The Impact of Genetically Modified GM Crops in Modern Agriculture A Review
The Impact of Genetically Modified GM Crops in Modern Agriculture A Review
The Impact of Genetically Modified GM Crops in Modern Agriculture A Review
Ruchir Raman
To cite this article: Ruchir Raman (2017) The impact of Genetically Modified
(GM) crops in modern agriculture: A review, GM Crops & Food, 8:4, 195-208, DOI:
10.1080/21645698.2017.1413522
REVIEW
ABSTRACT. Genetic modification in plants was first recorded 10,000 years ago in Southwest Asia
where humans first bred plants through artificial selection and selective breeding. Since then,
advancements in agriculture science and technology have brought about the current GM crop
revolution. GM crops are promising to mitigate current and future problems in commercial
agriculture, with proven case studies in Indian cotton and Australian canola. However, controversial
studies such as the Monarch Butterfly study (1999) and the Seralini affair (2012) along with current
problems linked to insect resistance and potential health risks have jeopardised its standing with the
public and policymakers, even leading to full and partial bans in certain countries. Nevertheless, the
current growth rate of the GM seed market at 9.83–10% CAGR along with promising research
avenues in biofortification, precise DNA integration and stress tolerance have forecast it to bring
productivity and prosperity to commercial agriculture.
Correspondence to: Ruchir Raman; School of BioSciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville
Campus Victoria 3010, Australia; Email:[email protected]
Received September 5, 2017; Revised November 20, 2017; Accepted November 22, 2017.
195
196 Raman
desirable traits (eg: hardier stems) and breeding DNA ligase – “molecular scissors and glue”
them for propagating their traits. The most dra- (Rangel, 2016) successfully engineered the
matic alteration of plant genetics using these world’s first GM organism. In agriculture, the
methods occurred through artificial selection of first GM plants – antibiotic resistant tobacco and
corn – from a weedy grass possessing tiny ears petunia – were successfully created in 1983 by
and few kernels (teosinte; earliest recorded three independent research groups. In 1990,
growth: central Balsas river valley, southern China became the first country to commercialise
Mexico 6300 years ago) to the current cultivars GM tobacco for virus resistance. In 1994, the
of edible corn and maize plants (Doebley et al., Flavr Savr tomato (Calgene, USA) became the
2016, Fig 1). The use of similar techniques has first ever Food and Drug Administration (FDA)
also been reported to derive current variants of approved GM plant for human consumption.
apples, broccoli and bananas different from their This tomato was genetically modified by anti-
ancestral plant forms which are vastly desirable sense technology to interfere with polygalacturo-
for human consumption.3 nase enzyme production, consequently causing
The developments leading to modern genetic delayed ripening and resistance to rot.4 Since
modification took place in 1946 where scientists then, several transgenic crops received approvals
first discovered that genetic material was transfer- for large scale human production in 1995 and
able between different species. This was followed 1996. Initial FDA-approved plants included corn/
by DNA double helical structure discovery and maize, cotton and potatoes (Bacillus thuringiensis
conception of the central dogma – the transcrip- (Bt) gene modification, Ciba-Geigy and Mon-
tion of DNA to RNA and subsequent translation santo) canola (Calgene: increased oil production),
into proteins – by Watson and Crick in 1954. cotton (Calgene: bromoxynil resistance) and
Consequently, a series of breakthrough experi- Roundup Ready soybeans (Monsanto: glyphosate
ments by Boyer and Cohen in 1973, which resistance),4 Fig 2). Currently, the GM crop pipe-
involved “cutting and pasting” DNA between dif- line has expanded to cover other fruits, vegetables
ferent species using restriction endonucleases and and cereals such as lettuce, strawberries, egg-
plant, sugarcane, rice, wheat, carrots etc. with
planned uses to increase vaccine bioproduction,
FIGURE 1. The evolution of modern corn/maize
nutrients in animal feed as well as confer salinity
(top) from teosinte plants (bottom) by repetitive
and drought resistant traits for plant growth in
selective breeding over several generations.
[Sources: 50 (top figure),51 (bottom figure)].
unfavourable climates and environment.4,2
Since their commercialisation, GM crops have
been beneficial to both economy and the environ-
ment. The global food crop yield (1996–2013)
has increased by > 370 million tonnes over a rel-
atively small acreage area.2 Furthermore, GM
crops have been recorded to reduce environmen-
tal and ecological impacts, leading to increases in
species diversity. It is therefore unsurprising that
GM crops have been commended by agricultural
scientists, growers and most environmentalists
worldwide.
Nevertheless, advancements in GM crops
have raised significant questions of their safety
and efficacy. The GM seed industry has been
plagued with problems related to human health
and insect resistance which have seriously
undermined their beneficial effects. Moreover,
poor science communication by seed companies,
a significant lack of safety studies and current
GM CROPS: BENEFITS, CHALLENGES AND COMMERCIAL TRENDS 197
mistrust regarding GMOs have only com- 50% increase from 2013 – and further to an
pounded problems. These have led many coun- estimated 11bn by 2100. Current agricultural
tries, particularly the European Union and practices alone cannot sustain the world pop-
Middle East to implement partial or full restric- ulation and eradicate malnutrition and hunger
tions on GM crops. GM agriculture is now on a global scale in the future. Indeed, the
widely discussed in both positive and negative FAO also estimates that despite a significant
frames, and currently serves as a hotbed of reduction in global hunger, 653 mn people
debate in public and policymaking levels. will still be undernourished in 2030.8 Addi-
tionally, Ray et al. and other studies depict
the top four global crops (soybean, maize,
CHALLENGES IN COMMERCIAL wheat and rice) are increasing at 1.0%,
AGRICULTURE 0.9%, 1.6% and 1.3% per annum respec-
tively– approximately 42%, 38%, 67% and
The agriculture industry has been valued at an 55% lower than the required growth rate
estimated US$ 3.2 trillion worldwide and (2.4%/annum) to sustain the global popula-
accounts for a large share of the GDP and tion in 2050.9 Compounded with other
employment in developing and underdeveloped problems such as improved nutritional stand-
nations.5 For instance: Agriculture contributes ards in the burgeoning lower-middle class
only 1.4% towards the GDP and 1.62% of the and projected loss in arable land (from
workforce in US in comparison with South Asian 0.242 ha/person in 2016 to 0.18 ha/person in
regions, where it contributes 18.6% towards the 2050)2 due to degradation and accelerated
GDP and 50% of the workforce.6 However, urbanization, rapid world population expan-
despite employing nearly 1 in 5 people world- sion will increase demand for food resources.
wide (19% of the world’s population),7 the agri-
culture industry is projected to suffer significant
global setbacks (population growth, pest resis- Pests and Crop Diseases
tance and burden on natural resources) by 2050,
Annual crop loss to pests alone account for
which has been elaborated further in this section.
20–40% of the global crop losses. In terms of
economic value, tackling crop diseases and epi-
Explosive Population Growth demics and invasive insect problem costs the
agriculture industry approximately $290 mn
The Food and Agricultural Organisation annually.8 Currently, major epidemics continue
projects the global population to grow to to plague commercial agriculture. It has been
approximately 9.7 billion by 2050 – a near projected that crop disease and pest incidences
198 Raman
are expanding in a poleward direction (2.7 km 70% of all withdrawals, seriously depleting nat-
annually),10 indicated by coffee leaf rust and ural water resources in many countries. This
wheat rust outbreaks in Central America. These has particularly been observed in low rainfall
incidences have largely been attributed to an regions, such as Middle East, North Africa and
amalgamation of globalisation leading to Central Asia where water for agriculture
increased plant, pest and disease movement, accounts for 80–90%8 of the total water with-
increase in disease vectors, climate change and drawal. These trends are predicted to continue
global warming.8 well into the 21st century and therefore
While integrated pest management and pre- increase the burden of natural resource con-
vention techniques somewhat mitigate the pest sumption globally.
problem, they are insufficient to tackle the
transboundary crop-demics. The epidemiology
of the Panama disease (or Panama wilt), caused SOLUTIONS PROVIDED BY GM
by the soil fungus Fusarium oxysporum f.sp. CROPS
cubense (Foc)11 provides solid evidence in this
regard. Since the early-mid 1990s the Tropical GM crops have been largely successful in
Race-4 (TR4) strain, a single pathogen Foc fun- mitigating the above major agriculture chal-
gus clone, has significantly crippled the global lenges while providing numerous benefits to
banana industry. In 2013, the Mindanao Banana growers worldwide. From 1996–2013, they
Farmers and Exporters association (in Philip- generated $117.6 bn over 17 years in global
pines) reported infection in 5900 hectares of farm income benefit alone. The global yearly
bananas, including 3000 hectares that were net income increased by 34.3% in 2010–
abandoned. In Mozambique, symptomatic 2012.13,14 Furthermore, while increasing global
plants currently account for >20% of total yield by 22%, GM crops reduced pesticide
banana plantations (570,000 out 2.5m) since (active ingredient) usage by 37% and environ-
the reporting of TR4 in 2015. Additionally, mental impact (insecticide and herbicide use)
TR4 losses have cost Taiwanese, Malaysian, by 18%.15 To achieve the same yield standards
and Indonesian economies a combined estimate more than 300 million acres of conventional
of US$ 388.4 mn.12 Therefore, an alarming crops would have been needed, which
increase in transboundary crop and pest dis- would have further compounded current envi-
eases have broad environmental, social and ronmental and socioeconomic problems in
economic impacts on farmers and threaten food agriculture.2
security. To further emphasise the impact of GM
crops on economies: two case studies – GM
Canola (Australia) and GM cotton (India) –
Burden on Natural Resources have been highlighted in this review.
genes for controlling the pink bollworm (P. enhanced Bt-cotton adoption among Indian cot-
gossypiella) pest.16 Initially, only 36% of the ton growers (Fig 3).
farmers adopted the new crop however this sta- Despite controversies, Bt-cotton’s implemen-
tistic soon grew to 46% in 200417 after Bt-cot- tation has largely benefited Indian farmers and
ton was approved nationwide. This was agricultural economy. Bt-cotton has increased
followed by approval and launch of Bollgard-II profits and yield by Rs. 1877 per acre (US$38)
(a two-toxin Cry1Ac and Cry2Ab-producing and 126 kg/acre of farmland respectively, 50%
Bt-pyramid conferring resistance to bollworm) and 24% more than profit and yield by conven-
by Monsanto-Mahyco, which subsequently tional cotton. This translates to a net increase of
FIGURE 3. Adoption of GM canola (top) and GM cotton (bottom) in Australia and India respectively.
The primary vertical axis shows the total acreage of cotton and canola along with the proportion of
GM and non-GM crops grown per year, while the secondary horizontal axis depicts the percentage
of GM crop adoption among farmers and growers per year. (Sources: 22,18).
200 Raman
FIGURE 4. The figure depicts the current acceptance of GM crops in different countries. Green:
National bans. Yellow: Restrictive laws, Red: No formal laws (Source: 52).
Monarch populations due to the following and Sears et al.,25 argued that Bt-maize produc-
reasons: tion, should it rise to »80% would only affect
0.05%-6% monarch population.25
Monarch larvae’s main nutrition is derived Nevertheless, Losey et al.’s results garnered
from milkweed, which commonly occurs acclaim in the press for raising both the pub-
in and around the corn field edges. lic’s and biotech companies’ consciousness
Maize pollen shedding coincides with about possible off-target Bt-maize on monarch
monarch larval feeding cycles during sea- butterflies. However further attempts to extrap-
sonal summer. olate their results to other Bt and GM crops
»50% of the Monarch population is con- have been unsuccessful, with current evidence
centrated within the US maize belt during suggesting effectiveness in insect control with-
summer, a region known for intense maize out off-target effects.25
production.23
Significant chronic kidney deficiencies most notable example of this is Starlink maize,
representing 76% of altered parameters. a Cry9c-expressing cultivar conferring glupho-
3–5x higher incidence of necrosis and sinate resistance. In the mid-1990s, the
liver congestions in treated males. USDA’s Scientific Advisory Panel (SAP) clas-
2–3-fold increase in female treatment sified Cry9c Starlink as “potentially allergenic”
group mortality. due to its potential to interact with the human
High tumour incidences in both treated immune system. In 1998, the US Environment
sexes, starting 600 days earlier than con- Protection Agency (EPA) granted approval for
trol (only one tumour noted in control). Starlink’s use in commercial animal feed and
industry (eg: biofuels) but banned it for human
The 2012 study attributed observations to consumption. Following this, relatively small
EPSPS overexpression in NK-603 RR Maize, Starlink quantities (»0.5% of the US corn acre-
found the Monsanto study conclusions age) were planted between 1998–2000.29,30 In
“unjustifiable” and recommended thorough 2000, Starlink residues were detected in food
long-term toxicity feeding studies on edible supplies not only in USA but also EU, Japan
GM crops.27 The paper divided opinion, with and South Korea where it completely banned.
Seralini being framed as both as a hero of the Furthermore, the EPA received several adverse
anti-GM movement and as an unethical allergic event reports related to corn, prompting
researcher. His paper drew heavy criticism for a worldwide Starlink recall. About 300 differ-
its flawed experimental design, animal type ent maize products were recalled in US alone
used for study, statistical analysis and data pre- by Kellogg’s and Mission Foods. Starlink inad-
sentation deficiencies and overall misrepresen- vertently affected »50% of US maize supply
tations of science and was retracted (Arjo and depressed US corn prices by 8% for
et al., 2012,.28 In 2014, Seralini republished his CY2001.31
nearly-identical study in expanded form which Another problem faced by GM crops cur-
since continues to fuel the GM crop debate. rently is pest resistance due to gene overexpres-
sion leading to pest evolution via natural
selection. Indeed, an analysis of 77 studies’
GM Crops: An Imperfect Technology results by Tabashnik et al. depicted reduced
Bt-crop efficacy caused by field evolved pest
Despite the above controversies being resistance for 5 out of 13 (38.4%) major pest
proven unfounded, GM crops are an “imperfect species examined in 2013, compared to just
technology” with potential major health risks one in 2005,32 Table 1). Furthermore, such
of toxicity, allergenicity and genetic hazards resistance can be evolved over several genera-
associated to them. These could be caused by tions in a relatively short time as most insects
inserted gene products and their potential pleio- have shorter life spans. In maize, S.frugiperda
tropic effects, the GMO’s natural gene disrup- and B.fusca resistance was reported after just 3
tion or a combination of both factors.4,2 The and 8 years respectively, consistent with the
TABLE 1. Crops reported with >50% pest resistance and reduced efficacy.
Time to
Pest Affected crop Country Gene2 resistance (years)1
1- Time to first reported resistance of pest to GM plant. 2-Toxin secreted by affected GM plant.
GM CROPS: BENEFITS, CHALLENGES AND COMMERCIAL TRENDS 203
worst case scenarios. In the former, it led to fuels in Asia-Pacific (APAC) and Africa, lead-
crop withdrawal in Puerto Rico and was ing to increase plantings of energy crops
reported to still affect maize growers in 2011, (wheat, sugarcane, corn and soybean) for pro-
4 years after crop withdrawal. In India, P. gos- duction. Nevertheless, despite growth spikes in
sypiella resistance currently affects »90% APAC and Africa, North America currently
Bollgard-II Bt-hybrid cotton growers and dominates the GM seed industry with a market
»35% (4 million ha) of cultivable cotton area share of »30%, and is forecast to do so in 2020
in key regions.32,33 (MarketWatch, 2017).
To mitigate the problems regarding GM The GM seed market has currently been con-
technologies, a series of strict regulatory meas- solidated by the “big five” companies: Mon-
ures have been proposed to prevent cross-con- santo, Bayer CropScience, Dupont, Syngenta
tamination of split-approved GM crops banned and Groupe Limagrain (Table 2). As of 2016,
for human consumption. These include imple- they account for 70% of the market (up from
mentation and enforcement buffer zones to pre- »60% in 2009).37,38 The “big five” players are
vent cross contamination of crops, better currently acquiring and forming joint ventures
laboratory testing to confirm adverse allergic with smaller firms and competitors on a trans-
event cases and an overall inclusion of stake- national scale, serving as strong entry barriers
holders and representatives in policymaking in this industry.36 Since 2016, major ongoing
and communication.30 Additionally, Bt pest Mergers and Acquisitions (M&As): Syngenta’s
resistance could be controlled by implementa- takeover by ChemChina (completed June
tion of high-dose Bt toxin standards in trans- 2017- US$43 bn),39 Bayer-Monsanto merger
genic crops and evaluation of insect responses, (ongoing- $66bn)40 and Dow-Dupont merger
integration of Host plant resistance (HPR) traits (»US$140 bn- antitrust approval)41 have been
in cultivars to control secondary pests,34 prepa- happening in the industry. Only time will deter-
ration of abundant non-Bt plants refuges near mine how these M&As impact the industry,
Bt crops and proactive implementation of two- growers and consumers.
toxin Bt-pyramids producing 2 distinct toxins The latest reports indicate that the agricul-
against as single pest species.32 These sug- ture industry invests around $69 billion glob-
gested measures in pest management and regu- ally on its Research and Development
lation if implemented could help the (R&D).42 This investment has fuelled research
agriculture industry overcome the imperfect many emerging avenues for GM crop technol-
problems of GM crops while significantly ogy. However, innovation has strictly been
regaining public trust of this technology. influenced by the “big five” due to broad patent
claims, and high research, legal and develop-
ment costs for patent eligible products. For
GM AGRICULTURE: TRENDS instance, the top 3 seed companies controlled
AND FUTURE AVENUES 85% transgenic and 70% non-transgenic corn
patents in USA in 2009.36
The GM seed market has changed drastically In the GM seed market, R&D is currently
since 1996 from a competitive sector owned by occurring in the conventional areas of insect
family owners to one of the fastest growing resistance, increased crop yield and herbicide
global industries dominated by a small number tolerance. Increasing R&D has also been
of corporations. Analysts predict a Com- invested on precision site-directed nuclease
pounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) techniques (CRISPR, ZFNs and TALENs) for
between 9.83–10% between 2017–2022 for this desired gene integration in host plants.14,43
industry where it is projected to reach Current studies show negligible/zero off target
US$113.28 bn, an approximately four-fold mutations (Schnell et al., 2015,.44 This is
increase from US$26.7 bn in 2007,35,36 Market- starkly contrasting to conventional breeding
Watch, 2016). This has been attributed to a ris- techniques which are often associated with
ing biofuel adoption in lieu of conventional undesired alteration risks via linkage drag and
204
Financials
Share price
FY2016 (2016–2017) Market
FY2016 Net income Capitalisation
Revenue (Billions 52wk low 52wk high (Billions) and
Company Headquarters Industry Status Product types (Billions US$) US$) share (%)6 Website
Monsanto Missouri, USA Agribusiness Merger with Bayer Herbicides, pesticides, 13.5 1.32 USD USD USD 51.41 https://mon
AG2 Crop seeds, GMOs 97.35 118.97 26% santo.com/
Dupont Delaware, Agriculture/ Merger with Dow: Hybrid and Varietal 7.743 1.113 USD USD USD 73.23 http://www.
(Pioneer) USA Subsidiary of antitrust Seeds 66.02 85.48 18.2% dupont.
Dupont approval (US$ com
140 bn)2
Syngenta Basel, Agribusiness, ChemChina Pesticides, Seeds, 12.791 1.1811 USD USD USD 42.56 http://www.syn
Raman
1 – Converted from EUR at current NASDAQ rates (July 2017), 2 – Ongoing Merger/Acquisition, 3- Completed Merger/Acquisition, 4- Public non-quoted company, 5- Sourced from Hoovers D&B, 2017,
6 – In this case, market share represents global market share and market capitalisation is local.
GM CROPS: BENEFITS, CHALLENGES AND COMMERCIAL TRENDS 205
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