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    Forecasting - Solutions - 24 - 02 - 2022

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    banmali
    The document contains sales data over 12 days with the daily number sold and various weighted moving averages calculated over 2, 3, and 4 periods. It also includes the calculations and errors for forecasting using different weighted moving averages.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Forecasting - Solutions - 24 - 02 - 2022

    Uploaded by

    banmali
    9 views3 pages
    The document contains sales data over 12 days with the daily number sold and various weighted moving averages calculated over 2, 3, and 4 periods. It also includes the calculations and errors for forecasting using different weighted moving averages.

    Original Title

    FORECASTING _SOLUTIONS_24_02_2022

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    © © All Rights Reserved

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    The document contains sales data over 12 days with the daily number sold and various weighted moving averages calculated over 2, 3, and 4 periods. It also includes the calculations and errors for forecasting using different weighted moving averages.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    9 views3 pages

    Forecasting - Solutions - 24 - 02 - 2022

    Uploaded by

    banmali
    The document contains sales data over 12 days with the daily number sold and various weighted moving averages calculated over 2, 3, and 4 periods. It also includes the calculations and errors for forecasting using different weighted moving averages.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    You are on page 1of 3

    3 period weighted

    Day Number Sold a. Two-period b. Four-period moving average


    1 25
    2 31
    3 29 28
    4 33 30 28.8
    5 34 31 29.5 31.4
    6 37 33.5 31.75 32.7
    7 35 35.5 33.25 35.3
    8 32 36 34.75 35.4
    9 38 33.5 34.5 33.9
    10 40 35 35.5 35.6
    11 37 39 36.25 37.8
    12 32 38.5 36.75 38.1
    13 34.5 36.75 35.1

    w1 0.2 28.8
    w2 0.3
    w3 0.5

    w1 0.1
    w2 0.2
    w3 0.3 Ft = Ft-1 + α(At-1 - Ft-1)
    w4 0.4
    4 period weighted Error Error
    moving average alpha 0.85967 Error(ALPHA) (TWO PERIOD) (fOUR PERIOD)

    25 36
    30.15802 1.3410109753 1
    29.1625 14.726368399 9
    30.6 32.46148 2.3670299501 9 20.25
    32.4 33.7841 10.342011574 12.25 27.5625
    34.5 36.54871 2.3985117443 0.25 3.0625
    35.2 35.21733 10.351217558 16 7.5625
    34.1 32.45149 30.785986731 20.25 12.25
    35.5 37.22138 7.7207426869 25 20.25
    37.3 39.61008 6.8124969522 4 0.5625
    37.6 37.36627 28.796873548 42.25 22.5625
    35.7 32.75305
    MSE 13.785659102 13.9 14.2578125
    RMSE 3.7129044025 3.728270376461 3.775951866748

    1 + α(At-1 - Ft-1) Ft = α At-1 + (1- α) Ft-1


    Error(3-PERIOD WEIGHTED) REGRESSION ERROR
    29.2564102564 18.117028271 28.46969697 a 29.256410256
    30.0431235431 0.9156125537 0.7867132867 b 30.043123543
    30.8298368298 3.3483028238 30.82983683
    17.64 31.6165501166 1.91393358 31.616550117
    6.76000000000001 32.4032634033 2.5495677594 32.403263403
    18.49 33.18997669 14.516277623 33.18997669
    0.0899999999999983 33.9766899767 1.0471634038 33.976689977
    11.56 34.7634032634 7.6363975962 34.763403263
    16.81 35.5501165501 6.001928918 35.55011655
    19.36 36.3368298368 13.418815644 36.336829837
    0.639999999999995 37.1235431235 0.0152629034 37.123543124
    37.21 37.9102564103 34.931130835 37.91025641

    14.2844444444444 8.700951826
    3.7794767421489 2.9497375859

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