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Whirlpool Europe

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Whirlpool
Europe
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Context

 Whirlpool Corporation joined with Dutch-based Phillips Elect


ronics to form Whirlpool International BV in 1989($407 M,
53%)

 WIBV bought out Phillips stake for full ownersship in 1991


($600 M, 47%)

 Many pan Europen brands created: Whirlpool,Bauknecht, Ig


nis, Laden, etc.

 11 Manufacturing Plants(10 Eu, 1 Africa) and 12 Distributio


n centers

 6,900 SKUs
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Delivery Route

Central distrribution centers


12 regional
Plants distribution
Central distrribution centers centers

What is the main problem exi


st in the delivery route?
What is the consquence to thi
s problem?
How could we solve this probl
em?
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Project Atlantic
Increase the efficiency of the distribution process
Goal Enhance spot goods' deliverability

 is a business management software that a company can us


e to collect, store, manage and interpret data from many business activities

Better serve its consumer Allow a country sales offic


market for stand-alone appli e to view product throughout
ances and contract market f the supply chain, and increa
or built-in appliances and red se the efficiency of the distri
uce its incentory by 12 days bution process.
of sales.
Procide some integration Allow Whirlpool to build pr
with suppliers and to increas oducts to specific orders fro
e inventory visibility across t m contractors.
he supply chain.
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Methodology
Four-wave Analysis
West Wave:
Forecasts(Pre-ERP) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Units (000s) 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139
Revenue ($000s) 477,784 477,784 477,784 477,784 477,784 477,784 477,784 477,784 477,784
Margin ($000s) 58,859 58,859 58,859 58,859 58,859 58,859 58,859 58,859 58,859
COGS ($000s) 418,925 418,925 418,925 418,925 418,925 418,925 418,925 418,925 418,925
Price per unit 210.372 210.372 210.372 210.372 210.372 210.372 210.372 210.372 210.372
COGS per unit 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456
Margin per unit 25.916 25.916 25.916 25.916 25.916 25.916 25.916 25.916 25.916
Percentage margin 12.32% 12.32% 12.32% 12.32% 12.32% 12.32% 12.32% 12.32% 12.32%
DSI 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45
Inventory 51,648.288 51,648.288 51,648.288 51,648.288 51,648.288 51,648.288 51,648.288 51,648.288 51,648.288

What is DSI ( Days Sales of Inventory)?

DSI=Ending Inventory /(COGS/Days in Period)

Ending Inventory =DSI *( COGS/ Days in Period)


Additional Units and DSI reduction:
Improvements in DSI and availability by Year
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
West 25% 40% 35%

Calculation of additional Units 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Pre-ERP units(000s) 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139
Pre-ERP Availability 73.50% 73.50% 73.50% 73.50% 73.50% 73.50% 73.50% 73.50% 73.50%
Target Availability 92.00% 92.00% 92.00% 92.00% 92.00% 92.00% 92.00% 92.00% 92.00%
Increase in availability 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17%
Additional Sales 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00%
Percentage improvement 0.00% 25.00% 40.00% 35.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Additional units in year(000s) 0.000 35.728 57.165 50.019 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Additional units(000s) 0.000 35.728 92.893 142.912 142.912 142.912 142.912 142.912 142.912

Calculation of inventory savings 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Target DSI reduction 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
Percentage improvement 0% 25% 40% 35% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
DSI reduction in year 0 3 4.8 4.2 0 0 0 0 0
DSI reduction 0 3 7.8 12 12 12 12 12 12
Post- ERP Forecast:
Cumulative Margin Improvement by Year
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
West 0.06% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25%

Forecasts(Post-ERP) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Units (000s) 2271.139 2306.867 2364.032 2414.051 2414.051 2414.051 2414.051 2414.051 2414.051

DSI (Days) 45 42 37 33 33 33 33 33 33

Percentage margin 12.32% 12.38% 12.57% 12.57% 12.57% 12.57% 12.57% 12.57% 12.57%

COGS per unit(S) 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456

COGS ($000s) 418,925.000 425,515.232 436,059.602 445,285.927 445,285.927 445,285.927 445,285.927 445,285.927 445,285.927

Revenue ($000s) 477,784.000 485,632.478 498,748.071 509,300.783 509,300.783 509,300.783 509,300.783 509,300.783 509,300.783

Margin ($000s) 58,859.000 60,117.246 62,688.469 64,014.857 64,014.857 64,014.857 64,014.857 64,014.857 64,014.857

Price per unit ($) 210.372 210.516 210.974 210.974 210.974 210.974 210.974 210.974 210.974

Margin per unit ($) 25.916 26.060 26.518 26.518 26.518 26.518 26.518 26.518 26.518

Inventory ($000s) 51,648.288 48,963.397 44,442.239 40,258.728 40,258.728 40,258.728 40,258.728 40,258.728 40,258.728

Revenue= COGS/(1- Percentage Margin)


Company-level Forecast:
Forecasts(Pre-ERP) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Units (000s) 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909
Revenue ($000s) 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859

Margin ($000s) 178,596 178,596 178,596 178,596 178,596 178,596 178,596 178,596 178,596

COGS ($000s) 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263

Inventory($000s) 148,696.841 148,696.841 148,696.841 148,696.841 148,696.836 148,696.836 148,696.836 148,696.836 148,696.836

Forecasts(Post-ERP) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Units (000s) 6,107.91 6,143.64 6,214.07 6,298.60 6,342.70 6,367.64 6,375.27 6,375.27 6,375.27

Revenue ($000s) 1,227,859.00 1,235,707.48 1,251,822.66 1,269,932.58 1,279,205.22 1,284,410.28 1,285,899.99 1,285,899.99 1,285,899.99

Margin ($000s) 178,596.00 179,854.25 183,201.19 186,733.85 188,952.96 190,097.65 190,259.51 190,259.51 190,259.51

COGS ($000s) 1,049,263.00 1,055,853.23 1,068,621.47 1,083,198.73 1,090,252.26 1,094,312.63 1,095,640.47 1,095,640.47 1,095,640.47

Inventory($000s) 148,696.84 146,011.95 139,045.27 130,616.25 124,397.82 120,632.68 119,103.23 119,103.23 119,103.23

Forecasts(Increment) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Units (000s) 0.00 35.73 106.16 190.70 234.79 259.73 267.36 267.36 267.36
Revenue ($000s) 0.00 7848.48 23963.66 42073.58 51346.22 56551.28 58040.99 58040.99 58040.99

Margin ($000s) 0.00 1258.25 4605.19 8137.85 10356.96 11501.65 11663.51 11663.51 11663.51
COGS ($000s) 0.00 6590.23 19358.47 33935.73 40989.26 45049.63 46377.47 46377.47 46377.47

Inventory($000s) 0.00 (2,684.89) (9,651.57) (18,080.59) (24,299.01) (28,064.16) (29,593.61) (29,593.61) (29,593.61)

Change in NWC($000s) (2,684.89) (6,966.68) (8,429.02) (6,218.42) (3,765.14) (1,529.45) 0.00 0.00
Analysis
Forecastthe simplified income statement without the
ERP system, the incremental costs/benefits of the ERP
system, and then a simplified income statement with the
ERP system.

Get the firm’s simplified income statement without ERP


and with ERP, with which we can easily calculate the
firm’s total revenue, cost and change in NWC.

Compute the NPV regarding the adoption of the ERP


system.
Estimating Incremental Cash
Flows
Revenues
COGS

- Operating Expenses

- Depreciation
= EBIT

- Taxes(at 40%)

= Earnings after tax


+ Depreciation

- Capital expenditure
- Change in NWC/Working Capital Investment
+ After-Tax Proceeds from Sale of Equipment

= Cash flow
Cash Flows and
Valuation($000s) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 11
2007

Revenue 0.00 7,848.48 23,963.66 42,073.58 51,346.22 56,551.28 58,040.99 58,040.99 58,040.99

COGS 0.00 6,590.23 19,358.47 33,935.73 40,989.26 45,049.63 46,377.47 46,377.47 46,377.47

Operating Expenses 6,361.20 4,892.20 4,394.60 3,745.20 700.00 243.00 -103.00 -134.00 -166.00

Depreciation 0 980 2,760 4,140 4,960 4,960 3,980 2,200 820

EBIT -6,361.20 -4,613.95 -2,549.41 252.65 4,696.96 6,298.65 7,786.51 9,597.51 11,009.51

Taxes at 40% -2,544.48 -1,845.58 -1,019.76 101.06 1,878.78 2,519.46 3,114.60 3,839.00 4,403.80

EAT -3,816.72 -2,768.37 -1,529.65 151.59 2,818.17 3,779.19 4,671.91 5,758.51 6,605.71

Cash Flow Adjustments:

Plus Depreciation 0.00 980.00 2,760.00 4,140.00 4,960.00 4,960.00 3,980.00 2,200.00 820.00

Minus CAPX 4,900.00 8,900.00 6,900.00 4,100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Minus Working Capital
investment 0.00 -2,684.89 -6,966.68 -8,429.02 -6,218.42 -3,765.14 -1,529.45 0.00 0.00

Cash Flow -8,716.72 -8,003.48 1,297.04 8,620.61 13,996.59 12,504.34 10,181.36 7,958.51 7,425.71

Terminal Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Discounted Cash Flow(9%) -8,716.72 -7,342.64 1,091.69 6,656.69 9,915.54 8,126.96 6,070.81 4,353.58 3,726.71
- -
Sum of Discounted Cash Flows -8,716.72 16,059.36 14,967.67 -8,310.98 1,604.56 9,731.52 15,802.33 20,155.90 23,882.62
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Recommendation : NPV
 Net Present Value is the difference between
the present value of cash inflows and the
present value of cash outflows.
 Used to analyze the profitability of a project
 We typically base our capital budgeting
decision on the project’s NPV since it takes
into consideration the Time Value of Money.
 It provides the most reliable profitability
decision.
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Recommendation: IRR

The Internal Rate of Return is the


discount rate that makes the NPV of a
project equal to zero. We desire a higher
IRR and at the least, it should be higher
than the firm’s required rate of return.
IRR always gives the same investment
decision as the NPV.
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Recommendation: Whirlpool
Europe
 NPV = $23,882,000
 IRR = 35%
 TheNPV is positive so we should accept the
new Enterprise Resource Planning System in
order to add wealth to the company.
 This goes along with the key goal of maximizing
shareholder wealth.
 TheIRR is greater than the firm’s cost of
capital of 9%. We should accept the project
based on the IRR as well.
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Recommendation: Conclusion

 Overall,
we recommend that the new
ERP system be implemented.
 By utilizing the process in the case and
following the wave schedule, we see a
positive NPV, a high IRR and ultimately,
wealth creation for Whirlpool Europe.

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