Press 20220304 Monetary Policy Review No 2 2022 T

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nghUshjhu Muha;rr

; pj; jpizf;fsk;
2022.03.04

ehzaf;nfhs;if kPsha;T: ,y. 02 - 2022 khr;R

,yq;if kj;jpa tq;fp ehzaf; nfhs;if epiyapid NkYk; ,Wf;fkilar; nra;fpd;wJ

cyfshtpa nghUshjhu tsh;r;rp kpjkilfpd;w mNjNtis gztPf;fk; cah;thff;


fhzg;gLfpd;wJ

cyfg; nghUshjhuj; Njhw;wg;ghL gw;wpa gd;dhl;L ehza epjpaj;jpd; 2022 rdthp


,w;iwg;gLj;jypd; gpufhuk; cyfshtpa nghUshjhu tsh;rr
; pahdJ 2021,d; 5.9
rjtPjj;jpypUe;J 2022,y; 4.4 rjtPjj;jpw;F kpjkilAnkd vjph;ghh;f;fg;gLfpwJ. nfhtpl;-19
xkpf;Nuhd; jphpgpd; guty;> toq;fy; rq;fypf;fhd ,ila+Wfs; kw;Wk; fpof;F INuhg;ghtpy;
epyTfpd;w Gtprhh;murpay; gjw;wq;fspd; fhuzkhf cyfshtpa nghUshjhu eltbf;ifapd;
kPl;rp gytPdkilAnkd vjph;ghh;f;fg;gLfpwJ. mjpfhpj;JtUfpd;w rf;jp tpiyfs; kw;Wk;
toq;fy; rq;fpypf;fhd njhlh;r;rpahd ,ila+Wfs; fhuzkhf cyfshtpa gztPf;fk;
njhlh;e;J cah;thf fhzg;gl;L> tYthd ehzaf; nfhs;if gjpypWj;jy;fSf;F
cyfstpYs;s kj;jpa tq;fpfisj; J}z;Lnkd vjph;ghh;f;fg;gLfpwJ.

cyf kw;Wk; cs;ehl;L mgptpUj;jpfs; ,yq;ifg; nghUshjhuk; kPl;rpf;;F rthy;fisj;


Njhw;Wtpj;Js;sd

murhq;fj;jpd; ntw;wpfukhd nfhtpl;-19 jLg;g+rp epfo;r;rpj;jpl;lk; kw;Wk; jsh;j;jg;gl;l


elkhl;lf; fl;Lg;ghLfs; vd;gd %yk; Kd;Ndw;wkspf;fg;gl;L cs;ehl;Lg; nghUshjhuk;
tsh;r;rpg; ghijapy; nry;Ynkd vjph;ghh;f;fg;gLfpd;wJ. ,Ug;gpDk;> toq;fy; rq;fpyp
,ila+Wfs; kw;Wk; cah;tilfpd;w gz;l tpiyfs; Mfpa epajpfspy; cyfshtpa
Nehf;fpYk; mNjNghd;W Fwpg;ghf> rf;jp kw;Wk; toq;fy; ,ilj;jlq;fy;fs; Mfpa
epajpfspy; cs;ehl;L Nehf;fpYk; fhzg;gLfpd;w mz;ika ghjfkhd mgptpUj;jpfs; %yk;
nghUshjhu eltbf;iffs; XusT ghjpg;gpw;Fs;shfpAs;sJ. ,ilj;jlq;fyw;w njhlh;rr ; pahd
cs;ehl;L cw;gj;jp kw;Wk; Vw;Wkjpfspy; cj;Ntfk; vd;gtw;iw cWjpnra;fpd;w mNjNtis
ed;F ,yf;fplg;gl;l tsh;rr ; pf; nfhs;iffs; Clhf cw;gj;jpg; nghUshjhuj;jpid
tYg;gLj;Jtjw;fhd Kaw;rpfis njhlh;e;J Kd;ndLg;gjw;Fk; ,t;tpila+Wfs;
cldbahfj; jPh;f;fg;glNtz;Lk;.

ntspehl;Lj; Jiw fLikahd rthy;fis vjph;nfhs;fpd;wJ

tzpfg; nghUs; Vw;WkjpfspypUe;J fpilf;fpd;w tUtha;fs;> njhlh;r;rpahf vl;lhtJ


khjkhf 2022 rdthpapy; I.m.nlhyh; 1 gpy;ypaDf;Fk; Nky; gjpTnra;jpUe;j NghjpYk;>
,wf;Fkjpfs; kPjhd nrytpdk; njhlh;e;Jk; cah;thd Ntfj;jpy; mjpfhpf;fpd;wJ.
,t;thz;bd; ,J tiuapYkhd fhyg;gFjpapy;; Rw;Wyhg; gazpfspd; tUiffs;

1
Fwpg;gplj;jf;fsT mjpfhpj;Js;s NghjpYk;> mz;ika Gtprhh;murpay; gjw;wq;fs; Rw;Wyhj;
Jiwapid Fwpg;gpl;lstpy; ghjpf;ff;$Lk;. mNjNtis> njhopyhsh; Gyk;ngah;Tfs;
Fwpg;gplj;jf;fsT mjpfhpj;Js;sikapdhYk; rl;lj;jpw;Fg; Gwk;ghd gzg; ghpkhw;wy;fis
Kwpabf;fpd;w mNjNtis gy;NtW Cf;Ftpg;Gf;fs; thapyhf Kiwrhh;e;j topf@lhf
gztDg;gy;fis Cf;Ftpg;gjd; fhuzkhfTk; vjph;tuTs;s fhyg;gFjpapy; njhopyhsh;
gztDg;gy;fs; kPl;rpailAnkd vjph;ghh;f;fg;gLfpd;wJ. ,yq;if &gh> gue;jstpy;
cWjpahfg; Ngzg;gl;l mNjNtis> 2022 rdthp ,Wjpastpy; nkhj;j mYty;rhh;
xJf;Ffs; I.m.nlhyh; 2.4 gpy;ypadhf kjpg;gplg;gl;L 1.3 khjq;fisf; nfhz;l
,wf;FkjpfSf;F NghJkhdjhff; fhzg;gl;lJ. mNjNtis> Gjpa ntspehl;Lr; nryhtzp
cl;gha;r;ry;fis <h;ff
; pd;w mNjNtis> njhlh;r;rpahd cs;ehl;Lg; nghUshjhu
eltbf;ifapid trjpg;gLj;Jtjw;fhd topKiwfis murhq;fKk; kj;jpa tq;fpAk;
Mh;tj;Jld; Kd;ndLj;J tUfpd;wd.

re;ij tl;b tPjq;fs; Nky;Nehf;fpr; nry;fpd;wd

cs;ehl;Lf; nfhLfld; tphpthf;fk; Fwpg;ghf nghJj; Jiwf;fhd nfhLfld; tYthff;


fhzg;gl;lJ. ,Ug;gpDk;. tq;fpj;njhopy; Kiwikapd; Njwpa ntspehl;Lr; nrhj;Jf;fspd;
tPo;rr
; papd; fhuzkhf tphpe;j gzj;jpd; (M2b) tsh;rr
; papy; nkJtile;j Nghf;F
mtjhdpf;fg;gl;lJ. ehza ,Wf;fkiljy; topKiwfisj; njhlh;e;J> re;ij tl;b
tPjq;fs; Nky;Nehf;fpr; rPuhf;fg;gLfpd;wd. vt;thwhapDk;> itg;G tl;b tPjq;fspd;
rPuhf;fq;fs; ke;jkhff; fhzg;gLfpwJ. ,J> kpjkpQ;rpa ehza Rw;Nwhl;lj;jpypUe;J
tq;fpj;njhopy; Kiwikf;Fs; itg;Gf;fis <h;j;Jf;nfhs;tjw;F NghjhikahfNt
,Ue;JtUfpd;wJ. vdNt> Nrkpg;Gf;fis Cf;Ftpg;gjw;fhf itg;G tl;b tPjq;fSf;Fj;
Njitahd rPuhf;fq;fis Nkw;nfhs;SkhW tq;fpfSk; epjpapay; epWtdq;fSk;
typAWj;jg;gLfpd;wd. mNjNtis> murhq;fj;jpd; cah;e;j epjpapay; Njitg;ghl;bd;
Nehf;fpy; re;ij epiyikfis gpujpgypf;fpd;w tpjj;jpy; murhq;fg; gpizaq;fs; kPjhd
tpisTfSk; Fwpg;gplj;jf;fstpy; mjpfhpj;Js;sd.

tpiy mOj;jq;fSf;F toq;fy; gf;f fhuzpfs; gq;fspj;jpUe;j mNjNtisapy;> $l;Lf;


Nfs;tp mOj;jq;fspd; mjpfhpg;Gk; Gyg;gLfpd;wJ

toq;fy; gf;f ,ila+Wfs;> cyfshtpa gz;l tpiyfspd; mjpfhpg;G kw;Wk;


mjNdhbize;j cs;ehl;L epUthf tpiyr; rPuhf;fq;fs; kw;Wk; czT toq;fYf;fhd
,ila+Wfs; vd;gd cs;ehl;LhPjpahd gztPf;f mOj;jq;fspd; mjpfhpg;gpw;fhd Kf;fpa
J}z;ly; fhuzpfshf fhzg;gLfpd;wd. Neha;g;gutypd; njhlf;fj;jpypUe;J nraw;ghl;bypUe;j
jsh;j;jg;gl;l ehza epiyikfs; kw;Wk; ,iw topKiwfspdhy; CLflj;jg;gl;l ikag;
gztPf;fj;jpd; tpiuTj;jd;ikahdJ nghUshjhuj;jpy; fhzg;gLfpd;w $l;Lf;Nfs;tp
epiyikfs; cWjpailtjidAk; gpujpgypf;fpd;wJ. mz;ika fhyj;jpy; gztPf;f
mOj;jq;fs; cah;thd kl;lj;jpy; fhzg;gLnkd vjph;ghh;f;fg;gLfpd;w mNjNtis> $l;Lf;
Nfs;tp mjpfhpg;gpypUe;J Njhw;wk;ngWfpd;w mOj;jq;fs;> eLj;juf;fhyj;jpy; gztPf;f
vjph;ghh;f;iffis epiyepWj;Jtjw;Fk; tpUk;gg;gl;l kl;lq;fspy; gztPf;fj;ij kPz;Lk;
nfhz;LtUtjw;Fkhd Kidg;Gkpf;f topKiwfis Ntz;Lfpd;wd.

2
ghhpastpyhd Nguz;lnghUshjhu cWjpg;ghl;Lf;F Mjutspg;gjw;fhd nfhs;ifrhh;e;j
jpl;lk;

ntspthhp mjph;rr; pfspd; jPtpuj;jd;ikiaAk; cs;ehl;Lg; nghUshjhu eltbf;iff;fhd


njhlh;r;rpahd ,ilA+WfisAk; ghprPyidapw;nfhz;L> mj;jifa nghUshjhur; rpf;fy;fis
ntw;wpnfhs;tjw;F xl;Lnkhj;j nghUshjhuj;jpd; kPJ jhf;fj;ijf; nfhz;Ls;s Vida
Kaw;rpfSld; ,izj;J kuGrhh;e;j kw;Wk; kuGrhuhj topKiwfs; ,uz;ilAk;
cs;slf;Ffpd;w midj;ijAKs;slf;fpa nfhs;ifrhh;e;j jpl;lnkhd;W mj;jpahtrpakhdJ
vd ehzar; rig mgpg;gpuhag;gl;lJ.

mjw;fika> cyfshtpa kw;Wk; cs;ehl;L hPjpahfTk; jw;NghJs;s kw;Wk;


vjph;ghh;f;fg;gLfpd;w Nguz;lnghUshjhu mgptpUj;jpfis ftdkhf ghprPyidapw;nfhz;ljd;
gpd;dh;> ,yq;if kj;jpa tq;fpapd; ehzar; rigahdJ 2022 khr;R 03Mk; ehsd;W
,lk;ngw;w mjd; $l;lj;jpy;> 2022 rdthpapy; gpd;gw;wg;gl;l mjd; epiyg;ghl;il kPsTk;
tYg;gLj;Jtjw;F jPh;khdpj;jJld;> gpd;tUk; jPh;khdq;fisAk; Nkw;nfhz;bUe;jJ:

(m) kj;jpa tq;fpapd; Jizepy; itg;G trjp tPjj;jpidAk; Jizepy; fld;toq;fy;


tPjj;jpidAk; KiwNa 6.50 rjtPjj;jpw;Fk; 7.50 rjtPjj;jpw;Fk; xt;nthd;iwAk; 100
mbg;gilg; Gs;spfshy; mjpfhpj;jy;;

(M) fld; ml;ilfSf;F Vw;Gila tl;b tPjq;fs; kPJ tpjpf;fg;gLk; tPjq;fis Mz;bw;F
20 rjtPjj;jpw;Fk;> Kd;$l;bNa Vw;ghLnra;ag;gl;l jw;fhypf Nkyjpfg;gw;Wf;fs; kPJ
Mz;bw;F 18 rjtPjj;jpw;Fk;> mj;Jld; mlF trjpfs; kPJ Mz;bw;F 12
rjtPjj;jpw;Fk; cr;r tPjq;fis Nky;Nehf;fpj; jpUj;Jjy;. ,j;jifa
xOq;FKiwg;gLj;jg;gl;l tl;b tPjq;fis eilKiwg;gLj;Jtjw;fhd gzpg;Giufs;
tpiutpy; tpLf;fg;gLk;.

Nkw;Fwpg;gplg;gl;l topKiwfs; nghUshjhuj;jpy; rhj;jpakhd cs;shh;e;j Nfs;tp


mOj;jq;fs; mjpfhpg;gij jsh;Twr;nra;AnkdTk; ,jd; gadhf ntspehl;Lj; Jiwapy;
fhzg;gLfpd;w mOj;jq;fis jsh;j;Jtjw;F cjtpaspj;J> ghhpa Nguz;lg;nghUshjhu
cWjpg;ghl;bid Cf;Ftpf;Fnkd ehzar; rig mgpg;gpuhag;gl;lJ.

mNjNtisapy;> jw;Nghija nghUshjhu rthy;fis vjph;nfhs;tjw;F kj;jpa tq;fpapdhy;


vLf;fg;gl;l Kaw;rpfSf;F Jizaspf;Fk; tifapy; murhq;fj;jpdhy; xUikg;ghLkpf;f
Kaw;rpfs; cldbahf Nkw;nfhs;sg;gl Ntz;Lk;. Mifahy;> murhq;fj;jpd; nghUshjhu
kw;Wk; epjpapay; kjpAiuahsh; vd;w tifapy;> kj;jpa tq;fpahdJ gpd;tUtd njhlh;gpy;
murhq;fk; chpa ftdj;ij nrYj;Jtjw;fhd MNyhridia toq;Ffpd;wJ.

(m) kj;jpa tq;fpapdhy; Nkw;nfhs;sg;gl;l Kd;ida ghpe;Jiuapd; mbg;gilapy;


mj;jpahtrpakw;w kw;Wk; mtrukw;w ,wf;Fkjpfis Cf;fkpof;fr; nra;tjw;fhd
topKiwfis mwpKfg;gLj;jy;

3
(M) nrytpidg; gpujpgypf;Fk; tpjj;jpy;> vhpnghUs; tpiyfisAk; kpd;rhuf;
fl;lzq;fisAk; cldbahf mjpfhpj;jy;
(,) ntspehl;Lg; gztDg;gy;fSf;Fk; KjyPLfSf;Fk; NkYk; Cf;Ftpg;Gf;fis
toq;Fjy;
(<) rf;jpg; ghJfhg;G topKiwfis eilKiwg;gLj;Jfpd;w mNjNtis>
kPs;GJg;gpf;fj;jf;f rf;jpf;fhd Kaw;rpfis Jhpjg;gLj;jy;
(c) epiyahd mbg;gbilnahd;wpy; nghUj;jkhd thp mjpfhpg;Gf@lhf murhq;f
tUkhdj;ij mjpfhpj;jy;
(C) mtrukhd mbg;gilapy; ntspehl;L epjpaply; kw;Wk; gLfldw;w ntspehl;Lr;
nryhtzp cl;gha;r;ry;fis jpul;Ljy;
(v) cghakw;w kw;Wk; Fiwthf gad;gLj;jg;gLfpd;w nrhj;Jf;fisg; gzkhf;Fjy;>
mj;Jld;
(V) mj;jpahtrpakw;w kw;Wk; mtrukw;w %yjdf; fUj;jpl;lq;fis gpw;Nghly;

ehL vjph;Nehf;fpAs;s rthy;kpf;f nghUshjhu #o;epiyfis vjph;nfhs;tjw;Fk; nfhtpl;-19


gutYld; ,ize;j nfhs;ifj; jsh;tpypUe;J Kd;kjpkpf;fthW ntsptUtjw;Fk;
xUq;fpize;j mZFKiwnahd;W gpd;gw;wg;gLfpd;wJ vd;gij Nkw;Fwpg;gplg;gl;l
topKiwfs; cWjpnra;Ak;.

kj;jpa tq;fpahdJ Njhw;wk;ngw;WtUk; Nguz;lg;nghUshjhu kw;Wk; epjpapay; re;ij


mgptpUj;jpfis cyfshtpa kw;Wk; cs;ehl;L hPjpapy; cd;dpg;ghf fz;fhzpf;Fk;
vd;gJld; gztPf;fk;> ntspehl;Lj; Jiw kw;Wk; epjpapay; Jiw Mfpa Nehf;fpy;
cWjpg;ghl;bid milAk; ,yf;Fld; nghUj;jkhdthW Nkyjpf topKiwfis
Nkw;nfhs;tjw;Fk; jahuhf ,Ug;gJld; ,jd;%yk; epiyahd mbg;gilapy; cz;ikg;
nghUshjhu eltbf;iff;F Mjutspf;Fk;.

ehzaf;nfhs;if jPh;khdk;: nfhs;if tl;b tPjq;fs; mjpfhpj;Js;sd kw;Wk; epajp


xJf;F tpfpjk; khw;wkilatpy;iy
Jizepy; itg;G trjp tPjk; 6.50%
Jizepy; fld; toq;fy; trjp tPjk; 7.50%

tq;fp tPjk; 10.50%


epajp xJf;F tpfpjk; 4.00%

xOq;FKiwg;gLj;jg;gl;l tl;b tPjq;fs; Nky;Nehf;fpj; jpUj;jg;gl;Ls;sd.


fldl;ilfs; kPjhd cah;e;jgl;r tl;b tPjq;fs; 20.00%

Kd;$l;bNa xOq;Fnra;ag;gl;l jw;fhypf Nkyjpfg; gw;Wf;fs; kPjhd


18.00%
cah;e;jgl;r tl;b tPjk;
mlF trjpfs; kPjhd cah;e;jgl;r tl;b tPjk; 12.00%

4
jfty; Fwpg;G:

MSeh; m[pj; epthl; fg;uhy; mth;fspd; jiyikapyhd Clf khehL ,yq;if kj;jpa
tq;fpapd; Nfl;NghH $lj;jpy; 2022 khr;R 04 md;W K.g. 12.30 kzpf;F eilngWtJld;
KfE}y; kw;Wk; Abg; (YouTube) vd;gtw;wpd; thapyhf NeuiyahfTk; ,lk;ngWk;.

ehzaf; nfhs;if kPjhd mLj;j fpukkhd mwpf;if 2022 Vg;gpwy; 07Mk; ehsd;W
ntspaplg;gLk;.

5
,izg;G I

ml;ltiz 01: gztPf;fk;


a+iy Xfj; nrj; xj; ent jpnr rd ngg;
khjk; 21 21 21 21 21 21 22 22

Kjd;ikg; nfhEtpR(2013=100) 5.7 6.0 5.7 7.6 9.9 12.1 14.2 15.1
gztPf;fk;
(Mz;Lf;F Mz;L
% khw;wk;) NjEtpR(2013=100) 6.8 6.7 6.2 8.3 11.1 14.0 16.8 -

nfhEtpR(2013=100) 3.7 4.1 5.0 6.3 7.0 8.3 9.9 10.9


ikag; gztPf;fk;
(Mz;Lf;F Mz;L
% khw;wk;)
NjEtpR(2013=100) 4.4 4.7 4.8 7.2 8.8 10.8 12.9 -

%yk;: njhifkjpg;G kw;Wk; Gs;sptpguj; jpizf;fsk;

ml;ltiz 02: ehzaj;Jiw mgptpUj;jpfs; (jw;fhypfkhdit)

ntspepd;w njhif (&.gpy;ypad;)


Fwpfhl;b
Vg; Nk a+d; a+iy Xfj; nrj; xj; ent jpnr
21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21
xJf;Fg; gzk; 1,031 1,036 1,065 1,064 1,089 1,296 1,286 1,288 1,306

tphpe;j gzk; (M2b) 9,947 10,033 10,165 10,304 10,514 10,488 10,582 10,546 10,647

Njwpa ntspehl;Lr; nrhj;Jf;fs; (431) (429) (481) (699) (701) (722) (837) (906) (982)

Njwpa cs;ehl;Lr; nrhj;Jf;fs; 10,378 10,462 10,646 11,003 11,215 11,210 11,418 11,452 11,629

murpw;fhd Njwpa 4,965 5,024 5,195 5,513 5,682 5,792 5,923 6,074 6,287
nfhLfld;
mur $l;Lj;jhgdq;fSf;fhd 1,093 1,113 1,132 1,141 1,137 1,123 1,194 1,185 1,188
nfhLfld;
jdpahh; Jiwf;fhd nfhLfld; 6,446 6,501 6,585 6,661 6,796 6,825 6,860 6,920 6,981

tphpe;j gzk; (M4) 12,154 12,265 12,402 12,563 12,790 12,742 12,873 12,861 12,985

%yk;: ,yq;if kj;jpa tq;fp

6
ml;ltiz 03: tl;b tPjq;fs;
nrj; xj; ent jpnr rd ngg; 2022 khr;R
tl;b tPjk; (%) 21 21 21 21 22 22 03,y;
Kbtpy; Kbtpy; Kbtpy; Kbtpy; Kbtpy; Kbtpy; cs;sthW

kj;jpa tq;fpapd; Kf;fpa nfhs;if tl;b


tPjq;fs;

Jizepy; itg;G trjp tPjk; 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.50 5.50 5.50

Jizepy; fld;toq;fy; trjp tPjk; 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.50 6.50 6.50

ruhrhp epiwNaw;wg;gl;l miog;Gg; gztPjk; 5.94 5.93 5.92 5.95 6.48 6.48 6.49

jpiwNrhp cz;bay; tpisT tPjq;fs;


(Kjyhe;jur; re;ij)

91-ehs; 6.70 8.43 7.53 8.16 8.63 8.61 9.33 (m)

182-ehs; 6.99 8.16 8.02 8.33 8.55 8.53 9.88 (m)

364-ehs; 7.01 8.18 8.16 8.24 8.55 8.53 9.95 (m)

fld;toq;fy; tPjq;fs;

ruhrhp epiwNaw;wg;gl;l Kjd;ikf; fld;toq;fy;


tPjk; (thuhe;jk;) 6.42 7.82 8.00 8.61 8.52 8.99 -

ruhrhp epiwNaw;wg;gl;l fld;toq;fy; tPjk; 9.37 9.49 9.79 9.87 10.12 - -

ruhrhp epiwNaw;wg;gl;l Gjpa fld;toq;fy; tPjk; 8.14 8.78 9.18 9.48 9.76 - -

itg;G tPjq;fs;

ruhrhp epiwNaw;wg;gl;l itg;G tPjk; 4.75 4.79 4.82 4.94 5.01 5.07 -

ruhrhp epiwNaw;wg;gl;l epiyahd itg;G tPjk; 5.64 5.70 5.75 5.94 6.05 6.15 -

ruhrhp epiwNaw;wg;gl;l Gjpa itg;G tPjk; 5.53 5.96 6.27 6.45 6.58 - -

ruhrhp epiwNaw;wg;gl;l Gjpa epiyahd itg;G


tPjk; 5.69 6.19 6.52 6.67 6.79 - -

(m) 2022 khr;R 02 md;W Kbtilfpd;w thuj;jpw;fhdJ %yk;: ,yq;if kj;jpa tq;fp

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