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Candy Probability Worksheet

This document describes an experiment to calculate the probability of drawing candies of different colors from a bag. A student drew 25 candies and recorded the color of each draw. Based on the results, they calculated the probability of each color as 24% red, 8% white, and 68% blue. They then estimated there would be 24 red candies, 8 white candies, and 68 blue candies in a bag of 100 total candies. However, their actual estimates differed from the true numbers of 35 red candies, 15 white candies, and 50 blue candies in the bag. Variables like candy size/weight and mixing could affect the accuracy of the probability estimates.

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Daniela Cordovez Hidalgo
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49 views4 pages

Candy Probability Worksheet

This document describes an experiment to calculate the probability of drawing candies of different colors from a bag. A student drew 25 candies and recorded the color of each draw. Based on the results, they calculated the probability of each color as 24% red, 8% white, and 68% blue. They then estimated there would be 24 red candies, 8 white candies, and 68 blue candies in a bag of 100 total candies. However, their actual estimates differed from the true numbers of 35 red candies, 15 white candies, and 50 blue candies in the bag. Variables like candy size/weight and mixing could affect the accuracy of the probability estimates.

Uploaded by

Daniela Cordovez Hidalgo
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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CANDY COLOR PROBABILITY

# of this color drawn so far


Fill in the chart as candies are drawn from the bag. Fraction Hint:
Total # of draws so far

Fraction of Fraction of Fraction of


Color Drawn
________________ ________________ ________________

Draw #1:
Draw #2:

Draw #3:

Draw #4:

Draw #5:

Draw #6:

Draw #7:

Draw #8:

Draw #9:

Draw #10:

Draw #11:

Draw #12:

Draw #13:

Draw #14:

Draw #15

Draw #16:

Draw #17:

Draw #18:

Draw #19:

Draw #20:

Draw #21:

Draw #22:

Draw #23:

Draw #24:
Draw #25:
CANDY CALCULATIONS
Based on our 25 selections, what is the calculated probability of each color of candy?

Percentage of ____________ # of ________________ candies


= = = %
candies in the sample Total # of candies in the sample

Percentage of ____________ # of ________________ candies


= = = %
candies in the sample Total # of candies in the sample

Percentage of ____________ # of ________________ candies


= = = %
candies in the sample Total # of candies in the sample

Based on the calculated probabilities from our sample, how many of each candy color would
you estimate are in the bag if there are 100 pieces of candy total?

Hint: Multiple each fraction/percentage above by 100.

________________ ________________ ________________

My Estimate:

Actual Number:

What are possible variables that I should consider that might affect the accuracy of my
sample?
TUTOR SAMPLE
# of this color drawn so far
Fill in the chart as candies are drawn from the bag. Fraction Hint:
Total # of draws so far

Fraction of Fraction of Fraction of


Color Drawn
______Red_______ _____White______ _______Blue______

Draw #1: Blue 0/1 0/1 1/1


Draw #2: White 0/2 1/2 1/2

Draw #3: Blue 0/3 1/3 2/3

Draw #4: Blue 0/4 1/4 3/4

Draw #5: Blue 0/5 1/5 4/5

Draw #6: White 0/6 2/6 4/6

Draw #7: Red 1/7 2/7 4/7

Draw #8: Blue 1/8 2/8 5/8

Draw #9: Blue 1/9 2/9 6/9

Draw #10: Red 2/10 2/10 6/10

Draw #11: Blue 2/11 2/11 7/11

Draw #12: Blue 2/12 2/12 8/12

Draw #13: Blue 2/13 2/13 9/13

Draw #14: Blue 2/14 2/14 10/14

Draw #15: Blue 2/15 2/15 11/15

Draw #16: Blue 2/16 2/16 12/16

Draw #17: Red 3/17 2/17 12/17

Draw #18: Blue 3/18 2/18 13/18

Draw #19: Blue 3/19 2/19 14/19

Draw #20: Red 4/20 2/20 14/20

Draw #21: Red 5/21 2/21 14/21

Draw #22: Blue 5/22 2/22 15/22

Draw #23: Blue 5/23 2/23 16/23

Draw #24: Red 6/24 2/24 16/24


Draw #25: Blue 6/25 2/25 17/25
TUTOR SAMPLE
Based on our 25 selections, what is the calculated probability of each color of candy?

Percentage of ____Red_____ # of _______Red______ candies 6


= = = 24 %
candies in the sample Total # of candies in the sample 25

Percentage of ___White____ # of _____White______ candies 2


= = = 8%
candies in the sample Total # of candies in the sample 25

Percentage of ___Blue_____ # of ______Blue______ candies 17


= = = 68 %
candies in the sample Total # of candies in the sample 25

Based on the calculated probabilities from our sample, how many of each candy color would
you estimate are in the bag if there are 100 pieces of candy total?

Hint: Multiple each fraction/percentage above by 100.

_______Red______ ______White_____ ______Blue______

My Estimate: 24 8 68

Actual Number: 35 15 50

What are possible variables that I should consider that might affect the accuracy of my
sample?
Size or weight of the candies (if some were smaller or lighter than others), if they were layered in the
bag instead of evenly mixed, etc.

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