Statistics and Probability: Philippine College Foundation
Statistics and Probability: Philippine College Foundation
11
Statistics and Probability
Quarter 3
Second Semester
School Year 2021-2022
______________________________________
Student’s Name:
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Table of Contents
References …………………………,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,…….. 51
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SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL
Statistics and
Probability
Quarter 3–Module 1:
Random Variables and Probability
Distributions
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What I Need to Know
4
Lesson Random Variables and
1 Probability Distribution
What’s In
(Activity 1)
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Example 1
Suppose two coins are tossed and we are interested to determine the
number of tails that will come out. Let us use T to represent the number of
tails that will come out. Determine the values of the random variable T.
Solution:
Example 2
Two balls are drawn in succession without replacement from an urn
containing 5 orange balls and 6 violet balls. Let V be the random variable
representing the number of violet balls. Find the values of the random variable
V.
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Solution:
Example 3
A basket contains 10 red balls and 4 white balls. If three balls are taken
from the basket one after the other, determine the possible values of the
random variable R representing the number of red balls.
Solution:
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Example 4
Four coins are tossed. Let T be the random variable representing the
number of tails that occur. Find the values of the random variable T.
Solution:
Example 5
A pair of dice is rolled. Let X be the random variable representing the
sum of the number of dots on the top faces. Find the values of the random
variable X.
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Solution:
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Discrete and Continuous Random Variable
A random variable may be classified as discrete and continuous. A
discrete random variable has a countable number of possible values. A
continuous random variable can assume an infinite number of values in one
or more intervals.
Examples:
What is It
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Using Example 2 in the previous page,
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Using Example 4 in the previous page,
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15
Using Example 5 in the previous page,
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17
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What’s More
(Activity 2)
What I Can Do
(Activity 3)
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SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL
Statistics and
Probability
Quarter 3–Module 2:
Mean and Variance of Discrete Random
Variable
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What I Need to Know
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Lesson Mean of the Discrete
1 Random Variable
What’s In
(Activity 4)
Let’s find out if you are ready to learn this new lesson. Do the following,
write your answer in your answer sheet.
X1 = 5, Y1 = 3 X3 = 3, Y3 = 1
X2 = 4, Y2 = 2 X4 = 2, Y4 = 0
W
P(w)
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What’s New
but it is hard to predict the outcome that will occur. In this lesson, you will
learn how to determine the likeliness of the happening of an event.
What is It
Examples:
1. Determine the mean or Expected Value of random variable below.
Solution:
𝜇 = 𝛴 ⟮𝑥𝑃(𝑥)⟯
1 1 1 1 1
= 𝛴 ⟮0( ) + 1( ) + 2( ) + 3( ) + 4( )⟯
5 5 5 5 5
1 2 3 4
= 𝛴 ⟮0 + + + + ⟯
5 5 5 5
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= 𝑜𝑟 2 Therefore, mean is 2 for the above random variable.
5
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2. Find the mean of the random variable Y representing the number of red
color chocolates per 160-gram pack of colored chocolate packages that has
the following probability distribution.
Solution
𝜇 = 𝛴 ⟮𝑋𝑃(𝑥)⟯
= 𝛴⟮4(0.10) + 5(0.37) + 6(0.33) + 7(0.20)⟯
= 𝛴 ⟮0.40 + 1.85 + 1.98 + 1.40⟯
= 5.63
So, the mean of the probability distribution is 5.63. This implies that the
average number of red chocolates per 160-gram is 5.63.
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Solution:
So, the mean of the probability distribution is 3.1. This implies that the
average number of items that the customer will buy is 3.1.
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Lesson Variance and Standard
Deviation of the Discrete
2 Random Variable
The variance and standard deviation describe the amount of spread,
dispersion, or variability of the items in a distribution. How can we describe
the spread or dispersion in a probability distribution? In this lesson, you will
learn how to compute the variance and standard deviation of a discrete
probability distribution.
Now, let us find out how can we find the variance and standard
deviation of a discrete probability distribution.
What’s New
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What is It
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Now let’s solve the problem.
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To Solve for Standard Deviation:
Get the square root of the variance
𝜎 2 = 𝛴(𝑥 − 𝜇)2𝑝(𝑥)
= 1.56
𝜎 = √1.56
= 1.25
So, the variance of the number of cars sold per day is 1.56 and the
standard deviation is 1.25.
2. When three coins are tossed once, the probability distribution for the
random variable X representing the number of heads that occur is given
below. Compute the variance and standard deviation of the probability
distribution.
Solution:
Follow the steps in finding variance and standard deviation of the probability
distribution.
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To solve for Standard Deviation
𝜎 2 = 𝛴(𝑥 − 𝜇)2𝑝(𝑥)
= 0.74
𝜎 = √0.74
= 0.86
The mean in tossing 3 coins with probability of Head will show up is
0.86 and the variance is 0.74, then the standard deviation is 0.86.
What’s More
(Activity 5)
1.
2.
3.
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B. Determine the Variance and Standard Deviation of each random variable.
Write your answer in your answer sheets.
1.
2.
3.
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SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL
Statistics and
Probability
Quarter 3–Module 3:
The Normal Distribution
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What I Need to Know
This module was designed and written to help you understand the
concept of the normal distribution. The scope of this module helps you to
appreciate and understand learning situations that can be used in a day-to-
day basis experience. The language used in this learning kit recognized the
diverse vocabulary level of students for a higher understanding of the lesson.
The lessons were arranged to follow the standard sequence of the course.
However, the manner in which you read them can be possibly changed to
correspond with the textbook that you might be using now. Thus, this module
is divided into two lessons, respectively as follows
• Lesson 1 – The Normal Distribution and Its Properties
• Lesson 2 – The Standard Normal Distribution
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Lesson The Normal Distribution
1 and Its Properties
What’s In
(Activity 6)
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What’s New
What is It
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• The median and mode of the distribution are also found at the center
of the graph. This indicates that in a
normal distribution, the mean, median
and mode are equal.
4. The curve is symmetrical about the mean.
• This means that the curve will
have balanced proportions when cut
in halves and the area under the curve
to the right of mean (50%) is equal to
the area under the curve to the left of
the mean (50%).
5. The total area in the normal distribution under the curve is equal to 1.
▪ Since the mean divides the curve into halves, 50% of the area is to the
right and 50% to its left having a total of 100% or 1.
6. In general, the graph of a normal distribution is a bell-shaped curve with
two inflection points, one on the left and another on the right. Inflection
points are the points that mark the change in the curve’s concavity.
• Inflection point is the point at
which a change in the direction of
curve at mean minus standard
deviation and mean plus standard
deviation.
• Note that each inflection point of
the normal curve is one standard deviation away from the mean.
7. Every normal curve corresponds to the “empirical rule” (also called the 68
- 95 - 99.7% rule):
• about 68.3% of the area under the
curve falls within 1 standard
deviation of the mean
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Consider the following examples:
1. Suppose the mean is 60 and the standard deviation is 5, sketch a
normal curve for the distribution. This is how it would look like.
*Since the area covered is 1 standard * Since the area covered is half of the
deviation to the left and to the right. curve.
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What’s More
(Activity 7)
What I Can Do
(Activity 8)
Directions: Make a sketch for each of the 3 areas under the normal
curve as stated in the empirical rule. Using a mosaic art, shade the area that
corresponds to the area under the normal curve. You may use eggshells, old
magazines, dried leaves or any materials available at home.
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Lesson The Standard Normal
2 Distribution
What’s In
(Activity 9)
1. 2.
3.
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What’s New
(Activity 10)
Figure A Figure B
Guide Questions:
1. What is the mean?
Figure A: _______________ Figure B: _______________
2. What is the standard deviation?
Figure A: _______________ Figure B: _______________
3. What is the area of the shaded region?
Figure A: _______________ Figure B: _______________
4. What did you do to identify the area of the shaded region?
Figure A: _______________________ Figure B: ______________________
5. Did you use the same method? ________________________
What is It
1 𝑧2
−2
𝑓 (z) = 𝑒
√2𝜋
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However, this formula is seldom used because a table was created to
summarize the approximate areas under the standard normal curve and to
further simplify the process. This table of probabilities is known as the z-
table.
The Z - Table
Let us get a closer look at the z-table. The outermost column and row
represent the z-values. The first two digits of the z-value are found in the
leftmost column and the last digit (hundredth place) is found on the first
row.
Suppose the z-score is equal to 1.85, locate the first two digits 1.8 in
the leftmost column and the last digit, .05, can be located at the first row.
Then find their intersection which gives the corresponding area. Therefore,
given z = 1.85, the area is equal to 0.9678.
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5. Find the area that corresponds to z = - 2.33 Answer: 0.0099
Note: The z-table used is the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) of the
Standard Normal Curve. Refer to the attachment on pages 19 and 20.
Now that you already know how to use the z-table to find the
corresponding area for the z-score, let us identify the regions under the
normal curve that corresponds to different standard normal values. In order
to find the regions, a probability notation is used.
The probability notation P(a < Z < b) indicates that the z-value is
between a and b, P(Z > a) means z-value is above a and P(Z < a) means z-
value is below a. It would not matter whether we are considering P(Z < a) or
P(Z ≤ a) or P(Z > a) or P(Z ≥ a). To illustrate, let us consider these examples:
1. Find the proportion of the area between z = -1.25 and 2.19, this can be
expressed as P(-1.25 < Z < 2.19), read as the
probability that Z is greater than -1.25 but
less than 2.19.
Solution:
STEP 1: Draw a normal curve and locate the
z - scores and shade. z - scores in the z-table.
STEP 2: Locate the corresponding area of the
z = -1.25 has a corresponding area of 0.1056
z = 2.19 has a corresponding area of 0.9857
STEP 3: If you are looking for the area between two z - scores, simply
subtract the corresponding areas to arrive at the answer. Therefore, 0.9857
- 0.1056 = 0.8801 and the P(-1.25 < Z < 2.19) = 0.8801 or 88.01%
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b. P(Z > -0.65) = ______________
Solution:
STEP 1: Draw a normal curve and locate the
z - score and shade.
STEP 2: Locate the corresponding area of the z - score in the z-table.
z = -0.65 has a corresponding area of 0.2578
STEP 3: If you are looking for a greater than area, the area in the table is
subtracted from 1, therefore, 1.0000 – 0.2578 = 0.7422 , and the P(Z > -
0.65) = 0.7422 or 74.22%
The Z- Score
The z-score is an essential component in standard normal
distribution. This allows us to describe a given set of data by finding the z-
scores. This leads us to a question of how z-scores are identified?
Given a normal random variable X with mean (μ) and standrad
deviation (), each value of x of the variable can be transformed into z-scores
using the formula,
𝑥−𝜇
𝑧= 𝜎
𝑥−𝜇
Solution: z = Step 1: Write the formula.
𝜎
11−6
= Step 2: Substitute the given values.
2
5
=2 Step 3: Perform the operations.
z = 2.5 Step 4: Write the corresponding z-score.
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2.
𝑥−𝜇
Solution: z = Step 1: Write the formula.
𝜎
20−12
= Step 2: Substitute the given values.
3
8
=3 Step 3: Perform the operations.
z = 2.67 Step 4: Write the corresponding z-score.
3.
𝑥−𝜇
Solution: z = Step 1: Write the formula.
𝜎
18−28
= Step 2: Substitute the given values.
5
−10
= Step 3: Perform the operations.
5
4. The scores in the summative test of 11- STEM B are normally distributed
with a mean of 65 and a standard deviation of 12. Find the probability that
some students got a score below 40.
Solution:
STEP 1: Convert the normal value in z-score.
Given: x = 40 μ = 65 𝜎 = 12
𝑥−𝜇
Solution: z = 𝜎
40−65
=
12
−25
=
12
z = −2.08
Therefore, the P(X < 40) = P(Z < -2.08)
STEP 2: Draw a normal curve and
locate the z - score and shade
STEP 3: Locate the corresponding area of the z - score in the z-table.
z = -2.08 has a corresponding area of 0.0188
STEP 4: If you are looking for a less than area, the area in the table is the
answer, therefore, the P(Z < -2.08) = 0.0188 or 1.88%..
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5. The height (in meters) of grade 11 students in section A follows a normal
distribution with the mean 1.6 and a standard deviation of 0.3. Find the
pobability that students chosen at random has a height greater than 1.75.
Solution:
STEP 1: Convert the normal value in z - score.
Given: x = 1.75 μ = 1.6 𝜎 = .3
𝑥−𝜇
Solution: z = 𝜎
1.75−1.6
= 0.3
0.15
= 0.3
z = 0.5
Therefore, the P(X > 1.75) = P(Z > 0.5)
STEP 2: Draw a normal curve and locate
the z - score and shade.
STEP 3: Locate the corresponding area of the z - score in the z-table.
z = 0.5 has a corresponding area of 0.6915
STEP 4: If you are looking for a greater than area, the area in the table is
subtracted from 1, therefore, 1.0000 – 0.6915 = 0.3085 , and the P(Z > 0.5)
= 0.3085 or 30.85%
The Percentile
A percentile is a measure used in statistics indicating the value below
which a given percentage of observations in a group of observations fall.
Imagine you took a standardized test and you scored 91 at the 89th
percentile. This means that 89% of the examiners scored lower than 91 and
11% scored higher than 91. This explains that 89th percentile is located
where 89% of the total population lies below and 11% lies above that point.
To illustrate the 89th percentile of the normal curve here are the steps:
1. Express the given percentage as probability, remember 89% is the
same as 0.8900.
2. Using the z-table (Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) of the
Standard Normal Curve), locate the area of 0.8900.
3. There is no area corresponding exactly to 0.8900. It is between of
0.8888 with a corresponding z - score of 1.22 and 0.8907 with a
corresponding z - score of 1.23. The nearest value to 0.8900 is 0.8888
and therefore, the distribution lies below z = 1.22.
4. Construct a normal curve and shade the region to the left of 1.22.
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Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) of the Standard Normal Curve
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Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) of the Standard Normal Curve
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What’s More
(Activity 11)
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References
Commission on Higher Education. (2016). Teaching Guide for Senior High
School: Statistics and Probability Core Subject. Quezon City: CHED.
Canlapan, Raymond B. (2016). Statistics and Probability. Diwa Learning
Systems Inc. Makati City, Philippines.
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Answer sheet
Activty 1
Name: ___________________________________ Date:____________________
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Answer sheet
Activty 2
Name: ___________________________________ Date:____________________
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Answer sheet
Activty 3
Name: ___________________________________ Date:____________________
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Answer sheet
Activty 4
Name: ___________________________________ Date:____________________
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Answer sheet
Activty 5
Name: ___________________________________ Date:____________________
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Answer sheet
Activty 6
Name: ___________________________________ Date:____________________
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Answer sheet
Activty 7
Name: ___________________________________ Date:____________________
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Answer sheet
Activty 8
Name: ___________________________________ Date:____________________
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Answer sheet
Activty 9
Name: ___________________________________ Date:____________________
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Answer sheet
Activty 10
Name: ___________________________________ Date:____________________
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Answer sheet
Activty 11
Name: ___________________________________ Date:____________________
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