Factors Influencing Investment Decisions of Nepalese Investors
Factors Influencing Investment Decisions of Nepalese Investors
Factors Influencing Investment Decisions of Nepalese Investors
This study concluded that majority of investor prefer to by stock from primary market,
investor analyze the company before making investment decision, investor monitor their
portfolio occasionally, and most of the investor use own saving for making investment in
stock.
Finally, this study concluded that investment decision of Nepalese investor is more influenced
by company related variable (CRV) than market related variable (MRV) and risk and return
related variable (RRV). Positive and significant coefficient of company related variable (CRV)
is observed in all regression models. It can, therefore, be concluded that the Nepalese investor
makes investment decision observing the company related variable of Nepalese companies.
Keywords: Investment decision, company related variable (CRV), market related variable (MRV), risk
and return related variable (RRV).
Introduction
Investment decisions are considered one of the major aspects of financial decision.
Investors commonly take investment decision by fundamental analysis, technical
analysis and judgment. Investment decisions are often supported by decision tools.
* Associate Professor, PhD Scholar, Faculty of Management Mid-Western University, Surkhet, Nepal
E-mail: [email protected]
146 Management Dynamics, Vol.23, No.2, 2020 ISSN: 2091-0460
A large body of empirical research (Mojgan and Ali 2011, Azam and Kumar, 2011,
Geetha and Ramesh, 2012 etc.) indicated that individual investors makes investment
decision analyzing various factor related to investment. Mojgan and Ali (2011)
studied investor decision making in the Tehran stock market, and found that two
factors, i.e. earnings per share and cash dividends influenced investors’ decision
to buy stocks. Similarly, Azam and Kumar (2011) examined the factors influencing
Pakistan investors’ behaviour on the Karachi stock exchange and found that the
earnings per share, foreign direct investment and growth rate of gross domestic
product have a significant impact on stock prices. Merikas, Merikas, Vozikis, and
Prasad (2008), Masomi and Ghayekloo (2011), and Fares and Khamis (2011) also
investigated factors influencing investor decisions in different stock markets. Shaikh
and Kalkundrikar (2011) studied the demographic effect on investment decisions.
These studies concluded that investor’s age, education, and accessibility to the internet
had a significant impact on stock trading. Similarly, some of these studies concluded
that certain behavioural factors also makes influence on investment decision of
individual investors. Chandra (2008) found that investors are not always rational
unlike the theories of standard finance. They are subject to several cognitive and
emotional errors; they are suffering from several biases while taking the investment
decision. Due to different investors’ biases their perception change about risk taking.
Results show that investors who are actually risk averse in their characteristics show
the risk seeking behavior by holding the losing investments.
Very few studies related to investors’ behavior on stock market investment decision
have been conducted on Nepalese stock market. Adhikari (2010) conducted a study
to analyze the investment behavior of Nepalese investors. Adhikari found that the
investors are mostly overconfident regard to their self-reported level of investment-
related knowledge, experience and their ability to pick stock. They exhibited wishful
thinking that the shares they hold will appreciate in value. There was a notable
difference in the level of confidence in various aspects of investing according to the
age and gender of the respondents. The study of Adhikari also found that varying
availability of information and the level of understanding of the respondents have an
influence in their investment decision making process. Interviews with brokers have
brought out a conclusion that most of the Nepalese investors do not have necessary
skills to analyze financial information related to companies they are considering
investing in and this affects the quality of their investment decision making. Similarly,
Kadariya (2012) analyzed the factors that impact the investor’s investment decision.
These factors include capital structure, political and media coverage, luck and
financial education and trend analyses in the Nepalese capital market. Findings of
the study show that majority of the investors are youngsters and they take decision
considering the media coverage and friend’s recommendations as good source of
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On the other hand, Karki and Adhikari (2014) conducted a study on investment motive
of individual investor in the stock of market of Nepal. Karki and Adhikari found
that the most of the investors had the investment motive of speculation and least of
the investors had the investment motive of gambling. The study further concluded
that there was a positive relationship between information and analysis, investment
horizon, age level, and experience in stock market with investment motive. Further
this study also revealed a moderate association between academic qualification and
investment motive, and information and analysis had a positive relationship with
the investment score. Similarly, the result of the study further concluded that rumors
and tips are playing vital role in Nepalese stock markets. Finally, Bajracharya (2017)
conducted another study related to investor’s attitude toward mutual fund. The
study of Bajracharya found that there is no association between investors’ attitude
towards mutual fund on the basis of demographic and socio economic. Investors
provide their highest preference on brokers/ Agents as a source of information
and other hand, investors give their least preference on Magazines. It was found
that, the investors attitude is not independent towards mutual fund on the basis of
demographic and socio economic variable (age, gender, monthly income, investment
148 Management Dynamics, Vol.23, No.2, 2020 ISSN: 2091-0460
Thus, this study aims to analyze the factors influencing investors’ investment decision
on Nepalese stock market. This study evaluates the effect of investors’ behavior for
making investment decision in Nepalese stock market. This study examines the effect
of company related variable (CRV), risk and returns variables (RRV) and market
related variables (MRV) on the investment decision. In company related variables
factors such as management team of the company, financial performance of the
company, size of the company, EPS, DPS are included. Similarly, in risk return related
variable expected return, past return, risk of the company, liquid securities etc. are
included. Finally, in market related variable factors such as market information,
market price per share, dividend growths etc. are included. There is only one stock
exchange in Nepal i.e. Nepal stock exchange. Very few professional investors are
involved in Nepalese stock market. Therefore, this study deals with the following
issues:
Research Methodology
The fundamental goal of this study is to analyze the factors influencing investment decision
in Nepalese stock market. Thus, this study follows descriptive and analytical research design.
This study follows the descriptive research design to describe the various issues raised and it
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follows the analytical research design to analyze the impact of company related variable, risk
and return related variable and market related variables on investment decision on Nepalese
stock market.
This study is mainly based on the primary data. In order to collect the necessary data for
this study structured questionnaire has been used. Yes/no response questions, multiple
choice questions, ranking questions, and questions based on Likert type scale questions were
included in the questionnaire. In multiple choice options, respondents were asked to put tick
mark in an appropriate option and in ranking options, they were asked to rank the given
options by assigning a rank ‘1’ to the most important one and so on. For Likert scale options,
the respondents were asked to tick mark in five points Likert scale items, where ‘5’ being
‘strongly agree’ and ‘1’ being ‘strongly disagree’.
The distribution of gender clearly shows that male are more actively involved in
investment in shares. Total number of male respondents are 81 (73.6 percent) whereas
the total number of female respondents are only 29 (26.4 percent).
For the purpose of this survey the ages of the respondents are divided into five
groups,16 - 25 years, 26-35 years, 36-45 years, 46-55 years and above 56 years. Among
the 110 respondents, 20 percent are of age group 16-25 years, 43.6 percent are of age
group 26-35 years, 23.6 percent of age group 36-45, 11.8 percent of respondent are of
ISSN: 2091-0460 Factors Influencing Investment Decisions of Nepalese Investors 151
the age group 46-55 and 0.9 percent of respondents are of age group 56 and above.
The distribution suggests that the people of age group 26-35 years are more involved
in stock market who almost occupie almost 43.6 percent of the total respondent of
this survey.
Similarly, Out of the total 110 respondents, (1.8 percent) respondents are students. 81
(8.3 percent) respondents are from the service sector, 13 (11.8 percent) respondents
are entrepreneurs, and 5 (4.5 percent) are unemployment.
Further, respondents are also classified in terms of their family income. 3.6 percent
respondents have the family monthly income of less than 15000 per month. 26.4
percent respondents have the family income per month between 15000-25,000, 22.7
percent respondents have the monthly family income between 26000-35000, 16.4
percent respondents have the monthly family income between 36000-45000 and 30.9
percent have the family monthly income above 46,000.
Respondents are also classified in terms of their education. 33.6 percent of respondents
have completed their Post-Graduate level of education. Similarly, 35.5 percent
of respondents have completed their Graduate level of education. 21.8 percent of
respondents come under intermediate and below and the numbers of Under Graduate
investors are minimal with only 9.1 percent.
Finally, respondent are also classified according to their experience. The result
indicates that 39.1 percent investors have experience less than 2 years. 30.9 percent
respondents have experience of 2 to 5 years. Similarly, 19.1 and 10.9 percent
respondents have experience of 5 to 10 years and more than 10 years respectively.
It can be observed from table 2 that investors are more interested to invest in primary market
than secondary market. About 74.5 percent of total investors like to invest in primary market
whereas 23.6 percent of investors like to invest in both markets. It also shows that only 1.8
percent of investors like to invest in secondary.
Similarly, the result presented in table 2 indicates that the majority of the respondent i. e. 81.8
percent of the respondent analyzes the company and 15.5 percent respondents do not analyze
the company for making investment whereas 2.7 percent respondent opined that they don’t
know about this issue.
As regards how often respondents monitor their investment portfolio, another question was
asked to the respondent. The majority of the respondent (53.6 percent) opined that they
monitor their portfolio occasionally whereas 34.5 percent respondents opined that they
monitoring the investment monthly, and finally, 11.8 percent respondents are more interests
to monitor their investment portfolio daily.
The investment horizon can be used as the basis to divide the investors into long term
investors, medium term and short term investors. The respondents were asked to ascertain
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themselves in any one of the above three categories. 28.2 percent of the investor ranked them
as the medium term investors. 15.5 percent consider themselves as the short term investors
and 56.4 percent of the investors consider themselves as the long term investors. It shows that
long term investors who generally hold the shares for more than 5 years are higher in Surkhet
than compared to medium term and short term investors.
Finally, investors are further divided into two types on the basis of the source of the invested
money; active investor and passive investor. If the investor had used inherited money to
invest in the market, then the investor is passive investor and if not, then active investor. The
survey result shows that in Nepalese stock market more than 96.4 percent investors use their
own earning to invest in stock market whereas the remaining uses the earning from other
sources like inherited money (1.8 percent) or borrowed money (1.8 percent).
Source of information and reliability of the source of the information are two most important
components for any investors. This study had tried to find out the source of information
and usefulness of the major source of information for the primary market and secondary
market investors in Nepal. In this regard, the respondents are asked to rank their source of
information to invest in stock market as per their importance most important to 1 and so on.
The result regarding the source of information of Nepalese stock market investors is presented
in the table 3.
It is evident from Table 3 that the most important source of information is “Electronic media”.
It got the weighted value of 235 with the lowest weighted mean value of 2.13 and ranked as
154 Management Dynamics, Vol.23, No.2, 2020 ISSN: 2091-0460
number one. The respondents ranked “Family and friends”, “Companies annual report and
prospectus”, “Newspaper”, and “Brokerage house” as the second, the third, the fourth, and
the fifth important sources of information respectively.
Similarly, to identify the preferred sectors of investment for Nepalese stock market investors,
the respondents were asked to choose their preferred sector of investment as per their
importance most important to 1 and so on. The result is presented in table 4.
Table 4 shows that the most preferable sector of investment for Nepalese investors is
“Commercial Bank”. It got the weighted value of 197 with the lowest weighted mean value
of 1.79 and ranked as number one. It is followed by the “Hydropower” with the weighted
mean value of 2.3. Similarly, Finance companies got 3rd rank, Development banks got 4th rank,
Insurance companies got 5th rank and Manufacturing companies and Hotels got 6th and 7th
rank respectively. Finally, the least preferred sectors of investment are trading companies, it
got 8th rank.
Further, investment strategy is driven by the why investor invest in share. This study also
attempted to find out the most preferred investment objectives of the Nepalese investors. In
this regard, the respondents are asked to rank the objective of invest in stock market as per
their importance most important to 1 and so on. The response of the ranking is presented in
table 5.
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The result presented in Table 5 clearly shows that the Nepalese investors seek share price
increment in long term as the most important investment objectives closely followed by
dividend income and expected bonus and right share. The investors found that the long term
increase in price as more important investment objectives than the short term increase in price.
The other investment objectives like no opportunity in other sector and fun and excitement in
investing has been of very less important in case of the Nepalese stock market investors.
Fable 6 further shows that among the company related variables investor mostly
depends upon the recent financial performance of the company for making investment
decision. It has mean value of 4.2569 which is greater than the average value 3.0. As
evident from the analysis investor gives least preference to the growth and size of the
company for making investment decision. It has mean value of 3.238.
Among the risk and return related variables Investors like to invest in those companies
where expected return will be high. It has highest mean of 4.4679. Similarly, investor gives
less importance to highly liquid share for making investment. It has mean only 3.247.
Finally, Table 6 depicts that among the market related variable respondents give more
priority to market information for making investment decision. It has mean value
of 4.330. Similarly, respondents give priority to market price per share, dividend
growth trend, and high return cash flow stock respectively.
IDϳ=αₒ+α2(CRV)+α3(MRV)+α4(RRV)+εϳ
Dependent variable is the investment decision as (ID) and independent variables are
market related variable (MRV), company related variables (CRV), and risk return related
variables (RRV). The figures in the parentheses are t-values. F-statics and Adjusted R2 are
also reported.
F Number of
Model Intercept MRV RRV CRV Adj R2
-statistics observation
12.334 0.255
1 0.080 10.356 110
(10.818)** (3.218)**
11.290 0.255
2 0.112 14.606 110
(9.148)** (3.822)**
9.922 0.330
3 0.133 17.637 110
(6.853)* (4.200)**
8.677 0.143 .272
4 0.173 11.082 110
(5.574)** (2.007)* (3.294)**
9.196 0.139 0.231
5 0.149 10.430 110
(6.143)** (1.705) (2.371)**
10.134 0.138 0.198
6 0.147 9.130 110
(7.367)* (1.826) (2.701)**
8.8382 0.117 0.100 0.212
7 0.160 7.847 110
(5.325)** (1.573) (1.175) (2.173)**
Table 7 shows the regression results of effect of company related variable (CRV), risk
and returns variables (RRV) and market related variables (MRV) on the investment
decision. Result shows that all the variables have significant positive impact on the
investment decision of investors when they are regressed individually (Model 1, 2 &
3). All the coefficients are positive and statistically significant. It means that investors
dependent on company related variable, risk and returns variable and market related
158 Management Dynamics, Vol.23, No.2, 2020 ISSN: 2091-0460
variables for making their investment decision. Though value of adjusted R2 is low,
low p value of F test confirms fitness of model.
These variables are jointly regressed in bivariate regression (Model 4, 5 & 6). The
coefficient of market related variable (MRV) and company related variable (CRV) is
positive and significant in Model 4. Similarly, Model 5 risk and return related variable
(RRV) and company related variables (CRV) are jointly regressed and the coefficient
of Company related variable found to be positive and significant. Furthermore,
when market related variable (MRV) and risk and return related variable (RRV) are
jointly regressed the coefficient of risk and return related variable (RRV) found to be
positive and significant.
Finally, all three independent variables are jointly regressed in multiple regression
Model 7. In Model 7 again the coefficient of company related variable (CRV) is found
to be significant and positive but the significance of other two variable i.e. risk return
related variable (RRV) and market related variable (MRV) is lost but the coefficient of
these two variables are still positive. It can, therefore, be concluded that the investors
investment decision strongly depends on company related variable (CRV).
This study concludes that majority of investor prefer to by stock from primary market
and majority of investor analyze the company before making investment in stock.
Similarly, majority of investor monitor their portfolio occasionally and most of the
investor use own saving for making investment in stock.
Furthermore, this study concludes that most of the investor use of information
of “Electronic media” for making investment decision as well as they follow the
suggestion from “Family and friends” for making proper investment decision.
Similarly, majority of the investor ranked 1 stock of the commercial bank for making
investment and it is followed by hydropower sector. Finally, it is observed that most
of the investor invest in stock expecting share price increment in long term and it is
followed by dividend income.
Further finding of this study concludes that among the company related variable
the most important variable is financial performance of the company. Thus, it can
be concluded that investor consider the financial performance of the company for
making investment decision in Nepalese stock market. Similarly, among the risk
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and return related variable majority of the investor prefer those companies whose
expected return will be high in future. This can, therefore, be concluded that Nepalese
investor prefers stock of those companies whose expected return will be high in
future. Furthermore, among the market related variable respondent have given more
importance on market information for making stock investment decision.
Finally, the univariate, bivariate and multivariate regression analysis also showes
that investment behavior of Nepalese investor is more influenced by company related
variable (CRV) than market related variable (MRV) and risk and return related
variable (RRV). The coefficient of company related variable (CRV) is positive and
significant in all models but the coefficients of other two variables are not significant
in all models. The coefficient of these two variables are significant in univariate
and bivariate regression but their significance is lost in multivariate regression. It
can, therefore, be concluded that the Nepalese investor makes investment decision
observing the company related variable of Nepalese companies.
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