C. Objectives/Learning Targets
illustrates random variable;
distinguish between a discrete and a continuous random variable; and
find the possible values of a random variable
D. Detailed Directions/Instructions
II. Write your own 5 examples of random variables then identify if it is Discrete or
Continuous.
1. _____________________________________ 4. ___________________________________
2. _____________________________________ 5. ___________________________________
3. _____________________________________
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School Year 2020-2021
Again, the purpose of using random variable is so that we could measure observations
and process data to make a conclusion about the population. So what are the possible
values of a random variable, you might ask?
Below are some random variables with their corresponding possible values.
This lesson you will be able to learn how to find the possible values of a random
variable, illustrate a probability distribution for a discrete random variable and its
properties, construct the probability mass function of a discrete random variable and
its corresponding histogram.
In the study of random events, you should be interested in determining the possible
values of a random variable and its probability that will have a particular value.
Example 1. Suppose you are to test three random eggplants from a harvest to see if
there are worms in it. You want to find out the number of eggplants attacked by worms.
Use W to represent if there is a worm attack in an eggplant and N if there is none.
Note: The letters W and N are not random variables but are used to represent the
possible outcome upon checking an eggplant. X is the random variable representing
the number of eggplants attacked by worms.
Again, you are sampling three eggplants. The table has been filled out to illustrate
and demonstrate the possible outcomes of this experiment. Try to understand the
values therein.
What is a
histogram?
A histogram
is like a bar
Example 2. Suppose that four coins are tossed. Let Y be the random variable
representing the number of heads that occur.
In this example, the random variable Y represents the number of heads that occur
when tossing four coins. We have defined the sample space and their corresponding
values as shown in the table below.
There are 5 distinct possible values of which are 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4. We now assign the
probability values of each, as shown below.
Number of Probability P(Y) Let’s stop and think for a moment.
Heads Y
0 1 Can you explain why the probability values
16 P(Y) are like that? Where did the denominator
1 4 16 come from? How about the numerator
∨14
16 values 1, 4, 6, 4, and 1? Where did they come
2 6 from?
∨38
16 Getting the sum of all probabilities in the
3 4 1 4 6 4 1 16
∨14 distribution we get + + + + = ∨1.
16 16 16 16 16 16 16
4 1 The histogram of the distribution is shown
16 below
Remember this!
The sum of all probabilities in a
discrete probability distribution should
always be equal to 1, no more no less.
Otherwise, the distribution becomes
invalid or incorrect!
Be Careful!
A laboratory supervisor in a type III hospital is investing number of reported on-
the-jodb training accidents over a period of one month. Based on past records she has
derived the following probability distribution for x; where x is the number of reported
accidents per month.
C. Objectives/Learning Targets
computes probabilities corresponding to a given random variables;
illustrates the mean and variance of a discrete random variable; and
calculate the mean and the variance of a discrete random variable.
D. Detailed Directions/Instructions
I. Determine whether the distribution represented is valid or not. Explain your answer.
G. Values Integration (contextualized per school)
H. References for Learners
Calaca,Uy,Noble,Manalo . VIBAL
DepED Modules
School:________________________________________
School Year 2020-2021
The probability distribution of a discrete random variable is the same with the
frequency distribution of a sample in a given population that needs to be
summarized using a central value for it will give the general behavior of the random
variable under observation. Any discrete probability distribution has a mean, a
variance, and a standard deviation
In this lesson, you will illustrate the mean and variance of a discrete
random variable, calculate the mean and the variance of a discrete random
variable, interpret the mean and the variance of a discrete random variable and
solve problems involving mean and variance of probability distributions
The mean is the average of all possible outcomes. It is otherwise referred to as the
“expected value” of a probability distribution. When we say expected value, it means
that if we repeat any given experiment infinite times, the theoretical mean would be the
“expected value”. For instance, the mean of rolling a die is theoretically 3.5. You will
never roll a 3.5 no matter how many times you roll the die because there’s only 3 and
4. However, if you take the average of all outcomes, you should get 3.5 or at least close
to that value. You will have a better understanding about this concept with more
examples given underneath.
HIGH LOW
If the values of the variance and Individual outcomes of the experiment
standard deviation are high, that means are far relative to each other.
that the individual outcomes of the In other words, the values differ greatly.
experiment are far relative to each other.
In other words, the values differ greatly.
As a point of reference, if the values of all the outcomes in an experiment are all
the same, the variance and standard deviation are both 0. But of course, this
rarely happens in real life application.
In this section, we will learn to solve worded problems involving the Mean, Variance,
and Standard Deviation of a Discrete Probability Distributions. Prior in solving, make
sure that you already mastered on the use of the formulas on the terms mentioned. Let
us consider the problems below.
To solve this problem, all you we have to do is arrange the given entries which are the
random variable values and their corresponding probabilities in the first two columns of
a three column table. So in this particular example, our random variable which we are
going to call X is the number of mistakes a student gets in a 5-item quiz. You may use
your calculator in solving for the unknown values.
0 3 0
20
1 5 5
20 20
2 7 14
20 20
3 3 9
20 20
4 1 4
20 20
5 1 5
20 20
The entries in columns 1 and 2 are just copied from the problem statement above. The
entries in the third column you have to solve yourself by multiplying the 1st and 2 nd
3 5 5 7 14
column entries. Like, 0 x =0 , 1 x = , 2 x = , and so on. The number of rows
20 20 20 20 20
would depend entirely on the number of possible values that a random variable may
take.
The symbol for mean is the Greek letter µ (read as “my”). To solve for the mean, all you
have to do is add up all the entries of the 3rd column.
Equation 1. µ=∑ X . P( X)
So the value of the mean in the example above is just the sum of all entries in the third column.
5 14 9 4 5 37
µ=∑ X . P ( X )=0+ + + + + = =1.85
20 20 20 20 20 20
Therefore, the mean or expected value on the number of mistakes a student may have
in a 5-item quiz is 1.85. Again, we emphasize that none of the students actually got
1.85 mistakes. However, if we are to take the average of the total mistakes done by each
one of the students, we should get an average value of 1.85.
Now that we have found the mean of the discrete probability distribution, we can
now try and solve for the variance. You cannot solve for the variance without finding
first the mean. To solve for the variance, you need to add more columns in the table
made a while ago.
The table below shall discuss how you can solve the variance of a discrete
probability distribution. A sample value was used for demonstration purposes. A brief
explanation is shown below each entry for your guidance.
X P(X) X . P(X) X- µ ( X −µ )2 ( X −µ )2 . P( X )
2 7 14 0.15 3.4225 1.197875
20 20
You are already familiar with the Subtract the To find the value Lastly, multiply the
first three columns and know computed mean of the entry to this value obtained in
how to fill these out. from the value of column, column 5 back to
the random simplify square the
variable. Since the value that probability in
the computed you obtained in column
mean is 1.85 column 4. So, 2.So,
then, 2-1.85 = 2
1.85 −3.4225 7
0.15
3.4225 x =1.197875
20
After performing all calculations, the completed table would look something like
this. Try and solve for yourself to see how these values were obtained.
The symbol for variance is σ . To solve for the variance, all we have to do is add
up all entries on the last column.
X P(X ) X . P(X ) X −µ ( X −µ )2 ( X −µ )2 . P( X )
0 3 0 −1.85 3.4225 0.513375
20
1 5 5 −0.85 0.7225 0.180625
20 20
2 7 14 0.15 0.0225 0.007875
20 20
3 3 9 1.15 1.3225 0.198375
20 20
4 1 4 2.15 4.6225 0.231125
20 20
5 1 5 3.15 9.9225 0.496125
20 20
Equation 2.σ
2
∑ ( X −µ )2 . P(X )
So the value of the variance of the discrete probability distribution shown above
is just the sum of all entries in the last column.
σ 2=∑ ( X −µ )2 . P ( X )
¿ 1.6275
The variance of the probability distribution is 1.6275. Now that the value of the
variance is found, we can now solve for the standard deviation. The symbol for
standard deviation is σ
Equation 3. σ = √ σ 2
So the value of the standard deviation is solved by getting the square root of the
variance. Again, you cannot solve for the value of the standard deviation without
finding first the variance and mean.
σ = √ σ 2= √ 6275 .1 ≈ 1.28
The standard deviation is approximately equal to 1.28. We say “approximately equal to”
because we already rounded off the value from 1.2757350822 to 1.28.
Example 2. In a seafood restaurant, the manager wants to know if their customers like
their new raw large oysters. According to their sales representative, in the past 4
months, the number of oysters consumed by a customer, along with its corresponding
probabilities, is shown in the succeeding table. Compute the mean, variance and
standard deviation.
X P( X ) X . P( X ) X −µ ( X −µ )2 ( X −µ )2 . P(X )
0 3 0 −1.8 3.24 0.648
20
1 5 5/20 −0.8 0.64 0.128
20
2 7 14 /20 0.2 0.04 0.012
20
3 3 9 /20 1.2 1.44 0.288
20
4 1 4 /20 2.2 4.84 0.484
20
1
4
20
2 6 6 4 18
µ=∑ ( X−µ )2 . P( X )=0+ + + + = =1.8
10 10 10 10 10
2
3
20
σ = √ σ 2= √ 1.56 ≈ 1.25
Based on the computation, the mean of the distribution is 1.8. That implies that the
average number of oysters ordered by a customer is 1.8 oysters. Again none of the
8
customers actually ordered 1 and of an oyster. The number 1.8 is just the best
10
estimate of the average number of oyster consumed by a buying customer. The variance
is 1.56 oysters, while the standard deviation is 1.25 oysters.
This is the main advantage of standard deviation over variance. The standard deviation
is the same unit as your random variable, while the variance isn’t.
C. Objectives/Learning Targets
interprets the mean and the variance of a discrete random variable;
solves problem involving mean and variance of probability; and
illustrates a normal random variable and its characteristics.
D. Detailed Directions/Instructions
Read the instruction carefully. If possible answer your activity sheet on
your own.
Activity 1
A. Find the mean, variance, and standard deviation of the following probability
distribution by completing the tables below.
Activity 2
A. Solve the following problems.
1. The probabilities of a number of students to come late in a class are shown in the
table below. Find the average number of students to come late daily in this class.
2. A police lieutenant records the number of police blotter filed each day in their city.
Based on his records, the probability distribution of the number of police blotters filed
each day is in the table below. The city mayor claims that the crime rate is in its all-
time low with only 2 blotters being filed each day. Determine the mean of the
probability distribution shown and decide if the mayor’s claim is valid.
School:________________________________________
School Year 2020-2021
2. Computing for the mean, median and mode of each given distributions, we
will realize that the resulting values are equal. Since these measures are equal,
they all lie at one point. That is, at the center of the graph.
3. If we will continue to increase the number of students then in the long run,
we can approximate the graph to the shape of a bell.
In reality, if a distribution contains a very large number of cases with equal
measures of central tendency values, then the distribution is symmetrical* and
the skewness* is 0. In statistics, it is called normal distribution or normal curve
(Rene, et al. 2015).In specific sense, it is called a normal probability distribution
whenever the frequencies are converted to probabilities.
Now, to understand the nature of normal distributions, let us learn more about
the properties of a normal probability distribution. There are six properties of
normal distributions and these are the following:
3. The mean, median and mode are of equal This means that the mean, median
values and when sketched, they coincide at and mode of the given distribution are
the center of the graph. located at exactly one point since
M their values are equal, and they are
e a located at the center the graph which
n =
indicates the highest peak of the
curve.
Median = Mode
4. The width of the curve is determined by The curve considered at the left side
the standard deviation of the distribution. defines a standard normal curve. A
standard normal curve is a normal
w probability distribution that has mean
i d
value equal to 0 and standard
t h
of
deviation equal to 1.
the curve
D. Detailed Directions/Instructions
Read the instruction carefully. If possible answer your activity sheet on
your own.
I. Directions: Look at the graph below and answer the following questions
Questions:
1. Give the following:
1.1 mean score _______
1.2 Median score ________
1.3 Modal score ________
2. What is the standard deviation?
_______________________________
II. Sketch a normal curve for each distribution. Label the x-axis at one, two, and three
standard deviations from the mean.
School:________________________________________
School Year 2020-2021
Now that you know the different sampling techniques, the next thing that you need to
know is to determine the sample size to be taken from the population.
Illustrative example:
Supposing that your school has a population of 5,000 students and you want to
know the average height of the students, it would be impractical to interview or to get
the height of all students. All you need to do is to determine the sample size that will
estimate the whole population. To do this, we will use the Slovin’s Formula in getting
the sample size.
N
n= 2
1+ N e
Where n = sample size
N = number of population
e = margin of error
Considering e = 0.05 in the above situation where N = 5,000
5,000
n=
1+5,000 ( 0.05 )2
n=370.4∨371
Hence, you must select randomly 371 students as your sample. The result is rounded
up since this is getting samples from a population.
If the sample size obtained will be distributed by the table below, how many samples
will be taken randomly from each Grade level?
Grade 11 680
Grade 12 490
Total 5,000
Solution:
To get the sample size from each Grade level, divide the number of students per
year level by the total number of students then multiply the quotient.
Now that you know how to determine the sample size of a certain population,
you are now ready to learn how to compute the sample mean which serves as an
estimator for the population mean.
Illustrative example:
The heights in meters of 5 students chosen at random are 1.5 , 1.23,1.6, 1.4,
and 1.3.
1.5+1.23+1.6+1.4+ 1.3
Mean =
5
Parameter describes the entire population. The fact is about the whole
population that is easy to figure out because the groups are small enough to
measure.
C. Objectives/Learning Targets
illustrate random sampling
distinguish between parameter and statistics; and
identifies sampling distributions of statistics (sample mean)
D. Detailed Directions/Instructions
Determine the sample size required for the given population using the Slovin’s
Formula.
1. Find the sample size required using the Slovin’s Formula from a
population of 20,000 given a margin of error of 5% .
85 89 85 81 86 89 89 92 91 95 92 86 81 87 88
Mean = _____________________
Mean =____________________
I. Answer Key