Model 1 Historical Financial Statements
Model 1 Historical Financial Statements
Model 1 Historical Financial Statements
Formated
Income Statement ($ Million)
Particulars Year Ending Dec. 31, Forecast Period
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Sales $1,234.9 $1,251.7 $1,300.4 $1,334.4 1369.4
Cost of Sales $679.1 $659.0 $681.3 $667.0 719.0
Gross Operating Income $555.8 $592.7 $619.1 $667.4 650.4
Selling, General & Admn. Expenses $339.7 $348.6 $351.2 $373.3 377.7
Depreciation $47.5 $52.0 $55.9 $75.2 77.9
Other net (Income)/Expenses ($11.8) ($7.6) ($7.0) ($8.2) -9.3
EBIT $180.4 $199.7 $219.0 $227.1 204.0
Property, Plant and Equipment, Gross $680.9 $734.3 $820.8 $913.1 1007.1
Accumulated Depreciation $244.8 $296.8 $352.7 $427.9 505.8
Property, Plant, and equipment, Net $436.1 $437.5 $468.1 $485.2 501.2
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity $970.6 $967.9 $1,233.1 $1,304.3 1405.3
Other Data
Stock price (year-end) $55.50 $65.30 $55.70 $51.40
Average number of shares outstanding (millions) 48.0 47.3 46.8 46.2
Forecast Period
Forecasting
2004 2005 2006 Factor
1405.3 1442.1 1479.9 2.6%
737.8 757.2 777.0 52.5%
667.5 685.0 702.9
Selling, General & Admn. Expenses $339.7 $348.6 $351.2 $373.3 377.7
Depreciation $47.5 $52.0 $55.9 $75.2 77.9
Other net (Income)/Expenses ($11.8) ($7.6) ($7.0) ($8.2) -9.3
EBIT $180.4 $199.7 $219.0 $227.1 204.0
Property, Plant and Equipment, Gross $680.9 $734.3 $820.8 $913.1 1007.1
Accumulated Depreciation $244.8 $296.8 $352.7 $427.9 505.8
Property, Plant, and equipment, Net $436.1 $437.5 $468.1 $485.2 501.2
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity $970.6 $967.9 $1,233.1 $1,304.3 1371.3
Assumption
Assumptions for IS Assumptions Factor
Sales Based on Avg Historical Growth Rate 2.6%
Cost of Sales % of Sales Based on Avg Historical CSS 52.5%
Selling, General & Admn. Expenses Based on Avg Historical CSS 27.6%
Depreciation Dep. As a % of GPPE 7.7%
Other net (Income)/Expenses % of Sales Based on Avg Historical CSS -0.7%
Interest (Income) Based on economic forecast 6%
Interest Rate for STD Based on economic forecast 14%
Interest Rate for LTD Based on economic forecast 12%
Income Taxes Current Tax Rate 25%
Dividends Based on Historical Avg of POR 31.80%
Assumptions for BS
Assets
Cash and Marketable Securities % of Sales Based on Avg Historical CSS 2.1%
Accounts Receivable % of Sales Based on Avg Historical CSS 8.4%
Inventories % of Sales Based on Avg Historical CSS 8.8%
Other Current Assets % of Sales Based on Avg Historical CSS 7.6%
Property, Plant and Equipment, Gross Growth rate in PPE 10.29%
Accumulated Depreciation Calculated from other items
Other Non-Current Assets Will grow @ 10% YoY 10%
Profitability Ratio
Return on Equity (ROE) NI/ Avg Equity 0.27 0.25 0.21
Return on Sales (ROS) EBIT/Sales 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.17
Growth Rates
EPS Growth Rate YoY Change 13.74% 10.04% 1.41%
Dividend Growth Rate YoY Change 2.57% 3.87% 2.10%
Sales Growth Rate YoY Change 1.36% 3.89% 2.61%
EBIT Growth Rate YoY Change 10.70% 9.66% 3.70%
Net Income Growth Rate YoY Change 12.05% 8.95% 0.08%
Liquidity Ratio
Current Ratio 1.21 1.41 1.11 1.20
Liquid Ratio Cash & MS / CL 0.46 0.55 0.43 0.49
Leverage Ratio
Total debt to Total Capitalisation (STD+LTD)/(STD+LTD+Eq.) 0.33 0.26 0.33 0.33
Long Term Debt to Total Capitalisation(LTD)/(STD+LTD+Eq.) 0.27 0.22 0.23 0.22
Total Debt to Equity (STD+LTD)/(Eq.) 0.49 0.35 0.49 0.49
Coverage Ratio
Times Interest Earned (TIE) Int
Coverage Ratio EBIT/Int 11.14 13.23 10.68 9.58
Cash Coverage Ratio EBIT+Dep/Int 14.07 16.67 13.41 12.76
Others
Growth in PPE 7.8% 11.8% 11.2%
Growth in ON_CA 0.94% 98.44% 12.11%
Average
2.64
0.83
21.84
5.20
31.80%
0.24
0.16
8.40%
2.85%
2.62%
8.02%
7.03%
1.23
0.48
5.98
12.16
0.31
0.23
0.46
11.16
14.23
10.29%
37.16%
Common Size Statements
Particulars Year Ending Dec. 31,
1999 2000 2001 2002
Sales 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Cost of Sales 55.0% 52.6% 52.4% 50.0% 52.5%
Gross Operating Income 45.0% 47.4% 47.6% 50.0% 47.5%
Selling, General & Admn. Expenses 27.5% 27.9% 27.0% 28.0% 27.6%
Depreciation 3.8% 4.2% 4.3% 5.6% 4.5%
Other net (Income)/Expenses -1.0% -0.6% -0.5% -0.6% -0.7%
EBIT 14.6% 16.0% 16.8% 17.0% 16.1%
Property, Plant and Equipment, Gross 55.1% 58.7% 63.1% 68.4% 61.3%
Accumulated Depreciation 19.8% 23.7% 27.1% 32.1% 25.7%
Property, Plant, and equipment, Net 35.3% 35.0% 36.0% 36.4% 35.7%
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity 78.6% 77.3% 94.8% 97.7% 87.1%
Other Data
Stock price (year-end) $55.50 $65.30 $55.70 $51.40
Average number of shares outstanding (millions) 48.0 47.3 46.8 46.2
FCFE= NI+Dep.+Chg in Non cash WC+ Chng In CAPEX +Net Debt
Historical Income Statement and Balance Sheets for Vitex Corp.
Other Data
Stock price (year-end) $55.50 $65.30 $55.70
Average number of shares outstanding (millions) 48.0 47.3 46.8
Dec. 31,
2002
$1,334.4
$667.0
$667.4
$373.3
$75.2
($8.2)
$227.1
($2.0)
$23.7
$205.4
$72.6
$132.8
$40.1
$92.7
$28.4
$120.1
$116.8
$97.5
$362.8
$913.1
$427.9
$485.2
$456.3
$941.5
$1,304.3
$80.5
$110.3
$111.3
$302.1
$218.1
$12.7
$94.5
$627.4
$44.8
$632.1
$676.9
$1,304.3
$51.40
46.2