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International Political Science Review / Revue internationale de science politique
I P SR RISP
JAMES PUTZEL
Introduction
Few issues have given rise to more debate than the impact of patterns of
globalization and liberalization on the prospects for development in the South.
While some regions of the developing world, mainly concentrated in Asia, have
experienced rapid growth and significant poverty reduction, most of Africa and
much of Latin America have experienced economic stagnation, or decline, and
witnessed a rise, if not in poverty then in inequality. Much worse has been an
increasing incidence of violent conflict, state collapse, and war. What relation
exists between the patterns of globalization and liberalization over the past two
decades and patterns of crisis, breakdown, and state collapse in the developing
world? From varying vantage points all the contributions to this collection address
this question.
This collection emerges out of a much larger project studying "crisis states."'
The project is devoted to an examination of why, in the context of rapid global
change and significant social, economic, and political crises, some communities
and polities have broken down, even to the point of violent conflict, while others
have not. The project encompasses work across the developing world with
partners and researchers based in the UK, India, South Africa, Colombia, Egypt,
and Afghanistan and research undertaken much more widely within those
regions.
In what follows, I situate the contributions to this collection, first, in a review of
the debates about globalization and liberalization within a historical perspective.
The next section looks at the relationship between liberalization and processes of
state collapse. Lastly, I consider the wider prospects for political change in the
context of patterns of globalization and liberalization.
organizations (the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, and the World
Trade Organization) who are promoting policies of economic liberalization - what
Stiglitz (2002: 53) argues are the three pillars of the "Washington Consensus," that
is, "fiscal austerity, privatization and market liberalization."2 Second, there are
those, following the ideas of Anthony Giddens (1998: 28-33), who celebrate the
creative possibilities of globalization and the "rise of the 'new individualism."' He
argues that the "transformation of space and time" has fundamentally weakened
the nation-state, "regenerating local identities," and forcing national governments
to work in coalitions with each other, with regions, with nongovernmental
organizations (NGOs), and transnational corporations to provide a form of
"governance" over society and economy, which is no longer the prerogative of
governments.
Both groups share a deep skepticism of the "state." The advocates of
liberalization condemn the state's meddling in what is best left to market actors,
and the advocates of "global governance" point to the state's tendency to make
war and trample the rights of individuals. Needless to say, both share a
commitment to individualism: the liberalizers privileging individual choice and
the social democrats committed to "the new individualism" privileging universal
human rights. In an interesting way, both groups appeared to be coming together
around what was beginning to be considered a "post-Washington Consensus,"
until the Bush administration rejected attempts at reaching consensus around the
management of international political and economic affairs. By 1997, the critics
of the Washington Consensus had forced a major policy shift among managers of
the international financial organizations.4 However, this entailed less a
reconsideration of the role of the state, than a marrying of the objectives of fiscal
austerity, privatization, and market liberalization with the goals of "participation."5
The NGOs and advocates of global civil society could become partners to private
entrepreneurs and corporations in the development process (Putzel, 2004a).
The argument that globalization cum liberalization, both in its earlier episodes
in the 19th century and through the past two decades of the 20th century,
represented an unqualified boon for poverty reduction and economic progress
was masterfully demolished by Branko Milanovic (2003). Comparing the two
periods of rapid liberalization (1870-1913 and 1978-98), Milanovic demonstrates
the consistent Janus-faced character of globalization - a benign and positive face
for some, but a deeply malignant one for many. In the 19th-century episode, there
was an expansion of trade between western Europe and its settler offshoots, wage
convergence between North America and Europe through the exodus of labor
from the former to the latter, a rapid expansion of telegraph communications and
railroads, and a flow of capital from Europe to capital-poor regions such as
Argentina and Russia. However, he reminds us that globalization was spread at the
point of a gun, with indentured labor flowing to plantations in Southeast Asia and
Latin America, rapacious corporate activity such as the Dutch East Indies
Company's pillage of Indonesia, and a genocide in Congo of up to 10 million
people - "globalization was colonialism." While there may have been wage
convergence in a small part of the world, the 19th century as a whole saw the
wholesale deindustrialization of India and an absolute impoverishment of
important parts of today's developing world.
Even more strikingly, comparing 1960-78, the period of import substitution,
protectionism, the promotion of infant industries, and foreign exchange controls,
with 1978-98, the age of structural adjustment and liberalization, Milanovic shows
that growth was between two and three times greater in the first period. What is
more, during the era of structural adjustment, the poorest regions of the world
grew more slowly than the richer regions. Inequality between the rich regions and
the poor was stable in the first period and vastly increased in the 1980s and 1990s.
The story of benign globalization simply cannot account for the fact that overall
per capita GDP has not budged in Africa throughout the period and in 24
countries on the continent it was lower in 1998 than in 1975 and in half of these it
was below the level of 1960. The malignant effects were also not limited to Africa,
as DiJohn (in this collection) demonstrates in Venezuela, where liberalization has
been associated with deepening stagnation and increased income inequality.
Wade (in this collection) follows Milanovic to examine the global context in
which states "fail," making still sharper holes in the case for benign globalization
cum liberalization. He takes forward the debate on widening world income
inequality and looks at the impact of transnational corporations, the barriers to
technology diffusion, the bias in North-South terms of trade, and the manner in
which the wealthy countries dominate international decision-making processes
that "govern" the world economy. Webster (in this collection) documents how
industrial liberalization is transforming South Africa's "world of work." He shows
how, in the automobile sector, the tearing down of old barriers has stimulated
sharp technological advance and greatly improved working conditions, for those
who still have employment. This is in sharp contrast to the negative conditions in
the household appliance industry, especially beyond South Africa's borders.
Looking out across the continent and indeed across many regions of the
developing world, manufacturing sectors seem more akin to South Africa's
household appliance sector than to its automobile industry.
Taking the long view, there are simply no historical examples of development
occurring under the conditions of openness and liberalization promoted in the
South by the international development community. Whether one looks at today's
rich countries, or those developing countries that have achieved success over the
past half-century (South Korea, Taiwan, China, and more recently India),
accelerated growth has required state involvement, control over the allocation of
foreign exchange, and subsidies and protection for infant industries (Chang,
2002). The great achievers in relation to growth and poverty reduction during the
recent decades of liberalization have been China and India, but their success was
based in no small measure on the illiberal characteristics of their economies
(Milanovic, 2003). Even Martin Wolf (2004: 199-204, 288-95) grudgingly accepts
that the arguments of Stiglitz (2002), Rodrik (1999), and especially Chang (2002),
which point to the limitations of trade liberalization as an engine of growth, the
problems of financial liberalization, the barriers on labor migration, and the need
to foster infant industries, must be taken seriously.6
The advocates of social-democratic global governance point to the oppor-
tunities that globalization, accompanied by the collapse of the Soviet bloc, has
created to advance the cause of human rights, to challenge dictatorial rule, and to
spread the principles of democracy throughout the developing world (Held, 2004;
Kaldor et al., 2003). Mason (in this collection) argues that new "alternative spatial
configurations" generated by globalization have begun to eclipse state sovereignty
and allowed the emergence of alternative sources of authority that can improve
weak states such as that found in Colombia. The 1990s witnessed a shift in the
international community, marked by UN Secretary General Boutros Boutros-
Ghali's "Agenda for Peace" (1992), toward a willingness to intervene in (some)
education systems, very low skill levels, weakly integrated territories, and skeletal
administrative systems. Clapham (2002) argued that incentive structures faced by
the elites who came to power did little to promote the capacity for internal
security and allowed the evolution of patrimonial forms of government. When
faced with dwindling resources to control their territories through patronage,
many state leaders turned to outright repression.
After the oil price rises in the 1970s and burdened by debt, much of the African
continent was facing crisis. In 1979, the World Bank published a report on the
condition of Africa (Berg Report, 1979) that attacked the failure of overly
centralized forms of economic management and laid out an agenda for structural
adjustment and liberalization. Over the next two decades, with a rapid decline in
aid and financial credit, especially after the end of the Cold War, states were
confronted with demands to privatize assets, to open import markets, and, by the
1990s, to create conditions for good governance. It is hardly surprising that in a
few decades the states of Africa were unable to create either the economic basis
for growth or the conditions for democratic governance, which had taken
centuries to establish in Europe. Structural adjustment sought to attack neo-
patrimonialism and the misconceived state-centric model of development, "but at
the cost of undermining those mechanisms by which governments of fragile states
had sought to keep themselves in power, and in the process to maintain at least
some semblance of state authority" (Clapham, 2002: 785).
Right across the developing world, the removal of trade barriers combined with
the relaxation of state control over foreign exchange provided subnational and
non-state actors access to international markets, enabling both the sale of
resources (including narcotics and diamonds) and the purchase of commodities
(including weapons), as well as avenues to spirit profits away to banks in European
and North American cities hungry for deposits (Naylor, 1994, 1996). This created
a perverse and vicious cycle: falling state revenues, leading to increasing
ineffectiveness of authority, allowing expanded smuggling, leading to further
declines in revenue. This pattern of incentives could only increase violence (Keen,
in this collection). With markets overwhelmingly stronger than states, the inter-
national organizations' advice to state leaders about strengthening the regulatory
functions of the state seem, in retrospect, either disingenuous or entirely naive.
In his examination of Sierra Leone, Keen (in this collection) looks at how the
international financial organizations contributed both to processes of war and
problems in securing peace. During the war the government underpaid its
soldiers, providing incentives for their active involvement in smuggling, looting,
extortion, and illegal mining - but it received praise from the international
organizations for presiding over sound macroeconomic management. That praise
led to a sharp decline in the legitimacy of international actors and boosted the
credibility of the opposition Revolutionary United Front. Most worrying, despite
the negative impact of their actions on the course of the war over a whole decade,
Keen discusses how a similar package of advice and set of incentives may be
hindering the consolidation of the peace.
Even if adjustment is not seen as the cause of state collapse, its measures
undoubtedly reinforced state weakness. In almost a decade of work, Stewart (1998;
Stewart et al., 2001) demonstrated that violent conflicts are most likely to emerge
where societies are marked by "horizontal inequality," or the unequal distribution
of income and political power between groups - defined by region, ethnicity, class,
and religion (rather than as a result of vertical inequalities, which is the way
suggests that the lack of internal sectoral economic integration has made class
alliances much more difficult, thus handicapping democratic regimes.
Consistent with arguments of the advocates of social-democratic globalization,
Mason suggests that expanding sites of political organization are reinforced by
transnational networks (Webster's new "transborder solidarities"). Webster reports
the rise of influence of religious organizations, a development consistent with
Mason's alternative sources of authority. In a state that enjoys considerable
legitimacy, this can be a boon for democracy, but where state legitimacy is weak,
the increased role in politics played by religious organizations, which are by
definition exclusionary and usually legitimized and resourced from abroad, can
have a corrosive effect.
Di John shows how the requirement of building state capacity plays second
fiddle to that of leveling down the role of the state in the economy. Liberalizers
have bemoaned the inefficient role of bloated bureaucracies in many parts of the
developing world, but Di John shows how state size can play a role in maintaining
social cohesion. Indeed, Keen demonstrates that the hiving off and underpaying
of state employees, and especially members of the security forces, contributed to
the rise of violence in Sierra Leone.
Downsizing public budgets and outsourcing activities has changed the balance
of power between executive authorities and legislatures and the relation between
executive authorities and social constituencies. Representative political systems
have always involved some aspect of "delivery of the goods" to constituents. Liberal
reforms have both reduced the size of such resources and weakened the influence
of representatives in their allocation. In places where decentralization has been
implemented effectively, local political authorities may well have increased their
power, but this change in allocative procedures has weakened the role of
representative assemblies and therefore also the political parties organized within
them. Fewer resources are available to build political support and networks within
constituencies. While the absolute amount of resources has in most cases
decreased, executive authorities have greater arbitrary authority over what
remains and tend to build patronage systems beyond political parties.
Gutierrez shows how rule by referendum has increased, as has the practice of
impeachment of executive authorities in the Andean region (a similar trend can
be observed in the Philippines and Indonesia). In the Philippines, where
legislatures have been too weak to oust presidents, a renewed role for the military
has emerged.9 Keen shows how, under President Stevens in Sierra Leone, the
expansion of personalized rule was facilitated by processes of privatization.
Downsizing and outsourcing has left the security sector, and particularly the
armed forces,'0 the most organized and cohesive component of the state. While
international promotion of democratic, as opposed to authoritarian, norms of
government may have made outright military putsches at least temporarily less
likely as Gutierrez shows,"1 military organizations appear to be playing important
and decisive roles in an age of new populism and weak politics (see DiJohn in this
collection).
Paradoxically, while liberalization formulas were promoted all over the
developing world as a primary means to fight corruption, the evidence presented
in several of the articles in this collection demonstrates how privatization and
deregulation have had precisely the opposite effect (Di John, Brett, and Keen)."2
In both Venezuela and Zimbabwe, there was a vast underestimation of the capacity
required within the state to manage liberalization, especially the regulatory
Notes
References
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Boutros-Ghali, Boutros (1992). "An Agenda for Peace." Note by the President to the
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Biographical Note
JAMES PUTZEL is Reader in Development Studies and Director of the Crisis States
Research Centre, London School of Economics. His current research focuses on
politics and governance in crisis states, including work on understanding "Failed
States," political Islam in Southeast Asia, and the politics of the HIV/AIDS crisis,
on which he has undertaken research in Uganda, Senegal, and Malawi. In
addition to publications on the Crisis States website (http://www.crisisstates.com),
recent publications include: "The Philippine-US Alliance in Post September 11
Southeast Asia" in Mary Buckley and Rick Fawn's Global Responses to Terrorism: 9/11,
Afghanistan and Beyond (Routledge, 2003) and "The Politics of Action on AIDS: A
Case Study of Uganda" in Public Administration and Development in February 2004.
ADDRESS: Development Studies Institute, London School of Economics, Houghton
Street, London WC2A 2AE, UK [email: j.putzel~lse.ac.uk].