The Determinants of Dividend Policy
The Determinants of Dividend Policy
The Determinants of Dividend Policy
THE DETERMINANTS
OF DIVIDEND POLICY
20-1
a. True
b. True
c. False
20-2
Firms usually do not change their dividends very frequently. This is what is meant by
sticky dividends. Part of the reason for sticky dividends is that firms are reluctant to cut
dividends, because of the fear that markets will punish them. Consequently, they do not
increase dividends unless they believe that they can maintain these higher dividends.
20-3
Cutting dividends may send a very negative signal to markets. When firms announce that
they will be cutting dividends, markets assume the worst, i.e., that the firm is in serious
financial trouble, and the company's stock price usually drops sharply.
a: It could increase more than a dime or less than a dime. It depends on the perception of
the market on changes in future dividends.
b: Earnings can go up and down without theoretical boundaries while the dividends
cannot go below zero.
20-4
If there are no tax differences in the treatment of dividends and capital gains, and firms
can raise external financing at little or no cost, it can be argued that dividends are
irrelevant. Large, financially strong firms with primarily tax-exempt or low-tax rate
investors may fit this description best.
20-5
No. This tax disadvantage was particularly applicable in the United States prior to 1986
for high-tax rate individual investors. It does not apply to tax exempt investors or to
corporations.
20-6
It should reduce the amount it pays in dividends. The problem it might run into is
communicating this intent to the market. Since its existing stockholders like dividends,
the announcement is likely to lead to some of them selling the stock, causing the stock
price to drop.
20-7
An increase in dividends suggests to markets that the firm has the confidence that its
future cash flows will be high enough to continue making these dividend payments. This
confidence is the positive signal that might lead markets to increase their assessment of
the firm's value. The empirical evidence is supportive, with stock prices increasing on
dividend increases.
20-8
Yes. If a firm that is believed to have great projects/high growth prospects increases
dividends, it may send the signal that its project choice is narrowing. There seems to be
no empirical evidence to support this hypothesis, though.
20-9
(Price before - Price After) / Dividends = (1 - to) / (1 -. tcg), i.e., 3.5/5 = (1- to)/(1 -.4)
Solving for the ordinary tax rate, ordinary tax rate = to = 1 - .6*3.5/5 = 58%
20-10
If the marginal investor (which is a corporation) sells the stock before the ex-dividend
day,
CFB = PB - (PB - P) tcg
If the marginal investor sells the the stock after the ex-dividend day,
CFA = PA - (PA - P) tcg + D (1 - 0.15 to)
If no arbitrage is allowed to occur,
CFB = CFA
Then we find (PB - PA) / D = (1 - 0.15 to) / (1 - tcg )
20-11
Company Price Dividend Price
change change/Dividend
NE Gas 2 4 0.5
SE Bell 3 4 0.75
Western Elec. 5 5 1
As a tax-exempt investor, you make returns based upon the difference between the price
drop and the dividend. Consequently, you will make excess returns on the first two
stocks. On both an absolute and percentage basis, NE Gas is your best bet.
20-12
Assume that the true capital gains tax rate = Stated Rate/(1+Rf)n
(Pb - Pa) = (1 - to) / (1- tcg) or ($10 - $9.20) = (1-.5) / (1-.5/1.1n)
Solving for n, n = approximately 3 years
20-13
Tax rate on dividends = (40%) (.15) = 6%
Tax rate on capital gains = 28%
Expected price drop on ex-dividend day = ($0.50) (1-.06)/(1-.28) = $0.65
20-14
I would expect the price to drop since the actual price increase of 4% is less than the
expected (or usual) price increase of 5%.
20-15
The stock price may react negatively. The dividend may signal that Microsoft's project
choice is becoming less attractive, and this will have negative consequences for future
growth and project returns. In addition, stockholders in Microsoft are likely to be oriented
to capital gains and may not like the dividends.
20-16
I would expect the price reaction to be positive. The price increase in this case may send
a positive signal to financial markets. The answer is different from the previous problem,
because the auto parts industry is a more stable one than the software business (reducing
the negative signaling implications of the dividend increase). Furthermore, the fact that
the company already pays a substantial dividends implies that its stockholders will be less
averse to receiving more in dividends.
20-17
The price reaction will be more muted. Since the 35 analysts following the firm are likely
to dig up any positive information about the company, the dividend increase at the
margin conveys less information than it would for a smaller firm.
20-18
I would expect it to decline. The preceding news on earnings and revenues has probably
already conveyed the message that the firm is in financial trouble to financial markets.
The decline in dividends, however, may cement this message by indicating that
management believes that the earnings decline is not a short term phenomenon.
20-19
I would expect the stock price reaction to be positive. The fact that RJR Nabisco was
under stockholder pressure to begin with suggests that their assets were making below-
market returns. Selling such assets would therefore be a positive action; returning the
cash to stockholders would add to this reaction because it eliminates the chance that this
cash will be invested in other poor projects.
20-20
I would expect bond prices to drop. Selling assets (especially liquid ones) and paying
dividends makes these bonds much riskier.
20-21
This incentive scheme would discourage the management from paying dividends because
paying dividends would reduce the price of the stock and reduce the value of options to
the managers.
20-22
Firms’ dividend policy would be affected in different ways because the clientele of each
firm may be in different tax bracket today.
20-23
The U.S. government may want to encourage capital formation in corporations.