SFM Text Book
SFM Text Book
SFM Text Book
STRATEGIC
FINANCIAL
MANAGEMENT PROF.RAHUL MALKAN
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INDEX
No. Chapter Name Page No.
2 Security Analysis 9 – 24
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CHAPTER DESIGN
The satisfaction of the interests of the shareholders should be perceived as a means to an end,
namely maximization of shareholders’ wealth. Since capital is the limiting factor, the problem that
the management will face is the strategic allocation of limited funds between alternative uses in
such a manner, that the companies have the ability to sustain or increase investor returns through
a continual search for investment opportunities that generate funds for their business and are
more favourable for the investors.
2. Investment decisions : These decisions involve the profitable utilization of firm's funds
especially in long-term projects (capital projects). Since the future benefits associated with
such projects are not known with certainty, investment decisions necessarily involve risk.
The projects are therefore evaluated in relation to their expected return and risk.
Among the different functional activities viz production, marketing, finance, human
resources and research and development, finance assumes highest importance during the
top down and bottom up interaction of planning. Corporate strategy deals with
deployment of resources and financial strategy is mainly concerned with mobilization and
effective utilization of money, the most critical resource that a business firm likes to have
under its command.
Outcomes of the financial planning are the financial objectives, financial decision-making and
financial measures for the evaluation of the corporate performance. Financial objectives are to
be decided at the very outset so that rest of the decisions can be taken accordingly. The objectives
need to be consistent with the corporate mission and corporate objectives. Financial decision
making helps in analyzing the financial problems that are being faced by the corporate and
accordingly deciding the course of action to be taken by it. The financial measures like ratio
analysis, analysis of cash flow statement are used to evaluate the performance of the Company.
The selection of these measures again depends upon the Corporate objectives.
Sources of finance and capital structure are the most important dimensions of a strategic plan.
The need for fund mobilization to support the expansion activity of firm is very vital for any
organization. The generation of funds may arise out of ownership capital and or borrowed capital.
A company may issue equity shares and/or preference shares for mobilizing ownership capital
Along with the mobilization of funds, policy makers should decide on the capital structure to
indicate the desired mix of equity capital and debt capital. There are some norms for debt equity
ratio which need to be followed for minimizing the risks of excessive loans. For instance, in case
of public sector organizations, the norm is 1:1 ratio and for private sector firms, the norm is 2:1
ratio. However this ratio in its ideal form varies from industry to industry. It also depends on the
planning mode of the organization. For capital intensive industries, the proportion of debt to
equity is much higher. Similar is the case for high cost projects in priority sectors and for projects
in under developed regions.
Another important dimension of strategic management and financial policy interface is the
investment and fund allocation decisions. A planner has to frame policies for regulating
investments in fixed assets and for restraining of current assets. Investment proposals mooted by
different business units may be divided into three groups. One type of proposal will be for
addition of a new product by the firm. Another type of proposal will be to increase the level of
operation of an existing product through either an increase in capacity in the existing plant or
setting up of another plant for meeting additional capacity requirement. The last is for cost
reduction and efficient utilization of resources through a new approach and/or closer monitoring
of the different critical activities. Now, given these three types of proposals a planner should
evaluate each one of them by making within group comparison in the light of capital budgeting
exercise. In fact, project evaluation and project selection are the two most important jobs under
fund allocation. Planner’s task is to make the best possible allocation under resource constraints.
Dividend policy is yet another area for making financial policy decisions affecting the strategic
performance of the company. A close interface is needed to frame the policy to be beneficial for
all. Dividend policy decision deals with the extent of earnings to be distributed as dividend and
the extent of earnings to be retained for future expansion scheme of the firm. From the point of
view of long term funding of business growth, dividend can be considered as that part of total
earnings, which cannot be profitably utilized by the company. Stability of the dividend payment
is a desirable consideration that can have a positive impact on share prices. The alternative policy
of paying a constant percentage of the net earnings may be preferable from the point of view of
both flexibility of the firm and ability of the firm. It also gives a message of lesser risk for the
investors. Yet some other companies follow a different alternative. They pay a minimum dividend
per share and additional dividend when earnings are higher than the normal earnings.
Thus, the financial policy of a company cannot be worked out in isolation of other functional
policies. It has a wider appeal and closer link with the overall organizational performance and
direction of growth.
Sustainable growth is important to enterprise long-term development. Too fast or too slow
growth will go against enterprise growth and development, so financial should play important
role in enterprise development, adopt suitable financial policy initiative to make sure enterprise
growth speed close to sustainable growth ratio and have sustainable healthy development.
The sustainable growth rate (SGR), concept by Robert C. Higgins, of a firm is the maximum rate
of growth in sales that can be achieved, given the firm's profitability, asset utilization, and desired
dividend payout and debt (financial leverage) ratios.
Since the asset to beginning of period equity ratio is constant and the firm's only source of new
equity is retained earnings, sales and assets cannot grow any faster than the retained earnings
plus the additional debt that the retained earnings can support.
Economists and business researchers contend that achieving sustainable growth is not possible
without paying heed to twin cornerstones: growth strategy and growth capability. Companies
that pay inadequate attention to one aspect or the other are doomed to fail in their efforts to
establish practices of sustainable growth (though short-term gains may be realized). After all, if a
company has an excellent growth strategy in place, but has not put the necessary infrastructure
in place to execute that strategy, long-term growth is impossible. The reverse is also true.
The very weak idea of sustainability requires that the overall stock of capital assets should remain
constant. The weak version of sustainability refers to preservation of critical resources to ensure
support for all, over a long time horizon. The strong concept of sustainability is concerned with
the preservation of resources under the primacy of ecosystem functioning. These are in line with
the definition provided by the economists in the context of sustainable development at macro
level.
The sustainable growth model is particularly helpful in situations in which a borrower requests
additional financing. The need for additional loans creates a potentially risky situation of too
much debt and too little equity. Either additional equity must be raised or the borrower will have
to reduce the rate of expansion to a level that can be sustained without an increase in financial
leverage.
Growth can come from two sources: increased volume and inflation. The inflationary increase in
assets must be financed as though it were real growth. Inflation increases the amount of external
financing required and increases the debt-to-equity ratio when this ratio is measured on a
historical cost basis. Thus, if creditors require that a firm's historical cost debt-to-equity ratio stay
constant, inflation lowers the firm's sustainable growth rate.
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CHAPTER DESIGN
1. INTRODUCTION
2. BASICS OF STOCK MARKETS
3. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
4. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
5. INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
6. COMPANY ANALYSIS
7. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
8. THEORIES OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
9. CHARTING TECHNIQUES
10. MARKET INDICATORS
11. PRICE PATTERNS
12. DATA ANALYSIS
13. EFFICIENT MARKET THEORY
14. SUPPORTERS AND DISTRACTORS OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Equity
Analysis
Fundamental Technical
Analysis Analysis
1. INTRODUCTION :
Everyone is interested in making investments. Two major forms of investments are Equity and
Bonds. Every investor expects to gain from investing in securities. However, investing is an art and
it requires detailed analysis before we can earn out of such investments. In this entire section we
shall deal with securities, its analysis and valuations.
10 Security Analysis
3. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Fundamental analysis is based on the assumption that the share prices depend upon the future
dividends expected by the shareholders. The present value of the future dividends can be
calculated by discounting the cash flows at an appropriate discount rate and is known as the
'intrinsic value of the share'. The intrinsic value of a share, according to a fundamental analyst,
depicts the true value of a share. A share that is priced below the intrinsic value must be bought,
while a share quoting above the intrinsic value must be sold.
Thus, it can be said that the price the shareholders are prepared to pay for a share is nothing but
the present value of the dividends they expect to receive on the share and this is the price at
which they expect to sell it in the future.
The key variables that an investor must monitor in order to carry out his fundamental analysis are
economy wide factors, industry wide factors and company specific factors. In other words,
fundamental analysis encompasses economic, industrial and company analyses. They are
depicted by three concentric circles and constitute the different stages in an investment decision
making process.
Economic
Analysis
Intustrial
Analysis
Company
Analysis
Security Analysis 11
4. ECONOMIC ANALYSIS :
Macro- economic factors e. g. historical performance of the economy in the past/ present and
expectations in future, growth of different sectors of the economy in future with signs of
stagnation/degradation at present to be assessed while analyzing the overall economy. Trends in
peoples’ income and expenditure reflect the growth of a particular industry/company in future.
Consumption affects corporate profits, dividends and share prices in the market.
5. INDUSTRY ANALYSIS :
When an economy grows, it is very unlikely that all industries in the economy would grow at the
same rate. So it is necessary to examine industry specific factors, in addition to economy-wide
factors.
First of all, an assessment has to be made regarding all the conditions and factors relating to
demand of the particular product, cost structure of the industry and other economic and
Government constraints on the same. Since the basic profitability of any company depends upon
the economic prospects of the industry to which it belongs, an appraisal of the particular
industry's prospects is essential.
12 Security Analysis
Factors Affecting Industry Analysis
1. Product Life-Cycle
2. Demand Supply Gap
3. Barriers to Entry
4. Government Attitude
5. State of Competition in the Industry
6. Cost Conditions and Profitability
7. Technology and Research
6. COMPANY ANALYSIS :
Economic and industry framework provides the investor with proper background against which
shares of a particular company are purchased. This requires careful examination of the company's
quantitative and qualitative fundamentals.
7. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis is a method to predict share price movements based on a study of price graphs
or charts on the assumption that share price trends are repetitive, that since investor psychology
follows a certain pattern, what is seen to have happened before is likely to be repeated. The
technical analyst is n o t concerned with the fundamental strength or weakness of a company or
an industry; he only studies investor and price behavior.
Security Analysis 13
A technical analyst attempts precisely that. The two basic questions that he seeks to answer are:
(i) Is there a discernible trend in the prices?
(ii) If there is, then are there indications that the trend would reverse?
The methods used to answer these questions are visual and statistical. The visual methods are
based on examination of a variety of charts to make out patterns, while the statistical procedures
analyze price and return data to make trading decisions.
Technical
Analysis
Principals :
1. The market value of stock is actually depending on the supply and demand for a stock.
2. The demand and the supply is actually governed by several factors.
3. Stock prices move in trend
4. It uses charts and diagrams
14 Security Analysis
2. THE ELLIOT WAVE THEORY :
1. Created by Ralph Elliot in 1934
2. Based on Research on share price movement for 75 years
3. There are 2 types of movement
a. Impulsive movement
b. Corrective movement
4. Impulsive movement – Towards basic movement – 5 cycles
5. Corrective Movement – Opposite to basic movement – 3 cycles
6. The complete cycle is the 8 wave cycle
Security Analysis 15
9. CHARTING TECHNIQUES :
1. Bar Chart :
2. Line Chart :
16 Security Analysis
4. Point and Figure Chart
2. Volume of transactions :
• Higher prices with higher volume – Bull Market
• Higher prices with lower volumes – Correction / End of Bull
• Lower Prices with higher volumes – Bear Market
• Lower Prices with lower volumes – Correction /End of Bear
3. Confidence Index :
• Ratio of high grade bond yields to low grade bond yields
• Rising confidence index – Bull Phase
• Falling confidence index – Bear Phase
Security Analysis 17
Support and Resistance :
When the index/price goes down from a peak, the peak becomes the resistance level. When the
index/price rebounds after reaching a trough subsequently, the lowest value reached becomes
the support level. The price is then expected to move between these two levels. Whenever the
price approaches the resistance level, there is a selling pressure because all investors who failed
to sell at the high would be keen to liquidate, while whenever the price approaches the support
level, there is a buying pressure as all those investors who failed to buy at the lowest price would
like to purchase the share. A breach of these levels indicates a distinct departure from status quo,
and an attempt to set newer levels.
2. Wedge :
18 Security Analysis
4. Triangle or Coil Formation :
Security Analysis 19
7. Double Bottom Form :
8. GAP :
Moving Averages is one of the most popular method of data analysis used for decision making in
technical analysis to determine buy and sell calls. The 2 most common used Averages are
- Arithmetic Moving Average (AMA)
- Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
20 Security Analysis
Question 1 :
Calculate 5 day / 10 day moving average from the following information.
The closing share price at the end of each day is as follows
Day Closing Price Day Closing Price
1 25 6 26
2 26 7 26.5
3 25.5 8 26.5
4 24.5 9 26
5 26 10 27
Security Analysis 21
13. EFFICIENT MARKET THEORY :
1. This theory was developed by Eugen Fama, professor at university of Chicago
2. This theory supports “Random Walk Theory”
3. Theory states that “No one can predict the market”
4. The market is said to be efficient if we cannot predict the market.
5. The market is said to inefficient if we can predict the market.
6. There are 3 levels of market efficiency
- Weak form of efficiency
- semi Strong form of efficiency
- Strong form of efficiency
7. Weak Form of Efficiency refer to the market were market knows all past data on prices and
volumes
8. Semi Strong form of efficiency exists when market has already absorbed past data on
prices and volume and also all publicly available information.
9. Strong form of efficiency exists when markets has absorbed all past data on prices and
volumes and all public and private information.
Three type tests have been employed to verify the weak form of efficiency
1. Serial Correlation Test
2. Run Test
3. Filter Rule Test
(µ−1)𝑥𝑥(µ−2)
5. σ (SD) =�
𝑛𝑛1+𝑛𝑛2−1
22 Security Analysis
Question 3 :
The closing value of Sensex for the month of October, 2019 is given below:
Date Closing Sensex
1 2800
3 2780
4 2795
5 2830
8 2760
9 2790
10 2880
11 2960
12 2990
15 3200
16 3300
17 3450
19 3360
22 3290
23 3360
24 3340
25 3290
29 3240
30 3140
31 3260
You are required to test the weak form of efficient market hypothesis by applying the run
test at 5% and 10% level of significance.
Following value can be used :
Value of t at 5% is 2.101 at 18 degrees of freedom
Value of t at 10% is 1.734 at 18 degrees of freedom
Value of t at 5% is 2.086 at 20 degrees of freedom.
Value of t at 10% is 1.725 at 20 degrees of freedom.
Security Analysis 23
Distractors :
1. Most technical analysts are not able to offer a convincing explanation for the tools
employed by them.
2. Empirical evidence in support of random walk hypothesis cast its shadow over the
usefulness of technical analysis.
3. By the time an uptrend and downtrend may have been signal led by technical analysis it
may already have taken place.
Ultimately technical analysis must be self-defeating proposition. With more and more people
employing it, the value of such analysis tends to decline.
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24 Security Analysis
CHP - 3 [email protected]
Valuations rahulmalkan
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CHAPTER DESIGN
1. PREVIEW
2. INTRODUCTION
3. VALUATION MODEL
A. ABSOLUTE VALUATIONS MODEL
I. DIVIDEND DISCOUNT MODEL (GORDON’S MODEL)
1. CONSTANT DIVIDEND MODEL
2. CONSTANT GROWTH MODEL
3. FLUCTUATING GROWTH MODEL
II WALTERS APPROACH
III PE MODEL
IV FREE CASH FLOW MODEL
1. FREE CASH FLOW FOR FIRM (FCFF)
2. FREE CASH FLOW FOR EQUITY (FCFE)
3. ALCAR MODEL
B. RELATIVE VALUATION MODEL
4. OTHER RELATED CONCEPTS
A. ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED
B. MARKET VALUE ADDED
C. VALUATION OF RIGHTS
5. ACCOUNTING APPROACHES
A. INTRINSIC VALUE
B. YIELD VALUE
C. FAIR VALUE
1. CHAPTER PREVIEW :
Equity Valuations
Relative Accounting
Absolute Model
Valuyations Approach
Fluctuating Growth
For Equity
3. VALUATIONS MODELS :
Equity is the most researched instrument as far as valuation models are concerned. Due to risk
and uncertainty associated with it, the valuations models are based on various factors. Valuations
models can be classified as
A. Absolute Valuation models
B. Relative valuations Models
𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷
IV =
𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅
Question 2 : Mr X
Mr X is interested in buying share of GOT pharma Ltd. He collected previous data of the
company’s dividend and found that the company pays constant dividend of Rs.3 every
year. If he expects to earn 10% from his investment, calculate IV if Share?
Discount rate :
Discount rate is the rate at which present value of future cash flow is determined.
While valuing equity, the discount rate should be Re. i.e expected rate of return on
equity. An investor would provide equity capital based on his expected return and
that’s the value he is ready to pay for share.
Re = Rf + β (RM – Rf)
Question 3 : RM Ltd.
The Beta of RM Ltd. is 2. Return from govt securities = 10%. Return on Market portfolio =
15%. Calculate Re.
𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹−𝑃𝑃 12
Rf = x 100 x
𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛
Question 4 : Rm
Rm purchase 91 day T – bill for 97. Calculate Rf ?
2. β (Beta) :
Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility in relation to the overall market. ... If
a stock moves less than the market, the stock's beta is less than 1.0. High-
beta stocks are supposed to be riskier but provide higher return potential;
low-beta stocks pose less risk but also lower returns.
𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶
A. Listed Company = 𝛽𝛽 = (Portfolio)
σ2 𝑚𝑚
De-everage Re-leverage
Beta of Proxy Firm
𝛽𝛽𝑙𝑙
(Pure Play firm) βu = 𝐷𝐷
𝐷𝐷
βl = βu x 1 + 𝐸𝐸 (1-t)
1+ (1−𝑡𝑡)
𝐸𝐸
Note
1. 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 = Beta of Unlevered Firm
2. 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 = Beta of Levered Firm
3. 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 = Beta of Assets
4. 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 = Beta of Equity
5. 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 = 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽
6. 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 = 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽
𝐷𝐷1
IV = (Gordon’s Model)
𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅−𝑔𝑔
IV = Intrinsic Value
D1 = Expected Dividend (Next Dividend)
Re = Expected return
G = Growth
D0 D1 D2 D3 D4 D5
Growth
Growth rates refer to the percentage change of a specific variable within a specific
time period. It can be calculated by the following formula
Growth for any particular entity can also be calculated by using the following formula
G = br
b = retention
r = ROE (Return on Equity)
Question 7 : RM Ltd
RM Ltd has a ROE of 20% and has a pay-out ratio of 40%. Calculate Growth rate of RM Ltd.
Summary
Question 8 : A company
A company pays the dividend of Rs 2 per share with growth rate of 7%. The risk free rate
i.e. 9% and the market rate of return is 13%. The company has a beta of 1.50. However,
due to the decision of the finance manager, beta is likely to increase to 1.75. Find out the
present value as well as the likely value of the share before and after the decision.
Question 10 :
A firm has equity beta of 1.30 and is currently financed by 25% debt and 75% equity. What
will be the company’s new beta if the company changes its financing policy to 33% and
67% equity? Assume corporation tax to stand at 35%?
Question 13 : X Ltd.
An investor is holding 2000 shares of X Ltd. Current year dividend rate is Rs.2 per share.
Market price of the share is Rs.30 each. The investor is concerned about several factors
are likely to change during the next financial year as indicated below :
Current Year Next Year
Dividend paid / anticipated per share (Rs.) 2 1.8
Risk free rate 12% 10%
Market Risk Premium 5% 4%
Beta Value 1.3 1.4
Expected growth 9% 7%
In view of the above, advise whether the inves tor should buy, hold or sell the shares
𝐷𝐷1
IV = IV --- G = Direct Relation i.e D1 increases IV increases and vice versa
𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅−𝑔𝑔
Question 15 :
The firm pays the dividend of Rs 2 per share last year. The estimated growth of the
dividends from the company is estimated to be 5% p.a. Determine the estimated market
price of the equity share if the estimated growth rate of dividends (i) rises to 8% and (ii)
falls to 3%. Also find out the present market price of the share, given that the required rate
of return of the equity investors is 15.5%.
Common-sense : IV and Growth are directly related, i.e growth increase IV increase and
vice versa.
Question 18 :
A company has a book value per share of Rs 137.80. Its return on Equity is 15%. It follows
a policy of retaining 60% of its annual earnings. If the opportunity cost of capital is 18%.
What is the price per share? (Apply perpetual growth model)
Question 19 : Mr. X
1. Suppose Mr. X purchase Treasury Bills for Rs 9,940 maturing in 91 days for Rs
10,000. Then what would be annualized investment rate for Mr. X and annualized
discount rate for the govt. investment.
2. Suppose Govt. pays Rs 5,000 at maturity for 91 days Treasury bill. If Mr Y is desirous
to earn an annualized discount rate of 3.5% then how he can pay for it.
Consider the growth rate of dividend fluctuates for 5 years and then it becomes
constant
Stage 1: We will calculate dividend for first 5 years and calculate PV of each cash
flow discounting it by Re
Stage 2: We will calculate IV at the end of year 5 by using constant growth model
and then calculate the discount the same to calculate IV at the point of purchase
IV of the share = Stage 1 + stage 2
D0 D1 D2 D3 D4 D5
Stage 1
Stage 2
Question 23 : RM
RM is expected to pay Rs.2 dividend in the next year. The dividends are expected to grow
at the rate of 30% in the 2nd and 3rd year and then by 10% in 4th and 5th year and then
by 5% per annum. If the required rate of return is 15%, what is the value per share?
Question 25 : EC Limited
EC Limited, a manufacturer of electronic cards, is a listed company. The current stock price
of the company’s stock is Rs 160 per share. The earnings and dividend growth prospectus
of the company are disputed by analysis. Mr. R Ramamurthy is forecasting a growth of
7.5% forever. However, Mr. S. Prabhu is predicting a 25% growth in dividends for the next
three years after which the growth is to decline to a level of 5% p.a forever. The current
dividend per share is Rs 11 and stocks of company’s of similar risk are currently priced to
provide 14% expected return.
You are required to calculate
1. It intrinsic value of EC Limited’s share based on the projections of Mr. R.
Ramamurthy
2. It intrinsic value of EC Limited’s share based on the projections of Mr. S. Prabhu
3. The implied perpetual growth rate assuming that the stock is correctly price
Question 26 :
XYZ Ltd. paid a Dividend of Rs. 2 for the current year. Dividend is expected to grow at 40%
for the next 5 years and at 15% per annum thereafter. The Return on 182 days T–Bills is
11% per annum and the Market Return is expected to be around 18% with a Variance of
24%. The Co–Variance of XYZ’s Return with that of the Market is 30%. You are required to
calculate the required Rate of Return and Intrinsic Value of the Stock.
𝐸𝐸 (1−𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟)
A. Gordons Model =
𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅−𝑔𝑔
𝐷𝐷 𝑟𝑟 (𝐸𝐸−𝐷𝐷)/𝐾𝐾𝐾𝐾
B. Walters Model = +
𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘 𝑘𝑘𝑒𝑒
Where
D = Dividend per share
Ke = Cost of Equity Capital
𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹
Calculate Value of firm = Vf = 𝐾𝐾𝐾𝐾 −𝑔𝑔
Cost of Capital
Kc = WtKe + Wtkd
Weights (Wt)
The weight to be used for calculation of cost of capital should be in following
order of preference
1. Target debt equity
2. Market Value of debt equity
3. Book Value of Debt equity
Question 30 :
Suppose you are verifying a valuation done on an established company by a wellknown
analyst has estimated a value of Rs. 750 lakhs, based upon the expected free cash flow
next year, of Rs. 30 lakhs, and with an expected growth rate of 5%. You found that, he has
made the mistake of using the book values of debt and equity in his calculation. While you
do not know the book value weights he used, you have been provided following
information:
(a) Company has a cost of equity of 12%.
(b) After-tax cost of debt of 6%.
(c) The market value of equity is three times the book value of equity, while the market
value of debt is equal to the book value of debt.
You are required to estimate the correct value of company.
Question 31 :
Calculate FCFF from the following information. The firm has sales of Rs 4,200 with
operating cost of Rs 2200. Capital spending in the next year is expected to be Rs 800,
depreciation will be 380 and working capital will increase by 50. Assume tax rate of 30%.
𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹
Calculate Value of Equity = Ve = 𝐾𝐾𝐾𝐾 −𝑔𝑔
Question 37 :
Calculate the value of share from the following information:
Profit of the company Rs. 290 crores
Equity capital of company Rs. 1,300 crores
Par value of share Rs. 40 each
Debt ratio of company 27
Long run growth rate of the company 8%
Beta 0.1
Risk free interest rate 8.7%
Market returns 10.3%
Capital expenditure per share Rs. 47
Depreciation per share Rs. 39
Change in Working capital Rs. 3.45 per share
2. Since we are calculating value of firm the Since we are calculating value of equity the
discounting rate should be Kc discounting rate should be Ke
𝑉𝑉𝑉𝑉
4. Kd = I (1-t) 4. IV =
𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑠𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎
5. Ve = Vf – Vd
5. Vf = Ve + Vd
Ve = Value of Equity
Vf = Value of Firm
Vd = Value of Debt
𝑉𝑉𝑉𝑉
6. IV =
𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑠𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎
ALCAR MODEL :
ALCAR model works along with FCFF and FCFE model to calculate the value of share.
Question 38 : X Ltd.
The income statement and balance sheet of X Ltd. for the year just ended is shown below.
Balance Sheet
Liabilities Rs (in Lakhs) Assets Rs (in Lakhs)
Equity 300 Fixed Assets 800
15% Long Term Debt 600 Current Assets 200
Current Liabilities 100
1,000 1,000
Income Statement
Particulars Rs (in Lakhs)
Sales 900
Gross Profit (40%) 360
Selling, General and Administration expenses 80
EBIT 280
Interest 90
PBT 190
PAT 133
If the firm maintains “status quo”, capital spending will be offset by depreciation and there
will be no change in working capital. The firm would be a no growth firm.
The firm is evaluating a new growth strategy:
• Sales will grow @ 40% p.a. For 3 years.
• Operating margin will remain the same.
• All the turnover ratios will remain constant.
• Beyond 3 years the firm will once again become a no growth firm.
• Depreciation will be half of capital spending for the first 3 years and beyond 3 years
capital spending will be offset by depreciation.
If equity capitalization rate is 18%, find out the value of the strategy. Tax rate = 30%.
For example
RM Ltd a private limited firm in the business of retail chain stores across India. To calculate
its value, its find the proxy firm Fmart Ltd. Following information is available to your
calculations
Assets of RM Ltd 3000 crores
Assets of FMart Ltd 4500 crores
Value of firm of FMart 45,000 crores
Calculate value of firm for RM Ltd.
Assets Value of firm
FMart 4,500 45,000
RM Ltd 3,000 30,000
Industry data for pure play firms have been compiled and are summarized as follows :-
Business Segment Capitalization / Capitalization Capitalization / Operating
Sales Assets Income
Wholesale 0.85 0.7 9
Retail 1.2 0.7 8
General 0.8 0.7 4
Question 44 :
Consider the following operating information gathered from 3 companies that are identical
except for their capital structures:
P Ltd. Q Ltd. R Ltd.
Total invested capital € 100,000 € 100,000 € 100,000
Debt/assets ratio 0.8 0.5 0.2
Shares outstanding 6,100 8,300 10,000
Before-tax cost of debt 14% 12% 10%
Cost of equity 26% 22% 20%
Operating income,(EBIT) € 25,000 € 25,000 € 25,000
Net Income € 8,970 € 12,350 € 14,950
Tax rate 35% 35% 35%
(a) Compute the weighted average cost of capital, WACC, for each firm.
(b) Compute the Economic Value Added, EVA, for each firm.
(c) Based on the results of your computations in part b, which firm would be considered
the best investment? Why?
(d) Assume the industry PIE ratio generally is 15 x. Using the industry norm, estimate
the price for each share.
(e) What factors would cause you to adjust the PIE ratio value used in part d so that it
is more appropriate?
Question 46 :
Calculate economic value added (EVA) with the help of the following Information
Financial leverage : 1.4 times
Capital structure : Equity Capital Rs.170 Iakh
Reserves and surplus Rs.130 lakh
10% Debentures Rs.400 lakh
Cost of Equity : 17.5%
Income Tax Rate : 30%
Question 47 : AB Limited’s
AB Limited’s shares are currently selling at Rs.130 per share. There are 10,00,000 shares
outstanding. The firm is planning to raise Rs.2 crores to Finance new project.
Required
What is the ex-right price of shares and value of a right, if.
(i) The firm offers one right share for every two shares held.
(ii) The firm offers one right share for every four shares held.
(iii) How does the shareholder’s wealth change from (i) to (ii)? How does right issue
increase shareholder’s wealth.
1. Intrinsic Value :
It is also known as net asset value or balance sheet approach.
Steps
1. Calculate Net assets (Assets – Liability)
2. Calculate number of shares
2. Yield Value :
The share is valued on the basis of expected profitability of the company It is also known
as capitalization of profits method
Steps
1. Calculate the future maintainable profits (FMP)
2. Calculate the value of business by capitalising the profits
𝑡𝑡𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐
3. Yield =
𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑠𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎
𝐼𝐼𝐼𝐼+𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌
3. Fair Value =
2
Question 48 : S. Ltd.
Given below is the Balance Sheet of S. Ltd. as on 31.3.2008
Liabilities Rs in lakhs Assets Rs in lakhs
Share Capital (Rs.10) 100 Land and Building 40
Reserves and Surplus 40 Plant and Machinery 80
Creditors 30 Investments 10
Stock 20
Debtors 15
Cash and Bank 5
170 170
You are required to work out the value of the Company’s shares on the basis of Net Assets
method and Profit-earning capacity (capitalisation) method and arrive at the fair price of
the shares, by considering the following information:
(i) Profit for the current year Rs.64 Iakhs includes Rs.4 lakhs extraordinary income and
Rs.1 lakh income for investments of surplus funds; such surplus funds are unlike to
recur.
(ii) In subsequent years, additional advertisement expenses of Rs.5 lakhs are expected
to be incurred each year.
(iii) Market value of Land and Building and Plant and Machinery have been ascertained
at Rs.96 lakhs and Rs.100 lakhs respectively. This will entail additional depreciation
of Rs.6 lakhs each year.
(iv) Effective Income-tax rate is 30%.
(v) The capitalization rate applicable to similar business is 15%.
Question 50 : PQR
Following Financial data are available for PQR for the year 2008 :
Rs. In lakhs
8%debentures 125
10% bonds (2007) 50
Equity shares (Rs.10 each) 100
Reserves and Surplus 300
Total Assets 600
Assets Turnovers ratio 1 .1
Effective interest rate 8%
Effective tax rate 40%
Operating margin 10%
Dividend payout ratio 16.67%
Current market Price of Share 14
Required rate of return of investors 15%
You are required to:
(i) Draw income statement for the year
(ii) Calculate its sustainable growth rate
(iii) Calculate the fair price of the company’s share using dividend discount model, and
(iv) What is your opinion on investment in the company’s share at current price?
Question 52 :
Calculate economic value added (EVA) with the help of the following Information
Financial leverage : 1.5 times
Capital structure : Equity Capital Rs.160 Iakh
Reserves and surplus Rs.140 lakh
10% Debentures Rs.400 lakh
Cost of Equity : 14%
Income Tax Rate : 30%
Question 59 :
The risk free rate of return is 5 percent. The expected rate of return on the market portfolio
is 11 percent. The expected rate of growth in dividend of X Ltd. is 8 percent. The last
dividend paid was Rs.2.00 per share. The beta of X Ltd. equity stock is 1.5
(i) What is the present price of the equity stock of X Ltd.?
(ii) How would the price change when
• The inflation premium increases by 3 percent?
• The expected growth rate decreases by 3 percent?
• The beta decreases to 1.3?
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CHAPTER DESIGN
1. PREVIEW
2. INTRODUCTION
3. TYPES OF BONDS
4. YIELD ON BONDS
(A) CURRENT YIELD
(B) YIELD TO MATURITY
5. VALUATION OF BONDS
6. DURATION OF BONDS
7. VOLATILITY OF BONDS
(A) MODIFIED DURATION
(B) EFFECTIVE DURATION
8. INTEREST IMMUNIZATION
9. SPOT RATE / FORWARD RATE AND TERM STRUCTURE
10. BOND REFUNDING DECISIONS
11. CONVERTIBLE BONDS
1. CHAPTER PREVIEW :
Types
Convertible
Yield
Bonds
Bond
Refunding
Decision Bonds Valuation
Interest
Duration
Immunization
Spot Rate
and Forward
Rate
Bonds are commonly referred to as fixed-income securities and are one of the three main generic
asset classes, along with stocks (equities) and cash equivalents.
The issue price of a bond is typically set at par, usually Rs 100 face value per individual bond. The
actual market price of a bond depends on a number of factors including the credit quality of the
issuer, the length of time until expiration, and the coupon rate compared to the general interest
rate environment at the time.
Characteristics of Bonds :
• Most bonds share some common basic characteristics including:
• Face value is the money amount the bond will be worth at its maturity, and is also the
reference amount the bond issuer uses when calculating interest payments.
• Coupon rate is the rate of interest the bond issuer will pay on the face value of the bond,
expressed as a percentage.
• Coupon dates are the dates on which the bond issuer will make interest payments. Typical
intervals are annual or semi-annual coupon payments.
• Maturity date is the date on which the bond will mature and the bond issuer will pay the
bond holder the face value of the bond.
• Issue price is the price at which the bond issuer originally sells the bonds.
A. Fixed coupon bonds : In this bonds the rate of coupon is pre-decided at the time of
issue. Investor is clear that he shall __ % coupon periodically. Fixed coupon bonds
can be of following types
a. Plain vanilla bonds : Such bonds provides coupon at constant rate through
out the like of bond and are redeemable in lumpsum at maturity.
1 2 3 4 5
b. Non Plain Vanilla Bond : In such bonds also the coupon rate is pre-decided,
however the rate may differ over the year and even redemption can be done in
parts.
B. Floating Coupon bonds : In such bonds the rate at which coupon shall be paid is not
pre-decided. They are decided at the end of every period based on the market rates.
For eg : A Ltd issues 5 year bond where entity will pay coupon @ 2% + market rates
announced by RBI.
3. Perpetual Bonds :
As the name indicates, such bonds are not redeemed. They pay regular coupon
perpetually. The are very similar to equity in terms of life, however their return is more or
less fixed.
Apart from the above, we are also required to remember the following 2 charactertics of
the bonds.
1. Callable bonds : The issuers can call for early redemption. Generally, they are called
at premium.
2. Puttable bonds : The holder can call for early redemption. Generally, they are
redeemed at discount.
4. YIELD ON BONDS :
Every investor’s first question while investing is what will be the yield on the investment. Yield
means return. Return should always be calculated as percentage per annum.
A layman would always associate return with periodic coupon (the so called % interest) to be
received from bonds. However, bonds are issued at premium or discount, such discount and
premium will also affect the yield on the bonds. Moreover, if the bond is ZCB, there are no
coupon, but it does have a yield. So we should remember that
1. Current yield:
Current yield is a bond's annual return based on its annual coupon payments and current
price (as opposed to its original price or face).
𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶
Current yield =
𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀 𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃
Question 2 :
10% Rs. 1000 bond is currently trading at Rs. 950. Calculate CY of bond if coupon is paid
semi-annually.
Question 3 :
Face value of the 8%, bond is Rs 1000 and is currently trading at Rs 900. Calculate CY of
Bond. Coupon is paid semi – annually. Calculate BEY and EAY.
𝑪𝑪+(𝑭𝑭𝑭𝑭−𝑷𝑷)/𝒏𝒏
1. YTM of Plain Vanilla Bond =
(𝑭𝑭𝑭𝑭+𝑷𝑷)/𝟐𝟐
Question 7 :
Consider a Rs. 1000 face value, 5 year bond presently trading at Rs. 962. The bond has a
coupon rate of 14% payable semi-annually. Compute its YTM?
Question 9 :
9%, 5 year with an issue price of RS 90 and redemption price of Rs 105. Income tax rate is
30% and capital gain tax is 10%. What is post tax yield to maturity?
A. ZCB / DDB :
ZCB does not give any intermediate coupons. The return is the difference
between the issue price and redemption price. Yield is IRR at which outflow
= Inflow
Question 10 :
5 yr Zero Coupon Bonds of FV Rs 500 is presently trading @ 300. What is its YTM?
Question 11 : HDFC
HDFC in its issue of Flexibonds, offered growing interest bond. The interest will be paid to
the investors every year at the rates given below and the minimum deposits is Rs 10,000/-
Years 1 2 3 4 5
Interest (P.A) 10.5% 11.0% 12.5% 12.75% 18.0%
Calculate the yield to Maturity (YTM)
Question 12 :
IDBI, in its issue of Flexibonds – 5, offered growing interest bond. The interest will be paid
to the investors every year at the rates given below and the minimum deposits is Rs
50,000/-.
Years 1 2 3 4 5
Interest (P.A) 11.5% 12.0% 13.5% 14.25% 15.0%
Calculate the yield to Maturity (YTM)
𝐷𝐷 𝐶𝐶
IV = =
𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌
Question 13 :
10% GOVT of India Bond is currently selling at Rs 95. Calculate YTM?
Question 14 :
A Bond is currently trading at Rs 900. It has a face value of Rs 1000 and coupon rate of
10%. It is redeemable at par after 5 years. The bond was issued with an option that issuer
can call the bonds (redeem) after 3 years at the premium of 5%. Find its YTM and Yield to
call?
1 2 3 4 5
Points to Remember :
1. If the bond is trading at PAR and redeemable at PAR, the IV of the bond is equal to its face
value.
2. Yield and Valuation are inversely related. i.e higher the yield lower the value and vice versa
3. If the yield of bond is higher than coupon than the bond should be trading at less than the
face value
4. If the yield of the bond is lower than coupon than the bond should be trading at more than
the face value
Question 16 :
The RMS bond has a 10% coupon rate, with interest payable annually, matures at Rs. 1000
in 5 years. If the bond is priced to yield 8%, what is the current price of the bond?
Question 17 :
A Bond with FV of Rs. 1000, coupon rate of 6% (paid semi Annually) and matures in 5 years.
If the bond is priced to yield 10%, what is the bonds value today?
Question 18 :
Consider a 2 year Rs. 1000 FV, 10% coupon bearing bond. Coupon is paid semiannually.
Find out the intrinsic value of the bond if the required rate of return is 14%. Should the
bond be purchased at the current market price of Rs. 960?
Question 20 :
An investor is considering the purchase of the following Bond:
Face Value Rs. 100
Coupon 12%
Maturity 4 years.
Calculate :
1. The maximum price that you shall willing to pay, if you want the yield of 14%?
2. If the bond is selling for Rs. 87.60, what would be his yield?
Question 21 :
Find out the IV of the Bond from the following information and give investment advice.
FV = 1000
CR = 12%
Maturity = 5 yrs
Credit rating =A
Market Price = 92.3%
Presently the yield available in market are shown below.
AAA Spread off 2% over treasury
AA Spread off 1% over AAA
A Spread off 3% over AA
BBB Spread off 2% over A
5 year treasuries are presently yielding 9%.
Question 22 :
Find out the IV of the Bond from the following information and give investment advice.
FV = 5000
CR = 14%
Maturity = 10 yrs
Market Price = 920
Yield on similar Bonds = 15%
Redemption in 4 equal annual instalments at the end of 7, 8, 9 and 10th year @ premium
of 10%.
Question 24 :
(a) A Rs. 100 perpetual bond is currently selling for Rs. 95. The coupon rate of interest
is 14.5 percent and the appropriate discount rate is 16 percent. Calculate the value
of the bond. Should it be bought? What is its yield at maturity?
(b) A company proposes to sell ten-year debentures of Rs. 10,000 each. The company
would repay Rs. 1,000 at the end of every year and will pay interest annually at 15
percent on the outstanding amount. Determine the present value of the debenture
issue if the capitalization rate is 18 percent.
Question 25 :
Calculate Market Price of:
(i) 10% Government of India security currently quoted at 110 but interest rate is
expected to go up by 1 %.
(ii) A bond with 7.5% coupon interest. Face Value 10,000 & term to maturity of 2 years,
presently yielding 6% interest payable half yearly.
Step 1 : Calculate clean price of the bond on the next coupon date
IV = PV of coupon + PV of Redemption
Question 27 :
Find out the intrinsic value, and split that into bond basic value and accrued interest. Also
give investment advice from the following information
Face Value Rs. 10,000
Coupon Rate 12% payable annually in December
Required Rate 15%
Valuation date 1st April, 2009
Redemption Date 31.12.2015
Current Market Price 93.65%
Redemption Value At Par.
Question 28 : MP Ltd.
MP Ltd. issued a new series of bonds on January 1, 2000. The bonds were sold at par (Rs.
1,000), having a coupon rate 10% p.a. and mature on 31 St December, 2015. Coupon
payments are made semi-annually on June 30th and December 31st each year. Assume
that you purchased an outstanding MP Ltd. Bond on 1st March, 2008 when the going
interest rate was 12%.
Required:
(I) What was the YTM of MP Ltd. Bonds as on January 1, 2000?
(II) What amount you should pay to complete the transaction? Of that amount how
much should be accrued interest and how much would represent bonds basic value.
𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶
Perpetual Bond = IV = 𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌
6. DURATION OF BOND :
Duration refers to the weighted average time to receive the present value of bond. A bond's
duration is easily confused with its term or time to maturity because they are both measured in
years. However, a bond's term is a linear measure of the years until repayment of principal is due
Duration is also known Macaulay Duration. It is calculated by using the following formula:
Ʃ𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤
D=
Ʃ𝑤𝑤
Question 31 : RM
RM lends Rs 1,00,000 to his friend for 3 years. Being a friend RM does not charge any
interest from his friend. His friend returns Rs 20,000 in year 1, Rs 30,000 in year 2 and Rs
50,000 in 3rd year. What is the average period of the loan?
Question 33 :
Consider a 12% Rs. 1000 FV, 5 year bond presently trading at Rs. 970
Calculate :
1. Compute YTM
2. Duration of Bond
Duration For ZCB duration is equal to its maturity and for coupon bearing bond
duration is always less than maturity
Logics Lower the YTM higher the duration
7. BOND RISK :
Investment in Bonds is not risk Free. The risk faced by the investor from investing in bonds can be
classified into systematic risk and unsystematic risk.
1. Unsystematic Risk : It refers to default risk, i.e the issuer may default in the payment of
interest and principal amount. This will further lead to downgrade in credit rating.
2. Systematic Risk: Systematic risk in bond investment refers to interest risk. The investors
faces the risk due to the change in interest risk during the holding period. Interest risk may
be plain interest risk as well as reinvestment risk.
a. Interest Risk: It refers to change in interest risk. It will lead to change in value of
bonds. Bond Price and interest rates are inversely related. It means that if the
market interest rates go up, then the market price of bond will go down and vide
versa. However the relation is not a straight line, its convex like an demand curve,
which means price rise will be greater than the price fall. This is known as positive
convexity.
Volatility :
Volatility is a measure of risk. It refers to the sensitivity of the bond price to change in interest
rate. Duration is the base to measure the sensitivity of the bond price to the change interest rate.
It can be calculated by Effective Duration and Modified Duration
𝐷𝐷
1. Modified duration =
1+𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌𝑌
𝑃𝑃2−𝑃𝑃1
2. Effective Duration =
2 𝑥𝑥 𝑃𝑃0 𝑥𝑥 𝛥𝛥𝛥𝛥
Question 34 :
A 5 yr, Rs 1000 FV, 12% coupon bond presently yielding 14%. Compute price volatility using
interest rate shock of 50 basis point. Use Effective duration and Modified duration.
Question 35 :
The following data are available for a bond:
Face Value = Rs 1000
Coupon Rate = 16%
Years to Maturity =6
Redemption Value = Rs 1000
Yield to Maturity = 17%
What is the current market price, duration and volatility of this bond ? Calculate the
expected market price, if increase in required yield by 75 basis points.
Question 36 :
A 14%, 20 year bond trading at Rs. 960. It is callable at a premium of 10% at the end of 5
years. If not called it is redeemable on maturity at par. Find the duration if the bond is not
called and also calculate its volatility.
Question 37 :
Consider the Bond with the following feature
FV = Rs 1000
Maturity = 5 yrs
Coupon = 15% payable semi annually
Price = Rs 940
Calculate :
1. Price volatility of Bond
2. Recalculate the price volatility of Bond using interest rate shock of 50 basis point.
3. Use price volatility computed above to compute new bond price if interest rate is
forecasted to go down by 50 basis point.
Question 39 : Mr. A
Mr. A is planning for making investment in bonds of one of the two companies X Ltd. and
Y Ltd. The detail of these bonds is as follows:
Company Face Value Coupon Rate Maturity Period
X Ltd. Rs 10,000 6% 5 Years
Y Ltd. Rs 10,000 4% 5 Years
The current market price of X Ltd.’s bond is Rs 10,796.80 and both bonds have same Yield
To Maturity (YTM). Since Mr. A considers duration of bonds as the basis of decision making,
you are required to calculate the duration of each bond and your decision.
In this concept, we shall study how immunize our self from such interest rate risk.
We are provided with the stream of liabilities, which are required to be paid at different point of
time in future. We would make investment in such a way, that even if interest rate (YTM) changes
we shall in position to pay all our liabilities.
Steps
1. Calculate Duration of Liabilities (DL)
2. DA = DL
3. Calculate Duration of 2 bonds given to us
4. Calculate the proportion of Funds to be invested in above 2 bonds
5. Calculate the amount to be invested in above 2 bonds
Question 41 :
A pension fund has a following liability structure
Years Liability
1 1000 cr
2 2600 cr
3 2400 cr
Opportunity cost = 10 % p.a The following 2 bonds are shortlisted for investment
Bond R ---- 2 yrs ZCB ---- Presently yielding 10%
Bond M ---- 7 yrs ZCB ---- Presently yielding 10%
Find out the proportion of funds to be invested in 2 bonds, to immunize the portfolio
against interest rate changes.
2. Spot Rate : It refers to YTM of ZCB. For coupon bearing bond we should use the concept
of boot strapping. It is denoted by “Ron”
3. Forward rate: It’s a rate to invest/borrow certain sum of money at a certain rate for a
certain period in future. It is denoted by word “F”
𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝐿𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝
Formula to calculate forward rate =
𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆𝑆 𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃
Question 45 :
A bond issued by ABC Co. is selling presently at the face value of 100 and pays coupon at
the rate of 10% p.a. in arrears and will be redeemed at 120 after 3 years. The n year spot
rate of interest, Yn is given by Yn(%) = 8 + n/10 for n = 1, 2 and 3.
Assuming the pure expectations theory holds good,
Calculate :
(i) The implied one year forward rates applicable at times t = 1 and t = 2
(ii) The value of the bond at time t = 0
Question 46 :
The following is the term structure
Maturity Spot Rates
1 10%
2 11%
3 12%
Now consider 3 zero coupon bonds of FV Rs 10000 each and maturity of 1 yr, 2 yr and 3
yrs. Use pure expectation theory to prove that irrespective of which bond to investor buys
and holds for 1 yr, he will realize return = 1 yr spot rate today i.e r01 = 10%
Note : Discount rate should the one which is given to us in the question and if discount
rate is not given then we should calculate Kd.
1. Conversion Ratio :
The number of shares that each bond is converted into is known as conversion ratio.
2. Conversion price :
It’s the price at which investor converts its share into Bond. Its based on the Face Value of
the bond.
7. Downside Risk :
It’s the maximum risk that investor takes. It refers to the loss that the investor would bear
if he does not convert the bond
Question 52 : A Ltd.
A Ltd. has issued convertible bonds, which carries a coupon rate of 14%. Each bond is
convertible into 20 equity shares of the company A Ltd. The prevailing interest rate for
similar credit rating bond is 8%. The convertible bond has 5 years maturity. It is redeemable
at par at Rs.100.
The relevant present value table is as follows.
Present values t1 t2 t3 t4 t5
PVIF 0.14, t 0.877 0.769 0.675 0.592 0.519
PVIF 0.08, t 0.926 0.857 0.794 0.735 0.681
You are required to estimate:
(Calculations be made upto 3 decimal places)
(i) current market price of the bond, assuming it being equal to its fundamental value,
(ii) minimum market price of equity share at which bond holder should exercise
conversion option; and
(iii) duration of the bond.
PV T6 T7 T8 T9 T10
PVIF0.09 0.596 0.547 0.502 0.460 0.4224
Thanks ….
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to discuss any of the points please speak to us through
the following channel.
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Acquisitions rahulmalkan
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CHAPTER DESIGN
1. INTRODUCTION
2. RATIONAL BEHIND MERGERS AND ACQUISITONS
3. FORMS OF MERGERS
4. TAKEOVER STRATEGIES
5. DEFENSIVE TECHNIQUES
6. RANGE OF VALUATIONS
1. INTRODUCTION :
The most talked about subject of the day is Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A). In developed
economies, corporate Mergers and Acquisition is a regular feature. In Japan, the US and Europe,
hundreds of mergers and acquisition take place every year. In India, too, mergers and acquisition
have become part of corporate strategy today.
The terms ‘mergers; ‘acquisitions’ and ‘takeovers’ are often used interchangeably in common
parlance. However, there are differences. While merger means unification of two entities into
one, acquisition involves one entity buying out another and absorbing the same. In India, in legal
sense merger is known as ‘Amalgamation’.
An acquisition is when both the acquiring and acquired companies are still left standing as
separate entities at the end of the transaction. A merger results in the legal dissolution of one of
the companies, and a consolidation dissolves both of the parties and creates a new one, into
which the previous entities are merged.
Many new companies are being incorporated as a result of the fast growing industrialisation of
the country which is mainly dependent on agriculture. With the new trends of globalisation, not
only in this country but also worldwide, there has been increasing interaction of companies and
persons of one country with those of other countries. Today, corporate restructuring has gained
momentum and undertakings and companies are merging, demerging, divesting and taking in or
taking over companies and undertakings, both unregistered and registered, in India and outside.
Against this corporate backdrop, mergers and acquisitions have to be encouraged in the interest
of the general public and for the promotion of industry and trade. At the same time the
government has to safeguard the interest of the citizens, the consumers and the investors on the
one hand and the shareholders, creditors and employees/workers on the other.
Examples :
Rational Examples
Instantaneous growth, Snuffing out Airtel – Loop Mobile (2014) (Airtel bags top
competition, Increased market share. spot in Mumbai Telecom Circle)
Acquisition of a competence or a capability Google – Motorola (2011) (Google got access
to Motorola’s 17,000 issued patents and 7500
applications)
Entry into new markets/product segments Airtel – Zain Telecom (2010) (Airtel enters 15
nations of African Continent in one shot)
3. FORMS OF MERGERS :
(i) Horizontal Merger: The two companies which have merged are in the same industry,
normally the market share of the new consolidated company would be larger and it is
possible that it may move closer to being a monopoly or a near monopoly to avoid
competition.
(ii) Vertical Merger: This merger happens when two companies that have ‘buyer-seller’
relationship (or potential buyer-seller relationship) come together.
(iii) Conglomerate Mergers: Such mergers involve firms engaged in unrelated type of business
operations. In other words, the business activities of acquirer and the target are neither
related to each other horizontally (i.e., producing the same or competiting products) nor
vertically (having relationship of buyer and supplier).In a pure conglomerate merger, there
are no important common factors between the companies in production, marketing,
research and development and technology. There may however be some degree of
overlapping in one or more of these common factors. Such mergers are in fact, unification
of different kinds of businesses under one flagship company. The purpose of merger
remains utilization of financial resources, enlarged debt capacity and also synergy of
managerial functions.
(iv) Congeneric Merger: In these mergers, the acquirer and the target companies are related
through basic technologies, production processes or markets. The acquired company
represents an extension of product-line, market participants or technologies of the
acquirer. These mergers represent an outward movement by the acquirer from its current
business scenario to other related business activities within the overarching industry
structure.
(v) Reverse Merger: Such mergers involve acquisition of a public (Shell Company) by a private
company, as it helps private company to by-pass lengthy and complex process required to
be followed in case it is interested in going public.
4. TAKEOVER STRATEGIES :
Normally acquisitions are made friendly, however when the process of acquisition is unfriendly
(i.e., hostile) such acquisition is referred to as ‘takeover’). Hostile takeover arises when the Board
of Directors of the acquiring company decide to approach the shareholders of the target company
directly through a Public Announcement (Tender Offer) to buy their shares consequent to the
rejection of the offer made to the Board of Directors of the target company.
Other than Tender Offer the acquiring company can also use the following techniques:
• Street Sweep : This refers to the technique where the acquiring company accumulates
larger number of shares in a target before making an open offer. The advantage is that the
target company is left with no choice but to agree to the proposal of acquirer for takeover.
• Bear Hug : When the acquirer threatens the target company to make an open offer, the
board of target company agrees to a settlement with the acquirer for change of control.
• Strategic Alliance : This involves disarming the acquirer by offering a partnership rather
than a buyout. The acquirer should assert control from within and takeover the target
company.
• Brand Power : This refers to entering into an alliance with powerful brands to displace the
target’s brands and as a result, buyout the weakened company
5. DEFENSIVE TECHNIQUES :
A target company can adopt a number of tactics to defend itself from hostile takeover through a
tender offer.
• Divestiture : In a divestiture the target company divests or spins off some of its businesses
in the form of an independent, subsidiary company. Thus, reducing the attractiveness of
the existing business to the acquirer.
• Crown jewels : When a target company uses the tactic of divestiture it is said to sell the
crown jewels. In some countries such as the UK, such tactic is not allowed once the deal
becomes known and is unavoidable.
• Poison pill : Sometimes an acquiring company itself becomes a target when it is bidding
for another company. The tactics used by the acquiring company to make itself
unattractive to a potential bidder is called poison pills. For instance, the acquiring company
may issue substantial amount of convertible debentures to its existing shareholders to be
converted at a future date when it faces a takeover threat. The task of the bidder would
become difficult since the number of shares to having voting control of the company
increases substantially.
Case study on JLR acquisition by Tata motors and How JLR was turned around by Tata's
Tata’s growth strategy was to consolidate position in domestic market & expand international
footprint through development of new products by:
- Leveraging in house capabilities
- Acquisitions & collaborations to gain complementary capabilities
Introduction of JLR
(i) Global sales of around 300,000 units, across 169 countries
(ii) Global revenue of $15 Billion
(iii) Nine Car lines, designed, engineered and manufactured in the UK.
(iv) 16000 employees
There were five key issues that persuaded Tata Motors to go ahead
• Firstly, Ford had pumped in a great deal of cash to improve quality and it was just a matter
of time before this made a difference.
• Secondly, JLR had very good automobile plants.
• Thirdly, the steadfastness of the dealers despite losses over the past four-five years.
• Fourthly, Jaguar cars had already started moving up the ranks of the annual JD Power
customer satisfaction rankings. And,
Swap Ratio: When mergers happens with exchange of shares, an exchange ratio is agreed upon.
It is also referred as swap ratio. It refers to the number of shares that acquiring company is ready
to give to the target company.
𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶
Swap Ratio =
𝐴𝐴𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶
Question 1 : MK Ltd.
MK Ltd. is considering acquiring NN Ltd. The following information is available:
Company Earning after Tax No. of Equity shares Market value per share
(Rs.) (Rs.)
MK Ltd. 60,00,000 12,00,000 200.00
NN Ltd. 18,00,000 3,00,000 160.00
Exchange of equity shares for acquisition is based on current market value as above. There
is no synergy advantage available.
1) Find the earning per shares for company MK Ltd. after merger, and
2) Find the exchange ratio so that shareholder for NN Ltd. would not be at a loss.
Question 2 : X Ltd.
X Ltd is considering merger with Y Ltd to form XY LTD for better advantages in the market.
Following are other information :
Particulars X Ltd. Y Ltd.
Number of shares Outstanding 4,00,000 2,00,000
Earning after taxes 8,00,000 3,00,000
Market Price per share Rs.30 Rs.15
(i) What is the pre-merger earnings per share (EPS) and P/E ratios of both the
companies?
(ii) If the exchange ratio is market price of share, what will be the post-merger EPS ?
(iii) What should be the exchange ratio, if X Ltd.’s pre-merger and post-merger EPS are
to be the same?
Question 6 : A Ltd.
A Ltd. wants to acquire T Ltd. and has offered a swap ratio of 1:2 (0.5 shares for every one
share of T Ltd.) following information is provided.
A Ltd T Ltd
Profit after tax Rs 18,00,000 Rs 3,60,000
Equity shares outstanding (Nos) 6,00,000 1,80,000
EPS Rs 3 Rs 2
PE Ratio 10 times 7 times
Market price per share Rs 30 Rs 14
Required:
1) The number of equity shares to be issued by A Ltd. for acquisition of T Ltd.
2) What is the EPS of A Ltd. after the acquisition?
3) Determine the equivalent earnings per shares of T Ltd
4) What is the expected market price per shares of A Ltd after the acquisition,
assuming its PE multiple remains unchanged?
5) Determine the market value of the merged firm.
Question 9 : Company X
Company X is contemplating the purchase of company Y. Company X has 3,00,000 shares
having a market price of Rs 30 per share , while company Y has 2,00,000 shares selling Rs
20 per share. The EPS are Rs 4.00 and Rs 2.25 for company X and Y respectively.
Managements of both companies are discussing two alternative proposals for exchanges
of shares as indicated below:
1) In proportion to the relative earning per share of two companies.
2) 0.5 share of company X for one share of company Y(0.5 : 1).
You are required:
a) To calculate the Earning per share (EPS) after merger under two alternatives; and
b) To show the impact on EPS for the shareholders of two companies under both the
alternatives.
Question 10 : X Ltd.
X Ltd. made an attempt to acquire Y Ltd. Following information is available for both the
Companies:
X Ltd. Y Ltd.
Price for Share ( Rs) 30 20
P/E ratio 5 4
No. of Shares ( lakhs ) ( FV of Rs 10 ) 3.0 2.0
Reserve & Surplus ( Rs lakhs) 30 20
Promoters’ holding ( lakh shares) 1.2 0.75
Board of Directors of both the Companies have decided that a workable swap ratio is to
be based on weights of 30%, 30% and 40% respectively for Earning, Book Value and Market
Price of share of each company. Find out the following
(i) Swap ratio
(ii) After merger, Promoter’s holding %
(iii) Post merger EPS
(iv) Gain in Capital market Value of merged company , assuming Price Earning ratio will
remain same.
1. Minimum share price at which the selling company will agree to sell its business is market
price of the share. However, if the market price is quoting lower than Book value of share
then the minimum price shall be book value of share.
2. Maximum depends upon various conditions. One of the major factors is that the acquiring
company would like to maintain (if not increase) its MPS after merger. Another can be the
gain that acquiring company gets from the merger can be passed to the shareholders of
the target company. There can be various other factors for we should solve it on case to
case basis.
Income statement
BA Ltd DA Ltd
(Rs.) (Rs.)
Net sales 34,50,000 17,00,000
Cost of goods sold 27,60,000 13,60,000
Gross profit 6,90,000 3,40,000
Operating expenses 2,00,000 1,00,000
Interest 70,000 42,000
Earnings before taxes 4,20,000 1,98,000
Taxes @ 50% 2,10,000 99,000
Earnings after taxes (EAT ) 2,10,000 99,000
Additional Information : No. of Equity shares 1,00,000 80,000
Dividend payment ratios (D/P) 40% 60%
Market price per share Rs 40 Rs15
Assume that both companies are in the process of negotiating a merger through an
exchange of equity shares. You have been asked to assist in establishing equitable
exchange terms and are require to :
1) Decompose the share price of both the companies into EPS & P/E components : and
also segregate their EPS figures into Return on Equity (ROE) and book value/intrinsic
value per share components.
2) Estimate future EPS growth rate for each company.
3) Based on expected operating synergises BA Ltd estimates that the intrinsic value of
DA’s equity share would be Rs.20 per share on its acquisition.you are required to
develop a range of justifiable equity share exchange ratios that can be offered by
BA Ltd to the shareholders of DA Ltd . Based on your analysis an part (1) and (2)
would you expect the neghotiated terms to be closer to the upper or the lower
exchange ratio limits and why ?
4) Calculate the post merger EPS based on an exchange ratio 0.4 : 1 being offered by
BA Ltd and indicate the immediate EPS accretion or dilution if any that will occur for
each group of shareholders.
5) Based on 0.4:1 exchange ratio and assuming that BA’s Ltd pre merger P?E Ratio will
continue after the merger estimate the post merger market price.Also show the
resulting accretion or dilution in pre merger market prices.
(Rs. in Lakhs)
Liabilities ABC XYZ Assets ABC XYZ
Ltd Ltd Ltd Ltd
To Net Interest 1,200 220 By Net Profit 7,000 2,550
To Taxation 2,030 820
To Distributable profit 3,770 1,510
7,000 2,550 7,000 2,550
To Dividend 1,130 760 By Distributable Profit 3,770 1,510
To Balance c/d 2,640 750
3,770 1,510 3,770 1,510
Question 29 :
Given is the following information :
Day Ltd. Night Ltd.
Net Earnings Rs.5 crores Rs.3.50 crores
No. of Equity Shares 10,00,000 7,00,000
The shares of Day Ltd. and Night Ltd. trade at 20 and 15 times their respective P/E ratios.
Day Ltd. considers taking over Night Ltd. by paying Rs.55 crores considering that the
market price of Night Ltd. reflects its true value. It is considering both the following
options:
(i) Takeover is funded entirely in cash.
(ii) Takeover is funded entirely in stock.
You are required to calculate the cost of the takeover and advise Day Ltd. on the best
alternative.
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CHAPTER DESIGN
1. INTRODUCTION
2. BASICS OF MUTUAL FUNDS
3. CLASSIFICATION OF MUTUAL FUNDS
4. ADVANTAGES OF MUTUAL FUNDS
5. DISADVANTAGES OF MUTUAL FUNDS
6. NET ASSET VALUE
7. HOLDING PERIOD YIELD
1. INTRODUCTION :
Mutual Fund is a trust that pools together the resources of investors to make a foray into
investments in the capital market thereby making the investor to be a part owner of the assets of
the mutual fund. The fund is managed by a professional money manager who invests the money
collected from different investors in various stocks, bonds or other securities according to specific
investment objectives as established by the fund. If the value of the mutual fund investments
goes up, the return on them increases and vice versa.
𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁 𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴
It can be calculated by using the following formula =
𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂𝑂
Question 2 :
The following portfolio details of a fund are available :
Stock Share Price (Rs.)
A 2,00,000 35
B 3,00,000 40
C 4,00,000 20
D 6,00,000 25
The Fund has accrued management fees with the portfolio manager totaling Rs.30,000.
There are 40 lakhs share outstanding. What is the NAV of the fund ? if the fund is sole with
a front end load of 5%, what is the sale price ?
Question 3 :
Calculate the today’s NAV of flexi fund if the following details are given :-
Yesterday’s NAV = Rs. 12.87, Total number of outstanding units : 1.25 Crores Face value =
Rs. 10. Expenses = Rs. 1 lakh [Assumes sale NAV& Repurchase NAV to be Rs. 12.87].
Appreciation of portfolio today 12 lakhs
Units fresh subscription 2 lakhs
Units redemption 0.75 lakhs
Dividend received 1 lakhs
Question 5 :
1 April 2009 Fair Return Mutual Fund has the following assets and prices at 4.00 st p.m.
Shares No. of Shares Market Price Per Share (Rs.)
A Ltd. 10000 19.70
B Ltd. 50000 482.60
C Ltd. 10000 264.40
D Ltd. 100000 674.90
E Ltd. 30000 25.90
No. of units of fund 8,00,000
Please calculate :
1. NAV of the Fund.
2. Assuming Mr. X, a HNI, send a cheque of Rs.50,00,000 to the Fund and Fund
Manager purchases 18000 shares of C Ltd. and balance is held in bank. Then what
will be position of fund.
3. Now suppose on 2 April 2009 at 4.00 p.m. the market price of shares is as follows :
Shares Rs.
A Ltd. 20.30
B Ltd. 513.70
C Ltd. 290.80
D Ltd. 671.90
ELtd. 44.20
Then what will be new NAV.
We are required to calculate HPY for different types of mutual fund plans. The most prominent
mutual fund plans are
1. Pay out plan
2. Reinvestment Plan
3. Bonus Plan
4. Growth Plan
1. Pay-out Plan :
As the name indicates, under this plan mutual funds distributes dividend and capital gain
to its investor from time to time.
Question 7 :
A MF that had an NAV of Rs.20 in the beginning of the month made an income and capital
gain distribution of Rs.0.0375 and Rs.0.03 per share respectively during the month, and
then ended the month with an NAV of Rs.20.06. Calculating the monthly return.
Question 9 :
A mutual fund has a net asset value (NAV) of Rs 50 at the beginning of the year a sum of
Rs 4 was distributed as income besides Rs 3 as capital gain distribution. At the end of the
year NAV was Rs 55. Calculate the net return of the year. Suppose the aforesaid mutual
fund in the next year gives a dividend of Rs 5 as income distribution and no capital gains
distribution and the NAV at the end of the second year is Rs 50. What is the return for the
second year?
Question 10 :
A has invested in three Mutual Fund schemes as per details below:
MF A MF B MF C
Date of Investment 1.12.03 1.1.04 1.3.04
Amount of Investment Rs 50,000 1,00,000 Rs 50,000
NAV on entry date Rs 10.50 Rs 10 Rs 10
Dividend received up to 31.3.04 Rs 950 Rs 1500 Nil
NAV as at 31.3.04 Rs 10.40 Rs 10.10 Rs 9.80
What is the effective yield on per annum basis in respect of each of the three schemes to
Mr. A upto 31.03.04?
Question 12 :
A Mutual Fund having 300 units has shown is NAV of Rs.8.75 and Rs. 9.45 at the beginning
and at the end of the year respectively.
The Mutual Fund has given two options:
a) Pay Rs. 0.75 per unit as dividend and Re. 0.60 per unit as a capital gain, or
b) These distributions are to be reinvested at an average NAV of Rs. 8.65 per unit.
What difference it would make in terms of return available and which option is preferable?
Question 13 : Mr. X
Mr. X, an investor purchased 200 units of ABC Mutual Fund at rate of Rs. 8.50 p.u., one
year ago. Over the year Mr. X received Rs. 0.90 as dividend and had received a capital gains
distribution of Rs. 0.75 per unit.
You are required to find out:
Mr. X’s holding period return assuming that this no load fund has a NAV of Rs. 9.10 as on
today.
Mr. X’s holding period return, assuming all the dividends and capital gains distributions are
reinvested into additional units as at average price of Rs. 8.75 per unit.
Growth Plan : There are no dividend distributions, no capital gain distribution, no units on
reinvestments, no bonus units. The only gain that the holder gets is in terms of capital
appreciation, i.e the difference between the NAV’s at beginning and at the end.
Question 15 : T Ltd.
T Ltd. has promoted an open-ended equity oriented scheme in 1999 with two plans—
Dividend Reinvestment Plan (Plan-A) and a Bonus Plan (Plan-B); the face value of the units
was Rs. 10 each. X and Y invested Rs. 5,00,000 each on 1.4.2001 respectively in Plan-A and
Plan-B, when the NAV was Rs. 42.18 for Plan
- A and Rs. 35.02 for Plan - B. X and Y both redeemed their units on 31.3.2008. Particulars
of dividend and bonus declared on the units over the period were as follows:
Date Dividend Bonus Ratio NAV
Plan A Plan B
15.09.2001 15 — 46.45 29.10
28.07.2002 — 1:6 42.18 30.05
31.03.2003 20 — 48.10 34.95
31.10.2003 — 1:8 49.60 36.00
15.03.2004 18 — 52.05 37.00
24.03.2005 — 1:11 53.05 38.10
27.03.2006 16 — 54.10 38.40
28.02.2007 12 1:12 55.20 39.10
31.03.2008 — — 50.10 34.10
Question 16 : Mr.X
Mr. X on 1.7.2000, during the initial offer of some Mutual Fund invested in 10,000 units
having face value of Rs. 10 for each unit. On 31.3.2001 dividend operated by the M.F was
10% and Mr. X found that his annualized was 153.33%. On 31.12.2002, 20% dividend was
given, On 31.3.2003 Mr. X redeemed all his balance of 11,296.11 units when his annualized
yield was 73.52%. What are the NAVs as on 31.3.2001, 31.12.2002 and 31.3.2003?
Question 17 : Mr.X
On 01-07-2010, Mr. X Invested Rs 50,000/- at initial offer in Mutual Funds at a face value
of Rs 10 each per unit. On 31-03-2011, a dividend was paid @ 10% and annualized yield
was 120%. On 31-03-2012, 20% dividend and capital gain of Rs 0.60 per unit was given.
Mr. X redeemed all his 6271.98 units when his annualized yield was 71.50% over the period
of holding.
Calculate NAV as on 31-03-2011, 31-03-2012 and 31-03-2013.
For calculations consider a year of 12 months.
Question 18 : Mr.A
Mr.A can earn a return of 10% by investing in equity shares of its own. Now he is
considering a recently announced equity based MF scheme in which initial expenses are
6% and annual recurring expenses of 2%. How much should the MF earn to provide Mr. A
return of 10%?
Question 19 : Mr. A
Mr. A can earn a return of 16 per cent by investing in equity shares on his own. Now he is
considering a recently announced equity based mutual fund scheme in which initial
expenses are 5.5 per cent and annual recurring expenses are 1.5 per cent. How much
should the mutual fund earn to provide Mr. A return of 16 per cent?
Question 20 : Mr. J
Mr. J Purchased an open ended load fund with a NAV of Rs 50 per unit and 3% sales load.
One year later J sold the fund with a NAV of Rs 54 per unit with a back end load of 3% as
well. During a year, fund paid Rs 0.25 dividend per unit and distributed Rs 0.40 in capital
gains per unit. If J invested Rs 10,000 in this fund, what was J’s rupee and percentage return
over the year. What would have been the return if this was a no load fund?
: PRACTICAL QUESTIONS :
Question 22 : Mr.Alex
Mr.Alex, a practicing Chartered Accountant, can earn a return of 15 percent by investing
in equity shares on his own. He is considering a recently announced equity based mutual
fund scheme in which initial expenses are 6 percent and annual recurring expenses are 2
percent.
(i) How much should the mutual fund earn to provide Mr.Alex a return of 15 percent
per annum?
(ii) Mr.Alex’s current Annual Professional Income is Rs.40 Lakhs. His portfolio value is
Rs.50 lakhs and now he is spending 10% of his time to manage his portfolio. If he
spends this time on profession, his professional income will go up in same
proportion. He is thinking to invest his entire portfolio into a Multicap Fund,
assuming the fund’s NAV will grow at 13% per annum (including dividend).
You are request to advise Mr.Alex, whether he can invest the portfolio into Multical Funds?
If so, what is the net financial benefit?
Question 25 :
During the year 2017 an investor invested in a mutual fund. The capital gain and dividend
for the year was Rs.3.00 per unit, which were re-invested at the year end NAV of Rs.23.75.
The investor had a total units of 26,750 as at the end of the year. The NAV had appreciated
by 18.75% during the year and there was an entry load of Rs.0.05 at the time when the
investment was made.
The investor lost his records and wants to find out the amount of investment made and
the entry load in the mutual fund.
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Forex www.rahulmalkan.com
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Looking at the nature and importance of the chapter, we have divided the chapter into 4 parts.
Forex
The factors above and many more has necessitated the need to understand the concepts and
fundas relation to foreign exchange.
124 Forex
2. Exchange Rate :
This is the Base on which entire chapter is based. This one liner will make you fall in love
with this topic.
Direct Quote: It means how many units of home currency will be needed to buy one of
foreign currency. Example of direct Quotes for India
1 $ = Rs 55 1 £ = Rs 98 1 Euro = Rs 83
Indirect Quote: One unit of Home currency = How many units of Foreign Currency.
Example of direct Quotes for India
Question 1 :
Convert the following direct Quotes into indirect Quotes for India. 1 $ = Rs 55, 1 £ = Rs
82.
Question 2 :
Convert the following indirect Quotes into direct Quotes for India Rs 1 = $ 0.0322 , Rs 1 =
£ 0.0122
Question 3 :
The following indirect quotes from US point of view
1$ = Rs.45.6020
= Euro 0.8040
= Pound 0.6350
= HK$ 7.2040
= Yen 82.3050
1) Express the quotes as indirect quote of UK.
2) Express the above quotations as an indirect quote of India.
Forex 125
4. Bid / Ask and Spread :
Consider Rs / $ rate is 75 / 76
• It’s a $ Rate
• Bid Rate is 75. Bank is ready to Buy $ for Rs 75
• Ask Rate is 76. Bank is ready to sell $ for Rs 76
• Spread is (76 – 75) = Rs 1
Note: We are required to solve most of the questions from customers point of
view so
1. Bank Sell = Customer Buy
2. Bank Buy = Customer Sell
5. Currency Conversions :
Through out Forex, we are required to convert one
currency into another, like $ to Rs, Rs to £, ¥ to Rs
and So on
Quotation A/ B – X / Y
Step 1– Choice of Rate If the customer wants to Buy B – Then Y If the customer wants to
Sell B – Then X
Step 2 – Divide / Multiple If the amount is given in B – then multiply If the amount is
given in A – then Divide
126 Forex
Question 4 :
Calculate how many Rs – Rightnote, a Mumbai based firm will receive or pay for its
following four foreign exchange transactions.
1. The firm receives dividend of Euro 2,00,000 Euro from its French Associate
Company.
2. The firm pays interest amounting 1,00,000 Yens for its borrowing from a Japanese
firm.
3. The firm exported goods to USA and have just received $ 3,00,000
4. The firm imported goods from Singapore amounting to Singapore $ 4,00,000
Exchange Rate
1 $ = Rs 60.05 / Rs 60.50
1 Euro = Rs 83.31 / Rs 83.91
1 SGD = Rs 49.71 / Rs 50.21
1 ¥ = Rs 0.63 / Rs 0.65
Question 6 :
Consider the following Quotations
1£ = 1 $ 1.5873 / 1.5923
1$ = € 0.74 / 0.76
$ / ¥ = 0.010 / 0.012
A US person plans to travel to UK, Europe and Japan. He requires £ 11,000, € 25,000 and ¥
4,30,000. How much $ is required.
Forex 127
Question 7 :
Consider the following rates
Rs / £ 82.20 / 82.40
Rs / $ 59.10 / 59.40
€ / ¥ 0.0093 / 0.0097
1. European firm having surplus funds of Euro 80,000 wants to invest in Japan. What
amount of Yen it will be able to Invest ?
2. An Indian student decides to do CPA course. The price of the course is $ 1800. How
much rupee is required?
3. A US firm exports to India and receives Rs 42,80,000 and wants to convert into $.
How much dollar is received?
4. An Indian company requires Rs 25,00,000 for 1 year. He decides to borrow the
amount in £. How much £ should be borrow to fulfill his requirement?
Question 8 :
A Japanese decides to acquire a UK based co. for a purchase consideration of pound
500million.
At that time exchange rate was –
1 pound = Yen 125.65/15
= Yen 125.65/126.15
However there was a 10 days delay and the exchange rate changed to
1 Yen = £ 0.00785/0.00795
What is the impact of the exchange rate change on the cost of acquisition of the Japanese
firm in yen terms?
6. Inverse Rates :
Given A / B = X / Y implied B / A = 1/y / 1/x
Question 9 :
Given Rs / $ 59.10 / 59.40. Calculate $ / Rs rates.
7. Cross Rates :
Cross rate is the exchange rate between two currencies implied by their exchange rates
with a common third currency. Cross rates are necessary when there is no active foreign
exchange market in the currency pair. The rate must be computed from the exchange rates
between each of these two currencies and a third currency.
Exchange Rate Implied Rates Explanation
1 X/Y=A/B X/Z=AxC/BxD The answer needed is cross and hence we
Y/Z=C/D go straight and Multiply
2 X/Y=A/B X / Z = A ÷ D / C ÷ B The answer needed is straight and hence
Z/Y=C/D we should go cross and divide
3 Y/X=A/B X / Z = C ÷ B / D ÷ A The answer needed is straight and hence
Y/Z=C/D we should go cross and divide
128 Forex
Question 10 :
Bank A in US and Bank B in UK provide the following quotations
Bank A $ / € = 0.9250 / 0.9280
Bank B £ / € = 0.6150 / 0.6230
Calculate implied $ / £ rate.
Question 11 :
Bank A in US and Bank B in UK provide the following quotations
Bank A £ / € = 0.9250 / 0.9280
Bank B €/ $ = 0.6150 / 0.6230
Calculate implied £/$ rate.
Question 12 :
Bank A in US and Bank B in UK provide the following quotations
Bank A $ / € = 0.9250 / 0.9280
Bank B $ / £ = 0.6150 / 0.6230
Calculate implied € / £ rate.
Question 13 :
Rs / £ = 74.00 / 74.50
Rs / CHF = 26.00 / 26.60
Find CHF / £
Question 14 :
An importer customer requested a bank to remit 25,00,000 Singapore $ (SGD) to the
supplier. The inter bank market rates were as follows :
Mumbai US $ 1 = Rs. 65.21 / 65.71
London 1 £ = $ 1.7745/1.7785
1 £ = SGD 4.1280 / 4.1310
The bank wishes to retain an exchange margin of 0.125%. How many rupees the importer
will have to pay?
Question 15 :
On January 28, 2005 an importer customer requested a bank to remit Singapore Dollar
(SGD) 25,00,000 under an irrevocable LC. However due to bank strikes, the bank could
effect the remittance only on February 4, 2005. The interbank market rates were as follow:
January 28 February 4
Bombay US$1 Rs. 45.85/45.90 45.91/45.97
London Pound I US$17840/17850 1.7765/1.7775
Pound I SGD3.1575/3.1590 3.1380/3.1390
The bank wishes to retain an exchange margin of 0.125%.
How much does the customer stand to gain or lose due to the delay ?
(Calculate rate in multiples of .0001)
Forex 129
8. Arbitrage :
Arbitrage is the process by which the investor
the make riskless profit.
Rules of Arbitrage
1. There are possibly 2 paths to
Arbitrage
2. Both the paths can never show profit
3. Both the Paths can show loss
4. One path can show profit and one path
can show loss.
Question 16 :
Spot Rate (Switzerland) 1 $ = 1.3689 / 1.3695 CHF
Spot Rate (USA) 1 CHF = 0.7090/ 0.7236
You have 1 million CHF. What amount of profit you can make from arbitrage?
Question 17 :
Bank A Rs / $ 55.40 / 55.80
Bank B Rs / $ 55.60 / 56.40
Question 18 :
Consider the following data
Rs / $ 46.20 / 47.10
Rs / £ 68.90 / 69.10
$ / £ 1.3650 / 1.3680
Show the process of arbitrage using $ 50,000
130 Forex
Question 19 :
Followings are the spot exchange rates quoted at three different forex markets:
USD/INR 48.30 in Mumbai
GBP/INR 77.52 in London
GBP/USD 1.6231 in New York
The arbitrageur has USD 1,00,00,000. Assuming that there are no transaction costs, explain
whether there is any arbitrage gain possible from the quoted spot exchange rates.
Question 20 :
The interbank Quote is given by Rs / $ 52.10 / 52.70
TT Buying commission 0.2%
TT Selling commission 0.25%
Calculate TT Buying rate and TT Selling Rate.
2. Forward Rate :
It is the rate Fixed today for buying and selling foreign currency later. Note : Both the Spot
Rate and Forward Rates are known today
Discount : If forward rate of the currency is lower than the spot rate, the currency is said
to at discount
• For eg spot Rs / $ 50 and 2 month forward Rs / $ 48
• It’s a $ Rate and $ is said to be at discount
Forex 131
𝐹𝐹−𝑆𝑆 12
1. Forward premium/Discount on $ = x 100 x
𝑆𝑆 𝑛𝑛
𝑆𝑆−𝐹𝐹 12
2. Forward Premium/ Discount on Rs = x 100 x
𝐹𝐹 𝑛𝑛
Question 21 :
Spot rate $ 1 = Rs 50
Six month Forward $ 1 = Rs 52
Is $ at forward premium or discount. Calculate the forward premium or discount on $.
Question 22 :
Spot Rate € 1.3450 / £, 2 month forward € 1.3410 / £. Calculate Annualized forward
premium / discount on each currency.
Question 23 :
3 months forward rate $ 1.5865 / £. Annualized forward premium on dollar against £
a. Based on 3 months forward rate = 7%
b. Based on 6 months forward rate = 9%
Calculate 6 months forward rate.
Question 24 :
6 mf = $1.340 / €. Annualized forward premium on dollar against pound based on 6 months
forward rate = 5%. Annualized forward discount on € against dollar based on 3 mf rate =
4%. Calculate 3 mf rate.
4. Swap Rates :
Swap Rates are the difference between the Spot Rates and Forward Rates. Given the spot
rates and swap points, we have to find the forward rates.
Swap points 60/90 Low / High Means premium and we should ADD
Swap points 90/60 High/Low Means discount and we should LESS
Question 25 :
Spot rate 1$ = Rs 40.00 / 40.10
1 month forward 0.10 / 0.11
2 month forward 0.12 / 0.13
3 month forward 0.14 / 0.15
Calculate 1 month, 2 month and 3 month forward rates.
132 Forex
Question 26 :
Spot rate 1$ = Rs 50.00 / 50.30
1 month forward 0.10 / 0.09
2 month forward 0.15 / 0.13
3 month forward 0.19 / 0.15
Calculate 1 month, 2 month and 3 month forward rates.
Question 27 :
You are given the following $ quotes :
Spot rate Rs/$ 62.50 / 63.10
2 months forward 0.10/0.30
3 months forward 0.30/0.20
4 months forward 0.25/0.45
1. Calculate 2 months, 3 months and 4 months forward Rates ?
2. What amount you will receive in rupees by selling 4,00,000 $ 2 month forward?
3. How many $ you will pay in rupees for buying Rs. 2,00,000 3 month forward?
4. Calculate % of discount / premium in dollar/rupees on 3 months and 4 months
forward rates based on customer buy rates.
5. Hedging :
Foreign Trade is subject to risk of exchange rate differences. We need to safeguard against
such risk. The procedure followed to safeguard against such risk is known as Hedging.
There are various ways to hedge the transaction risk.
Methods covered
Forward Cover
Call Cover
Put Cover
F+
F-
6. Forward Cover :
Forward cover ie Forward exchange contracts are most commonly used to hedge against
the adverse movement in exchange rate.
Forex 133
per shirt. However, the client has asked for a credit period of 3 months. Now what can
happen after 3 months is that the rates can fall and his expected profit may be reduced or
even wiped out. Yes, off course the exchange rate can rise and his profit can increase also.
But he does not want to take such risk, the risk of exposure to fluctuations in exchange
rate.
Hence, he was to hedge. He can enter into forward market and make an agreement with
bank to sell $ 3 months from now at the rate decided today. Bank may quote rate higher
or lower to the spot depending the forward premium or discount.
Let say bank quotes Rs / $ at 49. This will reduce the exporters profit from Rs 10 to Rs 8.
Even though his profit falls, atleast he sure that he is not exposed to any further risk. Any
further reduction will not be applicable to him. He is now protected from any further
fluctuations. Entering into the forward contract with the view to safeguard oneself, is
known as hedging.
FC Fear of FC Sell FC
Exporter
Receivable Falling Forward
Fear of FC Buy FC
Importer FC Payable
Rising Forward
Question 28 :
US firm has € 40,000 receivable after 6 months. Spot Rate is $/€ 1.0427. 6 mf rate quoted
by bank is $ 1.0527/€. How can he hedge his exposure?
Question 29 :
Indian firm has $ 50,000 payable after 3 months. Spot Rate is Rs/$ 68.70. 3 mf rate quoted
by bank is Rs/$ 68.90.
How can he hedge his exposure?
Question 30 : A US company
A US company imports a Radio therapy machine from Switzerland. The price is 1,00,000
CHF with the terms of 30 days. The present spot rate is 1.92 CHF per dollar. The 30 day
forward rate is 1.90. The US co enters into forward contract. How many dollars the US Co.
would pay after 30 days? Is the CHF at premium or at a discount ?
134 Forex
Question 31 : Excel Exporters
Excel Exporters are holding an Export bill in United States Dollar (USD) 1,00,000, due 60
days hence. They are worried about the falling USD value which is currently at Rs. 45.60
per USD. The concerned Export Consignment has been priced on an Exchange rate of Rs.
45.50 per USD. The Firm's Bankers have quoted a 60- day forward rate of Rs. 45.20.
Calculate:
a. Rate of discount quoted by the Bank
b. The probable loss of operating profit if the forward sale is agreed to.
Question 32 :
A company is considering hedging its foreign exchange risk. It has made a purchase on 1st
Jan., 2008 for which it has to make a payment of $ 50,000 on Sept, 2008. The present
exchange rate is 1 US $ = Rs. 40. It can purchase forward at Rs. 39. The company will have
to make a upfront premium @ 2% of the forward amount purchased. The costs of funds
to the company is 10% per annum and the rate of corporate tax is 50%. Ignore taxation.
Consider the following situations and compute the profit / loss the company will make if it
hedges its foreign exchange risk.
1. If the exchange rate on 30th Sept is Rs. 42 per US $.
2. If the exchange rate on 30th Sept is Rs. 38 per US $.
Question 34 :
At the end of August, 2008, an Indian company, an exporter has an export exposure of
5,00,000 H.K.$ due at the end of September, 2008. HK $ is not directly quoted against India
rupee. The current spot rates are INR/USD = Rs. 46 and HK$/USD = HK$2.3. It is estimated
that HK$ will depreciate to HK $2.5 level and Indian Rupee to appreciate against US$ to Rs.
47. One month forward rate at the end of August are HD$/USD = HK$ 2.45 and INR/USD =
Rs. 47.04.
Calculate expected loss if hedging is not done. How the position will change with the
company taking a forward cover?
If spot rate on 30the September, 2008 are eventually HK$/USD = HK$ 2.52 and INR/USD =
47.88 is the decision to take forward cover justified.
Forex 135
Question 35 :
Your forex dealer had entered into a cross currency deal and had sold US $ 10,00,000
against EURO at US $ 1 = EUR 1.4400 for spot delivery.
However, later during the day, the market became volatile and the dealer in compliance
with his management's guidelines had to square up the position when the quotations
were:
Spot US $ 1 INR 31.4300/4500
1 month margin 25/20
2 months margin 45/35
Spot US $ 1 EURO 1.4400/4450
1 month forward 1.4425/4490
2 months forward 1.4460/4530
What will be the gain or loss in the transaction?
Question 36 :
You have following quotes from Bank A and Bank B :
Bank A Bank B
SPOT USD/CHF 1.4650/55 USD/CHF 1.4653/60
3 months 5/10
6 months 10/15
SPOT GBP/USD 1.7645/60 GBP/USD 1.7640/50
3 months 25/20
6 months 35/25
Calculate :
1. How much minimum CHF amount you have to pay for 1 million GBP spot?
2. Considering the quotes from Bank A only, for GBP/CHF what are the Implied Swap
points for Spot over 3 months?
136 Forex
Question 38 : AKC Ltd
Following information relates to AKC Ltd. which manufactures some parts of an electronics
device which are exported to USA, Japan and Europe on 90 days credit terms.
Cost and Sales information :
Japan USA Europe
Variable cost per unit Rs.225 Rs.395 Rs.510
Export sale price per unit Yen 650 US$10.23 Euro 11.99
Receipts from sale due in Yen 78,00,000 US$1,02,300 Euro 85,920
90 days
Foreign exchange rate information :
Yen/Rs. US$/Rs. Euro/Rs.
Spot market 2.417-2.437 0.0214-0.0217 0.0177-0.0180
3 months forward 2.397-2.427 0.0213-0.0216 0.0176-0.0178
3 months spot 2.423-2.459 0.02144-0.02156 0.0177-0.0179
Advice AKC Ltd. by calculating average contribution to sales ratio whether it should hedge
its foreign currency risk or not.
Forex 137
1. Delivery Under the contract :
Early Delivery
Late Delivery
Question 39 :
On 1st June 2020 the bank enters into a forward contract for 2 months for selling US$
1,00,000 at Rs 65.5000. On 1st August 2020 the spot rate was Rs 65.7500/65.2500.
Calculate the amount to be debited in the customer’s account.
Question 40 :
The Bank sold Hong Kong Dollar 1,00,000 spot to its customer at Rs. 7.5681 and covered
itself in London market on the same day, when the exchange rates were US $1 = HK$
8.4409 HK $ 8.4500 Local inter-bank market rates for US$ were: Spot US$1 = Rs. 62.7128
Rs. 62.9624 Calculate the cover rate and ascertain the profit or loss in the transaction.
Ignore brokerage.
138 Forex
Question 42 : Mr. X
On 1 October 2020 Mr. X an exporter enters into a forward contract with a BNP Bank to
sell US$ 1,00,000 on 31 December 2020 at Rs 65.40/$. However, due to the request of the
importer, Mr. X received amount on 28 November 2020. Mr. X requested the bank the
take delivery of the remittance on 30 November 2020 i.e. before due date. The inter-
banking rates on 28 November 2020 was as follows:
Spot Rs 65.22/65.27
One Month Premium 10/15
If bank agrees to take early delivery then what will be net inflow to Mr. X assuming that
the prevailing prime lending rate is 18%.
In case of cancellation on due date in addition of flat charges (if any) the
difference between contracted rate and the cancellation rate (reverse action
of original contract) is charged from/ paid to the customer.
Question 43 :
On 15th January 2020 you as a banker booked a forward contract for US$ 250000 for your
import customer deliverable on 15th March 2020 at Rs 65.3450. On due date customer
request, you to cancel the contract. On this date quotation for US$ in the inter-bank
market is as follows:
Spot Rs 65.2900/2975 per US$
Spot/ April 3000/ 3100
Spot/ May 6000/ 6100
Assuming that the flat charges for the cancellation is Rs 100 and exchange margin is
0.10%, then determine the cancellation charges payable by the customer.
Forex 139
B. Cancellation Before the Due Date :
To cancel the contract before the due date, an entity is required to enter into
FORWARD reverse contract. The date of the forward contract should match
the execution date of the original contract.
In addition of flat charges (if any) the difference between contracted rate
and the cancellation rate (reverse action of original contract) is charged
from/ paid to the customer.
Question 44 :
You as a banker has entered into a 3 month’s forward contract with your customer to
purchase AUD 1,00,000 at the rate of Rs 47.2500. However, after 2 months your customer
comes to you and requests cancellation of the contract.
On this date quotation for AUD in the market is as follows:
Spot Rs 47.3000/3500 per AUD
1month forward Rs 47.4500/5200 per AUD
Determine the cancellation charges payable by the customer.
Question 45 :
A customer with whom the Bank had entered into 3 months forward purchase contract for
Swiss Francs 10,000 @ Rs 27.25 comes to the bank after two months and requests
cancellation of the contract. On this date, the rates are :
Spot 1 CHF : Rs 27.30 / 27.35
One month forward 1 CHF : RS 27.45 / 27.52
Determine the amount of Profit or Loss to the customer due to cancellation of the contract.
140 Forex
Extension on Due Date
Extension before Due Date
Extension after Due Date
Question 46 :
Suppose you are a banker and one of your export customer has booked a US$ 1,00,000
forward sale contract for 2 months with you at the rate of Rs 62.5200 and simultaneously
you covered yourself in the interbank market at Rs 62.5900. However, on due date, after
2 months your customer comes to you and requests for cancellation of the contract and
also requests for extension of the contract by one month. On this date quotation for US$
in the market was as follows:
Spot Rs 62.7200/62.6800
1 month forward Rs 62.6400/62.7400
Determine the extension charges payable by the customer assuming exchange margin of
0.10% on buying as well as selling.
Question 47 :
On 30th June 2020 when a forward contract matured for execution you are asked by an
importer customer to extend the validity of the forward sale contract for US$ 10,000 for
a further period of three months.
Contracted Rate US$1 = Rs.41.87
The US Dollar quoted on 30.6.2020
Spot Rs. 40.4800/Rs. 40.4900
Premium July 0.1100/0.1300
Premium August 0.2300/0.2500
Premium September 0.3500/0.3750
Calculate the cost for your customer in respect of the extension of the forward contract.
Rupee values to be rounded off to the nearest Rupee.
Margin 0.080% for Buying Rate
Margin 0.25% for Selling Rate
Forex 141
Question 48 :
Suppose you as a banker entered into a forward purchase contract for US$ 50,000 on 5th
March with an export customer for 3 months at the rate of Rs 59.6000. On the same day
you also covered yourself in the market at Rs 60.6025. However, on 5th May your customer
comes to you and requests extension of the contract to 5thJuly. On this date (5th May)
quotation for US$ in the market is as follows:
Spot Rs 59.1300/1400 per US$
Spot/ 5th June Rs 59.2300/2425 per US$
Spot/ 5thJuly Rs 59.6300/6425 per US$
Assuming a margin 0.10% on buying and selling, determine the extension charges payable
by the customer and the new rate quoted to the customer.
Question 49 :
On 1st January an Indian importer had a $5,00,000 payable 3 months from now and
decided to go for forward cover.
Spot rates Rs/$ 45.60/85
3m Swap Pts 70/80
However, on 1st March he requests the bank to extend the contract by 1 month.
Spot rates Rs/$ 45.35/55
1m Swap Pts 30/20
2m Swap Pts 50/40
Explain the method of settlement between the bank and customer
C. Late Extension :
In case of late extension current rate prevailing on such date of delivery shall
be applied. However, before this delivery the provisions of Automatic
Cancellation shall be applied.
Automatic Cancellation
As per FEDAI Rule 8 a forward contract which remains overdue without any
instructions from the customers on or before due date shall stand
automatically cancelled on 15th day from the date of maturity. Though
customer is liable to pay the exchange difference arising there from but not
entitled for the profit resulting from this cancellation.
142 Forex
Cancellation charges shall be payable consisting of following:
(i) Exchange Difference: The difference between Spot Rate of offsetting
position (cancellation rate) on the date of cancellation of contract
after due date or 15 days (whichever is earlier) and original rate
contracted for.
(ii) Swap Loss: The loss arises on account of offsetting its position created
by early delivery as bank normally covers itself against the position
taken in the original forward contract. This position is taken at the
spot rate on the date of cancellation earliest forward rate of offsetting
position.
(iii) Interest on Outlay of Funds: Interest on the difference between the
rate entered by the bank in the interbank market and actual spot rate
on the due date of contract of the opposite position multiplied by the
amount of foreign currency amount involved. This interest shall be
calculated for the period from the due date of maturity of the contract
and the actual date of cancellation of the contract or 15 days
whichever is later.
Question 50 :
An importer booked a forward contract with his bank on 10th April for USD 2,00,000 due
on 10th June @ Rs.64.4000. The bank covered its position in the market at Rs.64.2800.
The exchange rates for dollar in the interbank market on 10th June and 20th June were:
10th June 20th June
Spot USD 1 Rs.63.0000/8200 Rs.63.6800/7200
Spot/June Rs.63.9200/9500 Rs.63.8000/8500
July Rs.64.0500/0900 Rs.63.9300/9900
August Rs.64.3000/3500 Rs.64.1800/2500
September Rs.64.6000/6600 Rs.64.4800/5600
Exchange Margin 0.10% and interest on outlay of funds @ 12%. The importer requested
on 20th June for extension of contract with due date on 10th August. Rates rounded to 4
decimals in multiples of 0.0025.
On 10th June, Bank Swaps by selling spot and buying one month forward.
CALCULATE:
(i) Cancellation rate (ii) Amount payable on $ 2,00,000
(iii) Swap loss (iv) Interest on outlay of funds, if any
(v) New contract rate and (vi) Total Cost
Forex 143
Question 51 :
Y has to remit USD $1,00,000 on 4th April 2018. Accordingly, he has booked a forward
contract with his bank on 4th January @ 63.8775. The Bank has covered its position in the
market @ Rs.63.7575.
The exchange rates for USD $ in the interbank market on 4th April and 14th April were:
4th April Rs. 14th April Rs.
Spot USD 1 63.2775/63.2975 63.1575/63.1975
Spot/April 63.3975/63.4275 63.2775/63.3275
May 63.5275/63.5675 63.4075/63.7650
June 63.7775/63.8250 63.6575/63.7275
July 64.0700/64.1325 63.9575/64.0675
Exchange margin of 0.10 percent and interest outlay of funds @ 12 percent are
applicable. The remitter, due to rescheduling of the semester, has requested on 14th
April 2018 for extension of contract with due date on 14th June 2018.
Rates must be rounded to 4 decimal place in multiples of 0.0025.
Calculate:
(i) Cancellation Rate; (ii) Amount Payable on $ 100,000;
(iii) Swap loss; (iv) Interest on outlay of funds, if any;
(v) New Contract Rate; and (vi) Total Cost
Spot Rate: Spot rates like any other rates, rates of any other product are determined through
demand and supply for the product.
Forward Rates: Forward rates are affected by various factors, many factors which are external
and internal to the country. We can study the movement of forward rates through
144 Forex
1. Interest Rate Parity Theory :
Lets study the theory and related concepts as under
Theory
Explanation to Theory
IRP - Equation
IRP - Aribtriage
IRP - Hedge
1. Theory :
As per this theory, the exchange rate between currencies is directly affected by their
interest rate differential. No one can borrow from one country and invest the same
in other country and earn profit. It will be negated by difference exchange rate in
spot market and forward market.
2. Explanation :
Consider a situation where interest rate in India happens to 10% and interest rate
in US is 4% respectively. Spot rate is Rs./$ 50. Suppose we borrow $ 1000 for a year
from US, then the amount payable shall be 1000 x 1.04 = $ 1040. $ 1000 which is
borrowed is brought to India on a spot rate of Rs./$ 50. That gets him Rs 50,000 and
he invest the same in India for a year @10%. The amount receivable would be
50,000 x 1.1 = Rs. 55,000. So after the year when the person goes back to repay the
loan in US the forward rate will be such that he shall not be in the position to earn
profit. 1 year forward Rs./$ = 55,000/1040 = 52.8846 which cuts any possibility of
profit.
Forex 145
Note : It makes sense to remember that the country who’s interest rate are
lower, its currency is always at premium
3. IRP – Equation :
𝐹𝐹 1+𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
According to IRP = =
𝑆𝑆 1+𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
𝐹𝐹 1+𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝐹𝐹 1+0.10
= = = therefore F = 52.8846
𝑆𝑆 1+𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 50 1+0.04
Question 52 :
The United States Dollar is selling in India at Rs. 45.50. If the interest rate for a 6-month
borrowing in India is 8% per annum and the corresponding rate in USA is 2%,
i) Do you expect United States Dollar to be at a premium or at discount in the Indian
forward market;
ii) What is the expected 6-month forward rate for United States Dollar in India; and
iii) What is the rate of forward premium or discount?
Question 53 :
Consider Spot rate = Sfr 11.3050/$ Now consider the following table -
Particulars 3m 6m 9m
Forword Rate ? ? 11.905
i$ 10% 11% ?
isFr. 12% ? 14%
Annualized Forward discount on sfr ? 6% ?
Fill in the missing blanks. Assume that all interest rates are annualized effective.
Question 54 :
Given spot rate Rs. 87.50/£
9 month forward rate = Rs. 91.45/£
9 month Rs interest rate = 15% p.a.
Find out the £ interest rate.
4. IRP – Arbitrage :
IRP Arbitrage involves the following 4 steps
1. Borrow
2. Convert
3. Invest
146 Forex
4. Sell (Convert Back)
Question 55 :
Given the following information :
Exchange rate - Canadian Dollar 0.665 per DM (Spot)
Canadian Dollar 0.670 per DM (3 months)
Interest rates - DM 7% p.a.
Canadian Dollar 9% p.a.
What operations would be carried out to earn the possible arbitrage gains?
Question 56 :
Spot rate 1 US $ = Rs 48.0123
180 days Forward rate for 1 US $ = Rs 48.8190
Annualized interest rate for 6 months - Rupee = 12%
Annualised interest rate for 6 months - US $ = 8%
Is there any arbitrage possibility? If yes how an arbitrageur can take advantage of the
situation, if he is willing to borrow Rs. 40,00,000 or US $ 83,312.
5. IRP – Hedge :
We have earlier discussed Forward cover as a tool to safeguard against foreign
currency exposure. Now the knowledge of IRP has helped us to establish the
relation between F, S, iA and iB. Now instead of using F we can hedge ourselves by
using S, iA, and iB. This is known as money market cover.
Forex 147
Strategy for Money Market Hedge
Question 57 :
US Firm has £ 50,000 payable after 3 months.
Spot Rate $ / £ 1.6210 / 1.6250.
3 mf $ / £ 1,6280 / 1.6350.
3 month interest rate $ 6% / 7%
and £ is 4% / 5%.
Advice the US firm regarding forward cover or money market cover.
Question 58 :
A UK firm € 90,000 receivable 6 months from now.
Spot Rate € / £ 1.5320 / 1.5350
6 moths swap points 80 / 60
6 months interest rates £ 7% / 8%
€ 3 % / 4%
Advice the UK firm as whether it should choose forward cover or money market cover.
148 Forex
Question 60 :
An importer in U.K. has a payable of Euro 500,000 after 3 months. He has collected the
following information from his banker.
Euro/£ spot = 1.4200/1.4210
3 months forward = 1.4245/1.4256
3 months interest rate (p.a.)
ieuro -2.60%-2.80%
i£ - 3.00% - 3.20%
Which of the following would you recommend for covering the exposure?
i. Forward market
ii. Money market
Forex 149
Question 62 : Wenden Co.
Wenden Co. is a Dutch-based company which has the following expected transactions. One
month : Expected receipt of £2,40,000
One month : Expected payment of £1,40,000
Three months : Expected receipts of £3,00,000
The finance manager has collected the following information :
Spot rate (£ per €) : 1.7820 ± 0.0002
One month forward rate (£ per €) : 1.7829 ± 0.0003
Three months forward rate (£ per €) : 1.7846 ± 0.0004
Money market rates for Wenden Co :
Borrowing Deposit
One year Euro interest rate : 4.90% 4.6
One year Sterling interest rate : 5.40% 5.1
Assume that it is now 1 April.
Required :
(a) Calculate the expected Euro receipts in one month and in three months using the
forward market.
(d) Calculate the expected Euro receipts in three months using a money-market hedge
and recommend whether a forward market hedge or a money market hedge should
be used.
150 Forex
Question 64 : CQS plc
CQS plc is a UK company that sells goods solely within UK. CQS plc has recently tried a
foreign supplier in Netherland for the first time and need to pay €250,000 to the supplier
in six months’ time. You as financial manager are concerned that the cost of these supplies
may rise in Pound Sterling terms and has decided to hedge the currency risk of this account
payable. The following information has been provided by the company’s bank:
Spot rate (€ per £) : 1·998 ± 0·002
Six months forward rate (€ per £) : 1·979 ± 0·004
Money market rates available to CQS plc:
Borrowing Deposit
One year Pound Sterling interest rates : 6·1% 5·4%
One year Euro interest rates : 4·0% 3·5%
Assuming CQS plc has no surplus cash at the present time you are required to evaluate
whether a money market hedge, a forward market hedge or a lead payment should be
used to hedge the foreign account payable.
Theory
PPP - Equation
PPP - Arbitrage
1. Theory :
As per this theory, the exchange rate between currencies is directly affected by their
inflation rate differential. No one can buy from one country and sell the same in
other country and earn profit. It will be negated by difference exchange rate in spot
market and forward market.
2. IRP – Equation :
𝐹𝐹 1+𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
According to IRP = =
𝑆𝑆 1+𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖
Forex 151
Question 65 :
Spot rate = Rs 50 / $
Expected Inflation - India ---- 8% p.a
- US ---- 3% p.a
Find E(S) after 1 year and 3 yrs.
Question 66 :
Suppose inflation rates in India and US for the 3 yrs. are forecasted to be:
Years Inflation (India) Inflation (US)
1 5% 2%
2 6% 3%
3 7% 4%
Find out the E(S) at the end of each year. Spot rate is Rs 55 / $
3. PPP – Arbitrage :
Arbitrage using inflation rates, involves simultaneous buying and selling. Buying at
cheaper rate from one country and selling at higher rates to another. One should
remember that demand and supply will cancel such an arbitrage.
Question 67 :
The price of a commodity in UK is Pound 100 while in US it is $170. Exchange rate is
presently Pound 1 =$1.5. Explain the process of commodity arbitrage and also indicate the
forces which will eliminate the arbitrage.
Question 68 :
Interest rate in India –10%
Inflation rate in India –6%
Inflation rate in US –4%
Calculate interest rate in US.
152 Forex
PART 4 – OTHER RELATED CONCEPTS :
1. Currency Exposure :
a. Transaction Exposure :
It measures the effect of an exchange rate change on outstanding obligations that
existed before exchange rates changed but were settled after the exchange rate
changes. Thus, it deals with cash flows that result from existing contractual
obligations.
Example: If an Indian exporter has a receivable of $100,000 due in six months hence
and if the dollar depreciates relative, to the rupee a cash loss occurs. Conversely, if
the dollar appreciates relative to the rupee, a cash gain occurs.
b. Translation Exposure :
Also known as accounting exposure, it refers to gains or losses caused by the
translation of foreign currency assets and liabilities into the currency of the parent
company for consolidation purposes.
Forex 153
c. Economic Exposure :
It refers to the extent to which the economic value of a company can decline due
to changes in exchange rate. It is the overall impact of exchange rate changes on
the value of the firm. The essence of economic exposure is that exchange rate
changes significantly alter the cost of a firm’s inputs and the prices of its outputs
and thereby influence its competitive position substantially.
Question 69 :
Following are the details of cash inflows and outflows in foreign currency of an Indian
export firm, which have foreign subsidiary:
Currency Inflow Outflow Spot rate Forward rate
US $ 4,00,00,000 2,00,00,000 48.01 48.82
French Franks 2,00,00,000 80,00,000 7.45 8.12
UK Pound 3,00,00,000 2,00,00,000 75.57 75.98
Japanese yens 1,50,00,000 2,50,00,000 3.20 2.40
Determine the next exposure of each of foreign currency in terms of rupees.
2. Leading :
Leading means advancing a payment i.e making a payment before it is due. If the importer
get certain advantage in terms of early payment by borrowing funds from local bank at
local rate, then we should lead it.
154 Forex
Question 71 :
An Indian firm has imported a machine from USA the invoice is $ 1,00,000. The payment is
to be made in 2 months time. The USD rates are quoted in the market as follows
Spot 1$ = Rs.45.00 / 45.05
2 months forward 1$ = Rs.45.30 / 45.36
The imported firm is considering the leading It can borrow rupees in India at the rate of
9% p.a.
a) Opine.
b) Will your opinion change if the exporter allows a discount of 1% on immediate
payment?
3. Lagging :
Lagging means delaying the payment. The importer may decide to delay the payment if
the exchange rates are in his favor and also he is the position to invest funds at a better
rate.
Question 72 :
An Indian firm has imported a machine from USA the invoice is $ 1,00,000. The payment is
to be made in 2 months time. The USD rates are quoted in the market as follows :
2 months forward 1$ = Rs.45.30/45.36
3 months forward 1$ = Rs.44.80 / 44.85
The importer firm is considering the lagging. The exporter firm will charge interest at the
rate of 9% p.a if the payment is delayed after it becomes due. Your cost of capital is 12%.
Opine.
Question 73 :
A firm is contemplating import of a consignment from the USA for a value of US dollar
10,000. The firm requires 90 days to make payment. The supplier has offered 60 days
interest free credit and is willing to offer additional 30 days credit at an interest rate of 6%
per annum. The bankers of the firm offer a short loan for 30 days at 9% per annum. The
bankers quotation for foreign exchange is :
Spot 1 USD = Rs.46.00
60 days forward 1 USD = Rs.46.20
90 days forward 1 USD = Rs.46.35
You are required to advise the firm as to whether it should
a) pay the supplier in 60 days or
b) avail the suppliers offer of 90 days credit. Show your calculations.
Forex 155
Question 74 :
An Indian importer has to settle an import bill for $ 1,30,000. The exporter has given the
Indian exporter two options
1) Pay immediately without any interest charges
2) Pay after three months with interest at 5% per annum
The importers bank charges 15% on OD. The exchange rate in the market are as follows
Spot Rate (Rs. / $) : 48.35 / 48.36
3 months forward rates : Rs. / $ : 48.81 / 48.83
The importer seeks your advice. Give your advice.
4. Borrowing / Investing :
It refers to borrowing / investment in foreign currency to gain from difference in exchange
rate and interest rates.
156 Forex
Question 77 : AMK Ltd.
AMK Ltd. an India based Company has submissions in U.S and U.K.
Forecasts of surplus funds for the next 30 days from two subsidiaries are as below.
US $ 12.5 million
UK £ 6 million
Following exchange rate information’s are obtained.
$ / Rs £ / Rs
Spot 0.0215 0.0149
30 days forward 0.0217 0.0150
Annual borrowing/deposit rates (simple) are available.
Rs 6.4 % / 6.2%
$ 1.6% / 1.5%
£ 3.9% / 3.7 %
The Indian operation is forecasting a cash deficit of Rs 500 million.
It is assumed that interest rates are based on a year of 360 year.
1. Calculate the cash balance at the end of 30 days period in Rs for each company
under each of the following scenarios ignoring transactions costs and taxes
a) Each company invests / finances its own cash balances / deficits in local
currency independently.
b) Cash Balances are pooled immediately in India and the net balances are
invested / borrowed for the 30 days period.
2. Which method do you think is preferable from the parent company’s point of view?
Question 78 :
Your bank’s London office has surplus funds to the extent of USD 5,00,000/- for a period
of 3 months. The cost of the funds to the bank is 4% p.a. It proposes to invest these funds
in London, New York or Frankfurt and obtain the best yield, without any exchange risk to
the bank. The following rates of interest are available at the three centres for investment
of domestic funds there at for a period of 3 months.
London 5 % p.a.
New York 8% p.a.
Frankfurt 3% p.a.
The market rates in London for US dollars and Euro are as under:
London on New York
Spot 1.5350/90
1 month 15/18
2 month 30/35
3 months 80/85
London on Frankfurt
Spot 1.8260/90
1 month 60/55
2 month 95/90
3 month 145/140
At which centre, will be investment be made & what will be the net gain (to the nearest
pound) to the bank on the invested funds?
Forex 157
5. Nostro / Vostro / Loro :
Nostro Account :
Nostro in latin means OURS. In this sense, Nostro Account means OUR Account with you.
Nostro is a current account that a bank holds with a bank in a foreign country. Such
accounts are operated in the currency of that foreign country.
For e.g.
SBI has a euro A/c with some European bank
(Indian Bank has FC A/c with Foreign Bank)
We will be provided with the opening A/c bal. and the opening position, given certain
transactions for a period, we have to compute the closing a/c bal and closing position.
Note :
1. We should think from Indian banks point of view
2. Think of FC not HC
3. Inflow of foreign currency – credit
4. Outflow of foreign currency – debit
5. Purchase of foreign currency – long position
6. Sale of foreign currency – short position
7. Spot transaction will affect both A/c Bal. and position. However forward transaction
will affect only position.
8. Any purchase / Sale thru bills of exchange is a forward transaction
9. When a FC demand draft is made – it is a short position. If the draft later on gets
cancelled, it’s a long position – A/c balance is not Affected.
10. To achieve target closing balance, we advice spot transactions. This will change the
position, now to achieve the target position, advice forward transaction.
Vostro Account :
Their Account with US
Loro Account :
Somebody else’s Account with somebody else.
Thank you – one last time ---
158 Forex
Question 79 :
You as a dealer in foreign exchange have the following position in Swiss Francs on 31st
October 2012
Sw Fcs.
Balance in the Nostro A/c Credit 1,00,000
Opening position overbought 50,000
Purchased a bill on zurich 80,000
Sold forward TT 60,000
Forward purchase contract cancelled 30,000
Remitted by TT 75,000
Draft on Zurich cancelled 30,000
What steps would u take if you are required to maintain a credit balance of Sw. Fcs 30 ,000
in the Nostro A/c and keep as overbought position on Sw.Fcs. 10,000.
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Forex 159
CHP - 8 [email protected]
Management
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Now that we are done with forex, we can go ahead with issues relating to international finance
management. In this chapter we shall cover
CHAPTER DESIGN
Other Sources
• Euro Bonds
• Euro-Convertible Zero Bonds
• Euro-bonds with Equity Warrants
• Syndicated Bank Loans
• Euro-Bonds
• Foreign Bonds
• Euro Commercial Papers
• Credit Instruments
These types of bonds are attractive to both investors and issuers. The investors receive the
safety of guaranteed payments on the bond and are also able to take advantage of any
large price appreciation in the company's stock.
5. Other sources :
• Euro Bonds: Plain Euro-bonds are nothing but debt instruments. These are not very
attractive for an investor who desires to have valuable additions to his investments.
• Euro-Convertible Zero Bonds: These bonds are structured as a convertible bond.
No interest is payable on the bonds. But conversion of bonds takes place on
maturity at a predetermined price. Usually there is a 5 years maturity period and
they are treated as a deferred equity issue
• Euro-bonds with Equity Warrants: These bonds carry a coupon rate determined by
the market rates. The warrants are detachable. Pure bonds are traded at a discount.
Fixed income funds' managements may like to invest for the purposes of regular
income.
• Syndicated bank loans: One of the earlier ways of raising funds in the form of large
loans from banks with good credit rating, can be arranged in reasonably short time
and with few formalities. The maturity of the loan can be for a duration of 5 to 10
years. The interest rate is generally set with reference to an index, say, LIBOR plus
a spread which depends upon the credit rating of the borrower. Some covenants
are laid down by the lending institution like maintenance of key financial ratios.
• Euro-bonds: These are basically debt instruments denominated in a currency issued
outside the country of that currency for examples Yen bond floated in France.
Primary attraction of these bonds is the refuge from tax and regulations and provide
In case of Inter firm Sales, the currency in which the transaction should be denominated
and the terms of payment need proper attention. With regard to currency denomination,
the exporter is interested to denominate the transaction in a strong currency while the
importer wants to get it denominated in weak currency. The exporter may be willing to
invoice the transaction in the weak currency even for a long period if it has debt in that
currency. This is due to sale proceeds being used to retire debts without loss on account
of exchange rate changes. With regard to terms of payment, the exporter does not provide
a longer period of credit and ventures to get the export proceeds quickly in order to invoice
the transaction in a weak currency. If the credit term is liberal the exporter is able to
borrow currency from the bank on the basis of bills receivables. Also credit terms may be
liberal in cases where competition in the market is keen compelling the exporter to finance
a part of the importer’s inventory. Such an action from the exporter helps to expand sales
in a big way.
Question 3 :
An Indian firm is planning to set up a project in US. The Expected Cash Flows are
Years 0 1 2 3
Cash Flows (Millions) (500) 200 200 300
Current Spot rate Rs.50 / $
R(f) Rs ---- 8%,
$ ---- 5%
Required return by the Indian shareholder is 22%. Compute NPV using?
A) Home currency Approach?
B) Foreign Currency Approach?
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CHAPTER DESIGN
1. INTRODUCTION
2. DETERMINATION OF INTEREST RATE
3. HEDGING INTEREST RATE RISK
(A) ASSET LIABILITY MANAGEMENT
(B) FORWARD RATE AGREEMENT
(C) INTEREST RATE FUTURES
(D) INTEREST RATE OPTIONS
(E) INTEREST RATE SWAPS
1. INTRODUCTION :
Companies with low profit margins and high capital expenses may be extremely sensitive to
interest rate increases. Interest rate derivatives are valuable tools in managing risks. Derivatives
are powerful tools that mitigate risk and build value. They help companies to develop a risk
mitigation strategy.
Interest rate is the cost of borrowing money and the compensation for the service and risk of
lending money. Interest rates are always changing, and different types of loans offer various
interest rates. The lender of money takes a risk because the borrower may not pay back the loan.
Thus, interest provides a certain compensation for bearing risk.
Coupled with the risk of default is the risk of inflation. When you lend money now, the prices of
goods and services may go up by the time you are paid back, so your money's original purchasing
power would decrease. Thus, interest protects against future rises in inflation. A lender such as a
bank uses the interest to process account costs as well.
(B) Modern Methods : These methods can further be classified in following categories:
Banks and other financial institutions provide services which expose them to various kinds
of risks like credit risk, interest risk, and liquidity risk. Asset liability management is an
approach that provides institutions with protection that makes such risk acceptable. Asset-
liability management models enable institutions to measure and monitor risk, and provide
suitable strategies for their management.
• Meaning
• FRA - Quotation
Concepts • FRA - Pay off
• FRA - Valuations
• FRA - Arbitrage
It means that the they are interest rates for 3 months (difference of 6 and 9) after
6 months.
The bullish client buy (promise to borrow) FRA at 11% waiting for upside gain. The
bearish customer will sells (Promise to Sell) FRA at 10% waiting for downside gain
4. FRA – Valuations :
Valuation of any forward rate depends upon the principle of non-arbitrage. Similar
valuation of forward rate is also depended on the principle of non-arbitrage.
𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳𝑳 𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷
FRA = 𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺 𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷𝑷
As usual we can have 2 paths to arbitrage and our responsibility lies in finding the
path of profit :
Path 1 Path 2
Borrow / Invest Invest / Borrow
Question 1 :
RM buys 500 Cr 6 x 9 FRA at 10% / 11%. The rate turns out to be 12.5%. Calculate the
amount of pay off.
Question 2 :
RM buys 500 Cr 6 x 9 FRA at 10% / 11%. The rate turns out to be 10%. Calculate the amount
of pay off.
Question 3 :
A 5 x 12 FRA is presently quoted at 13% / 14%. A trader sells this FRA on notional principle
of Rs.6, 00, 00,000. What would be the payoff if after 5 months the 7 month LIBOR happens
to be 6%.
Question 4 :
9 month LIBOR ---- 10%
6 month LIBOR ---- 11%
What should be the price of 6 x 9 FRA?
Question 5 :
Consider the following data
3 month LIBOR ---- 8%
9 month LIBOR ---- 10%
3 x 9 FRA --- 15 % / 16 %
i) What should be the price of 3 x 9 FRA ?
ii) Show the process of arbitrage using $ 1000 ?
Question 7 :
M/s. Parker & Co. is contemplating to borrow an amount of Rs 60 crores for a period of 3
months in the coming 6 month's time from now. The current rate of interest is 9% p.a., but
it may go up in 6 month’s time. The company wants to hedge itself against the likely
increase in interest rate.
The Company's Bankers quoted an FRA (Forward Rate Agreement) at 9.30% p.a. What will
be the effect of FRA and actual rate of interest cost to the company, if the actual rate of
interest after 6 months happens to be (i) 9.60% p.a. and (ii) 8.80% p.a.?
Interest rate futures are used to hedge against the risk that interest rates will move in an
adverse direction, causing a cost to the company.
For example, borrowers face the risk of interest rates rising. Futures use the inverse
relationship between interest rates and bond prices to hedge against the risk of rising
interest rates.
A borrower will enter to sell a future today. Then if interest rates rise in the future, the
value of the future will fall (as it is linked to the underlying asset, bond prices), and hence
a profit can be made when closing out of the future (i.e. buying the future).
Bonds form the underlying instruments, not the interest rate. Further, IRF, settlement is
done at two levels:
• Mark-to-Market settlement done on a daily basis and
• Physical delivery which happens on any day in the expiry month.
Call Option
Floor Option
Interest Rate Collars
Covered in Derivatives
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Derivative
INTRODUCTION :
Derivative is a product whose value is to be derived from the value of one or more basic variables
called bases (underlying assets, index or reference rate). The underlying assets can be Equity,
Forex, and Commodity.
The underlying has a marketable value which is subject to market risks. The importance of
underlying in derivative instruments is as follows:
All derivative instruments are dependent on an underlying to have value.
The change in value in a forward contract is broadly equal to the change in value in the
underlying.
In the absence of a valuable underlying asset the derivative instrument will have no value.
On maturity, the position of profit/loss is determined by the price of underlying instruments. If
the price of the underlying is higher than the contract price the buyer makes a profit. If the price
is lower, the buyer suffers a loss.
180 Derivative
1. FORWARD CONTRACT :
Consider, an Indian farmer grows rice and other crops at his field and expects it to be sold at
profit. Now the selling price of the crops depends upon various factors. For a simple case like
bumper crop can reduce his selling price and it can lead to fall in profit or even he may incur a
loss. The best way to avoid such a risk is that farmer can enter into agreement with the buyer
fixing the price of crops in advance.
In that way the buyer is guaranteed of supplies and seller is safe from fluctuations in risk. Such a
agreement which fixes the price in advance for the product to be delivered in future is known as
forward contract and the such a transaction is referred as forward transactions.
A forward contract is an agreement between a buyer and a seller obligating the seller to deliver
a specified asset of specified quality and quantity to the buyer on a specified date at a specified
place and the buyer, in turn, is obligated to pay to the seller a pre-negotiated price in exchange
of the delivery.
Forward contracts are not standardized contract, they are OTC (Over the counter) (not traded in
recognised stock exchanges) derivatives that are tailored to meet specific user needs. The
underlying Asset of forward contracts can be
Derivative 181
2. FUTURES CONTRACT :
1. Introduction :
Unlike forward contracts, Futures are standardized contracts traded on exchanges traded
on exchanges through clearing house and avoids counter party risk through margin money.
The futures today have comes a long way since its beginning in Japan during 17th Century.
Such contracts were used for trading in Rice and Silk. US, in 1950 was the first one to start
trading in other commodities like cotton, wheat and corn. Todays futures are way to
different, and it includes trading in currencies, financial instruments like treasury bonds
and securities.
A futures contract is an agreement between two parties that commits one party to buy an
underlying financial instrument (bond, stock or currency) or commodity (gold, soybean or
natural gas) and one party to sell a financial instrument or commodity at a specific price at
a future date. The agreement is completed at a specified expiration date by physical
delivery or cash settlement or offset prior to the expiration date. In order to initiate a trade
in futures contracts, the buyer and seller must put up "good faith money" in a margin
account.
182 Derivative
4 Forward contracts Settlement Futures contracts
settlement takes place on settlements are made daily
the date agreed upon via. Exchange’s clearing
between the parties. house.
5 Forward contracts may be Delivery date Futures contracts delivery
delivered on the dates dates are fixed on cyclical
agreed upon and in terms basis and hardly takes place.
of actual Delivery However, it does not mean
that there is no actual
delivery.
6 Cost of forward contracts Transaction costs Futures contracts entail
is based on bid – ask brokerage fees for buy and
spread. sell order.
7 Forward contracts are not Marking to market Futures contracts are subject
subject to marking to to marking to market in
market which the loss or profit is
debited or credited in the
margin account on daily basis
due to change in price.
8 Margins are not required Margins In futures contracts every
in forward contract. participants is subject to
maintain margin as decided
by the exchange authorities
9 n forward contract, credit Credit risk In futures contracts the
risk is born by each party transaction is a two way
and, therefore, every transaction, hence the
party has to bother for the parties need not to bother
creditworthiness. for the risk.
4. Trading in Futures :
As discussed, trading in futures requires some margin money from both, to act as
guarantee that each will abide by the terms of the contract.
2. Maintenance Margin :
It is the minimum balance that should be maintained in the Margin Account.
It is not required to be paid over and above the initial Margin. It is the part
of the Initial Margin. It just means that since futures are marked to market
daily, the balance in margin will fluctuate, and therefore it can go down
Derivative 183
substantially. Maintenance margin refers to the limit that should be
maintained. It is generally 75% of the initial Margin.
3. Variable Margin:
It is calculated on daily basis for the purpose of marked to market all
outstanding positions at the end of each day. It is to be deposited or
withdrawn in cash. The day’s closing price is generally used as the basis for
the purpose of Marking to Market.
Close out
Physical Delivery
Cash Settlement
1. Close out :
In this method, the futures trader closes out the futures contract even before
the expiry. If he is long a futures contract, he can take a short position in the
same contract. The long and the short position will be off-set and his margin
account will be marked to marked and adjusted for P&L. Similarly, if he is
short a futures contract, he will take a long position in the same contract to
closeout the position.
2. Physical Delivery :
If the futures trader does not closeout the position before expiry, and keeps
the position open and allows it to expire, then the futures contract will be
settled by physical delivery or cash settlement (discussed below). Taking
physical Delivery is the most cumbersome way to settle futures. At the expiry
of the futures contract, the short position holder will deliver the underlying
asset to the long position holder.
3. Cash Settlement :
In case of cash settlement (in case the contract has expired), there is no need
for physical delivery of the contract. Instead the contract can be cash-settled.
When the contract expires, his margin account will be marked-to market for
P&L on the final day of the contract. Cash settlement is a preferred option
for most traders because of the savings in transaction costs.
184 Derivative
Question 1 :
On 15th July pound futures for maturity August end are traded on the International
Monetary Market (IMM) at $1.2450 (lot size pound 62,500). A trader bullish on $ against
pound takes a position in 14 futures contract. Initial margin is $1000 per lot & maintenance
$ 750 per lot.
Future price for subsequent days happen to be –
Days Future Price
16th 1.2420
17th 1.2490
18th 1.2520
19th 1.2430
He squares off his position on 19th. Show the margin balance each day and compute the
overall profit/loss.
Question 2 :
A trader has gone long on 5 Brent crude futures for December settlement at $26.32 per
barrel. The minimum contract size for Brent futures contract is 100,000 barrel. The initial
margin is $50,000 and the maintenance margin is $30,000. The futures close at the
following prices on the next ten trading days:
Day 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$26.19 $26.30 $26.45 $26.48 $26.34 $26.21 $25.98 $25.87 $25.90 $25.95
The trader will take out the profit out of the margin account whenever he gets the
opportunity to do so.
You are required to :
1. Prepare the margin account showing all the cash flows.
2. Find the profit/loss for the trader after 10 trading days.
5. Futures Valuation :
The difference between the prevailing spot price of an asset and the futures price is known
as the basis, i.e.,
Basis = Spot price – Futures price
Derivative 185
NCC Includes
Interest Saved
where : NCC = interest saved + storage cost saved – monetary benefit (eg. dividend)
foregone – convenience yield forgone
Contango Market :
In a normal market, the spot price is less than the futures price (which includes the full
cost-ofcarry) and accordingly the basis would be negative. Such a market, in which the
basis is decided solely by the cost-of-carry is known as a contango market.
Backwardation Market :
Basis can become positive, i.e., the spot price can exceed the futures price only if there are
factors other than the cost of carry to influence the futures price. In case this happens,
then basis becomes positive and the market under such circumstances is termed as a
backwardation market or inverted market.
Convergence :
Basis will approach zero towards the expiry of the contract, i.e., the spot and futures prices
converge as the date of expiry of the contract approaches. The process of the basis
approaching zero is called convergence.
186 Derivative
Question 3 :
Spot price of a commodity = 800
6 month futures price = 780
R f = 9% p.a. compounded monthly
Storage cost = Rs. 10 at the end of each month
Monetary benefit= Rs. 15 at the end of each quarter
Calculate PV of convenience yield
Question 4 :
The following information is available about standard gold.
Spot Price (SP) Rs.15,600 per 10 gms.
Future Price (FP) Rs.17,100 for one year future contract
Risk free interest Rate (R) f 8.5%
Present Value of Storage Cost Rs.900 per year
From the above information you are requested to calculate the Present Value of
Convenience yield (PVC) of the standard gold.
Question 5 :
Solve the following
a. 9 months futures price on a cdty = 635
R f = 8% p.a. compounded quarterly
Find spot price.
b. Spot price of the commodity = 430
R f = 8% p.a. compounded monthly
Find 6 moths futures pric
c. 9 months futures price on a cdty = 165
Spot price = 160
Storage cost = Rs 8 at the end of every month
R f = 8% p.a. compounded monthly
Find PV Of CY.
Derivative 187
Question 6 :
Find out the future price depending upon the information given :
Case 1 : Stock price - Rs.1200
Futures maturity - 6 months
Interest rate -10%
Dividend yield - 3%
6. Futures – Arbitrage :
Consider :
The price of ACC stock on 31 December 2010 was Rs 220 and the futures price on the same
stock on the same date, i.e., 31 December 2010 for March 2011 was Rs 230. Other features
of the contract and related information are as follows:
Time to expiration - 3 months (0.25 year)
Borrowing rate - 15% p.a.
Annual Dividend on the stock - 25% payable before 31.03. 2011
Face Value of the Stock - Rs 10
Based on the above information, the futures price for ACC stock on 31 December 2010
should be:
= 220 + (220 x 0.15 x 0.25) – (0.25 x 10) = 225.75
Thus, as per the ‘cost of carry’ criteria, the futures price is Rs 225.75, which is less than the
actual price of Rs 230 on 31 March 2011. This would give rise to arbitrage opportunities
and consequently the two prices will tend to converge.
188 Derivative
If actual futures price is not equal to theoretical futures price there is an arbitrage
opportunity.
Situation 1 : CASH AND CARRY ARBITRAGE Long stock, short futures& borrow funds i.e. S+,
f- & borrow funds when futures are over priced i.e. actual f > theoretical f. It will involve
interest expense & dividend income.
Situation 2 : REVERSE CASH AND CARRY ARBITRAGE i.e. short stock, Long futures & invest
funds S- , f+ & invest It will involve interest expense & dividend income.
Whatever be the type of arbitrage, profit will be equal to the amount of mispricing i.e.
difference between actual f &theoretical f multiplied by lot size
Question 7 :
Stock price of RM = 640
R f = 10%
Dividend yield = 1 %
3mf pp’ = 780
Show the process of arbitrage (lot size 500)
Question 8 :
Stock price of RM = 640
3 month futures price = 515
Risk free interest rate = 9%
Dividend yield = 2%
Show the process of arbitrage, (lot size = 500 shares)
Question 9 :
Price of index = 5920
3 months NIFTY futures = 6035
R f = 10%. It is expected that 40% of the companies comprising NIFTY will provide a dividend
yield of 2%
Show the process of arbitrage
Derivative 189
7. Futures – Hedging :
There are 3 main purpose of entering into futures contract
Futures hedge is very similar to forward cover. However, one needs to keep in mind that
futures cover is imperfect hedge unlike, forward cover and money market cover, which are
perfect hedge.
• Sell FC Futures OR
FC Receivable Buy HC Futures
• Buy FC Futures OR
FC Payable • Sell HC Futures
Final settlement
Decide Calculate 1. Square off the futures
the the No of 2. Settle margin on futures
strategy Contracts 3. Settle the exposure
4. Net of 1, 2, and 3
190 Derivative
Question 11 :
On 17/01, a U.S. firm knows that it has a £8,90,000 receivable on 17/03. The spot rate is
£.6452/ $ and the 2 month forward rate is £.6495/$. Pound futures for maturity ending
March are quoted at $1.5367/£. Standard size of one contract is £62,500. On 17/03, the
spot rate happens to be £.6508/$ and Pound futures quote at 1,5329/£. Compare no cover,
forward cover and futures cover in terms of $ inflows on the 17/03?
Derivative 191
Question 13 : Nitrogen Ltd.
Nitrogen Ltd., a UK company is in the process of negotiating an order amounting to €4
million with a large German retailer on 6 months credit. If successful, this will be the first
time that Nitrogen Ltd. has exported goods into the highly competitive German market.
The following three alternatives are being considered for managing the transaction risk
before the order finalized.
i. Invoice the German firm in Sterling using the current exchange rate to calculate the
invoice amount.
ii. Alternative of invoicing the German firm in € and using a forward exchange contract
to hedge the transaction risk.
iii. Invoice the German first in € and use sufficient 6 months sterling future contracts
(to the nearly whole number) to hedge the transaction risk.
Following date is available :
Spot Rate €1.1750 - 1.1770/£
6 months forward premium 0.60 - 0.55 Euro Cents
6 months further contract is currently trading at €1.1760/£
6 months future contract size is £62,500
Spot rate and 6 months future rate €11785/£
Required :
Calculate to the nearest € the receipt for Nitrogen Ltd, under each of the three proposals.
In your opinion, which alternative would you consider to be the most appropriate and the
reason therefore.
192 Derivative
No of futures contracts to be brought or sold =
[
Vp β t − β p ]
F × M × βf
Vp = Value of portfolio
βt = Target Beta → if not given – then zero
βp = Beta of Portfolio
βf = Beta of Futures
F = Future PP
M = Multiple (Lot size)
Remember β of nifty futures is 1
Question 15 : RM Ltd.
RM Ltd. has been the following portfolio
Shares Prop Holding Beta
R Ltd. 40% 3
M Ltd. 30% 2.5
H Ltd. 20% 1
P Ltd. 10% 0.8
1) Calculate the Beta of the portfolio
2) How many futures contract need to bought or sold to achieve a target β of 0.83
Take futures pp’ to be 4000 & lot size 50.
3) How many futures contract should be bought or sold for complete hedge?
4) The fund manager expects market to rise and wants to achieve a β of 4.43. How
many futures should be bought or sold?
Question 16 :
Consider a fund manager having a corpus of 500 lakhs as shown below :
Rs. (in Lakhs) Beta
Bond 150 0.8
Equity 300 4
Cash 50 0
500
Nifty futures trade at 5750 (lot size 50)
Futures of reliance industries trade at 1140 (lot size 250)
The fund manager is expecting a market crash
a. find out the beta of the portfolio and interpret the same
b. how many nifty futures should be bought or sold to achieve a beta of 0.5
c. how many nifty futures should be bought or sold foe complete hedging.
d. how many reliance industries should be bought or sold to achieve a beta of 0.7
(Assume that beta of reliance futures is 1.6)
Derivative 193
Question 17 :
You have the following five stocks in your portfolio :
Security No of Shares Price / Share Beta
A 10000 50 1.2
B 5000 20 2.0
C 8000 25 0.7
D 10000 100 1.0
E 500 200 1.3
1. Compute portfolio beta
2. How much additional investment is required in Risk free investment to have beta to
0.8 ?
3. How much additional investment is required in Security B to increase beta to 1.4?
4. If the Nifty future is 2700 points and future have a contract multiplier of 50, how
many future contracts to be hedged to obtain the position as in (iii) above ?
3. OPTIONS :
1. Meaning :
Imagine you want to buy a bike, that you saw other day with a trader, who deals in second
hand bikes. You ask for price and he tells you that it will cost Rs. 50,000. Now you really
don’t have Rs 50,000 right now, but also does not want to leave that bike, so ask him to
keep it reserve for you for 3 months and that will give you good time to collect the funds.
However, he tells you, for him to keep that bike on hold for 3 months, you will have to pay
him Rs. 3000 right now (this is not the advance, this is the amount needed to compensate
him to hold it for you)
After 3 months
• You knew from somewhere that the bike was one which salman had it 5 years ago.
You definitely go and buy it for Rs. 50,000 (Over and above 3,000). This will fetch
you good profit.
• You found that bike had some great patches due to wear and tear and now you
don’t wanna buy it. You simply wont. Just that you should forget that 3000.
194 Derivative
2. Features of Option Contract :
Premium or down payment : The holder of this type of
contract must pay a certain amount called the ‘premium’
for having the right to exercise an options trade. In case
the holder does not exercise it, s/he loses the premium
amount. Usually, the premium is deducted from the
total payoff, and the investor receives the balance.
Contract size : The contract size is the deliverable quantity of an underlying asset in an
options contract. These quantities are fixed for an asset. If the contract is for 100 shares,
then when a holder exercises one option contract, there will be a buying or selling of 100
shares.
Expiration date : Every contract comes with a defined expiry date. This remains unchanged
until the validity of the contract. If the option is not exercised within this date, it expires.
Intrinsic value : An intrinsic value is the strike price minus the current price of the
underlying security. Money call options have an intrinsic value.
No obligation to buy or sell : In case of option contracts, the investor has the option to
buy or sell the underlying asset by the expiration date. But he is under no obligation to
purchase or sell. If an option holder does not buy or sell, the option lapses.
3. Parties to options :
There are two parties to options
1. Buyer – Known as holder
2. Seller – Known as Writer
Derivative 195
Buyer (Holder) – The buyer of the call has the right, but not the obligation to buy/ sell the
underlying asset, i.e. he has a choice to exercise.
Seller (Writer) – The seller suffers from the obligation, does not a right to buy / sell the
underlying asset, i.e. he does not enjoy choice.
4. Types of Options :
Call options :
The ‘Call Option’ gives the holder of the
option the right to buy a particular asset at
the strike price on or before the expiration
date in return for a premium paid upfront to
the seller. Call options usually become more
valuable as the value of the underlying asset
increases. Call options are abbreviated as ‘C’
in online quotes.
1. C+:
Call option gives the holder the right, not an
obligation, to buy an underlying asset at the
specified price, for a specified period of time.
1. He is buyer of Call
2. He has right to Buy
3. He has right to enjoy up side
4. Pay off will be positive
5. He has to pay Premium
2. C–:
1. He is Seller of Call
2. He has Obligation to Sell
3. He has Obligation to pay up side
4. Pay off will be Negative
5. He will receive premium
196 Derivative
Let us understand how call option works with the help of the following example
Note : In the above example, we have considered RM as buyer of option. For seller
of call option, the cash flows will be exactly opposite.
Put option :
The Put Option gives the holder the right to sell a particular asset at the strike price anytime
on or before the expiration date in return for a premium paid up front. Since you can sell
a stock at any given point of time, if the spot price of a stock falls during the contract
period, the holder is protected from this fall in price by the strike price that is pre-set. This
explains why put options become more valuable when the price of the underlying stock
falls.
1. P+:
1. He is buyer of Put
2. He has right to sell
3. He has right to enjoy down side
4. Pay off will be positive
5. He has to pay Premium
Derivative 197
2. P–:
1. He is Seller of Put
2. He has Obligation to Buy
3. He has Obligation to pay down side
4. Pay off will be Negative
5. He will receive Premium
Let us understand how call option works with the help of the following example
Summary :
C+ C- P+ P-
Buyer of Call Seller of Call Buyer of Put Seller of Put
Right to Buy Obligation to Sell Right to Sell Obligation to Buy
Right to Enjoy Obligation to Pay Right to enjoy Obligation to Pay
Upside upside downside downside
Premium outflow Premium Inflow Premium outflow Premium Inflow
Pay off Inflow Pay off Outflow Pay off Inflow Pay off Outflow
5. Moneyness of Option :
There are 3 possibilities
1. In the money : An option, Call or Put is said to be in the money, when it can be
exercised gainfully.
2. At the money : An option, Call or Put is said to be At the money, when the strike
price of the option is equal to its Exercise price. In short he does not stand to gain
or loss.
3. Out of the money : An option, Call or Put is said to be Out of Money, when the
investor stand to loss his premium. Option will lapse at this price.
198 Derivative
6. Option Trading :
Question 19 : Mr. X
Mr. X purchased a 3-month call option on equity share of Prerna Ltd. from Mr. Y at a strike
price of Rs.160. Call Premium Rs.5. Current price Rs.155. Explain profit/loss (also called
'pay off) to X as well to Y, if prices at expiration are Rs.140, Rs.150, Rs.160, Rs.170 or Rs.180.
Question 20 :
LONG PUT - P+ at E = 750, Maturity 3months & Premium paid = Rs. 60. Explain the Profit
or Loss if after 3 months stock price(Rs.) happens to be -
a) 1000 b) 700 c) 500
Question 21 :
SHORT PUT(P+) at E - 850, Maturity 3m & Premium Received. = Rs. 105
a) 1000 b) 700
Question 22 :
A call and put exist on the same stock each of which is exercisable at Rs.60. They now trade
for :
Market price of stock or stock index Rs.55
Market price of call Rs.9
Market price of put Rs.1
Calculate the expiration date cash flow, investment value, and net profit from:
i. Buy 1.0 call ii. Write 1.0 call
iii. Buy 1.0 put iv. Write 1.0 put
For expiration date stock prices of Rs.50, Rs.55, Rs.60, Rs.65, Rs.70.
7. Option Strategies :
Apart from buying and selling options (Calls and Puts) one can also design strategies
Combination Strategy
Spread Strategy
Synthetic Strategy
Derivative 199
1. Combination strategy :
Depending upon whether you choose one strike price or two strike price, we can
have the following types of strategies
1. STRADDLE → 1 strike price → 1Put & 1 Call
2. STRIP → 1 strike price → 2Put & 1 Call
3. STRAP → 1 strike price → 1Put & 2Call
4. STRANGLE → 2 strike price → call at a higher E & put at a lower E.
Note : Depending upon our belief we can design a long and short strategy.
• If we have a volatile belief, we should go long. This will create V as
diagram
• If we have non volatile belief, we should go short. The diagram will
be inverted Ʌ.
Question 23 :
Consider 3 month option on the stock of SBI
Strike Price Put Premium Call Premium
2500 220 200
Design
1. Straddle
2. Strap and
3. Strip
Question 24 :
Consider 1 month options on NIFTY
E Put Premium Call Premium
P 5500 130 320
C 5800 305 140
Design a long strangle and show the profit diagram. Also show the profit profile for NIFTY
lying in the range of 5000 – 6500 in intervals of 250 each.
200 Derivative
Question 26 : XYZ
XYZ established the following spread on the Delta Corporation's stock :
1) Purchased one 3-month call option for 100 Nos. with a premium of Rs.30 and an
exercise price of Rs.550.
2) Purchased one 3-month put option for 100 Nos. with a premium of Rs.5 and an
exercise price of Rs.450.
The current price of Delta Corporation's stock is Rs.500. Determine XYZ profit or loss if the
price of Delta Corporation :
a) Stays at Rs.500 after 3 months.
b) Falls to Rs.350 after 3 months.
c) Rises to Rs.600.
Question 27 : Mr. A
Mr. A purchased a 3 month call option for 100 shares in XYZ Ltd. at a premium of Rs.30 per
share, with an exercise price of Rs.550. He also purchased a 3 month put option for 100
shares of the same company at a premium of Rs.5 per share with an exercise price of
Rs.450. The market price of the share on the date of Mr. A’s purchase of options, is Rs.500.
Calculate the profit or loss that Mr. A would make assuming that the market price falls to
Rs.350 at the end of 3 months.
2. Spread strategy :
Spread strategy involves using simultaneous calls or puts at different strike price. It
means we shall use only calls or only put and not both together.
The spread strategy can be designed depending upon the strike prices.
• Two Strike Price – Bull and Bear Spread
• 3 Strike Price – Butterfly Spread
Question 28 :
Consider 3 month options on NIFTY
Strike Price Put Premium Call Premium
5400 80 240
5700 210 100
1. Design & explain bullish put spread
2. Design & explain bearish call spread
Derivative 201
Question 29 :
Consider 1 month options on the stock of Reliance Industries.
Strike Price Put Premium Call Premium
900 45 125
1100 135 40
1. Design bullish call spread
2. Design bearish put spread
Question 30 :
Consider the following one month option on Nifty
Strike Price Put Premium Call Premium
5400 350 160
5600 252 237
5800 180 340
(i) Volatile butterfly put spread
(ii) Non Volatile butterfly call spread
(iii) Show the profit diagram, break even points, max profits and max loss. Also show
the profit profile at important prices.
Question 31 :
Consider the following information
E Call Premium
5500 390
5700 240
6000 125
Design a spread strategy to profit from massive movements in Nifty ?
8. Options Hedge :
Firstly we should remember that option is not a perfect hedge. We don’t get one direct
figure of receivable or payable.
202 Derivative
Steps to Present the Answer
Calculate Calculate
Decide the Final
Expected Pay Expected
strategy Settlement
off Spot
Derivative 203
Question 34 : XYZ Ltd.
XYZ Ltd. a US firm will need 3,00,000 in 180 days. In this connection, the following
information is available:
Sport rate 1 £ = $ 2.00
180 days forward rate of £ as of today = $ 1.96 Interest rates are as follows :
UK US
180 days deposit rate 4.50% 5%
180 days borrowing rate 5% 5.50%
A call option of £ that expires in 180 days has an exercise price of $1.97 and a premium of
$0.04. XYZ Ltd. has forecast the spot rates 180 days hence as below :
Future Rate Probability
$1.91 25%
$1.95 60%
$2.05 15%
Which of the following strategies would be most preferable to XYZ Ltd.?
(i) a forward contract (ii) a money market hedge
(iii) an option contract (iv) no hedging
Show calculations in each case.
Question 35 : XYZ
XYZ, an Indian firm, will need to pay Japanese Yen 5,00,000 on 30th June. In order to hedge
the risk involved in foreign currency transaction, the firm is considering twp alternative
methods i.e forward contract cover and currency option contract.
On 1st April, following quotations (JPY/INR) are made available :
Spot 3 month forward
1.9516/1.9711 1.9726/1.9923
The prices for forex currency option on purchase are as follows :
Strike Price JY 2.125
Call Option (June) JY 0.047
Put Option (June) JY 0.098
For excess or balance of JY Covered, the firm would use forward rate as future spot rate.
You are required to recommend cheaper hedging alternative for XYZ.
204 Derivative
Question 36 : A Ltd. of UK
A Ltd. of UK has imported some chemical worth of USD 3,64,897 from one of the US
suppliers. The amount is payable in six months time. The relevant spot and forward rates
are
Spot Rates USD 1.5617 – 1.5673
6 month forward rate USD 1.5455 – 1.5609
The borrowing rates in UK and US are 7% and 6% respectively and deposit rates are 5.5%
and 4.5% respectively.
Currency options are available under which contract is for GBP 12,500. The option
premium for GBP at a strike price of USD 1.70/GBP is USD 0.037 (call option) and USD 0.096
(Put option) for 6 months period.
The company has 3 choices
(i) Forward cover (ii) Money Market Cover
(iii) Currency Options
Which of the alternatives is preferable by the company?
9. Option Valuations :
Options valuations are very similar, conceptually, to valuation of futures, forward rate etc.
IT is based on the principal of Non-Arbitrage.
Example :
Consider, reliance is currently trading at Rs.1,400. You buy a call option on reliance
at strike price of 1400 @ 50. That means the premium on call option is 50. The value
of call is 50.
2. Variance in Value of the Underlying Asset : The buyer of an option acquires the
right to buy or sell the underlying asset at a fixed price. The higher the variance in
the value of the underlying asset, the greater will the value of the option be. This is
Derivative 205
true for both calls and puts. While it may seem counter-intuitive that an increase in
a risk measure (variance) should increase value, options are different from other
securities since buyers of options can never lose more than the price they pay for
them; in fact, they have the potential to earn significant returns from large price
movements
3. Dividends Paid on the Underlying Asset : The value of the underlying asset can be
expected to decrease if dividend payments are made on the asset during the life of
the option. Consequently, the value of a call on the asset is a decreasing function of
the size of expected dividend payments, and the value of a put is an increasing
function of expected dividend payments. There is a more intuitive way of thinking
about dividend payments, for call options. It is a cost of delaying exercise on in-the-
money options. To see why, consider an option on a traded stock. Once a call option
is in the money, i.e., the holder of the option will make a gross payoff by exercising
the option, exercising the call option will provide the holder with the stock and
entitle him or her to the dividends on the stock in subsequent periods. Failing to
exercise the option will mean that these dividends are foregone.
4. Strike Price of Option: A key characteristic used to describe an option is the strike
price. In the case of calls, where the holder acquires the right to buy at a fixed price,
the value of the call will decline as the strike price increases. In the case of puts,
where the holder has the right to sell at a fixed price, the value will increase as the
strike price increases.
5. Time To Expiration On Option: Both calls and puts become more valuable as the
time to expiration increases. This is because the longer time to expiration provides
more time for the value of the underlying asset to move, increasing the value of
both types of options. Additionally, in the case of a call, where the buyer has to pay
a fixed price at expiration, the present value of this fixed price decreases as the life
of the option increases, increasing the value of the call.
6. Riskless Interest Rate Corresponding to Life Of Option: Since the buyer of an option
pays the price of the option up front, an opportunity cost is involved. This cost will
depend upon the level of interest rates and the time to expiration on the option.
The riskless interest rate also enters into the valuation of options when the present
value of the exercise price is calculated, since the exercise price does not have to be
paid (received) until expiration on calls (puts). Increases in the interest rate will
increase the value of calls and reduce the value of puts.
206 Derivative
Summary :
Factor Call Value Put Value
Increase in underlying asset’s value Increases Decreases
Increase in strike price Decreases Increases
Increase in variance of underlying Increases Decreases
asset
Increase in time to expiration Increases Decreases
Increase in interest rates Increases Decreases
Increase in dividends paid Decreases Increases
Valuation Model :
There are various models on option valuation, which can be classified in 2
1. Traditional Approach
2. Modern Approach
Note : All the option valuation models will give us the value of call. We should use
Put-Call parity theory to find the value if put after finding the value of call.
Binomial Model
Derivative 207
Where
SO • Current Price
N • Number of Options
C • Value of Call
PV • Present Value
EP • Exercise Price
Assumption :
1. The model creates replica of stock portfolio through options (Call options)
2. The stock portfolio contains single stock, the stock whose call value is to be
calculated.
3. The option portfolio contains any No of options to match the stock portfolio.
4. Matching the stock portfolio with the option portfolio we shall calculate the
value of call.
Steps :
3
Calculate the
2 value of call by
Calculate the using the
1 no. of options equation
Calculate the
spread
Calculate the between 2
spread possible payofs
between 2
possible prices
Question 37 :
A stock with current price of 400, Strike price 440 (1 year), Rf = 10%. Probable MP at the
end of the year is 360 / 480.
208 Derivative
Explanation :
An investor will always love to gain & equally would want to protect himself against
any possible loss. This can be done through
Strategy 1 = Buy Stock + Buy Put
Strategy 2 = Buy call + Invest in PV of RF
Question 38 :
CP = 250, Rf 10%
Required : Frame the equation for put call parity theory
Question 39 :
A stock with current price of 400, Strike price 440 (1 year), Rf = 10%. Probable MP at the
end of the year is 360 / 480.
4. Binomial Model :
Binomial model is mathematical expression of Risk Neutral Model.
Where,
Vc • Value of Call
P • Probability
Derivative 209
R−d
P = 𝑈𝑈−𝑑𝑑
Where,
Model CP = ?
SP = ?
SP = ? US = ? PO = ? US = ?
P U=?
CP = ? DS = ?
1-p D=?
DS = ? PO = ? Rf = ?
R=?
Question 40 :
A stock with current price of 400, Strike price 440 (1 year), Rf = 10%. Probable MP at the
end of the year is 360 / 480.
Question 41 :
Consider 6 month put and call option on a stock at a strike price of 520. The stock price is
presently 500. In 6 months time, the share price can go up by 30% and come down by 10%.
Rf = 8% p.a compounded annually. Find out the value of call and put option using binomial
model.
Question 42 :
Current price Rs.100 Strike price of a 3- month call option Rs.95. After three months, the
price may be Rs.150 or Rs.70. Risk free rate : 12% p. a (not compounded continuously).
option writer uses borrowed funds. Option Premium by Binomial Model?
210 Derivative
Question 43 :
Find out the value of a 3 month call and put option on a stock at strike price = 980. The
stock presently trades at 1000. In 3 months time it can go up to 1150 or come down to
920. Rf = 7% p.a. effective.
Question 44 :
Current share price Rs. 1,000. Risk tree rate of return 20 % p. a (not compounded
continuously ). Find the value of a 3 months call option with strike price of Rs. 1000 using
Binomial Model assuming that at expiration date the spot price will be either Rs. 1150 or
Rs. 900.
Question 45 :
The stock of a company is currently quoted in the market at Rs.150. The price of the
stock is expected to go up or down by 10% in next one year and by 15% in the second
year. The risk-free interest rate in the economy is 6%.
Required :
Using two-step Binomial Model, find out the price of a 2-year American put option on the
company's stock with strike price of Rs.175.
Question 46 :
Consider a two year American call option with a strike price of Rs. 50 on a stock the current
price of which is also Rs. 50. Assume that there are two time periods of one year and in
each year the stock price can move up or own by equal percentage of 20%. The risk free
interest rate is 6%. Using binominal option model, calculate the probability of price moving
up and down. Also draw a two step binomial tree showing prices and payoffs at each node.
Derivative 211
5. Black and Scholes Model :
Black-Scholes or Black–Scholes–Merton model is a mathematical model used to
determine the fair price or theoretical value for a call or a put option
It is based on 1. Volatility,
six variables :
2. Type of Option,
4. Time,
5. Strike Price,
Formulas :
E Where,
1. Vc = S × N(d1) – × N(d2)
e rt
Vc = Value of Cell
E
2. Vp = Vc + rt – S Vp = Value of Put
e
S = Current Price
S σ
2
Steps :
5
4 Calculate
Calculate value of
3 Put(Put
Calculate Value of
2 Call Call Parity
Calculate N(d2) Theory)
1
Calculate N(d1)
Calculae d2
d1
Question 48 :
S
S = 415 , E = 400. Calculate Ln .
E
212 Derivative
Question 49 :
S = 415, E = 400. Calculate 3 month call option when Rf = 5%. Standard deviation is 0.22 or
22%. Calculate d1 and d2.
Question 50 :
Calculate N(d1) and N(d2) for the above d1 and d2.
Question 51 :
S = 415, E = 400. Calculate 3 month call ooption when rf = 5%. Standard deviation is 0.22
or 22%. Calculate Value of Call.
Question 52 : X Company’s
Following information is available for X Company’s shares and Call option:
Current share price Rs.185
Option exercise price Rs.170
Risk free interest rate 7%
Time of the expiry of option 3 years
Standard deviation 0.18
Calculate the value of option using Black-Scholes formula.
Question 53 :
From the following data for a certain stock, find the value of a call option:
Price of stock now Rs.80
Exercise price Rs.75
Annual SD 0.40
Maturity period 6 months
Annual interest rate 12%
Given:
e012x8 = 1.0060 In case of 1.0667 = 0.0645
Number of SD from Mean (Z) Area of the left or right of one tail
0.25 0.4013
0.30 0,3821
0.55 0.2912
0.60 0.2578
4. SWAPS:
Swaps Means Exchange. A swap is a derivative contract through which two parties exchange
financial instruments. These instruments can be almost anything, but most swaps involve cash
flows based on a notional principal amount that both parties agree to. Usually, the principal does
not change hands. Each cash flow comprises one leg of the swap. One cash flow is generally fixed,
while the other is variable, that is, based on a a benchmark interest rate, floating currency
exchange rate or index price
Derivative 213
INTEREST SWAPS :
The most common kind of swap is an interest rate swap. Swaps do not trade on exchanges, and
retail investors do not generally engage in swaps. Rather, swaps are over-the-counter contracts
between businesses or financial institutions.
Swap
Note : If the effective or gain is given to use then we should do step 1, then go to
step 3 and then complete step 2
214 Derivative
country exist or why does trade happens. This is probably because they should employ
assets in those areas in which are far better.
Note : In swap based on absolute advantage, we the question does not specify the
gain or effective cost to other party, then we should assume that the gain is
distributed equally.
5. Swap Quotation :
When the customer goes to bank to swap his interest rate liability, the quotation given by
bank are standard, very similar to Forex rates, like the buy rate and sell rate. The swap
quotes fixed v/s floating swap rates which is best understood by the following example.
An interest rate collar is the simultaneous purchase of an interest rate cap and sale of an
interest rate floor on the same index for the same maturity and notional principal amount.
• The cap rate is set above the floor rate.
• The objective of the buyer of a collar is to protect against rising interest rates (while
agreeing to give up some of the benefit from lower interest rates).
• The purchase of the cap protects against rising rates while the sale of the floor
generates premium income.
• A collar creates a band within which the buyer’s effective interest rate fluctuates
7. Currency Swaps :
In Currency swap, two parties agrees to pay each other’s debt obligation denominated in
different currencies. A currency swap involves
i) An exchange of principal amounts today
ii) An exchange of interest payments during the currency of loan
iii) a re-exchange of principal amounts at the time of maturity
Derivative 215
Consider Spot Rate today $/£ 1.5. A US company raises a loan of £ 1,00,000 from some
bank in Britain for three years at interest rate of 12 %. This means US company is suppose
to pay £ 12,000 as interest at the end every year and has to repay £ 1,00,000 at the end of
3 years. On the other hand UK
Question 54 :
On 1st Jan 2010, A and B enter into financial swaps
Notional Principle - $ 500 mn
Term of the swap - 1 year
Payment frequency - quarterly.
Fixed Leg - 10%
Floating Leg - 3 month LIBOR.
B is the Fixed rate payer.
Calculate net cash flows at the end of each quarter if the 3 month LIBOR at the beginning
of each quarter happens to be
Date LIBOR
1/1/10 11%
1/4/10 8%
1/7/10 7%
1/10/10 13%
Question 55 :
Suppose on 1st Jan 2010 A and B enter into a 1 year quarterly pay swap as shown below
10% on $ 500m
Suppose 3 month LIBOR on various reset dates turn out to be :
Date 3 Month LIBOR
1/1/2010 10%
1/4/2010 11.20%
1/7/2010 7%
1/9/2010 12.50%
216 Derivative
Question 57 : X Ltd.
On 20th July, Thursday, X Ltd. entered into a 6 day OIS with a bank for a notional principal
of Rs.800 lakhs. The fixed rate of the swap was 11 %. The following table shows the Mibor
for each day :
Date Mibor
20/7 12%
11/7 11.50%
22/7 10%
23/7 (sun) N.A.
24/7 13%
25/7 12.50%
Compute the net payment at the end of the swap. (X Ltd. is the fixed rate receiver)
Question 58 : R and M
Consider 2 firms R and M who wish to borrow funds from the market.
Firm Fixed Rate Floating Rate Preference
R 8% L+3 Floating
M 11% L+1 Fixed
1. Design the swap to enable each firm achieve its preferred from of funding at a
cheaper cost.
2. What if, in the swap M pays to R 7%, while R will pay to M L + 0.5%, show the swap
and find out the effective cost of each party.
3. Design the swap such that the effective cost to R comes to L.
4. Design the swap such that the overall gain is equally shared between R and M
5. Design the swap with bank acting as the intermediary, such that the overall swap
gain is shared between R, M and Bank in the ratio of 1 : 1 : 2.
Derivative 217
Question 60 : R and M
Consider 2 firms R and M who wish to borrow funds from the market.
Firm Fixed Rate Floating Rate Preference
R 10% L + 0.25 Floating
M 13% L + 1.5 Fixed
Design the swap to enable each firm achieve its preferred from of funding at a cheaper
cost.
Question 62 :
Suppose a dealer quotes ‘All-in-cost’ for a generic swap at 8% against six month LIBOR flat.
If the notional principal amount of swap is Rs.5,00,000,
(i) Calculate semi-annual fixed payment.
(ii) Find the first floating rate payment for (i) above if the six month period from the
effective date of swap to the settlement date comprises 181 days and that the
corresponding LIBOR was 6% on the effective date of swap.
(iii) In (ii) above, if the settlement is on ‘Net’ basis, how much the fixed rate payer would
pay to the floating rate payer?
Generic swap is based on 30/360 days basis.
218 Derivative
Question 63 : A Inc. and B Inc.
A Inc. and B Inc. intend to borrow $200,000 and $200,000 in ¥ respectively for a time
horizon of one year. The prevalent interest rates are as follows :
Company ¥ Loan $ Loan
A Inc 5% 9%
B Inc 8% 10%
The prevalent exchange rate is $1 = ¥120.
They entered in a currency swap under which it is agreed that B Inc will pay A Inc @ 1%
over the ¥ Loan interest rate which the later will have to pay as a result of the agreed
currency swap whereas A Inc will reimburse interest to B Inc only to the extent of 9%.
Keeping the exchange rate invariant, quantify the opportunity gain or loss component of
the ultimate outcome, resulting from the designed currency swap.
Question 65 :
Suppose that a 1-year cap has a cap rate of 8% and a notional amount of Rs 100 crore. The
frequency of settlement is quarterly and the reference rate is 3-month MIBOR. Assume
that 3-month MIBOR for the next four quarters is as shown below.
Quarters 3 Month Mibor (%)
1 8.70
2 8.00
3 7.80
4 8.20
Derivative 219
Question 66 :
Suppose that a 1-year floor has a floor rate of 4% and a notional amount of Rs 200 crore.
The frequency of settlement is quarterly and the reference rate is 3-month MIBOR. Assume
that 3-month MIBOR for the next four quarters is as shown below.
Quarters 3 Month Mibor (%)
1 4.70
2 4.40
3 3.80
4 3.40
Question 67 : X Ltd.
(a) X Ltd. wants to borrow fixed rate funds for 5 years. It can do so at an interest rate
of 13% p.a. Also floating rate funds are available at a spread of 150 basis points over
LIBOR. It approaches a swap bank which quotes 5-year fixed to floating swap at
20/30 basis points over 5-year treasuries vs. LIBOR. How should the firm reduce the
cost of its fixed rate funding given that 5- year treasuries are yielding 10%.
(b) Another firm Y Ltd. had borrowed 7-year fixed rate funds 2 years ago at 14%. It is
now expecting interest rates to fall and therefore wants to convert its fixed rate
liability into floating rate liability. Explain how Y Ltd. can achieve this objective.
Question 68 : X Ltd.
X Ltd. has already borrowed 7 yr. fixed rate funds at 14% 2 years ago. It is now expecting
int. rates to fall. To capitalize on the same, it decides to convert its fixed rate liability into
floating rate liabilities through a swap. Banks are quoting fixed to floating interest rate
swap at 40/70 basis points over 5 year treasuries v/s LIBOR.
(a) Explain how X Ltd. can accomplish its objective. Compute its annual interest rate if
libor in the 5 yr. period happens to be 95%, 10.5%, 11 %, 12% & 10%.
(b) On a post-facto basis, do you think it was prudent for X Ltd. to have converted the
nature of funding? Treasuries are yielding 9%.
Question 69 : X Ltd.
3 years ago X Ltd had borrowed 7 year floating rate funds at L+1. However it now expects
interest rates to rise and would therefore like to convert into fixed rate funding. 4 year
fixed floating swaps are quoted at a spread of 50/70 basis pts over 4yr treasury v/s libor.
1. Explain how X ltd can achieve its objective.
2. If labor at the beginning of each year in the subsequent 4yr period happens to be
7%, 6%, 9% and 10%, was it prudent for X ltd to convert its nature of funding.
220 Derivative
Question 70 : Asterix Inc.
Asterix Inc. had raised floating rate funds two years ago at 6-month Prime + 1.25%. Now it
wants to convert this liability into fixed rate funding for 3 years. It approaches Bank of New
York for a swap. Bank of New York is quoting 6-month Prime/Fixed rate swap at 80/100
basis points over 5 year US treasuries which are yielding 4.55%. The Bank agrees to do the
swap with Asterix.
Bank of London is launching a Eurobond issue at a fixed dollar cost of 5.25%. The bank
prefers a 6-month LIBOR based funding. Bank of New York is quoting 6-month LIBOR/Fixed
rate swap at 100/125 basis points over 5 year US treasuries. The Bank of London entered
into a fixed-to-floating rate swap with Bank of New York.
Bank of Riverside has Prime based assets funded with LIBOR based deposits. It wants to
remove the mismatch of its assets and liabilities. It is willing to pay 6 month Prime + 0.25%
in return for 6 month LIBOR.
You are required to :
a) Calculate the fixed rate achieved by Asterix by entering into the swap.
b) Mention what are the risks taken up by the Bank of New York by entering into swap
with Asterix?
c) Calculate the floating rate cost achieved by the Bank of London.
d) Show the assets and liabilities position of Bank of New York after entering into swap
with Asterix and Bank of London. Does the swap with Bank of Riverside helps the
Bank of New York?
e) Find out the net gain of Bank of New York after all the three swaps. Show all the
swaps entered by the Bank of New York through a diagram
Derivative 221
Question 72 : ABC Bank
ABC Bank is seeking fixed rate funding. It is able to finance at a cost of six months
LIBOR+1/4% for Rs.200 million for 5 years. The bank is able to swap into a fixed rate at
7.5% versus six month LIBOR treating six months as exactly half a year:
a. What will be the "all in cost" funds to ABC Bank?
b. Another possibility being considered is the issue of a hybrid instrument which pays
7.5% for first three years and LIBOR -1/4% for remaining two year.
Given a three-year swap rate of 8% suggest the method by which the bank should achieve
fixed rate funding.
Thanks ….
Be hope that you will find this helpful. If you would like
to discuss any of the points please speak to us through
the following channel.
www.rahulmalkan.com
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222 Derivative
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Portfolio www.rahulmalkan.com
Management
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CHAPTER DESIGN
1. INTRODUCTION
2. OBJECTIVES OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
3. BASICS
4. PORTFOLIO RETURN, STANDARD DEVIATION AND BETA
5. THE CONCEPT OF FIRST PRINCIPLE
6. CONCEPT OF SML / CML AND CL
7. RISK ANALYSIS
8. CONCEPT OF BETA MANAGEMENT
9. PORTFOLIO WITH MORE THAN TWO SECURITIES
10. MARKOWITZ MODEL OF RISK-RETURN OPTIMIZATION
11. CONCEPT OF MINIMUM RISK PORTFOLIO
12. ARBITRAGE PRICING THEORY MODEL (APT)
13. FORMULATION OF PORTFOLIO STRATEGY
14. PORTFOLIO EVALUATION
1. INTRODUCTION :
We have done chapters like Equity analysis and Bond Analysis. They helped us to understand how
we should calculate the values of Equity shares and Bonds which helps us in our investments
choices. Everyone wants to invest funds and earn huge profits. But such investments are not risk
free.
Investment in the securities such as bonds, debentures and shares etc. is lucrative as well as
exciting for the investors. Though investment in these securities may be rewarding, it is also
fraught with risk. Therefore, investment in these securities requires a good amount of scientific
and analytical skill.
As per the famous principle of not putting all eggs in the same basket, an investor never invests
his entire investable funds in one security. He invests in a well diversified portfolio of a number
of securities which will optimize the overall risk-return profile. Investment in a portfolio can
reduce risk without diluting the returns. An investor, who is expert in portfolio analysis, may be
able to generate trading profits on a sustained basis.
Every investment is characterized by return and risk. The concept of risk is intuitively understood
by investors. In general, it refers to the possibility of the rate of return from a security or a
portfolio of securities deviating from the corresponding expected/average rate and can be
measured by the standard deviation/variance of the rate of return.
2.Consistency of Returns
3. Capital Growth
4. Marketability
5. Liquidity
6. Diversification Portfolio
3. BASICS :
Before we go ahead to learn detailed version of portfolio management, lets clear some basics on
securities
2. Average 8. Expected
5. Covariance
Return Return (Re)
3. Standard 4. Coefficient
9. Alpha
Deviation of Variation
𝑫𝑫𝟏𝟏 +𝑷𝑷𝟏𝟏
∴R = � 𝑷𝑷𝟎𝟎
�– 1
Question 1 : RM Ltd.
RM Ltd. has been showing a consistent growth in the share price as well as dividends in
the recent past. Such growth rate is about 10% per annum. Price of this share prevailing
today is Rs.140 per share. The company has declared a dividend of Rs.21 in the current
year. You are required to determine the expected rate of return for the shareholder at
present.
� = ∑ 𝒙𝒙 or ∑ 𝒙𝒙. 𝒑𝒑
∴𝑿𝑿 𝒏𝒏
Question 2 :
Determine the average rate of return based on the following data:
Year Expected Dividend Expected Share Price
(Rs.) (Rs.)
1 20 216
2 22 250
3 24 256
4 25 240
5 30 260
Presently the price of the share is Rs.200.
Question 4 :
Consider the data given use probabilities for determining the expected rate of return.
Year Returns Year Returns
1 16% 11 16%
2 18% 12 12%
3 15% 13 18%
4 16% 14 21%
5 15% 15 15%
6 16% 16 16%
7 21% 17 18%
8 18% 18 21%
9 15% 19 21%
10 12% 20 18%
Question 5 :
A stock costing Rs.120 pays no dividends. The possible prices that the stock might sell for
at the end of the year with the respective probabilities are:
Price Probabilities
115 0.1
120 0.1
125 0.2
130 0.3
135 0.2
140 0.1
Required:
Calculate the expected return.
4. Standard Deviation :
Standard Deviation is one of the most popular and effective tool for measuring risk.
Standard Deviation is a measure of absolute risk. The deviation in the returns can be
considered as a basic cause of risk.
∑ 𝒅𝒅𝟐𝟐
Variance = 𝝈𝝈𝟐𝟐 = 𝒏𝒏
or ∑ 𝒅𝒅𝟐𝟐 . 𝒑𝒑
SD = 𝝈𝝈 = √𝝈𝝈𝝈𝝈
Question 6 :
Calculate Standard Deviation from the following Information:
Year
1 16
2 18
3 15
4 16
5 15
6 16
7 21
8 18
9 15
10 12
Question 7 :
Calculate Set from the following Information:
Market Condition Return Probability
Very Good 28% 0.2
Good 24% 0.1
Average 22% 0.3
Bad 18% 0.2
Very Bad 10% 0.2
𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺𝑺 𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫𝑫 𝝈𝝈
CV = 𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴
= 𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴
The relative risk measure i.e., Co-efficient of Variation shall indicate the degree of risk for
each percentage of return.
CASE 2 :
Particulars Securities
X Y
Rate of Return 19% 15%
Standard Deviation 3% 3%
CASE 3 :
Particulars Securities
X Y
Rate of Return 20% 15%
Standard Deviation 2% 3%
CASE 4 :
Particulars Securities
X Y
Rate of Return 18% 24%
Standard Deviation 1.6% 3%
You are required to analyze the above four cases and observe whether standard deviation
will be effective tool for decision on selection of one out of the two securities X and Y.
6. Covariance :
Covariance is a measure of how much two random variables change together. If the
greater values of one variable mainly correspond with the greater values of the other
variable, and the same holds for the smaller values, i.e., the variables tend to show similar
behavior, the covariance is positive. In the opposite case, when the greater values of one
variable mainly correspond to the smaller values of the other, i.e., the variables tend to
show opposite behavior, the covariance is negative.
∑ 𝒅𝒅𝒅𝒅𝒅𝒅𝒅𝒅
COVxy = = or ∑ 𝒅𝒅𝒅𝒅𝒅𝒅𝒅𝒅. 𝒑𝒑
𝒏𝒏
𝑪𝑪𝑪𝑪𝑪𝑪𝒙𝒙𝒚𝒚
CORxy = 𝝈𝝈𝝈𝝈𝝈𝝈𝝈𝝈
Question 10 :
Consider the following data for securities 'X' & Y
Year Returns on Securities
X Y
1 17% 15%
2 18% 19%
3 20% 22%
4 21% 24%
5 19% 19%
6 18% 17%
7 20% 20%
8 22% 24%
You are required to determine:
1. Average Rate of Return for the two Securities
2. Standard Deviation of the two Securities
3. Co-efficient of variation for the two Securities
4. Co-variance between the two Securities
5. Correlation between the two Securities
Question 11 :
The historical rates of return of two securities over the past ten years are given. Calculate
the covariance and the correlation coefficient of the two securities.
Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Security 1 12 8 7 14 16 15 18 20 16 22
Security 2 20 22 24 18 15 20 24 25 22 20
𝑪𝑪𝑪𝑪𝑪𝑪𝑪𝑪𝑪𝑪
𝜷𝜷𝜷𝜷 = 𝝈𝝈𝝈𝝈𝝈𝝈
Question 12 :
Given below is information of market rates of returns and data from two companies A and
B:
Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004
Market (%) 12.0 11.0 9.0
Company A (%) 13.0 11.5 9.8
Company B (%) 11.0 10.5 9.5
Required :
Determine the beta co-efficient of the shares of company A and Company B
9. CAPM (Re) :
This model is based on the concept that the expected return on a security is aggregate of
the risk free rate and the premium for the risk. The Required rate of return will be given
by
Re = Rf + 𝜷𝜷 (Rm – Rf)
Question 14 :
A Company pays a dividend of Rs.2.00 per share with a growth rate of 7%. The risk free
rate is 9% and the market rate of return is 13%. The Company has a beta factor of 1.50.
However, due to a decision of the Finance Manager, beta is likely to increase to 1.75. Find
out the present as well as the likely value of the share after the decision.
Question 15 : RM Ltd.
Equity shares of RM Ltd. are presently quoted at Rs.210. These shares have been regularly
providing a yield of 30% with β as 1.2. The average rate of return prevailing in the market
is 20% and the risk free interest rate is 10% per annum. You are required to determine the
following:
1. Expected rate of return based on CAPM
2. α for this security
3. Whether these shares should be acquired at present
Question 16 :
Calculate the return on portfolio based on given information-
Security Value Today Expected Dividend Expected Value
after 1 Year after 1 Year
Rs. Rs. Rs.
A 2,00,000 20,000 3,00,000
B 3,00,000 45,000 3,00,000
C 1,00,000 15,000 1,35,000
D 5,00,000 0 6,00,000
E 2,00,000 40,000 1,80,000
Also determine expected rate of return for each security and reconcile the rate of return
on portfolio.
Question 17 :
Consider the following data regarding two securities X and Y :
Market Conditions Probability R(x) R(y)
Very Good 0.25 22 16
Good 0.25 18 14
Average 0.25 14 12
Bad 0.25 10 10
You are required to determine the following:
1. Expected rate of return for Security X and Y
2. Standard Deviation of returns for both the Securities
3. Correlation between returns of X and Y
4. Average return on portfolio or expected return on portfolio if the investor has
invested 75% of this total money in Security X and the remaining in Security Y.
5. Standard Deviation of the portfolio by Direct Method
6. Standard Deviation of the portfolio by 1st Principle Method
Question 19 :
Consider the following information on two stocks, A and B:
Year Return on A (%) Return on B (%)
2006 10 12
2007 16 18
You are required to determine:
1. The expected return on a portfolio containing A and B in the proportion of 40% and
60% respectively.
2. The Standard Deviation of return from each of the two stocks.
3. The covariance of returns from the two stocks.
4. Correlation coefficient between the returns of the two stocks.
5. The risk of a portfolio containing A and B in the proportion of 40% and 60%.
Question 21 :
Market Conditions Probability Rate of Return (%)
Market Company X Company Y
Very Good 0.2 22 30 18
Good 0.2 20 24 16
Average 0.4 16 17 14
Bad 0.1 10 9 12
Very Bad 0.1 6 2 10
Risk Free Rate is 10%. Weight: X = 30% and Y = 70%
Compute for both the companies:
1. β of X and of Y
2. Weighted Average of β of portfolio
3. Also determine portfolio α
4. β of portfolio based on First Principle.
Question 22 :
The distribution of return of security ‘F’ and the market portfolio ‘P’ given below:
Probability Return %
F P
0.3 30 10
0.4 20 20
0.3 0 30
You are required to calculate the expected return of security ‘F’ and the market portfolio
‘P’ the covariance between the market portfolio and security and beta for the security.
Question 23 :
Following is the data regarding six securities:
A B C D E F
Return (%) 8 8 12 4 9 8
Risk (Standard deviation) 4 5 12 4 5 6
1. Assuming three will have to be selected, state which ones will be picked
2. Assuming perfect correlation, show whether it is preferable to invest 75% in A and
25% in C or to invest 100% in E.
Question 24 :
Consider the following Securities for designing a portfolio:
Securities Rate of Return (%) σ
A 11 1.25
B 12 1.25
C 10 1.25
D 16 6.80
E 16 8.10
F 16 7.90
G 20 16.00
Suggest the investor regarding the appropriate securities that should be selected out of
the above seven.
Question 26 :
Consider the following data:
Market Conditions Rm Rx Probability
Good 20% 26% 0.3
Average 18% 20% 0.5
Bad 15% 12% 0.2
Risk free rate of return is 10%
You are required to determine the following:
1. Standard Deviation of returns of market and Security X
2. β of security X and expected returns as per CAPM
Question 27 : An Investor
An investor is holding 1,000 shares of Fat lass Company. Presently the rate of dividend
being paid by the company is Rs.2 per share and the share is being sold at Rs.25 per share
in the market. However, several factors are likely to change during the course of the year
as indicated below :
Existing Revised
Risk free rate 12% 10%
Market risk premium 6% 4%
Beta value 1.4 1.25
Expected growth rate 5% 9%
In view of the above factors whether the investor should buy, hold or sell the shares? And
why?
Question 28 :
You hold one stock A with a standard deviation of 20%. You are thinking about buying
another stock B with a standard deviation of 30%. You will hold these two stocks in a
portfolio, with 50% of your money invested in each. Stock B has a correlation coefficient
of 0.2 with stock A. Your friend says that adding a stock with higher standard deviation B
than stock A will result in a riskier portfolio than just holding 'A’ alone. Is he right? That is,
will your portfolio of A & B be riskier than just stock A?
Question 30 : Mr.V
Mr. V has Rs.5,00,000 invested in a Companies X, Y and Z in the ratio of 3:3:4. The β of
equity shares of X, Y and Z are 1.2, 1.6 and 1.5 respectively.
The average returns by these 3 companies are 16%, 23% and 18% for X, Y and Z
respectively. The risk free rate is 6% per annum and rate of return in market is 14% per
annum.
You are required to compute the portfolio β and the average return on portfolio. Also use
CAPM and determine the rate of return expected on such portfolio.
Determine portfolio α (alpha) and conclude whether the portfolio is favorable or
unfavorable. Would you advice any change in the portfolio. If yes, then suggest the effect
of such change assuming that the investor is required to retain at least Rs.1,00,000 on each
security.
To Draw the line, Betas are taken on X-axis and the expected returns on Y – axis
Question 31 :
RF 10%. RM 15%. From the following information draw SML
Securities Likely Returns Beta
Shares of A Ltd. 13.00% 0.50
Shares of B Ltd. 14.00% 1.00
Shares of C Ltd. 18.00% 1.50
Shares of D Ltd. 20.00% 2.00
Which share is undervalued / overvalued?
To draw this line SDs are taken on X-axis and the expected returns on Y – axis.
Question 32 :
The following data relate to four different portfolios
Portfolio Expected Rate of Return S.D. of Returns from portfolio
A 16% 6.0
B 14% 7.5
C 12% 3.0
D 15% 9.0
The expected return on Market portfolio is 9.50 % with the standard deviation of 3. The Rf
is 5%. Draw CML to comment on each of these portfolios.
α = R – E(R)
R = α + E(R)
R = α + Rf + (Rm – Rf)β
R – Rf = α + (Rm – Rf)β
Let, Rx – Rf = y
Rm – Rf = x
∴y = α + β.x
Question 33 :
The Rate of Return of Co. X and Market Portfolio P is given for 5 years
Year Rx Rm
1 12 14
2 14 16
3 16 18
4 18 20
5 20 22
Calculate α, β and also state what is characteristics line of Security.
Question 34 :
Following information is available on Return (%) of shares of two companies A and B :
Probabilities Return of A Return of B
0.05 6 8
0.20 12 18
0.50 20 28
0.20 24 34
0.05 30 44
(i) Compute expected return from the portfolio
(ii) What is the risk of the portfolio?
Question 35 : An Investor
An investor holds two stocks A and B. An analyst prepared ex-ante probability distribution
for the possible economic scenarios and the conditional returns for 2 stocks and the
market index as shown below :
Economic Scenario Probability Conditional Returns (%)
A B Market
Growth 0.40 25 20 18
Stagnation 0.30 10 15 13
Recession 0.30 -5 -8 -3
The risk free rate during the next year is expected to be around 11%. Determine whether
the investor should liquidate his holdings in stock A and B or on the contrary make fresh
investments in them. CAPM assumptions are holding true.
Question 36 : A Ltd.
A Ltd. has an expected return of 22% and standard deviation of 40%. B Ltd. has an expected
return of 24% and standard deviation of 38%. A Ltd. has a beta of 0.86 and B Ltd. a beta of
1.24. The correlation coefficient between the return of A Ltd. and B Ltd. is 0.72. The
standard deviation of the market return is 20%. Suggest:
1. Is investing in B Ltd. better than investing in A Ltd.?
2. If you invest 30% in B Ltd. and 70% in A Ltd. what is your expected rate of return
and portfolio standard deviation?
3. What is the market portfolios expected rate of return and how much is the risk-free
rate?
4. What is the beta of Portfolio if A Ltd.'s weight is 70% and B Ltd.'s weight is 30%?
Question 40 :
Your client is holding the following securities:
Particulars of Cost Dividends/Interest Market price Beta Rs.
Securities Rs. Rs.
Equity Shares:
Gold Ltd. 10,000 1,725 9,800 0.6
Silver Ltd. 15,000 1,000 16,200 0.8
Bronze Ltd. 14,000 700 20,000 0.6
GOI Bonds 36,000 3,600 34,500 0
0.01
Average return of the portfolio is 15.7%, calculate:
1. Expected rate of return in each, using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
2. Risk free rate of return.
Question 41 : Mr. X
Mr. X owns a portfolio with the following characteristics:
Security A Security B Risk Free security
Factor 1 sensitivity 0.8 1.5 0
Factor 2 sensitivity 0.6 1.2 0
Expected Return 15% 20% 10%
It is assumed that security returns are generated by a two factor model.
1. If Mr. X has f 1,00,000 to invest and sells short Rs 50,000 of security B and purchases
Rs 1,50,000 of security A what is the sensitivity of Mr. X's portfolio to the two
factors?
2. If Mr. X borrows Rs 1,00,000 at the risk free rate and invests the amount he borrows
along with the original amount of Rs 1,00,000 in security A and B in the same
proportion as described in part (i), what is the sensitivity of the portfolio to the two
factors?
3. What is the expected return premium for portfolio in Part 2?
Systematic Risk
• Interest Rate Risk
Element
• Market Risk
• Purchasing Power Rsk
1. Systematic Risk :
Systematic Risk comprises of factors that are external to the company (macro in nature)
and affect a large number of securities simultaneously. They are mostly uncontrollable in
nature.
It occurs due to economic, political and social systems of the economy. Systematic Risk
cannot be avoided and investor should take such risk to get better returns
For eg: When an economy goes into recession, corporate profits will decline and stock
price of company tumbles.
1. Correlation Method :
𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶 σ𝑥𝑥
βx = or βx = CORxy x
σ2 𝑚𝑚 σ𝑚𝑚
2. Regression Method :
Rx = α + β(Rm) (Equation derived from charactertics line)
Question 42 :
Consider the following data :
Year Rm Rx Ry
1 15 15 15
2 17 16 18
3 19 17 21
4 21 18 24
5 21 18 24
6 19 17 21
7 17 16 18
8 15 15 15
Calculate the following:
1. Standard Deviation and variance of Market
2. Standard Deviation and variance of Security X and Security Y
3. β of Security X and Security Y
4. Systematic and Unsystematic Risk of Security X and Security Y by the following
approach
a. Variance Approach
b. Standard Deviation Approach
Also show the Characteristic Line for Security X and Security Y
Question 43 :
The return and market portfolio for a period of four years are as under
Year % Return of Stock B % Return of Market Portfolio
1 10 8
2 12 10
3 9 9
4 3 -1
For stock B, you are required to determine
(1) Characteristics Line
(2) Systematic Line and Unsystematic Line
Question 45 :
Following are the details of a portfolio consisting of three shares
Share Portfolio Weight Beta Expected return in % Total Variance
A 0.20 0.40 14 0.015
B 0.50 0.50 15 0.025
C 0.30 1.10 21 0.100
Standard Deviation of Market Portfolio Returns = 10%
You are given the following additional data :
Covariance (A,B) = 0.030
Covariance (A,C) = 0.020
Covariance (B,C) = 0.040
Calculate the following
i) The portfolio Beta
ii) Residual variance of each of the three shares
iii) Portfolio variance using Sharpe index Model
PRACTICE QUESTIONS
Question 46 :
Expected return on two stocks for particular market returns are given in the following
table :
Market Return Aggressive Defensive
7% 4% 9%
25% 40% 18%
You are required to calculate:
1. The Betas of the two stocks.
2. Expected return of each stock, if the market return is equally likely to be 7% to 25%.
3. The security Market Line (SML), if the risk free rate is 7.5% and market return is
equally likely to be 7% or 25%.
4. The Alphas of the two stocks.
Question 48 : X and Y
Assuming that two securities X and Y are correctly priced on SML and expected return from
these securities are 9.40% (Rx) and 13.40% (Ry) respectively. The Beta of these securities
are 0.80 and 1.30 respectively.
Mr. A, an investment manager states that the return on market index is 9%.
You are required to determine,
(a) Whether the claim of Mr. A is right. If not then what is correct return on market
index.
(b) Risk Free Rate of Return
Question 49 :
Suppose that economy A is growing rapidly and you are managing a global equity fund that
has so far invested only in developed-country stocks. Now you have decided to add stocks
of economy A to your portfolio. The table below shows the expected rates of return,
standard deviations, and correlation coefficients (all estimated for the aggregate stock
market of developed countries and stock market of Economy A).
Developed country stocks Stocks of Economy A
Expected rate of return (%) 10 15
Risk (SD %) 16 30
Correlation Coefficient 0.30
Assuming the risk-free interest rate to be 3%, you are required to determine:
(a) What percentage of your portfolio should you allocate to stocks of Economy A if
you want to increase the expected rate of return on your portfolio by 0.5%?
(b) What will be the standard deviation of your portfolio assuming that stocks of
Economy A are included in the portfolio as calculated above?
(c) Also show how well the Fund will be compensated for the risk undertaken due to
inclusion of stocks of Economy A in the portfolio?
Question 52 : A trader
A trader is having in its portfolio shares worth Rs.85 lakhs at current price and cash Rs.15
lakhs. The beta of share portfolio is 1.6. After 3 months the price of shares dropped by
3.2%.
Determine:
(i) Current portfolio beta
(ii) Portfolio beta after 3 months if the trader on current date goes for long position on
Rs.100 lakhs Nifty futures.
Beta management is all about timing. At times entity would love high beta portfolio and at other
times entity would love to have low beta portfolio. Beta management is possible by 2 ways
1. Stock Management
2. Futures
1. Stock Management :
This is the traditional way be manage beta. Depending upon our expectations we can
increase the beta of the portfolio or decrease the beta of portfolio
Sell stocks with Low Beta Sell stocks with high beta
Beta Management :
Beta management is all about time management. Beta management can be done through
1. Stock management
2. Futures trading
Question 54 :
Details about portfolio of shares of an investor is as below
Shares No of Shares (Lakhs) Price Per shares Beta
A Ltd. 3.00 Rs.500 1.4
B. Ltd. 4.00 Rs.750 1.2
C Ltd. 2.00 Rs.250 1.6
The investor thinks that the risk of the portfolio is very high and wants to reduce the
portfolio beta of 0.91. He is considering two below mentioned alternative strategies
(1) Dispose off a part of his existing portfolio to acquire risk free securities
(2) Take appropriate position on nifty futures which are currently traded at Rs. 8,125
and each nifty points is worth Rs.200.
You are required to determine
(1) Portfolio beta
(2) The value of risk free securities to be acquired
(3) The number of shares of each company to be disposed off
(4) The number of nifty contracts to be brought/ sold and
(5) The value of portfolio for 2% rise in nifty
Expected Return :
The expected return of a portfolio is the weighted average of the returns of individual securities
in the portfolio, the weights being the proportion of investment in each security. The formula for
calculation of expected portfolio return is the same for a portfolio with two securities and for
portfolios with more than two securities.
Question 56 :
Calculate Variance and SD from the following information
Security Wts SD COR
X 0.25 16 XY = 0.7
Y 0.35 7 XZ = 0.3
Z 0.40 9 YZ = 0.4
2. Efficient Frontier :
Markowitz has formalised the risk return relationship and developed the concept of
efficient frontier. For selection of a portfolio, comparison between combinations of
portfolios is essential. As a rule, a portfolio is not efficient if there is another portfolio with:
(a) A higher expected value of return and a lower standard deviation (risk).
(b) A higher expected value of return and the same standard deviation (risk)
(c ) The same expected value but a lower standard deviation (risk)
Markowitz has defined the diversification as the process of combining assets that are less
than perfectly positively correlated in order to reduce portfolio risk without sacrificing any
portfolio returns. If an investors’ portfolio is not efficient he may:
(i) Increase the expected value of return without increasing the risk.
(ii) Decrease the risk without decreasing the expected value of return, or
(iii) Obtain some combination of increase of expected return and decrease risk.
This is possible by switching to a portfolio on the efficient frontier.
If all the investments are plotted on the risk-return space, individual securities would be
dominated by portfolios, and the efficient frontier would be containing all Efficient
Portfolios (An Efficient
Portfolio has the highest return among all portfolios with identical risk and the lowest risk
among all portfolios with identical return). Fig – 1 depicts the boundary of possible
investments in securities, A, B, C, D, E and F; and B, C, D, are lying on the efficient frontier.
The best combination of expected value of return and risk (standard deviation) depends
upon the investors’ utility function. The individual investor will want to hold that portfolio
of securities which places him on the highest indifference curve, choosing from the set of
available portfolios. The dark line at the top of the set is the line of efficient combinations,
or the efficient frontier. The optimal portfolio for an investor lies at the point where the
indifference curve for the concerned investor touches the efficient frontier. This point
reflects the risk level acceptable to the investor in order to achieve a desired return and
provide maximum return for the bearable level of risk. The concept of efficient frontier
and the location of the optimal portfolio are explained with help of Fig-2.
In Fig-2 A, B, C, D, E and F define the boundary of all possible investments out of which
investments in B, C and D are the efficient portfolios lying on the efficient frontier. The
attractiveness of the investment proposals lying on the efficient frontier depends on the
investors’ attitude to risk. At point B, the level of risk and return is at optimum level. The
returns are highest at point D, but simultaneously it carries higher risk than any other
investment.
The shaded area represents all attainable or feasible portfolios, that is all the combinations
of risk and expected return which may be achieved with the available securities. The
efficient frontier contains all possible efficient portfolios and any point on the frontier
dominates any point to the right of it or below it.
Consider the portfolios represented by points B and E. B and E promise the same expected
return E (R 1 ) but the risk associated with B is σ (R 1 ) whereas the associated with E is σ (R 2 ).
Investors, therefore, prefer portfolios on the efficient frontier rather than interior
portfolios given the assumption of risk aversion; obviously, point A on the frontier
Volatility is a statistical measure of a particular security price movement (up & Down). So
minimum Risk portfolio should have less ups and down.
Bottomline : Minimum variance portfolio can hold investments types that are volatile on their
own but when combined, create a diversified portfolio that has lower volatility than any of the
individual parts.
Example :
Average Return SD CORab = - 0.7
Security A 3 1.5
Security B 5 4.2
Rp = Ra x wt + Rb x wt
σp = 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤 2 𝑎𝑎σ2 𝑎𝑎 + 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤 2 𝑏𝑏σ2 + 2σaσbwtawtbCORab
0
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5
Alternative 2 : Formula
σ2 𝑦𝑦−𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶 σ2 𝑦𝑦−𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶σ𝑥𝑥σ𝑦𝑦
Wtx = or
σ2 𝑥𝑥+ σ2 𝑦𝑦−2𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶 σ2 𝑥𝑥+ σ2 𝑦𝑦−2𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶𝐶σ𝑥𝑥σ𝑦𝑦
Question 59 : Mr.Tamarind
Mr. Tamarind intends to invest in equity shares of a company the value of which depends
upon various parameters as mentioned below:
Factor Beta Expected in Actual value
% Value in %
GNP 1.2 7.70 7.70
Inflation 1.75 5.50 7.00
Interest rate 1.3 7.75 9.00
Stock market index 1.7 10.0 12.0
Industrial production 1.00 7.0 7.50
If the risk free rate of interest be 9.25%, how much is the return of the share under
Arbitrage Pricing Theory?
Marketing Timing
Sector Rotation
Security Selection
Sharpe Ratio
Treynor Ratio
Jensons Alpha
1. Sharpe Ratio :
Sharpe Ratio measures the Risk Premium per unit of Total Risk for a security or a portfolio
of securities.
𝑅𝑅−𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅
The formula is =
σ
Example:
Let’s assume that we look at a one year period of time where an index fund earned 11%
Treasury bills earned 6%
The standard deviation of the index fund was 20%
Therefore S = 11-6/.20 = 25%
Example:
Consider two Portfolios A and B. Let return of A be 30% and that of B be 25%. On the
outset, it appears that A has performed better than B. Let us now incorporate the risk
factor and find out the Sharpe ratios for the portfolios. Let risk of A and B be 11% and 5%
respectively. This means that the standard deviation of returns - or the volatility of returns
of A is much higher than that of B.
If risk free rate is assumed to be 8%,
Sharpe ratio for portfolio A= (30-8)/11=2% and
Sharpe ratio for portfolio B= (25-8)/5=3.4%
2. Treynor Ratio :
This ratio is same as Sharpe ratio with only difference that it measures the Risk Premium
per unit of Systematic Risk (β) for a security or a portfolio of securities.
𝑅𝑅−𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅
The formula is
σ
Treynor ratio is based on the premise that unsystematic or specific risk can be diversified
and hence, only incorporates the systematic risk (beta) to gauge the portfolio's
performance. It measures the returns earned in excess of those that could have been
earned on a riskless investment per unit of market risk assumed.
In above example if beta of Portfolio A and B are 1.5 and 1.1 respectively,
Treynor ratio for Portfolio A= (30-8)/1.5=14.67%
Treynor ratio for Portfolio B= (25-8)/1.1= 15.45%
While Sharpe ratio measures total risk (as the degree of volatility in returns captures all
elements of risk - systematic as well as unsystemic), the Treynor ratio captures only the
systematic risk in its computation.
When one has to evaluate the funds which are sector specific, Sharpe ratio would be more
meaningful. This is due to the fact that unsystematic risk would be present in sector
specific funds. Hence, a truer measure of evaluation would be to judge the returns based
on the total risk.
3. Jensons Alpha :
This is the difference between a portfolio’s actual return and those that could have been
made on a benchmark portfolio with the same risk- i.e. beta. It measures the ability of
active management to increase returns above those that are purely a reward for bearing
market risk. Caveats apply however since it will only produce meaningful results if it is used
to compare two portfolios which have similar betas.
Question 61 :
Calculate Sharpe Ratio, Treynor Ratio and Jensons Ratio from the following information
A B
Return 25% 18% Rf = 6%
Beta 2.2 1.6 Rm = 10%
Variance 15% 12% 12%
PRACTICE QUESTIONS
Question 63 : Mr.Sunil
Mr. Sunil has estimated probable under different macroeconomics conditions for the
following three stocks
Stock Current Price Rate of Return (%) during different
macroeconomics scenarios
Recession Moderate Boom
Him Ice Ltd. 12 –12 15 35
Kalahari 18 20 12 –5
Biotech
Puma Softtech 60 18 20 15
Mr Sunil is exploring if it is possible to make any arbitrage profits from the above
information.
Question 64 :
The distribution of return of security ‘F’ and the market portfolio ‘P’ is given below:
Probability Return %
F P
0.3 30 -10
0.4 20 20
0.3 0 30
You are required to calculate the expected return of security ‘F’ and the market portfolio
‘P’, the covariance between the market portfolio and security and beta for the security.
Question 66 :
Following are risk and return estimates for two stocks :
Stock Expected returns (%) Beta Specific SD of expected return
(%)
A 14 0.8 35
B 18 1.2 45
The market index has a Standard Deviation (SD) of 25% and risk free rate on Treasury Bills
is 6%.
You are required to calculate :
(i) The standard deviation of expected return on A and B.
(ii) Suppose a portfolio is to be constructed with the proportions of 25%, 40% and 35%
in stock A, B and Treasury Bills respectively, what would be the expected return,
standard deviation of expected return of the portfolio?
Thanks ….
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to discuss any of the points please speak to us through
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CHAPTER DESIGN
1. TYPES OF RISK
2. EVALUATION OF FINANCIAL RISK
3. VALUE AT RISK (VAR)
4. EVALUATION OF APPROPRIATE METHOD FOR THE IDENTIFICATION AND
MANAGEMENT OF FINANCIAL RISK
1. TYPES OF RISK :
Types of
Risk
1. Strategic Risk :
A successful business always needs a comprehensive and detailed business plan. Everyone
knows that a successful business needs a comprehensive, well-thought-out business plan.
But it’s also a fact of life that, if things changes, even the best-laid plans can become
outdated if it cannot keep pace with the latest trends. This is what is called as strategic
risk. So, strategic risk is a risk in which a company’s strategy becomes less effective and it
struggles to achieve its goal. It could be due to technological changes, a new competitor
entering the market, shifts in customer demand, increase in the costs of raw materials, or
any number of other large-scale changes.
We can take an example of “KODAK” the leader in the market for cameras. They were able
to develop digital cameras by 1975. But it considered this development as a threat to the
core business and therefore it did not develop it. However the technology involved with
digital camera was finally found by others and was developed – which actually pushed
“Kodak” out of the business.
I also remember – the speech by CEO of Nokia – when it was taken over by Microsoft – he
said – “The problem with nokia was not that we did anything wrong – the problem was we
didn’t do anything”. Nokia ruled the market for mobile phone manufacturing, but I feel
they were so much engrossed in manufacturing and increasing the sales number that they
never thought of bringing anything new. Finally Smart phone were discovered by that left
High and Dry.
However, another example – a positive one – is that of Xerox – the company which
invented photocopier. When lazer printer were developed, Xerox was quick to lap up this
opportunity and made necessary changes. Infact they were ready for strategic Risk and
they not only survived but also increased the profits.
However, when a company ventures into a new business line or a new geographical area,
the real problem then occurs. For example, a company pursuing cement business likely to
venture into sugar business in a different state. But laws applicable to the sugar mills in
that state are different. So, that poses a compliance risk. If the company fails to comply
with laws related to a new area or industry or sector, it will pose a serious threat to its
survival.
For example : The Reserve Bank of India has imposed a monetary penalty aggregating Rs.
3 crore on Union Bank of India for non-compliance with the regulatory direction on ‘know-
your-customer’ (KYC) norms.
3. Operational Risk :
This type of risk relates to internal risk. It also relates to failure on the part of the company
to cope with day to day operational problems. Operational risk relates to ‘people’ as well
as ‘process’. We will take an example to illustrate this. For example, an employee paying
out Rs.1,00,000 from the account of the company instead of Rs.10,000.
This is a people as well as a process risk. An organization can employ another person to
check the work of that person who has mistakenly paid Rs 1,00,000 or it can install an
electronic system that can flag off an unusual amount.
4. Financial Risk :
Financial Risk is referred as the unexpected changes in financial conditions such as prices,
exchange rate, Credit rating, and interest rate etc. Though political risk is not a financial
risk in direct sense but same can be included as any unexpected political change in any
foreign country may lead to country risk which may ultimately result in financial loss.
Accordingly, the broadly Financial Risk can be divided into following categories.
A. Counter Party Risk :
This risk occurs due to non-honoring of obligations by the counter party which can
be failure to deliver the goods for the payment already made or vice-versa or
repayment of borrowings and interest etc. Thus, this risk also covers the credit risk
i.e. default by the counter party.
B. Political Risk :
Generally this type of risk is faced by and overseas investors, as the adverse action
by the government of host country may lead to huge loses. This can be on any of
the following form.
As we know that the interest rates are two types i.e. fixed and floating. The risk in
both of these types is inherent. If any company has borrowed money at floating rate
then with increase in floating the liability under fixed rate shall remain the same.
This fixed rate, with falling floating rate the liability of company to pay interest
under fixed rate shall comparatively be higher.
D. Currency Risk :
This risk mainly affects the organization dealing with foreign exchange as their cash
flows changes with the movement in the currency exchange rates. This risk can be
affected by cash flow adversely or favorably. For example, if rupee depreciates vis-
à-vis US$ receivables will stand to gain vis-à-vis to the importer who has the liability
to pay bill in US$. The best case we can quote Infosys (Exporter) and Indian Oil
Corporation Ltd. (Importer).
B. From Company’s point of view: From company’s point of view if a company borrows
excessively or lend to someone who defaults, then it can be forced to go into liquidation.
C. From Government’s point of view : From Government’s point of view, the financial risk
can be viewed as failure of any bank or (like Lehman Brothers) down grading of any
financial institution leading to spread of distrust among society at large. Even this risk also
includes willful defaulters. This can also be extended to sovereign debt crisis.
1. Area in the center is larger and keeps decreases as we go away from the mean, i.e the
probability of the return closer to the mean is greater this probability keeps on decreasing
as we move from the mean
2. Area to the left and the right to mean = 0 at SD = 1 is 34.13% respectively. This will make
total area at +/- 1 SD under the curve at 68.26%
3. Area to the left and the right of the mean from 1 SD to 2 SD is 13.59%, taking the total to
47.72% from Mean = 0 to SD = 2 to the left and the right respectively. The total area under
the curve from -2 SD to 2 SD will be 95.44%
Question 1 :
Calculate mean and standard deviation from the following Information
Years Return
1 16%
2 18%
3 15%
4 16%
5 15%
6 16%
7 21%
8 18%
9 15%
10 12%
Question 2 :
Calculate the mean and standard deviation from the following information
Market Condition Return Probability
Very Good 25 0.2
Good 22 0.3
Average 18 0.3
Bad 16 0.1
Very Bad 14 0.1
Question 3 :
An IQ test was conducted for 1000 students. The results were collated and had a Mean of
100 and SD of 15. Calculate assuming standard normal distribution
1. What % of students will have a score between 85 to 115.
2. What % of students will have a score between 70 to 130
3. What % of students will have a score between 55 to 145
Question 4 :
Taking the data from Question no 3, calculate
1. What % of students will have a score above 115
2. What % of students will have a score above 130
3. What % of students will have a score above 145
Question 6 :
Continuing with Question 3, calculate
1. What % of students will have an IQ above 85
2. What % of students will have an IQ below 115
3. What % of students will have an IQ above 70
4. What % of students will have an IQ below 130
DEFINITION :
VAR is a statistical technique used to measure and quantify the level of financial risk within a firm
or investment portfolio over a specific time frame.
(i) What is worst case scenario?
(ii) What will be loss?
FEATURES OF VAR :
Following are the main features of VAR
1. Components of Calculations : VAR calculation is based on following three components :
Loss
Confidence Level
Interpretations :
Consider 5 % VAR = Rs. 15000
• It means that there is 95% chance that the loss will not exceed Rs. 15000
• It means that there is 5% chance that the loss will 15000 or more
Question 7 :
What do mean by 1% daily VAR = Rs. 50,000
Z Scores :
We should remember the following standard Z Scores
• 10% VAR = -1.28
• 5% VAR = -1.65
• 1% VAR = - 2.33
VAR Conversions :
VAR can converted for
1. Time Basis
2. % Basis (Confidence Level)
1. Time Basis : VAR can be converted from 1 day to longer period by multiplying daily VAR
with Square root of days we need the answer for.
2. VAR can also be converted for different levels i.e. a. From VAR 1% to VAR 5% b. From VAR
at 95% confidence Level to VAR at 99% confidence level by simple cross multiplication
Question 8 :
Consider Daily VAR Rs. 17000
Calculate :
1. Weekly VAR
2. 10 Day VAR
3. Monthly VAR
4. Semi Annual VAR
5. Annual VAR
Question 9 :
If VAR 10% = Rs.1,00,000, then calculate VAR 5%
Calculation of VAR :
With all logics in place lets now calculate and VAR and understand the numbers
Question 11 :
Calculate daily VAR 5% for a portfolio of 15.25 lakhs with SD of 1.7%.
Question 12 :
Calculate daily VAR 1% for a portfolio of 10.25 lakhs with SD of 2.1%.
Question 13 :
Calculate daily VAR 10% for a portfolio of 9.45 lakhs with SD of 1.1%.
Question 14 :
Suppose you hold Rs.2 crore shares of X Ltd. whose market price standard deviation is 2%
per day. Assuming 252 trading days a year, determine maximum loss level over the period
of 1 trading day and 10 trading days with 99% confidence level.
Question 15 :
Consider a portfolio consisting of a Rs.200,00,000 investment in share XYZ and a
Rs.200,00,000 investment in share ABC. The daily standard deviation of both shares is 1%
and that the coefficient of correlation between them is 0.3. You are required to determine
the 10- day 99% value at risk for the portfolio?
2. Political Risk :
Since this risk mainly relates to investments in foreign country, company should assess
country
(1) By referring political ranking published by different business magazines.
(2) By evaluating country’s macro-economic conditions.
(3) By analysing the popularity of current government and assess their stability.
(4) By taking advises from the embassies of the home country in the host countries.
(5) Further, following techniques can be used to mitigate this risk.
(i) Local sourcing of raw materials and labour.
(ii) Entering into joint ventures
(iii) Local financing
(iv) Prior negotiations
From the following actions by the Governments of the host country this risk can be
identified:
1. Insistence on resident investors or labour.
2. Restriction on conversion of currency.
3. Repatriation of foreign assets of the local govt.
4. Price fixation of the products.
4. Currency Risk :
Just like interest rate risk the currency risk is dependent on the Government action and
economic development. Some of the parameters to identity the currency risk are as
follows:
(1) Government Action: The Government action of any country has visual impact in its
currency. For example, the UK Govt. decision to divorce from European Union i.e.
Brexit brought the pound to its lowest since 1980’s.
(2) Nominal Interest Rate: As per interest rate parity (IRP) the currency exchange rate
depends on the nominal interest of that country.
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CHAPTER DESIGN
1. INTRODUCTION
2. CONCEPT AND DEFINITION
3. PARTICIPANTS
4. PROCESS / MECHANISM
5. BENEFITS OF SECURITIZATION
6. PROBLEMS OF SECURITIZATION
7. SECURITIZATION INSTRUMENTS
8. PRICING
9. SECURITIZATION IN INDIA
1. INTRODUCTION :
Some companies or firms who are involved in sending the money or making credit sale must have
a huge balance of receivables in their Balance Sheet. Though they have a huge receivable but still
they may face liquidity crunch to run their business. One way may to adopt borrowing route, but
this results in change debt equity ratio of the company which may not be acceptable to some
stakeholders but also put companies to financial risk which affects the future borrowings by the
company. To overcome this problem the term ‘securitization’ was coined.
Features of securitization :
Creation of
Financial
Instrument
Budling and
Homogeneity
Unbundling
Securitization
Tools of Risk
Trenching
Management
Structured
Finance
Securitization 277
(iii) Tool of Risk Management : In case of assets are securitized on non-recourse basis, then
securitization process acts as risk management as the risk of default is shifted.
(iv) Structured Finance : In the process of securitization, financial instruments are tailor
structured to meet the risk return trade of profile of investor, and hence, these securitized
instruments are considered as best examples of structured finance.
(v) Trenching : Portfolio of different receivable or loan or asset are split into several parts
based on risk and return they carry called ‘Trenche’. Each Trench carries a different level
of risk and return.
(vi) Homogeneity : Under each trenche the securities are issued of homogenous nature and
even meant for small investors the who can afford to invest in small amounts.
3. PARTICIPANTS :
1.Originator 1. Obligors
Primary
1. Primary Participants :
Primary Participants are main parties to this process. The primary participants in the
process of securitization are as follows:
a) Originator : It is the initiator of deal or can be termed as securitizer. It is an entity
which sells the assets lying in its books and receives the funds generated through
the sale of such assets. The originator transfers both legal as well as beneficial
interest to the Special Purpose Vehicle (discussed later).
b) Special Purpose Vehicle : Also, called SPV is created for the purpose of executing
the deal. Since issuer originator transfers all rights in assets to SPV, it holds the legal
title of these assets. It is created especially for the purpose of securitization only
and normally could be in form of a company, a firm, a society or a trust.
c) The Investors : Investors are the buyers of securitized papers which may be an
individual, an institutional investor such as mutual funds, provident funds,
insurance companies, mutual funds, Financial Institutions etc.
278 Securitization
2. Secondary Participants :
Besides the primary participants other parties involved into the securitization process are
as follows:
(a) Obligors : Actually they are the main source of the whole securitization process.
They are the parties who owe money to the firm and are assets in the Balance Sheet
of Originator. The amount due from the obligor is transferred to SPV and hence they
form the basis of securitization process and their credit standing is of paramount
importance in the whole process.
(b) Rating Agency : Since the securitization is based on the pools of assets rather than
the originators, the assets have to be assessed in terms of its credit quality and
credit support available.
(c) Receiving and Paying agent (RPA) : Also, called Servicer or Administrator, it collects
the payment due from obligor(s) and passes it to SPV. It also follow up with
defaulting borrower and if required initiate appropriate legal action against them.
Generally, an originator or its affiliates acts as servicer.
(d) Agent or Trustee : Trustees are appointed to oversee that all parties to the deal
perform in the true spirit of terms of agreement. Normally, it takes care of interest
of investors who acquires the securities.
(e) Credit Enhancer : Since investors in securitized instruments are directly exposed to
performance of the underlying and sometime may have limited or no recourse to
the originator, they seek additional comfort in the form of credit enhancement. In
other words, they require credit rating of issued securities which also empowers
marketability of the securities.
(f) Structure : It brings together the originator, investors, credit enhancers and other
parties to the deal of securitization. Normally, these are investment bankers also
called arranger of the deal. It ensures that deal meets all legal, regulatory,
accounting and tax laws requirements.
4. PROCESS / MECHANISM :
Sale of
Creation of Transfer to Credit rating
Securitized
Pool of Assets SPV of instruments
Paper
Securitization 279
5. BENEFITS OF SECURITIZATION :
1. From the angle of originator :
Originator (entity which sells assets collectively to Special Purpose Vehicle) achieves the
following benefits from securitization.
(i) Off – Balance Sheet Financing : When loan/receivables are securitized it release a
portion of capital tied up in these assets resulting in off Balance Sheet financing
leading to improved liquidity position which helps expanding the business of the
company.
(ii) More specialization in main business : By transferring the assets the entity could
concentrate more on core business as servicing of loan is transferred to SPV.
Further, in case of non- recourse arrangement even the burden of default is shifted.
(iii) Helps to improve financial ratios : Especially in case of Financial Institutions and
Banks, it helps to manage Capital –To-Weighted Asset Ratio effectively.
(iv) Reduced borrowing Cost : Since securitized papers are rated due to credit
enhancement even they can also be issued at reduced rate as of debts and hence
the originator earns a spread, resulting in reduced cost of borrowings.
280 Securitization
(ii) Regulatory requirement : Acquisition of asset backed belonging to a particular
industry say micro industry helps banks to meet regulatory requirement of
investment of fund in industry specific.
(iii) Protection against default : In case of recourse arrangement if there is any default
by any third party then originator shall make good the least amount. Moreover,
there can be insurance arrangement for compensation for any such default.
6. PROBLEMS OF SECURITIZATION :
• Stamp Duty : Stamp Duty is one of the obstacle in India. Under Transfer of Property Act,
1882, a mortgage debt stamp duty which even goes upto 12%in some states of India and
this impeded the growth of securitization in India. It should be noted that since pass
through certificate does not evidence any debt only able to receivable, they are exempted
from stamp duty. Moreover, in India, recognizing the special nature of securitized
instruments in some states has reduced the stamp duty on them.
• Taxation : Taxation is another area of concern in India. In the absence of any specific
provision relating to securitized instruments in Income Tax Act experts’ opinion differ a lot.
Some are of opinion that in SPV as a trustee is liable to be taxed in a representative capacity
then other are of view that instead of SPV, investors will be taxed on their share of income.
Clarity is also required on the issues of capital gain implications on passing payments to
the investors.
• Accounting : Accounting and reporting of securitized assets in the books of originator is
another area of concern. Although securitization is slated to an off-balance sheet
instrument but in true sense receivables are removed from originator’s balance sheet.
Problem arises especially when assets are transferred without recourse.
• Lack of standardization : Every originator follows own format for documentation and
administration have lack of standardization is another obstacle in growth of securitization.
• Inadequate Debt Market : Lack of existence of a well-developed debt market in India is
another obstacle that hinders the growth of secondary market of securitized or asset
backed securities.
• Ineffective Foreclosure laws : For last many years there are efforts are going on for
effective foreclosure but still foreclosure laws are not supportive to lending institutions
and this makes securitized instruments especially mortgaged backed securities less
attractive as lenders face difficulty in transfer of property in event of default by the
borrower.
7. SECURITIZATION INSTRUMENTS :
1. Pass Through Certificates (PTCs) :
As the title suggests originator (seller of eh assets) transfers the entire receipt of cash in
form of interest or principal repayment from the assets sold. Thus, these securities
represent direct claim of the investors on all the assets that has been securitized through
SPV. Since all cash flows are transferred the investors carry proportional beneficial interest
in the asset held in the trust by SPV.
It should be noted that since it is a direct route any prepayment of principal is also
proportionately distributed among the securities holders. Further, due to these
Securitization 281
characteristics on completion of securitization by the final payment of assets, all the
securities are terminated simultaneously. Skewness of cash flows occurs in early stage if
principals are repaid before the scheduled time.
3. Stripped Securities :
Stripped Securities are created by dividing the cash flows associated with underlying
securities into two or more new securities. Those two securities are as follows:
(i) Interest Only (IO) Securities
(ii) Principle Only (PO) Securities
As each investor receives a combination of principal and interest, it can be stripped into
two portion of Interest and Principle. Accordingly, the holder of IO securities receives only
interest while PO security holder receives only principal. Being highly volatile in nature
these securities are less preferred by investors.
In case yield to maturity in market rises, PO price tends to fall as borrower prefers to
postpone the payment on cheaper loan s. Whereas if interest rate in market falls, the
borrower tends to repay the loans as they prefer to borrow fresh at lower rate of interest.
In contrast, value of IO’s securities increases when interest rate goes up in the market as
more interest is calculated on borrowings. However, when interest rate due to
prepayments of principals, IO’s tends to fall. Thus, from the above, it is clear that it is
mainly perception of investors that determines the prices of IOs and POs
8. PRICING :
Pricing of securitized instruments in an important aspect of securitization. While pricing the
instruments, it is important that it should be acceptable to both originators as well as to the
investors. On the same basis pricing of securities can be divided into following two categories:
1. From Originator’s Angle :
From originator’s point of view, the instruments can be priced at a rate at which originator
has to incur an outflow and if that outflow can be amortized over a period of time by
investing the amount raised through securitization.
282 Securitization
2. From Investor’s Angle :
From an investor’s angle security price can be determined by discounting best estimate of
expected future cash flows using rate of yield to maturity of a security of comparable security
with respect to credit quality and average life of the securities. This yield can also be estimated
by referring the yield curve available for marketable securities, though some adjustments is
needed on account of spread points, because of credit quality of the securitized instruments.
9. SECURITIZATION IN INDIA :
1. First securitisation deal in India was between Citibank and GIC Mutual Funds in 1991 for
Rs. 160 million
2. L & T raised Rs. 4090 million through the securitization of future lease rentals to raise
capital for its power plant in 1992
3. Securitization of air craft receivable by Jet Airways for Rs. 16000 million in 2001 through
off shore SPV.
4. India’s largest securitization deal by ICICI Bank of Rs. 19299 Million in 2007. The underlying
Asset was Auto Loan receivables
5. As per report of Crisal securitization transaction in India scored to the highest level of Rs.
70,000 crore in financial year 2016
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Securitization 283
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CHAPTER DESIGN
So, the pertinent question is how to keep loans from family and friends strictly business like. This
is the hard part behind starting a business -- putting so much at risk. But doing so is essential. It's
what sets entrepreneurs apart from people who collect regular salaries as employees.
A good way to get success in the field of entrepreneurship is to speed up initial operations as
quickly as possible to get to the point where outside investors can see and feel the business
venture, as well as understand that a person has taken some risk reaching it to that level.
Some businesses can also be bootstrapped (attempting to found and build a company from
personal finances or from the operating revenues of the new company).They can be built up
quickly enough to make money without any help from investors who might otherwise come in
and start dictating the terms. In order to successfully launch a business and get it to a level where
large investors are interested in putting their money, requires a strong business plan. It also
requires seeking advice from experienced entrepreneurs and experts -- people who might invest
in the business sometime in the future.
Factoring Purchase
Vendor
accounts order Micro Loans
Finacing
receivables financing
Marketing
Sales Financing
Problem Solution
Team
Introduction Projections /
Milestone
Competition Business
Model
(i) Introduction : To start with, first step is to give a brief account of yourself i.e. who are you?
What are you doing? But care should be taken to make it short and sweet. Also, use this
opportunity to get your investors interested in your company. One can also talk up the
most interesting facts about one’s business, as well as any huge milestones one may have
achieved.
(ii) Team : The next step is to introduce the audience the people behind the scenes. The
reason is that the investors will want to know the people who are going to make the
product or service successful. Moreover, the investors are not only putting money towards
the idea but they are also investing in the team. Also, an attempt should be made to
include the background of the promoter, and how it relates to the new company.
Moreover, if possible, it can also be highlighted that the team has worked together in the
past and achieved significant results.
(iii) Problem : Further, the promoter should be able to explain the problem he is going to solve
and solutions emerging from it. Further the investors should be convinced that the newly
introduced product or service will solve the problem convincingly. For instance, when
Facebook was launched in 2004, it added some new features which give it a more
professional and lively look in comparison to Orkut which was there for some time. It
2. Trade Credit :
Create a detailed financial plan explaining to the supplier how you will pay it, and
try to get trade credit of 30, 60 or 90 days from your suppliers. This is usually the
practice with businesses, however being a new venture, receiving trade credit
would be a bit challenging, but not impossible – a matter of negotiation.
4. Customer Credit :
You can use your consumers’ letters of credit to purchase or acquire material you
require from your supplier. That way, you do not need to pay the supplier
immediately, and the supplier is also reassured that it will get the money due to it
since you already have consumers willing to pay for, and in a sense vouch for, the
product.
Advantages of Bootstrapping :
1. Retaining Control :
To bootstrap is to reduce reliance on external sources for finance and capital, and
it is one of the most effective ways to ensure a positive cash flow. Your control of
the company and your equity are not diluted, allowing you the freedom to manage
operations, products, marketing – everything, in fact, as you deem fit. Investor
influence is absent – so you may retain your vision and culture.
2. Ensures Efficiency :
Let’s face it, if you are spending your own money, and are fully aware of the
limitations of that supply, you will be extra careful about how you spend it. And you
will squeeze every bit that you can out of every penny, developing a resourcefulness
that you may well not have had before. You suddenly become efficient with your
money not because you should be, but because you must be.
6. Exposure to Alternatives :
When you avoid the much-taken path of fund raising, various options of bootstrap
financing present themselves to you, such as asset re-financing, trade credit,
factoring as also old fashioned ways of raising funds such as yard sales, auctions,
consulting on the side – you get creative to raise the money your venture needs.
2. Angel Investor :
Despite being a country of many cultures and communities traditionally inclined to
business and entrepreneurship, India still ranks low on comparative ratings across
entrepreneurship, innovation and ease of doing business. The reasons are obvious. These
include our old and outdated draconian rules and regulations which provides a hindrance
to our business environment for a long time. Other reasons are redtapism, our time
consuming procedures, and lack of general support for entrepreneurship. Off course,
things are changing in recent times.
As per Investopedia, Angel investors invest in small startups or entrepreneurs. Often, angel
investors are among an entrepreneur's family and friends. The capital angel investors
provide may be a one-time investment to help the business propel or an ongoing injection
of money to support and carry the company through its difficult early stages.
Angel investors provide more favorable terms compared to other lenders, since they
usually invest in the entrepreneur starting the business rather than the viability of the
business. Angel investors are focused on helping startups take their first steps, rather than
the possible profit they may get from the business. Essentially, angel investors are the
opposite of venture capitalists.
Angel investors are also called informal investors, angel funders, private investors, seed
investors or business angels. These are affluent individuals who inject capital for startups
in exchange for ownership equity or convertible debt. Some angel investors invest through
crowdfunding platforms online or build angel investor networks to pool in capital.
Angel investors typically use their own money, unlike venture capitalists who take care of
pooled money from many other investors and place them in a strategically managed fund.
Though angel investors usually represent individuals, the entity that actually provides the
fund may be a limited liability company, a business, a trust or an investment fund, among
many other kinds of vehicles.
Angel investors who seed startups that fail during their early stages lose their investments
completely. This is why professional angel investors look for opportunities for a defined
exit strategy, acquisitions or initial public offerings (IPOs).
2. Features :
(i) Long time horizon : The fund would invest with a long time horizon in mind.
Minimum period of investment would be 3 years and maximum period can
be 10 years.
(ii) Lack of liquidity : When VC invests, it takes into account the liquidity factor.
It assumes that there would be less liquidity on the equity it gets and
accordingly it would be investing in that format. They adjust this liquidity
premium against the price and required return.
(iii) High Risk : VC would not hesitate to take risk. It works on principle of high
risk and high return. So, high risk would not eliminate the investment choice
for a venture capital.
(iv) Equity Participation : Most of the time, VC would be investing in the form of
equity of a company. This would help the VC participate in the management
and help the company grow. Besides, a lot of board decisions can be
supervised by the VC if they participate in the equity of a company.
(v) High Tech Project : VC are generally found to be investing in high tech
projects.
(vi) Participation in Management : Unlike traditional bank finance – venture
capitalist may play active role in the management of the firms they invest in.
3. Evolution :
• 1970 – GOI set up a committee to tackle the issue of lack of funding to start
ups
• 1988 – Controller of Capital Issue – Was very restrictive
• 1995 – Abolition of CCI – Foreign finance companies were allowed to invest
in India
• 1996 – New set of guidelines were issued to counter the charge that it
favoured foreign players and did not give any inventive to the domestic
individuals
• 1997 – IT revolution got the venture capital of the hook – however dotcom
bust left many crying and the surviving once started financing at much later
stage – leaving risky see capital and start up financing to a few daring ones.
9. VC Investment Process :
The entire VC Investment process can be segregated into the following steps:
1. Deal Origination : VC operates directly or through intermediaries. Mainly
many practicing Chartered Accountants would work as intermediary and
through them VC gets the deal.
Before sourcing the deal, the VC would inform the intermediary or its
employees about the following so that the sourcing entity does not waste
time:
Sector Focus
Stages of Business Focus
Promoter Focus
Turn Over Focus
Here the company would give a detailed business plan which consists of
business model, financial plan and exit plan. All these aspects are covered in
a document which is called Investment Memorandum (IM). A tentative
valuation is also carried out in the IM.
Provided that such entity is not formed by splitting up, or reconstruction, of a business already in
existence. Provided also that an entity shall cease to be a Startup if its turnover for the previous
financial years has exceeded Rs 25 crore or it has completed 5 years from the date of
incorporation/ registration. Provided further that a Startup shall be eligible for tax benefits only
after it has obtained certification from the Inter-Ministerial Board, setup for such purpose.
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