Notes CH 6
Notes CH 6
Notes CH 6
Probability of a customer
makes a purchase
with continuos prob. we can said that
instead we have to calculate
the probability of an interval
UNIFORM DISTRIBUTION
how to calculate the prob. and how the probability of somenting happening for a continuos
ramdom variable is equal of the area under the curve
How long is a flight we are looking the interval from 120 to 130
Probabilities are equal likely.
f(x)= 1 = 1 = 0.05
140-120 20
0.05
We are calculating the density function first of the entire interval we use 140
Not probability yet
it’s probability density function
Ploted:
120 and 140 intrested overall
1/20 we calculate that part
Flat probabilities are all the same
120 to 130
Whats the area from 120 to 130
130 to 140 are equal 10 units or minutes
the area of 120 to 130 is half is .5
50% probability
3 2 1
Analysie the probability of the data to fall under 1,2 or 3 standart deviations
Most data falls under 68.3% deviation of the man
95.4% has two standar deviations
99.7% of the data has 3 deviations above and below the mean
Mean is 80 minutes
Standar deviation of 10 minutes
Normaly distrubutes is not standarized yet
60 minutes or less cos the exerices says 1 hour
We standarizes and we put in the z score
a. p(z<60) 0.02275 Probablity of completing of the exam
60 is less of equal to 75
The probability of 1 particular values is 0
We calculate 60 we got to calculate 75
It will be all the area including the blue too
Substratc over the 0.308538 this is the probality of z is less of equal
from 0.5 to the start
b. z= x-u = 75-80 -.50 -0.5 standar deviations form the mean
o 10
0.02275 Probablity of completing of the exam
0.308538 this is the probality of z is less of equal
0.285787 =H292-H291 Blue part
All the area is 1
Substract all the area from 1 to get the remaining
c. p(>90)
Understand the
Scenarions toplus in
in Excel
We are working with the standar normal deviation where the mean equals 0 and standar deviation is 1
One standar deviation above the mean
we want this area
0.841345
for cumutale we want true because we want
because is all this
1.58 0.942946566762
substrac 1 0.057053433238
we are looking for the small, tinny area of the curve 1.58 standart deviation above the mean
Standar normal
turn them to a z score
Look for all the prob.
number are increasing
is somewhere between values
1.281551566
value from the table liitle bit difernt
close enoguh
Leight in those intervals time, how much does it takes to load a truck
Between 2 values substrac on for the other
from the 6 to 18
6 Minutes or less
6 and 1 lamndaover 15
0 is the low end p(x<6) 0.329679954 =EXPON.DIST(6,1/15,1)
Sweks nothing below 0 p(x<18) 0.698805788
0 to whavever Substract 0.369125834
No negative time or distance What type of distrubution we use, right function
low en values and high
Examples