Prime Minister Agriculture Modernization Project-Maize Zone Office, Banke
Prime Minister Agriculture Modernization Project-Maize Zone Office, Banke
Prime Minister Agriculture Modernization Project-Maize Zone Office, Banke
Submitted to:
Submitted by:
Eight Semester
Rampur, Chitwan
Intern, Banke
AUGUST, 2020
Table of Contents
Abstract .................................................................................................................................................. 7
1. Introduction ........................................................................................................................................ 9
1.1. Background................................................................................................................................... 9
1.2. Statement of problem ................................................................................................................... 9
1.3 Objectives .................................................................................................................................... 10
1.4 Scope and limitations of study ..................................................................................................... 10
2. Literature Review .............................................................................................................................. 11
2.1. General introduction ............................................................................................................... 11
2.2. Status of maize production in Nepal and Banke district ............................................................... 11
2.3 Value Chain Activities in Maize Farm Business.............................................................................. 12
2.4 Uses of Maize and Maize Products ............................................................................................... 13
2.5 Maize Demand and Supply Situation ............................................................................................ 13
2.6 Maize Grain Price Situation .......................................................................................................... 15
3. Methodology ..................................................................................................................................... 15
3.1. Lee site ....................................................................................................................................... 15
3.2 Instruments and Design ............................................................................................................... 17
3.3 Data & Data Types ....................................................................................................................... 17
3.4 Data Analysis & Techniques ......................................................................................................... 17
3.4.1 Cost of production ................................................................................................................ 17
3.4.2 Benefit Cost Ratio ................................................................................................................. 18
3.4.3 Cost per unit product ............................................................................................................ 18
4. Result and Discussions ....................................................................................................................... 19
4.1 Learning from farm business and Sub-sector ................................................................................ 19
4.2 Learning from the organization and concerned stakeholders ....................................................... 19
4.3 PESTIEL Analysis: ......................................................................................................................... 20
4.3.1 Political factor ....................................................................................................................... 20
4.3.2 Environmental factor ............................................................................................................ 21
4.3.3 Social factor .......................................................................................................................... 21
4.3.4 Technological factor .............................................................................................................. 21
4.3.5 Institutional factor ................................................................................................................ 22
4.3.6 Economic factor .................................................................................................................... 22
4.3.7 Legal factor ........................................................................................................................... 22
4.4 SWOT analysis ............................................................................................................................. 22
4.4.1 From View Point Of Producer ................................................................................................ 22
4.4.2 From View Point Of Collectors/ Local traders ........................................................................ 23
4.4.3 From View point of Feed industries ....................................................................................... 24
4.5 Business plan including cost of production, B:C ratio, production cost per unit and sensitivity analysis
.......................................................................................................................................................... 25
5. Key lesson learned and learning......................................................................................................... 28
6. Conclusion ......................................................................................................................................... 28
7. Recommendation .............................................................................................................................. 29
7.1 To the farmers and proponents ................................................................................................... 29
7.2 To the other business actor .......................................................................................................... 29
7.3 To the government and other stakeholders ................................................................................. 30
7.4 To the next internee .................................................................................................................... 30
References ............................................................................................................................................ 31
Annexes ................................................................................................................................................ 32
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1. Area, Production and Productivity of maize of Banke District ................................................................. 12
Table 2. Monthly foreign trade statistics based on first eight month data of fiscal year 2073/74 ............................. 14
Table 3. Average cost of production & margin per hectare for seed production in Banke ...................................... 26
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1.. Area and Production trend of maize crop in Nepal since four years (2069/70-2072/23)................. 12
Figure 2. Figure showing study site ..................................................................................................................... 16
LIST OF ANNEX
Annex 1. Area, production and productivity of maize in Nepal and Banke district (2011/12-2016/17) .................... 32
Annex 2. Calculation of Benefit Cost Ratio .......................................................................................................... 33
Annex 3. Sensitivity Analysis by increasing total cost by 10% in maize seed production........................................ 33
Annex 4. Sensitivity Analysis by decreasing revenue by 10% in maize seed production ......................................... 34
Acronyms and Abbreviation
DADO District Agriculture Development Office
PM-AMP Prime Minister Agriculture Modernization Project
MoF Ministry of Finance
ADS Agriculture Development Strategy
APP Agriculture Perspective Plan
NMRP National Maize Research Program
MoAC Ministry of Agriculture & Cooperatives
VDC Village Development Committee
Kg Kilogram
Qt Quintal
MT/t Metric Ton
MoAD Ministry of Agriculture Development
CBS Central Bureau of Statistics
FY Fiscal Year
NARC Nepal Agriculture Research Council
LEE Learning for Entrepreneurial Experience
Ha Hectare
SPSS Statistical Package for Social Sciences
NRs Nepali Rupees
MS-Excel Microsoft Excel
FGD Focus Group Discussion
KII Key Informant Interview
NSCoA National Sample Census of Agriculture
CIMMYT International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center
NFEA National Feed Establishment Association
Abstract
Maize (Zea mays L.) is one of the major food crops of Nepal ranked second after rice in terms of
area and production. Subsector business analysis survey of Maize was conducted in April to
August in Duduwa, Maize zone, Banke. The farmer's interview, Key Informant's Interview, Focus
Group Discussion and Rapid Market Appraisal were used to collect the primary data while
secondary information were collected by reviewing different publications mainly produced by
Market Development Directorate, Department of Agriculture, Ministry of Agriculture
Development, Central Bureau of Statistics, Nepal Agricultural Research Council, District
Agricultural Development Office, Banke. Progressive farmers were purposively interviewed for
the collection of primary data. Establishment of the maize as agro-enterprise in Banke district was
feasible in terms of political, social, economical, legal, environmental, technological, and
institutional aspects. The study findings revealed that the cultivation of maize was feasible in
Banke with profit amount of Rs. 24329.80 and Benefit Cost ratio of 1.35 in average. Upon doing
the sensitivity analysis of the business at cost increased by 10 percent and income decreased by 10
percent ,the business was still found feasible with BC ratio of 1.228 and 1.215 (i.e.>1) respectively.
Farmers were earning a good income through traditional farming practice but commercialization
and mechanization were still in primitive stage. Further increment of production and income can
be done through use of modern technology. The finding of research will provide clear guidelines
for policy makers and help them allocate efficient resource for NGOs and INGOs while conducting
maize related production, marketing or business activities.Furthermore, major production
constraints faced by farmers were high incidence of disease/insect/pest, scarcity of irrigation water,
lack of availability of fertilizers in required time and amount , lack of quality seed, lack of proper
mechanization, and labor shortage. Similarly, the major marketing problems faced by growers
were low marketing price, lack of market information, wholesalers/retailers dominancy over
market, lack of storage and poor linkage with market actors. This analysis explored the feasibility
of maize production, SWOT analysis, PESTIEL analysis and major problems in maize production
and marketing in Banke district.
1. Introduction
1.1. Background
Nepal is an agricultural country where 65.6% of people are engaged in agriculture and which contributes
28% to the total GDP of the country (NRB,2018). Nepal exports agricultural products of worth $ 1.14 billion
out of which cereals alone worth $ 410 million (MOALD, 2017). Nepalese economy is in the stage of
structural transformation as the share of service sector is increasing with decrease in share by
agricultural sector. As most people are adopting subsistence and traditional farming, the country’s
development is not possible without modernization, commercialization, mechanization and
industrialization in agriculture (PM-AMP, 2016/17).
Maize (zea mays) is the primary stable and widely grown cereal in the world. In Nepal, maize is second
most important crop after rice with production of 2,231,517 metric ton and productivity of 2.5 ton/ha
(Ministry of Agriculture,2017). It is staple food crop of hilly region where 86% of the total produce is used
for human consumption where as in terai only 20% is used for human consumption and rest is used to
make feed for livestock and poultry (Ransom, Paudyal, and Adhikari , 2003). With rapid increase of poultry
industry the demand of maize has been increasing rapidly and the supply is unable to fulfill the demand
of maize. Hence, there seems an utmost action to be carried immediately to increase the production of
maize.
Besides human power and animal power are still the main sources of farm power. Men
engagement in other profession has lead to increased women drudgery and child labor in
agriculture. Furthermore, traditional practices being labor intensive adversely affects timeliness of
each operations, thereby reducing the yield. Thus, to overcome the gap between attainable and
potential yield, the only option is to increase the production within the constant limited land area
through the use of modern agriculture techniques and equipment. The traditional cultivation
practices, low technology adoption and poor mechanization have overall effect on production on
maize.
1.3 Objectives
The broad objective of this study was to identify the current status of maize production
technology with its opportunities and constraints to make further strategies and programs.
The objectives of the study are as follows:
a. To know the socio-economic condition of maize farmers.
b. To analyze the method adopted by farmers for maize cultivation.
c. To conduct business analysis of the maize crop as farm business.
d. To know various factors that has effect on the maize production, marketing and
utilization on the study site.
1.4 Scope and limitations of study
This survey explored the existing cost of production, its opportunities,
economic feasibility, and constraints of maize production in Banke district.
Since Nepal has wide range of diverse agro-ecology and environmental
conditions, the result of the study may have limitations to make generalizations
and make them applicable to the country as a whole .However, it may be useful
for areas with similar context with the study areas. The size of the sample taken
may not be adequate. Likewise, farmer do not have knowledge about keeping
record on various cost on items, labor, inputs, etc., the exact data on those
particulars are not obtained. The relevancy of the information lies on the
assumption that the respondents have given true information. Time and budget
constraints were also major limitation of the study.
2. Literature Review
Maize has become a staple food in many parts of the world. However, little of this maize is consumed
directly by humans; most is used for ethanol, animal feed and other maize products, such as corn starch and
corn syrup. Maize is one of the earning grain crops and it perhaps the most versatile. By 2050 demand for
maize will double in the developing world, and maize is predicted to become the crop with greater
production globally, and in the developing world by 2025 (Rosegrant et al.2008)
2071/72
2070/71
2069/70
Figure 1.. Area and Production trend of maize crop in Nepal since four years (2069/70-2072/23)
However, analyzing the trend of production of maize, productivity of maize in Banke district is
less than that of national productivity.
Table 1. Area, Production and Productivity of maize of Banke District
Table 2. Monthly foreign trade statistics based on first eight month data of fiscal year 2073/74
3. Methodology
3.1. Lee site
The study was conducted in Duduwa rural municipality and Nepalgunj ward no.16 of Banke
district. Banke is terai district that lies in Mid-western region. The site is located 10-15 km south
east from Nepalgunj town and connected with Surkhet-Nepalgunj highway and some other sub
roads. The study area was selected purposively based on area of coverage of maize production,
number of maize growing farmers, production of maize and access to road facility. Based on these,
Duduwa area was selected to fulfill the aforementioned objectives. The map of Nepal showing
study district and study site is presented in figure 2.
Figure 2. Figure showing study site
3.2 Instruments and Design
At first, sampling frame was prepared by using various sources of information such as key
informants of the study areas, and village development committee (VDC). The progressive farmer
engaged in maize cultivation were selected as sampling unit. 60 commercial maize growers, three
of the agro vets and the feed industry of the selected VDCs had been sampled for the study through
simple random sampling
Total cost = ∑ of cost incurred in all the variable items + ∑ Summation of cost
incurred in all the fixed items
𝐵𝑡
∑𝑛𝑡=1
(1 + 𝑖 )𝑡
𝐵𝐶 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 =
𝐶𝑡
∑𝑛𝑡=1
(1 + 𝑖 )𝑡
Where,
Bt = incremental benefit in t th period due to farm enterprise
Ct=incremental cost in t th period due to farm enterprise
n= number of years
i=interest rate
Keeping farm enterprise by farmer will be financially feasible if the present worth of
incremental benefits is greater than the present worth of the incremental cost due to
farm enterprise or in other words B-C ratio exceeds one.
Cost per unit product = total cost of production / total volume of product in
quintal
4. Result and Discussions
4.1 Learning from farm business and Sub-sector
Maize being the common commodity for all the commercial farmers in the area, hybrid maize
cultivation under mechanization is one of the most profitable enterprise which provides with
better returns to the farmers within short duration. This business enterprise requires scientific
and technical way of management and cultivation practices for the better yield. In order to
increase the production and to reduce cost of production, different management practices
should be performed initially from time of sowing to the harvesting of the product. Though
farmers have the problem regarding insect/pest or fertilizers supply prevailing in this year, but
the major problem they are facing since years is with selection of appropriate seeds, easy
irrigation facilities and high labor cost. Likewise, Supply of the adequate level of organic
fertilizers and right dose of chemical fertilizers in right time is the major challenge seen as they
are not aware of nutrient requirement difference for hybrid, improved and local maize varieties.
Maintenance of the quality of maize (i.e. appropriate moisture level of the grains after harvest)
is another important factor for better marketing of the maize as higher moisture level
deteriorate the feed quality. Occurrence of heavy rainfall is the major problem faced during
summer maize. Soil erosion by wind and no or less use of organic manure is major reason for
soil fertility degradation and sustainability of agriculture is in danger.
Unlike vegetables, maize do not have definite market, so, contract farming with feed industry
could encourage maize farmers to increase area and production under maize.
Opportunities Threats
suitable climate and soil Changing Rainfall Pattern
increasing demand of maize Insect and Disease incidence
(nationally and internationally) Increasing Transportation cost
increasing access to road and High Labor Cost
transportation Continuous load shedding
establishment of Zone of maize
in Banke
Establishment of post-harvest
Centre
Establishment of Large feed
industries
Strength Weakness
Access to the roads and low amount of collection
transportation Door to Door collection is
GroupWise Collection From difficult to carry out.
Cooperatives/ farmers group Inability of grading for quality
Ability to pay Cash for maize Lack of access to PAN no.
Nice coordination between local Lack of own storage house.
traders and urban traders
Opportunities Threats
All year-round maize production Constant Price Since long time
Increasing number of maize Quality maintenance for
farmers competition with Indian maize
Feed industry Establishment in Increasing Transportation Cost
zone area Strike/pandemic
Opportunities Threats
Few large feed industry in zone low quantity of maize production
area locally
increasing poultry industries lack of timely and quality supply
number and demand for poultry of ingredients from local sources
feed import duties on ingredients very
potential for winter maize high
expansion in zone area Due to open border, indian prices
dominate the local maarket
prices.
4.5 Business plan including cost of production, B:C ratio, production cost per unit and
sensitivity analysis
Seed is basic and the most critical input for sustainable agriculture. A seed enterprise involves
producing and selling quality seed to farmers. The use of hybrids is common in maize in Nepal.
It is due to the commercialization, and easy availability of hybrid seeds in agro-vets (though
costlier). Unavailability and poor quality source seeds of national open pollinated varieties
(OPVs) is also forcing farmers to use hybrid seeds.
Here is the business plan for production of improved seeds of maize. The business plan is
prepared by using the data collected from the survey. It includes the cost of the production
which was the summation of variable cost like cost of seeds, fertilizers, pesticides, land
preparation, management cost, maintenance and repair cost etc. while the fixed cost includes
land rent , interest for the loan and depreciation cost. The seed production can be done in 3
season for a year. The cost of production is found to be Rs. 54970.40 with net profit of Rs.
24329.80 per season (4 months periods) and production cost per is Rs 39.25. Similarly, the
benefit cost ratio is found to be 1.35 (refers to Annex 2.). A sensitivity analysis is done by
increasing the variable cost by 10 % and decreasing gross revenue by 10% in which B/C ratio
was found still greater than means the maize seed enterprise is feasible in such adverse
condition also (refers to Annex 3. & Annex 4. ).
Table 3. Average cost of production & margin per hectare for seed production in Banke
6. Conclusion
It is undoubtedly that maize cultivation has become an integral component of the Nepalese
economy as it contribute to the national GDP and have been a major source of income to rural
farmers, employment opportunity and help in poverty reduction. The agro-ecological diversity
and climatic suitability both have been boon for the people of the Banke for the commercial
cultivation of the maize. The climate supports the production of maize all year round so the
commercial farmers have been able to get a good price. Maize is rising industrial crop with
assurance of market in the area. So, most of the people are attracted towards maize farm
business as it costs lower than rice production. With establishment of custom hiring center and
post-harvest center through zone implementation unit, PMAMP, farmers are encouraged to
increase area under maize cultivation.
7. Recommendation
7.1 To the farmers and proponents
The farmers should be able to utilize the comparative advantage of the agro-climate and
produce maize all year round as it will provide the better income throughout the year. Although
they are earning a good income through traditional farming practice but the main mistake I o
was observed was in the use of doses of fertilizer in right quantity as per recommendation.
Likewise, the maize grains from domestic level cannot compete with Indian products in
quality, quantity and price. In such situation, uses of recommended hybrid varieties, farming
through mechanization, conservation farming technology adoption, uses of adequate quantity
of both organic and inorganic fertilizers at right dose and right time along with appropriate
plant population maintenance can help to increase yield per hectare and decrease production
cost. Similarly, for the use of machineries major constraints is land fragmentation and plotting,
so, farmers should be encouraged to perform land pooling through provision of more subsidies
on seed, fertilizers and farm equipment and machineries.
References
Cowieson. (2005). factors that affect the nutritional value of maize for broilers. animal feed science and
technology, 293-305.
DADO. (2017). Annual agriculture development program an statistics . banke: department of agriculture.
Ransom, J.,Paudyal ,K.,& Adhikari,K. (2003). Adoption of Improved Maize Varities in the Hills of Nepal.
Journal of International Association of Agricultural Economics,299-305 .
Rosegrant , M.R., Ringler,C., Sulser, T.B., Ewing, M., Batka,M., . (2008). Agriculture and Food Security Under
Global Change ;Prospects for 2025/2050. Washington DC: IFPRI.
Sapkota, D. ,& Pokhrel , S. (2010). Community based Maize seed Production in the Hills and Mountains of
Nepal. Agronomy Journal of Nepal,107-112.
Timsina, K. (2016). Maize production in mid hills of Nepal:from food to feed security. journal of maize
research and development.
Annexes
Annex 1. Area, production and productivity of maize in Nepal and Banke district (2011/12-2016/17)
Year Nepal
Banke
Area Production Productivity Area Production Productivity
(ha) (Mt) (kg/ha) (ha) (t) (kg/ha)
2011/12 871,387 2,179,414 2.50 8,547 20,065 2.35
2012/13 849,635 1,999,010 2.35 10,697 29,760 2.78
2013/14 928761 2,283,222 2.45 8,500 15,300 1.80
2014/15 882365 2,145,291 2.43 8,900 19,238 2.15
2015/16 891583 2,231,517 2.50 8,500 18,863 2.21
2016/17 900,288 2,300,121 2.55 8,500 17,300 2.03
2017/18 954,158 2,555,847 2.67 9,034 19,569 2.16
2018/19 956,447 2,713,635 2.83 9,183 20,386 2.22
Year 1 2 3
Annex 3. Sensitivity Analysis by increasing total cost by 10% in maize seed production
Year 1 2 3
Total Cost 54970.40 54970.40 54970.40
cost increased by 10% 60467.44 60467.44 60467.44
Total Revenue 74260 74260 74260
13792.56 13792.56
incremental benefit 13792.56
Revenue @ 10% discount
rate 66834 60893.2 55695
Cost @ 10% discount rate 54420.696 49583.3008 45350.58
B/C RATIO 1.22809 1.22809 1.22809
Annex 4. Sensitivity Analysis by decreasing revenue by 10% in maize seed production
Year 1 2 3
Total Cost 54970.40 54970.40 54970.40
Total Revenue 74260 74260 74260
revenue decreased by 10% 66834 66834 66834
11863.6 11863.6
incremental benefit 11863.6
Revenue @ 10% discount
rate 60150.6 54803.88 50125.5
Cost @ 10% discount rate 49473.36 45075.728 41227.8
B/C RATIO 1.215 1.215 1.215