Whirlpool Europe
Whirlpool Europe
Whirlpool Europe
Whirlpool
Europe
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Context
6,900 SKUs
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Delivery Route
Calculation of additional Units 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Pre-ERP units(000s) 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139 2,271.139
Pre-ERP Availability 73.50% 73.50% 73.50% 73.50% 73.50% 73.50% 73.50% 73.50% 73.50%
Target Availability 92.00% 92.00% 92.00% 92.00% 92.00% 92.00% 92.00% 92.00% 92.00%
Increase in availability 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17%
Additional Sales 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00%
Percentage improvement 0.00% 25.00% 40.00% 35.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Additional units in year(000s) 0.000 35.728 57.165 50.019 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Additional units(000s) 0.000 35.728 92.893 142.912 142.912 142.912 142.912 142.912 142.912
Calculation of inventory savings 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Target DSI reduction 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
Percentage improvement 0% 25% 40% 35% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
DSI reduction in year 0 3 4.8 4.2 0 0 0 0 0
DSI reduction 0 3 7.8 12 12 12 12 12 12
Post- ERP Forecast:
Cumulative Margin Improvement by Year
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
West 0.06% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25% 0.25%
Forecasts(Post-ERP) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Units (000s) 2271.139 2306.867 2364.032 2414.051 2414.051 2414.051 2414.051 2414.051 2414.051
DSI (Days) 45 42 37 33 33 33 33 33 33
Percentage margin 12.32% 12.38% 12.57% 12.57% 12.57% 12.57% 12.57% 12.57% 12.57%
COGS per unit(S) 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456 184.456
COGS ($000s) 418,925.000 425,515.232 436,059.602 445,285.927 445,285.927 445,285.927 445,285.927 445,285.927 445,285.927
Revenue ($000s) 477,784.000 485,632.478 498,748.071 509,300.783 509,300.783 509,300.783 509,300.783 509,300.783 509,300.783
Margin ($000s) 58,859.000 60,117.246 62,688.469 64,014.857 64,014.857 64,014.857 64,014.857 64,014.857 64,014.857
Price per unit ($) 210.372 210.516 210.974 210.974 210.974 210.974 210.974 210.974 210.974
Margin per unit ($) 25.916 26.060 26.518 26.518 26.518 26.518 26.518 26.518 26.518
Inventory ($000s) 51,648.288 48,963.397 44,442.239 40,258.728 40,258.728 40,258.728 40,258.728 40,258.728 40,258.728
Units (000s) 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909 6,107.909
Revenue ($000s) 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859 1,227,859
Margin ($000s) 178,596 178,596 178,596 178,596 178,596 178,596 178,596 178,596 178,596
COGS ($000s) 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263 1,049,263
Inventory($000s) 148,696.841 148,696.841 148,696.841 148,696.841 148,696.836 148,696.836 148,696.836 148,696.836 148,696.836
Forecasts(Post-ERP) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Units (000s) 6,107.91 6,143.64 6,214.07 6,298.60 6,342.70 6,367.64 6,375.27 6,375.27 6,375.27
Revenue ($000s) 1,227,859.00 1,235,707.48 1,251,822.66 1,269,932.58 1,279,205.22 1,284,410.28 1,285,899.99 1,285,899.99 1,285,899.99
Margin ($000s) 178,596.00 179,854.25 183,201.19 186,733.85 188,952.96 190,097.65 190,259.51 190,259.51 190,259.51
COGS ($000s) 1,049,263.00 1,055,853.23 1,068,621.47 1,083,198.73 1,090,252.26 1,094,312.63 1,095,640.47 1,095,640.47 1,095,640.47
Inventory($000s) 148,696.84 146,011.95 139,045.27 130,616.25 124,397.82 120,632.68 119,103.23 119,103.23 119,103.23
Forecasts(Increment) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Units (000s) 0.00 35.73 106.16 190.70 234.79 259.73 267.36 267.36 267.36
Revenue ($000s) 0.00 7848.48 23963.66 42073.58 51346.22 56551.28 58040.99 58040.99 58040.99
Margin ($000s) 0.00 1258.25 4605.19 8137.85 10356.96 11501.65 11663.51 11663.51 11663.51
COGS ($000s) 0.00 6590.23 19358.47 33935.73 40989.26 45049.63 46377.47 46377.47 46377.47
Inventory($000s) 0.00 (2,684.89) (9,651.57) (18,080.59) (24,299.01) (28,064.16) (29,593.61) (29,593.61) (29,593.61)
Change in NWC($000s) (2,684.89) (6,966.68) (8,429.02) (6,218.42) (3,765.14) (1,529.45) 0.00 0.00
Analysis
Forecastthe simplified income statement without the
ERP system, the incremental costs/benefits of the ERP
system, and then a simplified income statement with the
ERP system.
- Operating Expenses
- Depreciation
= EBIT
- Taxes(at 40%)
- Capital expenditure
- Change in NWC/Working Capital Investment
+ After-Tax Proceeds from Sale of Equipment
= Cash flow
Cash Flows and
Valuation($000s) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 11
2007
Revenue 0.00 7,848.48 23,963.66 42,073.58 51,346.22 56,551.28 58,040.99 58,040.99 58,040.99
COGS 0.00 6,590.23 19,358.47 33,935.73 40,989.26 45,049.63 46,377.47 46,377.47 46,377.47
Operating Expenses 6,361.20 4,892.20 4,394.60 3,745.20 700.00 243.00 -103.00 -134.00 -166.00
EBIT -6,361.20 -4,613.95 -2,549.41 252.65 4,696.96 6,298.65 7,786.51 9,597.51 11,009.51
Taxes at 40% -2,544.48 -1,845.58 -1,019.76 101.06 1,878.78 2,519.46 3,114.60 3,839.00 4,403.80
EAT -3,816.72 -2,768.37 -1,529.65 151.59 2,818.17 3,779.19 4,671.91 5,758.51 6,605.71
Plus Depreciation 0.00 980.00 2,760.00 4,140.00 4,960.00 4,960.00 3,980.00 2,200.00 820.00
Minus CAPX 4,900.00 8,900.00 6,900.00 4,100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Minus Working Capital
investment 0.00 -2,684.89 -6,966.68 -8,429.02 -6,218.42 -3,765.14 -1,529.45 0.00 0.00
Cash Flow -8,716.72 -8,003.48 1,297.04 8,620.61 13,996.59 12,504.34 10,181.36 7,958.51 7,425.71
Terminal Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Discounted Cash Flow(9%) -8,716.72 -7,342.64 1,091.69 6,656.69 9,915.54 8,126.96 6,070.81 4,353.58 3,726.71
- -
Sum of Discounted Cash Flows -8,716.72 16,059.36 14,967.67 -8,310.98 1,604.56 9,731.52 15,802.33 20,155.90 23,882.62
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Recommendation : NPV
Net Present Value is the difference between
the present value of cash inflows and the
present value of cash outflows.
Used to analyze the profitability of a project
We typically base our capital budgeting
decision on the project’s NPV since it takes
into consideration the Time Value of Money.
It provides the most reliable profitability
decision.
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Recommendation: IRR
Overall,
we recommend that the new
ERP system be implemented.
By utilizing the process in the case and
following the wave schedule, we see a
positive NPV, a high IRR and ultimately,
wealth creation for Whirlpool Europe.