Consensus-Based Decision Support For Multicriteria Group Decision
Consensus-Based Decision Support For Multicriteria Group Decision
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Consensus decision making is complex and challenging in multicriteria group decision making due to the
Received 11 September 2012 involvement of several decision makers, the presence of multiple, and often conflicting criteria, and the
Received in revised form 11 July 2013 existence of subjectiveness and imprecision in the decision making process. To ensure effective decisions
Accepted 17 September 2013
being made, the interest of all the decision makers usually represented by the degree of consensus in the
Available online 26 September 2013
decision making process has to be adequately considered. This paper presents a consensus-based
approach for effectively solving the multicriteria group decision making problem. The subjectiveness
Keywords:
and imprecision of the decision making process is adequately handled by using intuitionistic fuzzy num-
Group decision making
Consensus building
bers. An interactive algorithm is developed for consensus building in the group decision making process.
Multicriteria analysis A decision support system framework is presented for improving the effectiveness of the consensus
Uncertainty modeling building process. An example is presented for demonstrating the applicability of the proposed approach
for solving the multicriteria group decision making problem in real world situations.
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626 S. Wibowo, H. Deng / Computers & Industrial Engineering 66 (2013) 625–633
multicriteria group decision making problem under specific cir- & Lu, 2009). Herrera-Viedma et al. (2005), for example, present a
cumstances. It is simple in concept and easy to use. It is, however, consensus-based approach for solving the multicriteria group deci-
cognitively demanding on the decision makers. sion making problem. This approach is based on a multi-granular
The consensus-based approach recognizes the importance of linguistic methodology and a consensus degree and a proximity
reaching a certain level of agreement among the decision makers measure. The multi-granular linguistic methodology is introduced
in multicriteria group decision making for facilitating the accep- to allow the unification of the different linguistic terms used in the
tance of the decision made. It usually involves in an interactive decision making process for facilitating the determination of the
process for building the consensus among the multiple decision consensus degree among decision makers. The proximity measure
makers in the decision making process. This approach has proven is used to find out how far individual opinions are from the group
to be practical in multicriteria group decision making. However, opinion. The approach is applicable in the group decision making
it usually requires tedious mathematical computation in the deci- situation in which multi-granular linguistic preference relations
sion making process. are present. The consensus building process, however, may become
This paper presents a consensus-based approach for effectively cumbersome when the number of alternatives and criteria is large.
solving the multicriteria group decision making problem. The sub- Xu (2005) proposes a consensus-based approach for multicrite-
jectiveness and imprecision of the human decision making process ria group decision making. With the use of this approach, each
is modeled by using intuitionistic fuzzy numbers. An interactive decision maker is required to provide his/her assessments over
algorithm is developed for consensus building in the group deci- the alternatives with respect to each criterion, leading to the con-
sion making process. A decision support system (DSS) framework struction of an individual decision matrix. The developed approach
is presented for improving the effectiveness of the consensus then aggregates these individual decision matrices into a group
building process. An example is presented for demonstrating the decision matrix (Herrera, Herrera-Viedma, & Verdegay, 1996). An
applicability of the proposed approach for effectively solving the iterative algorithm is employed for consensus building through
multicriteria group decision making problem in real world the adoption of the agreement matrix in solving the group decision
situations. making problem. The approach is practical for consensus building
In what follows, we first present a review of existing approaches in solving the multicriteria group decision making problem. It,
for consensus-based multicriteria group decision making. We then however, requires tedious mathematical computation in solving
present an interactive algorithm for facilitating consensus building the multicriteria group decision making process.
in the multicriteria group decision making process. This is followed Kahraman et al. (2009) develop a consensus-based approach for
by the development of a DSS framework for improving the effec- selecting and ranking information systems providers. A similarity
tiveness of the decision making process. Finally, we present an measure is developed for measuring the consensus level among
example for demonstrating the applicability of the proposed ap- the decision makers. The technique for order preference by similar-
proach for solving the real multicriteria group decision making ity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) (Chen & Hwang, 1992; Deng, Yeh, &
problem. Willis, 2000) is adopted for determining the weights of the evalu-
ation criteria, leading to the finalization of the overall ranking of all
the alternatives of information systems providers. The approach is
2. Consensus-based multicriteria group decision making capable of providing objective information in the group decision
making process. It is, however, cognitively demanding on the deci-
Consensus-based decision making is a group decision making sion makers in the decision making process.
process that seeks a certain level of agreement from all the deci- Zhang et al. (2009) develop a novel approach for reaching con-
sion makers regarding all the possible alternatives in a given situ- sensus in solving multicriteria group decision making. Linguistic
ation (Ben-Arieh & Chen, 2006). It is an iterative process in which variables are used to assess the weights of all selection criteria
individual decision makers are able to express their views in order and the performance of each alternative with respect to each crite-
to achieve a certain level of agreement for making the decision. rion. A fuzzy synthetic evaluation method (Deng, 1999; Lu, Lo, &
Consensus-based decision making is popular in multicriteria group Hu, 1999) is employed to attain the consensus in the group via
decision making due to its ability to (a) reduce the conflict among the agreement matrix for solving the group decision making prob-
the decision makers, (b) increase the participation of the decision lem. The approach is efficient for solving the multicriteria group
makers, and (c) improve the acceptance of the decision outcome decision making problem in a fuzzy environment. It, however, re-
(Kahraman, Engin, Kabak, & Kaya, 2009; Xu, 2009). quires complicated mathematical computation, and is very
Consensus building is an essential part of the consensus-based demanding cognitively on the decision makers in the decision
decision making process. It can generally be classified into (a) hard making process.
consensus and (b) soft consensus (Herrera-Viedma et al., 2005). Parreiras et al. (2010) propose a consensus approach for solving
The hard consensus can be represented by an interval [0, 1] where the multicriteria group decision making problem using linguistic
0 indicates there is no agreement and 1 indicates a full agreement assessments in a fuzzy environment. Their approach allows the
among the decision makers. The soft consensus allows the decision generation of a consistent group opinion based on the opinions
makers to reach a consensus when most of the decision makers in- of individual decision makers represented by multi-granular fuzzy
volved in the group decision making process agree on a specific is- numbers. The approach is intuitive and flexible as it allows the
sue. This allows the decision makers to assess their opinions in a decision makers to change their own opinions in the decision mak-
more flexible manner (Ross & Jayaraman, 2008). Obtaining a hard ing process. It is, however, computationally demanding on the
consensus is almost impossible in real decision making situations decision makers.
(Herrera-Viedma et al., 2005; Xu, 2005). This is due to the inherent The discussion above shows that there are numerous consen-
subjectiveness and imprecision in the decision making process. As sus-based approaches for solving the multicriteria group decision
a result, soft consensus building is desirable for solving the multi- making problem. These approaches are useful in dealing with the
criteria group decision making problem in real situations. multicriteria group decision making problem under various cir-
Much research has been done on the development of numerous cumstances. Most of these approaches, however, are cognitively
approaches for consensus-based multicriteria group decision mak- demanding on the decision makers in the decision making process.
ing (Herrera-Viedma et al., 2005; Kahraman et al., 2009; Parreiras, Furthermore, some of these approaches require tedious mathemat-
Ekel, Martini, & Palhares, 2010; Xu, 2009, 2005; Zhang, Zhang, Lai, ical computation in the decision making process. To effectively
S. Wibowo, H. Deng / Computers & Industrial Engineering 66 (2013) 625–633 627
address these issues in multicriteria group decision making, it is Much research has been devoted for the development of various
desirable to have a structured approach for consensus building in similarity measures (Chen, 1996; Chen & Chen, 2003; Lee, 2002) in
solving the multicriteria group decision making problem. solving specific decision making problems. Chen (1996) develops a
similarity measure for determining the degree of similarity be-
tween two fuzzy numbers. Lee (2002) develops a similarity mea-
3. An interactive consensus building algorithm sure between two fuzzy numbers using an optimal aggregation
method for dealing with the fuzzy opinions of multiple decision
Multicriteria group decision making usually involves in (a) dis- makers. Chen and Chen (2003) propose a new similarity measure
covering all the alternatives, (b) identifying the criteria, (c) assess- based on the center of gravity method for calculating the degree
ing the alternatives’ performance ratings and the criteria weights of similarity between two fuzzy numbers. Despite the merits of
through consensus building, (d) aggregating the alternative ratings existing similarity measures, there are various limitations includ-
and criteria weights for producing an overall performance value for ing the requirement of complicated mathematical computations
each alternative across all the criteria, and (e) selecting the best and the inability to calculate the degree of similarity between
alternative (Wibowo & Deng, 2009; Yeh, Deng, Wibowo, & Xu, two intuitionistic fuzzy numbers in an intuitively correct manner.
2010). To overcome the limitations of existing similarity measures, a
Subjectiveness and imprecision are always present in the deci- similarity measure is introduced in this study based on the dis-
sion making process due to incomplete information, (b) abundant tance between two intuitionistic fuzzy numbers (Chen & Yang,
information, (c) conflicting evidence, (d) ambiguous information, 2011). This measure is used to find out the similarity between indi-
and (e) subjective information (Chen & Hwang, 1992; Deng, vidual decision makers’ fuzzy assessments and the group fuzzy
2010; Deng & Yeh, 2006; Zimmermann, 2000). To adequately mod- assessments for the alternative ratings and the criteria weights.
el the subjectiveness and imprecision of the human decision mak- The degree of similarity between individual decision makers’
ing process, intuitionistic fuzzy numbers (Atanassov, 1986) are assessments rkij and the group assessments mij for alternative per-
used for representing the subjective assessments of individual formance ratings on each criterion is then obtained as
decision makers due to (a) the effectiveness in tackling the subjec-
tiveness and imprecision, (b) the simplicity for the decision makers d r kij ; mij
to assign their subjective assessments in the form of a membership S r kij ; mij ¼ 1 s ð3Þ
X
degree and a non-membership degree, and (c) the efficiency in d r kij ; mij
aggregating the decision makers’ assessments in the decision mak- k¼1
ing process (Li, 2005; Pei & Zheng, 2012).
where d r kij ; mij is the distance between rkij and mij , r kij ¼ lkij ; v kij ;
The multicriteria group decision making process starts with the Ps k Ps k
lij v ij
determination of the performance of each alternative Ai (i = 1, 2, . . . mij ¼ ðlij ; v ij Þ; lij ¼ k¼1
s
, and v ij ¼ k¼1
s
ði ¼ 1; 2; . . . ; n; j
, n) with respect to each criterion Cj (j = 1, 2, . . ., m) by individual ¼ 1; 2; . . . ; m; k ¼ 1; 2; . . . ; sÞ.
decision makers Dk (k = 1, 2, . . . , s). The decision maker Dk provides Similarly, the degree of similarity between individual decision
his/her intuitionistic assessments for each alternative in a form of makers’ assessments wkj and the group assessments mj for the
an intuitionistic preference relation Rk where r kij ¼ lkij ; v kij , and criteria weights can be obtained as
0 6 lkij þ v kij 6 1; lkij ¼ v kij ; v kij ¼ lkij ¼ 0:5. lkij indicates the degree
that the alternative Ai satisfies the criterion Cj whereas v kij indicates d wkj ; mj
the degree that the alternative Ai does not satisfy the criterion Cj. T wkj ; mj ¼ 1 Xs ð4Þ
k
As a result, a decision matrix for the multicriteria group decision k¼1
d w j ; mj
is lower than the specified consensus threshold, the decision maker develops the intuitionistic fuzzy ordered weighted averaging (IFO-
concerned has to adjust his/her assessments. This consensus build- WA) operator and the intuitionistic fuzzy hybrid averaging (IFHA)
ing process requires individual decision makers to modify their operator. Zhao et al. (2010) develop the generalized intuitionistic
assessments until all the CI values of individual decision makers fuzzy weighted averaging (GIFWA) operator and the generalized
are higher than the specified consensus threshold. The CI for the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy weighted averaging operator.
group in regards to the performance ratings and the criteria These operators, however, are not suitable in this situation (Xu &
weights for all the alternatives across the criteria can be defined as Wang, 2012). To address the limitation of these aggregation oper-
ators, the intuitionistic fuzzy weighted average (IFWA) operator is
CI ¼ Max S rkij ; mij ; T wkj ; mj ð5Þ introduced for aggregating the intuitionistic fuzzy decision matri-
ces into the overall intuitionistic fuzzy performance values ri of
The larger the value of CI, the more consistent the individual deci- the alternative. Based on (7), the overall intuitionistic fuzzy perfor-
sion makers are in the decision making process. If the CI value of mance values ri of the alternatives can be determined using the
a specific decision maker is lower than the specified consensus IFWA operator (Xu, 2007) as
threshold assigned by the decision makers, the decision maker con-
cerned needs to modify his/her assessments in order to improve the
ri ¼ lri ; v ri ¼ IFWAw ðri1 ; ri2 ; :::; rin Þ
group consensus level. This concept is used as a feedback mecha- !
n
Y wi Y
n wi
nism to guide the DSS system in the direction of the adjustments
¼ 1 1 lrij ; v rij ð7Þ
on the decision makers’ opinions in order to increase the group con- i¼1 i¼1
sensus level in the decision making process (Wibowo & Deng, 2009;
Xu, 2005). The score function S of an intuitionistic fuzzy value (Chen & Tan,
The interactive algorithm discussed above can be summarized 1994) is used to determine the scores of the overall intuitionistic
as follows: fuzzy numbers. This is due to (a) its simplicity and comprehensibil-
ity in concept and (b) its computation efficiency. The scores of the
Step 1. Obtain the decision matrix for each decision maker as overall intuitionistic fuzzy performance values can be represented
expressed in (1). as
Step 2. Determine the weightings for each decision maker as
expressed in (2). Sðr i Þ ¼ lri v ri ð8Þ
Step 3. Calculate the degree of similarity between individual
decision makers’ assessments and the group assessments for where Sðr i Þ 2 ½1; 1. The alternative Ai with the largest S(ri) is the
the performance ratings with respect to each criterion using (3). preferred alternative in a specific decision making situation.
Step 4. Calculate the degree of similarity between individual To effectively assist the decision makers in solving the multicri-
decision makers’ assessments and the group assessments for teria group decision making problem, a DSS framework is pro-
the criteria weights by (4). posed. The DSS framework is composed of four main components
Step 5. Obtain the CI value for individual decision makers by (5). including (a) the database management module, (b) the knowledge
If the value is less than the pre-defined threshold, the decision base management module, (c) the model base management mod-
maker concerned needs to go back to Step 1. Otherwise, the ule, and (d) the user interface management module. The database
consensus building process is finalized. management module contains a relational database for data retrie-
val, updating and editing. The knowledge base management mod-
To determine the weighted intuitionistic fuzzy performance ule contains problem-specific rules and facts. The knowledge base
matrix for each decision maker with respect to all the available stores the knowledge acquired from experts and the knowledge
alternatives, the induced generalized intuitionistic ordered gathered from the previous cases in the form of ‘‘IF–THEN’’ rules
weighted averaging (I-GIFOWA) operator is adopted (Su, Xia, Chen, (Deng & Wibowo, 2008; Khanlari, Mohammadi, & Sohrabi, 2008;
& Wang, 2012). I-GIFOWA is an extension of the intuitionistic or- Yeh et al., 2010). The model base management module provides
dered weighted averaging (GIFOWA) operator, with the difference the environment for storing, retrieving, and manipulating specific
that the reordering step of the I-GIFOWA operator is not defined by models. It links individual decision makers to the appropriate mod-
the values of the arguments ai, but rather by order inducing vari- els including the algorithm developed in the previous section to
ables ui, where the ordered position of the arguments ai depends perform various types of analysis (Yeh et al., 2010). The model base
upon the values of the ui (Xu, 2009). As a result, a more general for- management module obtains the relevant input data for model
mulation of the reordering process that is capable of dealing with executions from the database management module. The results
complex decision making situations where the information avail- generated from the model executions are sent back to the database
able is based on intuitionistic fuzzy numbers is obtained. management module for storage (Wibowo & Deng, 2012a). The
r ij ¼ ðlrij ; v rij Þ user interface management module provides the means for users
D E D E D E to interface with the DSS, and to (a) access the database, model
¼ I GIFOWAw l1 ; r 1ij ; ; l2 ; r2ij ; ; . . . ; lm ; r sij base, and knowledge base; (b) input information; (c) display and
0 ! !1 evaluate alternative decisions; and (d) view outputs (Deng & Wi-
m
Y 1=k Ym
@ bowo, 2008; Wang, Reinelt, Gao, & Tan, 2011).
¼ 1 1 larðjÞ
k
;1 1 1 v arðjÞ A
k
ð6Þ
j¼1 j¼1
The proposed DSS comprises of five stages, namely (a) problem
definition, (b) criteria definition, (c) assessment determination, (d)
where k is a parameter and k > 0, and arðjÞ is the jth largest number consensus measurement, and (e) selection as shown in Fig. 1. The
of intuitionistic fuzzy numbers aj ðj ¼ 1; 2; . . . ; mÞ. problem definition stage is used to identify the requirements of
To make an effective decision in multicriteria group decision different decision makers and all available alternatives. The criteria
making, the overall performance of each alternative from all the definition stage is used to define all relevant criteria for the selec-
decision makers have to be determined by aggregating individual tion process. The choice and the number of criteria to be included
decision makers’ assessments. Several aggregation operators for in the selection process are carefully determined by the decision
aggregating intuitionistic fuzzy numbers have been proposed makers involved for representing the organization’s competitive
(Xu, 2005; Zhao, Xu, Ni, & Liu, 2010). For example, Xu (2005) strategies. The assessment determination stage is used to
S. Wibowo, H. Deng / Computers & Industrial Engineering 66 (2013) 625–633 629
4. An example
Consensus measures
Table 1
Performance assessments of IDC alternatives.
Table 3
The degree of similarity of decision makers.
Table 4 Table 6
The consistency index of individual decision makers. The overall performance value and ranking of IDC alternatives.
Alternatives Decision makers Consistency index Alternative The performance value Ranking
A1 D1 0.94 A1 0.314 5
D2 0.82 A2 0.279 6
D3 0.72 A3 0.345 4
A2 D1 0.76 A4 0.483 2
D2 0.84 A5 0.441 3
D3 0.81 A6 0.532 1
A3 D1 0.73
D2 0.84
D3 0.79
A4 D1 0.87 To solve the IDC locations evaluation and selection problem, the
D2 0.81 ratings of all available IDC alternatives in regard to decision makers
D3 0.75
D1, D2, and D3 are determined using the intuitionistic fuzzy num-
A5 D1 0.73
D2 0.81 bers. Table 1 shows all the assessments.
D3 0.78 Similarly, the criteria weights for selecting IDC locations can be
A6 D1 0.82 obtained directly from the decision makers D1, D2, and D3 as shown
D2 0.72 in Table 2.
D3 0.75
In this situation, the decision makers have agreed to assign the
consensus threshold value to be at 0.70. This consensus threshold
value is obtained based on the negotiation among the decision
makers on the threshold value that can be accepted for achieving
The Market Potential (C3) of an IDC location focuses on whether consensus agreement.
an IDC is located in an area where consumers have the economic If the consensus threshold value >0.7, it implies a higher degree
means to purchase the products, and whether the needs of the of consistency among the decision makers’ opinions. The smaller
market can be adequately fulfilled. The main areas of interest in the value of consensus threshold value, the lower the degree of
the evaluation and selection process include the product consump- consistency among the decision makers’ opinions.
tion trend in the export market, the presence of internal and exter- Based on all the information provided by the decision makers in
nal competition in the export market, and the current market regards to the performance and criteria weights of all available IDC
position as measured by the broad economic performance stan- location alternatives, the DSS calculates the degree of similarity be-
dards (Robertson & Wood, 2001). tween individual decision makers’ fuzzy assessments and the
The Cultural Perspective (C4) is concerned with the business group fuzzy assessments for the performance ratings and the crite-
attitudes and practices of the local population. This is important ria weights with respect to each criterion using (3) and (4) respec-
because cultural differences increase the uncertainty and the level tively. The results are shown in Table 3.
of risk on the success of the organization’s operations (Robertson & Based on (5), the CI of individual decision makers can be ob-
Wood, 2001). This is measured by customs and social relationships, tained. Table 4 shows the results. The value of CI shown in Table
the degree of cultural unity, national integration and extent of eth- 4 is of one value because it represents the maximum value of S
nic and cultural differences in the foreign market, and cultural dif- and T. This CI value is used to identify whether the assessments
ferences between the export market and the home market (Cheng of individual decision makers are of the acceptable consistency to
& Tsai, 2009). the pre-determined consensus threshold. The larger the value of
Government Policy (C5) is related to the rules and regulations CI, the more consistent the individual decision makers are. A value
set by the local government toward the private sector in an econ- close to 1 indicates a high degree of consensus among the decision
omy. It is about the business friendliness of the organizational makers. A value closer to 0 shows that there is considerable dis-
operations environment in which the IDC is to be located. This agreement among the decision makers.
includes the policy of the foreign government toward private Once consensus has been reached among the decision makers,
organizations, and government regulations or restrictions that the overall intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrix that represents
can affect organization’s daily operations (Wei et al., 2007). the overall performance of each IDC location can be determined
The Infrastructure Capacity (C6) of an IDC is concerned about by (6) and (7). Table 5 shows the results.
the infrastructure development and support provided by the local By applying (8) to the data in Table 5, the scores of the overall
government for the efficient operations of the IDC. This is intuitionistic fuzzy performance value for each IDC location alter-
measured by the physical distribution infrastructure, the commu- native across all the criteria can be calculated. The scores of the
nications infrastructure, the information technology infrastructure, overall intuitionistic fuzzy performance value of the IDC location
and the availability and convenience to access the water and elec- alternatives and their corresponding rankings are shown in Table
tricity supply infrastructure (Farahani, Asgari, Heidari, Hosseininia, 6. Alternative A6 is the most suitable IDC location with the overall
& Goh, 2012). intuitionistic fuzzy performance index value of 0.532.
Table 5
The overall intuitionistic fuzzy decision matrix.
Alternatives C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6
A1 (0.5556, 0.3612) (0.5856, 0.2454) (0.5576, 0.2606) (0.5787, 0.2895) (0.4122, 0.4517) (0.7412, 0.1527)
A2 (0.5276, 0.2201) (0.6000, 0.2201) (0.6280, 0.3120) (0.7105, 0.1848) (0.4786, 0.3210) (0.4276, 0.2347)
A3 (0.6280, 0.2816) (0.6280, 0.2895) (0.2795, 0.3612) (0.4528, 0.4213) (0.5276, 0.4472) (0.6825, 0.3421)
A4 (0.6660, 0.2262) (0.7799, 0.1848) (0.4528, 0.4213) (0.5847, 0.2985) (0.4674, 0.3128) (0.6802, 0.3725)
A5 (0.5856, 0.2454) (0.5276, 0.3368) (0.6360, 0.2642) (0.6239, 0.3279) (0.7997, 0.1489) (0.4276, 0.2347)
A6 (0.7799, 0.1848) (0.4276, 0.3210) (0.6103, 0.2103) (0.5207, 0.3174) (0.7684, 0.3892) (0.6790, 0.2201)
632 S. Wibowo, H. Deng / Computers & Industrial Engineering 66 (2013) 625–633
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